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Systolic pressure dropped to 28.9, the monitor is screaming, not the patient talking. $RE Blood loss in the past 24 hours is 8.88%, the short-term RSI has already reached the deeply oversold zone at 28.9, while the long-term RSI is still hanging at 60.6 in the neutral zone—a typical acute hypoperfusion, peripheral shock has occurred, but central circulation has not yet collapsed. This dissociation sign is an intervention window, not an indication for thoracotomy.
Look at this blood flow chart with Bollinger Bands: the short-term price is at the 4% position, only 0.7% perfusion margin left to the lower band, almost pressing the probe against the vessel wall; the mid-term still has 22% buffer, and the 9.8% space beyond the lower band is the true blood loss bottom line. What does this mean? It means the selling pressure is being released concentratedly in the terminal capillaries, not an aortic rupture.
My judgment is clear: this is not a myocardial infarction, but a reversible stress-induced ischemia. A drop of 8.88% in 24 hours, but panic selling is already crowded in the RSI1H below 38 area, the oversold reading itself is a surgical consent form.
I set the entry point at 0.48, 5.5% lower than the current price—must wait for blood pressure to probe the bottom again, confirm the lower band is not penetrated before making the move. This position is where the hemostatic clamp clamps, not an emotional comfort zone.
📈 Long:
Entry: 0.48 (current price -5.5%)
Take Profit 1: 0.62 (+22.2%)
Take Profit 2: 0.66 (+31.1%)
Stop Loss: 0.43 (-15.1%)
The risk-reward ratio is close to the upper limit of 1:2, stop loss set at 0.43, which is the last suture line beyond the lower band; if broken, it is a true rupture and must exit, no negotiation. Take Profit 2 corresponds to the mid-term Bollinger upper band 31.1% range, which is the perfusion peak after the heart re-establishes effective beating.
Heart rate can be chaotic, hands must not tremble. #fearandgreedindex刺客社区日报｜科技股拖累纳指，油价反弹压通胀，代币化美股再进一步 2026年10月9日 我是刺哥，今天这盘面，一句话：科技在挨锤，能源在偷着乐，加密跟着遭殃。 先看美股。道指微涨0.10%，标普跌0.47%，纳指跌1.25%。七巨头里只有苹果涨了1.12%，英伟达跌2.91%，博通跌4.4%，费城半导体指数直接砸了3.4%。为什么？OpenAI的收入增长被市场质疑了，大家开始算账，AI烧了那么多钱，到底赚回来多少。这个情绪一发酵，半导体就先跪了。另一边，油价大涨4.1%，布伦特干到104.28，能源股反而成了避风港。这就是典型的分化，钱在从高估值科技往确定性更高的地方挪。 加密这边，BTC跌到81901，24小时跌1.87%；ETH更惨，2473，跌3.74%。总市值缩到2.89万亿，跌了1.54%。ETH跌幅大于BTC，说明这波调整里，资金对ETH的容忍度更低，抛压更重。BTC虽然也跌，但相对抗跌一点，因为机构还在拿。 宏观上，美国初请失业金降到19.7万，就业市场还挺硬。美联储官员继续保留加息选项，油价反弹又给通胀回落添了不确定性。高利率维持更久的预期，压着所有风险资产。BTC现在#Securitize launches 12 on-chain US stocks, opening a new narrative for security tokens. SLX indirectly benefits as a representative in this sector, but current news has not reversed the downward trend. I judge the short-term outlook to remain weak. Looking at the market, the current price is 0.0587, down 1.5% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of only 4.919 million, indicating low bullish participation. Both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts are trending downward; the 4-hour chart is down 21.79% from the high, with bears controlling the pace. The top ten order book buy-sell ratio is 0.39, showing obvious selling pressure; the funding rate is 0.0050%, relatively low, with open interest at 29.283 million, sentiment is cold. Resistance above is at 0.06095, support below at 0.05635.
In terms of operation, a light short position can be tried around a rebound to 0.06015, with a stop loss at 0.06185 and a target of 0.05645; if there is a sharp drop to 0.05625 and it stabilizes, a short-term long position can be taken, with a stop loss at 0.05495 and a target of 0.05895. Position size should not exceed 20%, exit immediately if the position breaks.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$SLX#Securitize launches 12 on-chain US stocks
#Securitize launches 12 on-chain US stocks $SLX #OpenAI营收口径引争议，AI投资回报受关注, risk appetite contraction is impacting ETH, I judge the short-term trend remains bearish. Current price 2493.2, down 2.6% in 24h, after peaking at 2576.46 then retreating. Both 1-hour and 4-hour charts are declining, only 3.21% and 2.41% above the lows, rebound is weak. Funding rate -0.0059% shows shorts slightly paying fees, open interest 627,000, volume 44,608,000, top 10 bid-ask ratio 14.93, low-level bids clearly supporting, but heavy resistance above. Discipline: do not chase shorts; light short at rebound to 2518.6, stop loss 2557.3, target 2412.8; if it retests 2408.5 and bids increase, go long, stop loss 2377.4, target 2496.2. Single position no more than 5%, exit on breakout.
——For personal opinion only, not investment advice, wish you smooth trading.——
$ETH#OpenAI营收口径引争议，AI投资回报受关注
#OpenAI营收口径引争议，AI投资回报受关注 $ETH #黄金ETF创纪录吸金，高利率仍压制金价
Gold ETFs are attracting record inflows, yet gold prices are being held down by high interest rates — this situation is quite contradictory.
In September, global gold ETFs saw net inflows of about $10 billion, with a record $31 billion for the third quarter, pushing holdings to a new high of 4,256 tons; the Chinese central bank has also been buying for 23 consecutive months. Money is pouring in wildly, but spot gold is still stuck in the $4100–$4200 range, as U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar are suffocating non-yielding gold.
To put it simply, two logics are clashing now:
Bulls: Central bank gold purchases + de-dollarization + fiscal/geopolitical risks → gold as a “fiat currency credit hedge”
Bears: High real interest rates + U.S. Treasury yields breaking 5% + Fed hawkish bias → holding gold has opportunity cost
So don’t be fooled by “ETF inflows” into mindlessly chasing highs. In the short term, watch U.S. Treasury yields, nonfarm payrolls, and PCE; only when true rate cut expectations rise will gold have a comfortable breakout. The same applies to crypto: if gold remains stable, it means the narrative of “hedging fiat currency depreciation” is still alive, and BTC’s mid-to-long-term logic holds.
My view: gold is not finished, it’s just “temporarily sealed” by high interest rates. The long-term bottom is there; don’t get carried away short term, wait for real interest rates to turn before talking about the main upward wave.After $BTC briefly broke below 82K and then pulled back, my bearish view from last night is starting to waver. As a short seller, the break below 82K was not smooth; the bottom keeps getting tested repeatedly, and the position is already a bit shaky.
I have already closed my bearish options positions this morning.
Watch for the actions shown in the chart; if they occur, it likely indicates a liquidity hunt, and the pullback might be completed at this support level. The view is somewhat uncertain, but in a bull market, the priority is to avoid missing out, with avoiding a drop as a secondary concern.Hynix held steady at 1234 for 15 minutes, the long position is secure, you can set a breakeven stop loss, keep observing ETH, no rushThe Critical Moment for On-Chain Options: Can Derive Become the Next Derivatives Infrastructure?
As competition among perpetual contract DEXs heats up, the two largest PerpDEXs—Hyperliquid and Lighter—have both turned their attention to options. At the DAS 2026 conference hosted by Blockworks, Hyperliquid founder Jeff clearly stated that options represent a promising opportunity for further development in on-chain trading. He believes HIP-4 is the obvious approach to building an options protocol, as it can inherit spot, order book, and portfolio margin features, while using perpetual contracts to hedge options' Delta. Lighter founder Vlad Novakovski has long included options in his roadmap and has discussed the possibility of listing products like pre-IPO stock options.
This collective shift is no coincidence. The trading experience for on-chain perpetual contracts has matured, but options—a derivative category central to traditional finance—are still in their very early stages on-chain. Currently, on-chain options trading volume is only about 5.5% of the centralized leader Deribit's, leaving huge room for growth. In this arena, Derive, which has been deeply involved for five years, occupies a position worth re-examining—it holds a first-mover advantage but also faces substantial competition from major entrants. #跟着OKX打卡2049 $BTC #SpaceX拟购频谱拓展移动通信 This type of general communication narrative is unlikely to bring substantial incremental value to Worldcoin in the short term. My judgment is that the news sentiment is relatively cold, and the price is still mainly driven by the chip structure. The four-hour level is still in an upward channel, but the one-hour has already turned downward. This kind of conflict between long and short cycles often indicates a volatile consolidation rather than a one-sided market, so chasing highs requires extra caution.
Current price is 0.4909, down 5.3% in 24 hours, with a low of 0.4586 and a high of 0.5336, and a trading volume of 330 million. The funding rate is negative 0.0058, shorts pay a slight premium, with open interest at 63,715,000 units, no panic liquidation observed. The top ten order book shows 334,000 buy orders and 329,000 sell orders, with a ratio of 1.01, the buy side slightly leading. Resistance above is seen at 0.5273, support below at 0.4615.
Strategy-wise, lightly test long positions near 0.4762 on pullbacks, stop loss at 0.4593, target at 0.5214; if a rebound is resisted at 0.5193, consider reversing to short, stop loss at 0.5341, target at 0.4806. Single position size should not exceed 3% of total capital. Under negative funding rates, holding costs will slowly erode profits, so long holding is not advisable.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you smooth trading. —
$WLD#SpaceX拟购频谱拓展移动通信
#SpaceX拟购频谱拓展移动通信 $WLD The exterior wall decoration has already cantilevered beyond the upper Bollinger Band, but the concrete grade of the load-bearing column is only 45.5—no matter how beautifully the structure is drawn on the blueprint, it has to be dismantled.
The 24-hour +2.41% fluctuation, when placed in the structural cross-section, doesn't even count as a single effective vibration; it's purely the surface undulation of the plaster layer. The real problem is the short-term Bollinger Band: the price stands at 112%, meaning the cantilevered component has completely crossed the upper band baseline, with only -0.4% margin left before the upper band suppression, while the lower band still hangs beyond +4.2%. The stress center is entirely on the temporary scaffolding; this is not topping out, this is overload.
The short-term RSI has already reached 65.3, surpassing the warning red line at 64. My structural verification conclusion is SELL. The mid-term Bollinger Band only reaches 71%, with the lower band still having +4.0% empty position, and the upper band only +1.6% surplus—the main structure has not kept pace with the facade, indicating this round of rise is just the curtain wall floating, and the load has not been transmitted downward. The daily RSI is 45.5, neutral to weak, and the foundation stress remains unchanged.
My industry's iron rule: the white paper is just a design drawing; what really determines whether a building can stand is the underlying load-bearing system. The NMR crowdsourced staking framework's foundation logic is valid, but the current construction phase is just a short-term stress release, not the topping out of the main structure. Any skyscraper relying on the facade to hold up will sooner or later develop a settlement joint.
📉 Short:
Entry: 9.31 (current price +1.5%)
Take Profit 1: 8.63 (-5.9%)
Take Profit 2: 8.82 (-3.9%)
Stop Loss: 10.16 (-10.7%)
The entry price is deliberately raised 1.5% above the current price, waiting for the plaster layer to dry before hanging the mesh. The 8.63 baseline is the real bearing platform of this building, and 10.16 is the only shear wall—once the wall breaks, the entire cross-section must be redrawn. The security committee can put out fires, but it is also a set of powers that must be visible.
When a serious vulnerability appears in a Rollup, the security committee can pause the system, block malicious upgrades, or quickly patch contracts. This mechanism is not inherently bad: at a stage when technology is not yet fully mature, a response time of a few hours can prevent large-scale losses. But the same set of powers also means that a few people can influence withdrawals, upgrades, and system status under the name of emergency.
Evaluating the committee should not only consider whether members are celebrities. More important are the signature threshold, member independence, scope of authority, whether operations are public, and how soon normal governance must be restored after an emergency upgrade. A threshold that is too low is easily breached, while one that is too high may delay action in a real incident; without transparent records, it is difficult for outsiders to distinguish between firefighting and overreach.
For $ETH holders, L2 security is not a binary choice between "having a committee" or "not having a committee," but whether the powers are limited, auditable, and revocable. If the committee list is not updated for a long time, departing members or invalid keys can also become hidden risks. A mature system should not pretend that human intervention does not exist but should incorporate it into a clear trust model so users know exactly whom they rely on. The first time I encountered virtual currency was when a colleague secretly told me at his desk.
He said he bought $BTC and earned enough for an electric scooter, which made me really eager.
When I got home, I downloaded the app and did the real-name verification until midnight.
The first time, I only dared to buy 200 yuan, and my palms were sweaty after buying.
The next day it dropped, and I cursed myself for being reckless.
On the third day, it rose back a bit, and I felt pretty good about myself.
Thinking back, those days were really torturous.
Later, I tried $ETH, wanting to learn how to play on-chain like others.
But the fees were ridiculously high, and I lost it all once by transferring to the wrong address.
I felt heartbroken for days and didn’t dare tell my family.
Then I saw the group chatting about $SOL, saying it was fast and cheap.
I took a little to test the waters, but didn’t dare to go all in.
Looking back now, being cautious actually saved me.
I set strict rules for myself: only play with spare money, never borrow to invest.
When I make a profit, I take some out to have a barbecue, and leave the rest invested.
If I lose, I don’t add more, just close the app and go to sleep.
I basically don’t pay attention to group trading signals, and even if I do, I don’t act on them.
It’s not that I don’t want to earn, but I know my limits.
Virtual currency is volatile, full of stories, and full of traps.
Some people turn their lives around with it, others lose sleep because of it.
I don’t have great skills, I just don’t want to mess up my life.
Making a little pocket money is fine; if I don’t earn, I treat it as tuition.
The most important thing is to work well and eat well.
Don’t let K-lines control your emotions, don’t let greed make decisions for you.
No trading after 11 p.m. is a strict rule.
Decisions made at midnight usually make you want to slap yourself the next day.
Those who say they’ll make you rich mostly want to earn your fees.
I’ve seen people quit their jobs to trade crypto and later worry about rent.
I’ve also seen people who made money but didn’t leave and ended up giving it back.
The market cures all kinds of arrogance.
My goal now is simple: don’t let it affect my sleep.
No matter how lively the market is, it’s not as satisfying as a bowl of hot noodles.
That’s it, all learned from losses, my memory isn’t good so I have to write it down. #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
#跟着OKX打卡2049
#霍尔木兹通航降至两月低位，油价跳涨4% 4-hour brutal washout! BTC/ETH/ZEC bulls suffer concentrated liquidation, data is shocking
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
On-chain data of the three coins resonate, signals highly consistent 📊
This round is not a two-way bull-bear struggle, but a targeted deleveraging massacre of bulls. Short liquidations are minimal, a large number of leveraged long positions with strong conviction are wiped out all at once 💥
▪️BTC: 24h total liquidations 120 million, of which long liquidations 110 million; 4h and 12h continuous volume surge with sharp drops, forming a capital stampede
▪️ETH: 24h liquidations 83.18 million, long liquidations 73.2 million; a large amount of mid-to-long-term conviction chips shaken out
▪️ZEC: 24h liquidations 22.62 million, liquidations mainly on the long side as well. Altcoins show stronger elasticity, losses from position sweeps feel more intense
Objective market logic 💡
Short-term concentrated liquidation of bulls does not mean an immediate market reversal or rebound.
It only indicates the market has surrendered a large amount of mid-to-high level leveraged chips; do not blindly believe the argument "after killing bulls, it's the bottom" ❗
After cleaning out bulls, the market will continue to grind until the remaining holders' mentality is completely exhausted, only then can true recovery occur.
Referencing Brother Maji's heavy ETH long positions, the market is still testing the endurance limits of high-level bulls 😮💨
Current two major trading taboos:
① Getting stopped out and immediately rushing to chase the rebound
② Deeply trapped and continuing to increase leverage to average down costs
Control your hands, do not prematurely predict the bottom, patiently wait for market stabilization signals ✅
$BTC $ETH $ZEC$BTC BTC 1-hour chart: After a sharp drop, a strong rebound is underway, with a short-term attempt to recover lost ground.
Previously, it dropped from 86,969 down to 80,351, but has now stabilized and rebounded to 82,359, climbing back above the short-term moving averages (MA5/10/20 around 81,800-81,970). Support is at 81,781 below, while the super trend line at 82,439 acts as near-term resistance.
Recommendation: Don't rush to chase above 82,359. Hold steady if you already have positions, focusing on 81,781 (support) and 80,713 (lower Bollinger Band). If these hold, you can maintain your position; if you want to enter, wait for a pullback to stabilize near 81,781 or a volume breakout above 82,439 (super trend line) before considering.
Super trend line 82,439: This is a short-term reference on the 1-hour chart. Observe for another 2-3 hours. As long as the price does not break below 81,781, short-term stabilization is confirmed and support will gradually strengthen.#黄金ETF创纪录吸金，高利率仍压制金价
According to data from the World Gold Council, global gold ETF net inflows in Q3 hit a record high. Even with gold price pullbacks, institutional funds continue to accumulate on dips.
My view: This is a typical divergence between long-term and short-term capital. ETF inflows represent long-term asset hedging allocations, focusing on risk aversion and asset diversification, indifferent to short-term price fluctuations. However, the short-term pricing core of gold is the real yield on U.S. Treasuries. In a high interest rate environment, the holding cost of non-yielding gold is relatively high, and short-term funds in the derivatives market are reluctant to go heavily long, directly suppressing gold's upside.
Simply put, ETF buying can support the bottom and reduce the risk of a sharp drop, but it struggles to counteract the valuation pressure caused by high interest rates and is unlikely to trigger a strong unilateral rally.
Gold and BTC both belong to the hard asset narrative; in an environment of elevated long-term debt, the crypto market will similarly face macro pressure, which must be considered in conjunction.
Trading idea: Do not blindly go long based solely on ETF inflows. Keep contract positions light, focus on the long-end yields of U.S. Treasuries, and before the interest rate inflection point arrives, the market will likely oscillate repeatedly.Brothers, I'm firmly going long on $ZEC this round! Why? Because ZEC can't just suddenly break down; repeated pullbacks are definitely expected.
I entered a long position at 1,211.31, current price is 1,214.87, floating profit 0.89%, the direction is already stable. Buy orders are stacked between 1,214.70 and 1,214.86 below, with the largest single order at 15.80, holding it firmly.
ZEC has fallen nearly 30% from the high of 1,698, and around 1,200 is the key support for this round. The NU7 upgrade is scheduled for November 5, reducing block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, fundamentally improving the project. Large holders on-chain are still accumulating, having withdrawn 8,600 ZEC from exchanges.
At this level, it’s impossible to just smash through at once; repeated pullbacks are normal. Going long means waiting for it to bounce, then considering exiting at 1,300 or 1,400.
I’m holding my long position entered at 1,211.31, with a stop loss at 1,180 and a target initially at 1,300
$BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Brothers, yesterday's move was a bit awkward! 😂
I closed all my short positions on the big coin $BTC around $82,600, then reversed to go long. I thought after such a big drop, there should be a rebound, aiming first for $85,000.
But as soon as I entered, I was at a floating loss, and in the evening it even dropped to $80,000. Fortunately, it held temporarily around $80,500 and has now rebounded to about $82,000.
Next, the key is to see if $82,600 can be firmly held again. Only if it holds can there be a chance to push towards $85,000; otherwise, we have to watch out for another drop.
The second coin $ETH is even worse, falling from $2,750 to around $2,400 in just three days. The bulls were caught off guard, profits at lows were given back, and chasing longs at highs got trapped.
For now, it's better to wait and see, don't rush to break even. It's not scary to be wrong about the direction; what's scary is to keep adding positions to recover losses and end up sinking deeper.
Actually, life is one-way only, no round trips. Wealth, face, social relations are not as important as imagined. We only come to this world once, so instead of worrying daily about account profits and losses, cherish the people around you and live each day well.
Work hard to earn money, trade seriously, but don't turn life into a burden chasing wealth.
Missed market opportunities can come again, but life cannot be replayed. Protect your principal and take care of yourself—that's the most important thing. 🤝
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 These four hours, the data sent chills down my spine.
BTC liquidated 120 million in 24 hours, of which 110 million were long positions; ETH 83.18 million, with longs accounting for 73.2 million; ZEC 22.62 million, almost entirely on the long side.
What really concerns me is not the size of the numbers, but the other side—short liquidations are pitifully few.
What does this indicate? It’s not a battle between longs and shorts, but a one-sided clearing. Almost no shorts were taken out, which means everyone is highly aligned on the same side, with basically no opposing positions.
At times like this, I’m actually afraid to chase shorts. When everyone is crowded on the same side, a sudden reversal usually comes unexpectedly.
But don’t expect an immediate rebound in the short term either. Clearing out a batch of leveraged positions doesn’t mean the market is about to hand out rewards. The more common scenario is continued grinding, grinding until the remaining traders’ mentality completely collapses, only then will there be a window for recovery.
Brother Maji’s heavy ETH position is still holding strong, and the market clearly still has longs enduring the high levels.
So I have one principle now: don’t rush to kill back in right after being washed out, and those deeply trapped shouldn’t double down on leverage. In this kind of market, staying alive is more important than being right about the direction. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
*The above is only personal analysis and does not constitute investment advice*The founder of PONS is also doing better now
Just saw his post: After more than three years, he bought Bitcoin $BTC spot again
Thinking about how magical the crypto world is, at the beginning of July he was still the 10u war god on $BNB, charging at the dogecoin
In just about three months, $PONS reached a market cap of around 1 billion USD at its peak, becoming the largest launchpad on the Robin Hood chain. Now he has money to buy Bitcoin
This also indirectly reflects: money will ultimately flow to Bitcoin!
Especially the bigger the funds, the more Bitcoin is allocated; and when you are still a 10u war god, you don't deserve to own Bitcoin!$HYPE
HYPE continues to pull back, what logic remains for an independent market?
This morning's 24-hour spot observation window: range 82.665—88.799 USDT, change -4.86%, trading volume approximately 36.86 million USDT.
The window is still negative, price remains in the lower half; the previous lead cannot be directly applied anymore. Market weakening does not necessarily mean protocol revenue decline, but it is enough to reduce short-term momentum explanations; business changes require separate proof from fees and user data.
If the rebound continues to be blocked at the midpoint, maintain a defensive stance; if business evidence improves and the price low moves up, then increase the weight on sustained demand.Bull markets often have sharp drops! Personal experience of pitfalls, the shakeout phase is most prone to repeatedly backfiring
BTC and ETH led the sell-off, Bitcoin fell below 82,000, and Ethereum directly dropped to around 2,470.
The market plunged continuously, altcoins collectively dived, and liquidations were everywhere—this is a typical sharp drop shakeout in a bull market, with back-and-forth volatility that is extremely mentally taxing.
Sharing my real trading review from the past two days:
$ZEC weakened continuously, with the drop expanding from 8% to 15%. I followed the trend to short, but unexpectedly the market quickly rebounded, and ZEC reversed to rise 7%, resulting in a small loss of 6U which I decisively cut. Unwilling to accept this, I opened a second short position at a high level, trying to play this wave of decline.
Holding a long position in $RAY, originally with an unrealized profit of 38U, the profit kept retracting to only 28U; I reduced the position by 25% midway, but the market continued to dip, further shrinking profits. Unable to withstand the volatility, I closed all positions, looking back full of regret.
$MET was shorted yesterday, currently with a small unrealized profit of 3U, planning to continue holding and observing.
Altcoin volatility is extremely deceptive, with repeated reversals; trading psychology is much harder to manage than price levels.
Is there anyone else like me who gets stopped out repeatedly in this back-and-forth shakeout market?
$BTC $ETH $ZEC $RAY $METBrothers, will Bitcoin continue to fall?
I'll get straight to the conclusion: last night’s 80344 is not necessarily the final bottom; the probability of a second retest remains high.
Today BTC rebounded to around 82300, looking like a decent recovery, but the trading volume is clearly not as strong as during last night’s dump. Currently, it looks more like a technical rebound after long liquidations, and it can’t yet be defined as a reversal.
Next, focus on 82500–83000.
If this area can’t hold, Bitcoin will most likely retest 81500, and if weaker, it will test 80300–80000 again.
Only if it reclaims 83000 on the 4-hour chart and further recovers 83500 can the rebound be considered a true strengthening.
So right now, I won’t chase longs, nor will I short near support.
Bulls shouldn’t call a bull run just because of one rebound, and bears shouldn’t expect a continuous dump just because of last night’s crash.
Holding 80300 means a second bottom test; losing 80300 puts 78000–79000 on the table.
The most important thing now is not guessing the bottom, but seeing whether this rebound can reclaim key levels.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 #霍尔木兹通航降至两月低位，油价跳涨4%
The Strait of Hormuz shipping traffic has dropped to a two-month low, and oil prices surged 4%.
Brothers, something happened again at the Strait of Hormuz.
Shipping data company Kpler shows that on October 6, only 7 commercial vessels passed through the Strait of Hormuz, the lowest since July 23, less than half the average of the past 7 days. At the end of September, the daily average oil throughput dropped 27% from the monthly peak, about 10 million barrels per day, only 74% of the pre-war level.
The reason is straightforward — last week, 10 oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz, setting a weekly record since the outbreak of the war. A senior advisor of the Revolutionary Guard even threatened that the "illegal shipping lanes" in the strait will soon be closed. Meanwhile, Trump's team was reported to be discussing restarting large-scale military operations against Iran before the midterm elections.
Oil prices responded with a jump. Brent crude futures settlement price rose 4.07% to $104.28 per barrel, WTI rose 3.64% to $91.49 per barrel.
For BTC, the chain remains: rising oil prices → rising inflation expectations → increased Fed tightening pressure. BTC current price is about 82,000-82,500, with support at 81,800 and resistance at 84,500. Positions should set stop-loss below 81,500; for empty positions, wait for a pullback to stabilize near 81,800 before entering, do not chase highs.
What do you think about this wave of oil prices? Let's chat in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC This time Samsung is not just "researching stablecoins," but is really preparing to put USDC into the phone wallet.
And it's not just covering tens of thousands of users.
It's 82 million Galaxy devices.
Starting from the end of October, eligible Galaxy users in the US can directly send USDC through Samsung Wallet.
They can transfer to overseas crypto wallets or to eligible bank accounts in more than 60 countries.
What's even more interesting:
The recipient doesn't even necessarily need a crypto wallet; they can receive local currency directly.
The underlying technology uses Solana and Sui, with Coinbase responsible for custody of USDC.
I think this is much more interesting than "some institution went on-chain again."
In the past, if you wanted to use stablecoins, the first step was often to download an exchange app, register a wallet, and remember a bunch of stuff.
What Samsung wants to do now is:
You already have Samsung Wallet on your phone, so just use it directly.
If this model really spreads, many ordinary people might use stablecoins in the future without even knowing they've interacted with blockchain.
#USDC #SOL #Solana #stablecoin #Samsung #全球长期国债收益率升至多年高位
US Stock Market Closing Summary: OpenAI "Dilution" Sparks AI Stock Sell-off, Apple Rises Against the Trend
US stocks cracked on Thursday. The Nasdaq plunged 1.25%, down over 345 points; the Dow Jones barely closed up 0.1%, supported by energy stocks; the S&P 500 fell 0.47%. Among the top twenty by trading volume, semiconductor and AI-related stocks were almost wiped out, with only Apple standing out, rising over 1% against the trend.
Top trading volumes were grim: Micron Technology led with $30.4 billion, plunging 4.79%; Nvidia was second with $26.6 billion, down 2.94%; SanDisk, AMD, Intel, and Broadcom all fell over 3.5%, with Intel suffering the worst, crashing 5.34%.
The trigger was one: British media reported OpenAI's annual revenue is only about $50 billion, which is $20 billion less than the previously touted $70 billion. The market panicked—AI has burned so much money, but revenue can't keep up, putting Nvidia, Micron, and other "shovel sellers" in the frontline.
Apple was the only bright spot: announced a "Welcome Home" event on October 13 to launch a new smart home hub product, with its stock rising 1.11% against the trend, trading $11.7 billion.
The AI narrative was torn apart by revenue data, with funds fleeing chips to defensive assets. Apple held up by "selling the story," but the semiconductor sell-off is not over yet in the short term.The first time I encountered virtual currency was when a colleague secretly told me at his desk.
He said he bought $BTC and earned enough for an electric scooter, which made me really eager.
When I got home, I downloaded the app and did the real-name verification until midnight.
The first time, I only dared to buy 200 yuan, and my palms were sweaty after buying.
The next day it dropped, and I cursed myself for being reckless.
On the third day, it rose back a bit, and I felt pretty good about myself.
Thinking back, those days were really torturous.
Later, I tried $ETH, wanting to learn how to play on-chain like others.
But the fees were ridiculously high, and I lost it all once by transferring to the wrong address.
I felt heartbroken for days and didn’t dare tell my family.
Then I saw the group chatting about $SOL, saying it was fast and cheap.
I took a little to test the waters, but didn’t dare to go all in.
Looking back now, being cautious actually saved me.
I set strict rules for myself: only play with spare money, never borrow to invest.
When I make a profit, I take some out to have a barbecue, and leave the rest invested.
If I lose, I don’t add more, just close the app and go to sleep.
I basically don’t pay attention to group trading signals, and even if I do, I don’t act on them.
It’s not that I don’t want to earn, but I know my limits.
Virtual currency is volatile, full of stories, and full of traps.
Some people turn their lives around with it, others lose sleep because of it.
I don’t have great skills, I just don’t want to mess up my life.
Making a little pocket money is fine; if I don’t earn, I treat it as tuition.
The most important thing is to work well and eat well.
Don’t let K-lines control your emotions, don’t let greed make decisions for you.
No trading after 11 p.m. is a strict rule.
Decisions made at midnight usually make you want to slap yourself the next day.
Those who say they’ll make you rich mostly want to earn your fees.
I’ve seen people quit their jobs to trade crypto and later worry about rent.
I’ve also seen people who made money but didn’t leave and ended up giving it back.
The market cures all kinds of arrogance.
My goal now is simple: don’t let it affect my sleep.
No matter how lively the market is, it’s not as satisfying as a bowl of hot noodles.
That’s it, all learned from losses, my memory isn’t good so I have to write it down. #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
#跟着OKX打卡2049
#霍尔木兹通航降至两月低位，油价跳涨4% SHIB's story today is hidden in two sets of numbers.
---
First set: Burning is happening, but the scale is shrinking.
In the past 24 hours, SHIB burned about 12 million tokens, with the burn rate surging over 800% compared to the previous day. At the same time, about 24,000 new wallet addresses were added, indicating retail adoption is still accelerating.
But looking at a longer timeframe, the picture is less optimistic. The recent frenzy of a "17,000% surge in burn rate, with nearly 300 million tokens burned in a single transaction" has subsided, and daily burn volume has fallen back to the million-level range. The cumulative burn amount is about 410.8 trillion tokens, which sounds large, but relative to the total supply of 589 trillion, the proportion remains limited.
Burning is a gesture, not an engine. The community has been burning tokens for years, but the price sensitivity to burn data is decreasing.
---
Second set: Technical indicators have turned red.
On October 8, SHIB showed a double death cross on both the 1-hour and 2-hour charts, with the 50-period moving average crossing below the 200-period moving average on both charts. The latest price is $0.0000054, down 1.36% in 24 hours.
More worrisome is the timing. Just a few days ago, SHIB recorded its first daily golden cross since November 2024, and the market briefly hoped to replicate the December 2024 surge to $0.0000334. But the optimistic golden cross signal did not translate into sustained buying pressure and was quickly overshadowed by the death cross.
$0.00000523 is the next key support level. If this level does not hold, the downtrend may accelerate.
---
What really needs attention is still Shibarium.
Developer Kaal Dhairya publicly addressed funding issues after months of silence, confirming that the maintenance and update costs of Shibarium are currently borne by him personally. This statement came at a sensitive time: Blast, another Ethereum L2, recently announced closure due to economic unsustainability, requiring users to withdraw assets by October 26.
Shibariumscan data shows reindexing progress at about 54%, and the technical layer is still operational. But the long-term sustainability of an L2 relying on a single developer funding it out of pocket is itself a risk factor that requires ongoing monitoring.
---
The Solana line also has not brought sustained price momentum.
On October 4, SHIB officially launched on Solana, issued as a native token through the Wormhole Sunrise gateway, rising 3.89% within 24 hours. But by October 6, the price had fallen back to $0.00000581, down 1.7%, with the "listing boost" quickly absorbed by the market.
The gateway is open, but an open gateway does not equal demand.
---
Today's SHIB is at a position that requires patient observation.
Burning continues, but the scale is insufficient to change the supply-demand structure. The Solana channel is open, but buying has not followed. Shibarium is still running, but funding relies on one person. Technicals have issued warning signals, and the macro environment (uncertainty in Federal Reserve policy path) is also suppressing risk assets.
The community holds trump cards, but the chips on the table are still not enough.
The chain hasn't changed, the dog hasn't changed. What has changed is the market's patience with "promises." Quiet markets hide different stories. $SOL trades near $108 after sitting in the $80–100 zone earlier this year, so the range is still fresh. $LINK is around $12, still roughly 77% under its $52.88 high. $LAB is the hard one: price feeds disagree, so I'd check liquidity before forming a view, since thin books can make a price look calmer than it is. Different kinds of quiet need different questions.
Which of the three actually has a reason to move?
#OKXOrbitTopics
#ChainlinkCCIP2Launch BTC hourly chart is still bearish, current price 82371 rebounds but is pressed down by the EMA lifeline, MACD green bars shrinking volume indicate only a weak rebound, no reversal signal.
The liquidation map shows a cluster of long liquidations between 84000 and 85000, currently long liquidity is thicker than short, price has momentum to hunt stops downward. Just closed a position on the seventh floor, legs still shaking. The bearish structure on the chart remains unchanged.
In terms of operation, do not chase shorts, wait for a rebound between 83600 and 84400 to enter shorts, set stop loss at 85600, take profit first at 79500, if broken then look at 77500. Above 87000, short liquidations are too dense; if there is a direct volume breakout above 87000, abandon shorts and do not hold positions.
$BTC
#黄金ETF创纪录吸金，高利率仍压制金价
@OKX星球 BTC
Strategy A: Buy on support pullback
• Entry: 81,200–81,600
• Stop loss: 80,500
• Target: 83,500
• Strategy B: Short at resistance (light position)
• Entry: 83,800–84,300
• Stop loss: 85,000
• Target: 82,200 / 81,800🎭 Three small coins on Friday: BEAT slightly red, HYPE and BICO bottoming out
$BEAT 0.08672, up 2.00%, a micro-cap speculative coin that turned red while the overall market fell. With a market cap of over 20 million, funds are rotating among small coins; if 0.087 holds, look for 0.09. Don't heavily invest in this kind of coin driven by gambling sentiment; take profits and run, as it can fall quickly too. It's normal to rise one day and fall three days.
$HYPE 85.41, down 3.49%, dropped from 88.67 to 85.41. Even with 97% revenue buyback support, it couldn't hold against the market drop. 85 is support; if it holds, look for 88, if not, look down to 80. Big brother Majhi has already cut losses on HYPE; big players are exiting. Don't catch falling knives, wait for the main market direction to be clear.
$BICO 0.01986, down 2.17%, grinding at the bottom after breaking 0.02. The abstract sector in the account has no news or funds; it follows the market down. Next support is at 0.018; if broken, no bottom. Just watch and don't mess with it; small coins like this lose liquidity during rate hike cycles.
#ETF still flowing in, why is BTC falling? Three small coins on Friday: don't heavily hold BEAT, wait for HYPE at 85, watch BICO at 0.018. Don't trade under rate hike expectations; wait for weekend direction.🎯 ETH Conservative Long Position · Guidance Parameters
Current Price $2,490 | Recon Conclusion: More subtle than BTC/DOGE — ETH is closely hugging the daily EMA50 $2,498 life line, while 1H/4H moving averages are all in bearish alignment, and 4H RSI 30 is deeply oversold. Qualitative: Support level for oversold rebound, not trend chasing long. Daily EMA200 $2,213 is far below, mid-term bullish structure intact, but short-term not yet strong.
📍 Ambush Zone (3 pending orders)
① $2,470 · 40% (below current price, around daily EMA50)
② $2,442 · 35% (S1 · fib0.618)
③ $2,405 · 25% (S2 · daily swing low)
→ Average Cost ≈ $2,446
🛡️ Defense Line | Stop Loss $2,375
(4H/Daily candle closes below S2 $2,403 → life line breached, structure invalid. −2.9% from average cost)
🎯 Attack Targets
TP1 $2,508 (R1 · EMA50+POC dense area) → +2.5%, halve position + move stop to breakeven
TP2 $2,544 (R2 · swing high dense area)
TP3 $2,586 (R4 · previous high swH_4h) → +5.7% $ETH In less than two days, $SOL dropped from 116 all the way down to 106. After the drop, is it stable? Don't look at the price, look at the volume.
During those few hours of heavy selling, the volume was the largest. Sellers put in all their effort, fearing they couldn't get out. Those waiting with orders saw the price break down and also started to exit. The heaviest hour saw 540,000 tokens sold. When such volume appears, those eager to leave and able to leave all get taken out.
Now, when the price rebounds, the volume is small—around a hundred thousand in an hour, several times less than during the sell-off. The money wanting to push the price up hasn't entered yet. The current price is supported by the lack of sellers; there aren't many sellers, nor many buyers.
The drop was driven by sellers' effort; the rise requires buyers' effort. Sellers have exhausted their strength, so now it depends on whether buyers are willing to step in. Volume hasn't picked up, price remains flat at a low level. Sellers aren't aggressively selling, buyers aren't aggressively buying; both sides are waiting.
This is how the market looks right after a heavy sell-off. Those trapped don't want to sell at the lowest point, and those waiting fear buying at a mid-level. Neither side dares to make the first move, so volume can't increase. No one is at fault; this phase just looks like this.
Whether this stage is stable or not can be seen by comparing the volume of the rebound with the volume of the sell-off. Each time the rebound volume is higher, indicating more money willing to step in. If it still can't push the price up, it means the market is still in a wait-and-see period.
Watching volume is more useful than watching price; volume can't be faked. Whether the next rebound has volume or not is obvious at a glance.$AERO's strength is not just a one-time counter-trend rally.
While most altcoins are still following BTC and ETH fluctuations to find direction, AERO can maintain relative strength. The market is actually trading on Base chain liquidity and DEX cash flow expectations.
Once on-chain trading activity on Base rebounds, new trading demand usually first settles into the top liquidity layer.
Aerodrome captures more than just spot trading volume.
Liquidity incentives, trading feesm$IONQ IonQ has leading technological accumulation and a broad commercial cooperation network in the quantum computing sector, with strong revenue growth. The DARPA contract and Superion system delivery constitute clear near-term catalysts. However, the company is still in a large-scale cash burn phase, with significant losses, and the current valuation has largely priced in long-term growth expectations. Technically, it is weak in the short term, and the stock price is highly volatile. For investors paying attention to this stock, the actual delivery progress of the Superion system, the acquisition of repeat customer orders, and the disbursement pace of DARPA funds will be key indicators to judge whether its commercialization can be realized.Last night’s market really left no room to survive, are the longs feeling frustrated?
In 24 hours, $1.191 billion liquidated, 190,000 people got wiped out. Long positions liquidated $1.041 billion, shorts only $150 million. One-sided, about 7 longs per 1 short.
So how did it get to this point?
A few days ago, the non-farm payrolls surprised to the downside, rate cut expectations heated up, everyone thought it was stable, longs were packed full, funding rates soared.
The more crowded the longs, the easier they get harvested. Last night the minutes released a hawkish signal, oil prices jumped 4%, two fuse triggers ignited together, leverage exploded in a chain reaction. Ethereum dropped to $2504, Bitcoin dipped to $80400, ZEC fell 11% in one day.
A familiar storyline, different timing.
So ETFs are still flowing in, but prices keep falling. Spot is buying, leverage is exploding. Spot buyers buy a little each day, leveraged players can get wiped out overnight. Slow money is building positions, fast money is collecting corpses.
But the market isn’t all dark. Gold became one of the few assets moving against the trend, up 0.9%. Money hasn’t fully exited, it’s just choosing new destinations: some hiding in gold, some exiting leverage.
After this round of liquidations, if funding rates and crowded long positions get fully cleared, it might be worth watching again.
But don’t rush to bottom fish, wait for the market to fully cool down first.
What do you think, is this liquidation the last drop, or are we only halfway down? $BTC $ETH $ZEC
#霍尔木兹通航降至两月低位，油价跳涨4% Every crash has something to do with Big Brother Maji, and it has become the focus again.
This round, Ethereum didn't follow the drop; it softened first on its own $ETH
After reviewing the data, I felt really bad.
Leading the decline is no accident; liquidity is picking targets. A single-day drop of nearly 4%, a 7-day drop of nearly 9%, both worse than Bitcoin, with liquidations exceeding 300 million USD, even surpassing Bitcoin. When high beta assets are reduced, it’s usually the first to get hit.
The ETF has been withdrawn for two consecutive days, and it’s the same company withdrawing. Ethereum ETFs have been withdrawn for two days totaling about 360 million USD, with BlackRock’s ETHA accounting for over 200 million. When institutions reduce holdings in the same product consecutively, it’s not turnover, it’s de-risking.
Market cap share dropped to 10.6%. Bitcoin rose to 57.5%. In times of risk aversion, money only flows into the largest channels. To win back funds, new narratives are needed, not just falling more. $XRP That 1.31 dip was caused by a volume-driven sell-off, not a gradual decline.
XRP dropped all the way from 1.42 yesterday. The volume on the previous few bearish candles was actually not large, and the drop was very "grinding." Until the midday crash, the trading volume suddenly surged to two to three times that of the previous candles, pushing the dip down to a recent low — concentrated selling pressure was released, the volume was real, and the bottom was serious.
Interestingly, the rebound after the sell-off: the volume on the rebound candles clearly increased, with relative volume expansion in 30 minutes since the rebound began, indicating a lot of capital was buying at the low point. Volume expansion at the low point signaling a bottom and a rebound with volume is different from a simple sideways low-volume pattern; the stabilization signal looks more credible.
Now the price is stuck in the middle. The resistance above is around 1.42; only if it breaks back above can we talk about a reversal. The 1.31 dip below is the critical point — as long as it holds and the retest does not come with volume, the structure for a low-point recovery remains. If it breaks down with volume, the situation must be reassessed.历史榜前三名（截图Coinglass榜单） 第一名 2025‑10‑11：爆仓191.56亿美元｜爆仓162.51万人｜BTC振幅17.26% 第二名 2021‑04‑18：爆仓99.38亿美元｜爆仓102.96万人｜BTC振幅15.33% 第三名 2021‑05‑19：爆仓90.11亿美元｜爆仓83.84万人｜BTC振幅25.64% 昨日2026‑10‑08全网24h数据：全网清算约8.79亿美元，爆仓人数约12.3万，BTC当日振幅约4.2% 1、爆仓金额差距 和历史第一（191.56亿）：昨日仅为其 4.6%，相差约182.77亿美金 和历史第二（99.38亿）：昨日仅为其 8.8%，相差约90.59亿美金 和历史第三（90.11亿）：昨日仅为其 9.7%，相差约81.32亿美金 👉结论：昨日爆仓规模，和历史前三史诗级清算，完全不在一个量级，昨日属于普通级别回调清算，不是历史级去杠杆。 2、爆仓人数差距 历史第一：162.51万人；昨日：12.33万人，只有前者7.6% 历史第二：102.96万人；昨日只有前者12% 历史第三：83.84万人；昨日只有前者14.7% 历史前Brothers, I caught this $ETH short again! Entered short at 2617, current price 2491, floating profit 14.44%, the direction is solid.
Looking at the market, 68% bulls versus 32% bears, retail investors are still rushing in. Every time retail investors crowd to be bullish, that's when you should be cautious.
Why the drop? Ethereum ETF has continuous net outflows, institutions are withdrawing; on-chain validator exit queue surges, a large amount of staked ETH waiting to be unlocked, supply pressure looming overhead; plus BTC failed to break 87000 for the third time, the market is under pressure, ETH is more elastic and falls harder.
On the chart, the key support at 2500 has been broken, pointing directly to 2450 below. MACD death cross continues, volume shrinks, bulls' resistance is weak.
I'm holding the high short entered at 2617, with defense set above 2550, looking down first at 2450. Don't blindly bottom-fish, don't catch falling knives $BTC $ZEC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 The first time I encountered virtual currency was when a colleague secretly told me at his desk.
He said he bought $BTC and earned enough for an electric scooter, which made me really eager.
When I got home, I downloaded the app and did the real-name verification until midnight.
The first time, I only dared to buy 200 yuan, and my palms were sweaty after buying.
The next day it dropped, and I cursed myself for being reckless.
On the third day, it rose back a bit, and I felt pretty good about myself.
Thinking back, those days were really torturous.
Later, I tried $ETH, wanting to learn how to play on-chain like others.
But the fees were ridiculously high, and I lost it all once by transferring to the wrong address.
I felt heartbroken for days and didn’t dare tell my family.
Then I saw the group chatting about $SOL, saying it was fast and cheap.
I took a little to test the waters, but didn’t dare to go all in.
Looking back now, being cautious actually saved me.
I set strict rules for myself: only play with spare money, never borrow to invest.
When I make a profit, I take some out to have a barbecue, and leave the rest invested.
If I lose, I don’t add more, just close the app and go to sleep.
I basically don’t pay attention to group trading signals, and even if I do, I don’t act on them.
It’s not that I don’t want to earn, but I know my limits.
Virtual currency is volatile, full of stories, and full of traps.
Some people turn their lives around with it, others lose sleep because of it.
I don’t have great skills, I just don’t want to mess up my life.
Making a little pocket money is fine; if I don’t earn, I treat it as tuition.
The most important thing is to work well and eat well.
Don’t let K-lines control your emotions, don’t let greed make decisions for you.
No trading after 11 p.m. is a strict rule.
Decisions made at midnight usually make you want to slap yourself the next day.
Those who say they’ll make you rich mostly want to earn your fees.
I’ve seen people quit their jobs to trade crypto and later worry about rent.
I’ve also seen people who made money but didn’t leave and ended up giving it back.
The market cures all kinds of arrogance.
My goal now is simple: don’t let it affect my sleep.
No matter how lively the market is, it’s not as satisfying as a bowl of hot noodles.
That’s it, all learned from losses, my memory isn’t good so I have to write it down. #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
#跟着OKX打卡2049
#霍尔木兹通航降至两月低位，油价跳涨4% The importance of stop-loss!
Going long on BTC and ETH this time,
was my biggest loss ever!
At night, I lost over 300 points at most,
fortunately, I fell asleep, otherwise...
If I had stopped the loss in time,
when the price dropped a lot, I could have caught some rebounds,
but this time I just had to hold on hard, it was painful.Last night $BTC barely held above 80,000, stopping at 80,400
Now the price has rebounded above 82,000
There has been a huge outflow from spot ETFs these days
BTC has been falling continuously, dragging the whole market down
All altcoins basically follow BTC's lead
$ETH's decline is even more severe than BTC's
It dropped nearly 6 percentage points in 24 hours
The price directly fell below 2,500
There is a popular saying in the crypto circle: "When in trouble, short Ethereum" which makes sense, because except for BTC, the so-called support and resistance levels of other altcoins seem ridiculous, including Ethereum.
Among altcoins, $MET is currently performing relatively strong. While the market has been falling these days, it has risen against the trend, with a single-day increase of as much as 60% yesterday. While everyone else is falling, it is rising. I decisively opened a short position as a base holding, waiting for the sentiment to pass and then gradually decline.$SOL jacobvcreech, VP of tech at the Solana Foundation, said holders do not need to move coins to fresh addresses.
Solana keys are hashed from a seed that never hits the chain.
If the curve breaks, a one-time upgrade could let owners prove that seed and switch schemes.
A proof of concept already exists.$QNT QNT represents a high-risk bet on the long-term commercialization prospects of quantum computing. Its core strengths lie in Honeywell's technological heritage, the precision leadership of the ion trap approach, and a strategic buffer provided by over $2 billion in cash reserves. However, the current valuation has significantly priced in long-term expectations, with short-term stock price movements driven more by market sentiment and technical milestone events rather than financial fundamentals. Investors should focus on the delivery progress of Sol (2027) and Apollo (2029), the speed of order conversion, and the pace of cash burn.First, record the position of $RLC, then discuss the viewpoint: current price is 0.9225, about 28.94% away from the 1-hour support at 0.6555, and about 17.56% away from the resistance at 1.0845.
The direction of $RLC is not ambiguous; the real difficulty is whether the current position is still worth continuing to bet on the direction. The 1-hour and 4-hour are both slightly strong, with RSI at 67 and 65 respectively.
I only keep one confirmation for the upward trend — breaking through 1.0845; and only one condition to negate the downward trend — falling below 0.6555. Other fluctuations are considered noise for now.
If you must choose a verification point first, would you focus on confirming the resistance or the breach of support?
The above is a market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull.$PUMP Fortunately, I only used about 3~5% of my liquid funds to play, so I can hold on and not be afraid to bear it. I got stuck in three strategies in total. I can understand being stuck with $ZEC, but I didn't expect the pump cycle to rise like this. However, the biggest advantage of spare money is that it’s useless to hold normally, so I just keep it there and wait it out with you, which is only about two months.What crashed last night wasn't the Federal Reserve, but a revenue figure.
OpenAI disclosed to investors: the annualized revenue by the end of September is about $50 billion, while the rumor from ten days ago was close to $70 billion, nearly a third less. Later it was found that the two parties used different accounting standards; the accounts haven't worsened, and the Q3 run rate actually increased by more than 70%. But the market ignored these details and treated it as a miss.
Chip stocks fell sharply. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index closed down over three points, Nvidia dropped about three points, Oracle fell five and a half points, AMD, Broadcom, and Intel dropped between four to six points, and the Nasdaq fell 1.25 points, marking two consecutive down days.
Crypto was even more direct that same night. BTC fell below 81,000 intraday, with nearly $1 billion liquidated in 24 hours; 90% of liquidations were on the side chasing the upward trend, about 167,000 people were liquidated, the harshest in 90 days. Spot BTC ETFs saw a single-day net outflow of about $487 million.
In short: everyone crowded on one side when prices rose, and when the wind blows, the door is that wide. My usual rule here: no preset bias without a clear direction. Next Wednesday is the US September inflation data, and on 10-28 the interest rate decision—that's the real big day. What do you think?
Personal record sharing, not investment advice. Last night, 167,000 people experienced the same thing at the same time: their positions were liquidated.
No one targeted them. It was the price, inching down step by step.
In the evening, the price first slowly moved down. So slow you thought it was just a pullback. Haha.
It had just tested 87,000 before, but didn’t go up.
Then it was 81,000, close to my previous expectation of 81,900, let me pretend for a moment.
At that level, there was a large block of buy orders hanging on the order book, piled up there since October 3rd, the thickest cluster on the entire market.
Everyone called it the "buy wall."
Everyone thought hitting the wall would at least cause a bounce.
Then they found the wall was gone.
It wasn’t smashed through; the people who placed the orders withdrew first.
Walls are never made of cement. Then, the machines started taking over.
You definitely don’t know about this because it’s the part you haven’t been exposed to.
This area was originally a place to trap people: between 81,700 and 83,330, there were a large number of positions waiting to be liquidated.
Every time the price dropped a bit, a batch of positions with insufficient margin was forcibly sold by the system.
After selling, the price dropped a bit more, then another batch was sold.
In four hours, nearly $700 million was liquidated, of which $650 million were long positions.
The casino’s charm is endless.
Counting 24 hours: a total of $1.16 billion.
Longs lost over a billion, shorts only lost just over a hundred million.
Do you think Bitcoin was the worst hit?
No. ETH lost even more money than Bitcoin, dropping 9.3% in a week.
There’s one more thing even more worth watching. This time I really got hit. Things went too smoothly recently—7000u grew to over 30,000u in just over three months. I didn’t withdraw any funds, believing I could reach 100,000u by the end of the year. Having 30,000u in the contract made me a bit overconfident, and my position size was too heavy. I also stopped paying attention to key price levels and opened positions too casually, which caused me to not withstand this correction at all. I kept adjusting my stop losses repeatedly. Looking back, losing money was deserved. This is the second time this year I’ve started strong and then got knocked down. The first time was in March when I deposited 500u, grew it to 13,000u by May, then lost it all in June. This time I still have a bit over 10,000u left. I just closed a few positions and reduced my two BTC positions by half. This time I’m keeping some principal so I won’t lose everything again. As long as the principal remains, the opportunity remains.