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$SOL is showing strong momentum in today’s crypto market, climbing to $121 as the broader market rebounds. 🚀
As discussed a couple of days ago, if SOL holds the $115–$117 support zone, a rebound becomes more likely. The recovery has been stronger than expected, but the risk of an upside breakout is also increasing.
For now, SOL appears to be in a corrective rebound following its recent decline. The $121 area is an important level to watch. #DailyOrbit $ZEC weekend market more disgusting than eating fly droppings this demon coin gave me harsh lesson: never underestimate oversold rebound. 50x high position short cost 830 now price directly surged to around 1330 two positions floating loss nearly 2000U return rate negative over three thousand. Originally thought would continue to fall after sideways consolidation but bulls directly reversed trend and lifted now cutting losses with huge losses holding positions fearing further breakthrough of 134$SUI's price was previously confined within a range roughly between 1.11 and 1.20, oscillating back and forth.
Now it's different.
SUI has pulled back up near 1.26, starting to move outside the upper boundary of the range.
But I think the most common mistake here is to chase immediately upon seeing a breakout.
Because there is still a real tough resistance ahead: short-term resistance near 1.25, and previous high resistance around 1.29 to 1.30.
Especially at 1.2951, which was previously a point of a sharp rise followed by a pullback. To truly open up space, it can't just spike through; it needs to hold steady.
If this breakout isn't fake, the 1.18 to 1.20 range should gradually shift from resistance to support. If a pullback to this area can hold, it indicates the range that had been sideways for so long is starting to change.
Below that is 1.11 to 1.14; if it falls back there again, then today's breakout won't mean much.
So my current view on SUI is simple:
1.24 is not the best position to chase; 1.20 is the key level to watch.
If it can hold above 1.20, then move up to 1.25, and then 1.29 to 1.30, the structure will be much healthier.
If it reaches near 1.29 with obvious volume but no movement, be cautious of previous high-level trapped positions dumping again.
What this wave of SUI really needs to prove is not whether it can rise to 1.3,
but whether it can truly turn the upper boundary of the 1.20 range into a new bottom.
#交易之声:你的经验值得被听到
Personal review, not investment adviceBro, look at the daily chart. $3,000 isn't an empty zone. There is a lot of historical supply sitting above the market, especially after ETH previously collapsed from around $3,400 to $1,700. A lot of those holders never got a clean exit. So if ETH finally returns to $3K, what happens? Some traders will simply think: “I'm finally back to breakeven. I'm out.” That creates selling pressure. And when everyone sees the same obvious resistance, leveraged longs and shorts can become easy liquidity tar$ZEC Are large institutions like Grayscale starting to cash out?
I found that on September 30th, October 1st, and October 2nd
Grayscale cashed out a total of 77.6 million USD from the ZEC ETF
The total ETF value dropped from about 271 million USD to about 212.56 million USD
After cashing out, $ZEC experienced a significant decline
Could it be that the privacy coin story is nearing its end?
Currently, there is no other positive news, and in the past two days ZEC has been very weak; even when the overall market surged sharply, it did not rally, but when the market fell, it also dropped
Does this mean there is no capital to take over?⚖️ Bitcoin's mining difficulty dipped 0.74% at block 959616 — the 15th adjustment of 2025.
Negative adjustments now outnumber increases nearly 3 to 2 across the year, reflecting sustained pressure on miners.Hundreds of thousands in capital, years of attention, countless hours spent promoting the project, and multiple social-media accounts devoted to it. For some holders, the sunk cost has become enormous. And that's exactly where the danger begins. When you've invested so much time and money into a project, it's psychologically difficult to admit that the original thesis may no longer be working. People can start defending the story instead of examining the evidence. Decentralization sounds great. $PUMP surges into trending searches: Crypto concept stocks -1.15%, it +12.6%
$PUMP surges into CoinGecko trending searches, 24h +12.6%, US crypto concept stocks average -1.15%. At this position, I am directly bullish — the market is in an offensive phase, risk_on.
The logic holds — daily RSI 68.6 slightly strong; MA7 pressing MA30 for the 10th day, MACD golden cross above zero with expanding red bars; 7d +25.78%, 30d +52.85%, 30-day percentile 0.947, closing above the upper Bollinger band.
The money side is solid too, volume 40,587,053 USDT, volume ratio 1.102; funding rate 1.219e-05 neutral, open interest up +4.57% compared to records, long-short ratio 1.2517; fear and greed index 65, whole market 39 up, 18 down.
Resistance above: 0.006495 (1h SAR flipped above), breakout target 0.006656.
Support below: 0.005238 (4h SAR), if broken retreat to 0.005469.
Direction is clear — current price 0.00648 enter long, stop loss if below 0.005238, take profit if reaching 0.006495. Like and follow, will notify you immediately of the next move.
$PUMP $BTC📊 $ETH MARKET UPDATE
$ETH may have found a temporary bottom near $2,651, but I’m not rushing into the rebound.
Resistance around $2,780 remains a key hurdle, while crowded longs and falling OI add caution. This bounce could still turn into a bull trap.
🔴 Rejection at resistance → bearish setup strengthens
📉 Below $2,620 → $2,530–$2,450 becomes possible
🟢 Volume-backed reclaim of $2,800 → bearish thesis weakens
Meanwhile, $BTC is back above $85K.
#DailyOrbit #BTCETHETFFlowsDiverge Near 11:30, checking the gainers list again, $PROS (Pharos) is at the top — spot price around 0.80, up about 12% from the 24-hour open at 0.715, daily high reached 0.834, daily low 0.702, with a trading volume of about 2.65 million U.
The contract open interest nominally is about 1.93 million USD, with a slightly positive funding rate around 0.005%. Pharos just launched Agent Native at the end of September, the RWA/L1 narrative is still hot, and funds are flowing into small caps over the weekend. BTC is around 85,400, ETH about 2700. In the short term, watch if anyone takes over above the daily high of 0.834; if it falls back to around 0.70, don't chase aggressively.
$BTC $ETH $PROS #PROS #Pharos #GainersList #RWA #AgentNative
#TheFedAndECBToReleaseSeptemberMeetingMinutes #BTCSpotETFFlowsBackIn,ETHFundsContinueOutflow #BISent:USBondYieldsRiseInLineWithGlobalTrend
#RiskWarning
The above does not constitute investment advice, control your position size, the market carries risks. $BTC pushed to $87.2K yesterday, only to retreat toward $84.5K today. $ETH fell from $2,778 → $2,660, while $SOL pulled back from $123.8 → $118. The interesting part isn't simply that prices dropped. It's that everyone who chased yesterday's breakout is being tested immediately today. Now we find out: Was yesterday a genuine breakout, or just another fakeout? 🟠 $BTC Current: around $84.5K Today's low: roughly $83.9K First support: $83.8K–$84K If that zone holds and BTC gets back above $85K, the$SAND Short Update: Will the Bears Take Control Tonight? 🐻📉
The big players have been pushing hard today, but $SAND is starting to show signs of losing momentum.
My average short entry is 0.0781, with the current price around 0.077. The position is showing over 1,000 USDT in unrealized profit, with an ROI of around 23% at 15x leverage.
Earlier, $SAND pushed above 0.08, putting serious pressure on the bears. #DailyOrbit Comparison between gold and $BTC current holding structures. The biggest difference is central bank reserves; apart from a few countries, Bitcoin has not been widely adopted, and among the holdings by countries, a significant portion is confiscated rather than actively purchased.BTC spot ETFs ended a 9-day inflow streak on September 30, totaling roughly $3.1B, but the pause lasted only one day. Then money came back: • Oct. 1: +$103M • Oct. 2: +$31.7M ETH is showing the opposite picture. Since September 29, ETH ETFs have recorded four consecutive days of net outflows, totaling around $135M. Oct. 2 alone: -$17.3M That's the signal I'm paying more attention to than the daily candles. Same asset class. Completely different capital flows. BTC is seeing fresh ETF demand retur#OKXNOW: The future is here, and major content is being unveiled. The crypto community has also learned to "appeal to the authorities": The Safe ecosystem fund has dragged the Swiss ESA into the governance battle, signaling a major shift in multisig dynamics.
The crypto circle, which usually only votes on-chain and argues on Discord, has this time escalated the dispute to the Swiss Federal Supervisory Authority (ESA) — the Safe Ecosystem Foundation (the team behind Safe{Wallet}) has officially filed a regulatory complaint, effectively upgrading the "who has the right to change multisig, who is misappropriating the ecosystem treasury" issue from Twitter trials to a formal civil law written investigation.
Why Switzerland?
The Safe Foundation structure often operates under the "Zug Foundation" shell, which is supervised by Swiss authorities; once ESA files a case, it can investigate the foundation's charter, board resolutions, changes to multisig of the treasury, and whether token distribution deviates from the nonprofit purpose. On-chain you can say "code is law," but the foundation is a legal entity, and legal entities must provide transparent accounting.
This complaint shatters an old crypto illusion:
"Decentralization" is not a free pass; if foundation governance is poor, regulators can require you to submit financial reports, replace board members, and freeze expenditures;
Multisig is not just "a few big signatures," it is a fiduciary responsibility; changing from 4/6 to 3/5 multisig without announcement is governance hijacking;
When users criticize projects, project teams retaliate by reporting the other side for "manipulating proposals/withholding rewards," and regulatory intervention is ten times harsher than community voting.
In plain language:
Previously, seizing the treasury relied on computing power/votes; now, to seize the treasury, you must first submit PDF evidence. $BAT
The browser's old coin is joining the party today, surging 12.93% in a single day.
Contract open interest increased by 51.2% in one day, the rate is negative, shorts are paying, be cautious of chasing highs to avoid getting trapped.
59.4% of the whales are going long, the current price is 0.1078; if it holds, the outlook is bullish, if it breaks down, exit first. $BAT
$BAT If you want to grow small capital, I won't stubbornly hold BTC all the time, nor will I gamble on altcoins from the start.
My logic is:
Mainstream coins confirm the trend, altcoins amplify the returns.
When to switch?
I mainly watch 4 signals:
① BTC stabilizes
No longer falling sharply, key support holds, trend starts to rise.
② ETH/BTC strengthens
Capital begins to flow from BTC to ETH, an important signal of increased risk appetite.
③ Altcoins collectively strengthen
Not just one coin surging, but multiple mainstream altcoins breaking out with volume simultaneously.
④ BTC Dominance declines
BTC market share starts to fall, while altcoins overall outperform BTC.
The more of these four signals appear, the more I dare to increase altcoin positions.
Positions won't switch all at once:
Confirmation: Altcoins 10%
Diffusion: Altcoins 30%
Trend confirmation: Altcoins around 50%
Conversely, if:
BTC weakens + ETH/BTC weakens + BTC Dominance rises
I start to exit altcoins, returning to BTC, ETH, or cash.
I won't chase an altcoin just because it rose 50%.
A true altcoin market is when capital flows from BTC to ETH, then to mainstream altcoins.
So my principle is simple:
"First use mainstream coins to confirm direction, then use altcoins to amplify the trend.
No trend, no risk amplification; trend confirmed, then increase offense."Currently, $ETH is still oscillating below 2700. Some say that institutions might be moving the price from left hand to right hand to suppress it here and accumulate. I don't deny that, but to really enter a bull market, it’s impossible not to go down to clear out high-leverage long positions, specifically targeting those retail traders chasing highs above 2700.
Right now, almost all positions are in floating profit, with an average ETH price of 2685.11. To realize profits, it needs to drop below 2550. $BTC
Currently, even with $PUMP, the floating loss on the 10x leverage position has been added to several times. I’m more bearish. My position hasn’t rotated yet and hasn’t made even 50 dollars. Planning to add to the position.BTC, ETH, ZEC ETF Fund Inflow and Outflow Analysis
BTC ETF
- Recently, there has been a slight overall net inflow. After the major drop in the non-farm payrolls, institutions did not massively exit; ETF holdings remained stable, serving as an important underlying support for this rebound.
- However, the single-day inflow scale has significantly contracted compared to the previous hot market phase, with no large continuous accumulation.
ETH ETF
- ETF funds have clearly underperformed BTC, with multiple days of small net outflows and intermittent small inflows alternating.
- Institutional funds are cautious and have not made sustained large-scale deployments, which is the core reason why ETH's rebound has consistently lagged behind BTC.
- Without strong positive catalysts, ETFs find it difficult to bring incremental funds, and the trend can only passively follow BTC's movement.
ZEC
- Currently, there is no corresponding ETF fund, so there is no ETF inflow or outflow data.
- ZEC's market movement is entirely driven by retail investors and contract funds in the secondary market, without institutional ETF fund support.
- The rise depends on narrative-driven speculation; during declines, the lack of ETF fund support results in price fluctuations much greater than BTC and ETH, with stronger pullback momentum.
Summary
BTC has ETF inflows supporting the base; ETH ETF funds are cautious and weak; ZEC has no ETF backing and is purely market-driven. Current funds are in a phase of repair and inflow, not a frenzy of entry.
Market review, not investment advice $BTC $ETH $ZEC #BTC现货ETF重回流入,ETH资金持续流出 Holding onto the $BTC short position's floating profit, this time I'm ready to hold a bit longer 👊
$BTC surged to 86,914 yesterday but couldn't hold, dropping back to around 85,300 today. The daily chart looks like it's struggling to push higher. The 15-minute chart shows lower highs each time, and the rebound at 85,428 clearly had reduced volume, with selling pressure persisting.
On the news front, trader Killa mentioned that after the midterm elections, the crypto market might de-risk. This recent rise from 83,000 was never really supported by fundamentals, purely driven by sentiment. Now institutional inflows are slowing down, and there's not enough fuel to keep pushing up.
I opened a short at 86,498 yesterday, currently floating a profit of over 14 points. I originally planned to quickly enter and exit, but the trend looks interesting, so I've decided to move the stop loss to breakeven and hold to see if it can drop back to 84,000 or even lower.
If this trade loses, I won't post tomorrow. 🙈
$BTC spot ETF inflows have returned, while ETH funds continue to flow out. #VanEck: Bitcoin may continue to expand market share #TradingVoice: Your experience deserves to be heard $ETH may have bottomed around $2,651, but don’t rush to bottom-fish. Resistance at $2,780 remains strong, with longs crowded and OI declining.
This rebound could be a bull trap. A rejection near resistance may favor shorts, while a break below $2,620 opens $2,530–$2,450. Only a volume-backed reclaim of $2,800 would weaken the bearish view.
$BTC is back above $85K. If October brings no rate hike, a small rally could follow. For now, patience and risk control matter. 📉🌙 Late Sunday night: BNB still in the green, XMU retraces to 1069, SPCX pushes to 160
$BNB 777.5, one of the few in the green across the board. While the market is all red, it holds strong, fully showing the resilience of platform coins. It didn't hold above 780 and fell back to 777, but 770 is a solid bottom. This week’s direction is set by BTC, and BNB will follow. Hold without watching.
$xMU 1069, a normal retracement from 1109. After Micron's earnings beat expectations and rose for a day, it’s now pulling back. The logic of AI servers competing for HBM remains unchanged. The retracement range is 1050 to 1070; if it holds, expect 1200 this week; if it breaks, it will return to 1000. Don’t panic.
$SPCX 158.95, the SpaceX concept is moving. It’s not highly correlated with crypto, but while the market falls, it rises, indicating independent funds are active. It has been consolidating around 160 for a few days; if it breaks through, look for 170.
#SEC加密资产托管新规,拟放宽机构自托管限制 Three late-night notes: BNB is the strongest, don’t panic on XMU retracement, SPCX moves independently. The market is all red on Sunday but no need to fear; this week’s direction depends on BTC.$EIGEN GEN is still 95% below ATH despite EigenCloud holding nearly $7B in TVL. 👀
The challenge isn't attracting capital, but turning it into real demand and revenue. Proposed fee-sharing and buybacks could improve token value, but remain unimplemented.
With 7% annual inflation and upcoming unlocks, value capture is the key to watch.
#EIGEN #EigenLayer #Crypto #DailyOrbit
#FedECBMeetingMinutes $ETH total assets are $93, enough for three meals a day, life seems to be gradually getting better.
I still remember when the account only had $6 left, I even thought 3x leverage was too high. Now the account has $93, and my courage has grown, directly opening 10x leverage. Greed is truly the biggest pitfall of human nature; with a little floating profit, I dare to pull the leverage to the sky. Unconsciously, I have raised my own risk threshold bit by bit.
Now I can't reduce my position, and I can't bear to stop loss, the position is still heavy. I didn't close at the highest point, and losing profits is really painful.
After the non-farm payroll, a few candlesticks dropped, then it oscillated upward almost without any decent pullback.
I'm always worried now, most afraid that it won't pull back and suddenly accelerate downward. $ETH dropping to 2400 is not impossible, after all, the market is always right.
This kind of market is so tormenting. Shorting fears a rebound, going long fears a spike, being pulled back and forth the whole time.
I want to ask everyone, in this market phase, do you see it as bearish or bullish going forward? $BTC This nonfarm payroll dismisses expectations of a rate hike in October. On Friday night, the nonfarm payrolls only had one poor figure: September job growth was 29,000, compared to the expected 90,000. But what really matters is the entire chain behind. The unemployment rate rose from 4.1% to 4.2%, and average hourly earnings fell only 0.1% month-on-month and 3.0% year-on-year. At the same time, July employment was directly revised from +21,000 to -10,000, and in August it was revised down from +162,000 to +133,000. In two months, that's another 60,000 fewer jobs. So what this report really tells the market is that U.S. employment continues to cool. And the cooling is just right. In the household survey, employed people actually increased by 406,000 in September, and the labor force participation rate rose from 61.6% to 61.8%. Part of the rise in unemployment is due to more people re-entering the labor market. Combined with initial jobless claims still near historic lows and no large-scale corporate layoffs, U.S. employment is closer to a typical state: companies are reluctant to hire in large numbers, but they have not started a frenzy of layoffs. This is the so-called low hire, low fire. This is crucial for the Fed. In September, the Fed just raised rates by 25 basis points, raising rates to 3.75%–4.00%. Previously, the market worried that high oil prices, inflation, and a still strong economy would force the Fed to continue raising rates in October. After the nonfarm payrolls came out, this...The bull market in the crypto space from 2023 to 2025 essentially did not bring about new narratives, unlike the 2020 to 2021 period with narratives like defi, nft, and gamefi, which were almost absent. It was basically all about speculating on memes, whether animal memes or celebrity memes, which was rather dull.
Meanwhile, ChatGPT emerged suddenly, and AI large language models swept the globe. Nvidia even surpassed a market value of 5 trillion USD, becoming the first company in human history to break the 5 trillion mark. As a result, many crypto developers switched to AI. They believe crypto lacks practical significance and is just a cycle of mutual exploitation, whereas AI can change the world and provide a sense of accomplishment.
Now the feeling of a bull market has returned somewhat. Exchanges and project teams have started hiring, and naturally, the number of job openings exceeds demand. To attract high-level developers and project operators, unless salaries higher than those in AI are offered and the industry becomes more promising, it will be difficult to recruit outstanding talent. I’m watching for a push toward $0.085. If you give the market that move, I’ll consider rebuilding a 40x position and adding pressure around the $0.075 area. Let’s see whether the whales are ready to trigger another squeeze or if this is just another setup for a deeper flush. 📈🐋 Key levels I’m watching: • Pump zone: $0.085–$0.09 • Re-entry area: $0.08 • Major downside watch: $0.075 • Tomorrow’s volatility could be interesting. 🔥 Not financial advice — just watching the game unfold.MicroStrategy posted an orange chart on X again today (orange = Bitcoin color)
But this time, don't get too excited
It seems to be just posting a chart, with no actual action
The total amount of coins held is still 847,666 BTC, with no new changes
The last real purchase was 1,665 BTC at the end of September
#星球日报 Everyone is asking if I use leverage, of course I do. My account maintains 40x leverage all year round. Because I'm young, even if I lose, I have countless opportunities to start over.
As for risk, when you buy a house with a 20% down payment, it's equivalent to using 5x leverage, putting all your assets and 30 years of future cash flow into a cement box with extremely low liquidity, while I use 40x leverage betting on the greatest cryptocurrency on Earth that can be cashed out with one click.Nightclub girl's diary of cashing out and trading crypto
$LIT, my target is to see 2.
The cycle will be very long, most likely until next year, continue holding, the current profit is far from enough.
$ENA unlocked this round and dropped directly by more than ten points. Many tokens unlocking doesn't necessarily crash the market, but this is a real capital flight.
$PIEVERSE surged all the way after launch, now the trend has reversed. The holding volume keeps shrinking, and the price has been declining slowly for more than half a month. Most likely there will be another wave of heavy selling later. Parameter Lock:
📐 NEAR Pullback Long (Final)
| Item | Value |
| --------- | ------------- |
| Long Order| 4.84 |
| Stop Loss | 4.80 (-0.8%) |
| Take Profit | 4.93 (+1.9%) |
| Leverage | 10x |
| Margin | $250 |
| Position | ~$2,500 |
| Stop Loss Risk | ~$20 |
| Liquidation Price | ~4.36 (-10%) |
✅ Three Steps to Place Order
1. NEAR-USDT Perpetual, 10x, Isolated
2. Limit Price 4.84, Open Long, $250
3. Stop Loss 4.80 + Take Profit 4.93 ← Both must be set Brothers, today this account is really a tale of two extremes, $BTC alone is holding strong, while two little brothers are dragging behind crazily.
$BTC long position: entered at 84,407, now surged to 85,266, unrealized profit +141.67U, ROI +19.96%! $BTC is really a tough guy today, single-handedly carrying the whole account. Without it, I'd be in the ICU today.
$GRASS long position: this one is a pure disappointment! Entered at 0.7574, now dropped to 0.6911, unrealized loss -164.13U, ROI directly down to -190.69%! The margin was only a few tens of U, and it managed to lose this much, ridiculously bad. Fortunately, no liquidation yet, so I have to grit my teeth and hold on waiting for a rebound.
$ZEC short position: entered short at 1328, current price 1325, barely an unrealized profit of +11.64U. Last time this mad dog blew me up, this time I learned my lesson. As long as it doesn't blow me up, even a tiny profit is something.
All in all, $BTC's gains just cover $GRASS's losses, so the overall account is barely breaking even. The current market is $BTC setting the stage, altcoins tearing it down; any reckless moves are just giveaways. The strategy is one word: endure! Wait for $BTC to hold steady at 85,000, then altcoins have a chance to revive.
Brothers, how is your $BTC holding up? Let's chat in the comments!👇
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入,ETH资金持续流出
#贝森特:美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 $HYPE
Hyperliquid’s edge goes beyond being just another Layer-1. Its real strength comes from the close integration between the blockchain and its on-chain perpetuals trading platform.
That structure gives HYPE direct exposure to trading activity, liquidity, and ecosystem growth.
The bigger long-term question is whether Hyperliquid can continue attracting traders while expanding from its core exchange into a broader on-chain financial ecosystem. 👀
#DailyOrbit #FedECBMeetingMinutes The bigger question is whether the rebound can reclaim the $2,780–$2,800 resistance zone. Long positioning still looks crowded, while open interest has been trending lower — not exactly the setup I’d want to see before calling a real reversal. My levels are simple: 🔹 $2,780–$2,800: key resistance 🔹 Below $2,620: downside risk opens toward $2,530, with $2,450 possible 🔹 Above $2,800 with strong volume: bearish thesis starts losing its edge Until that confirmation arrives, I’d treat a weak bounFinally, let's wrap up the news and what to watch next. Here is a summary of new information after evening (Taiwan time). ▌Market Data Coinglass 21:30 statistics show that in the past day, there were $54.3078 million in net liquidation, 34.7144 million short positions, and 19.5934 million long positions. After 17:20, almost all liquidations on OKX were shorts: BTC about 1.94 million, SOL about 1.34 million USD. OKX Perpetual Trading Until late Sunday: BTC about 1.71 billion USD, less than half of Saturday's total for the day. Panic and Greed Index is 65 today. ▌On-chain and Company Updates Saylor posts another tracker, Strategy holds 847,666 tokens, and most previously announced purchases the next day. Strive CEO Matt Cole posted an article interpreted as preparing to increase BTC holdings. Whale Alert: An address dormant for 13.1 years activated at 17:44, containing 801 BTC. ▌Ecosystem Solana: North Dakota's Roughrider Coin launched on 10/1, available for interbank transfers by over 90 banks. XRP: Monica Long mentioned using XRP as payment collateral at XRP Seoul. DOGE: The DogeOS testnet still relies on designated operators (CoiThe bigger question is whether the rebound can reclaim the $2,780–$2,800 resistance zone. Long positioning still looks crowded, while open interest has been trending lower — not exactly the setup I’d want to see before calling a real reversal. My levels are simple: 🔹 $2,780–$2,800: key resistance 🔹 Below $2,620: downside risk opens toward $2,530, with $2,450 possible 🔹 Above $2,800 with strong volume: bearish thesis starts losing its edge Until that confirmation arrives, I’d treat a weak bounBTC continues to steadily rise, and this slow, teasing market is approaching a critical test🔥
The price is gradually approaching the previous high, with short-term MA5, MA10, and MA20 (85064, 84941, 84889) forming a bullish alignment, and the candlesticks firmly standing above the moving averages. MA60 (85068) has shifted from resistance to support, signaling a short-term strengthening; MA120 (84453) continues upward, maintaining a positive long-term trend.
Short-term resistance is at the 24-hour high of 85196. Recent bullish candles show moderate volume increase, indicating a slow capital push rather than a violent pump.
Key points to watch next: a volume breakout above 85196 is needed for further short-term upward momentum; if it falls back below MA60, the current strengthening structure will be questioned.
Market sentiment is relatively positive, but profit-taking is concentrated near the previous high, so avoid chasing the rally recklessly. Waiting for breakout confirmation before participating is safer. #BTC现货ETF重回流入,ETH资金持续流出 Let’s dig into altcoins.
BTC and ETH have been pretty boring over the past few days. I’m wondering if there are newer coins like $NIGHT that haven’t moved much yet.
Sometimes these setups can be interesting: fewer trapped holders, tighter supply, and clearer upside potential if momentum finally arrives.More than 72.7K CORE has already been permanently removed from circulation across Q1–Q3 2026: • Q1 — 15,516 CORE • Q2 — 27,264 CORE • Q3 — 29,933 CORE And Q4 has already accumulated 5,883+ CORE waiting to be burned — with that figure continuing to increase. 📉 The mechanism is what matters: Staking → Network activity → Fees → Burns → Reduced supply Price action can grab attention, but the bigger signal is whether the network keeps generating real activity and fees that translate into permanent sLet's organize what can be done in terms of trading. My view remains unchanged, and the price levels remain the same. The price is based on the 1-hour screenshot from around 23:18; Sunday night trading volume is relatively low, so the intraday fluctuations are just worth watching. ━ Bitcoin (original plan, for reference only) Long 83,000~83,500 Take profit 86,000 Add 81,000 Stop loss 78,000 Attitude: If you can take profit, you must run, no new entries allowed Late night around 85,320, OKX 23:00 That bar high 85,468.3 ━ Ethereum Short position around 2,780, risk control handled separately Long position 2,650 light position, 2,600 additional position Long stop loss: Break below 2,400 Late night approach 2,698.5, about the same as the afternoon ━ Short Solana near 120, add 125, stop loss at 140, late night around 121.86, hit the lower edge of the 121.9~123.3 red zone ━ Dogecoin short 0.1, add 0.11, stop loss 0.12, close at 0.0942 late night, above 0.0932 EQH ━ Ripple long near 1.5, take profit at 1.57 → 1.63, add 1.45, or if lower to 1.4, stop: break below 1.3, late night around 1.5069, at 1.5 A bit above is the OKX account long-short ratio (17:00 in the evening → 23:00 in the evening):Today’s market reaction gave both crypto and US equities a small boost, but the bigger story is how quickly the economic picture has changed. ① The September backdrop has shifted At the September meeting, the Fed had just delivered a 25bp rate cut, while the debate was still centered on what policy would look like next. Then October employment data came in much weaker, with payrolls rising by only 29K. Expectations for another hike also dropped sharply. That’s a major change in just a few weeks.$BTC Bitcoin has twice come close to breaking new highs, perhaps this position on the chart is exerting pressure on it!
I just checked the K-line trends at various levels, and as I was about to summarize, I found a particularly interesting detail.
That is, on the monthly K-line level, the Bollinger Band middle track price was around 87300 in September. In October, the price is around 87360.
The Bollinger middle track price has always been the dividing line between bulls and bears, and the monthly Bollinger middle track is even more critical for long-term trends.
Last month, the coin price broke through the middle track but soon lost it and fell back below the middle track. Last night, the coin price also experienced a rise but fell short of the middle track, never breaking through.
The fact that large selling pressure appeared twice coincidentally at this position indicates that either bearish or bullish funds are pressing the price here, and it is generally believed that the price cannot go higher.
Therefore, if the price approaches this position again, I think the effect will basically be similar to the previous two times.
Not only might the indicator at this point attract bearish suppression, but the dense cost zone of trapped positions above is also one of the factors that deter bulls. Moreover, the price has been rising continuously without a deep pullback or shakeout, with too many bullish profit-taking positions. Many factors are unfavorable for the price to break through to a higher level.
I believe it will be difficult to break through this position in the short term. Even if it does, it is likely to be a false breakout mainly for testing.
Monthly Bollinger middle track price 87360, previous high 87600, dense trapped position cost zone 88000-89000, the lowest price in previous months rose by 50%, just around 87000. Many data points lie ahead and need to be digested. Even if this position breaks through, it will be hard to hold in the short term.
But after calculating, there is only about a 2% space above before reaching this difficult-to-break point, which may not satisfy profit expectations. So, according to my trading habits, I would not chase it.
The above is just my personal opinion for reference only! $UNI spot trading fees go to LPs and the treasury, no fee switch for UNI; perpetual open interest is 1.295 billion, volume ratio 11.9x, this derivatives business is the real liquidity and revenue engine.
Regulatory options have gone through three rounds, the real valuation support comes from on-chain real usage; breaking through 10.2 opens up space, currently 9 is the central oscillation.
On-chain usage is the bottom, position at 40%. Defend 8.7 to push to 10.2, reduce positions if it breaks 8.3. UNI’s story is not based on fee switch, but on that 11.9x perpetual volume on-chain.Starting capital: 40U Target: 15,000U Current profit: +156U Crypto market today: BTC is back from the dead, ETH is holding the line, ZEC is cooling down, and SOL is pretending nothing happened. 😅 🟠 $BTC — Resurrection BTC spent the weekend moving sideways around $84.8K–$85K before briefly jumping above $87K after the latest US jobs data. Then Treasury yields bounced sharply and took some of that momentum away. ETF flows are also sending mixed signals — inflows one day, outflows the next, then I’ve opened a full-size short on $PUMP worth 280,000 USDT. The whales have been pushing this thing higher and higher without giving bears much breathing room. But every rally eventually gets tested. $PUMP is currently around $0.00615, while today’s high reached roughly $0.00648. That’s a huge move from the $0.0039 area. Every dip has been met with buyers almost immediately. I’ll admit it — the chart is strong. But that’s exactly why I’m getting cautious. When everyone starts believing “every pulI haven’t gone broke, but I’ve paid an extremely expensive price for my mistakes. And I’ve learned one thing the hard way: A mistake is tuition. Repeating the same mistake is a choice. 1️⃣ Buying a home with too much leverage I put down roughly 30% and financed the remaining 70%. The problem wasn't simply taking a mortgage — it was buying an expensive property at the wrong time and at an inflated price. The down payment disappeared, the property value fell, and the monthly mortgage became a consLet's take a look at Dogecoin. My view remains unchanged, and all three levels are the same. Volume remains low late Sunday night, so this post covers the changes from tonight. [Trading Suggestions] Direction: Short. Entry: 0.1 Increase: 0.11 Stop loss: 0.12 At around 11 PM, the price was about 0.0942, about 1% higher than 0.0932 at 5 PM. About 6% away from 0.1, so before reaching the previous level, there is no need to move this plan. [Technical Aspect | 1H] Binance DOGE Sustainability, 1-hour chart, around 23:18. The latest candle opened at 0.09395, high 0.09455, low 0.09394, current price 0.09425. EQH, which had been holding down above the price in the evening, around 0.0932, was already taken up by night and is now below the price. The latest candlestick has a red P, about 0.0947. Below are two price marks, 0.09315 and 0.09264, with a narrow blue band in between. The first red supply zone above is still 0.0963~0.0980, with the top label labeled Strong High, and further up is the blue zone from 0.1024 to 0.1043. Looking down, Weak Low is around 0.0900, and below that, 0.0861 to 0.0884 is the blue band. OKX Hour Line: The 10 PM bar started from 0.0Good morning, fam ☀️
Day 39 of my 500U compounding journey, and total assets have now reached around 3,000U.
$ETH has been relatively quiet this weekend, but the low volume is what really stands out to me.
Trading volume is sitting near $1.5B, one of the lowest levels I’ve seen throughout this journey.
Low volume combined with tight price action usually tells me the market is waiting for a catalyst.
I’m already heavily positioned, so I’m not chasing anything here. All three are compressing around their MACD zero-line zones, which means the next 24–48 hours could be important. I wouldn't rush into a position here. The daily candle close is what matters. 🟠 $BTC — 84,900 84,433 is the short-term line in the sand. Hold above it → bulls still have room. Daily close above 85,513 → potential confirmation of a bottoming structure, with 88,000 as the next upside area. Lose 84,433 → watch 82,800, followed by 80,811. 🔵 $ETH — 2,690 2,680 is the key level. RSI is eLet's take a look at Solana. To clarify: my view remains unchanged, and so on are the price points. Volume hasn't returned on Sunday night; this post is a late-night data update. [Trading Advice] Direction: Short. Entry: Around 120. Increase: 125. Stop-loss: 140. The price at around 11 PM was about 121.86, almost 1 NT dollar higher than the 120.9 in the evening. The price is still around the short position range around 120, with no increase or reduction in the plan. There are still more than three gaps away from the 125 increase point, and 140 is even farther away. There's no need to panic about a rally on a weekend night. [Technical Side | 1H] Binance SOL Persistence, 1-hour cycle, screenshot before and after 23:18. This candlestick opened at 121.81, with a high of 122.07 and a low of 121.60. The current price is 121.88, already at the lower edge of the red zone. That red supply zone ranges roughly from 121.9 to 123.3, and above is the Weak High line near 123.7. The red P that was above the price in the evening has already been crossed over by evening. Below are two narrow blue bands, one roughly between 119.0 and 119.4, and the other between 119.6 and 119.9. Further down, the large blue band roughly extends from 117 to 118.3, with a bottom of about 116.2 as a strong low. OKX Hour Chart: Close