Orbit: Crypto Community Feed
$CAP has had two injections before.
There is significant resistance at 0.072 above.
Let's see if it can break through 0.072 this time and hold steady.
Previously, it failed to hold at this level twice and dropped quickly.
Currently, only about 15% of CAP is in circulation.
Nearly 85% of the tokens are still locked.
Considering the price was pushed up before unlocking,
this round should hold above 0.072.
You can try a small short position now to test the waters.
$SOON is also very strong; yesterday it surged nearly 40% at its peak.
Although there was some pullback today, it wasn't much.
The previous highest price reached around 7U.
This time, it's uncertain how far it can go.
What surprises me the most is that only about 3-4% is in circulation.
Such a low circulation indicates heavy control by the whales.
It feels like a manipulated coin, so be cautious with shorting.
$XPL has returned to the price before unlocking.
A few days ago, over a hundred million dollars worth of tokens were unlocked.
I originally thought the price would drop all the way down.
But I shorted and on the unlocking day, it started to rise,
rising nearly 40%.
Then I got stuck, but now the price has fallen back to pre-unlock levels, a false alarm.
It should continue to decline afterward,
since the volume is large and can't be sold off quickly.
+18.39%
Snapshot at Oct 01, 2026, 09:37
September Summary: Continuing to Practice Compound Interest Thinking, Achieved 50,000u This Month
September ended, and as the Analects say, "I examine myself thrice daily; thus I can be a teacher." Today, I also make a September summary. Overall, the account made a profit, but more important than the numbers is that this month made me clearer about what steady compound interest means.
Looking at the calendar, more red than green days, with profitable days clearly dominant. The start of the month had consecutive red days, and there were continuous inflows in the middle. The single-day +7.3K on the 29th was a highlight. But what really concerns me is not these highlights, but those few losses. Losses on the 4th and 5th consecutively, another loss on the 17th, and a small loss of 656 on the 30th to close the month. Although the overall profit for the month is substantial, if these big losses could be controlled, the curve would look better.
The core of compound interest has never been about making a huge profit in one day, but about not suffering a huge loss in one day. Holding on when making profits, cutting losses quickly when losing, only then can the capital curve steadily rise. This month had many profitable days, indicating the rhythm and judgment were good, but the single-day drawdown was relatively large, indicating room for improvement in stop-loss and position management. The goal for next month is simple: keep the maximum single-day loss within 2% of total capital, not chasing overnight doubling, but aiming for steady accumulation every month.
Slow is fast, less loss is more gain. October will continue with this approach, leaving compound interest to time.
How was your September? Let's chat in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
$SUSHI
Sushi has been stuck for a year, with the worst drop over 90 points. I've been continuously adding positions and trading during this period to lower the average cost, which has come down to over 0.5. Currently at 0.28, does anyone think there's hope to break even?😅
Last night was so thrilling, I almost got wiped out!
I can only say that this fake breakout of the big coin $BTC was really ruthless!
I don't know how many brothers got liquidated last night,
If it had happened before,
I probably would have been wiped out last night.
It was so deceptive,
The volume, the positive news, the breakout with volume above 85200,
It's hard not to believe it was a real breakout,
That a big surge was coming.
Especially for the brothers chasing longs on the right side,
I guess they were already crying unconscious in the bathroom.
If I had also gone long above 85000 last night,
I probably would have been liquidated by now.
Ethereum was still okay $ETH,
Basically no huge surge.
I can only say it's really tough,
This trap was made too convincingly,
Brothers, did you lose or make money last night?
Check my pinned post to discuss.
+87.59%
Snapshot at Oct 01, 2026, 09:11
Dear teachers, the current price of PENGU is 0.009578, with a daily chart showing a pullback and a 3.52% intraday decline.
Observing 328 whale sample accounts, the number of long positions exceeds shorts, with a nominal long-short ratio reaching 142.44%. Many long positions have already realized floating profits, while most short positions are currently at a loss on paper.
Even though large holders lean towards longs, it does not mean the market will continue to rise unilaterally; positions with accumulated floating profits have the demand to take profits. MEME contracts are extremely volatile, so do not simply rely on position sentiment to enter trades.
Attack level: 0.01030, defense level: 0.00875.
⚠️ Be extremely careful
The three coins most likely to rise today are these three.
On the first day of the National Day holiday, the market doesn't look very good.
Today, I am prioritizing watching $HYPE, $WLD, and $SOON, waiting for the trend to confirm before making any moves.
HYPE: First, see if $90 can hold.
This morning around $90, up about 5.7% in 24 hours, but still down about 3.6% in the past 7 days. This wave is considered a recovery for now. I will wait for a stable pullback near $90 before observing if it can continue. If it falls back and can't recover, I'll wait.
WLD: The trend has been relatively strong these days.
Around $0.54, up about 9.5% in 24 hours, and up about 22.6% in the past 7 days. It’s rising both daily and weekly, which is why I included it on the list. I’m watching to see if $0.55 can hold. If there’s support on a pullback, I’ll consider it; I won’t chase sudden spikes.
SOON: The fastest gainer and the most demanding on reaction speed.
Around $0.497, up about 16.9% in 24 hours, the largest increase among the three. I’ll watch $0.50; after a breakout, if it pulls back and holds, I’ll consider it. If it breaks through but then falls back, I’ll give up on chasing the rise.
Being optimistic doesn’t mean buying right now. The holiday can end anytime, so it’s better to wait before opening positions since the market doesn’t guarantee a return ticket.
Kidt
The few coins most likely to rise today, I’m focusing on these 3.
$AVAX:
AVAX has clearly started to strengthen recently, and it’s not just due to strong capital inflows. It recently benefited from the RWA sector, with about $131 million in tokenized stocks flowing in over the past week. As long as BTC doesn’t suddenly cause trouble today, I think there’s still room for it to push higher. The only thing to watch out for is not to chase the sharp rise; waiting for a pullback will be much more comfortable.
$ZEC:
ZEC has really been active lately. Although it pulled back after a big surge, the momentum hasn’t completely faded. The biggest advantage of this coin now is that capital is still willing to play. As long as there’s buying on dips, it’s easy for a big bullish candle to appear suddenly. Don’t chase the sudden spike; wait for a comfortable position.
$PUMP:
This logic is the simplest: profit, buyback, burn. The latest cumulative buyback has exceeded $466 million, with nearly 17% of the supply bought back and burned. As long as the momentum doesn’t drop, PUMP still has a story to tell. Volume is still there, momentum is still there, so I’ll keep watching.
Today, I’m mainly watching AVAX, ZEC, and PUMP.
As I always say, no one pays attention when coins don’t rise, but after a 20% increase, it’s all good news.
The truly comfortable position is never when everyone is shouting bull.
"Leave Room in Your Position to Actually Benefit from the Market"
The biggest lesson this week wasn’t about misjudging the direction, but about overloading the position. Even though the judgment was correct, any slight fluctuation was unbearable, and when the market really moved, I couldn’t capitalize on it. That trade was a typical example—too heavy a position, emotions following the candlesticks, and in the end, just watching profits slip away.
$BTC is currently around 83300, still oscillating between 82000 and 86000. I opened a long position relying on the support below, currently profitable, holding and observing the resistance above for now. As long as the range isn’t broken, there’s no rush to add or exit.
$ZEC is currently at 1410, the volatile altcoin still showing huge swings, having just experienced a significant pullback. This kind of asset is only suitable for small position speculation; going heavy is just asking for trouble. DOGE is at 0.093, following the overall market oscillation without an independent trend, mostly driven by Bitcoin sentiment, so it’s not suitable for chasing highs.
With non-farm payroll and PCE data approaching, market volatility will further increase. At times like this, position management is more important than directional judgment. Leaving enough room is the only way to qualify for capturing the market.
Wishing everyone good control of their positions and steady capture of their own market opportunities 🎉
The above is just my personal live trading insight, DYOR.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键
#BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
-30.76%
Snapshot at Oct 01, 2026, 02:50
BTC closed bullish on the monthly chart in September, achieving three consecutive bullish months.
【Three Monthly Candles】
• July: +7.3%, 58,625 → 62,888
• August: +25.0%, 62,888 → 78,581
• September: +6.4%, 78,581 → 83,624
Historical pattern: Since 2014, BTC has experienced 12 instances of three or more consecutive bullish monthly closes, including this time, and none occurred during bear markets.
The first three consecutive bullish monthly closes after each bear market ended appeared in: September 2015, February 2019, and January 2023.
Macro changes: The probability of a 25bp rate hike in October dropped from 70% on September 28 to 33% on October 1, indicating a reversal in expectations.
Risk reminder: Consecutive bullish monthly closes do not confirm a bull market; historically, significant pullbacks have occurred after such runs.
Currently, among the seven bull market confirmation conditions, "the most recent full monthly close above 90,360" has not yet been met, with about an 8% gap remaining.
Personal view: The bottom signal has likely appeared, but bull market confirmation is still incomplete. This is not investment advice!
$ETH $SOL $BTC
Maji currently holds 4 perpetual positions with a total value of approximately $149 million, an overall leverage of 17.64x, and available margin still at $0.
Current status:
$BTC long
390 contracts, 40x full position
Entry price: $83,796
Position value: about $32.56 million
Current unrealized loss: about $117,200
$ETH long
34,800 contracts, 25x full position
Entry price: $2,675
Position value: about $93.41 million
Current unrealized profit: about $299,000
$HYPE long
190,000 contracts, 10x full position
Current unrealized profit: about $65,200
$PUMP long
1 billion contracts, 10x full position
Current unrealized profit: about $77,600
In brief:
ETH continues to be the main profit driver, BTC is temporarily at a small loss awaiting a breakout, HYPE and PUMP are also starting to recover.
After the PCE, market sentiment warmed up, and Maji's high-leverage portfolio began to enter a comfortable zone.
Fighting against the $CP pump-and-dump for a month, this trend looks like a stagnant pool of water
Since issuance, it peaked and then dropped to around 0.12, losing momentum and liquidity. It seems like the price is stabilized, but in reality, it's hiding a deeper abyss
The price looks stable, and the overall market hasn't declined yet. If the market takes a big downturn, this will probably be halved again
What does it mean that the new coin $XDP surged several times immediately after listing on spot? Does anyone really get to buy at the issuance price?
Many say holding the position until the end leads to liquidation. Regardless of my position size, I will keep holding and never let the pump-and-dump take a single cent. Brothers with experience resisting dumps, please give some advice
This is my personal live trading view and does not constitute investment advice
ദ്ദി◝ ⩊ ◜.ᐟ
-1,030.95%
Snapshot at Oct 01, 2026, 08:50