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$SAND has been a bear's ATM these past two days! 50x short positions grabbed 169.33%, precisely shorted at 0.08061, current mark price 0.07786, the entire drop was eaten up!
The trading logic is very clear: resistance at the 0.08 round number, a double top formed on the daily chart, volume shrinks and breaks support.
The real background is that the metaverse concept has cooled recently, the overall market is weak, and SAND is falling in resonance with the trend.
Next, it is recommended to take profits in batches between 0.075-0.077, don't get attached with 50x leverage, secure your capital and set stop losses.
If it rebounds to 0.08 but fails, you can keep a base position; if it breaks down, then wait and see. #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 $ZEC $BTC #贝森特：The rise in US Treasury yields aligns with the global trend
Core two-layer market logic
1) Traditional bearish logic (mainstream)
Global yields rise together → risk-free returns increase, raising the opportunity cost of holding cryptocurrencies, suppressing risk asset valuations, funds favor bonds, overall bearish for the crypto space.
2) Special hedging logic (differentiated scenario)
If the market interprets: global sovereign debt pressures increase simultaneously, sovereign credit collectively questioned, triggering currency devaluation trades, funds flow into hard assets like Bitcoin for hedging, which is bullish for BTC.
Breakdown by coin impact
Bitcoin BTC
• Benchmark beta asset.
• Scenario A (market accepts Besent’s view): excludes US sovereign crisis narrative, returns to rate tightening logic → bearish, under pressure and correction.
• Scenario B: market focuses more on global synchronized high rates and global debt pressure → hedging logic effective, BTC has safe-haven buying, oscillates and resists decline.
Ethereum ETH
More elastic than BTC.
• If yield rise dominates the market, ETH falls more than BTC;
• If hedging narrative develops, ETH’s rebound will also be stronger than BTC.
• ETH is also dragged down by ETF outflows, facing greater upward resistance.
ZEC (privacy coin) double overlay
1. Macro level: follows the overall market; under rising rate environment, small coins face more selling pressure than BTC and ETH.
2. Additional constraint: global yield rise = Europe tightening too, EU regulatory scrutiny on privacy coins will tighten simultaneously, adding another layer of regulatory risk suppressing ZEC.
Three scenario forecasts (reference for gains/losses)
Scenario 1: Market accepts Besent’s view (highest probability)
Market understands: it’s just a global interest rate cycle, not a US debt default.
• BTC: oscillating weak, -2% ~ +1% range, hard to rally strongly
• ETH: -3.5% ~ +1.5%, more volatile
• ZEC: -5% ~ +2%, high risk of sharp dips
Overall: oscillating weak, rebound height limited, difficult to have a strong one-sided rally
Scenario 2: Ignore reassurances, trade global debt risk (low probability bullish)
Market focuses on “all global sovereign yields rising,” trading sovereign credit risk.
• BTC: +2%~+5%
• ETH: +3%~+7%
• ZEC: +4%~+9% (small coin most elastic, but quick rise and fall)
Scenario 3: Yields continue to surge rapidly (clear bearish)
Long-term yields continue to break higher, liquidity tightening expectations strengthen.
• BTC: -4%~-7%
• ETH: -6%~-10%
• ZEC: -8%~-14%, privacy small coins suffer the steepest sell-off
Summary subjective view
Besent’s speech mainly serves to dispel the “US debt crisis” bullish narrative, without changing the reality constraint of high interest rates.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC 表面全是买买买，可我的仓位表却在提醒我别被热闹牵着走。 当利好密集到让人手痒时，真正该问的是：我现在的风险预算，撑得住一次假突破吗？ 今天刷到的消息确实漂亮。Visa稳定币年化结算量突破200亿美元，美联储和欧洲央行要公布9月会议纪要，仓位报告显示57%的人偏乐观。BlackRock的IBIT一个月买了15.7亿美元BTC，总持仓超过80万枚，美国现货ETF本周净流入约8290万。大资金30天囤了7.5万枚BTC，超过4万枚被转出交易所。Citi也把12个月目标从8.2万上调到11.3万。 但我盯着这些数字时，第一反应不是追，而是检查自己哪里可能犯错。 偏多逻辑很顺：供给在收紧，机构在吸，主权基金甚至卖金换BTC，情绪偏暖但还没到极端。这种结构下，回调容易被买走，山寨的弹性可能滞后于BTC和ETH，因为资金先照顾确定性。 可风险也藏在这里。ETF流入是周度数据，周中可能反复；57%乐观意味着预期已经部分计价，会议纪要若偏鹰，短线回撤会很快。大额转出交易所不全是囤币，也可能是托管迁移。Citi的目标价是12个月，不是下周。 所以我今天只做三件事： - 把追高的仓位砍掉一半，留子弹给回踩。Even though it's all an increase, some coins have already regained lost ground, while others are still far behind, meow 😼.
$TAO's recent performance is like this: although the price has returned to around 306, with a nearly 5% increase in 24 hours, looking strong, if you extend the timeframe to a week, the increase is actually only about 2%. Comparing these two numbers side by side makes the logic behind it very clear: this shows that TAO actually experienced a significant pullback in the past few days, and only just barely recovered the weekly-level decline on the most recent day.
This rebound strength is indeed commendable, indicating that there is capital supporting from below. However, saying that the next major upward wave has already started is still premature. For the upcoming market, what deserves more attention is not how fast it rises, but whether the price can steadily hold at this relatively higher level after the upward momentum slows down. If the market stalls and the price quickly falls back, giving up all the gains, then this rise at best is just a "dead cat bounce" type of rebound, not a true reversal. #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 According to data from the past 10 years (2016 - 2025), Bitcoin's average increase in October is nearly 18%.
If calculated based on this average, from the current position, roughly $8,300 - $86,000, theoretically it could reach around $98,000.
However, in these ten years, the only Octobers with significant surges were October 2017 and October 2021.
October 2017: +47.8%
October 2021: +39.9%
The years with slight declines were only October 2018 and October 2025.
October 2018: -3.8%
October 2025: -3.7%
The 10-year average is pulled up by those two big surge years.
In most other years, the average increase is only about 10%.
This October has just started, and the third quarter already surged over 42%.
Meanwhile, the spot ETF has attracted over $6 billion, but inflows ended after 9 consecutive days at the end of September.
Therefore, what truly determines whether this month will close green is whether Bitcoin can firmly hold $86,000, and whether the ETF can continue to attract funds.
Historical data is only a reference, not the script for this month.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 In this market cycle, the difference in choosing which coin to invest in is significant. It cannot be summarized simply as "altcoin recovery."
$WLD has risen about 21% in a week and about 4% in 24 hours, showing a notably strong short-term performance.
At times like this, it's easiest for people to shift from "wait for a pullback" to "if you don't buy now, it'll be too late."
It's now close to 0.60; this round number can be observed, but you can't just assume a big surge after a breakout because the numbers look good.
If it quickly falls back after crossing, those who chased in will start to hesitate; if the pullback isn't deep and it can continue pushing upward, that is more convincing.
It's good to be optimistic, but controlling your position size is very important, meow.
$AAVE has risen nearly 25% in the past week and about 38% in a month, showing outstanding performance this week.
It didn't continue to surge today because it's the weekend and it has already risen for a while, so a pause is allowed. What really needs attention is whether the next pullback will erase several days' worth of gains.
Slowing down and stalling need to be distinguished by subsequent price action; don't rush to conclusions just because the gains have narrowed.
$DOGE basically hasn't risen in a week and has slightly fallen in the last 24 hours, temporarily not keeping up with this strong rally.
Those holding it might be more anxious, especially seeing other coins continuously rising.
But switching coins out of impatience might just mean switching when others are resting.
My judgment is to first acknowledge its current weakness, then watch for any new signs of strength. Continuing to hold requires reasons, and switching positions temporarily also requires reasons.Saylor tweeted tonight: More orange than ever
Is this a large-scale buy-in of Bitcoin?
Whether he buys or not seems to have little impact on the overall market trend,
but if he sells a large amount of Bitcoin, that would be somewhat stimulating.
I've written many articles about him, but never clearly explained his story.
There is a listed company whose main business (software) has long been abandoned.
Now it only does one thing: buys Bitcoin, continuously.
The coins on its books are worth more than the company itself.
Interestingly,
its stock sells for more than the coins it holds.
Paying over 10% more.
Why?
Because it can keep borrowing money and then use that money to buy coins.
What’s expensive in the market is not the coins it holds,
but this channel of borrowing and buying repeatedly.
Looking at this skillset, we mainly focus on three things.
First, where the money to buy coins comes from.
If it’s self-earned, it’s saving; if borrowed, it’s gambling.
Second, when the borrowed money must be repaid.
If it must be repaid within a year, and the price doesn’t cooperate, it has to cut losses.
If repayment is due in ten years, then it can endure.
Third, how high the interest on the borrowed money is.
The higher the interest paid, the more people are recalculating its risk.
Putting these three together, its strategy becomes clear:
Use long-term money borrowed at high interest to buy non-yielding assets.
Seeing this, you’re probably thinking, how can this keep going?
This system can only work under one premise:
The price of BTC keeps rising. 66 billion USD borrowed to fuel AI.
Grant Cardone pointed out something: giants like Meta, Google, and Amazon are relying on issuing high-yield bonds to support AI investments, with coupon rates as high as 9.75%.
In plain terms, they’d rather pay such expensive interest than risk falling behind in the AI race.
But from another perspective, who is buying these bonds?
Buyers aren’t driven by faith, but by that 9.75% return.
If AI’s execution falls short of expectations, interest rates will have to drop — at that point, will money still flow in so cheaply?
If tech stocks start calculating this, and risk appetite tightens, highly volatile assets like those in the crypto space are often the first to be drained.
This won’t have much short-term impact, but emotionally it’s a hidden risk.
The giants borrow money to fight a war of expectations. When expectations loosen, the first to run are never them, but the onlookers.
What do you think, if this AI narrative cools off, can $BTC hold up on its own?
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额 $BTC To start with the conclusion: $H100 has been listed on OKX perpetual for two days, and the price is still fluctuating between 2.55 and 2.84 — this is not sideways trading, but the price discovery after listing is not yet complete.
On October 2, OKX announced the listing of $H100 perpetual (along with ACN, NKE, BWET, SECZ in the same batch). I checked the 4-hour trading volume over these two days: the first candle had 16,628 contracts, the second day 24,106 contracts, then gradually shrinking to 14,463 contracts, and the latest candle only 2,500 contracts.
What does this volume shrinkage curve indicate? The initial market makers and arbitrageurs have already set up the liquidity framework at the early stage of listing, but real speculative funds have not yet entered — everyone is waiting for a directional signal.
Compared to $ACN listed in the same batch (with trading volume over 3,000 contracts), $H100’s liquidity is clearly thinner. What does thin liquidity mean? Volatility will be amplified. If you pick the right direction, the elasticity is large; if you pick the wrong one, the pullback will be quick.
Today BTC is holding steady above 85,000. If the market continues to stabilize, the price discovery window for these newly listed coins will close faster.
Are you paying attention to $H100 now? $H100🔥 方向对了，为什么你还是没赚到钱？ 今天花旗把比特币12个月目标价从8.2万美元直接上调到了11.3万美元，上调幅度接近34%。BTC现在在85,000美元附近盘整，而链上数据告诉我们：长期持有者周度已实现利润几乎翻倍，但整体成交量依然低迷，市场还没有出现真正的广泛参与。 看到这个数据，我想起OKX星球创作者周报里一位博主说过的话： “市场最难的地方往往不是让你完全看错，而是让你方向大致没错，却很难把利润真正留下来。” 这句话扎心吗？扎心就对了。 三季度比特币涨了42.71%，创下近9年同期最佳表现，但年初至今却仍然累计下跌约4%。什么意思？意思是很多人在年初看对了方向，却在中间的震荡里被甩下了车。 我自己也经历过。6月底在57,735挂了多单，差一千块钱没成交，然后看着行情一路反弹上去。踏空的感觉比亏钱还难受——亏钱的时候你至少知道自己错在哪，踏空的时候你连错在哪都说不清楚。 现在市场处于什么阶段？Glassnode的判断是“初步上行阶段”，但量能不足。8.5万到8.55万美元有卖压墙，7.72万美元是关键支撑位。简单说：方向大概率向上，但过程会很磨人。 这种行情下，最容易犯的错Btc bull flag structure shows a false breakout upward, breakout failed, daily chart has a top divergence, price still remains within a large range consolidation, no clear direction yet.
Avoid frequent trading in the middle of a volatile market, strictly no chasing the rally.
Rebound to the upper resistance zone 8.65-8.7 is a priority shorting area, stop loss set at 8.75.
Watershed: 83000-82500, a valid break below signals further decline; holding above means continued range-bound oscillation, watch out for false short traps.
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 $BTC $ETH [Old Chive Observation] #MichaelSaylor hints at increasing BTC holdings
Michael Saylor just sent another signal.
He shared Strategy's BTC Tracker with only one sentence:
"More orange than ever."
Currently, Strategy holds 847,666 BTC, with an average cost of about $75,437/BTC.
More importantly, the last time Strategy disclosed an increase was right after Saylor released a similar Tracker:
On September 28, they bought 1,665 BTC, spending about $143 million. So what the market is waiting for now is not just a "bullish on BTC" statement, but whether we will see another new BTC purchase tomorrow. There is no confirmation yet that Strategy has bought in. But if this signal is realized, the next day will see another purchase worth over $100 million. $BTC $BTC Long and Short Crowding List｜Last 15 Minutes
$SAND short side unit time holding cost is relatively high: current 4-hour rate -0.0392%, price -0.83%, open interest +0.82%. Decline and increased positions are synchronized; holding short positions past settlement at the current rate, the funding fee will lower the breakeven price.
$AXS short side unit time holding cost is relatively high: current 4-hour rate -0.0391%, price -0.58%, open interest +0.43%. Decline and increased positions are synchronized; holding short positions past settlement at the current rate, the funding fee will lower the breakeven price.
$STRK negative rate is at a near seven-day same-period low: current 4-hour rate -0.0077%, price -0.24%, open interest +1.93%. Decline and increased positions are synchronized; holding short positions past settlement at the current rate, the funding fee will lower the breakeven price.Let's analyze the big brother's slick moves.
Big bro Maji was decisive this round, PUMP was completely cleared out, keeping the total position steady at $146 million. Marginal positions were cut, scattered funds gathered back, clearly holding back for a new move.
$BTC: 378 coins, average price 84,700, floating profit of 152,900. Liquidation price dropped to 65,200, defense line much steadier. Recently repeatedly selling high and buying low, timing is spot on.
$ETH: 36,000 coins, average price 2,688, floating profit back to 610,000. But burning 1.23 million daily in sky-high funding fees, liquidation price pressed down to 2,495. Profits remain, defensive pressure still high, all relying on a strong foundation.
$HYPE: Position reduced to 174,000 coins, average price 89.72, slight profit of 65,200. Liquidation price dropped to 45, risk fully released.
After clearing PUMP, the $146 million portfolio now only holds the three core assets: BTC, ETH, and HYPE. Cutting marginal positions and concentrating defense on the mainstream shows he doesn't want to spread funds thin now. With the market fluctuating back and forth, better to keep bullets ready and wait for a clear direction before making a move.
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 #贝森特：The rise in U.S. Treasury yields aligns with global trends
🔥 Brothers, with this statement, Bassent has fully revealed the bottom cards of the U.S. Treasury market.
In plain terms: the surge in U.S. Treasury yields follows the global trend. Translated into everyday language — don’t expect the Treasury or the Fed to forcibly suppress interest rates anymore; we all have to gradually get used to a high interest rate environment.
This is definitely a long-term constraint for the crypto world. Think about it, the 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury yields stuck at a high level of 5.6% means the world’s safest asset can earn big returns just by holding it. Capital chases profits; with such high risk-free returns, who still has the leisure to take risks in crypto? Bitcoin hovering around 85,000 and unable to break higher ultimately means there’s no fresh liquidity outside the market, and inside the market it’s all leverage cutting each other.
But let’s not be overly pessimistic.
Bassent’s statement is actually about managing expectations. He’s telling the market: stop fixating on rate cuts, the U.S. economy is aiming for a "soft landing," and high interest rates are the new normal. This shows the U.S. Treasury is choosing to tough it out under debt pressure.
The current strategy is simple, don’t get caught up in grand macro narratives:
Hold your spot positions firmly; as long as institutional ETFs keep buying slowly, the bottom support remains, don’t easily give up your chips.
Contract traders must control their hands; during this high interest rate standoff, macro news causes extremely fierce spikes up and down, and both longs and shorts are prone to repeated liquidations.
Hold your USDT tightly, be patient, wait until the market truly adapts to the high interest rate norm, or until long-term bond yields finally peak and fall back — that will be the signal for a major rebound in risk assets.$ETH Recently, what is worth paying attention to is not the single-day increase, but whether there is a sustained capital inflow. If $BTC remains stable at a high level, and ETH starts to consistently outperform BTC, this kind of capital rotation is often more noteworthy than a single large bullish candle.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势
#VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额 $FLOCK I was just complaining to a friend about this week's market, but now I have to take back my words, it's a bit awkward.
Last night before bed, FLOCK rebounded but no one took over, the support was insufficient, and the resistance above was obvious. I suggested trying a short position. Entry price 0.07391.
Woke up to see the current price at 0.06463, a return of +251.38%. This profit feels good; the earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is truly satisfying.
Take profits on 80%, move the stop loss on the remaining 20% to the cost price for protection, let the profit run if it continues to drop, don't be greedy for the last bit.
Don't lose patience in the consolidation and then try to regain dignity in a trending move. Risk control done upfront is called being rational; cutting losses after losing is called decisive action. Now is not the time to rush, wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, there will be more opportunities ahead.
$ADA $ZEC $ZEC
✅ Scenario A: Bulls charge again
Holding above 1337.83, bulls make another push to challenge the high at 1346. Once broken, the upside space opens up.
❌ Scenario B: Rally followed by pullback and correction
Support at 1330.33 fails, price pulls back to 1323 (SAR), further looking toward SuperTrend support at 1313.
👉 Let's discuss your views:
1. Do you think 1346 is the phase top for this wave?
2. With ZEC consolidating at a high level, do you lean more toward an upward breakout or a pullback for accumulation first?
3. After this rally with a long upper shadow and choppy price action, could this be another two-way stop-loss sweep? #ZEC现货ETF连续3日流出，NU7升级临近 #OKXNOW：未来已至，重磅内容正在揭晓 $BTC is stagnant near 85,000 USD, but the activity of large on-chain addresses is anything but calm.
In the past 10 days, whale and shark addresses holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC have quietly accumulated 41,025 BTC, pushing total holdings to 13.64 million BTC, accounting for 67.93% of the circulating supply, directly reclaiming the highest level since the mid-August rally. During the same period, retail addresses holding less than 0.01 BTC barely moved, remaining flat.
More subtle is the situation on the exchange side.
The total BTC balance on exchanges has dropped to about 2.68 million BTC, the lowest since 2023. The inflow-to-outflow ratio has continuously declined to 0.97, indicating a net outflow of funds from exchanges, with a net outflow of 6,762 BTC in the first week of October alone. Coins are leaving trading platforms, but the price remains sideways; this structural migration of supply is more worth watching than any bullish candle on the chart.
There is another signal not to be ignored — the concentrated awakening of dormant addresses. On October 4, an address that had been dormant for 13.1 years holding 801 BTC suddenly activated, worth 68.29 million USD. On the same day, another ancient whale from 13 years ago moved 1,346 BTC, with a cost basis of only 240,000 USD, realizing a floating profit of over 100 million USD. Old money is testing, new money is accumulating; the directions may not be the same, but both are active.
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 Stop oscillating, ETH: A monologue about cleansing and struggle
Can you stop oscillating? ETH.
Watching the candlestick break through from 2530 to 2700, this smoothness is rare. The 2700 to 2800 range is basically a battleground for bears, with liquidations, stop losses, and short covering triggering a domino effect that further pushed the price up. Honestly, this rally didn’t require much effort; the market sentiment was just ignited like that.
But as someone who’s been through the market grind, I know very well: if this bull market wants to truly take off, the trend won’t be so smooth. To go far, the main players have to be a bit "mean." They need to push down to the 2450 or even 2300 range to completely clear out those high-leverage bulls shouting "bull market is back." After all, where would you latecomer "retail traders" comfortably make money so easily?
Right now, my average holding price is 2685.11. Looking at the red and green on the chart, I feel mixed emotions. The day before yesterday’s non-farm payroll data was released, and the market expected earth-shattering volatility, but what happened? Only a 1.11 amplitude. Although the low once dipped to 2648, I didn’t profit from it. For risk control, I even closed my BTC profit position a few days ago.
Trading is like this, full of regrets and struggles. While we look forward to trends, we also fear their reversals. #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 SEI going pump right now isn’t pure hopium — it’s a real mix of supply squeeze narrative + tech delivery + RWA traction, but the chart is screaming short-term exhaustion.
$SEI
#FedECBMeetingMinutes #BTCETHETFFlowsDiverge $DOGE 用了两个月走出了一波约35%的上涨，现在终于轮到获利盘开始“说话”了。 从8月7日的0.069美元一路涨到10月4日的0.093美元，这期间进场的资金，大部分都已经处于盈利状态。 而当市场赚钱的人越来越多，新的问题自然也会出现： 涨得越多，想落袋为安的人就越多。 进入10月之后，前4天价格已经回吐了9月部分涨幅，大约15%。 但在我看来，这暂时还不能直接定义为趋势反转，更像是一次正常的获利盘兑现+筹码重新交换。 老持仓开始落袋，新资金承接，市场平均持仓成本也会在这个过程中重新洗牌。 判断这次回调到底是健康整理，还是趋势开始转弱，关键还是看承接力度。 如果 $DOGE 能够稳住 0.09–0.093美元这个区域，说明下跌过程中仍然有资金持续接货，抛压逐步被消化，筹码结构反而可能变得更加健康。 但如果跌破0.09之后迟迟无法重新站回去，就说明买盘开始跟不上卖盘节奏。 那样的话，前面35%的涨幅可能还需要更长时间来消化。 量能也值得重点观察： 回调缩量、反弹放量——偏向强势整理。 下跌放量、反弹缩量——则要警惕资金持续流出。 从整体节奏来看，两个月上涨35%并不算特别疯狂，现在回Besent says the rise in U.S. Treasury yields "aligns with global trends," what do experts think?
U.S. Treasury Secretary Besent recently stated that the recent rise in U.S. Treasury yields is consistent with global market trends and is not unique to the U.S., so there is no need for excessive panic. He said there is no evidence of funds selling U.S. Treasuries to shift to German or Japanese bonds.
The background is that the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield once reached 5.306%, the highest since 2002. Driving factors include the Iran war pushing up energy prices, concerns about the U.S. fiscal condition, and the AI capital expenditure boom.
Experts agree with the "global trend" assessment: over the past year, U.S. Treasury yields have risen about 97 basis points, while South Korea, Japan, Australia, and France have risen 178, 145, 114, and 102 basis points respectively during the same period, representing a synchronized repricing of long-term rates across multiple countries. However, experts also point out that Besent avoided addressing the U.S.'s own fiscal issues: federal debt has surpassed $40 trillion, long-term supply pressure continues to increase term premiums, and the underlying logic for rising long-term rates has not disappeared.
For the crypto market, the higher the risk-free rate, the greater the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin. If the global interest rate baseline is systemically reset, 5% may not be the peak but the starting point of a new normal. Some also believe that to maintain bond market stability, the Federal Reserve may tolerate high inflation for a long time, which in turn strengthens Bitcoin's narrative.
The above content is only a summary and analysis of market information and does not constitute any investment advice.
#贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 [Pharaoh's Market View]
ADAPT was proposed by Senator Steve Daines and is currently a bill, not yet law. It mainly involves exemptions for small network fees and some simplifications in stablecoin payment taxation?
The impact on BTC can be divided into three layers:
* Long-term positive for compliant participation. Tax rules become clearer, reducing uncertainty for businesses and professional investors handling digital assets. But this lowers participation barriers and does not directly equate to new funds buying BTC.
* Short-term traders face some disadvantages. The proposed wash sale rules may limit the practice of "selling at a loss and quickly buying back while claiming tax deductions." However, this does not mean immediate selling pressure in the market; the final text and implementation arrangements still need to be seen.
* Stablecoins benefit more directly. The related payment conveniences do not mean that Bitcoin trading or payments are generally tax-exempt, nor is there a promise to reduce BTC capital gains tax rates.
Pharaoh's summary: This is a tax guidance supplement for the crypto community, helpful for long-term development, but not yet at the stage of "bill proposed, BTC price soars." In the near term, BTC's direction still depends on US Treasury yields, ETF buying, and whether the price can break resistance; this news alone is insufficient to justify chasing the price up.
So Pharaoh's view: ADAPT is moderately positive for Bitcoin medium to long term, with limited short-term impact; it also includes clauses tightening tax benefits, not a comprehensive tax cut. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #美参议院提出新加密税收法案ADAPT 📦 STRK Just Broke Out of Its Box
After 10 days in a $0.038 to $0.050 range, STRK broke out, cleared September's $0.051 high, and now trades at $0.058 after tagging $0.0597.
Fuel: new strkBTC incentives and a mainnet upgrade on October 5.
Risks: $0.06 resistance, daily RSI above 74, and a 127M STRK unlock on October 15.
Hold $0.054 and $0.06 is next. Lose it and the $0.050 box top gets retested.
Through $0.06 or retest?
Not financial advice. $STRK $BTC $ZEC 6. If you can't even recover the previous day's cost on the second day, it means the rhythm is off; if you need to withdraw, then withdraw.
7. When there is a continuous trend on the gainers list, the rhythm often changes on the third, fifth, and seventh days. After two consecutive days of gains, wait for a pullback; focus on taking profits on the fifth day.
8. Always pay attention to trading volume. A breakout with increased volume at a low level is worth noting, but if volume increases at a high level and the price still struggles to rise, be cautious of a pullback.
9. Follow the trend and don't fight against it: for short-term, look at the 3-day moving average; for mid-term, the 30-day moving average; for the main rise, the 80-day moving average; and for the long term, the 120-day moving average.
10. Small funds fear rushing the most. What truly determines whether an account can grow is the method, mindset, and execution. Be patient and wait for the opportunity before acting. If you really want to make money in this market, the earlier you develop these 10 habits, the better.
If you want to treat trading as a long-term endeavor, don't expect to build your account with just a few heavy positions. Those who truly survive in the market rely on a set of rules they have repeatedly tested themselves. The following 10 points are what I've been using over the years.
1. Don't rush to bottom-fish after a strong coin has fallen to a certain stage; after 9 consecutive days of decline, you can start paying attention to rebound signals.
2. If the coin price rises continuously for 2 days in a short period, don't blindly chase; you can appropriately reduce your position.
3. If the daily increase exceeds 7%, focus on observing the high point action the next day; don't rush to chase.
4. The stronger the coin, the more you shouldn't rush in just because of a big rise; waiting for a pullback to stabilize is often more comfortable.
5. If there is little fluctuation for 3 consecutive days, just observe; if after another 3 days there is still no movement, consider switching targets. 卧槽，家人们！这次直接梭哈做空 $SAND！ 狗庄，你这是拉不动了吧？ 既然上不去，那就赶紧往下砸！ 空单已经上车！ 这次我的 $SAND 空单进场价大概在 0.0749，现在标记价格已经来到 0.0771附近。 浮亏已经650多U，收益率接近 -43%。 说实话，看到这个数字确实有点疼。 但现在我反而不想在这种位置乱砍。 为什么？ 因为今天最猛的时候，$SAND 也只是冲到 0.08035附近。 而前面 0.08299 已经出现过一次明显压力。 现在价格再次往上拱，看起来确实很强。 但把周期拉到4小时看就不一样了： 从0.04附近一路拉到现在，短时间基本已经接近翻倍。 这种行情真正危险的，从来不是上涨本身。 而是—— 涨到最后，上面没人愿意继续接盘。 现在 $SAND 在0.077附近。 MA5大约0.0755，MA10大约0.0749。 这说明什么？ 短线趋势确实还强。 这一点我不嘴硬，多头现在还远没有彻底结束。 所以我这次赌的也不是它马上归零。 我赌的是： 0.08附近这块压力，没有那么容易直接穿过去。 你有本事就继续拉。 先把0.0803站稳，再去挑战前面的0.08299。 真同一资产同时存在于多链,到底是增加流动性,还是切碎流动性? 1/ 一个容易被忽略的悖论:发行方把资产部署到越多链上,理论上触达的用户越多,但实际结果经常是相反的——流动性没有变大,反而被切成了一堆互不相通的小池子。 今天用$ONDO $LINK $UNI $HYPE 拆一次这个悖论:多链到底是放大器,还是粉碎机。 2/ 先说结论:答案取决于"怎么多链",而不是"多不多链" 行业研究明确指出,一只代币化国债基金如果持有人分散在五条网络上,结果往往是五个浅池子,而不是一个深池子——这会压低流动性、拉大价差、让价格发现变得不可靠。更现实的成本是:没有合适基础设施支撑的跨链转移,通常需要重新铸造加反复KYC,综合成本高达2%到5%,还要等好几天才能完成。 行业测算显示,这种跨链碎片化每年从代币化资产市场里白白蒸发掉约6亿到13亿美元的价值。 3/ 问题根源:大多数"多链部署"其实是"复制粘贴",不是"同一份资产" 传统做法是在每条链上单独铸造一份"打包/映射"版本的资产,结果是同一个底层资产变成了N个互不兑换的影子代币,每条链各自维护独立的流动性池、独立的供应量,甚至可能出现同一资产在不同Rocket launch! The veteran leader in the metaverse suddenly explodes
The long-dormant metaverse sector finally experienced a long-awaited breakout on the evening of October 4. As a veteran leader in this field, SAND showed an exceptionally strong short-term trend after a prolonged consolidation, like a rocket igniting and taking off, instantly igniting the market's bullish enthusiasm.
Looking back at the starting point of this rally, the precise opening average price of 0.07403 contrasts sharply with the current mark price of 0.07737, and the long positions at the bottom have already secured stable floating profits. This is not a blind speculation but a rational game based on profound fundamental changes.
Recently, South Korea's three major exchanges (including Upbit) have successively lifted trading warnings on SAND, a major positive development that directly cleared liquidity obstacles and paved the way for capital inflows. Meanwhile, the highly anticipated Studio engine is expected to officially launch this month, and this core product iteration will bring substantial strong catalysts to the platform ecosystem.
The current trading logic centers on betting on the dual resonance of "all negative news priced in" and "version updates." Although the violent surge on the hourly chart is exciting, investors should remain clear-headed amid the cheers: short-term profit-taking pressure may emerge at any time, and caution against a pullback after the rally is necessary to navigate volatility steadily and sustainably. #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 Leverage on Dogecoin: This time, U.S. regulators have firmly nailed the table legs first.
On October 2, Kalshi officially launched Dogecoin perpetual contracts regulated by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, and today it has reached its first weekend. The rules are not complicated: one contract corresponds to 10 DOGE, with a maximum long leverage of 3.8x, and early positions clearly skewed toward the sellers.
Previously, these kinds of products were mostly run in "back alleys"—dimly lit, narrow door cracks, where if you won money you had to first find the exit, and if you lost, you could only look for customer service in the chat box. Now it's different; it has been moved into a house with a street number, where you know exactly which door to knock on regarding margin collection, forced liquidation calculations, and disclosure postings.
This means Dogecoin trading is moving from the "dark alleys" into the "main hall." For aggressive traders used to battling on native crypto platforms, 3.8x leverage might seem somewhat "mild," but this is precisely the logic of traditional financial regulation: allowing innovation while first nailing the table legs to prevent it from being overturned.
This may signal that more mainstream cryptocurrencies will enter the traditional investor's view in the form of these "regulated leveraged products" in the future. With the table legs nailed firmly, those who come to the table will naturally feel more secure, but gamblers hoping to get rich overnight might find it not exciting enough. #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 $ZEC this weekend really disgusted me!
This time I got a harsh lesson from this speculative coin: never underestimate the destructive power of an oversold rebound.
I originally thought that after a sideways consolidation, $ZEC would continue to go down, but unexpectedly the bulls suddenly pushed against the trend, driving the price all the way up to around 1330.
The 50x high-leverage short position I opened around 830 is now in a very passive state. Two positions are floating losses close to 2000U, and the return rate has dropped to below -3000.
What’s most painful now is not the loss itself, but the choice ahead:
Cutting losses means accepting a significant loss; holding on to the position risks the price breaking through the resistance near 1346, further increasing losses.
Caught in a dilemma, this is the most tormenting part of high-leverage trading.
This time I’ve thoroughly understood: the market won’t necessarily fall just because you are bearish, nor will it continue to fall just because it has dropped enough.
It’s not scary to be wrong about the direction, but it’s scary to use high leverage and still refuse to admit mistakes and stop losses.
The market always has the next opportunity, but once your principal is severely damaged, even the best market conditions afterward won’t matter to you.
From now on, position management and risk control must come first. Less luck, more discipline, is the only way to go further in this market. Just sold and bought back again, what is this whale up to?
Someone sold ETH at 2709 and bought it back at 2695.
4 hours ago, an address withdrew 3,283.56 ETH from OKX, worth 8.85 million. The last time they deposited to the exchange was 1,099 ETH. That means not only did they buy back what they just sold, but they also bought an additional 2,184 ETH.
Back and forth, a price difference of 14 dollars. With 3,283 ETH, they made less than 46,000. After all the fuss, they only earned the transaction fee.
But the action itself is interesting.
Selling at 2709 and buying at 2695 shows they think below 2700 is a good entry point. Withdrawing the coins might mean they plan to hold long-term or stake them to earn interest. Either way, it's better than leaving them on the exchange.
Retail investors watch the candlesticks daily trying to catch big swings, while this person only profits 14 dollars difference but increases their coin holdings. This is the most basic coin accumulation logic—ignoring price, focusing on quantity.
The above is compiled from on-chain data, not investment advice $ETH $BTC From the perspective of altcoins and the entire crypto industry, "buybacks" have indeed become a key narrative in this cycle! Believe it or not! The fundamentals of altcoins will become increasingly important in the future!
Aave, which I tweeted about a while ago, has also risen quite a bit and has been consolidating recently without much decline. Aave has strong profit-making ability and has even announced expectations for buybacks. This move will definitely be launched later, but not now.
So I took a look at Morpho in the same sector. Both Aave and Morpho belong to the on-chain lending sector.
By comparison, the two have different models: Aave mainly uses a shared liquidity pool, while Morpho emphasizes customizable lending markets and vaults.
The core of a blockchain is a series of core links, such as a DEX (Uni), lending (Aave), perpetuals (Hype), and meme launchpads (Pump). Connecting these forms the core of a chain.
The core of this chain is its profit-making ability. Look at those mentioned above— which one isn’t profitable? Profitability is a crucial test for a coin.
Many projects now announce buybacks, imitating US stock buybacks. Later, there will be dividends, and this will gradually evolve, allowing them to capture considerable price gains. The market is currently very receptive to this approach!$NEAR current net value: 24,819.71 CNY.
Today's loss -40.89 CNY,
My leg is about to break from all the pain today, I'm 🌿ed!
In the morning, I had a floating loss on a pons order, then hedged it, but who knew that in the evening, a huge bearish candle smashed through my short stop loss!
Next time, remember, never randomly place orders when hedging!
I originally stuck to the short position, now I've actually made 1500 CNY profit, but because of lack of confidence, I ended up with a loss of -1540 CNY!
It hurts so much!
The market is chaotic, and people's minds are even more chaotic.
Now I only stick to three things:
Don't overleverage, don't delay stop losses, don't be greedy with profits.
Keep working slowly and patiently.
Wait for the market to give direction, and wait for myself to be more stable. Bitcoin and Ethereum have once again retreated back into the consolidation range.
$BTC｜around 84600
$ETH｜around 2678
The 15-minute timeframe shows volatility as narrow as a crack in the door, with a thin order book and depth not fully expanded; even small orders can easily create long wicks.
BTC capital inflow is starting to cool down, while ETH shows volume-price divergence, making the rebound seem weak.
Simply put, the volume isn't keeping up; an upward surge can easily turn into a paper tiger, while a downward drop might be more decisive.
$SOL remains the same, acting according to the big brother's mood.
When prices rise, you get a taste; when they fall, you often take the hit first. Today, even the volatility seems to be on leave, leaving only drowsiness after watching for a while.
In the current market, there's no need to frequently trade over a few candlesticks.
Being out of position is also a position; waiting is itself a form of trading.
Before the market gives a clear direction, preserving your principal is more important than anything else.
#BTC spot ETF inflows return, ETH capital continues to outflow
#Federal Reserve and European Central Bank to release September meeting minutes
#US-Iran tensions persist, G7 to release up to 100 million barrels of reservesW rose about 13%, currently trading near the 24-hour high, yet the perpetual funding rate remains negative.
As of 22:15 Beijing time, OKEx spot price is about $0.01533, with a 24-hour high of $0.015347 and a low of $0.013558, daily volatility around 13.2%; spot trading volume is about $1.72 million, approximately 2.3 times the recent median daily volume, with the best bid-ask spread around 0.15%.
OKEx data shows the nominal value of perpetual open interest is about $2.53 million, current funding rate about -0.011%, and perpetual contracts are trading at a discount of about 0.24% compared to spot. The price is near the high, but shorts are still paying funding, indicating the upward move hasn't fully squeezed out the counter-trend positions.
My judgment is that this strong move is more driven by spot trading combined with short pressure, rather than overheated long leverage. The most common misjudgment is to interpret a negative funding rate as an inevitable short squeeze; it could also come from hedging and does not alone prove further price increases.
Next, watch $0.015347 and $0.0145. If the previous high is broken and the funding rate remains negative with continued active trading, the squeeze conditions will persist; if it falls below $0.0145 and open interest remains high, the current judgment fails.
$W $ENA is close to resistance, what evidence is most lacking for a breakout
$ENA 24h +1.80%, current price 0.2375, only 1.77% away from the 1-hour resistance at 0.2417. This kind of position often creates an illusion: just crossing it intraday is mistaken for a completed breakout. The real weighty answer is whether it can hold after crossing.
Position is more honest than adjectives. The current price is about 2.06% away from the 1-hour support at 0.2326 and about 1.77% from resistance at 0.2417. Putting these two distances together reveals which side needs more evidence. Looking only at price changes easily mistakes the space already traveled as if it hasn't started yet.
Volume does not back the price movement: the current 1-hour trading volume is only 0.32 times the average of the previous 20 bars. Low volume can also move prices quickly, but sustainability must be proven by the next phase of the market. A single touch or a long candlestick is not enough to draw conclusions.
It’s easier to understand this phase as an equipment acceptance test: running without load is not completion; stability under boundary conditions gives weight to conclusions. Let the key levels give results first, then discussing direction is more honest. Do you think this touch will turn into a valid breakout, or will it still be pushed back into the range by resistance? The market is volatile; the above is only market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is Crypto Bull speaking.Brothers!! I really can't take it anymore! 340,000 U full position, going all-in, shorting $PUMP! Dog dealer, you've been pulling for so long, aren't you planning a pullback yet? The short position is already open, I'm just waiting for you to really drop in this wave! $PUMP It's now around 0.00628, the 24-hour high once surged to 0.006601, a single-day gain close to 9%. The earlier was even more exaggerated, rising from around 0.0037 all the way to now. Every time there was a slight pullback in between, someone immediately bought it back. Strong, indeed strong. I agree with that. But here's exactly the problem: you've been strong for too long. Nowadays, anyone in the market basically thinks a pullback is an opportunity and that they can keep pushing. And when everyone else thought this way, I actually became cautious. Because at times like this, what is most likely to happen? Everyone was waiting for the price to keep rising, but Dog Broker suddenly crashed, and those chasing the higher earlier ran off together. So this time, I didn't wait anymore. I went short! My entry point was around 0.0056785, and the current marker price is around 0.00628. My position was 340,000 USD, with an unrealized loss of over 30,000 USD, and the return was close to -100% at one point. Honestly, seeing this number would definitely be tough. But what I'm really focusing on now is no longer just the unrealized loss on paper. I'm focusing on the 0.0066 area. Today, the price reached a high of 0.006601, but after surging up, it didn't break through with increased volume; instead, it shrank back to around 0.0062. This is actually the caseAchieved on time within 24 hours. Starting today and tomorrow, it can fluctuate between 83100-83600.BTC is rising again. Last night's drop—was it just a fake-out?
It surged to around 85000 last night. I judged it wouldn't break through, so I added short positions near 85000. The lowest point only reached 84500 before pulling back, and now the price has climbed back above 85200. If it moves higher, the suspense will increase.
ETH is even stronger today, rebounding all the way from 2650 and directly topping above 2700, with almost no significant pullbacks in between. If 2700 holds steady, once the gold market opens tomorrow, combined with the sentiment, it could easily accelerate again.
The key now isn't guessing the direction but watching two levels: whether BTC can effectively hold above 85000; and whether ETH's 2700 is a breakout or a false breakout. If both are true breakouts, last week's upward trend might continue; if it rallies then falls back, it would be a rebound divergence high point within a downtrend.
Don't rush to go all-in with high leverage; wait for it to give a confirmation signal on its own. What do you think—will this wave continue upward, or is it a bull trap before a drop? Leave your direction in the comments.
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 The strength of $LTC is undeniable, but mistaking overheating for safety is often when emotions are at their most expensive.
Break this market move down into a conditional test:
Directional evidence: Both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts are relatively strong, with RSI reaching 76 and 58 respectively. The strength hasn't disappeared, but sentiment is already crowded; at this point, the real focus isn't guessing the peak but seeing if the high-level support can quickly recover any pullback.
Position evidence: Current price is 71.89, about 4.40% away from the 1-hour support at 68.73, and about 0.57% from resistance at 72.3. The space isn't determined by sentiment; ultimately, it depends on which of these two boundaries is effectively broken first.
No more guessing for the next step. My observation line is clear: standing back above and holding 72.3 means regaining short-term initiative; breaking below 68.73 shifts focus to the 4-hour support at 65.63. If pressure continues above, the 4-hour resistance at 72.3 is temporarily just a distant reference, not a preset target.
I don’t only share when my calls are right. How the price chooses between 72.3 and 68.73 next will be publicly reviewed in the next round.
Do you see a high RSI as proof of strength or a risk warning?
The market is volatile; the above is only market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is Crypto Bull speaking.Are ETH bulls still hoping for a one-shot break above 3000?
First, let's pull up the daily chart and take a look. 3000 was the level before the mid-February halving. That wave dropped from 3400 to a low of 1700—how many bulls got trapped above that? Don't they have a clue?
The current sideways movement is no coincidence. When it rises, trapped positions get liquidated and it crashes; when it falls, high-leverage longs get liquidated, and shorts get shaken out by sudden spikes. The market makers want liquidity, not to help you get out of your losses. 3000 is not a resistance level; it's a concentration camp for trapped positions.
Moreover, a bull market in 2025 and then a continuous rally in 2026? Dropping down costs nothing, and pulling up costs nothing either? Expecting all trapped positions at 3000 to escape unscathed in just 8 months—is the market maker a philanthropist?
Currently, the average price is 2245. If ETH keeps rising, I'll keep adding short positions. Bulls who are optimistic, go long—don't just shout, show real trades and order records. Both bulls and bears have real money on the line; keyboard warriors have no seat at the table.
High leverage on both sides is easily crushed. The key is not stubbornly holding a direction, but who gets liquidated first. It's not that ETH can't rise now; it's that if it rises to around 2400–2600, the trapped and liquidated positions will teach you a lesson.
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 Brothers, this rebound of BTC really feels a bit like the "last gasp of a strong bow." The 85600 level is like an iron gate; no matter how hard it tries, it just can't break through, indicating very heavy selling pressure above.
If you opened a short position early, don't be too upset. This kind of high-level stagnation often means the bullish momentum is fading. Even with such positive non-farm payroll data on Friday, the price couldn't rise, which itself is an extremely dangerous signal—good news fully priced in turns into bad news.
Now ETH funds are still continuously flowing out, and altcoins are even weaker in following the rise. As long as BTC can't firmly hold above 86000, market sentiment is very likely to be released collectively on Monday, leading to a smooth downward trend. Be patient and wait for the pullback; opportunities come from the drop, not from chasing the rise. #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 An address that has been dormant for 13 years woke up and transferred out $43.
$43. It holds 801 BTC, worth over $68 million. But it only transferred $43, as if testing whether the address is still usable.
This address accumulated 801 coins when BTC was priced between $124 and $411. The highest cost was $412, and now BTC is around $85,000, with an unrealized profit of $67.82 million. That's more than 200 times increase.
Someone who held for 13 years started testing the address today.
They wouldn't move without reason. Transferring out $43 means they are confirming the private key still works and the address can still send transactions. After testing, the next step will be serious action.
13 years ago, when BTC was still a geek's toy, they bought 801 coins. They went through the bull and bear cycles of 2013, 2017, 2021, and 2024. They never sold during each surge, nor fled during each crash. Now BTC is at $85,000, and they have awakened.
They are not here to add positions; they are here to collect money.
13 years, 200 times. How long have you held your longest coin? Let's discuss in the comments.
The above is based on on-chain data and does not constitute any trading advice.
$BTC $ETH $BTC derivatives open interest dropped sharply by 8.5% in one week to 355 billion dollars, trading volume collapsed 64% to 361.2 billion, and ETF net inflow was only 13.84 million dollars, not comparable to the 2.4 billion of the previous week.
Price rise is short covering, not incremental funds; retail investors are buying at 84,000, leverage is withdrawing; breaking through 87,000 requires real buying power.
10Y US Treasury yield at 5.34%, next week's FOMC minutes are the real test, rate cut expectations are only priced in at 40%.
Hold 81,000 to push to 87,000, reduce positions if it breaks 79,000. BTC's rise is empty; the candlestick went up but leverage fled, this kind of rebound is the most deceptive.BTC is oscillating at a high level; next week's minutes will be the real test
After BTC surged to 87,000, it faced pressure and is currently fluctuating between 84,000-85,000. The spot ETF maintains net inflows; earlier high-leverage longs were liquidated, but spot funds have not withdrawn, indicating there is still support at the bottom.
ETH is weak, with continuous capital outflows, hovering around 2,700, and obvious selling pressure above.
The real risk lies next week: on October 7, the Federal Reserve, and on October 8, the European Central Bank will successively release the September meeting minutes. The minutes record the hawkish stance before the rate hike; if they signal a hawkish bias, liquidity expectations may tighten again, suppressing risk assets.
The market seems to be supported by spot buying, but in reality, there is a hidden risk of deep pullbacks and spikes. Leverage positions are very prone to liquidation at this level, so it is essential to strictly control positions and respect market uncertainty.
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 $BTC long position floating loss shrinks to 13.9%, finally surfacing a bit from the deep water.
Opening average price $86,460, position unchanged. BTC currently at $85,308, nearly $480 higher than last time, loss continues to narrow but still some way from break-even.
According to current market conditions, 1-hour EMA20 is about $85,033, RSI about 66. The last three hourly candles all closed above $85,000, price continuously testing $85,300. If it closes above $85,430, next target is $85,700-$86,000.
Perpetual positions increased by about 0.5% compared to 23 hours ago, price and positions rising together, rebound involves new positions. Funding rate is positive, but longs are not crowded; if positions continue to increase while price stalls, watch for new longs to exit first.
Among OKX smart money, 20 are long and 13 are short, number skewed towards longs, but shorts account for 60.7% of the amount. Total positions increased by only about $60,000 compared to 24 hours ago, smart money has not significantly added. If price recovers above their average long cost of $85,688, short positions may face further pressure.
This week, US spot BTC ETF net inflow is $82.9 million, long-term holders’ MVRV remains above 1, spot fundamentals are solid.
I’m first watching if $85,430 can hold. If it holds, continue to wait for $86,000; if it falls below $85,000, recovery will slow, and if it breaks $84,700, beware of this momentum leaking away again. 今天总算能稍微松一口气了。 前几天被 $NEAR 的深水区折磨得够呛，今天随着大盘回暖，它总算从“ICU”里被抢救出来了。虽然账户目前依旧是“两赚一亏”，但整体心态明显舒服多了。 $BTC｜定海神针，稳如泰山 持仓均价：84044 最新价：85155 浮盈：659.09U 回报率：26.08% 大饼这波确实没让人失望，突破之后稳稳站上85000，利润已经一路逼近700U。现在防守线也同步上移到77815，继续拿着，暂时不折腾。 $SOL｜逐仓战神，全场MVP 持仓均价：117.41 最新价：121.42 浮盈：146.20U 回报率：66.05% 保证金率：12.44% 这笔逐仓单必须再夸一次。 当初行情方向不明的时候选择逐仓试水，没想到现在已经拿下66%的收益。事实证明，控制好仓位和风险，有时候比盲目梭哈更重要。 $NEAR｜艰难回血中 持仓均价：4.909 最新价：4.8561 浮亏：49.30U 回报率：-22.24% 从昨天一度浮亏-51%，到今天收窄到-22%，这波回血是真的惊心动魄。 目前强平价还在0.0306，整体账户风险依然可控。但现在距离回本已经没那么远了，反而开始让ZEC short whale traders are starting to make significant profits! The top three whales are all holding short positions, with holdings valued at about 100 million USD! They are all currently profitable, with the top-ranked whale having made about 7.53 million USD in profit. Long whale accounts are starting to see profit pullbacks but still show no signs of exiting. The fourth and fifth long positions have seen profit pullbacks of at least 50%, but they remain firmly bullish, with two liquidation