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STRK is not the first cryptocurrency in the crypto space to have quantum-resistant technology; QRL launched as early as 2018 and has been natively quantum-resistant across the entire chain since its genesis. However, STRK is the first major mainstream large-cap coin to feature a "proof layer with inherent quantum resistance + smoothly upgradable full-account quantum resistance," making it a leading candidate to become a value asset resistant to market downturns in the future.
1. Distinguishing two concepts: native quantum resistance vs quantum readiness
1. QRL (mainnet launched in 2018)
From its inception, the entire chain uses XMSS hash-based post-quantum signatures for transaction signing, making it natively quantum-resistant across the whole chain. It is widely recognized as the earliest implemented quantum-resistant public chain in the industry. Its drawbacks are a small ecosystem, low market cap, and weak liquidity, so it is not considered a mainstream large-cap coin and has weaker resistance to downturns.
2. STRK (Starknet) current status
- Currently: The STARK proof layer is inherently quantum-resistant (hash-based, immune to quantum Shor’s algorithm); however, user accounts still default to elliptic curve signatures, making it quantum-ready but not fully quantum-resistant across all network accounts.
- Planned: By 2027, an upgrade will be completed to switch all network accounts to NIST Falcon post-quantum signatures. Leveraging native account abstraction, this upgrade requires no hard fork, no address changes, and no asset migration—an enormous advantage that BTC, ETH, and ZEC do not have.
Its unique positioning: Among mainstream large-cap projects, it is the only layer-2 network capable of completing a full-network quantum resistance upgrade at low cost. Although QRL’s technology is earlier, its scale is not comparable.
2. Can STRK become a value coin resistant to downturns?
✅ Reasons supporting its potential to withstand market downturns
1. Unique technological moat
Most mainstream coins use elliptic curve cryptography at their core, which could trigger panic selling if quantum technology breakthroughs occur. After STRK’s 2027 upgrade, it will fully address quantum cryptography risks, eliminating this long-term black swan event. When quantum-related negative news arises, it will not face a stampede like BTC or ETH, and risk-averse capital will prioritize allocation to it.
2. Solid fundamentals, part of the infrastructure sector
As the leading Ethereum ZK layer-2, it has real transaction fee revenue, an active DeFi ecosystem, and real-world asset (RWA) use cases. It is not an air coin relying solely on narrative. With real business cash flow support, it is more resilient than altcoins during bull market corrections and major market crashes.
3. Institutional preference for long-term secure assets
Institutions allocating crypto assets evaluate cryptographic security risks over 5-10 years. Once STRK completes its full-chain quantum resistance upgrade, it will better meet institutional long-term asset security standards, attracting stable capital and further enhancing its downturn resistance.The most noteworthy news in the crypto world today might not be that Bitcoin dropped a few points.
Ethereum researcher Justin Drake suddenly said:
The crypto industry should start considering "bunker mode."
What he worries about is not the bear market.
But the rapid development of AI, and whether one day it might find shortcuts to existing cryptography.
Even Vitalik joined this discussion.
This is particularly interesting.
Retail investors study every day:
Will Bitcoin go up or down tomorrow?
Those working on the fundamentals study:
Whether your wallet will still be secure years from now.
I actually think this is the real long-term risk worth paying attention to in the crypto world.
Bitcoin dropping from 80,000 to 60,000, I can still buy.
But if one day the underlying cryptography really needs to be migrated, it will affect the entire industry.
Of course, this is just an early discussion of the worst-case scenario, not "AI can already crack Bitcoin."
But I like this kind of discussion.
Price determines how much you earn this month.
Technology determines whether this industry will still exist ten years from now. 2017年9月4日,七部委一纸公告,ICO全面叫停。 有人在这一天之前,刚好把钱募完。 一周后,他飞去了美国。几年后,他花620万美元拍下一根香蕉,当着镜头吃掉。 他叫孙宇晨。币圈叫他孙哥,也叫他孙割。 一个踩准节点的人 孙宇晨,1990年生,北大历史系毕业,宾夕法尼亚大学硕士,做过Ripple大中华区首席代表,还是马云湖畔大学的首届学员。 履历漂亮,时机更漂亮。2017年,ICO狂潮席卷全球,只要打着区块链的旗号,改一份白皮书,就能募到一大笔钱。孙宇晨创办波场TRON,融资约7000万美元。 据报道,公告出台前,波场的发行和销售已经完成。 接下来是两个选项:退钱,或者消失。他两样都做了。公告后不久他赴美,迫于压力又退还了部分TRX,清退了公开融资。 这一招,按外界的分析,反而让他手里的TRX高度集中,控盘成本极低。2017年10月,TRX登陆海外交易所,到2018年初,币价较发行时涨了几十倍甚至上百倍。 市场传言,他在高位抛出数十亿枚TRX,套现数亿美元。具体数字没有官方口径,但这笔钱成了他后来一切动作的底气。 孙哥的新游戏:把自己炒成IP 财富自由之后,他开始专心做另一件事:炒自己#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
BTC 82418, 4H continuous bearish candles probing the bottom, 80393 sets the direction
Market: 4H continuous large bearish decline, moving averages in a bearish alignment, slight pullback to 82418 after probing 80393 at the end, 24H drop -0.50% (high 83283, low 80393)
Key levels:
• Support: 80393 (24H low / previous low)
• Resistance: 83283 (24H high / rebound high), 83626 (start of decline / short position entry)
• Target (self-set): 81000 (first target after break) → 78000 (extended target)
Objective analysis:
1. Effectively break 80393 without reclaiming → target 81000 (after confirmation of break) → 78000
2. Stabilize at 80393 + rebound → watch for resistance at 83283, if surpassing 83626 then weak trend turns to consolidation
3. Neither break nor surpass → weak consolidation between 80393-83626
Trading perspective (my short at 83626):
Holding short at 83626, current price 82418 with floating profit about 1208 points, first target 80393, break target 81000 → 78000. Stop loss at 83626, reduce position to control risk if price rises above. Lock in floating profit, do not chase lower shorts, wait for rebound resistance before acting.
Core: 80393 is the watershed; break means follow shorts to 78000, no break means beware of oversold rebound, hold steady and don’t panic 🔥 $BTC BTC this pattern still has reference value. Although it temporarily broke down in the short term, if it can stop falling and recover after the consolidation, the pattern can stabilize. The current wick has already pulled back near the boundary line.
Yesterday, I went long because it had been falling for a long time, with multiple wicks hitting the support level. I thought it could at least rebound to around 82,000, but it directly dropped to near 80,000. This retracement exceeded expectations. At that time, this was still the neckline of a daily double top, so it was a small position gamble with grit, but in the end, it was still stopped out. Fortunately, it was only the initial position.
As long as the 80,000 level holds, the major upward structure remains intact. This current low point is just the upper edge of the previous consolidation range; if it holds, the upward trend can continue. But be aware, the daily chart is still facing a bearish divergence, so it will most likely oscillate and grind back and forth next.$BTC
BTC 30-minute review
This ID's view: After a surge to 86999.11, the momentum failed to continue, directly breaking down through the previous major consolidation zone, with a low probe at 80393.56. The current phase is a corrective rebound after a sharp drop; the previously broken consolidation zone now acts as strong resistance. Do not easily conclude the downtrend has ended; the rebound facing resistance still has the possibility of retesting the lows again.
Entry: On a rebound testing upper resistance, if upward momentum weakens and stagnation signals appear, consider short positions.
Stop loss: If the price reclaims and stabilizes above the purple consolidation zone.
Chan Theory structure: On the 30-minute level, after the high, the consolidation zone was broken downward, forming a standard trend downtrend. The current rebound is a secondary pullback during the downtrend; the price has not returned inside the broken consolidation zone, so the overall bearish trend structure has not been reversed, and the reversal structure is not yet confirmed.
Wyckoff volume-price observation: During the downward breakout phase, bearish volume on down candles was significant, indicating concentrated selling pressure. In this rebound, volume has not increased correspondingly, lacking active buying volume support, indicating a technical rebound triggered by overselling.
Core observation: Focus on the multi-directional battle in the upper resistance area. If an effective breakout cannot be achieved, the probability of another downward test is high. Pay attention to the closing of candlesticks at resistance and volume coordination.$BTC pulled back directly above 82400 in the afternoon, this deep V-shaped recovery came faster than expected!
After dipping to 80400, Bitcoin has been oscillating upward and has now risen above the MA5, MA10, and MA20 short-term moving averages.
MA5 and MA10 started to turn upward near 82300, showing signs of a short-term golden cross.
However, there are still two resistance levels above: MA30 near 82240 and MA60 near 83130, with the price currently stuck in this sandwich zone.
In terms of volume, the bars during the rebound phase are generally moderate, with no obvious volume breakout, indicating buying pressure is pushing prices up, but the willingness to chase gains is not strong.
On the news front, MARA Holdings sold 996 bitcoins, worth about $81.13 million.
The mining company selling at this level indicates there is indeed real selling pressure above.
Key points to watch next:
The area around 83100, where MA60 and a previous dense trading zone overlap, will determine the quality of this recovery depending on whether it breaks out with volume;
The 81800-82000 range below is the short-term moving average support zone; as long as it holds on a pullback, the structure remains intact.
Currently, the moving average system is still in the early stage of recovery after a bearish alignment; a rebound and a reversal are two different things.
Market volatility is high, so pay close attention to volume-price coordination and control the rhythm well. Just woke up and checked my account, the original 800 dollars is now down to only 2U, my head is buzzing. Stayed up until almost 2 AM yesterday, now that I'm sober, I feel numb.
Still holding a short position on $ZEC, opened with 50x leverage, entry at 1218, now at 1184, floating profit of 0.47U. Been holding for almost two hours, it's dragging down slowly.
$ZEC, battled it all night yesterday, went back and forth 11 times. Finally got liquidated, you just can't fight the trend.
The market is all green, BTC at 81781, Ethereum at 2476, both have dropped a bit.
Next week I'll add another 100U to C, hand it over to the quant to open positions, I won't trade anymore, I'm scared. With yesterday's market, no matter how much money you have, you'd get liquidated.Bitcoin fell below 81,000, don't scare yourself about the government transferring coins
The US government transferred seized coins to Coinbase Prime, which looks alarming, but most likely they are not selling: the executive order restricts this batch as strategic reserves, selling would be a violation.
But the market is indeed weak. Once 81,000 broke, over $1 billion long positions were liquidated within 24 hours, all leveraged liquidations; short-term holders dumped nearly 30,000 losing coins into exchanges, the harshest in nearly four months. The 81,000 to 82,000 range was previously a repeatedly defended support, and above 83,000 to 85,000 is all trapped positions.
In the short term, expect consolidation and recovery, first watch if 80,000 can hold, if it really breaks then pay attention to 77,000. $BTCThe current price of BTC is approximately $82,300. If the price drops to around $78,100, some high-leverage long positions may face concentrated liquidation; if the price rises about 7.25% to around $87,700, some high-leverage short positions may face concentrated liquidation. Currently, the liquidation zone below is closer to the current price, meaning that if the price fluctuates downward, long liquidation pressure may appear earlier. Other notable zones: below at $76,200 and $67,600; above at $88,100 and $93,000. The above levels are estimated based on public market prices and changes in open interest contracts, and do not represent guaranteed price targets or predictions of price movement. Compared to the snapshot with the same criteria 24 hours ago, it has decreased by 2%; compared to the snapshot 7 days ago with the same criteria, it has decreased by 3.51%.
$BTC Empty position, empty position! As long as I don't act, I will never make a mistake!
10.9 Morning market overview: $ZEC long positions were liquidated, bounced back after breaking below 1200, no chasing for now
On the 8th, ZEC dropped from around 1326 to 1112, closing near 1115, down about 16%. On the morning of the 9th, the low was 1115, the high reached 1230, then bounced back near 1220.
Half a candlestick does not announce a reversal.
Empty position, no long positions unless it stands above 1230, no counter-trend chasing.
Privacy coins rose first then dropped.
On the 8th, it hit 1115, wiping out gains since September 16.
Reports indicate about $38 million long position liquidations.
Another data point shows about $25.3 million in 24 hours, with $20.8 million longs and $4.5 million shorts. Different time windows, not mixed.
On the 8th, during one hour, three exchanges liquidated about $10.88 million to $12.26 million longs, not the entire network 24-hour data.
Tracking mentions Grayscale ZEC spot product outflows, plus a decline in overall market risk appetite.
Back to the chart: first watch 1112–1230. 1112 is the low on the 8th, 1200 is a round number support, 1230 is the first resistance, 1330 is the previous breakdown level.
There is a pile of short liquidations above 1230; only after standing above it can we talk about covering.
No standing above 1230 means empty position, no chasing in the middle of the range.
Mainly long positions were blown out. The bulls were taught a lesson; wait for the daily candle to close before considering a reversal.$ETH perpetual 100x long position, opened at 2480.28, now at 2492.03, floating profit +48.30%.
After stabilizing above 2480, it directly made a trend-following rally. I followed the trend to go long, setting a stop loss below 2460. With 100x leverage and a very small position, the movement was stronger than expected, breaking through to around 2492, and the return keeps running!
Moved the stop loss up to 2480.28, now watching if the 2500 round number can be broken. $BTC $ZEC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 BTC
Everyone is waiting for $75k. Classic move.
Last time, when the crowd queued up to find a better entry at the previous range low, they were forcibly run over, watching the price surge wildly while they missed out. Now, after a pullback, we are retesting near the old highs, with blood everywhere, and the script turns into the same line again—"I'm waiting for lower."
Listen, I'm not saying we won't dip lower again, nor that this will print the exact same setup. But if your position is small and your conviction strong enough, entering early beats chasing that "perfect entry" that never comes.
If $BTC is going to $160k in the next cycle, what does paying 6–7% more here matter? The market is the market. Position as you should, or you might end up just waiting again.
I'm going long on the pullback. If we cleanly break below the $75k structure, then it's invalid. But for now? This looks like accumulation, not distribution. $ETH $BTC $SOL MINA is currently priced around 0.07764, with no signs of a bottoming structure on the chart. The 4-hour moving averages are turning downward, creating dense resistance, and the MACD continues to expand below the zero line, showing no signs of contraction in bearish momentum. The liquidation chart indicates that long liquidity below is already thin; the price can easily trigger stop hunts downward without much fuel, while the short covering pressure accumulated between 0.082 and 0.086 above becomes the only substantial liquidity target.
Just parked my electric bike in the shade and spilled half a bag of soup on the last order. Glancing at the market structure, it’s clearly not worth entering longs on the left side. Under bearish dominance, any rebound is a bull trap for short covering, not a bottom formation.
So only trade in one direction. Enter short positions in batches between 0.0820 and 0.0860, with a unified stop loss above 0.0888. Take profit targets are first at 0.0735 and second near 0.0700. If the price drifts down steadily without rebounding, do not chase shorts; wait for a pullback below 0.0800 before considering a light entry.
$MINA
#跟着OKX打卡2049
@OKX星球 SOL Market Analysis
1: The current rise is a rebound after a daily chart bearish divergence. Without stabilizing above 128, it is considered a weak rebound. Short positions can be tried near 127, with a stop loss set at 131.
2: If the market stabilizes, it is likely to form a double bottom structure. A direct V-shaped reversal is unlikely, so do not rush to bottom-fish.
3: Around 112 is the previous low point where the upward movement started, providing strong support. The price will likely consolidate here before choosing a direction.
4: A rebound in a market cycle often starts with small-cap tokens first, then SOL follows. Pay attention to the trend of small-cap coins; if they stop falling and recover, SOL can be bought on dips.
#MarketHighlights
#Latest data is about to be released, market sentiment faces a test
#Continuous net capital inflow, why is the token fluctuating without rising? Live room short position on zec, currently reached 1216, with 100× leverage, profit 40%, can't stream, everyone take profit in batches by yourselves without adding positions, the pattern just brought a new high stop lossMain focus $ETH | Strategy: short on rebound, the floor bounced a bit, the ceiling hasn't moved at all
$ETH current price 2,493, direction short, order placed not far above the head. Short on rebound to 2,535-2,575 — the floor that was broken through a couple of days ago is now converted into the ceiling; stop loss at 2,630, target first at 2,405 (7-day low), if broken down then to 2,357, leverage capped at 3x. Reason in one sentence: since falling from 2,739, every floor that collapsed has been conveniently turned into the next ceiling. The 2,535 level smashed on 10/07 and the upper edge of the bearish candle body at 2,572-2,587 on 10/08 are all lined up overhead waiting for a rebound to deliver shorting opportunities. $ETH bulls have been on a deep "pain city" tour these past two days: numb feet, numb accounts, and even losing money on checkout. Today's small-volume bullish candle finally shows some "signs of life," unlike the machine orders exploding everywhere the past two days — but until the ceiling moves, live traders shouldn't rush upstairs. Trạng thái tích lũy: Dữ liệu phân tích on-chain cho thấy Bitcoin hiện đang bị kẹt dưới một rào cản phân phối cung rất lớn ở khu vực 86.500 - 87.600 USD. Vùng mở cửa năm 2026: Trùng hợp thay, mức giá 87.570 USD chính là điểm mở cửa đầu năm của năm 2026, đóng vai trò như một ngưỡng tâm lý và kháng cự cực kỳ kiên cố. Hoạt động chốt lời: Dữ liệu ghi nhận áp lực chốt lời trên chuỗi (on-chain profit-taking) tăng vọt đột biến mỗi khi đường giá tiến gần sát vùng kháng cự này. Kịch bản đột phá: Để mở ra How does the $HYPE trading fee turn into buybacks?
As of June 30, 2026, Hyperliquid's cumulative protocol revenue has exceeded $1 billion.
Approximately 97% to 99% of the protocol fees are used by the Assistance Fund to repurchase HYPE on the open market, with over 41 million tokens cumulatively bought back and burned.
For holders, this transmission path means traders pay fees, the fund buys and burns tokens, rather than directly distributing protocol revenue. The cumulative revenue milestone reflects the scale of fees charged and cannot be directly converted into token holder earnings.#跟着OKX打卡2049 I was on site for this trip to Singapore. I think what really makes TOKEN2049 stand out is that OKX sponsored the main stage. From October 7 to 8, the entire five floors of Marina Bay Sands were open, with over 25,000 people and more than 7,000 companies packed together. Star chatted with former Governor Cuomo about AI and crypto, and McLaren driver Lando also took the stage to talk about winning at high speed. The booth is on the fifth floor PB5-70, with over ten thousand green bags, fans, and lanyards available—just check in and answer questions to get them. I suggest not wandering around aimlessly; first go to the fifth floor to recognize the OKX Main Stage, then head to the booth to grab the swag. $IOTA perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.0599, currently at 0.05043, floating profit +316.19%.
0.06 resistance is solid; every time it nears this level, it feels like there's selling pressure holding it down. Confident in a successful top detection, will short directly on a bearish candle. 20x leverage, very small position, stop loss at 0.062.
Currently +316.19%, moving stop loss to 0.0599. Profit secured, calm mindset, watching the remaining position play out. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $GRASS perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.7755, now at 0.6327, floating profit +368.27%.
The logic is very simple: the 0.775 whole number resistance was tested multiple times without breaking, volume decreased, showing clear top characteristics. Finally waited for a big bearish candle to short. 20x leverage, stop loss at 0.8. The movement was very smooth, no chance for a rebound, directly dropped to 0.6327.
Moved stop loss up to 0.7755 to lock in profits. If the volume breaks below 0.6, can hold a bit longer to see 0.55. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 October 9, Small Coin Watch: ONDO, SUI, INJ.
ONDO｜Priority on following up Private Markets announced, the direction is to tokenize the economic income exposure of unlisted companies, the first AI target's actual market opening still needs verification. On October 8, daily opened at 0.4701, closed at 0.4705, with a trading volume about 1.67 times the average volume of the previous 5 days. Volume increased with oscillation, buy-sell divergence remains. Support at 0.439–0.440, resistance at 0.500–0.513. 0.4135 reserved as a reference for daily invalidation.
SUI｜Expectations, waiting for fulfillment. On October 8, announced Hashi mainnet plan to launch in phases this month, with over $500 million in funding commitments, Anchorage Digital joined. Note, these are funding commitments, not all funds have arrived yet. The daily line fell about 7.76% that day, volume about 1.60 times the average volume of the previous 5 days, the follow-up after the positive news is still weak. Support observed at 0.999–1.014, resistance at 1.128–1.147.
INJ｜Node has landed, price still digesting. On October 8, Gulf Labs verification node officially went live; subsequent cooperation on tokenization, stablecoins, etc. is still being explored. The daily line fell about 9.47% that day, volume about 1.53 times the average volume of the previous 5 days. There is progress in news, the market waits for a stop in the decline first. Support observed at 6.42–6.68, resistance at 7.20, 7.46–7.54.
For now, just placing observation orders The recent sharp drop in $BTC and $ETH is essentially a chain reaction of sell pressure triggered by the breach of high-level resistance and concentrated liquidation of high-leverage long positions. In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation amount across the network exceeded $550 million, with positions related to $ETH accounting for nearly one-third, directly dragging down the risk appetite of the entire crypto market.
The liquidity contraction of mainstream coins will first directly transmit to altcoins. Most ordinary altcoins lack independent buy-side support, so funds will immediately withdraw from high-risk small coins and shift to core assets like $BTC and $ETH for risk aversion. This causes altcoins to generally fall much more than mainstream coins, with many previously hype-driven tokens experiencing daily declines exceeding 20%.
Only two types of altcoins can achieve phase-specific independent rallies: one type includes high-quality tokens like $AI and $RWA, which have sustained ecological support. These tokens have undergone prolonged consolidation and ample capital layout, and will be the first to rebound after the market stabilizes; the other type is platform tokens, such as $OKB, which are backed by real exchange revenue and often show strong resilience during market crashes, making them a short-term safe haven for funds.
However, the sustainability of such counter-trend rallies is very limited. The long-term trajectory of the vast majority of altcoins still depends on the major trends of $BTC and $ETH. Only after mainstream coins complete this round of liquidation and stabilize above core support levels will altcoins have the opportunity for widespread recovery. Blindly bottom-fishing altcoins before this is likely to lead to a passive situation of "the more you buy, the more it falls."
#跟着OKX打卡2049 $AAVE
This ID's view: After a surge reaching 187.88, it failed to continue the upward attack and directly broke below the upper large-scale consolidation zone, causing the market to enter a downward channel. Currently, it is only a slight recovery rebound after the decline. The previous major platform has turned into strong resistance, so do not easily judge this as a stop in the decline or a reversal. The rebound encountering resistance still has the possibility of further downward exploration.
Entry: Consider short positions when the rebound tests the resistance level upward, upward momentum weakens, and the candlestick shows stagnation.
Stop loss: When the price returns back into the upper purple consolidation zone.
Chan theory structure: On the 30-minute level, after the high point appears, it breaks down through the consolidation zone, starting a downward trend. The current upward movement is a secondary pullback action during the decline process. The price has not returned inside the broken consolidation zone, the overall structure dominated by bears is not broken, and no reliable reversal signal has appeared yet.
Wyckoff volume-price observation: During the drop breaking the consolidation zone, the bearish volume on down candles was obvious, showing concentrated selling pressure from bears. In contrast, this rebound's volume has not increased synchronously, showing no volume support from bulls' active attack, and is a technical repair after overselling.
Core observation: Focus on the long-short game at the upper resistance level. If an effective upward breakthrough cannot be achieved, the probability of further weakening and downward exploration is high. Pay close attention to the strength changes of candlesticks near the resistance."The Market Is Asleep, So Why Is FIL Sneaking Ahead?"
FIL has been acting a bit unruly these past couple of days. The overall market seems paused, with BTC and ETH almost moving in a straight line. Altcoins should be dozing off, but FIL touched around 1.21, surging 8.75% in a single day, carving out an independent rally.
Breaking it down, the story isn’t mysterious. The early linear unlock stretched over six years, and the market expects most of it to be released by mid-October. After that, daily new circulating supply could drop by about 70%, naturally easing selling pressure. Coincidentally, the mainnet upgrade is approaching, and Filecoin’s “decentralized cloud storage” label is resurfacing: AI is driving data volumes sky-high, cloud storage charges by subscription, idle hard drives mine FIL—old narratives with a fresh coat of paint, smelling quite appealing again.
The big players aren’t giving direction, but the smaller ones want to grab the mic. OKB suddenly stirred up; the Singapore OKX Now event ignited buying for the platform token, and the slogan “all-weather market” is catchy enough. Whether top exchanges feel pressured is uncertain, but this marketing push definitely hit the timing right.
Looking ahead, the Fed’s September meeting minutes, weakening BTC whale selling pressure, and three consecutive weeks of net inflows into ETFs could all add variables to the sideways market. Whether FIL’s acceleration is a false spark or a reversal depends on the unlock execution and upgrade delivery.
#跟着OKX打卡2049 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #ETH现货ETF连续三周净流入 Gold ETFs attract capital, yet gold prices continue to fall; this time even gold bulls have to face differences in funding metrics.
The World Gold Council's report on October 7 shows that global gold ETFs had a net inflow of about $10 billion in September, while gold prices fell 8.5% during the same period. Both data points coexist, and no one needs to pretend one doesn't exist to defend their position.
The report also mentions a contraction in net managed money positions on COMEX. This statistic reflects changes in futures positions and cannot be directly equated to cash outflows, nor simply offset against ETF subscriptions. However, it does indicate that some are increasing long-term allocations while other trading funds are reducing exposure. Buyers and sellers never have completely identical objectives.
High U.S. Treasury yields and a strong dollar also increase the opportunity cost of holding gold. You can worry about geopolitical conflicts and fiscal risks while acknowledging that short-term prices will still be suppressed by interest rates. The insurance role gold plays and whether it can rise this week are two separate issues.
What is most frustrating is explaining purchases with a long-term hedging logic but bearing volatility with short-term leverage. The direction hasn't been proven wrong yet, but the account can't hold up first. Gold has allocation reasons, but no one pays for your losses during the waiting period. Seeing ETFs attract capital, I recognize the demand; seeing drawdowns, I also treat them as a cost that must be borne.
#黄金ETF创纪录吸金，高利率仍压制金价 "ETH" on other networks may only be a certificate representing the mainnet asset.
Displaying the ETH symbol does not mean the asset has exactly the same legal and technical attribute boundaries. $ETH on the mainnet is the protocol's native asset; after bridging to another network, what users receive may be a representation of locked assets, a third-party issued wrapped token, or a certificate promised by a liquidity pool for redemption. Its value is pegged to mainnet ETH but additionally depends on the bridge contract and operational mechanisms.
When the bridge operates normally, these differences are almost invisible, and prices often approximate a one-to-one ratio. The real distinction appears during incidents: if the bridge is attacked, withdrawals are paused, validators go offline, or wrapped assets lose liquidity, the symbol remains ETH, but redemption capability may change. Wallets that only display the token name without showing the issuing contract cause users to underestimate this dependency.
This does not mean all wrapped assets should not be used, but liquidity certificates should not be mistaken for the native asset itself. Long-term holders concerned about ultimate control should know whether they hold protocol assets, official bridge mappings, or third-party promises, and verify if the redemption contract is still functional. Names can be the same, but risk sources do not merge because of that."$ETH's sharp drop this time is due to three core reasons:
① ETF funds are running. The Ethereum spot ETF has seen net outflows for 7 consecutive trading days, totaling about $569 million, with $160 million flowing out just yesterday. Institutions are withdrawing, and buying support can't hold.
② BitMine stops increasing holdings. BitMine's holdings have reached 6.02 million ETH, hitting the 5% limit, and it announced it will stop weekly regular purchases. The previously largest marginal buyer suddenly disappeared, worsening market sentiment.
③ Macro risk aversion + surge in U.S. Treasury yields. The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield surged to 5.71%, oil prices rose, the dollar strengthened, and risk assets collectively came under pressure. BTC fell below 83,000 to a three-week low, ETH followed with high beta, $165 million worth of longs were liquidated, amplifying the decline. $BTC #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 This building called $SSV has already reached the brink of structural wall cracking.
A 24-hour rise of 5.09% seems like it's still being built upward, but when I spread out the blueprints, all the problems lie in the structure. The current quote is $2.19, while the Bollinger Bands' mid-term cycle has pushed the price to 116% of the range—this means the rebar has long pierced through the formwork, exceeding the upper band by a full 1.1%, a typical cantilever instability. The short-term cycle is also standing on the critical 95% line, with only 0.4% margin left to the upper band, but a 7.2% gap downward. This kind of stress distribution means any disturbance could cause the entire floor to collapse.
Regarding RSI, the 1-hour line reads 68.1, the long-term cycle 61.8, both approaching the threshold of the overbought zone. The momentum is like a prestressed tendon that has been over-tensioned—straight on the surface but with internal stress over-accumulated. Any rebound test will expose its limits.
So my plan is not to keep building higher, but to first dismantle the scaffolding.
📉 Short:
Entry: 2.26 (current price +3.4%)
Take Profit 1: 1.98 (-9.5%)
Take Profit 2: 2.00 (-8.5%)
Stop Loss: 2.51 (-14.6%)
The entry point is set 3.4% above the current structure to wait for the last batch of blindly chasing construction teams to enter and exhaust the volume; that is the best baseline for dismantling. The first take profit level is 9.5% vertical drop from entry, landing exactly on the support elevation of the next floor slab; the stop loss is set at +14.6% because once it exceeds this height, it means the overall framework has changed its load-bearing logic. I won’t risk my life betting on a building I don’t understand.
What $SSV lacks now is not a story, but a foundation inspection report. No matter how beautifully the white paper is drawn, it only deserves to hang on the wall as a rendering.The lower the leverage, the greater the opportunity
Sometimes it's not that you can't predict correctly
But that the leverage multiplier is set too high
Clearly at the reversal point, but it's even lower or higher than you expected
Just enough to hit your stop loss and then the trend reverses
I believe many people have experienced this
Lower the leverage a bit, the stop loss can be set further, increasing the chance
In trading, slow is fast. $ETH $BTC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $AKE Perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.03461, currently at 0.02777, unrealized profit +395.26%.
After hitting resistance above 0.034, it directly dropped with the trend. I followed the short accordingly, setting stop loss above 0.036. With 20x leverage and a very small position, the trend was weaker than expected, dropping directly to around 0.027, doubling the return!
Moved the stop loss up to 0.03461, now watching if the 0.025 whole number support can break. $BTC $ETH #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 Order Book Strength Ranking
5-minute median slippage, estimated based on the order book
After amplifying orders for MINA and PONS, both buy and sell slippage increased significantly, with MINA showing the highest simulated slippage at the 100,000 scale.
$MINA simulated slippage for 10,000 scale buy/sell is 0.13%/0.10%, and for 100,000 scale is 0.63%/0.54%.
$PONS simulated slippage for 10,000 scale buy/sell is 0.08%/0.10%, and for 100,000 scale is 0.55%/0.53%.
$STRK large sell cost decreased. Simulated sell slippage at 100,000 scale dropped from 0.35% to 0.30%.On October 8, $ALGO surged nearly 20% in a single day (from 0.1185 to 0.1419 USD), driven by dual catalysts of quantum resistance narrative and AI agent payments; it retraced 7.5% on the same day after the spike.
A 20% increase, but fundamentals haven't caught up yet
$ALGO really can rise. On October 8, it jumped from 0.1185 USD to 0.1419 USD, nearly a 20% gain in one day.
The logic is clear. The quantum resistance roadmap rides the "bunker mode" hype, with 1.6 million transactions already executed; on the AI payments front, Algorand chain USDC settlements lead with 390,000 USD.
But the pullback was also quick. After the spike, it gave back 7.5%, and TVL is only 67 million USD. This wave is driven by sentiment first. $AEON perpetual 20x long position, opened at 0.05336, currently at 0.06502, floating profit +437.03%.
0.053 is a strong support level; every time it approaches this area, it seems to be supported. I believe the bottom has been found, and a bullish candle will trigger a long. 20x leverage, very small position, stop loss at 0.05.
Currently +437.03%, trailing stop at 0.05336. Profit secured, calm mindset, watching the remaining position. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Flush went deeper than expected into a smaller demand zone
Would like to see $BTC flip April fools into support again. Making this drive lower manipulation and we move into distribution
Proceeding with caution. Not out of the woods completely yet w/o confirmation.
#DailyOrbit $WIF perpetual 50x short position, opened at 0.2471, now at 0.2148, floating profit +653.58%.
The logic is very simple: the 0.247 integer resistance level was tested multiple times without breaking, volume decreased, showing clear top characteristics. Finally waited for a large bearish candle to short. 50x leverage, stop loss at 0.26. The movement was very smooth, no chance for a rebound, directly dropped to 0.2148.
Moved stop loss up to 0.2471 to lock in profits. If the 0.2 level breaks with volume, can hold a bit longer to see 0.18. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Marscoin continues to flow into Binance, increasing the risk of $MarsCoin price decline. Let's take a look at the data!
Data changes of the top 40 MarsCoin holders as of 2026.10.9
Binance Spot: Inflow of 46 million coins
Gate1: Inflow of 9 million coins
Gate5: Outflow of 9 million coins
Mexc: Outflow of 600,000 coins
New entries in top 40: 5 people, all rankings rose
Dropped out of top 40: 5 people, 4 transferred out, 1 reduced holdings
Top 40 increased holdings: 2 people, 1 transferred in, 1 increased holdings
Top 40 reduced holdings: 1 person
MarsCoin Daily Key Summary:
This time, 5 new addresses entered the top 40, all with normal ranking increases. Among the 5 who dropped out of the top 40, 4 transferred out, mostly flowing into exchanges, and only 1 slightly reduced holdings. The number of people increasing or decreasing holdings in the top 40 is very small, having no impact on the market. The inflows and outflows at Gate exchange are asset consolidations, while Binance saw an inflow of 46 million tokens, which is a large amount. The token price has dropped 20% since the last statistics. Overall market volatility is small, data fluctuations are minor, no buying pressure is visible on-chain, and tokens continue to flow into Binance. This indirectly proves that holders' confidence is no longer firm. If tokens continue to flow into Binance, it is very likely to have a significant impact on the subsequent market because 70% of tokens deposited into Binance are likely to be sold, and only 30% are likely to be held.$WLD perpetual 50x short position, opened at 0.5794, now at 0.4964, floating profit +716.25%.
Honestly, this trade was opened extremely comfortably. Above 0.58 it clearly couldn't rise further, a double top pullback scenario. When the bearish candle slammed down, I shorted immediately, with a stop loss at 0.6. Running a very small position with 50x leverage, it never looked back and directly crashed to 0.4964.
+716.25%, moving stop loss to 0.5794. In this market, shorts are the way to go, steadily taking big profits. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $ETH Here are my thoughts.
In the short term, I tend to expect a rebound. The morning star pattern formed recently is not bad, but there is heavy selling pressure around 2500 above. If the price cannot break through 2505, the rebound will hardly proceed smoothly. The hourly chart must hold above 2505 to indicate that this downtrend has temporarily paused, giving a chance to test the 2538~2579 range; if it can't hold, this rebound is likely just an illusion.
The current market looks more like a consolidation grind. It can't break above 2505, nor has it fallen below 2451 on the downside, oscillating between these two levels. Once 2451 is breached, the market may retest the previous low at 2408, and this probability should not be ignored.
Long strategy: Wait for a volume breakout above 2505, then follow on the right side, placing stop loss at the pullback low after the breakout; exit if it breaks down. If it pulls back to around 2438 with clear support, you can try a small long position; but if it breaks below 2402, do not stubbornly hold.
Short strategy: If volume drops below 2469 and the rebound fails to reclaim this level, you can short on the right side, remembering to manage risk. You can also try shorting near 2538; if it breaks above 2579, admit the mistake and exit.
Left-side opportunity: If the market spikes down to 2388, consider going long; stop loss immediately if it breaks below 2358, and do not hold onto wishful thinking. "Bitcoin is the original memecoin. That's why no memecoin is ever going to flip Bitcoin, because Bitcoin itself is the first digital asset whose value was derived completely from the collective belief that this thing would be worth trillions in market cap someday, and it started from zero."
"The core thesis that Murad has is directionally correct... I do think there is going to be a premium on individuals and on assets that people have real belief in."
#DailyOrbit #BTC Spot ETF Records Largest Single-Day Net Outflow in Nearly Three and a Half Months
BTC Spot ETF records the largest single-day net outflow in nearly three and a half months
Brothers, institutional funds have turned around. On October 7, the US spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net outflow of $484.9 million, the largest single-day outflow since June 25, completely reversing the previous day's net inflow of $118.8 million. BlackRock IBIT outflowed $207.7 million, Fidelity FBTC outflowed $105.1 million, ARKB outflowed $101.7 million, with these three accounting for 85% of the total outflow that day. The cumulative inflow of $321.6 million over the first four trading days of October was wiped out in one day, turning into a net outflow of about $163 million so far in October.
Why the run? Triple macro pressures hit simultaneously. The 30-year US Treasury yield reached its highest since 2002, the 10-year yield rose above 5.3%; Brent crude oil jumped over 4% to above $104 due to a drop in Hormuz Strait shipping volume to a two-month low; the Federal Reserve minutes suggest possible rate hikes by year-end. Rising risk-free rates combined with increasing inflation expectations have led institutions to reduce risk exposure.
BTC current price is about 82,000, with support at 81,800; breaking below that points to 80,000. Those with positions should set stop-loss below 81,500; if you are not holding, don't catch a falling knife—wait for a pullback near 81,800 with reduced volume and stabilization before buying.
What do you think about this wave of institutional retreat? Let's discuss in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #黄金ETF创纪录吸金，高利率仍压制金价
Haven't talked about gold for a long time because I can't afford to add more positions; currently holding gold funds at a floating loss. I'm considering opening a 10x short hedge 💵
The simultaneous occurrence of “Gold ETF setting record inflows” and “High interest rates suppressing gold prices” seems contradictory on the surface but essentially reflects the tug-of-war between short-term macro interest rate pricing and mid-to-long-term asset allocation logic.
With the Fed maintaining high policy rates, and nominal yields on U.S. Treasuries and TIPS real yields remaining elevated, holding cash, short-term bonds, and money market funds can earn considerable risk-free interest.
The past gold pricing framework heavily relied on the “negative correlation between gold and real yields on U.S. Treasuries.” However, recently this correlation has significantly weakened—on-exchange derivatives focus tightly on short-term macro data and interest rate dot plot fluctuations, while off-exchange physical gold, central bank purchases, and physical gold ETFs continue accumulating, creating a range-bound tug-of-war pattern of “futures shorts suppressing elasticity, spot/ETF supporting the base.”
Historical cycles show that gold often initiates a major upward wave before or as rate cuts officially begin or accelerate.
In the short term, gold prices will still face resistance above and maintain wide oscillations. If ETF funds see no catalyst from rate cuts in the long run, some high-cost positions may take profits or suffer catch-down losses.
Once the “high real interest rate” chain suppressing gold prices breaks, the long-suppressed sentiment will resonate with the massive underlying ETF/central bank holdings, leading to a more explosive breakout rally. Brothers, the on-chain data is out. Investors who bought BTC in 2025 have an average cost of 88000, now at 82000, so they are also at a floating loss. 😅😅😅😅😅
Damn, even those who bottomed out in 2025 are trapped. BTC fell from the high of 126000, trapping batch after batch.
I think 88000 is a major resistance level. When BTC rebounds to around 88000, this batch of trapped holders will be freed and flee, causing heavy selling pressure.
Don’t expect a return to 88000 in the short term. First, let’s see if 83500 can be surpassed.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 $BTC $ETH $ZEC ETH holder, I’m not worried at all about this round of pullback; my long-term bullish view remains unchanged.
From above 2700, it dropped all the way down to around 2400, a decline of over 11% in 7 days. Sister Three’s account has shrunk with an unrealized loss of over 40%, so feeling uneasy is normal. But you can’t just look at red and green candles. Today, the 1-hour K-line stopped falling at 2405, the price bounced back above 2480, and turned green again intraday. Buyers are steadily absorbing sell orders at the lows. This kind of volume-shrinking dip followed by stabilization often signals a completed shakeout rather than a trend reversal.
I’m optimistic about $ETH, never basing my view on a single candle. Its ecosystem, L2 solutions, staking lockups, and institutional adoption have been built up over years and won’t disappear because of a week’s correction. The 90-day cycle is still positive, and the medium-term foundation remains intact. Discussions about upgrades and ETFs continue, sentiment hasn’t dissipated, and capital hasn’t left.
This brief pullback shakes out weak hands and leaves those who truly understand it. I’ve experienced deeper drawdowns than this, and every time in hindsight, it was a window to buy or add positions. Hold on, don’t let short-term volatility decide for you. 3000 is not the end, just the next stop.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#全球长期国债收益率升至多年高位
#OKX以250亿美元估值完成战略融资 No amount of Robinhood “support” is going to save this chain.
The problem runs deeper than a lack of attention. It’s a blockchain with no clear reason to exist. Listing more speculative meme coins and Robinhood ecosystem tokens won’t change that reality.
Competing with Solana as a general-purpose blockchain is an uphill battle. That’s the same challenge facing Base, Sui, Aptos, Abstract, and MegaETH. Without a compelling reason for users and developers to choose them.
#DailyOrbit #Bitcoin Reused Addresses Hold 4.33 Million BTC
⚠️ 4.33 million $BTC face public key exposure issues, bringing quantum computing risks back into focus
Glassnode data shows that BTC held in reused Bitcoin addresses has increased to about 4.33 million coins, accounting for 21.5% of the circulating supply. Over the past year, this figure has grown by approximately 14.2%.
More notably, when combining reused addresses with some legacy address structures, the total BTC with exposed public keys reaches about 6.26 million coins, representing 31.2% of the total supply.
Why does this matter?
Bitcoin addresses may expose their corresponding public keys during spending transactions. Reusing addresses keeps the public key continuously visible, so if quantum computing achieves sufficient cracking power in the future, these assets could face higher risks.
But don’t misinterpret this: public key visibility does not equal private key compromise, nor does it currently mean these BTC can be directly stolen.
What truly deserves attention is how the Bitcoin ecosystem will advance quantum-resistant cryptographic solutions and whether migrating assets from old addresses will become a long-term issue. $BTC, according to the normal correction range in a bull market, generally after the first wave of the rally peaks in the short term, the correction amplitude is between 10% and 15%. This wave's short-term top is around 87,000, so our correction range is roughly between 76,000 and 80,000. Why does everyone start looking at 40,000 just because of a slight pullback? When it rises, they look at 100,000; when it falls, they look at 40,000?
I have emphasized this point to everyone before: Institutions are collectively retreating! BTC outflow of 487 million in a single day, can 83,000 still hold?
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
We really can't be careless this time! On the 7th, the US BTC spot ETF had a single-day net outflow of $487 million, the largest in nearly three and a half months. BlackRock iShares saw an outflow of 208 million, Fidelity 105 million, ARKB 102 million, with all 12 products experiencing outflows, not a single net inflow.
What’s even more painful is that the day before, there was an inflow of 119 million, which was immediately reversed. Since October, the cumulative net outflow has reached 163 million, and BTC has also dropped to around 83,000.
I think this can't be seen as an ordinary correction. The Fed’s stance is hawkish, US Treasury yields, the dollar, and oil prices are all high, the market is already under pressure, and with institutional funds withdrawing again, it will be even harder for bulls to turn things around.
Of course, a single-day outflow doesn’t mean the bull market is over, but continuous outflows are definitely not a good sign. Being bullish on the crypto market long-term doesn’t mean institutions won’t reduce positions in the short term. Don’t just listen to the good news stories; you have to see where the real money is going.
Key focus going forward: will ETFs continue large outflows, and can funds turn positive again? If withdrawals persist, BTC may need to find support lower; if outflows narrow quickly, this might just be a phase of risk aversion.
I definitely won’t rush to bottom-fish or follow the crowd to cut losses. The scarier the market, the more you have to control your hands. If institutions keep running, 83,000 might not hold! What do you think, is this a shakeout or the start of a bigger correction?The decline has lessened, so for now, don't follow the rebound to green.
$SUI has still risen about 38% in the past month, but it has already dropped about 6.1% in the past week, currently around 1.095 tonight.
The previous gains remain, but right now we can't continue to set expectations based on a strong market.
I'm more concerned about where the price will stop when the next rebound meets a pullback.
If it falls lower each time, it means the recovery hasn't caught up yet.
If the pullback becomes shallower, then pushing higher has a better foundation.
Relying solely on monthly gains to stay bullish is a bit too easy.
Short term, wait for it to finish retreating; don't look for reasons for the next rally prematurely.
$HYPE is back near 85.8, with a monthly gain of only about 1%, and a weekly drop of about 4.6%.
This means those who bought in the past month and held on
may not have much profit left, depending on their entry point.
For now, I’m lowering expectations for a quick surge.
We need to see the price rise again,
not just occasional spikes followed by immediately resetting targets to previous highs.
$BICO has basically been flat over 24 hours but still dropped about 8.7% over the week and about 10% over the month.
It didn’t fall much today, so we can catch our breath, but this doesn’t prove the prior weakness is over.
I will watch if it can move from "no longer falling" to "starting to rise."
Then from one rise to continuous recovery, every step needs to show progress.
Skipping a step in judgment often helps avoid impulsive decisions.#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049