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The 87.7K volume surge and stabilization I was watching last time did not occur, and $BTC has returned to around 85.5K. The previous "breakout confirmation" condition was judged as not triggered, meaning it was not a successful bullish retest. Kraken quotes about 85.50K, with the price back near the intraday low side.
In this round of public information, Johnny is still waiting for a pullback before going long, with a short-term plan to treat 85.4K as support; these are original judgments and have not been verified yet. Before the price reclaims 86.0K, I will consider the rebound as a range-bound correction.
My updated view is: only if the price reclaims 87.7K and closes above it will I adjust the direction upward; if it breaks below 85.4K, I will first observe the support below and will not add positions in the middle range. There is no publicly verified catalyst opportunity in the window. Do you place more importance on reclaiming 86.0K or waiting for confirmation at 87.7K? This is for information sharing only and does not constitute investment advice.BTC short has been open for 10 days with a 200% unrealized loss. I’m still bearish, but BTC near $87K makes the $90.3K liquidation level a serious risk. I expect upside to remain limited and a pullback is possible, so I’m holding for now. Previous trades were profitable, but this one is still floating at a loss.
Am I wrong to stay bearish? Check my pinned post.
$ETH #HormuzStillClosed, OPEC+ maintains November production unchanged
#OKXNOW:LiveTomorrow #FedSeptemberMinutes #HormuzStillClosed $BTC
we hit mr VAH. In case bulls gain strength again, we can easily squeeze out shorts that pushed price lower.
-> took off 25% here around 2.5R
however, if we accept belor mVWAP & inevitably mrVAH it implies acceptance within value and the next rotation point would be mrPOC & mrVAL where i will consider longs depending on what flows tell me
Pretty clean POIs to work with imo. Let monday play#FedSeptemberMinutes 🚩Good evening, friends, this is Chao Ge🤝
BTC's 3-month selling pressure has ended, while ETHQ3 rose 70%, outperforming BTC. What do you think👀❓
👆🏻Conclusion first:
👉【Divergence】is the core script for BTC and ETH
1️⃣ For BTC, Glassnode shows the trend of whales net depositing to exchanges has stopped; the selling pressure lasting over 3 months ended in late August, and since then, capital flow has remained negative. The biggest sellers have stopped, making the bottom structure more solid.
2️⃣ For ETH, CoinGecko reports a 70% rise in Q3, beating BTC's 42%, but market depth within a 0.15% price range is only $13M to $14M, just 35% to 45% of BTC's, compared to at least 60% in the same period last year. Liquidity has clearly contracted, making large capital inflows and outflows prone to causing sharp volatility.
➡️ Overall, BTC's selling pressure is exhausted and relatively more stable; buying on dips near support is worth watching. ETH's price is strong but its foundation is thinning, so the sustainability of the rise is questionable; any selling pressure will trigger more intense reactions. In terms of operations, accumulate BTC on dips, control ETH position size, and avoid chasing highs. Manage your risk and set stop losses well.
#OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 GSR just took tokens from Gnosis Safe and immediately sent 303,000 LINK (4.29 million USD) to Binance. Along with 275,000 LINK from two days ago, that's a total of 578,000 LINK, about 8.25 million USD in two days.
The market maker's wallet moves in and out are all tactics; whether this is stocking up or preparing to dump depends on whether the market can absorb it.😇
$BTC $ETH $LINK#BTC desk update
86.6K is a test of the 87K range ceiling. It’s the expected range target, not yet a breakout toward 90K.
Plan
Don’t chase at 86.6K.
Buy the pullback
Invalidation: 83.5
A daily close above 87K opens the way to 90K.
No need to buy Atls at market yet. $BTC hitting 86.6K is a test of the range ceiling.
Altcoins running alongside BTC could face selling pressure if 87K fails again.#FedSeptemberMinutes In ten days, I used 10u to buy a flagship phone with 100x leverage. I originally planned to leave this market, but my strong luck is here. Actually, the short positions I closed before withdrawing funds eventually got rewarded. 150x leverage is not a joke. In just half a day, I'm back again. Initially, I heavily invested in Litecoin to flip my account, then kept trading altcoins. After 200u, I started swing trading ETH. Let's see how long this run lasts this time Let's organize what can be done in terms of operations. The benchmark is the 1-hour chart and watchlist at around 22:46; In contrast, the afternoon press had zero changes in attitude and price levels, only reverting the current price after the night session continued to fall. ━ Bitcoin Direction: Bearish outlook. Stop loss at 87,300. At this moment, it is about 85,537. It has exited the 86.4k~87.2k red zone and continues to hold down; OKX's daily high remains at 86,963.7 ━ Ethereum short positions near 2,780, risk management individually Long position 2,650 light position, 2,600 additional position Long stop loss: below 2,400, currently around 2,701, closer to the upper boundary/light long band ━ Short Solana near 120, add 125, stop loss at 140, currently around 119.41, has broken through the short band, close to the upper edge of 116.5~119 demand — Dogecoin short 0.1, add 0.11, stop loss 0.12, currently about the current level 0.0949, turning positive in the afternoon and turning black at night, still below the entry price ━ Ripple Long near 1.5, take profit at 1.57 → 1.63, add at 1.45, or lower to 1.4 Stop-loss: break below 1.3, currently around 1.500, sitting at the upper edge of demand at 1.48~1.50. OKX account long-short ratio (17:00 → 22:00): BTC 1.09→1.10, ETH 1.25→1.36, SOL 1.6🚨 Metaplanet Sold 10,000 BTC — Then Bought Back 11,000! 👀
Japan’s just revealed a fascinating Q3 Bitcoin strategy.
The company sold 10,000 BTC for roughly $789M, averaging about $78,925 per BTC.
Then came the bigger move:
🔄 11,000 BTC repurchased
💰 Approx. $949M invested
📈 Net gain: +1,000 BTC
That pushed Metaplanet’s Bitcoin treasury to 44,000 BTC, worth roughly $3.8B at the end of September.
But this wasn’t simply a “sell low, buy higher” trade.
Metaplanet says the transaction was designed to prove Bitcoin liquidity — demonstrating that its BTC reserves can be converted into substantial cash when needed to cover financial obligations.
And the strategy is evolving.
The company now plans to keep roughly 85–90% of its assets in Bitcoin, while allowing 10–15% for strategic and income-generating investments. It is also targeting recurring revenue through its Bitcoin income strategy and exploring stronger access to debt and preferred-stock financing.
📊 Another interesting detail: the transaction may create a potential U.S. tax-loss carryforward, with deferred-tax treatment still subject to audit review.
From just 1,762 BTC at the end of 2024 to 44,000 BTC today, Metaplanet is becoming more than a simple BTC accumulator.
It’s building a Bitcoin-centered financial platform around liquidity, financing and recurring income.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Metaplanet #CryptoNews #BitcoinTreasuryYesterday, a large ETH holder who recently opened a position continued to increase their holdings today, withdrawing 1,236 ETH from OKX again an hour ago. Since yesterday, the total ETH accumulated has grown to 2,656 ETH (approximately $7.18 million), with an average withdrawal price of $2,703.3, currently showing an unrealized profit of $19,500 #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $ETH Coinbase premium has been negative for 12 consecutive days, which I find quite interesting🤨
$BTC has been surging these days, but it seems the Americans haven't really taken over; the current premium is -0.02%, and during the rally phase, the negative value even expanded at one point
Based on past experience, if the US spot market were really aggressively accumulating, Coinbase shouldn't show this kind of performance; so at least for now, the leading funds in this rally are probably not on Coinbase
But don't be quick to treat this as bearish, -0.02% is actually stronger than the 30-day average of -0.03% and the 1-year average of -0.05%
US funds haven't clearly jumped in yet, but the market is already moving; if they come to take over later, the market will get even more interesting🫡
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 🔥 BTC at $87K is where my nerves get tested.
My short has been open for 10 days and is currently down 200% floating. Am I nervous? Honestly, yes.
But I’m still bearish. If $BTC breaks $87K cleanly, my $90.3K liquidation level gets dangerously close. Still, I believe the short-term upside is limited and a pullback remains possible.
Previous trades were profitable, so I’m sticking to my thesis—but risk is real.
Would you keep holding this short or cut it? 👀
#DailyOrbit Damn, it was the top gainer yesterday, and today it's on the losers list 😂
I checked today's OKX rankings and compared them with yesterday's; those chasing the rally are probably feeling pretty bad.
STRK rose 16.09% yesterday but dropped 7.28% today, with trading volume falling from $25.14 million to $13.61 million.
NAVX went up 15.60% yesterday and down 7.87% today.
Strong yesterday doesn't mean it will stay strong today.
Looking at the volume rankings, the changes are even more obvious:
BTC volume rose from $129 million to $509 million, nearly 4 times yesterday's amount;
ETH volume increased from $124 million to $323 million, about 2.6 times.
But both only gained 0.41% and 0.20% today. Trading is lively, but prices haven't moved much yet.
CT is another story: volume dropped from $88.75 million to $55.01 million, it fell 13.22% today, yet still ranks fifth in volume.
There's also a contrast in the gainers list: FLUID leads with a 20.84% rise, but its volume is only about $640,000; the top five combined total about $3.32 million.
Seeing gains of over twenty percent makes it easy to feel like you missed out again.
But before I actually buy, I always check the volume—big gains and actually getting in and out well are two different things.
Data is a snapshot from OKX, for information sharing only.$PUMP is the leader, and it's the "kind of leader that actually makes money"—but the characteristic of this crown is: it is earned with real money, and the leader in this field changes faster than flipping a page, so it is the current leader, not a permanently winning emperor.
First, let's see why it dominates. Pump.fun is the first app in Solana's history to surpass $1 billion in cumulative revenue. Since its launch in 2024, it has amassed about $1.51 billion, earning $664 million in 2025 alone, far surpassing established infrastructure like Jupiter ($400 million) and Raydium ($127 million). Even more impressive recently: in the past 30 days, it earned $55.5 million, directly exceeding Hyperliquid's $54.34 million, ranking third in total crypto protocol revenue; daily revenue is $1.57 million, nearly 6 times that of competitor PONS ($267,000). Daily trading volume surged from $5 million in July to over $40 million in October, with capital accelerating its return.
Moreover, it is not content with Solana. Recent domain records reveal it has registered subdomains on Ethereum, Base, BSC, and Monad, clearly preparing for cross-chain expansion—once this addictive token issuance machine moves into the EVM world, it will face a vast untapped retail market.
But the ugly truth must be said upfront. The leader position in this field changes on a "weekly" basis: in July 2025, LetsBonk once grabbed 78% market share, causing PUMP's share to plummet from 80% to 13%, and it only reclaimed the lead through buybacks.我們來看一下瑞波幣的部分。 多單框架與價位全日未動。 午後還在 1.51 上方小回；夜盤把 1.50 需求頂踩實，價格正好落在進場帶。 這次回踩是多單計畫的驗證資訊，不是改線。 【操作建議】 方向：做多 進場：1.5 附近 止盈：先看 1.57，再看 1.63 加碼：1.45，或是 1.4 停損：跌破 1.3 約 22:46 現價約 1.4997，當日跌約 1.37%，幾乎貼齊 1.5。 離第一個止盈 1.57 大約 7 分；加碼區 1.45、1.4 都尚未觸及。 哪條規則被踩到就執行哪條；夜盤若只是快速刺一下需求頂，也不自動等於加碼觸發。 【技術面｜1H】 幣安 XRP 永續 1 小時圖，約 22:46。 現價約 1.500。紅色供給約 1.54～1.58；藍色需求約 1.48～1.50，K 線就坐在這塊上緣。 早盤衝高後，結構標籤轉弱（可見 CHoCH、BOS）；午後到夜間壓回需求頂，形成「上有供給、下踩需求」的消化區。 OKX 小時：12～13 點低約 1.4986～1.4987；22 點低 1.4972、收約 1.5009，需求上緣再被點一次，現價仍貼進場帶。 量能對 30 日Strategy increased its holdings by 334 BTC this week, with $176 million continuing to flow into STRC buybacks?
The latest 8-K shows that Strategy increased its BTC holdings by 334 coins from 10/1 to 10/4, spending about $28.7 million, with an average cost of $85,839.
As of 10/4, the company holds a total of 848,000 BTC, with a total cost of about $63.97 billion and an average cost of $75,441.
During the same period, 92,894 shares of MSTR were issued through ATM, raising $15.7 million; this week STRC repurchased about $176.3 million, of which $154.1 million came from USD Cash.
Currently, there is approximately $4.88 billion in USD Reserve plus $833 million in USD Cash. The previous week saw an increase of 1,665 BTC, which shrank to 334 BTC this week, while continuing to repurchase STRC.
Do you think the scale of BTC accumulation will expand further?
This article is for information compilation and market analysis only and does not constitute investment advice; cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, and readers should assess risks independently.
#比特幣 #Strategy $BTC $MSTR $STRCLate night watching the big dip in Bitcoin during this pullback, what do the whale moves look like?
Brothers, $BTC is currently around 85,588, this up-and-down movement really tests the nerves.
First, looking at the news: the net inflow trend of Bitcoin on exchanges has ended, the over 3-month whale outflow has stopped.
This indicates that the previous large selling pressure may have come to an end, but this dip also cleared out a lot of floating chips.
On the chart, the price is stuck between MA5 and MA60, the short-term moving average is suppressing, while the long-term moving average is temporarily providing support. Just now it dipped near 84,720 and quickly recovered, indicating there is buying support in the 84,700-84,800 range.
The resistance above is at the previous high of 86,994; bulls need to be cautious until it breaks through.
Overall, this is a typical consolidation and recovery market. Volume increased during the dip, indicating both panic selling and capital absorption. Now the volume is shrinking, and most are watching.
What do you all think? Is this a normal pullback or a prelude to a trend change? Wow! ETHA, this BlackRock Ethereum ETF, is going 1-for-3 split tomorrow. The product itself can't sustain the unit price, yet $ETH is still stuck below 2730 and can't climb up.
ETH is currently at $2,724, up about 1.2% in 24h, with a market cap around 330 billion, down 45% from the all-time high of 4946, with a 24h range of 2720-2706.
BlackRock's ETHA will implement a 1-for-3 reverse split effective 10/6, which usually signals the unit price is too low and the product's popularity is cooling off—not a positive sign; Bitmine vault still holds 6,001,302 ETH as base inventory.
Glamsterdam testnet launches on 10/6, and scaling narratives are ongoing, but the price just can't break through the 2730 resistance; concerns about a withdrawal queue piling up to 800,000 ETH haven't dissipated, and institutional buying momentum is interrupted.
ETH's scaling efforts are loud and clear, but ETHA's split exposes the product's own awkward situation.$MERL Watching the market obsessively gets annoying; turning it off actually makes things clearer, and my mind stays calm without staring at the screen.
Last night before bed, I glanced at MERL. The buying pressure was strengthening, funds were quietly entering. I said at that moment not to panic sell at this position; if there's support on the pullback, just hold along. As a result, it pushed from 0.03048 to 0.03224, a direct +113.51% surge, taking off.
The earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is truly sweet.
If the trend isn't broken, hold on; if it breaks, run—don't fall in love with stocks. Better to miss a limit-up than to catch a falling knife and end up bleeding.
Take profits on 70% first, move the stop-loss to the cost price for the remaining 30%, don't be greedy for the last bit. Now is not the time to rush; wait for the next opportunity, there will be more chances ahead.
$LAB $ADA Hodling $ZEC long with a floating loss of over 10u #OKXNOW live: Tomorrow, come and book quickly! #OKXICE向SEC申请推出代币化股票交易平台 $BTC Total Spot CVD is net selling, this is the aggr. spot CVD of most exchanges
Most of these bounces and pumps are leverage driven
Ultimately I think BTC corrects soon, Can BTC go higher, yes quite easily, However if spot isnt driving this move it wont last long.#HormuzStillClosed $CL crude oil price rises because of shortage. Fear may pass, but the shortage won't be replenished overnight.
Currently, half of the oil price is news, and half is inventory. News can evaporate in two hours, inventory can't be replenished in three months.
88 is bought out, 93 is suppressed. The $5 difference in between is the thermometer of how many barrels of oil Trump still has left.
The hardest part of trading crude oil is not judging the direction, but judging how much this piece of news is worth in dollars. Most people treat headlines as trends.
Whether the strait is open or not determines the height; how much SPR remains determines the floor; where you set your stop loss determines whether you're still at the table.This trade just got stopped out.
Is someone already ready to start laughing?
Laugh all you want.
Stopping out isn’t because I was wrong, it’s because the market hasn’t understood my strategy yet.
What’s the most important thing in contracts?
It’s not winning every trade, but losing with discipline when you do, and standing firm when you’re stubborn.
This trade stopped out, the next one continues.
$BTC, if you dare stop me out today, I’ll dare to stay bullish tomorrow.
If you’ve got the guts, just liquidate me outright, don’t keep trying to scare me with stop losses.
Small losses are accidents, big losses define your mindset.
Got it?
If not, no worries, I’ve already placed new orders anyway.#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 $ETH has real fees being burned on-chain every day, and the amount of ETH is net decreasing. This is not a narrative, this is accounting.
Don't buy ETH as a substitute for BTC. It's a different species: BTC bets on "money," ETH bets on "utility."
When prices rise, no one talks about Gas; when prices fall, everyone understands the ecosystem. The market is only ever smart in one direction.
It doesn't need to be stronger than BTC; it just needs to be present when BTC's money flows through.$BTC Liquidation Map｜Shorts vs Longs
🔴 Upper Shorts: Around $90,000, the largest cluster of short liquidations. If reached, leveraged shorts will be forced to close positions, with mainstream CEX cumulative short liquidation intensity around $1.185 billion.
🟢 Lower Longs: Between $83,000–$75,000, densest near $82,000.
Break below 82,061: Mainstream CEX cumulative long liquidation intensity about $2.437 billion
Break below 80,405: About $1.999 billion
Break below 80,715: About $1.045 billion
Deeper: Around 75,222 about $1.788 billion; near 74,711 about $1.09 billion
Current 24H total network liquidations $138 million, with shorts accounting for $113 million, longs only $25.16 million. Shorts are being squeezed, but the lower long support remains strong. When $BTC falls, people say it's a bubble; when it rises, they say they missed out. BTC never explains; it just waits for the next pullback to see who's still holding.
At the 86000 level, those going long fear the high, and those going short fear it flying up. What the market fears most is not the price being high, but that no one dares to sell.
Some ask where the bottom is. The bottom isn't calculated; it's shaken out—only when all those "waiting for a pullback" have boarded does it truly start moving.
The three most expensive words in a bull market: "Just wait a bit more." The three most expensive words in a bear market: "Add more positions."
It doesn't need you to believe; it just needs you not to believe in leverage.$BTC
If this 30-minute candle breaks the lower left point, it will constitute a break of the pattern, making it uncertain whether a daily retracement will occur. Currently, it is already on the edge of a trend change, and whether it goes up or down, it will be a large one-sided market.我們來看一下狗狗幣的部分。 方向與三點位沒有調整。 午後它還能在五幣裡獨自翻紅；夜盤跟著大盤轉黑，但 0.1 空單線一樣沒碰到，只更新距離與籌碼。 距離先講清楚，再對 1 小時圖。 【操作建議】 方向：做空 進場：0.1 加碼：0.11 停損：0.12 約 22:46 現價約 0.09494，當日跌約 1.00%。 離 0.1 大約還有 5%，比午後更近一點，但仍未觸線。 沒踩到進場價就先空手；夜盤跟跌也不改成追空。 【技術面｜1H】 狗狗幣（幣安永續）1H 圖，截於約 22:46。 現價約 0.095。上方供給約在 0.097～0.098（強高附近）；下方藍區先看到約 0.093，更深還有下一層。 早盤自低位拉起後，高點壓在供給下方；午後小漲、夜間回吐，短線卡中段。BOS／CHoCH 上下掃過，頭上供給沒被有效突破。 OKX 小時：12 點低 0.09468，16 點高 0.09718，22 點低 0.09484、收約 0.0951——午後漲幅被吐回，重心重新靠近需求上方。 夜盤量有一波，結構仍是「上不過供給、下還在需求上」，先當整理。 【籌碼面】 OKX 約 22:48： 16:0$DOGE This profit makes me feel both anxious and cautious, afraid that the market will react tomorrow and blacklist me.
Just after lunch when I checked the market, the volume of DOGE was too low to support it, each rebound weaker than the last, clearly suppressed from above, with pitifully low trading volume. Bearish, so I casually opened a short.
From 0.09612 to 0.09468, +74.9% securely in hand, enough to enjoy a good meal.
Don’t get greedy with profits, don’t despair over pullbacks. The premise of compounding is survival; the shortcut to getting rich often leads to zero.
First close 80%, then protect the remaining 20%, if it continues to drop let the profits run, don’t be greedy for the last bit.
For friends who haven’t entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush, the market doesn’t lack opportunities, it lacks patience. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round.
$ETH $BTC #ZEC现货ETF连续3日流出，NU7升级临近
ZEC dropped from 1,697 to 1,321, with the first line of defense drawn at 1,272.
▪️ On September 27, it surged to 1,697, now at 1,321, a 22% retracement from the peak, down 14.8% in seven days. Still up 180% over three months.
▪️ Three support levels are squeezed within 12 dollars below: 24-hour low at 1,284, 200-day moving average at 1,278, and the lower channel at 1,272. This 200-day moving average is still trending upward; it bounced back when it touched it in early October.
▪️ On the upside, three hurdles must be cleared: 1,345 is the high of the past day, 1,355 is the top of the previous candlestick's wick, and if it can't close above 1,411, no reversal can be considered. Beyond that is 1,501.
The strategy is clear: go long if the 4-hour candle closes above 1,355, targeting 1,411 and then 1,501; go short if the daily closes below 1,272, targeting 1,233 and then 1,150.
My bias is bullish — the three-month structure remains intact, and the price is still above the upward-trending 200-day moving average. But only above 1,355 can it be considered a fresh start; failure to hold above means digesting the vertical drop from September.The market has no obligation to prove you right
No matter how reasonable your view is, the market will not change because of your judgment.
If the direction is wrong, the outcome won't favor your confidence;
If the direction is right, it doesn't mean it can be replicated next time.
Judgment is just judgment, the result is the result.
When you need to admit you're wrong, don't argue with the outcome. $BTC 我們來看一下Solana的部分。 方向與三個價位全日相同。 午後還在 120 進場帶附近拉扯；夜盤直接踩穿，價格落到需求上緣，適合用 1 小時圖把結構補齊。 夜盤成交明顯放大，重點變成：空單帶失守後，下方藍區有沒有人接得住。 【操作建議】 方向：做空 進場：120 附近 加碼：125 停損：140 約 22:46 現價約 119.41，當日跌約 1.75%。 已經穿過設定的 120，落在進場帶下方一點；125 與 140 仍遠。 進場帶已觸及／穿越，就照原計畫執行，不另加條件；就算快速刺破需求頂再彈，也不臨時改規則。 【技術面｜1H】 幣安 SOL 永續 1 小時圖，約 22:46。 現價約 119.4。紅色供給約 121～123.5；藍色需求約 116.5～119，K 線就貼在這塊頂部。 拒絕供給之後可見多段 CHoCH／BOS，高點逐步下移；夜盤這根小時線把 120 附近結構位打穿，重心轉到需求上緣。 OKX 小時：12 點低 119.89；22 點低 119.22、收約 119.54——午後測過一輪偏弱低點後，夜盤再創當日更低，正式壓進需求頂。 【籌碼面】 OKX 約 22:48Just about to go to the forum to rant, but then I checked the balance and decided against it. The market daddy is always right. When the market was just dumping in the morning session, $NIGHT was already heavily pressured at the high level, showing strong signs of a bull trap with insufficient support. I directly advised not to catch the falling knife and to look for a high short to expect a pullback.
Volume didn’t keep up, no one was buying on the rise, and the selling pressure kept layering. At that time, I signaled a bearish bias, waiting for it to reveal its flaws, and it didn’t disappoint.
From 0.049372 it was dumped all the way down to 0.046591, yielding a +113.01% return, a big profit. Nailed it. This profit felt good, no active trading, all based on rhythm and discipline.
First, close 80%, keep the remaining 20% to protect the cost price, move the stop loss closer to the cost price, and if it continues to drop, let the profits run. Don’t let profits inflate, don’t despair on pullbacks.
Missed it, don’t chase. Now is not the time to rush, wait for the next signal. The market is not short of opportunities, it’s patience that’s lacking. Wait for a new structure to emerge before watching again.
$ADA $BNB In 2026,
The BTC$BTC $ETH dominance metric has become seriously distorted, miscalculated, and outdated,
completely worthless as a reference?
Since August 1, BTC dominance is 2.24%;
however, during the same period,
74% of the top 125 altcoins have outperformed BTC.
Should we stop using the BTC dominance metric?
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 ⚡A V-shaped reversal completed over a weekend! The secret to BTC's rise is not on-chain, but in the Federal Reserve
Last Friday, panic broke out, and $BTC briefly fell below 84,000, with many expecting a deeper correction.
In just one weekend, the market completed a beautiful V-shaped recovery, climbing back above 86,000.
Many were busy tracking on-chain transfers and whale movements, but missed the real trigger 👉 Federal Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson released a somewhat "patient" statement, cooling expectations for further rate hikes, causing the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields to fall, and risk assets to collectively rebound, with Bitcoin following suit.
Wall Street simultaneously raised its outlook.
Citibank directly raised the Strategy (MSTR) target price from $136 to $240, giving a 12-month BTC target of $113,400.
Meanwhile, the crypto community is buzzing over Saylor's signal: "More orange than ever."
Remember the last time "Even more orange" was signaled, Strategy quickly announced a $142.7 million purchase, averaging $85,681 per BTC for 1,665 BTC.
Now a new orange signal has appeared, and the market is guessing: will a new round of buying happen soon?
Gradually, everyone understands one thing: Bitcoin is no longer a closed insider game.
It’s more like a mirror.
The mirror reflects the liquidity tightness or looseness of the dollar, as well as Wall Street’s overall risk appetite.
Of course, positive news doesn’t mean a straight rally.
Macro factors only provide a floor; at high levels, there will still be spikes, shakeouts, and repeated bear traps.
Don’t blindly chase after a single V-shaped bullish candle, nor turn fully bearish after a brief pullback.
Volatility is always the norm in a bull market.
Understanding liquidity logic helps avoid being swept away by short-term candle emotions.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #Solana tokenized stock trading volume exceeded $4.4 billion in September
I am the mid-term intelligence guy.
In September, Solana's on-chain tokenized stock trading volume broke $4.4 billion—not a small splash, but traditional assets moving from PPT to exhibition halls on-chain.
The underlying logic is simple: U.S. stock trading hours, settlement efficiency, and retail investor thresholds are all being redone on-chain. Solana benefits from low fees and high throughput, while brokers, custodians, and compliance channels are the hidden lines behind.
In the short term, don’t just look at $SOL price pumps; the liquidity of tokenized assets themselves is still shallow, and the price spread and redemption mechanisms are the key.
Whoever first runs through “compliant stocks = on-chain certificates” will lock in the next generation of trading infrastructure.
In terms of rhythm: SOL ecosystem, RWA, compliant custody, and security tokens have swing value; pure meme tokens riding the concept should be avoided.
The real turning point is not $4.4 billion, but when institutions dare to treat on-chain stocks as assets on their balance sheets—that day will be the main bull run switch.
$BTC
$ETH
#This week the Fed will release the September meeting minutes $SAND
$SAND has fallen again; has the selling pressure at the high point still not been absorbed?
The 24-hour range observed this morning was 0.07192–0.08083, with a window change of about -3.22% and a trading volume of approximately 5.53 million USDT.
The price is clearly below the high point and the window is negative, indicating that the selling pressure above still needs to be absorbed. The previous surge will not provide permanent support; the supply from reducing positions during the rebound requires subsequent buying to absorb it.
If the price later breaks above 0.08083, holds on a pullback, and trading volume cooperates, I will raise my judgment on continuation; the risk on the opposite side is a failed breakout and insufficient buying. If it falls below 0.07192 and the rebound cannot recover, I will lower my judgment. The range is based on this observation; subsequent market changes need to be re-verified.Seventy percent of wealthy people already hold crypto, a figure higher than I expected.
CoinShares surveyed seven markets; the US, UK, and Germany all have 70%, with Sweden the lowest at 54%. Crypto holdings make up about 10% of their portfolios.
Visa's data is also interesting. In the Asia-Pacific region, 46% say they might use stablecoins for payments within five years, but only 6% truly understand how they work.
In short, the money has already come in, but awareness hasn't caught up yet.
This is not a signal of a price surge. The real takeaway is that 85% of current players plan to increase their holdings in 2026. In other words, these people are not here for short-term speculation; only 6% consider themselves short-term traders.
From a market perspective, this looks more like the foundation is slowly strengthening rather than an immediate pump.
What I want to see most now is not the price, but whether these people actually increase their holdings next year. If they do, the story holds.
To be honest, this kind of data isn't very useful in the short term, but it's more reliable than hype calls.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额 #Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 $HYPE #BTC is currently quoted at 86,009 USD, up 1.66% in 24 hours, with over 1 billion USD in shorts liquidated during the breakout.
The market isn't pricing in a "Monday bloodbath," but rather digesting a normal short squeeze. The so-called "feedback loop" logic chain is very long, but the intensity of each link has been exaggerated.#HormuzStillClosed Let's take a look at the Ethereum section. The scenario hasn't changed: short near 2,780, light long near 2,650. The afternoon scenario is 'sweeping the weak low and climbing back to 2,718'; In the night session, the price moved down again from the middle to demand, recalculating the distances from both sides. Night trading volume is still there, and the 1-hour structure aligns with the chips at once. [Trading Advice] Short position: position near 2,780; Long: light position near 2,650; increase long position: 2,600; long stop loss: if it falls below 2,400, manage short risk control accordingly; stop-loss lines will not be written here. Around 22:46, current price is about 2,700.8, down about 0.91% that day. About 79 points from 2,780 and about 51 points from 2,650, neither side has triggered yet; Compared to the afternoon, the current price is closer to the light bullish side. If the price hasn't reached the line, let the consolidation end; a downward pressure in the night session does not mean you should change your plan early. [Technical Perspective | 1H] Binance ETH perpetual 1-hour chart, around 22:46 (Taipei). Current price is about 2,701. Red supply is around 2,740~2,770, with a weak high of about 2,780; blue demand is around 2,650~2,685, with a strong low of about 2,650. Structural rhythm: In the morning, the lower edge of supply was still touched, but from afternoon to night, it gradually moved away from the middle and approached the upper demand edge—weak high/supply above, strong low/demand below. OKX Hourly Chart: 13-point low remains around 2,693; 22-point low is about 2,694.5, closing at about 2【On-Chain Trading Update｜NEAR】
Monitored address 0x45f5 opened a long position:
▪ Execution price: 4.99 USD
▪ Transaction amount this time: 75,594.84 USD
▪ Leverage: 10x$CARDS is up 16.6% with roughly $637K volume. I’m not interested in buying the spike; I want to see whether buyers defend the breakout area. My zone is 0.267–0.271. If price holds there and reclaims 0.275 with volume, I’d consider the long.
Entry: 0.267–0.271
Confirm: 0.275 + volume
SL: 0.258
TP1: 0.285 | TP2: 0.300 | TP3: 0.320 | TP4: 0.345
R:R: ~1:3 to TP3
A clean break below 0.258 invalidates the setup. I’ll wait for confirmation instead of chasing momentum.Early morning analysis
Only by enduring loneliness can one wait for the market to come; trading to the end tests patience and composure.
Four-hour chart: BTC surged to 872 but faced resistance and pulled back, currently priced at 856, entering a correction and consolidation phase.
On the four-hour timeframe, after the price previously surged to touch the upper Bollinger Band, it faced pressure and formed a long upper shadow candlestick, followed by consecutive bearish candles pulling back. Currently, it is testing support at the middle Bollinger Band. Medium to long-term moving averages remain upward, indicating that the major bullish structure is intact. This decline is merely a technical correction after a rally, not a trend reversal. The resistance at 866 is a strong short-term barrier; if a rebound can break and hold above this level with volume, bullish momentum will be released again, and the market will attempt to challenge the previous high of 872. Support at 840 is a key defense level; if the price breaks below this effectively, the bullish structure of this rally will be significantly weakened, and the trend will further weaken.
Also looking at Ethereum, the four-hour chart shows a similar pattern of surging and then pulling back under pressure, generally moving in tandem with BTC's correction. The key support is at 266; if it holds, the bullish structure remains intact, and after stabilization, a long position can be considered.
Long BTC near 840, target 870
Long ETH near 266, target 274
$BTC $ETH What does a $ATOM ATPM 64.86% staking rate mean? ATOM is being "locked up"
Hook: When nearly two-thirds of the circulating supply is locked in staking contracts, how many ATOMs are truly available for sale in the market?
Data doesn't lie: Currently, 64.86% of ATOM is staked, with about 340 million tokens locked across 180 active validators. The annualized staking yield is approximately 13.31%, which is relatively high among major PoS networks.
What does this mean? Only about 184 million ATOMs are truly tradable in circulation. At around $1.70, the staked market cap of ATOM is about $620 million, with a total asset market cap of approximately $950 million.
Staking locks up supply, LSM unlocks liquidity, and institutions are accumulating. As the circulating ATOM decreases, the price's gravitational direction becomes obvious.
#OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！
#OKX全球资产便利店
#OKXICE向SEC申请推出代币化股票交易平台 $SPCX
Around $167 intraday as of October 5.
Recent trend is strong: closed at $158.96 on October 2, a single-day surge of 7.35%, and rebounded about 60% from the early August low of around $105 in the short term.
Technical aspect: currently back above $160, short-term bulls dominate. Around $160 is the first support, $150 is a stronger support; resistance is near $170–175 recently, if volume breaks through $175, it may further challenge $190–200. If it falls below $150, this rebound may weaken again.
Fundamentals: the biggest highlight is no longer just rockets, but Starlink and AI computing power. TD Cowen believes AI computing power may become the main revenue growth engine recently, expecting related business to account for 35% of revenue by 2026.
But risks are also obvious: current market cap is about $2.27 trillion, forward PE about 102 times, and the company is still in a loss state, valuation is already very high.
My judgment: short-term bullish, mid-term high valuation with high volatility.
Watch for $170–175 breakout to target $200; be cautious if it breaks below $150.
Not investment advice.
#OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！
#Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元
#SpaceX获$1.6B美军合同，股价暴跌引两派争议 Q: When facing a suddenly surging asset, can you resist placing an order for 24 hours?
Yes, the appeal of a surging asset is "not that strong" for me, and I can also refrain from placing orders continuously. For example, when $ZEC was around 800-1000, I had the urge to short, but after participating in $RAVE and $LAB, I decided not to place orders. Later, we saw the highest increase approaching 1700! The increase was more than double, starting from 800.
However, personally, I don't quite agree that after a surge you must wait 24 hours or avoid trading.
A practical saying is: "If you want to believe, believe early; otherwise, don't believe at all." Different assets have different risk levels. For example, when BTC quickly rises to a key level and continues upward, going long with a stop loss just above the cost price might trigger a move 🤔
Also, newly surging coins can be quickly entered for ultra-short-term trades or cost-price "stop loss" gambles on upward potential.
Especially cautious assets are often those with dispersed holdings, no income, purely narrative-driven, and by the time you notice, the rise is already complete. Going long requires caution. Additionally, coins like rave that have completed their rise but just happened recently (with relatively fast and short-lived rallies) should not be viewed as having completed an upward trend 🤔
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
@OKX星球 @米妮Minnie_OKX $RVN is up 9.5% with about $351K displayed volume. The move has momentum, but I still want a cleaner entry than buying into the green candle. I’m watching 0.00250–0.00254 for a pullback. If buyers defend it and reclaim 0.00258 with volume, I’d consider continuation.
Entry: 0.00250–0.00254
Confirm: 0.00258 + volume
SL: 0.00243
TP1: 0.00265 | TP2: 0.00275 | TP3: 0.00290 | TP4: 0.00305
R:R: ~1:3 to TP3
Below 0.00243 invalidates my setup. Conditional trade plan only.我們來看一下比特幣的部分。 今天從早到晚同一套：偏空看，硬停損釘死在 87,300。 午後強調「紅區退完、去測藍區」；現在補上夜盤又往下壓一截的細節，數字刷新，框架不動。 亞洲夜盤成交還熱，1 小時圖跟籌碼一起對。 【操作建議】 方向：偏空看 停損：87,300 約 22:46 觀察清單印出 BTC 85,537，當日跌幅約 1.09%。 OKX 當天最高仍停在清晨 86,963.7；22 點小時 K 從開盤約 86,384 殺到最低約 85,381，收在約 85,640，等於藍區上方又被往下嗑了一口。 87,300 沒過就不出場；也不另外給進場價、不另設目標。 只要還沒打穿停損，夜間這種震盪先當回檔延續，不急著講翻多。 【技術面｜1H】 幣安 BTC 永續 1 小時圖，截圖時間約 22:46（台北）。 紅色供給集中在約 86,400～87,200，弱高就貼在這塊頂端附近；藍色需求落在現價下方更低的位置，圖上也留了更深一層的藍區。 標籤面：衝供給失敗後，CHoCH／BOS 轉成回檔節奏，紅色標記多半還掛在上方供給附近。 OKX 小時線交叉驗證：17～21 點大致困在 85,700～86Cost 11.6u, today he sent ETH to Coinbase for the second time. Twice in half a year, each time over ten thousand coins
Half a year ago, an address from 2016 deposited 15,000 ETH to Coinbase. Today, the same address deposited 13,330 ETH, worth 36.37 million USD, with an average deposit price of 2728
His cost was 11.6u
From 11.61 to 2728, a return rate of 23,402%. If he sells this ETH, the profit exceeds 36.21 million USD
This is not the first time he has done this. In March this year, he already deposited 15,000 ETH to Coinbase. After half a year, he came again for the second time. Someone who has held since 2016 wouldn’t move the same asset to an exchange twice without reason
He is not testing, he is executing a plan
People who bought $ETH in 2016 experienced the zeroing in 2018, and countless "ETH is dead" narratives during FTX in 2022. He did nothing, held for ten years. Now he starts to sell in batches, not because he thinks ETH has peaked, but because 2728 is already enough for him
Can you hold something for ten years? I feel like a diamond hand after ten months. He held for ten years, multiplied 234 times, and now starts to sell slowly. And what are most people doing? Afraid of falling after rising, afraid of zero after falling, jumping back and forth between fear and greed every day
What he gained with time was not luck, but patience
The above is organized from on-chain data and does not constitute investment advice
$BTC $PARTI is up 8.45% with around $327K shown volume. I’m treating this as a momentum continuation setup, but I don’t want to chase the current candle. I’m watching 0.0300–0.0302 for a pullback. If buyers defend it and reclaim 0.0305 with volume, I’d consider the trade.
Entry: 0.0300–0.0302
Confirm: 0.0305 + volume
SL: 0.0292
TP1: 0.0312 | TP2: 0.0320 | TP3: 0.0330 | TP4: 0.0345
R:R: ~1:3 to TP3
If 0.0292 breaks and holds below, the setup is invalid. I’m waiting for buyers to prove continuation.