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Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz have pushed up oil prices and inflation expectations, delaying rate cut expectations. High-risk assets like Ethereum fear rising interest rates the most; the grand blockchain narrative temporarily takes a backseat in the face of macro liquidity. $ETH The research vice president from Fidelity came out to pour cold water, saying the bear market may not be over.
This sounds frustrating, but if you think about it carefully, he's not just shouting blindly.
His logic is simple: the rebound in August could be a starting point, or it might just be a bounce within the bear market. Price going up doesn't mean the bear market is over.
Then he threw out a time point: November.
The bottom of the last bear market was November 2022. Following a four-year cycle, this month deserves attention. But he also said history has never repeated precisely; $BTC could fall again, even hitting new lows after November.
However, there's a detail I looked at twice.
From June to mid-August, volatility first stayed low, then suddenly expanded. This pattern has appeared at the end of previous bear markets. In plain language, sellers might be almost done selling.
So my attitude is simple: don't rush to call a bull return. The rebound is real, but the cycle hurdle hasn't been cleared yet.
Before November, I'd rather earn less than be the one fooled by a bounce to jump in.
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 #美CFTC推进加密市场规则，SEC拟调整托管框架 $BTC FOMC minutes released, most officials lean towards further tightening. After trading for a long time, I've found that what really causes beginners to lose is not poor skills, but these 5 unresolved questions. Many people ask as soon as they enter the market: "Can I buy now?" But the real question should be: "Why do I want to buy?" If the answer is just "I'm afraid of missing out on the rise," then you're not trading, you're chasing emotions. The second question: "How much should I buy?" It's simple—if losing all this money would affect your life, then your position size exceeds your risk tolerance. The third: "Can beginners trade contracts?" My advice has always been clear: don't rush. Without understanding basics like margin, liquidation, and leverage, jumping into contracts can easily turn trading into gambling. The fourth: "Should I add when the price drops?" First ask yourself: Am I adding because the logic hasn't changed, or because I'm stuck and unwilling to accept the loss? If it's just to lower the average cost, it's better to stop than to let one mistake become a bigger one. The fifth: "When should I sell?" The answer should be determined before buying. When the target is reached, consider taking profits in batches; if the logic fails, accept exiting. Many people don't fail because they can't read candlesticks, but because they lack a trading plan. They can't bear to sell when prices rise, nor cut losses when prices fall, leaving all decisions to greed and fear. So the first lesson you really need to practice in trading is not finding a "magic indicator." It's: Think it through,ETH showed a bullish flag rebound at 2365, rising nearly 400 points to 2775, then encountered resistance at 2775 and formed a major pullback down to 2400, nearly 370 points. The market formed a large M-top structure with back-and-forth shifts between bulls and bears.
ETH dipped to 2404 in the early morning before quickly rebounding, but there is a divergence between volume and price, so be cautious of a bull trap and another pullback.
In the past 24 hours, the entire network liquidations reached $1.19 billion, with ETH trading pair liquidations hitting $356 million, about 6 times the liquidation amount of BTC. Notably, Maji big brother Huang Licheng is a key focus.
ETH spot ETFs have seen net outflows for 8 consecutive trading days. Are institutions rotating into BTC and other assets?
Even so, I personally think ETH remains strong. The price firmly stands above 2000, has not fallen back to 1800, and volatility is not very large, around 400 points up or down RLC's 24-hour volatility exceeded 110%, surging from 0.7066 to 1.488 before crashing back to 1.05, with a single-day trading volume of $43,729,000. Scoured the entire internet and found no solid positive news.
No story, purely a sharp rise driven by leverage, which really tests reaction speed. That long upper shadow on the spike is a commemorative badge for those who chased in. $RLC
$BTC $ETH $BTC #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
The US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a net outflow of $484.9 million on October 7, marking the largest single-day outflow since June 25. This reversal wiped out the cumulative net inflow of $321.6 million from the first four trading days of October, turning the month so far into a net outflow of approximately $163 million. Bitcoin fell to about $83,000 on the same day, the lowest daily closing price in 17 days, marking a third consecutive day of decline.
Outflow structure: BlackRock leads, seven funds with zero flow
BlackRock's IBIT recorded the largest net outflow of $207.7 million, reversing completely from a net inflow of $122 million the previous day. Fidelity's FBTC saw an outflow of $105.1 million, ARK Invest's ARKB outflowed $101.7 million, Grayscale's GBTC outflowed $39.3 million, Bitwise's BITB outflowed $27.6 million, and VanEck's HODL outflowed $3.5 million. Seven other funds maintained zero net flow, including Grayscale Mini BTC and Morgan Stanley's MSBT, indicating that outflows were concentrated in major large products.
Macro background: Triple pressure simultaneously applied
The ETF fund shift is not an isolated event. The September FOMC meeting minutes released on October 7 showed that most participants believed further rate hikes within the year might be appropriate. All members unanimously supported the September rate hike of 25 basis points to the 3.75%–4% range, but there was internal disagreement on the characterization of this hike—some viewed it as a preventive measure, while others saw it as a sign of a significant tightening shift in monetary policy. The hawkish minutes pushed the US dollar index up 0.4% to 102.242, near an 18-month high.
Meanwhile, escalating Middle East tensions drove Brent crude futures up more than 4%, breaking above $104 per barrel. The surge in energy prices reinforced inflation stickiness expectations, further compressing market tolerance for risk assets.
The US Treasury market also exerted pressure. The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.361% intraday, and the 30-year rose to 5.730%, both reaching the highest levels since 2002. Zaye Capital Markets analyst Naeem Aslam noted that the surge in long-term yields limits liquidity flowing into risk assets, with Bitcoin being "highly exposed to every shift in market inflation, monetary policy, and global risk appetite."
Leverage liquidations amplify the decline
Price drops triggered mechanical selling pressure. On October 7, about $550 million in crypto contracts were liquidated, with longs accounting for the majority; by October 9, after Bitcoin fell below $81,000, total market liquidations expanded further to over $1 billion. Bitget Wallet analyst Lacie Zhang commented that this round of sell-off "appears to be triggered by macro factors but amplified by the crypto market," with low trading volume making price volatility more pronounced.
Structural signal: ETFs are no longer one-way buying machines
The previous large-scale outflow on June 25 ($691.7 million) occurred at a lower Bitcoin price, while this outflow happened as Bitcoin retreated from about $87,000 at the start of the month to $83,000, indicating that some institutional funds are executing a "sell on rally" rather than "buy on dip" strategy. JPMorgan estimates that about $50 billion has flowed into the crypto market this year, and Standard Chartered is expanding institutional-grade crypto custody services to Singapore during the same period, showing that the long-term institutionalization trend remains intact. However, in the short term, with the 10-year Treasury yield approaching 5.4%, oil prices above $104, and hawkish Fed minutes all combined, ETF marginal buying power has clearly chosen to retreat.
Bitcoin is currently hovering in the $81,000–$82,000 range, with $80,000 becoming the most intuitive psychological threshold in the market. Whether this level can hold depends on two variables: whether oil prices peak and retreat in the short term, and whether the September CPI data released on October 14 shows marginal easing of inflation pressures. Until then, ETF fund flows are more likely to remain in net outflow or neutral states rather than quickly returning to the previous sustained inflow rhythm.BTC is temporarily holding above 80,000. Yesterday it dipped to a low of 80,344, just shy of 80,000, and today it bounced back near 82,650, finally allowing a short-term breather. But I think it's still too early to call a reversal.
On the 1-hour chart, MA15 is at 82,049, MA18 at 81,853, and the price has already returned above these two lines, indicating the short-term rebound may continue. However, the current price is right against MA50 at 82,664, with resistance also between 83,000 and 83,150. RSI6 is at 73.8, so the short-term is indeed a bit overheated.
Now it depends on two levels: if it can hold above 83,150, the rebound might try to push higher, first targeting 84,250 to 84,550; but if it can't break through 83,000 and instead falls back below 82,000, then this move is likely just a retracement within a downtrend.
The daily chart is still weak, with price below MA15 and MA18, and MACD hasn't fully turned bullish. So the short-term rebound is just that—a short-term rebound; the overall trend hasn't turned bullish yet. There was panic near 80,000 yesterday, and today some are rushing to chase longs on the rebound. I prefer to wait and see if 83,150 can hold effectively before making a call.
What do you think? Will this move directly close above 84,000, or will selling pressure start to appear just above 83,000? $ETH $ZEC $BTC
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 "If $ETH halves again, would you dare to catch it?"
😨 If ETH crashes from 2550 to 1200–1300 in half a month, I probably wouldn't dare. It's not that I don't want to, but I lack the guts and the life.
📉 Retail investors always chase longs at the highs and shorts at the lows, mostly at the ceiling for longs and at the floor for shorts. When emotions run high, the direction reverses completely. Doing the opposite of retail investors actually increases the win rate. Currently, ETH's daily MACD negative value is still expanding, and short-term rebounds look like bull traps. If it really falls to 1200, the market will be full of "zeroing out" voices; if you dare to reach out then, there might be another cut.
🧭 Bottom fishing is not about low prices but about trend reversal. Without a stop-fall signal, it can halve again after halving. Buying spot in batches is okay, but leveraged bottom fishing is just giving away. Don't ask if you dare; first ask if you can hold on.
⏳ Anyway, I'm not in a hurry. I'll wait for it to fall thoroughly and for volume to return. If you don't believe it, go long yourself; I respect that but won't follow.
Just personal opinion, not investment advice. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 Institutions are collectively retreating! BTC outflow of 487 million in a single day, can 83,000 still hold?
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
We really can't be careless this time! On the 7th, the US BTC spot ETF had a single-day net outflow of $487 million, the largest in nearly three and a half months. BlackRock iShares saw an outflow of 208 million, Fidelity 105 million, ARKB 102 million, with all 12 products experiencing outflows, not a single net inflow.
What’s even more painful is that the day before, there was an inflow of 119 million, which was immediately reversed. Since October, the cumulative net outflow has reached 163 million, and BTC has also dropped to around 83,000.
I think this can't be seen as an ordinary correction. The Fed’s stance is hawkish, US Treasury yields, the dollar, and oil prices are all high, the market is already under pressure, and with institutional funds withdrawing again, it will be even harder for bulls to turn things around.
Of course, a single-day outflow doesn’t mean the bull market is over, but continuous outflows are definitely not a good sign. Being bullish on the crypto market long-term doesn’t mean institutions won’t reduce positions in the short term. Don’t just listen to the good news stories; you have to see where the real money is going.
Key focus going forward: will ETFs continue large outflows, and can funds turn positive again? If withdrawals persist, BTC may need to find support lower; if outflows narrow quickly, this might just be a phase of risk aversion.
I definitely won’t rush to bottom-fish or follow the crowd to cut losses. The scarier the market, the more you have to control your hands. If institutions keep running, 83,000 might not hold! What do you think, is this a shakeout or the start of a bigger correction?CT dropped about 15%, with the price sticking close to the intraday low, but today's trading volume is still less than half of yesterday's full day.
As of 15:52 Beijing time, OKEx spot is around $0.3063, with a 24-hour high of $0.3605 and a low of $0.3050, a volatility of about 18.2%; the current price is less than 0.5% from the low, and the 24-hour trading volume is about $5.46 million.
OKEx daily data shows that the trading volume so far today is about $2.73 million, only 47.9% of yesterday's full day volume of about $5.7 million. My judgment is that the weakness remains, but the volume has not expanded in sync with the price breaking the low, so it does not look like a volume-driven clearance for now.
The easiest misjudgment is to mistake the relatively low volume as the end of selling pressure; the price is still close to the low, and support has not been confirmed. If the price breaks below $0.3050 and the volume quickly approaches or exceeds yesterday's, it indicates selling pressure is accelerating again; if it recovers above $0.33 with increased volume, a low-level turnover is more credible. $CT #OpenAI revenue reporting controversy sparks debate, AI investment returns under scrutiny The core issue is not revenue decline, but the statistical difference between gross and net methods. The previously circulated $70 billion annualized revenue estimate included the full amount of cloud channel distribution; according to OpenAI's own reporting, only net income after deducting Microsoft's share is counted, with the latest annualized figure around $50 billion, a difference of $20 billion. Both statistical methods are compliant and cannot be directly equated to business underperformance, but they can cause expectation deviations.
What this really hits on is the market's concern over high AI investment and slow returns. Large models continuously burn money purchasing computing power, capital expenditures are huge, and the market is starting to question: can the high valuation be absorbed by subsequent cash flows? Once the news broke, upstream computing power and AI hardware sectors were the first to feel pressure, reflecting an expectation game on AI market sentiment.
Mapping this to the crypto market: in the short term, it will suppress sentiment for AI sector tokens, constituting a narrative negative; but it has limited impact on the BTC and ETH markets, not considered a macro-level negative. If the market later accepts the reporting differences and confirms that real demand has not weakened, the AI concept still has room for recovery; if doubts about "high investment, weak realization" continue to ferment, AI-related tokens will remain under pressure. Going forward, focus on tracking enterprise-side payment growth and capital expenditure plans.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC "The Middle East Powder Keg Is Not Extinguished, The 80,000 Threshold Determines Life or Death"
The situation in the Middle East remains tense. Three US aircraft carriers have arrived one after another, the Pentagon has prepared a three-day strike plan, and Hurricane adds further chaos. Oil prices may rise further, increasing the downside risk in the crypto market.
The macro environment is also worrying: the 30-year US Treasury yield is approaching 5.7%, the 10-year around 5.3%, with expectations of rate hikes heating up this year. Oil prices and inflation pressures are rising again, multiple negative factors are stacking up, and risk assets are collectively under pressure.
Liquidation data in the past 24 hours: BTC liquidations reached $300 million, with long positions accounting for $270 million; ETH liquidations reached $350 million, with long positions accounting for $290 million; ZEC liquidations were even more severe, totaling $45.37 million, with long positions accounting for $40.84 million. Bulls remain the hardest hit.
Currently, BTC and ETH have stopped falling and slightly rebounded. The key is the 80,000 mark: if it holds, there is a chance for short-term recovery; if it breaks, the next targets are 78,000 to 75,000. Market sentiment is fragile, so don’t rush to bet on direction.
MET’s leading position shorted, after adding to floating profits, was stopped out. Currently, 0.42 cannot be broken, trading sideways. Another rally is expected later, with a height around 0.45–0.46, followed by a continued decline.
In terms of operations, do not chase shorts or bottom-fish; wait for confirmation at the 80,000 threshold. Use stop-losses and control position size.
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 Let's talk about NEAR now. Practical situation analysis
Always start with the conclusion: In my watchlist, NEAR's rebound is still the fastest and strongest.
But this doesn't necessarily mean it can have an independent breakout rally, because the overall market is not cooperating. On the 4H timeframe, NEAR is also in a downtrend. Therefore, do not bottom-fish; just wait. If it can rebound back to the white line area, it might even be a short opportunity, roughly around 5.2.
$NEAR
Reason:
After breaking below 4.54, we must calmly observe the subsequent market trend and adopt a new perspective on the chart, rather than continuing the past 15 days' bullish leader mindset for NEAR.
Charts don't lie. Please follow me and trust me. I prove all justice with my track record!! Bitcoin plunged to 80,000 with a sharp drop, but the buy orders caught it this time
The lowest point in the early morning hit 80,300, the 80,000 round number was briefly pierced but then bounced back, indicating there are still buyers defending that level. The daily chart shows consecutive bearish candles, Bollinger Bands are narrowing, MACD formed a bearish crossover above the zero line with weakening momentum. The price did drop, but the structure hasn't collapsed.
From a position perspective: around 80,500 is the first support, above that 84,300 is resistance formed by the intersection of the middle Bollinger Band and MA10, making it easy to cap any rebound there. In terms of rhythm, don't chase shorts during the sharp drop; consider lightly going long if it holds steady between 80,500-81,000, with a target near 84,000; if 80,000 breaks directly, this strategy is invalid and needs to be recalculated. $BTC #BitcoinThe US spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net outflow of $140.6 million yesterday, with Franklin and ARK suffering the heaviest losses. Demand for regulated crypto assets is clearly waning. On the other hand, Russia's digital ruble opened 220,000 accounts in its first month, far exceeding the expected 60,000. The expansion speed of central bank digital currencies is indeed fast, and it will likely compete directly with stablecoins and decentralized payments going forward. I sat in the security booth, unscrewed my thermos, took a sip of hot water, and then continued watching ETH.
ETH current price is 2495.38, MACD shows a death cross below the zero line, RSI is weak, and short-term momentum is declining. The CoinGlass liquidation chart shows a cluster of long liquidations around 2473, with heavier short liquidations near 2527. The price is stuck oscillating between 2490 and 2520. In this structure, chasing longs is likely to backfire, while chasing shorts risks a rebound.
Operationally, I lean bearish. Enter short positions in batches between 2510 and 2520, with a stop loss above 2535. The first take profit target is 2475, the second near the support at 2440. If the price breaks below 2440 with volume, then follow the trend and look lower. The defense point is 2535; if broken, admit the mistake and exit without holding the position.
Right now, the market is a tug of war between bulls and bears. Wait for the chips in the liquidation chart to be cleared before deciding the direction. I keep watching the entrance; everyone who comes in must register first.
$ETH
#跟着OKX打卡2049
@OKX星球 Why is the crypto market collectively dropping today? In one sentence: the leverage is piled up too high, and a single matchstick can ignite an explosion. October has already drained the money, yet the bulls are still crowded around 84,000 betting on a rise. The price just lightly touched, triggering a chain reaction of forced liquidations, wiping out billions of long positions in ten minutes. The spot market didn't run; it's the gamblers' positions being taken away. Remember: the drop isn't scary, it's the borrowed positions that are deadly. $ETH $AR I didn't expect to break even, but it directly brought me to profit. This service is top-notch.
Just after lunch while watching the market, it faked a move upward again. Every surge falls just short, heavy on the bull trap feel, with clear resistance above. I judged the high position was under pressure, so I continued to realize profits on the short position.
From 4.679 to 4.090, the short position yielded +253.47%. Feels good, brothers, this gain is satisfying.
The market cures all kinds of arrogance, especially from those who think they're the smartest.
First close 80%, keep the remaining 20% at cost price as protection. If it rebounds, don't give back the profits; don't be greedy for the last bit.
Chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, move only when the next signal comes, patiently awaiting good news.
The money earned is the realization of your understanding; the money lost is the flaw in your understanding.
$XRP $BNB #solana plans to reduce block time to 200 milliseconds
🚀 Solana is pushing block time down to 200 milliseconds, the speed upgrade is entering its final stage!
Solana is advancing a major network upgrade: gradually shortening the target block time from 400 milliseconds to 200 milliseconds. $SOL
The mainnet has completed three rounds of adjustments so far:
400ms → 350ms
350ms → 300ms
300ms → 250ms
The final step is 250ms → 200ms, planned to enter the mainnet upgrade phase today, depending on network conditions and validator performance.
What does 200 milliseconds mean?
⚡ Up to 5 block opportunities per second, doubling from the initial 2.5 times per second at 400 milliseconds.
📉 Transaction wait latency is expected to decrease, allowing wallets, trading apps, and market makers to receive on-chain updates faster.
⚠️ But this does not mean the network throughput will directly double. The protocol will simultaneously reduce the computation quota per block, so the overall theoretical processing capacity remains roughly the same.
Validators will also bear higher voting frequency and network load; the upgrade’s effect depends on actual mainnet performance.
The core of this upgrade is not simply to "double Solana TPS," but to make transaction confirmations and on-chain state updates faster.
Next, the focus will be on two data points: actual block time and validator missed block rate. Yesterday I said the Bitcoin trend looked very bad, and indeed a deep drop came. Few took profits at the high points, and the pain is very real and tangible.
But complaints aside, the signals on the market are actually improving. The VIX has fallen from a high level, US Treasury bonds look like they have topped out, gold has stabilized at a low level, and Bitcoin itself has basically held its ground. These signals together indicate that most of the macro bearish factors have been digested by the market, so it's reasonable to look more towards the bullish side here.
This lesson is quite valuable: it's best to wait for the right side to bottom-fish. In other words, don't try to catch the falling knife during the decline; wait until it truly stabilizes and turns upward before entering. Although this buying position might not be the absolute lowest, you can hold more chips and won't have to constantly worry about guessing the bottom, which greatly improves your mindset. Those few points grabbed on the left side can't outweigh the torment during the process, and the more it falls, the more scared you get, and the more scared you are, the less willing you are to buy.
The plan going forward is clear: follow the trend to be bullish, and buy back positions in batches on pullbacks. Also, don't get cocky; admit mistakes when wrong, and honestly follow the market.The total supply limit of Bitcoin is 21 million coins, but in 2010 there was a transaction that sent about 92.2 billion coins to each of two addresses.
On August 15, 2010, the sum of two huge amounts overflowed, causing the software to calculate the total as a negative number and skip the check. Satoshi Nakamoto then released patch 0.3.10; the chain without the abnormal transaction surpassed the problematic chain, nodes switched back, and this batch of coins was not preserved.
This old story makes me think that when talking about the 21 million coins, we should also talk about the people who fixed the loopholes. That batch of fake coins was not preserved because the verification was fixed and nodes re-acknowledged the ledger.
$BTC One day from now is the page in the crypto world no one wants to revisit, the big black swan.
October 10, 2025.
That day wasn't just a crash of a single coin, it was the entire market plunging together. Most cryptocurrencies were at least halved, starting from a 50% drop. Many said that day reminded them of FTX and Luna, or even worse.
I personally didn't lose on spot trading, but I have friends who traded contracts and lost over $1 million that night. It wasn't just a liquidation once; their accounts were wiped out entirely.
Two days later, the one-year anniversary, will the market remind us again? No one knows, but those who experienced that day surely haven't forgotten. $BTC Brothers, someone always asks me: You keep arbitraging every day and increase your CFX spot position every month, aren’t you afraid it will run away?
To be honest, yes, I am afraid. But what I fear is not it running away, but that I won’t hold on.
Behind CFX is the Yao Qizhi team, with compliant narratives and real-world partnerships. Upbit listing, v3.1.0 hard fork, VC unlock completion—these are not just hype, they are clear signals.
I earn my money through hard work arbitraging, so I only touch spot, not contracts, and never go all in. When it dips, I treat it as a discount to accumulate chips; when it rises, I don’t chase. I pay myself monthly, first reserve living expenses, then consistently add positions with the rest.
A coin that truly runs away won’t upgrade every year, won’t cooperate with telecom, and won’t list on major Korean exchanges. But that said, not running away doesn’t guarantee a rise. If chips are concentrated, liquidity is weak, and the market crashes, it will fall too.
I’m just an arbitrage trader; I’m not betting on getting rich quick, but on time. This is my personal dollar-cost averaging record, not investment advice. How about you? $BTC $CFX #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $SOL has been sluggish these past few days, so I got up early this morning.
Why? To check the prospectus. On October 6th, a new SOL spot ETF will start subscription in Hong Kong, code 2831, subscription ends on the 12th, and it is expected to be listed on October 13th. The issue price is between 7.8 and 8 Hong Kong dollars, with 100 shares per lot, and the entry fee is 800 Hong Kong dollars. This is the second SOL spot ETF in Hong Kong; the first one was only launched at the end of October last year, and now less than a year later, here comes another one.
What does this mean? It means in your Hong Kong stock account, the process is the same as buying tx: enter the code, click buy, and done. No wallet needed, no need to copy mnemonic phrases, even elderly people can learn it. $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $BTC "Three Coins, Three Perspectives: BTC Watches the Cycle, ETH Watches the Liquidity, SOL Watches the Vitality"
You can't just focus on one coin when observing the market. BTC, ETH, and SOL each represent a different dimension of observation.
BTC anchors the market cycle. It determines the big direction and whether funds dare to take risks. When BTC is stable, the market dares to heat up; when BTC wavers, everyone pulls back.
ETH monitors the liquidity level of the entire crypto ecosystem. DeFi, L2, stablecoins, on-chain activity—ETH is the most sensitive to whether money is flowing back. When it's strong, it means funds are willing to move to the application layer; when weak, it means people only dare to hold big promises.
SOL gauges the activity intensity of funds in high-performance public chains. Users, transactions, TVL, ecosystem heat—SOL is the thermometer. When it surges, it means risk appetite has returned; when it lies flat, it means hot money is still watching.
Putting the three together is more useful than just watching price fluctuations alone. If BTC is stable, ETH sees capital inflow, and SOL activity rises, the high-performance L1 sector may form a sustained trend. If only BTC is strong while ETH and SOL are weak, that's just risk aversion, not sector resonance.
Currently, ETFs are still flowing into BTC, but BTC is falling, indicating macro pressure; gold ETFs attract funds, yet gold prices are suppressed by high interest rates; SOL tokenized stock trading volume broke 4.4 billion in September, and the ecosystem is still expanding. Mixed signals call for looking through all three mirrors together.
Don't just watch prices; watch capital flows and sector interactions. When all three resonate, the market can go far.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ ETH four-hour trading volume, nearly half concentrated in the last hour
In this round, ETH stood above 2500 USDT, with trading concentrated in the final segment. From 15:00 to 16:00, 8241.81 ETH were traded, accounting for 48.6% of the total 4H volume from 12:00 to 16:00; the 1H candle closed at 2504.24, higher than the previous hour's high of 2502.31.
Hourly trading volume increased by 172.6%, yet the total 4H volume was 13.4% less than the 08:00–12:00 period. I judge that short-term activity is rebounding, but sustained volume increase over four hours remains to be verified; these two time windows should not be conflated.
Focus on 16:00–17:00: If the 1H candle at 17:00 closes above 2505.77 with volume exceeding 8241.81 ETH, it confirms the continuation of volume increase in the final segment; if it closes below the previous 4H high of 2499.99, the upper support judgment fails.
If both volume and price pass at 17:00, I will revise the judgment to continuation; what counterexample in the same period could overturn this?
Source: OKX spot ETH-USDT v5, confirm=1; as of October 9, 16:00 Beijing time. Price in USDT, volume in ETH bilateral trades; 1H is the 12:00–16:00 4H sub-window, 08:00–12:00 is another bucket. Independent community, not investment advice. Market cools down, fear and greed index falls back
What is smart money / institutions' outlook on the market? Here's a quick summary 💁♀️
🔸 Yilihua Trend Research
Believes the bull market trend is ongoing, but the short-term correction is far from over, leaning towards this wave breaking below 79,000, yet insists on "bull market sees corrections but does not short," waiting for a good position to buy the dip
🔹 Set 10 big targets first
Also believes in the bull market trend, but does not think it will directly fall to 78,000, much less to 74,000. $BTC's muted reaction to macro negative news is an important signal; however, if it breaks below 79,000, they will start reducing positions, and if the daily close breaks below 78,000, all remaining long positions will be exited. If it doesn't break, they will continue holding
🔸 Wintermute
The report states the global digital asset bull market is still in its early stage. Whether Bitcoin can further strengthen depends more on traditional financial markets than internal crypto market narratives. The U.S. midterm elections on November 3 will be a key variable; it also points out that the momentum of low-quality altcoins' rally is nearing its end, so caution is advised
Overall, the views on the big bull market trend remain consistent, but there are differences in recent market judgments, especially between Boss Yi and Big Target Brother, who happen to be opponents, haha$ETH family, this wave almost took me away. A 10% drop in two days, and I only used 10% of my position, the long position is almost unbearable. Now it's neither the time to add nor to wait: adding more risks getting hit, waiting for 2300 risks missing out. If it can close back at 2500 today, I'll hold on and won't sell until I break even; if it doesn't, I'll wait for my paycheck to slowly add more, absolutely no leverage. You really can't rush this game; when your hands itch, you have to endure even more. Lost profits can be earned again, but if the principal is gone, you're really out of the game. Survive first, then talk about breaking even.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
Just personal venting, not investment advice #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 $BTC news didn't boost volume
BTC is now hovering near the high of the past 24-hour range, with the latest 5-minute close at 82,686.7 USDT, not far from the upper range boundary of 83,177 USDT. The highs and lows over the past few hours have narrowed between 82,663.8 and 82,231 USDT, with the price not choosing a direction. For now, I don't consider this proximity to the upper boundary as a breakout signal.
There are reports that Upbit will list the KAIA token, involving KRW, BTC, and USDT markets, but this still needs verification. After the news came out, the trading volume in the last 15 minutes did not show a significant increase, indicating the market did not immediately respond enthusiastically to this rumor. I tend to think that before volume picks up, this is more suitable for observation rather than taking positions.BTC 82,401, ETH 2,491. The rebound is weak, and the market remains bearish.
Funding rates have turned negative. The 8-hour average funding rate for BTC on major exchanges is -0.00215%, hitting a nine-month low. Bears have started paying bulls, indicating strong bearish sentiment.
Liquidations continue. In the past 24 hours, total liquidations across the network reached $919 million, with longs accounting for 91%. ETH liquidations lead at $327 million, followed by BTC at $300 million. Long positions are still being wiped out.
Selling pressure on the order book is heavy. Contract sell orders significantly outweigh buy orders, making short-term rebounds easily suppressed.
Open interest is increasing against the trend. BTC contract open interest on top exchanges grew nearly 8% in 24 hours, surpassing $10 billion, a nearly six-month high. Price is falling while open interest rises; both bulls and bears are adding positions, so volatility is not over.
Liquidation heatmap: Over $2 billion of short positions are stacked above BTC 82,800, and over $1.3 billion of long positions were liquidated below 82,500. Both bulls and bears are heavily positioned between 82,500 and 85,000. ETH saw $1.376 billion of short liquidations above 2,599 and $765 million of long liquidations below 2,355.
Trading advice: Do not chase shorts or bottom-fish. Wait for BTC to hold above 82,500 or ETH to recover to 2,492 before considering light long positions. If no signal, just wait.
In short: Macro conditions have eased, but ETFs are still running and leverage hasn’t been fully cleared. Prioritize defense and don’t rush to guess the bottom.$ETH 2535.84→2503.25, short position +128.51%, 100x.
If 2535 doesn't hold, it's a fake strength, pumping up to lure longs then dumping, chasing longs and bottom-fishing all get wiped out.
Don't ask where the bottom is; before the structure shifts, any rebound is a shorting opportunity.
Don't get cocky with 100x, set breakeven/move stop loss first; paper profits are not realized profits. $BTC $ETH #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 AI may ultimately help businesses improve efficiency and reduce costs, but before that actually happens, the construction of AI infrastructure itself might first create a round of inflationary pressure.
Building data centers requires chips, memory, servers, electricity, land, and labor.
If companies simultaneously invest heavily in construction and the supply side expansion cannot keep up, limited resources will first increase in price, even passing costs on to other industries.
Therefore, "AI long-term deflation" and "AI short-term inflationary pressure" are not contradictory.
Technological progress solves long-term productivity issues, but computing power construction is an immediate capital expenditure. Chips can be expanded, power grids can be upgraded, data centers can be increased, but all these take time.
What the market really needs to pay attention to is how the Federal Reserve will view this wave of AI investment.
If AI capital expenditure continues to be a source of inflation, the pace and extent of interest rate cuts may be limited.
Interest rates are an important denominator in pricing risk assets.
So, on the surface, this issue is about chips, electricity, and data centers, but ultimately it may affect the discount rates of BTC and high-valuation tech stocks.
Whether AI can ultimately reduce costs is a long-term question.
What is more important right now is: how much cost the market is paying upfront to achieve this efficiency revolution. Technical Signal Interpretation
Daily EMA Convergence is Key: The daily EMA lines converge near the current price level (USD 82,100-84,400), making this a critical zone to maintain the long-term trend. BTC remains above the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, but the uptrend is showing signs of fragility.
MACD Bearish Bias: The hourly MACD continues to show negative histogram bars, with the DIF line below the DEA, indicating short-term bearish dominance. The 4-hour MACD confirms expanding downward momentum (DIF -704.4 vs. DEA -394.7), with sellers still active during rebound attempts.
RSI Weakening: RSI dropped from 52.5 to 45.8, falling below the neutral 50 threshold; the Average Directional Index decreased from 42.8 to 40.7. Although the 50-day EMA remains above the 200-day EMA maintaining a golden cross, the price is approaching the 200-day moving average. If the closing price stays below USD 82,626, the pullback may extend to the Fibonacci retracement zone between USD 81,165 and USD 79,705. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #跟着OKX打卡2049 **BTC is moving sideways near 82,000, and I haven't seen the bears truly give up yet**
I've been focusing on the 83,000 USD level for a while, and the reason is simple: if it breaks below and can't reclaim this level, any rebound will likely face selling pressure.
The market price on October 9th is still near 82,000 USD, indicating the bulls haven't regained control of this key area.
Currently, I maintain a short-term bearish bias but am not ready to blindly short at the current level.
My plan is:
If BTC rebounds to the 83,000–84,000 USD range and shows signs of weakness or a pullback after a rally, I will look for small position shorting opportunities.
Below, I will first watch the 80,000 USD round number support.
If BTC reclaims 84,000 USD and subsequent pullbacks hold above it, I will pause my original short-term bearish plan and reassess whether a phase bottom has formed.
Stop loss will be placed above the confirmed rebound structure high at the actual entry, not relying on holding positions to prove the judgment.
Right now, I don't want to guess how far BTC will ultimately fall; I just want to trade the clearly defined structure.
Recording the direction first, and will continue reviewing the battle for 83,000 USD next time.
$BTC #BTC #BitcoinSharing the stage with top political figures, what game is OKX playing? #跟着OKX打卡2049
Just finished watching the TOKEN2049 Singapore roundtable live stream and saw OKX's founder exchanging views with the former governor of New York State on the same stage. Honestly, it exceeded my expectations a bit.
I used to think these kinds of summits were just about showing up, shouting slogans, and generating hype. But this time, the focus was entirely on global regulation and how traditional finance can integrate with the crypto industry.
Having political heavyweights on stage to discuss means the core goal is to push for compliance. The platform is no longer just focused on contract trading but aims to tokenize real-world assets and bridge traditional finance with the on-chain world.
They also emphasized the X Layer ecosystem and the implementation of AI tools. It's clear that OKX wants to move beyond being just an exchange and is planning to build foundational infrastructure.
However, a word of caution: many people see the conference and immediately expect positive news to pump the market.
This is a long-term ecosystem narrative, and it’s hard to directly drive the market in the short term. The biggest pitfall in crypto is mistaking long-term benefits for short-term entry signals.
In the short term, the market is still dominated by Federal Reserve liquidity. The conference is more about laying the groundwork for future stories. When trading, never go all in based on just one summit.
Be patient and wait for market signals; news should only be used as a reference.SpaceX's move for nationwide 800 MHz spectrum is less about an overnight carrier replacement than optionality: owning a layer of spectrum could reduce Starlink Mobile's reliance on partnership terms while forcing a far more capital-intensive network question.
The market reaction signals incumbents see strategic risk early. FCC approval remains the first gate.
#StarlinkSpectrumDeal $DOGE 🐶 DOGE holdings plunged 13% in a single day, MEME sector retreat
The hype around MEME coins is cooling down rapidly. DOGE perpetual futures open interest plummeted 13.34% in the past 24 hours, dropping to $241.1 million. Although its funding rate remains positive (0.0027%), long positions account for as much as 71.1%, indicating a clear long-short imbalance. Trading tip: MEME coins are often the first to be sold off when risk appetite declines; their high Beta characteristic means a sharp rise is inevitably followed by a sharp fall. 10.9 Crypto Market Brief: Second Consecutive Day of Sharp Decline, BTC Falls Below 82,000
US Treasury yields remain high, continuing to pressure the market. BTC has dropped about 7% over two days, hitting a low of 80,500, while ETH has fallen over 8% for the week.
• BTC: Current price around $81,800, lost the 82,000 level, psychological support at 80,000, down about 2% in the last 24h.
• ETH: Around $2,470, down about 4% in 24h, lowest at 2,407, significantly weaker than BTC, continuous outflows from ETFs.
• Altcoins: Broad sell-off intensifies, ETH leads mainstream with an 8% weekly drop, high leverage long positions face increased liquidation risk, avoid bottom fishing.
Key Influencing Factors
✅ Positive: BTC ETFs saw cumulative inflows of $3.49 billion in September, institutional demand at monthly level remains.
⚠️ Negative: High US Treasury yields continue to suppress risk assets, whales move 4,500 BTC after 4 years of dormancy.
Short-term Outlook
Focus on tonight’s US stock market and next week’s CPI data. Oversold after two days of sharp decline, but trend is not stable. If the 80,000 level breaks, it may trigger larger-scale liquidations. Currently adopting a wait-and-see approach.
⚠️ This article does not constitute any investment advice. This week has been a week where macro factors have crushed everything.
$BTC fell below 81,000, ETH hovered around 2,000, SOL dropped below 110, with all three main lines holding their bottom lines; OKB fell from 138 to 79, HYPE from 98 to 87, ZEC dropped 15% in one day, even strong coins are retreating. The only one rising against the trend is RAY, supported by real fees from tokenized stocks.
There are two macro bombs. The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz pushed Brent crude oil above 104, the 10-year US Treasury yield broke 5.3%, hitting a high since 2002, and the Federal Reserve may raise rates again on October 28. Oil prices push inflation, interest rates suppress valuations, risk assets are collectively hammered, BTC ETFs saw net outflows of over 500 million this week, ETH outflows were 360 million.
But privacy coin ZEC, L2’s ARB, and SOL’s network growth show the underlying narrative remains intact; what’s falling are leverage and sentiment, not logic. The failure of the CLARITY Act actually delivered regulatory arbitrage benefits, and OKX-ICE’s 63 US stock tokens represent real-world asset implementation.
Three important dates to watch! October 14 CPI, October 20 SEC comment deadline, and October 28 FOMC are three landmines; reduce leverage and hold cash beforehand. Hold for a rebound if 80,000 doesn’t break; if it breaks, switch positions to survive. This week’s gains come from position management, not directional judgment. With unclear macro conditions, cash is king; wait for the rate hike on the 28th to settle before moving up. #霍尔木兹通航降至两月低位，油价跳涨4% #全球长期国债收益率升至多年高位 The financialization of crypto is certainly worth celebrating.
Institutions, ETFs, compliant funds, and traditional finance are continuously entering the market, making liquidity and infrastructure more mature.
But the real beneficiaries may not be every original player.
Especially for crypto-native users, a more regulated market also means that some opportunities that were previously gained through information asymmetry, emotional swings, and high volatility are diminishing.
This is why an interesting phenomenon has emerged:
Meme tokens are increasing, yet the number of players is also growing.
Even though everyone knows Meme tokens are not good investment targets, with a high risk of failure and many projects designed to exploit retail investors, why does speculative demand continue to grow?
Because Meme tokens might be exactly the area that traditional financialization struggles to cover.
They don’t require institutional endorsement or strong fundamentals; their prices rely more on attention, consensus, and sentiment.
As mainstream assets become more regulated, the space for native players shrinks, and speculative demand seeks new outlets.
So the boom in Meme tokens doesn’t necessarily contradict crypto financialization.
It might actually be the other side of financialization:
As the main table becomes more regulated, the speculative demand that gets pushed out moves to another, wilder table.
A healthier market doesn’t mean it’s easier for everyone to make money.从一年赚几十万到不敢接供应商电话：一个包工头的币圈翻身记 币圈里最扎心的事是什么？不是踏空一波行情，也不是少赚了多少钱，而是你明明有一份能养家糊口的生意，却因为一次贪心，把自己多年积攒的家底差点全部赔进去。今天这位粉丝，38岁，在三线城市做装修工程十多年，手底下有工人，平时要盯工期、垫材料款、催工程回款。外人看他风光，只有他自己知道，每一笔进账背后都有一堆要支付的开销。 2020年，他跟一个合作多年的工程老板吃饭，对方聊起比特币，说自己靠数字资产赚了一笔钱。他起初不信，觉得干工程才是实实在在的生意。后来看到朋友真的把赚来的钱提出来买了车，他才拿出几千块试水。没想到赶上行情上涨，几万元的现货账户一路涨到十几万元。那一刻，他第一次觉得，自己辛辛苦苦干几个月工程才能挣到的钱，币圈可能几天就能赚到。问题也恰恰出在这里：人最容易犯的错，就是把行情给的奖励，当成自己的真实实力。 赚到钱以后，他开始嫌工程生意回款慢、操心多，转头接触合约。刚开始仓位不大，连续做对几次，胆子就越来越大。以前开单还会犹豫，后来看到行情波动就想进场，甚至觉得自己已经摸透了市场规律。直到有一次行情突然急跌，他的仓位开始浮亏，Today is the 48th day of shorting ZEC, with 42 days left until the three-month target. Haven't exited after making a profit from the recovery, now stuck again!!!
ZEC current price is 1226. After a short-term rebound touched the upper band, the upward momentum stalled, and the bulls' strength is gradually weakening.
The WMA short-term moving averages are intertwined and flattening, with price pressured near the upper Bollinger Band; RSI6=65.06, approaching the 70 overbought line, the bulls' power is near a critical point; MACD's DIF is below DEA, the green bars continue slightly, indicating the upward momentum has slowed. The KDJ indicator is running high, with expectations of a death cross and pullback.
24-hour range: high 1246, low 1111, currently in the final stage of the rebound. Resistance above at 1227, strong resistance at 1246; first support below at 1214, breaking which will return to a downward trend.
Market logic: This is a technical recovery after a previous oversell, a rebound after a big drop, not a trend reversal. Compared to BTC and ETH, volatility is greater, and short risks remain after the rebound.
Summary: Short-term rebound space is limited, indicators near overbought, chasing longs on the pullback is not suitable. Focus on whether the upper band resistance can be effectively broken, patiently wait for short opportunities after the rebound ends.
Risk reminder: This is only a market review and does not constitute investment advice. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 $BTC $ETH $ZEC $TAO is like a scripted play: grinding near 294.5, fake rebound, sweeping longs, breaking down and accelerating to tear down to 276. Shorting 50x with floating profit +314.09%. The pattern isn't new; every time someone believes "this time AI is different." Don't get carried away by the rocket chart; the focus isn't to show off profits but to protect them. Keep trailing your stop loss; if the rebound fails, keep watching. If it stands back at the 294.5 area, it may indicate the structure could flip, then exit. $ETH $BTC #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 💥 Spot $BTC ETF suffers a "major hemorrhage" in a single day!
On October 7, the US BTC spot ETF saw a net outflow of $487 million, marking the largest single-day redemption since June 25. BlackRock's IBIT outflowed $208 million, Fidelity's FBTC outflowed $105 million, and ARKB outflowed $102 million. All 12 products experienced net outflows, with none seeing net inflows. The previous day still had a net inflow of $119 million, but it quickly reversed, with October's cumulative net outflow reaching $163 million.
🤔 Why the sudden withdrawal? The Federal Reserve minutes leaned hawkish, with most officials expecting another rate hike this year. US Treasury yields, the dollar, and oil prices are all at high levels, putting pressure on risk assets. $BTC dropped from 87,000 to 82,000, shrinking ETF holders' profits, prompting some funds to take profits and seek safety.
📉 This appears more like a short-term portfolio adjustment under macro pressure rather than a fundamental collapse. Going forward, attention should be paid to capital inflows and policy signals.
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 Behind the recent $ETH trend is the game and self-rescue of whale funds under extreme market conditions.
On October 9, a sharp market drop forced a whale holding about 98,000 $ETH long positions to liquidate 28,716 $ETH, resulting in a loss of approximately $69.69 million.
However, the whale did not exit the market and still holds 78,955 $ETH long positions, with a nominal value of $196 million, and added 10 million USDC margin half an hour after the liquidation, showing a strong bullish sentiment.
After bottoming at 2405, ETH rebounded in a V-shape, breaking above the Bollinger middle band at 2460, with MACD golden cross and volume increase, and unusual activity at the position bottom. It is currently at 2499.5, with the previous high of 2586 not yet recovered. 2286 is the critical defense level; if it holds, the bullish pattern remains stable.
In terms of operation, you can wait for a pullback to the 2460-2480 range to stabilize before entering long positions, with the first target at 2580 and stop loss set below 2440. Current market sentiment is heavily influenced by whale behavior, so be cautious of short-term volatility risks. It is recommended to build positions in batches and control position size. 78 minutes, 20,000 ETH vanished into thin air: Maji Ge's "Dunkirk"
Even whales can drown.
In 78 minutes, 20,000 ETH long positions were liquidated. Maji Ge's contract holdings plummeted from nearly 100 million to 16 million, with position volume crashing from 26,600 to 6,600, a 75% reduction. This was not a strategy adjustment, but a desperate survival move.
From 23:13 on October 8 to 00:31 on October 9 Beijing time, he continuously closed positions, realizing a loss of 3.29 million USD plus 13,800 in fees. The once stubborn bull bowed under the K-line's squeeze.
The remaining 6,600 ETH is a 25x full-margin long position, opened at an average price of 2626.94 USD, with an unrealized loss of 1.33 million. The account net value is only 570,000, with a liquidation price of 2386.23, just 1.6% away from the mark price. A buffer as thin as cicada wings—every 10 USD drop in ETH causes an additional loss of 66,000, equivalent to 11.5% of net value.
This means a slightly longer bearish candle could completely wipe him out.
From "King of Holding Positions" to "King of Liquidations," Maji Ge's transformation happened overnight. The struggle of whales is even more brutal than retail traders, because leverage amplifies not only profits but also despair.
I will keep watching: will he reduce positions again? Will he add margin? Can ETH stop falling? But one thing must be clear: it's fine to watch his trades, but really learning from him? Forget it.
After all, a whale's funeral needs no audience.$PUMP
PUMP has shifted from rising yesterday to falling over 11%, why can't value transmission be omitted?
This morning's 24-hour spot observation window: range 0.005269—0.006382 USDT, change -11.26%, trading volume about 15.58 million USDT.
The window is negative and the quote stays at the lower end, product heat does not guarantee holding returns. Product usage, platform revenue, and holders' equity need to be verified item by item; trading attention cannot replace the final piece of evidence.
If the rebound continues to give back and the transmission mechanism lacks improvement, lower expectations first; if equity can be verified and the low point moves up again, then reassess the sustainability of demand.$OKB is in a bullish recovery after defending the 120.59 support, though it remains below the 133.48 swing high. Price is testing the 126.11 resistance; a breakout confirms continuation, while rejection signals consolidation.
Entry Zone: 125.50 - 126.50
Target 1: 128.50
Target 2: 131.00
Target 3: 133.50
Stop Loss: 122.50
Bullish scenario remains valid above 122.50; a break below this level invalidates the setup.I was watching closely when ETH dropped to 2406 at night, and during the day it slowly climbed back to 2500, making my hands itchy again.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
The public data is even more heartbreaking: in the past 24 hours, ETH liquidations were about $356 million, higher than BTC's $298 million — despite having a much smaller market cap, it got hit harder. On the ETH spot ETF side, according to Farside, another $72.5 million flowed out on 10/8, marking the eighth consecutive outflow, totaling about $641 million.
This time I held back. It's not that I'm bearish to death, I just told myself this morning not to chase the dip — this small rebound around 2500 isn't enough to change my mind. The rule to remember: don't chase longs unless it holds above 2550, and if it breaks below 2400, those shorting will be even more stubborn.
$ETH
A straightforward question: this kind of "rebound after liquidation pain, hands faster than brain" itch, are you A) already dipped your toes in, or B) still watching empty-handed? Have you experienced this? Share in the comments, I'll reply one by one. #以太坊Glamsterdam upgrade landing on Sepolia testnet has boosted expectations for decentralized exchanges, with UNI as the leader directly benefiting, but the upgrade's positive impact has yet to reverse the downtrend. I lean bearish in the short term and will wait for stabilization before repositioning.
The contradiction lies in: both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts are in a descending channel; the current price of 7.428 has retraced 30.66% from the 4-hour high and is only 4.36% above the low, indicating bearish momentum is not exhausted; however, the top ten order book buy/sell ratio is 1.75, with buy orders at 16,000 clearly thicker than sell orders at over 9,000. The funding rate of -0.0009% shows shorts are paying, and the 5.92 million coin open interest poses a hidden short squeeze risk. The 24h drop is 4.7%, volume 29.1 million; 7.855 is the resistance that must be reclaimed for a rebound, and 6.987 is the critical support.
Strategy: lightly short near 7.62 with stop loss at 7.86 and target at 7.02; if volume supports a stable hold above 7.05, switch to long with stop loss at 6.94 and target at 7.65. Single position size should not exceed 5%, reduce position when funding rate turns positive.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$UNI#以太坊Glamsterdam升级登陆Sepolia测试网
#以太坊Glamsterdam升级登陆Sepolia测试网 $UNI $BTC
Is the BTC pullback not over yet? The support level is being mentioned again.
Whenever the market drops, various predicted levels come online on time.
The current mainstream view: If BTC falls below 82,000, the pullback drama isn't over yet; it will most likely break through 79,000, then test 75,000.
But here's an interesting point: they see the pullback but firmly refuse to short.
In plain language: I think it will drop more, but I won't short; I'll just wait below to buy the dip. 😂
This mindset fits many people's trading psychology in the crypto space:
Bearish but no shorts, not profiting from the drop, only planning to pick up cheap chips after the decline.
However, a warning here: support levels are never steel plates.
When the market wants to drop, support is just a sheet of window paper; when market sentiment turns, the so-called pullback end might be a big bullish candle that shoots right back up, giving you no chance to buy at 79,000 or 75,000.
Predictions are just predictions; levels are only references. Don't treat analysts' expectations as scripts that must happen.
If you really want to bottom-fish, don't fixate on a single number; combine it with market support before making a move.