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SNDKUSDT Early Morning Technical Analysis: Three daily lines converging, a market shift imminent
Brothers, at 4:34 AM, SNDK entered the after-hours trading session, fluctuating around 1214, down 0.66% in 24 hours, with a daily low of 1191 and a high of 1436, a volume of 2.6651 million, and a turnover of 3.236 billion. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index nearly erased its 5% intraday gains, weakening sector sentiment. This screenshot switches to the daily chart, revealing a key signal for a major cycle—the KDJ three lines are highly converging in the 27-29 range, indicating an imminent market shift. Next, let's break down this candlestick in its entirety.
1. Overview of Current Market Data
The latest price is 1214.30 (-0.66%), and the marker price is 1213.78. The 24-hour high was 1436.18, and the low was 1191.00. 24-hour volume was 2.6651 million SNDK, with a turnover of 3.236 billion USDT. Bollinger Bands (daily level): Middle band 1419.71, upper band 1800.45, lower band 1038.98. KDJ (daily level): K=29.56, D=27.56, J=33.56.
2. Bollinger Band Analysis: The price is between the middle and lower bands, with support at the lower band still to be tested
On the daily chart, the current price of 1214 is between the Bollinger middle band at 1419 and the lower band at 1038, about 175 points (16.8%) from the lower band and about 205 points (16.9%) from the middle band. The price rebounded from the lower band near 1038 to 1436, then fell back to 1214, which is a normal pullback after a breakout. As long as the price can hold above the 1150-1200 range, the daily rebound trend remains intact. Middle track 1419 is the first mid-term target, upper track 1800 is the ultimate mid-term target. The daily Bollinger opening is widening, with the lower band moving down from 1023 to 1038, and the middle band from 1463 to 1419—a typical feature of bottom structure formation. If SNDK can break through the mid-band at 1419 with increased volume and hold steady in the next few trading days, it will confirm a daily trend reversal.
3. KDJ Indicator: Strong convergence of three lines and strong pattern change signals
K=29.56，D=27.56，J=33.56。 This is the daily KDJ signal, far more significant than the 1-hour level. The three lines are highly converged within the 27-33 range, with a gap of less than 6 points, which is a very strong signal of a chart change. The K/D/J lines are all in low levels, indicating that after a sharp decline, bearish momentum has been fully unleashed. If the J-line first diverges upward and breaks through 40, it will trigger a K/D pair to form a low-level golden cross, confirming the start of a medium-term rebound; If the J-line turns downward and breaks below 20, it will continue to look for support downward. Looking back at historical trends, the last time SNDK daily KDJ saw this kind of low consolidation followed by an upward divergence was in January 2026, after which the price surged more than 200% within three months.
4. Pattern and Key Position Analysis
SNDK fell from the 1436 high to 1214, which is a normal deep pullback after a major rally. Prices have formed a clear lower shadow support near 1191, forming a support zone with the previous low of 1160. Resistance above is 1250-1260 (short-term); a breakout is at 1300-1320, strong resistance at 1419 (daily middle band); Support is at 1200-1191, with strong support at 1160-1150.
5. Sector linkage and fundamentals
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index nearly erased its 5% intraday gains, weakening sector sentiment, which is the external reason for SNDK's decline. However, the fundamental logic of AI storage demand remains unchanged: AWS's 37% growth drives AI storage demand, and the capital expenditure expansion of Microsoft and Amazon Web Services continues. Short-term sentiment fluctuations do not change medium-term logic.
6. Operational Strategy
Go long: Enter at 1180-1190, stop loss at 1160, target 1250-1260, add after breaking 1260 to target 1300-1320. Short: Short if it falls below 1160, stop loss at 1185, target 1130-1100. Conservative strategy: Wait for the daily KDJ low golden cross to be confirmed before going long, or wait for price to break above 1260 with increased volume and confirm a rebound, then chase.
7. Summary
SNDK is about to consolidate and switch to a three-line consolidation on the daily chart, with 1180-1190 serving as the key mid-term support zone. In the short term, the semiconductor sector is under pressure due to weakening sentiment, but the medium-term logic of AI storage demand remains unchanged. It is recommended to wait for stabilization signals before going long; do not rush to bottom-fish. Isolated margin 1-2 times, strict stop-loss measures.
#SNDK #闪迪 #半导体 #技术分析 #合约交易$SUI is entering a critical consolidation phase as the current price stands at $0.6885, down slightly by 1.55% during the session. The resistance area of $0.7073 is the biggest barrier, if it is successfully broken, we can expect a rally towards $0.715. Conversely, the SAR support at $0.6776 is key to sustaining the current uptrend.
Looking at the technical picture, the price is neatly above the 5/10/20 EMAs around the $0.6875-$0.6879 area, while clinging to the SAR – a bullish structural signal that remains intact. The MACD is at 0 with DIF and DEA almost touching, indicating that the momentum is flat and there is no clear direction yet. RSI6 is at 55.76 – neutral, while KDJ shows a bullish crossover with K 62.06 surpassing D 53.37. The trading volume was quite light with 55.24 million SUI, reflecting the waiting sentiment of the market.
In macro terms, the BlockDAG story is still a psychological catalyst that helps SUI maintain support. Meanwhile, ETH and SOL fluctuated in a narrow range with limited momentum, while KAITO and HYPE maintained industry momentum. Memecoins such as TRUMP, SHIB continue to fluctuate sharply, while infrastructure groups such as LINK, ZEC, ALLO, ZAMA do not have a clear signal as traders are waiting for a decisive volume explosion.
The logical strategy now is to wait for the price to break above $0.7073 to enter a long position with a target of $0.7150, or if the price breaks below $0.6776, there is a possibility of a retest of the $0.6600 area. With momentum dying and the market not yet in a clear direction, patience is key. The bulls are still holding the SAR – keep a close eye on the upcoming breakout! 🌊📊
#SUI #SuiNetwork #Layer1 #CryptoThe biggest trap in the current market is the assumption that all altcoins will experience a widespread rally. 👀
But the signals from the market are exactly the opposite. This is not a full-fledged altseason but a typical liquidity migration.
Smart money doesn't always come from everyone. Funds are concentrating into a few tokens, while the rest are losing blood. What really needs to be paid attention isn't the narrative of your holdings, but whether the funds are still with you. 🟢
Currently, the direction where liquidity is gathering is:
$JTO、$JELLYJELLY、$BTC、$OPG、$BTCSLX、$LAB、$BSB、$ALLO、$CHIP
And the direction where liquidity is rapidly flowing out is:
$BEAT、$EDGE、$COAI、$TRUMP、$RAVE、$SPACE、$SOPH、$IP、$AVNT、$ZAMA、$OFC、$PIEVERSE、$VIRTUAL、$ACU、$H、$MEGA
My current focus list: $MEME, $EDEN, $HUMA, $ZKP, $METIS
Looking at the overall market division of labor, the main theme remains clear: 👑
👑 $BTC Continuing to hold onto the liquidity throne is the ultimate anchor for all safe-haven and offensive funds.
🏛️ $ETH Continuously meeting institutional-level allocation needs is the core entry point for large funds into the crypto world.
⚡ $SOL serves as a high-beta trading carrier in Layer 1, with maximum elasticity during good market conditions.
🤖 $TAO and $WLD are dominating the funding narrative in the AI sector.
📈 $HYPE is a thermometer of current market risk appetite; its strength directly reflects whether funds dare to chase higher prices.
🐕 $DOGE and $ZEC more reflect retail investors' emotional fluctuations.
One last reminder: truly good opportunities are never loudly called for you to buy. When everyone is discussing a coin, the main upward wave is usually more than halfway through.
Follow the flow of liquidity, respect the trend, and don't buy in the wrong position. The market always rewards patience and punishes greed. 🔥RON jumped nearly 7 points today. OKX's spot price touched 0.0512, hit a high of 0.0515, and hit a low of 0.0470. The actual intraday volatility was not small, but the order book showed a 0.0% amplitude data, which is interesting. It usually indicates poor order book depth, thin orders, and a few take-in orders can push the price up. The trading volume column shows 0.0B, which is freezing cold and liquidity is basically dry. This kind of massive rally shows strong signs of market making. On the macro front, last night's CPI data came in below expectations, fueling market bets on a rate cut in June, US Treasury yields retreating, and marginal easing of liquidity expectations. This is not a bad thing for low-market cap alts; existing funds will follow sentiment to find targets and play guerrilla tactics, $RON this kind of blockchain game concept can ride the wave of hype. However, macro warming can only control sentiment and cannot determine height; ultimately, it must return to the market level. Looking at the 4-hour chart, $RON formed a small double bottom around 0.045, followed by a bullish candlestick breaking through the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, signaling the moving average system to converge and turn upward. The MACD fast line is below the zero axis, with the golden cross on the slow line. The histogram has turned red and continues to expand, and the DIF value has reached around 0.0012, showing momentum hasn't waned. RSI 14 climbed from the oversold zone of 32 all the way to 58, just above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. It hasn't entered the overbought zone, so there's still room for momentum to surge in the short term. But the problem remains: no measurement. A rally with no volume is like a paper boat; once sentiment fades or the market pulls back, it doesn't take much effort to sell. The resistance above the small cycle is at the 0.055 line, which is the area where trapped stocks were concentrated in the previous round; support below is at 0.045, and a break below the small double bottom structure would cause the market to fail. On the trading side, I only use a very small position to exploit emotional premium with this kind of stock, not a broad vision. The Shanhai blockbuster project images are trending again on social media, with logo posters that are imposing and visually eye-catching. Combined with the rallying rhythm, it's a classic attention asset strategy. Whether it can sustain depends on whether on-chain activity keeps up; the current data still can't support the narrative reversal. The above analysis does not constitute investment advice. Ethereum: The Computer That Changed the Internet
In 2013, a young programmer named Vitalik Buterin had a simple but powerful idea. Bitcoin had proven that money could exist without banks, but what if blockchain could do much more than move money?
That question became Ethereum.
When $ETH launched in 2015, it introduced smart contracts programs that run exactly as written without relying on a central authority. This transformed blockchain from a payment system into a decentralized computing platform where anyone could build applications.
Over the years, Ethereum became the foundation for decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, DAOs, on-chain gaming, and tokenized real-world assets. Thousands of developers chose Ethereum because it was open, permissionless, and supported a vibrant ecosystem.
The network also evolved. In 2022 Ethereum completed The Merge, replacing energy-intensive mining with Proof of Stake. This dramatically reduced its energy consumption while preparing the network for future scalability upgrades.
Ethereum's story isn't just about technology. It's about giving people the ability to create, own, trade, and coordinate online without asking for permission. Every application, every token, and every smart contract built on Ethereum is part of a larger vision: an internet where users have more control over their assets and data.
Ethereum reminds us that the biggest innovations often begin with a single question: "What if we could build something better?" Sometimes changing the world starts with imagining a new way for people to connect, create, and trust one another.
#Ethereum11Years #AMZNMissesButRallies #KOSPISurges14% Yesterday's pullback sent chills down my spine. When $XRP hit around 1.04, the group was full of wails. But after staring at the on-chain data for a long time, I found something interesting: Binance's whale activity has clearly cooled down. Large transfers have dropped from dozens of transactions daily last week to single digits now. What does this indicate? If the big players don't smash it, what are they waiting for? Waiting for a confirmation signal 1.04 This level has been tested four times since the end of last year, and each time it held up. If you ask if this isn't an iron bottom, then what is. Although it's not an absolute bottom, the consensus strength is enough to make bears hesitate. Looking at the volume change, the previous two days when selling off the market was able to amplify volume, but today the price just can't go down. The typical accumulation pattern isn't the kind of aggressive rally, but rather a slow grinding and gradual accumulation. I think this level is much safer than the previous two days. The whales have stopped stirring up, and the panic positions among retail investors have mostly left. The rest are mostly iron heads Holder is certainly not saying it's about to take off immediately. Some institutions still have a hearing result yet to come out, but technically there are already positive signals. As long as 1.04 is not broken, this level is the gold range for regular investing. Steady and steady, no chasing highs, no panicking. By the time the whales wake up, we'll already be in the #加密行情回暖. Bitcoin is rising. #世界杯收官: Spain takes the championship. #芯片股反弹, US short positions hit record highs In the BTC bull market, the choice of altcoins is narrowing down to around 10 options. How can we distinguish whether the green candles represent actual demand or just temporary betting? Currently, the market phase places more importance on trading volume and the direction of open interest than on candle colors. Looking at the $BEAT case pointed out in the original text, although the price rose, the weak volume and decreasing OI suggest that this is likely a temporary rebound on a thin order book rather than a chasing buying momentum. This means market participants are allocating funds cautiously, indicating a phase where liquidity rotates among 10 to 12 coins with solid liquidity rather than dispersing across all altcoins. The parts already reflected in the price are that BTC maintains its solidity as the market's base asset, ETH is supported by institutional demand, and SOL has established itself as a representative high-volatility L1. $DATA and $WLD are themed around AI infrastructure and AI+identity, $HYPE functions as a risk appetite indicator, and $DOGE and $ZEC serve as retail sentiment indicators—this structure is somewhat agreed upon among market participants.Market liquidity is never about sharing the benefits; it only selects winners precisely. 🔍 Currently, it's not about incremental capital expanding across the board, but rather about the intense rotation of existing capital—understanding where the money is going is more important than understanding candlestick lines.
🟢 Leading Capital Tier:
$BTC $JELLYJELLY $OPG $SLX $LAB $BSB $ALLO $CHIP
These stocks are currently taking on core buying orders and represent the clearest liquidity direction at present.
👀 Momentum Echelon:
$MEME $EDEN $HUMA $ZKP $METIS
Although it has not fully exploded yet, signs of capital testing the market have already appeared, making it worth closely monitoring confirmation signals.
🏛 Market Anchor Targets:
$BTC Determines the overall flow water level; $ETH See if ETF demand can continue to be injected; $SOL is a high-beta offensive variety; $TAO Binding AI narratives with $WLD; $HYPE is a risk appetite thermometer; $DOGE and $ZEC reflect the warmth and coolness of retail investor sentiment. These assets form the backbone of the market, and their strength determines the overall direction.
🔴 Clearly lagging list:
$BEAT $EDGE $COAI $TRUMP $RAVE $SPACE $SOPH $IP $AVNT $ZAMA $OFC $PIEVERSE $VIRTUAL $ACU $H $MEGA
Capital is still flowing out or lacking support, and short-term underperformance is underperforming the market. Don't rush to catch a flying knife.
True excess returns come from tracking liquidity paths, not chasing green candles. 📉 Patiently wait for confirmation, strictly protect principal, and let the market reveal its trump card first.
NFA. DYOR. 🧠
#OKX.ai #OKXOrbitTopics #AMZNMissesButRallies#Strategy终止逢低买币，Q2账面亏82亿
全球最大比特币持仓上市公司Strategy（原MicroStrategy）近日公布2026年第二季度财报，一纸成绩单令市场哗然。
财报显示，Strategy Q2营业亏损高达83.3亿美元，其中比特币持仓的未实现公允价值损失达83.2亿美元。 由于比特币价格在Q2期间持续回落，累计下跌约14%，公司对价值约580亿美元的比特币持仓计提了82.2亿美元减值损失，直接导致当季录得巨额账面亏损。
更值得关注的是，这家以"逢跌必买"著称的比特币巨鲸，近期已悄然按下暂停键。据官方披露，Strategy在7月中旬当周未购买任何比特币，美元现金储备增至32.3亿美元，覆盖未来超过2年的优先股股息和债务利息支出。 截至7月26日，公司持有843,775枚比特币，平均成本约75,476美元，而当前比特币价格已跌破其成本线。
从"无限子弹"到"现金为王"，Strategy的策略转变折射出加密市场的深层变化。随着mNAV溢价收窄，公司从高成本优先股和ATM发行中融资的效率大幅下降，每股比特币含量持续被稀释。 曾经的"发股—买币—涨股价"飞轮，在熊市中面临熄火风险。
对投资者而言，Strategy从激进加仓转向防御性储备，不仅意味着市场上最坚定的现货买盘之一暂时退场，更暗示机构端对短期行情趋于谨慎。当最大的"信仰买家"都开始囤现金，比特币的底部或许仍需时间确认。许多交易者目前最大的错误？总以为所有山寨币都快要爆发了。👀
但市场正在传达相反的信息。
这不是一次广泛的山寨币行情——而是真正的流动性轮动。💡
聪明的钱不会买入所有资产。他们将资金集中投入精选资产组，而其余部分则持续疲软。
🟢 流动性正集中于：
$JTO • $JELLYJELLY • $BTC • $OPG • $BTCSLX • $LAB • $BSB • $ALLO • $CHIP
🔴 流动性正逐渐撤出：
$BEAT • $EDGE • $COAI • $TRUMP • $RAVE • $SPACE • $SOPH • $IP • $AVNT • $ZAMA • $OFC • $PIEVERSE • $VIRTUAL • $ACU • $H • $MEGA
👀 我的关注列表：
$MEME • $EDEN • $HUMA • $ZKP • $METIS
整体格局依然非常清晰：
👑 $BTC 仍是流动性之王。
🏛️ $ETH 持续吸引机构资金流入。
⚡ $SOL 是交易者的高潜力Layer 1选择。
🤖 $TAO 和 $WLD 担当AI领域主力。
📈 $HYPE 是良好的指标。📊 $BTC Contract Liquidation Express (August 1)
According to liquidation data, be careful not to short, or you'll be pinned down by the dealers...
The liquidation amount in the past hour was approximately $134,900
Long positions were liquidated at about $120,400
Short positions were liquidated by about $14,400
The liquidation amount in the past 4 hours was approximately $2.0991 million
The long position liquidation was about $367,600
Short positions were liquidated by about $1.7315 million
The liquidation amount in the past 12 hours was approximately $89.5832 million
Long positions were liquidated at about $85.9331 million
Short positions were liquidated by about $3.65 million
The liquidation amount in the past 24 hours was approximately $120 million
Long positions were liquidated about $100 million
Short positions were liquidated by about $22.0274 million
From $BTC liquidation data, the 4-hour short liquidation was 4.7 times that of the long position, with a fierce short squeeze surging; the 12-hour direction completely reversed, with long liquidations crushing the bears, 23.5 times the shorts, and a long sell-off sweeping the market; the 24-hour long liquidation continued to crush the market, with long liquidations at 4.5 times the bears' level, representing an extreme one-sided long sell-off pattern, with total liquidations reaching $120 million. Everyone should control their positions to avoid being liquidated.
🔥 Market Barometer | August 1st
Today's three hot topics point to the same theme: the intertwining of cooling inflation and slowing growth, and the AI narrative shifting from a "cash-burning race" to "efficiency fulfillment"—the market is re-selecting winners.
📉 PCE turned negative month-on-month, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%: the economy's "substance" is more solid than its "face"
The US PCE price index for June fell 0.1% month-on-month, marking the first monthly negative growth since 2020, with core PCE year-on-year dropping from 3.4% to 3.3%. The cooling of inflation mainly benefited from a drop in oil prices following a temporary US-Iran ceasefire, with energy prices plunging 6.9% month-on-month.
On the same day, Q2 GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter growth was only 1.5%, lower than Q1's 2.1% and the market expectation of 2.0%. However, the growth rate of private consumption + investment, which reflects domestic demand, rebounded to 3.9%, the fastest since the beginning of 2023. Imports, inventories, and government spending dragged down the figures, but consumption clearly rebounded, and AI-driven corporate investment continued to grow highly. The "substance" of the economy is more solid than the "face."
📈 Amazon Web Services Boom, Nearly 10% After-Hours Rise: AI Spending Finally Pays Off
Amazon's Q2 revenue was $200.6 billion, up 20% year-on-year. AWS revenue reached $42.2 billion, up 37% year-over-year, marking the fastest growth since 2021. CEO Jassi stated that the annualized revenue from AWS's AI business has exceeded $25 billion. Net profit was $62.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 245%. The stock price surged nearly 10% in after-hours trading.
The market ignored the upward revision of capital expenditure to $220 billion, free cash flow turning negative by $7.6 billion, and Q3 guidance slightly below expectations. AWS's explosive growth proves that its AI investments are paying off—a stark contrast to the sharp drop after Google's spending increases. The market rewards not the spending itself, but the efficiency of the spending.
🚀 Microsoft's market value increased by 450 billion in a single day, setting a new record for US stocks
Microsoft surged 15.5% on Thursday, marking its largest single-day gain since October 2008, with its market value increasing by $450 billion and setting a new record for the largest single-day market cap growth in U.S. stock market history, reaching about $3.35 trillion. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index also surged over 8%, ending a five-day losing streak. Microsoft had previously surged after lowering its capital expenditure guidance, and now Amazon's performance has been further fueled—a market consensus is forming: the winners in AI are companies that can turn computing power investment into real cloud revenue.
💎 Summary
Three events outline the same turning point: PCE turning negative and GDP slowing coexist; the economy is solid in substance but face-to-face is worrying; Amazon used AWS to prove its AI investment can pay off, soaring nearly 10% after hours; Microsoft's single-day market value surged by 450 billion yuan, setting a new record—the market rewards are no longer just "money-burning narratives," but "efficiency in spending money" and "real cloud revenue." The old AI valuation logic is collapsing, and new pricing power is taking shape. #PCE环比转负, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%
#财报观察员: Amazon's guidance falls short of expectations, yet stock price rises 9%
#微软单日市值增近4500亿, setting a record for the US stock market An epic deleveraging crash is nearing its end.
In the past few weeks, the AI semiconductor sector has plummeted, South Korea's KOSPI has retraced about 30% from its peak, financial authorities held emergency meetings, and the finance minister publicly apologized to retail investors. On the surface, it looks like AI is failing, but one of the key underlying factors is leverage: U.S. margin debt rose to around $1.4 trillion in May, a significant year-over-year increase, and its ratio to M2 is approaching historical highs.
The crucial difference here is that fundamentals have not significantly deteriorated. Nvidia's revenue still maintains an 85% year-over-year growth, and the four major tech giants' AI capital expenditures for 2026 are still expected to be in the hundreds of billions of dollars, continuing to increase. While semiconductors are being hit, other Mag 7 businesses, software, Ethereum, and cryptocurrencies are all recovering; funds are rotating rather than fully exiting risk assets.
Valuations have been compressed to extreme levels. Micron ($MU) forward PE has dropped to around 5 times, clearly below past valuation levels. A company whose profits are still growing being hit to this price is partly because deleveraging funds prioritize reducing positions, causing short-term selling pressure to exceed fundamental impact.
Technically, the S&P has shown a TD Sequential buy countdown "9 bottom" signal; the last time a similar signal appeared, the market saw a significant rebound. The Korean market has started to recover after the sharp drop at the end of July, and as forced selling funds decrease, selling pressure may gradually ease.
Approaching the bottom does not mean it will rise tomorrow; the market may still need to fluctuate for several days or even weeks. But if AI remains a structural trend for the coming years, the price window created by this panic is worth serious study. 📊 $WLD Contract Liquidation Express (August 1)
According to liquidation data, be careful not to short, or you'll be pinned down by the dealers...
In the past hour, liquidations amounted to about $52,400
Long positions were liquidated by about $52,400
Short orders have zero liquidation
The liquidation amount in the past 4 hours was approximately $128,000
Long positions were liquidated by about $119,100
Short liquidation was about $8,885.47
The liquidation amount in the past 12 hours was approximately $553,100
Long positions were liquidated at about $531,700
Short positions were liquidated by about $21,400
The amount of liquidation in the past 24 hours was approximately $741,700
Long positions were liquidated at about $690,500
Short positions were liquidated by about $51,200
From $WLD liquidation data, long liquidations in each cycle crush the bears, with almost no resistance throughout, representing an extreme one-sided long sell-off pattern. The 24-hour long liquidation rate is 13.5 times that of the shorts, and the scale of liquidations expands step by step. Everyone should control their positions to avoid being liquidated.
🔥 Market Barometer | August 1st
Today's three hot topics point to the same theme: the intertwining of cooling inflation and slowing growth, and the AI narrative shifting from a "cash-burning race" to "efficiency fulfillment"—the market is re-selecting winners.
📉 PCE turned negative month-on-month, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%: the economy's "substance" is more solid than its "face"
The US PCE price index for June fell 0.1% month-on-month, marking the first monthly negative growth since 2020, with core PCE year-on-year dropping from 3.4% to 3.3%. The cooling of inflation mainly benefited from a drop in oil prices following a temporary US-Iran ceasefire, with energy prices plunging 6.9% month-on-month.
On the same day, Q2 GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter growth was only 1.5%, lower than Q1's 2.1% and the market expectation of 2.0%. However, the growth rate of private consumption + investment, which reflects domestic demand, rebounded to 3.9%, the fastest since the beginning of 2023. Imports, inventories, and government spending dragged down the figures, but consumption clearly rebounded, and AI-driven corporate investment continued to grow highly. The "substance" of the economy is more solid than the "face."
📈 Amazon Web Services Boom, Nearly 10% After-Hours Rise: AI Spending Finally Pays Off
Amazon's Q2 revenue was $200.6 billion, up 20% year-on-year. AWS revenue reached $42.2 billion, up 37% year-over-year, marking the fastest growth since 2021. CEO Jassi stated that the annualized revenue from AWS's AI business has exceeded $25 billion. Net profit was $62.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 245%. The stock price surged nearly 10% in after-hours trading.
The market ignored the upward revision of capital expenditure to $220 billion, free cash flow turning negative by $7.6 billion, and Q3 guidance slightly below expectations. AWS's explosive growth proves that its AI investments are paying off—a stark contrast to the sharp drop after Google's spending increases. The market rewards not the spending itself, but the efficiency of the spending.
🚀 Microsoft's market value increased by 450 billion in a single day, setting a new record for US stocks
Microsoft surged 15.5% on Thursday, marking its largest single-day gain since October 2008, with its market value increasing by $450 billion and setting a new record for the largest single-day market cap growth in U.S. stock market history, reaching about $3.35 trillion. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index also surged over 8%, ending a five-day losing streak. Microsoft had previously surged after lowering its capital expenditure guidance, and now Amazon's performance has been further fueled—a market consensus is forming: the winners in AI are companies that can turn computing power investment into real cloud revenue.
💎 Summary
Three events outline the same turning point: PCE turning negative and GDP slowing coexist; the economy is solid in substance but face-to-face is worrying; Amazon used AWS to prove its AI investment can pay off, soaring nearly 10% after hours; Microsoft's single-day market value surged by 450 billion yuan, setting a new record—the market rewards are no longer just "money-burning narratives," but "efficiency in spending money" and "real cloud revenue." The old AI valuation logic is collapsing, and new pricing power is taking shape. #PCE环比转负, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%
#财报观察员: Amazon's guidance falls short of expectations, yet stock price rises 9%
#微软单日市值增近4500亿, setting a record for the US stock market 📊 $BSB Contract Liquidation Express (August 1)
According to liquidation data, short sellers be careful, the dog whales are grinding you down...
Liquidation amount in the past 1 hour is about $27.85
Long position liquidations about $27.85
Short position liquidations are 0
Liquidation amount in the past 4 hours is about $39.68
Long position liquidations about $39.68
Short position liquidations are 0
Liquidation amount in the past 12 hours is about $10,200
Long position liquidations about $10,200
Short position liquidations about $9.66
Liquidation amount in the past 24 hours is about $16,900
Long position liquidations about $16,400
Short position liquidations about $523.42
From the $BSB liquidation data, long position liquidations overwhelmingly surpass short position liquidations across all periods, with shorts showing almost zero resistance throughout, indicating an extremely one-sided long liquidation market. The 24-hour long liquidation is 31 times that of shorts, and the liquidation scale is expanding progressively. Everyone control your positions well, don’t get liquidated.
🔥 Market Indicator | August 1
Today's three hot topics point to the same theme: inflation cooling and growth slowing intertwined, AI narrative shifting from "burning money race" to "efficiency realization"—the market is reselecting winners.
📉 PCE month-on-month turns negative, GDP growth slows to 1.5%: the economy’s "substance" is more solid than its "appearance"
The US June PCE price index fell 0.1% month-on-month, the first monthly decline since 2020, with core PCE year-on-year easing from 3.4% to 3.3%. Inflation cooling mainly benefited from oil price drops after the US-Iran temporary ceasefire, with energy prices plummeting 6.9% month-on-month.
The Q2 GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter growth released the same day was only 1.5%, below Q1’s 2.1% and market expectations of 2.0%. But private consumption plus investment, reflecting domestic demand, rebounded to 3.9%, the fastest since early 2023. Imports, inventories, and government spending dragged the numbers down, but consumption clearly warmed, and AI-driven corporate investment remained high. The economy’s "substance" is more solid than its "appearance."
📈 Amazon cloud business explodes, after-hours up nearly 10%: AI spending finally pays off
Amazon Q2 revenue was $200.6 billion, up 20% year-on-year. AWS revenue was $42.2 billion, up 37%, the fastest growth since 2021. CEO Jassy said AWS AI business annualized revenue has exceeded $25 billion. Net profit was $62.6 billion, up 245% year-on-year. After-hours stock price surged nearly 10%.
The market ignored the capital expenditure increase to $220 billion, free cash flow turning negative $7.6 billion, and Q3 guidance slightly below expectations. AWS’s explosive growth proves AI investment is paying off—contrasting sharply with Google’s plunge after raising spending. The market rewards not spending itself, but spending efficiency.
🚀 Microsoft’s single-day market cap increase of $450 billion sets a US stock record
Microsoft surged 15.5% on Thursday, the largest single-day gain since October 2008, with market cap increasing by $450 billion in one day, setting the largest single-day market cap gain record in US stock history, reaching about $3.35 trillion. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index also surged over 8%, ending a five-day losing streak. Microsoft previously rose sharply after lowering capital expenditure guidance, and now Amazon’s results add fuel—the market consensus is forming: AI winners are those who can convert computing power investment into real cloud revenue.
💎 Summary
Three events outline the same turning point: PCE turning negative and GDP slowing coexist, the economy’s "substance" is solid but the "appearance" is worrying; Amazon’s AWS explosion proves AI investment can pay off, after-hours surged nearly 10%; Microsoft’s single-day market cap increase of $450 billion sets a record—the market no longer rewards the "burning money narrative," but "spending efficiency" and "real cloud revenue." The old AI valuation logic is collapsing, and new pricing power is forming. #PCE环比转负，GDP增速放缓至1.5%
#PCE环比转负，GDP增速放缓至1.5%
#微软单日市值增近4500亿，创美股纪录 Bitcoin: Fed's hawkish policy and futures holdings impact the market
10xResearch reports that the Fed's recent hawkish policies and increased futures holdings have put pressure on Bitcoin, although BTC remains bullish above its 7-day and 30-day moving averages. On Ethereum, Morgan Stanley's new ETHETF, whale buying, and short covering have driven Ethereum's price back to key levels. BNB Chain has seen strong accumulation due to the rapid growth of tokenized real-world assets and new staking programs, with rising institutional adoption further supporting the network. Ethena's extensive integration across multiple platforms and new blockchain deployments have expanded its utility, but fluctuations in funding rates and weak DeFi revenue have limited its gains.
Uniswap launched a new AMIM on Robinhood's Layer-2 network, with governance-approved fee routing boosting its revenue prospects. NEAR's successful mainnet upgrade improved its fundamentals, but the AI-themed pullback still weighed on the price. Monero has maintained accumulation through wallet repairs and stable exchange support, and new research points out that the vulnerability of TOR and peer networks is affecting the privacy coin market. AAVE streamlined operations through governance measures and continued deployment on larger networks, maintaining institutional interest in tokenized real-world assets.这单$RAM 做空，10倍杠杠目前浮盈117%。开在11.98，现在标记价10.57，火箭图挺应景，但我是反着用的。
之前看高位滞涨，量能跟不上，很多人还幻想拉盘。我选择轻仓试空，没上太重。现在利润够厚，准备逐步止盈，不留恋。合约最怕贪，到手才是钱。$SNDK #PCE环比转负，GDP增速放缓至1.5% 📊 $MU Contract Liquidation Express (August 1)
According to liquidation data, be careful not to short, or you'll be pinned down by the dealers...
The liquidation amount in the past hour was approximately $1,073.80
Long positions liquidated at about $1,073.80
Short orders have zero liquidation
The liquidation amount in the past 4 hours was approximately $384,400
Long positions were liquidated at about $97,700
Short positions were liquidated by about $286,700
The liquidation amount in the past 12 hours was approximately $2.5053 million
Long positions were liquidated by about $1.5436 million
Short positions were liquidated by about $961,700
The liquidation amount in the past 24 hours was approximately $5.6085 million
Long positions were liquidated at about $2.3347 million
Short positions were liquidated by about $3.2739 million
According to $MU liquidation data, there were zero short liquidations within 1 hour, which is a short-term long selling disturbance but very small in scale; Within 4-24 hours, short liquidations crushed the bulls. The 4-hour short pressure was 2.9 times the long position, and the 24-hour short was 1.4 times the long position, indicating a one-sided short squeeze, with the scale of liquidation expanding step by step. Everyone should control their positions to avoid being liquidated.
🔥 Market Barometer | August 1st
Today's three hot topics point to the same theme: the intertwining of cooling inflation and slowing growth, and the AI narrative shifting from a "cash-burning race" to "efficiency fulfillment"—the market is re-selecting winners.
📉 PCE turned negative month-on-month, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%: the economy's "substance" is more solid than its "face"
The US June PCE price index fell 0.1% month-on-month, marking the first monthly negative growth since 2020, with core PCE year-on-year dropping from 3.4% to 3.3%. The cooling of inflation mainly benefited from a 6.9% month-on-month drop in energy prices following the temporary US-Iran ceasefire.
On the same day, Q2 GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter growth was only 1.5%, lower than Q1's 2.1% and market expectations of 2.0%. However, private consumption + investment, reflecting domestic demand, rebounded to 3.9%, the fastest since early 2023. Imports, inventories, and government spending dragged down the figures, but consumption clearly rebounded, and AI-driven corporate investment maintained high growth. The economy's "substance" is more solid than "face."
📈 Amazon Web Services Boom, Nearly 10% After-Hours Rise: AI Spending Finally Pays Off
Amazon's Q2 revenue was $200.6 billion, up 20% year-on-year. AWS revenue was $42.2 billion, up 37% year-on-year, marking the fastest growth rate since 2021. CEO Jassi stated that AWS's AI business annualized revenue has exceeded $25 billion. Net profit was $62.6 billion, a year-on-year surge of 245%. The stock price surged nearly 10% in after-hours trading.
The market ignored the capital expenditure increase to $220 billion, free cash flow turning negative $7.6 billion, and Q3 guidance slightly below expectations. AWS's explosive growth proves that AI investment is paying off—a stark contrast to the plunge after Google's spending increase. The market rewards not the spending itself, but the efficiency of the spending.
🚀 Microsoft's market value increased by 450 billion in a single day, setting a new record for US stocks
Microsoft surged 15.5% on Thursday, marking its largest single-day gain since October 2008, with its market value increasing by $450 billion in a single day and setting a new record for the largest single-day market value growth in U.S. stock market history, reaching about $3.35 trillion. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index also surged over 8%, ending a five-day losing streak. Microsoft had previously surged after lowering its capital expenditure guidance, and now Amazon's performance has added fuel to the fire—a market consensus is forming: the winners in AI are companies that can turn computing power investment into real cloud revenue.
💎 Summary
Three events outline the same turning point: PCE turning negative and GDP slowing coexist, with a solid economy but worrying face; Amazon's AWS explosion proved AI investment can pay off, soaring nearly 10% after hours; Microsoft's single-day market value increased by 450 billion, setting a record — the market rewards are no longer "money-burning narratives" but "efficiency in spending" and "real cloud revenue." The old AI valuation logic is collapsing, and new pricing power is taking shape. #PCE环比转负, GDP growth slows to 1.5%
#财报观察员: Amazon's guidance falls short of expectations, yet stock price rises 9%
#微软单日市值增近4500亿, setting a record for the US stock market Expensive green candles, cheap demand signals. Is the green candle soon a confirmation of buying power? The market should read the market's nature before its direction. Recently, some stocks showed strong upward candles, but the underlying volume and open interest (OI) do not support the rise. For example, $BEAT has green candles but weak volume and decreasing OI. This likely indicates a temporary rebound on a thin order book rather than new position inflows. Misinterpreting price movement as buying conviction can lead to greater losses in liquidity-drained zones. The part already reflected in the price is clear. Market capital is not dispersed across all altcoins but concentrated in 10-12 stocks with actual trading volume secured. $JELLYJELLY, $OPG, $SLX, $LAB, $BSB, $ALLO, $CHIP, $MEME, $EDEN, $HUMA, $ZKP, $METIS are currently the liquidity hubs. These stocks are driven not by rotation but by specific themes and exchange listing liquidity.At 2:09 a.m., the hourly candlestick closed with a long lower shadow, the body hovering below 1875.
BTC just hovered around 63,000, ETH didn't hit a new low, instead sideways here. The linkage is still there, but it's already blunt.
When it can't fall, if BTC suddenly drops in the middle of the night, ETH will probably play dead first, wait for BTC to stabilize, then catch up on the drop, rather than jumping ahead.
RSI (14) hit 27.4, stayed in the oversold zone for almost four hours, but the MACD DIF was still drifting down to -11.59, bearish momentum hasn't diminished, and I trust volume when indicators clash.
Shrinking volume, 464 million USDT, less than a fraction of the 20-day average volume. This volume can't support a decent rebound or trigger panic trading.
Support in the early morning is at 1848.7, which was last night's low point for insertion and the last defensive level for short-term bulls. If it breaks, a wave of stop-loss orders will emerge.
Resistance is at 1937, the 24-hour high, near the upper band of the Bollinger Bands. Those trapped during the day are waiting there to break free.
MA5 is at 1868, MA20 at 1890, prices stuck just below the midpoint between the two moving averages. This is a typical bearish arrangement that hasn't finished moving. A rebound to around 1890 is the selling pressure zone.
To give a detail, during BTC's recent dip, ETH's trading volume didn't expand in sync with the increase, which means leveraged bulls haven't been completely cleared out yet. This kind of shrinking volume bearish drop is the most exhausting.
I'm keeping an eye on the 1848.7 level. If BTC suddenly drops in the middle of the night and ETH falls below 1848.7, I plan to take a light position and take a short position, setting a stop-loss above 1870, targeting around 1820.
This is just my own plan.
If BTC pulls in reverse and ETH shrinks and can't break above the 1890 MA20, it will still be a bullish incentive, and I won't chase it.
Previously, I was just short on hands, taking a lot at 1910, but was scarred by the second bearish candlestick. Now I've learned my lesson—early morning market session, waiting for the signal.
#ETH #凌晨行情 #币圈 #以太坊$T Today I drew a 6.30% bullish candlestick on OKX, quoted at 0.0035, with an intraday high of 0.0035 and a low of 0.0032. Looking at the 0.0% amplitude of the stock, the spread is actually very thin, with an actual volatility of nearly 9%. Only the trading volume column is 0.0B, so liquidity is almost negligible. Slightly larger buyers can push prices up, but conversely, if you want to sell, you can't find support, and slippage is extremely high. On the on-chain data side, I looked at several key indicators. MVRV is currently 0.92, slightly lower than 1, meaning most short-term holders are in a slight loss. At this level, there is usually a reluctant selling mentality, providing some soft support for the price. SOPR is at 0.98 today, with a cost-to-output profit ratio less than 1, indicating that the tokens moving on-chain are generally cutting losses and exiting, with few profit-taking positions, which matches MVRV's state. Looking closely at the URPD distribution, $T's chip concentration area is between 0.0032 and 0.0035, especially around 0.0032, where a lot of trading volume is piling up. If this range breaks below, it could trigger a wave of on-chain stop-losses. Exchange balance changes are also interesting. In the past 24 hours, the $T balance on OKX had a net outflow of about 1.2%, unlike other small-cap coins showing signs of large transfers to be dumped. At least so far, there has been no obvious concentrated distribution activity. Looking at the market volume, the sell orders at 0.0035 aren't very thick, but the buy orders are even thinner. In short, hardly anyone wants to buy at this price, and bulls lack confidence. With trading volume nearly zero, the significance of technical analysis should be discounted. The moving average system is just for show. The hourly MA5 and MA10 are stuck near 0.0034, and the MACD barely crosses a few points above the zero line, but a golden cross at this volume is worse than a random fluctuation. Let me broaden my perspective a bit; the other stocks on today's list also quite reflect market sentiment. $ATOM dropped 5.64%, with the price already pushed down to 1.22. The selling pressure from the high of 1.29 was very consistent, basically rolling downward. $DORA rose 5.64%, similar to T, belonging to a small-cap self-sustaining type. The price of 0.0030 closely followed the high of 0.0032, but the amplitude was also compressed by data lag. Interestingly, $BONK dropped 5.44%, but the turnover column shows 431.5B. This turnover rate stands out among all the 0.0B stocks, indicating that the liquidity siphon effect of meme stocks is still active. Retail investors' attention is not on old infrastructure projects like T. Without hype, there is no capital; without capital, no value on on-chain data is just a static portrait. $T The technical logic behind it has always followed the chip circuit narrative, but on-chain indicators tell you something else: a low MVRV means no profit-making effect, SOPR consistently below 1 makes it hard to attract new capital to actively enter and buy the sedan chair. Although exchange balances haven't flowed in massively yet, once the price rises by one or two points, selling pressure after uneven on shallow trading chips could emerge at any time. Given $T's current extremely low turnover, any direction options are easily magnified, and the order book depth is very fragile. Considering the URPD concentration zone and the suppressed state of MVRV, I tend to view the short-term volatility as weak. If the 0.0032 level is broken below 0.0032 with increased volume, it will most likely be a liquidity depression around 0.0028. Unless there is clear positive stimulus and large buying interest, 0.0035 will be a difficult barrier to hold. Long-Bear Direction: Short-term bias is bearish, focus on the effectiveness of the 0.0032 support, and a breakout target at 0.0028.
Note: The above is only a technical discussion based on OKX's real-time market data and on-chain indicators, and does not constitute any investment advice. Such low-liquidity targets carry extremely high slippage risk, so you should take your own risk. 📊 $CL Contract Liquidation Express (August 1)
According to liquidation data, be careful not to short, or you'll be pinned down by the dealers...
The liquidation amount in the past hour was about $21.22
Long orders have zero liquidation
Short positions were liquidated at about $21.22
The liquidation amount in the past 4 hours was about $37,800
Long positions were liquidated by about $34,400
Short liquidation was about $3,377.98
The liquidation amount in the past 12 hours was approximately $931,900
Long positions were liquidated at about $97,100
Short positions were liquidated by about $834,700
The liquidation amount in the past 24 hours was approximately $2.2564 million
Long positions were liquidated at about $1.3327 million
Short positions were liquidated by about $923,600
According to $CL liquidation data, 100% of short liquidations occurred within 1 hour, which is a short-term short squeeze disturbance at the opening but is very small in scale; Short liquidations dominate within 4-12 hours, with 12-hour short liquidations at 8.6 times the bulls' rate; the 24-hour direction reverses, with long liquidations crushing the bears, with long liquidations at 1.44 times, and the long sell-through rally fully erupts in the final cycle. Everyone should control their positions to avoid being liquidated.
🔥 Market Barometer | August 1st
Today's three hot topics point to the same theme: the intertwining of cooling inflation and slowing growth, and the AI narrative shifting from a "cash-burning race" to "efficiency fulfillment"—the market is re-selecting winners.
📉 PCE turned negative month-on-month, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%: the economy's "substance" is more solid than its "face"
The US PCE price index for June fell 0.1% month-on-month, marking the first monthly negative growth since 2020, with core PCE year-on-year dropping from 3.4% to 3.3%. The cooling of inflation mainly benefited from a drop in oil prices following a temporary US-Iran ceasefire, with energy prices plunging 6.9% month-on-month.
On the same day, Q2 GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter growth was only 1.5%, lower than Q1's 2.1% and the market expectation of 2.0%. However, the growth rate of private consumption + investment, which reflects domestic demand, rebounded to 3.9%, the fastest since the beginning of 2023. Imports, inventories, and government spending dragged down the figures, but consumption clearly rebounded, and AI-driven corporate investment continued to grow highly. The "substance" of the economy is more solid than the "face."
📈 Amazon Web Services Boom, Nearly 10% After-Hours Rise: AI Spending Finally Pays Off
Amazon's Q2 revenue was $200.6 billion, up 20% year-on-year. AWS revenue reached $42.2 billion, up 37% year-over-year, marking the fastest growth since 2021. CEO Jassi stated that the annualized revenue from AWS's AI business has exceeded $25 billion. Net profit was $62.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 245%. The stock price surged nearly 10% in after-hours trading.
The market ignored the upward revision of capital expenditure to $220 billion, free cash flow turning negative by $7.6 billion, and Q3 guidance slightly below expectations. AWS's explosive growth proves that its AI investments are paying off—a stark contrast to the sharp drop after Google's spending increases. The market rewards not the spending itself, but the efficiency of the spending.
🚀 Microsoft's market value increased by 450 billion in a single day, setting a new record for US stocks
Microsoft surged 15.5% on Thursday, marking its largest single-day gain since October 2008, with its market value increasing by $450 billion and setting a new record for the largest single-day market cap growth in U.S. stock market history, reaching about $3.35 trillion. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index also surged over 8%, ending a five-day losing streak. Microsoft had previously surged after lowering its capital expenditure guidance, and now Amazon's performance has been further fueled—a market consensus is forming: the winners in AI are companies that can turn computing power investment into real cloud revenue.
💎 Summary
Three events outline the same turning point: PCE turning negative and GDP slowing coexist; the economy is solid in substance but face-to-face is worrying; Amazon used AWS to prove its AI investment can pay off, soaring nearly 10% after hours; Microsoft's single-day market value surged by 450 billion yuan, setting a new record—the market rewards are no longer just "money-burning narratives," but "efficiency in spending money" and "real cloud revenue." The old AI valuation logic is collapsing, and new pricing power is taking shape. #PCE环比转负, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%
#财报观察员: Amazon's guidance falls short of expectations, yet stock price rises 9%
#微软单日市值增近4500亿, setting a record for the US stock market Apple's $XAAPL leans defensively, with stable business but a 40x valuation already not low;
Amazon AWS's profitability far surpasses e-commerce, with AI investment delivering tangible returns;
Although Google's expenses exceed the limit, overall it is not a big deal;
Meta's pure bet on AI is as uncertain as its bold gamble on the metaverse back then;
Tesla's autonomous driving fell short of expectations, and now with more hype about humanoid robots, market recognition has dropped sharply;
Microsoft's earnings report this round was the best in all aspects, with impressive cloud business and cash flow, and substantial AI investment did not drag down fundamentals at all. #微软单日市值增近4500亿, setting a US stock record, #苹果第三财季业绩超预期, the stock price plunged sharply after hours 📊 $SPCX contract liquidation express (August 1)
According to liquidation data, be careful not to short, or you'll be pinned down by the dealers...
The liquidation amount in the past hour was about $71,900
Long positions were liquidated by about $71,900
Short orders have zero liquidation
The liquidation amount in the past 4 hours was approximately $179,800
The long position liquidation was about $178,900
Short positions were liquidated at about $896.61
The liquidation amount in the past 12 hours was approximately $2.6775 million
Long positions were liquidated by about $2.5801 million
Short positions were liquidated by about $97,400
The liquidation amount in the past 24 hours was approximately $3.0635 million
Long positions were liquidated by about $2.9143 million
Short positions were liquidated by about $149,200
According to $SPCX liquidation data, long liquidations crushed short positions across all cycles, with bears facing almost zero resistance throughout, representing an extreme one-sided long sell-off rally. The 24-hour long liquidation was 19.5 times that of the bears, and the scale of liquidations expanded sharply between 12 and 24 hours. Everyone should control their positions to avoid being liquidated.
🔥 Market Barometer | August 1st
Today's three hot topics point to the same theme: the intertwining of cooling inflation and slowing growth, and the AI narrative shifting from a "cash-burning race" to "efficiency fulfillment"—the market is re-selecting winners.
📉 PCE turned negative month-on-month, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%: the economy's "substance" is more solid than its "face"
The US PCE price index for June fell 0.1% month-on-month, marking the first monthly negative growth since 2020, with core PCE year-on-year dropping from 3.4% to 3.3%. The cooling of inflation mainly benefited from a drop in oil prices following a temporary US-Iran ceasefire, with energy prices plunging 6.9% month-on-month.
On the same day, Q2 GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter growth was only 1.5%, lower than Q1's 2.1% and the market expectation of 2.0%. However, the growth rate of private consumption + investment, which reflects domestic demand, rebounded to 3.9%, the fastest since the beginning of 2023. Imports, inventories, and government spending dragged down the figures, but consumption clearly rebounded, and AI-driven corporate investment continued to grow highly. The "substance" of the economy is more solid than the "face."
📈 Amazon Web Services Boom, Nearly 10% After-Hours Rise: AI Spending Finally Pays Off
Amazon's Q2 revenue was $200.6 billion, up 20% year-on-year. AWS revenue reached $42.2 billion, up 37% year-over-year, marking the fastest growth since 2021. CEO Jassi stated that the annualized revenue from AWS's AI business has exceeded $25 billion. Net profit was $62.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 245%. The stock price surged nearly 10% in after-hours trading.
The market ignored the upward revision of capital expenditure to $220 billion, free cash flow turning negative by $7.6 billion, and Q3 guidance slightly below expectations. AWS's explosive growth proves that its AI investments are paying off—a stark contrast to the sharp drop after Google's spending increases. The market rewards not the spending itself, but the efficiency of the spending.
🚀 Microsoft's market value increased by 450 billion in a single day, setting a new record for US stocks
Microsoft surged 15.5% on Thursday, marking its largest single-day gain since October 2008, with its market value increasing by $450 billion and setting a new record for the largest single-day market cap growth in U.S. stock market history, reaching about $3.35 trillion. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index also surged over 8%, ending a five-day losing streak. Microsoft had previously surged after lowering its capital expenditure guidance, and now Amazon's performance has been further fueled—a market consensus is forming: the winners in AI are companies that can turn computing power investment into real cloud revenue.
💎 Summary
Three events outline the same turning point: PCE turning negative and GDP slowing coexist; the economy is solid in substance but face-to-face is worrying; Amazon used AWS to prove its AI investment can pay off, soaring nearly 10% after hours; Microsoft's single-day market value surged by 450 billion yuan, setting a new record—the market rewards are no longer just "money-burning narratives," but "efficiency in spending money" and "real cloud revenue." The old AI valuation logic is collapsing, and new pricing power is taking shape. #PCE环比转负, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%
#财报观察员: Amazon's guidance falls short of expectations, yet stock price rises 9%
#微软单日市值增近4500亿, setting a record for the US stock market عقود القمح الأوروبية تتراجع مع جني
المتداولين للأرباح
تراجعت عقود القمح الأوروبية الآجلة يوم الجمعة، إذ عمد المتداولون إلى جني أرباحهم في أعقاب ارتفاع حاد شهده شهر يوليو دفع الأسعار إلى الصعود بأكثر من 10%، وسط مخاوف متعلقة بشحنات الحبوب عبر Sea الأسود.
انخفض عقد القمح الطحيني لشهر سبتمبر المتداول في بورصة يورونكست الباريسية بنسبة 2.9% ليصل إلى 222.75 يورو (256.54 دولار) للطن المتري بنهاية جلسة التداول. وكان العقد يُتداول عند مستوى 202.0 يورو للطن في نهاية شهر يونيو.
شهد العقد انخفاضاً حاداً خلال تداولات فترة ما بعد الظهر، متحركاً بالتوازي مع العقد المرجعي في شيكاغو.
أسهمت الهجمات الأخيرة التي شنّتها روسيا وأوكرانيا على البنية التحتية للحبوب والسفن في تعطيل حركة البضائع، وزيادة المخاطر على المستوردين في منطقة الشرق الأوسط وأفريقيا وآسيا. وقد أسهمت هذه الاضطرابات في دعم أسعار الحبوب عالمياً.
كما أثّر ارتفاع اليورو على معنويات السوق، في وقت تسعى فيه دول الاتحاد الأوروبي إلى تعزيز مبيعاتها التصديرية لتعويض إمدادات Sea الأسود.#SoftPCEStrongDemand $ETH $SNDK 两波吃完，落袋3000U，只留了一点底仓。这种行情，我从来不敢玩长线。🕵️
先说复盘。今早看到koma-inu在0.012附近，日内交易量接近20亿，显示流通量只有6M左右，但Binance的数据其实有误导——这币实际上接近全流通，全网持仓大概24M，IO总量接近市值的3倍。这个结构很有意思，我决定先建底仓，直接把止盈挂在0.020，结果中午就到了。✅
换做以前的思维，从底部已经翻倍的币我根本不会追。但这轮重新研究LAB、RAVE这些“妖币”后，我发现一个关键点：妖币的市值和倍数根本不值得参考，真正的护城河是底部筹码控制力。只要主力在底部区域拿够货，拉升后回调买入，基本不会有太大风险。资产的定价权在筹码手里，不在K线图形里。
于是下午我又分三笔接回，分别在0.018、0.019和0.020，止盈统一挂在0.024，结果尾盘又触发了一次止盈。加上之前的仓位，这波单币操作整体收益还行。📈
现在看盘面，市值大约12M，全网IO总额36M，主力累计吸筹成本大概5M。也就是说，即使现在这个价格，他们也只赚了不到一倍，成本优势明显，根本没有大规模出货的动机。我预判这波妖币行情，主力真正考虑撤退的位置至少要在市值Everyone is waiting for a tech giant to cut back on AI investment. But what came was — Google raised capital spending, Meta continued to ramp up, Microsoft was still constrained by insufficient computing power, and Amazon raised its annual capital expenditure to $220 billion. The scale of AI infrastructure investments by the four giants this year is expected to exceed $700 billion. Why does no one dare to stop? Because AI has transformed from an investment into an elimination competition. If computing power is built less, cloud customers will be lost; If the model is outdated, the entrance will be taken away; If competitors continue to expand, any company that hits the brakes first could lose control of the next-generation technology platform. The biggest risk for AI right now isn't burning money, but who will stop burning money first.Did I miss out again? Is it still possible to get on board with $JPYC now? Don't panic yet. This time, the one getting on board isn't some zoocoin that has skyrocketed a hundredfold, but a Japanese power company. Kansai Electric Power's points subsidiary just did something very interesting. They directly opened up the $JPYC stablecoin exchange channel on the Polygon chain using users' loyalty points. To put it plainly: the electricity consumption points saved by ordinary Japanese citizens can now be directly exchanged for on-chain yen stablecoins. It's not a proof of concept, not the beautiful vision in the white paper—it's actually launched. This made me a bit excited. Because it's a real payment scenario, not the kind of hype hyped up on exchanges. Polygon has won big again this time. Low Gas, high compatibility—brick-and-mortar companies doing Web3, after all the choices, it's still the best. $MATIC has been heavily criticized lately, with people saying the ecosystem has lost its voice. See, it's here. Japan has progressed much faster in stablecoin compliance than we imagined. $JPYC may not be big, but it relies on the yen's credit endorsement line. Power companies are already joining in; will gas and water companies be far behind? I think this signal is more valuable than any single call to buy. The payment scenario is the ultimate battlefield for stablecoins. Compared to algorithmic stablecoins that rely on mining profits, this model of binding physical consumption points is what ordinary people can truly use. But then again, it's better to rush in now and buy $JPYC. It's not the secret to wealth; it's a weather vane. Let me tell you the webMany people have not noticed the risks hidden in this U.S. GDP figure
In the second quarter, the annualized GDP of the United States was only 1.5%, far below the market expectation of 2.1%.
Officials attribute the weakness to short-term factors such as a surge in imports, government spending, and declining inventories, but the core reason for the surge in imports is the frantic purchase of AI computing hardware by various companies.
Microsoft spent 41 billion yuan in capital expenditures in a single quarter, with most of it spent on chip purchases; Amazon's full-year capital expenditure was raised to 200 billion. AI investment has grown so large that it drags down GDP data, no longer just a small matter in the tech world—it directly hijacks the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
Walsh stated that long-term high inflation cannot be absorbed in the short term, but he did not highlight the key point: massive AI capital investment has triggered a new type of private investment overheated inflation, replacing fiscal stimulus to continuously drive prices higher.
In this Fed vote of 9:3, the divide reached a recent high, with interest rates remaining at 3.5%-3.75%. A dilemma: raising rates would severely impact the AI expansion boom. Without rate hikes, the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield surged to 5.2%-5.24%, hitting a new high since 2007.
This led to a clear divergence in the market: Microsoft surged 15%, while Apple plunged 7% in after-hours trading. Funds now focus only on realizing cash flow, massive computing power drives up storage costs, and terminal manufacturers' profits continue to be under pressure.
Additionally, crude oil risks have been seriously overlooked by the market: combined with shipping route geopolitical risks and U.S. commercial crude inventories hitting an 18-year low, combined with Singapore's tightening monetary policy, if oil prices continue to strengthen, it could easily trigger a global chain reaction. #PCE环比转负, GDP growth slows to 1.5% #财报观察员: Amazon's guidance fell short of expectations, yet its stock price rebounded by 9% #微软单日市值增近4500亿, setting a record for US stocks 📊 $KAITO Contract Liquidation Express (August 1)
According to liquidation data, be careful not to short, or you'll be pinned down by the dealers...
The liquidation amount in the past hour was about $10,600
Long positions were liquidated by about $10,300
Short liquidation was about $328.53
The liquidation amount in the past 4 hours was about $55,500
The long position liquidation was about $29,200
Short positions were liquidated by about $26,300
The liquidation amount in the past 12 hours was approximately $274,500
The long position liquidation was about $164,400
Short positions were liquidated by about $110,200
The liquidation amount in the past 24 hours was approximately $676,700
Long positions were liquidated at about $248,000
Short positions were liquidated by about $428,700
According to $KAITO's liquidation data, short liquidations account for 97% within one hour, which is a short-term short squeeze disturbance but very small in scale; Within 4-24 hours, short liquidations continuously crushed the bulls, with short liquidations being 1.14 times, 1.49 times, and 1.73 times longer than the bulls, respectively, forming a one-sided short squeeze pattern, with the scale of liquidations expanding step by step. Everyone should control their positions to avoid being liquidated.
🔥 Market Barometer | August 1st
Today's three hot topics point to the same theme: the intertwining of cooling inflation and slowing growth, and the AI narrative shifting from a "cash-burning race" to "efficiency fulfillment"—the market is re-selecting winners.
📉 PCE turned negative month-on-month, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%: the economy's "substance" is more solid than its "face"
The US PCE price index for June fell 0.1% month-on-month, marking the first monthly negative growth since 2020, with core PCE year-on-year dropping from 3.4% to 3.3%. The cooling of inflation mainly benefited from a drop in oil prices following a temporary US-Iran ceasefire, with energy prices plunging 6.9% month-on-month.
On the same day, Q2 GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter growth was only 1.5%, lower than Q1's 2.1% and the market expectation of 2.0%. However, the growth rate of private consumption + investment, which reflects domestic demand, rebounded to 3.9%, the fastest since the beginning of 2023. Imports, inventories, and government spending dragged down the figures, but consumption clearly rebounded, and AI-driven corporate investment continued to grow highly. The "substance" of the economy is more solid than the "face."
📈 Amazon Web Services Boom, Nearly 10% After-Hours Rise: AI Spending Finally Pays Off
Amazon's Q2 revenue was $200.6 billion, up 20% year-on-year. AWS revenue reached $42.2 billion, up 37% year-over-year, marking the fastest growth since 2021. CEO Jassi stated that the annualized revenue from AWS's AI business has exceeded $25 billion. Net profit was $62.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 245%. The stock price surged nearly 10% in after-hours trading.
The market ignored the upward revision of capital expenditure to $220 billion, free cash flow turning negative by $7.6 billion, and Q3 guidance slightly below expectations. AWS's explosive growth proves that its AI investments are paying off—a stark contrast to the sharp drop after Google's spending increases. The market rewards not the spending itself, but the efficiency of the spending.
🚀 Microsoft's market value increased by 450 billion in a single day, setting a new record for US stocks
Microsoft surged 15.5% on Thursday, marking its largest single-day gain since October 2008, with its market value increasing by $450 billion and setting a new record for the largest single-day market cap growth in U.S. stock market history, reaching about $3.35 trillion. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index also surged over 8%, ending a five-day losing streak. Microsoft had previously surged after lowering its capital expenditure guidance, and now Amazon's performance has been further fueled—a market consensus is forming: the winners in AI are companies that can turn computing power investment into real cloud revenue.
💎 Summary
Three events outline the same turning point: PCE turning negative and GDP slowing coexist; the economy is solid in substance but face-to-face is worrying; Amazon used AWS to prove its AI investment can pay off, soaring nearly 10% after hours; Microsoft's single-day market value surged by 450 billion yuan, setting a new record—the market rewards are no longer just "money-burning narratives," but "efficiency in spending money" and "real cloud revenue." The old AI valuation logic is collapsing, and new pricing power is taking shape. #PCE环比转负, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%
#财报观察员: Amazon's guidance falls short of expectations, yet stock price rises 9%
#微软单日市值增近4500亿, setting a record for the US stock market What is the biggest misconception traders make right now? 👀
It is the belief that all altcoins will experience explosive surges. 🐂
But the signals from the market are exactly the opposite. This is not a broad altseason rally, but a redistribution of liquidity.
Smart money is not sweeping through the market. They concentrated their funds on only a very small portion of the targets, while the rest of the coins continued to lose blood and momentum.
🟢 Directions where liquidity is converging:
$JTO / $JELLYJELLY / $BTC / $OPG / $BTCSLX / $LAB / $BSB / $ALLO / $CHIP
🔴 Directions where liquidity is being withdrawn:
$BEAT / $EDGE / $COAI / $TRUMP / $RAVE / $SPACE / $SOPH / $IP / $AVNT / $ZAMA / $OFC / $PIEVERSE / $VIRTUAL / $ACU / $H / $MEGA
My key watchlist: $MEME / $EDEN / $HUMA / $ZKP / $METIS 🔍
The macro landscape remains clear:
👑 BTC continues to hold onto the liquidity throne
🏛️ ETH continues to absorb institutional funds
⚡ SOL is a high-beta Layer 1 on the transaction level
🤖 TAO and WLD dominate the direction of AI narratives
📈 HYPE is a thermometer for measuring market risk appetite
🐕 DOGE and ZEC map the ups and downs of retail investor sentiment
The best opportunities never appear before you with a big show.
When everyone is talking about a coin, the main upward wave is often more than halfway through. 🌊
The real approach is: keep a close eye on liquidity flows, respect trend inertia, and don't buy on the chips others have withdrawn at high levels. 🚫
The market always rewards those who understand the rules of the money game ahead of time. 🧠SPCX was issued at 135, surged to 225 on the first day, and is now at 109
The market-weighted average cost is roughly around 158
The financial report was released on August 4, and the stock limit was lifted on August 6—two events happening together
Bears have already set up their positions, with their positions accounting for 30% of the circulating shares
My view: Starlink, Starship, AI—these long-term stories are fine—they're real. But in the short term, the two boots haven't landed yet, so going in now will most likely mean enduring the process
Wait until the earnings report and the lock-up lift are over before reviewing. If it really drops below 100 or even 80-85, the cost-performance ratio will be much better
Don't rush, let the bullets fly 🫡After earnings reports from U.S. tech giants, the market reassessed the monetization efficiency of AI investments, with funds flowing into ecosystem targets with genuine distribution channels. This has driven up the premium of platforms like $GOOGL, which have multiple scenarios, and their capital expenditures directly affect U.S. Treasury yields, indirectly affecting crypto market liquidity. If expectations for Fed rate cuts change due to the performance of tech stocks, the valuation center of risk assets will be generally under pressure. However, once the activity of on-chain AI tokens is completely decoupled from the performance of tech stocks, this cross-market liquidity transmission chain will fail.
#白宫回应将决定CLARITY法案下周能否投票 #交易之声: Your experience deserves to be heard多空拥挤榜
先找付费最重的一边，再看价格和持仓有没有给它回报。
$SKHYNIX 当前费率-0.2299%，过去24小时已结-0.596%，处于最近样本的3%分位。 价格往下、持仓也往下，仓位退潮比方向归因更确定。 持仓下降时，极端费率可能很快回归，当前更适合观察去杠杆而不是追方向。
$MMT 当前费率-0.0568%，过去24小时已结-0.436%，处于最近样本的3%分位。 价格与持仓同步抬升，短线不只是旧仓回补。 负费率下价格上涨、OI增加，空头成本和价格同时不利；上涨若继续，压力会进一步累积。
$GIGGLE 当前费率-0.0154%，过去24小时已结-0.053%，处于最近样本的1%分位。 价格与持仓反向扩大，短线不是单纯多仓撤退。 空侧成本高、仓位还在扩，跌势可以延续，但每次砸不动都更容易触发回补。$OFC /USDT Technical Breakdown: Massive 1H Breakout – Is the Rally Sustainable?
OFC/USDT has clocked an impressive +17.70% pump, currently trading at 0.010584. After a period of quiet consolidation, the bulls have violently woken up, printing a massive 1-hour candle that has completely shifted the market structure.
Let’s dive into the technicals to see where the next high-probability setup lies.
Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: 0.011726 (The exact 24h high. A clean hourly close above this opens the floodgates for a massive continuation squeeze).
Key Pivot/Local Support: 0.009600 (Aligned with the MA5 and previous local consolidation caps. Buyers need to defend this area on any retest to maintain aggressive bullish momentum).
Major Floor: 0.008690 (The absolute 24h low and the baseline of the initial accumulation phase before the explosive move).
Moving Averages (MA) Alignment
The short-term trend is firmly in the hands of the bulls.
MA5 (0.010482) is aggressively curving upward, tracking right underneath the current price action.
MA10 (0.009947) and MA20 (0.009383) have formed a textbook bullish fan-out pattern, indicating strong trend acceleration.
Volume Profile: Institutional Interest?
This isn't a fake-out pump driven by thin liquidity. The chart shows a massive surge in buying volume accompanying the breakout candle. The 24h volume has reached 133.11M OFC ($1.33M turnover). More importantly, the volume histogram reveals that the latest expansion candle is backed by the second-largest volume spike of the session, confirming active institutional or whale participation pushing the break.
MACD & Momentum Indicator Synergy
(Note: While the MACD sub-window isn't fully visible on the clip, the underlying momentum speaks volumes.)
$OFC
#MSFT450BInADay
#AppleBeatsButDrops
#OKXOrbitTopics $AEON 是刚上线的AI支付新币，自带热度但筹码还没解锁完，盘子极浅，稍微有点动静就能暴涨暴跌。这币前几天被情绪带飞，直接从0.06拉到0.185，泡沫吹得太快，获利盘兑现的压力极大。我在0.098附近果断开空，赌的就是这种“妖币”盛极而衰，果然盘面迅速跳水，直接验证逻辑。
操作上我从来不贪。20倍杠杆虽然赚得快，但归零也在一瞬间。面对400%多的浮盈，我绝对不会死扛到底。我会立刻平掉一半仓位，把本金和大部分利润落袋为安，剩下的仓位设置好移动止损，哪怕行情反抽，我也能带着纯利润离场。
做这种高波动的新币，核心逻辑就是“见好就收”。只要趋势拐头向下，果断空进去，赚到手里的才是钱，别总想着吃鱼尾。落袋为安，才是做单的长久之道。$ETH $BTC #PCE环比转负，GDP增速放缓至1.5% So when it comes to OpenAI, its biggest problem has never been its model capabilities, but its lack of entry points.
ChatGPT is powerful, but at its core, it is still an entry point for language models. Users open the app, ask a question, and close the app—the switching cost is actually very low.
In contrast, Google.
Gemini is just one capability in Google's AI strategy, not the whole one.
It can access Android, Pixel phones, Google Search, YouTube, Gmail, Chrome, Google Workspace, and in the future, it may also support Waymo autonomous driving, XR devices, and even more hardware and services.
In other words, Google isn't making money from Gemini, but rather making the entire Google ecosystem more valuable through Gemini.
AI can help search retain users, help YouTube improve recommendations, help Android improve experience, help Workspace improve work efficiency, and help Waymo reduce operating costs...... Every entry point becomes stronger because of AI.
This is also what I have always considered the advantage of the platform.
The model is just a capability; the entry point is the business model.
OpenAI is struggling to find an entry point, while Google, Apple, Microsoft, and Meta themselves already have the world's largest entry points. What truly determines victory in the future may not be whose model is smarter, but who can integrate AI into more high-frequency scenarios, making users relying on their ecosystem every day.
$GOOGL BTC is not yet in a trend declaration zone. What signals is the derivatives market sending now to keep the spot moving sideways? Looking only at spot prices, BTC has been fluctuating around $64,000 for several weeks. With a perception of a high point, neither rising nor falling, the market is waiting for two catalysts. The Fed's next move and the flow of funds for spot ETFs. The continued net inflows into ETFs indicate that institutional demand has not departed, but regulatory uncertainty continues to weigh on futures expirations and option position readjustments. The key point is that this sideways movement is more about the realignment of derivatives risk premiums than spot supply. For BTC to break through the $66,000~$68,000 resistance, it would need an increase in futures open interest and a rise in funding rates. Conversely, a break below $60,000 increases liquidation intensity, potentially accelerating bearish bets. - BTC: $64,000 center, resistance at $66,000~$68,000, support at $62,000~$65,000, 60,000Honestly, every time I see someone holding various research reports after a crash and asking, "Is it okay to enter now?", I just want to roll my eyes. Since when has this market been a place where you can make money lying down with just a single paper? The latest Bitcoin order flow study has been released, tracking six large-scale liquidation events. And what happened? Those so-called "strongest repeat warning signals" are completely blind in the face of a single crash. The two observed signals completely overlapped with the usual market conditions. In plain terms: you stare at on-chain data, liquidation heatmaps, and all sorts of flashy metrics, thinking you'll find patterns. But when the market maker sells down, they never send you a WeChat notification in advance. I've seen too many people use candlesticks as Bibles, only to be pierced by a needle and start doubting their lives. Last year, $BTC crashed 20%, and the liquidation map turned red red. Where's the warning sign? The whole process was as quiet as a chicken. Simply put, these studies can only tell you "this has happened often in history," but they cannot tell you "when exactly this time will happen." Girls, stay calm and don't be fooled by academic papers. Bitcoin is still $BTC in the short term; when emotions hit, it can hit 100,000 yuan, but when panicking, it can crash so hard it makes you question your life. I think at this level, rather than studying liquidation signals that others don't understand, it's better to honestly observe the market. Today, market sentiment is clearly still recovering, $BTC lingering around 68,000, stuck in a dilemma. Don't chase highs, don't panic and cut losses; wait for the direction to break out before moving. Those still waiting for "certainty signals" will always face higher costs and greater fear. #美股全线走高, crypto stocks led the #特朗普📊 $ZEC Contract Liquidation Express (August 1)
According to liquidation data, be careful not to short, or you'll be pinned down by the dealers...
The amount of liquidation in the past hour was about $12,300
Long liquidation is about $1,795.48
Short positions were liquidated by about $10,500
The liquidation amount in the past 4 hours was about $47,100
Long liquidation was about $9,133.72
Short positions were liquidated by about $37,900
The liquidation amount in the past 12 hours was approximately $556,400
Long positions were liquidated at about $439,900
Short positions were liquidated by about $116,500
The liquidation amount in the past 24 hours was approximately $1.4283 million
Long positions were liquidated at about $1.0383 million
Short positions were liquidated by about $390,000
From $ZEC liquidation data, short liquidations dominate within 1-4 hours, with a mild start of short squeezing; 12-hour long liquidation and reversal, direction reversal; 24-hour long liquidations crushed the bears, with long liquidations being 2.66 times the short positions, representing a one-sided long sell-off pattern, with the scale of liquidations rapidly expanding within the 12-24 hour range. Everyone should control their positions to avoid being liquidated.
🔥 Market Barometer | August 1st
Today's three hot topics point to the same theme: the intertwining of cooling inflation and slowing growth, and the AI narrative shifting from a "cash-burning race" to "efficiency fulfillment"—the market is re-selecting winners.
📉 PCE turned negative month-on-month, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%: the economy's "substance" is more solid than its "face"
The US PCE price index for June fell 0.1% month-on-month, marking the first monthly negative growth since 2020, with core PCE year-on-year dropping from 3.4% to 3.3%. The cooling of inflation mainly benefited from a drop in oil prices following a temporary US-Iran ceasefire, with energy prices plunging 6.9% month-on-month.
On the same day, Q2 GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter growth was only 1.5%, lower than Q1's 2.1% and the market expectation of 2.0%. However, the growth rate of private consumption + investment, which reflects domestic demand, rebounded to 3.9%, the fastest since the beginning of 2023. Imports, inventories, and government spending dragged down the figures, but consumption clearly rebounded, and AI-driven corporate investment continued to grow highly. The "substance" of the economy is more solid than the "face."
📈 Amazon Web Services Boom, Nearly 10% After-Hours Rise: AI Spending Finally Pays Off
Amazon's Q2 revenue was $200.6 billion, up 20% year-on-year. AWS revenue reached $42.2 billion, up 37% year-over-year, marking the fastest growth since 2021. CEO Jassi stated that the annualized revenue from AWS's AI business has exceeded $25 billion. Net profit was $62.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 245%. The stock price surged nearly 10% in after-hours trading.
The market ignored the upward revision of capital expenditure to $220 billion, free cash flow turning negative by $7.6 billion, and Q3 guidance slightly below expectations. AWS's explosive growth proves that its AI investments are paying off—a stark contrast to the sharp drop after Google's spending increases. The market rewards not the spending itself, but the efficiency of the spending.
🚀 Microsoft's market value increased by 450 billion in a single day, setting a new record for US stocks
Microsoft surged 15.5% on Thursday, marking its largest single-day gain since October 2008, with its market value increasing by $450 billion and setting a new record for the largest single-day market cap growth in U.S. stock market history, reaching about $3.35 trillion. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index also surged over 8%, ending a five-day losing streak. Microsoft had previously surged after lowering its capital expenditure guidance, and now Amazon's performance has been further fueled—a market consensus is forming: the winners in AI are companies that can turn computing power investment into real cloud revenue.
💎 Summary
Three events outline the same turning point: PCE turning negative and GDP slowing coexist; the economy is solid in substance but face-to-face is worrying; Amazon used AWS to prove its AI investment can pay off, soaring nearly 10% after hours; Microsoft's single-day market value surged by 450 billion yuan, setting a new record—the market rewards are no longer just "money-burning narratives," but "efficiency in spending money" and "real cloud revenue." The old AI valuation logic is collapsing, and new pricing power is taking shape. #PCE环比转负, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%
#财报观察员: Amazon's guidance falls short of expectations, yet stock price rises 9%
#微软单日市值增近4500亿, setting a record for the US stock market Weekly report from 7/27 to 7/31
1. PUMP/USDT perpetual $PUMP
Operation: Go long twice, stop loss the first time, take profit on the second attempt.
Reason: Go long near the trendline
Reflection:
1) Adding positions twice in a short period shows a lack of confidence in yourself; otherwise, you wouldn't have increased your positions within a very small price range or in such a short time. After that, you need to arrange your position in advance.
2) The second order demonstrates greatly; the trendline support level is worth pursuing, but when should you enter?
First, if you draw the right trend line, switch to 15 minutes and wait for the price to consolidate. Then understand the upper limit of this consolidation zone. Only by breaking above the upper limit of the consolidation zone can we enter. If it fails to break through or even falls below the trendline, we can try to short.
3) If the direction is right, and you have earned your principal, and you believe there is still room to recover, you can consider taking profits on your principal first, then adjusting your stop loss to the opening price, and use the remaining profits to look in the right direction.
2. HYPE/USDT perpetuates $HYPE
Operation: Go long twice, first stop loss, second take profit
Reason: Going long near key support levels is worthwhile
Reflection:
1) When a support level is already clear, be patient. We can wait until that exact support level is available before acting, which is okay, especially if you look at the liquidation map. The nearby large liquidity will consume half the crops, boosting confidence in patience.
2) The second order was quite good, truly going long at the support level. This position is definitely worth doing, then quickly took the position. The key point is that I set the take-profit at the upper limit of the consolidation zone, which is also a good take-profit point and deserves praise.
3. AAVE/USDT perpetual $AAVE
Operation: go short once, take profit
Reason: This price is a previous resistance high, and the previous price has tested twice but failed to break through, indicating strong resistance.
Reflection:
Opening a short position at the highest point and clearing near the previous low is definitely worth considering.
4. UNI/USDT perpetual
Operation: Go long once, short twice
Reason: Go long because, in an upward structure, the price is close to the trendline, so I go long.
The first short was because the price reached the first resistance level, so I went short.
The second time was because the price continued to break upward, reaching a second, more important resistance level.
Reflection:
1) Please promise me, from now on, when near the trendline, always wait until the price starts to break out of the upper and lower bounds of the consolidation zone before doing so. Cut to 5 minutes, then 15 minutes to check. Don't consider a single trendline as support or resistance. Also, how do you know if the line you drew is the correct trendline?
2) When trading, always set stop-losses. The most common stop-loss is to set a new high or low and then continue to look up or down. If you don't stop losses, don't actively stop losses.
3) When you reach a key position, do it no matter what, and dare to take a position.
4) Once you have set your entry position, be patient and wait. Don't change your position lightly, and don't be afraid of missing the opportunity, which puts your entry cost passive. Be patient
Thank you, everyone!!Analysis: The market has heard a dovish Kevin Wash's hint at a rate hike
The market reacted strongly to comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, who believed he would take a dovish stance on inflation. However, Walsh's rhetoric suggests that if inflation remains above target, he may be forced to take action to curb the economy.
Investors should exercise caution to avoid being impacted by misunderstandings about Walsh's position. Although the market generally expected Wash to take moderate measures, he did not celebrate the previous moderate inflation data at the press conference, instead choosing to ignore it. Walsh's performance has left many investors confused, and some analysts have questioned his credibility. Long-term Treasury yields rose, the dollar fell, and gold rose. At the meeting, Walsh mentioned that the inflation target is to remain at 2% long-term. He said the committee discussed monetary policy tools and strategies to stabilize prices and hinted at using the Fed's balance sheet to tighten monetary policy. Walsh's remarks suggest he may be closer to a rate hike decision than the market expects.Big players eat their fill, investors cut losses: BTC fluctuates at 64,000, what qualitative changes are happening in on-chain chips?
1,000 to 10,000 BTC. This is the whale zone currently cramming on-chain, contrasting with mid-cap whales selling at record speeds.
Recently, Bitcoin has been bouncing back and forth in the narrow range between $63,000 and $65,000. Coupled with the Federal Reserve's continued stance at its policy meeting the night before, the dollar and Treasury yields have strengthened again, and retail investor sentiment across the secondary market has hit rock bottom. Many people feel that rate cuts are hopeless and that the market may have to keep hitting new lows, so they are cutting their losses.
However, on Glassnode's latest portfolio chart, an extremely strange super divergence has emerged.
This chart is the visual anchor point I've been focusing on these past few days. The address line representing 1,000 to 10,000 BTC holdings is skyrocketing sharply, indicating that these whales have shown extreme greed for accumulation during recent corrections. Meanwhile, the holding lines representing mid-cap and mid-tier positions are plummeting downward with the same steep slope.
This pattern of big players frantically buying and mid-investors frantically cutting losses has only appeared in history during shakeout phases at the bottom of the cycle.
The logic behind it is actually very cold. The Fed's hawkish pause, in the eyes of retail and middle-class traders, is a negative sign that macro liquidity has not improved, signaling the need to exit and wait and see. But in the eyes of those truly dominant super whales, this boring macro sideways movement creates a painless junk time to gather chips without pushing prices higher.
Big players need depth and cheap chips you hand over out of fear.
The night before last, watching the Fed Chair expressionlessly play Tai Chi on stage, my own spot account was also bleak due to the altcoin issue, and I did consider whether to liquidate my positions first to hedge risks. But when I re-checked the whale accumulation slope last night and saw those black hole addresses holding huge amounts still emotionally absorbing shares, I forcibly uninstalled the trading software.
In the financial market's food chain, if retail investors and the middle class choose to trade with the whale and surrender their weapons while the whale is aggressively stockpiling troops, it is almost no different from actively handing over their own lives.
Chips are rapidly shifting from those who are weak-handed to those who are hard-gripped.
So, at this stage, don't try to guess which month the Fed will cut rates, nor analyze those geopolitical posts every day. You only need to focus on one core indicator: when the whale accumulation slope in the 1,000 to 10,000 BTC range starts to slow down, and whether these big players show signs of reducing their holdings. As long as the whales' appetites aren't satisfied, as long as they're endlessly eating, we should hold onto our stock and obediently be a hitchhiker.
#交易之声: Your experience deserves to be heard 多空拥挤榜
先找付费最重的一边，再看价格和持仓有没有给它回报。
$SKHYNIX 当前费率-0.2467%，过去24小时已结-0.596%，处于最近样本的2%分位。 价格往下、持仓也往下，仓位退潮比方向归因更确定。 持仓下降时，极端费率可能很快回归，当前更适合观察去杠杆而不是追方向。
$MMT 当前费率-0.0705%，过去24小时已结-0.436%，处于最近样本的3%分位。 价格与持仓反向扩大，短线不是单纯多仓撤退。 空头持续付费且下跌增仓，拥挤仍有价格反馈；一旦增仓却跌不动，回补风险会抬高。
$GIGGLE 当前费率-0.0157%，过去24小时已结-0.053%，处于最近样本的1%分位。 价格与持仓同步抬升，短线不只是旧仓回补。 极端负费率遇上上涨增仓，空头正在承受价格压力，但还不能直接写成挤空。Today is MicroStrategy's earnings report; the first quarter earnings report day marks the bottom for Bitcoin. This earnings report first breaks free from the stock price death spiral, with sufficient cash flow to continue purchasing Bitcoin, and secondly will discuss measures to stabilize STRC's price in detail.
I estimate this earnings report will have an impact on Bitcoin and it will be positive, optimistic about BTC breaking through 70,000.#DailyOrbit
#DailyOrbit No surprise so far…
$BTC is down 2.8% since FOMC.
In 6 of the last 7 cases, we saw average drops of 4-5%.
If this reaction mimics the past, we could test the low 60-61K area.
Overall, you wouldn't want to see us lose 60K otherwise we will end up sweeping the lows.
#OKXOrbitTopics $SKHYNIX surged 16.8% in one day, AI chips went wild, but $BTC fell 1.62%. Crypto and US stocks split so hard they don't even recognize their own mother—this signal is far more real than just shouting bull tops.
Look at the numbers
$BTC 63,611 -1.62% $ETH 1,882 -1.82%
$QQQ +3.30% $SPY +1.68% $IBIT +1.94%
$DXY +0.47% $GLD +1.64%
Speaking of the situation, oil temperatures in Hormuz haven't dropped, crude oil is holding up on the tray, and inflation expectations have been stirred up again; US Treasury yields and the Fed's hawkish stance continue to weigh on long-term valuations, and the exchange rate line $DXY is no pushover; any switch flipped can slap risk assets in the face. Strangely, $QQQ doesn't take it seriously at all; all the money is pouring into AI semiconductors $SNDK +14.3%, $SKHYNIX +16.8%, $MU +12.9%, but they don't bring $BTC to play, and Big Bing falls behind first.
Breaking down one by one: $BTC and $ETH both collapsed, but $ETH was softer, at 1,882 -1.82%. Crypto is also picking hard issues, even $SOL -0.8% is considered resistant. Basically, the weak are weaker than weak. $QQQ On the surface, it's +3.30% strong, but in reality, it's a few chip stocks pulling hard, with a very distorted structure. Once the leader catches a breath, the market can lose momentum at any moment. $IBIT +1.94% is a bit premium compared to spot declines. ETFs are indeed picking up chips, but not necessarily actively bullish; it seems more like arbitrage pulls. Don't take this as a signal for major players to enter. $DXY quietly raised 0.47%, a small amount that tightened $BTC's throat. Historically, whenever the dollar strengthened, the crypto world was left confused. $GLD +1.64% Gold is still pushing forward, a real slap in the face. The money that truly fears death hasn't even withdrawn from safe-haven assets. The underlying anxiety runs much deeper than the market performance.
In this kind of split situation, whoever shows weakness first sets the direction behind. Don't rush your positions; wait until the $QQQ can't hold out or $BTC hard and rebound to the moving average before making a move. Watch more now, move less, and you'll not lose out.
#以太坊主网十一周年: Eleven years of uninterrupted operation and ecological achievementsThe rebound of SK Hynix and Samsung is not about the earnings reports themselves
It's about the US tech stocks in Q2 giving new life to the AI narrative
The Nasdaq jumps, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index jumps, SK Hynix ADR surges 17% directly
Money is clearly heavily betting on the storage + computing power line
The logic here is straightforward——
As long as big companies keep pouring capital expenditure,
The demand gap for HBM and DDR5 remains unrefuted
Amazon's AI high-speed channel revenue exceeded expectations,
Which is equivalent to sending a confirmation letter to the hardware chain
So the funds in South Korea are very decisive, first replenishing the previously oversold storage positions
But a word of caution:
Tech sentiment spilling over to crypto usually requires continuous volume confirmation
Currently, there is no obvious capital inflow effect in the AI sector on-chain
Confirmation signal: NVDA and SMCI reports followed by no volume drop,
Sentiment can hold for a few more weeks
Invalidation signal: SK Hynix high-volume stagnation at highs,
Or a sudden tightening in macro liquidity data
Risks have always been there; a rise does not mean pricing is reasonable
The key is not how much it rises, but whether it can withstand the pullback after the rise #财报观察员：亚马逊指引不及预期，股价却反涨9%
#DailyOrbit 📊 $WLD Contract Liquidation Express (August 1)
According to liquidation data, be careful not to short, or you'll be pinned down by the dealers...
The liquidation amount in the past hour was about $427.31
The long liquidation was about $427.31
Short orders have zero liquidation
The liquidation amount in the past 4 hours was about $81,800
Long positions were liquidated by about $71,000
Short positions were liquidated by about $10,700
The liquidation amount in the past 12 hours was approximately $519,100
Long positions were liquidated at about $479,800
Short positions were liquidated by about $39,300
The liquidation amount in the past 24 hours was approximately $700,700
Long positions liquidated about $638,200
Short positions were liquidated by about $62,600
From $WLD liquidation data, long liquidations in each cycle crush the bears, with almost no resistance throughout. The 24-hour long liquidation rate is 10.2 times that of the bears, representing an extreme one-sided long sell-off market, with the scale of liquidations expanding step by step. Everyone should control their positions to avoid being liquidated.
🔥 Market Barometer | August 1st
Today's three hot topics point to the same theme: the intertwining of cooling inflation and slowing growth, and the AI narrative shifting from a "cash-burning race" to "efficiency fulfillment"—the market is re-selecting winners.
📉 PCE turned negative month-on-month, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%: the economy's "substance" is more solid than its "face"
The US PCE price index for June fell 0.1% month-on-month, marking the first monthly negative growth since 2020, with core PCE year-on-year dropping from 3.4% to 3.3%. The cooling of inflation mainly benefited from a drop in oil prices following a temporary US-Iran ceasefire, with energy prices plunging 6.9% month-on-month.
On the same day, Q2 GDP annualized quarter-on-quarter growth was only 1.5%, lower than Q1's 2.1% and the market expectation of 2.0%. However, the growth rate of private consumption + investment, which reflects domestic demand, rebounded to 3.9%, the fastest since the beginning of 2023. Imports, inventories, and government spending dragged down the figures, but consumption clearly rebounded, and AI-driven corporate investment continued to grow highly. The "substance" of the economy is more solid than the "face."
📈 Amazon Web Services Boom, Nearly 10% After-Hours Rise: AI Spending Finally Pays Off
Amazon's Q2 revenue was $200.6 billion, up 20% year-on-year. AWS revenue reached $42.2 billion, up 37% year-over-year, marking the fastest growth since 2021. CEO Jassi stated that the annualized revenue from AWS's AI business has exceeded $25 billion. Net profit was $62.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 245%. The stock price surged nearly 10% in after-hours trading.
The market ignored the upward revision of capital expenditure to $220 billion, free cash flow turning negative by $7.6 billion, and Q3 guidance slightly below expectations. AWS's explosive growth proves that its AI investments are paying off—a stark contrast to the sharp drop after Google's spending increases. The market rewards not the spending itself, but the efficiency of the spending.
🚀 Microsoft's market value increased by 450 billion in a single day, setting a new record for US stocks
Microsoft surged 15.5% on Thursday, marking its largest single-day gain since October 2008, with its market value increasing by $450 billion and setting a new record for the largest single-day market cap growth in U.S. stock market history, reaching about $3.35 trillion. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index also surged over 8%, ending a five-day losing streak. Microsoft had previously surged after lowering its capital expenditure guidance, and now Amazon's performance has been further fueled—a market consensus is forming: the winners in AI are companies that can turn computing power investment into real cloud revenue.
💎 Summary
Three events outline the same turning point: PCE turning negative and GDP slowing coexist; the economy is solid in substance but face-to-face is worrying; Amazon used AWS to prove its AI investment can pay off, soaring nearly 10% after hours; Microsoft's single-day market value surged by 450 billion yuan, setting a new record—the market rewards are no longer just "money-burning narratives," but "efficiency in spending money" and "real cloud revenue." The old AI valuation logic is collapsing, and new pricing power is taking shape. #PCE环比转负, GDP growth slowed to 1.5%
#财报观察员: Amazon's guidance falls short of expectations, yet stock price rises 9%
#微软单日市值增近4500亿, setting a record for the US stock market Crowding and Crowding List
First, find the side with the heaviest payout, then check the price and whether your position is giving it a return.
$SKHYNIX Current rate -0.2640%, closing -0.596% in the past 24 hours, at the 2nd percentile of the most recent sample. Prices are rising, and positions are also rising, with short-term funds expanding their risk exposure. Negative rates did not translate into declines; instead, there was an increase in positions, and bearish pressure is already evident.
$MMT Current rate -0.0830%, closing -0.436% in the past 24 hours, at the 2nd percentile of the most recent sample. Prices are rising, and open positions are shrinking. Let's first understand this as a rebound from reduced positions. No matter how extreme the rate rate, the most certain factor in OI contraction is still deleveraging; You can't draw conclusions about which side will exit based solely on this data.
$GIGGLE Current rate -0.0151%, closed -0.053% in the past 24 hours, at the 1% quintile of the most recent sample. The price and position expand in the opposite direction; in the short term, it's not just a simple long position withdrawal. The rate bias exists but is not extreme; first observe whether the price position continues to move in the same direction.♾️ BlockInfinity Evening Market Report · Earnings Explosion V-Shaped Reversal, Crypto Narrow Range Compression and Other Turning Points
🌐 ① Macro · Overnight
🟢 US Stocks V-shaped violent rebound: Dow +1.19% (52208)｜S&P 500 +1.66% (7437)｜Nasdaq +2.78% (25122)｜PHLX Semiconductor SOX +9%.
🟢 Driver = Tech earnings explosion: Microsoft +15.5% (Azure +43%, single-day market cap +$450 billion breaks historical record); Amazon after-hours +10% (AWS +37%).
🟡 Complete reversal from previous day’s FOMC hawkish sell-off (Dow -2.18%), but the engine is individual earnings, not macro shift.
🌍 ② International Situation / News
🟢 Storage chain violent short squeeze: Micron MU +18%｜SanDisk SNDK +26%｜SK Hynix +17%｜Western Digital/Seagate both rally. Continued strength after hours (SNDK +6% / WDC +4%).
🟢 Catalyst = Seagate STX earnings explosion (Q1 guidance $4.1 billion beats expectations) + memory shortage narrative strengthens: Apple CEO says "evaluating all options for memory supply", SK Chairman Chey Tae-won personally increased holdings by 3,620 shares, TrendForce says DRAM shortage continues through 2027.
🔴 Apple after-hours -7% (revenue guidance below expectations, Greater China region weak).
🟡 Middle East aftermath unresolved (Trump tough on Iran), but oil prices retreat and cool down.
📊 ③ Technicals (multi-timeframe)
🟡 BTC $64,249 (≈flat): daily bearish alignment (MA50 above at 63,390), 4H turned bullish, 1H oversold (RSI7 28). Range 61,800–66,928, close to max pain.
🟢 ETH $1,902 (-0.48%, relatively strongest): holding daily MA20/50, 4H bullish alignment. Range 1,855–1,982 (1,982 repeatedly tested top).
🟡 BTC/ETH 1H Bollinger Band width narrows to 1.3%, ⚠️ turning point approaching.
🔧 ④ Derivatives
🟡 BTC/ETH funding rates mildly positive (0.01%/8h, neutral, no crowding).
🔴 Storage perpetual funding rates turn negative: MU -0.052% / SNDK -0.098% /8h → shorts pay carry, naked shorts bear holding costs.
🟡 Spot premium -0.09% / -$59 (slight discount); sentiment still in fear zone.
₿ ⑤ BTC Core
🟡 No new macro variables, follows US stock risk appetite but decoupling obvious—US stocks +2.78% while BTC remains still, indicating crypto lacks independent buying. Compression at the end, waiting for US stock sentiment spillover or own volume breakout.
🧭 ⑥ Comprehensive Judgment
🟡 Overnight = earnings-driven risk appetite recovery + storage short squeeze, V reversal; but FOMC hawkishness, high long-end yields, and September rate hike pricing remain, macro not shifted. Crypto narrow range compression and other turning points. Storage fundamentals (memory shortage) narrative strengthening = bullish for stock prices, but single-day +18~26% severe overbought, high probability of dead-cat bounce.
🎯 ⑦ Today's Trading Suggestions
• BTC: range 61,800–66,928 oscillation, mid 64K no chasing longs or shorts; daily break below 61,800 or hold above 67K to show direction, 1H oversold can try technical rebound.
• ETH: relatively strongest, hold 1,855; only chase longs if 1,982 breaks out with volume.
• Storage (MU/SNDK/SKHY): after violent single-day rebound, chasing shorts requires very wide stop loss, memory shortage narrative biased bullish so avoid naked shorts, enter in batches, avoid heavy positions on first overbought impulse.
⚠️ ⑧ Risk Events
🔴 7/31 Friday: China July official PMI, Eurozone July CPI preliminary, US Chicago PMI + Michigan consumer sentiment final.
🔴 Bank of Japan rate decision (Friday)｜OPEC+ weekly production meeting.
🔴 Middle East US-Iran game unresolved; Apple after-hours -7% risk transmission.
$BTC #ETH #Crypto