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Last night Bitcoin reached the second support level at 80,000, with a low wick down to 80,330. Will it continue to rise or fall next? My view is that Bitcoin's previous increase was over 40%, so a normal correction of about 15% to 20% is also very normal. Therefore, when Bitcoin drops to around 75,000, don't be surprised; it could even go lower. Let's wait and see.Five years ago, Elon Musk proposed an upgrade prescription for Dogecoin, and now someone has actually turned it into a product. In 2021, he suggested: increase speed by ten times, expand block size by ten times, and reduce fees by a hundred times, making DOGE suitable for global payments. This week, Metallicus CEO and Dogecoin Foundation board member Marshall Hayner announced the launch of the DogecoinVM Alpha version on the Metal Blockchain mainnet, with transaction confirmation times reduced to 0.15 to 0.25 seconds, 300 times faster than the main chain. His exact words were: "We achieved 300 times faster."
The cleverness of this approach lies in not altering the original chain. The team did not change the Dogecoin core protocol nor issue new coins, but instead built a parallel proof-of-stake layer: DOGE is locked on the mainnet and mapped 1:1 into the new layer, with old wallets and private keys still usable, and the UTXO model fully preserved. The upgrade happens underneath, so holders don’t need to move their coins.
However, this is just the first half. The Alpha version has a single deposit limit of 100 $DOGE, the code is open source but has not yet undergone independent auditing, and the team is pushing for bank-grade security certification, targeting fintech and institutional payment scenarios. The vision has taken its first step; its quality depends on auditing, capacity, and the pace of real-world application deployment.The rebar inside this load-bearing wall is about to snap. Who gave you the nerve to catch the falling precast slabs with bare hands now? 🏗️
Just got down from the scaffolding, wiped the cement dust off my face, and took a look at the $SOL chart. The price dropped to around 109.05, the 1-hour RSI fell to 34.9, and the lower Bollinger Band is at 105.86. The whole building is shaking like it just hit a magnitude 5 aftershock. Honestly, the foundation is too weak; you can't tell if the main force is trying to cap it off or planning to demolish and rebuild.
The direction is completely unclear, but the wages in my hand can't go to waste. Betting one-sided at this time is like standing on a suspended basket without a safety rope, so I choose to build scaffolding on both sides—locking long and short positions at the same leverage to hedge. The longs catch the oversold rebound of the foundation, and the shorts guard against the beams and columns breaking and crashing through the basement. Both sides are secured tightly; no one can blow my position.
Let's see which side holds first. If it can firmly hold 106 and re-grout to build a bottom, I'll release the short position lock and let the longs be pulled up by the crane; if the foundation collapses along with the settlement cracks, I'll cut the longs and let the shorts smash through by gravity.
- Target: $SOL 🟢
- Entry: 107.50 - 109.50
- TP1: 114.00
- TP2: 117.10
- SL: 104.50
Now it's just a matter of whether this load-bearing column can withstand the falling weight. Two trowels are already set up; whichever side collapses, we'll patch it up there. 🧱
#CoinMoveAlertHas $BTC made a bullish reversal?
Big BTC, ETH, ZEC
This wave of decline has released huge profit pressure from the bulls.
If it can rebound and stabilize now,
there might be a chance for a new rally.
If it can't hold, then it's trouble, just admit the mistake and stop loss.
Although it's a big loss, it's a small step forward in the pattern,
loss means no adding positions,
if positions were added, it would have already blown up.
In the future, if there's a loss and the thought of adding positions arises,
immediately clear the position, this move should be correct.#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Midnight waterfall! BTC breaks below 83,000, bulls suffer heavy losses, defense points here! Brothers, this late-night sharp drop is quite brutal. BTC directly fell below 83,000, with a low wick near 81,200; over $550 million in leveraged long positions were liquidated within 24 hours, mainly hitting longs. The core reasons for this plunge are three words: oil, bonds, hawks. Middle East tensions pushed oil prices back above $102, US Treasury yields surged to a 24-year high, and the Fed minutes leaned hawkish, putting risk assets under broad pressure. Key levels: resistance above at 83,400-83,900; failure to reclaim this on a rebound signals weakness. Defensive support first looks at 82,150-82,300, the last short-term line of defense; a decisive break likely leads to the 80,000 psychological level. Spot order books show thick buy orders in the 79,000-83,000 range, with no obvious signs of panic selling; a sharp drop to this range might actually find support. #BitcoinCrash #BTCsupport #FedRateHike #MiddleEastTensions #CryptoLiquidationScumbag observation on SPCX update 10.9
Big Rocket US stock closed at 160.57, down 4.19%, intraday high 167.60, low 16.00
Continuing from last time, after Big Rocket failed to hold the 5-day moving average, it went down to seek support at the 10-day moving average. From the candlestick chart in Figure 3, it is clear that it hit the 10-day moving average and is currently slightly rebounding.
Since US stocks and others are now on-chain, Scumbag will combine on-chain data to analyze stocks going forward.
There was news after the market that
SpaceX has reached an agreement to obtain nationwide 800 MHz spectrum, which will enable Starlink Mobile to provide better indoor coverage, including signals that can penetrate walls and other obstacles.
Currently, it appears to be within the US, but global deployment including Europe, South America, Africa, Asia, Antarctica, the Arctic, and the major oceans cannot be ruled out. The signal arrives before people do—amazing. Just imagine when the days of going abroad and changing SIM cards will finally end.
Of course, Scumbag is optimistic about Big Rocket in the short term until before the Q3 earnings report. If the stock price breaks 200 before the Q3 report, Scumbag will reduce the position in this stock to below 50%.别急着说"稳定币交易量涨了就是牛市回来了"，这次更像一次悄悄的重定价 🌙 你注意到没有，钱在链上换手的路径，其实已经和上个月不太一样了？ 我盯着过去24小时DEX的稳定币成交增量看，第一反应不是兴奋，而是有点意外。Uniswap两个版本加起来增加了9.109亿美元，V4单独+5.558亿，V3+3.551亿，合计占比超过六成。这个数字本身不稀奇，稀奇的是它出现的位置——链上最"老实"的稳定币对，突然变成最热闹的地方。 先别把它简单理解成入金信号。稳定币成交放大，可能是在换仓，也可能是在撤退前把仓位换成U。关键在于，这次增量集中在Uniswap，而不是全面开花。Fluid DEX冲到第三，+9450万，说明它在稳定币对里有自己的固定客群。PancakeSwap两个版本合计+9070万，多链策略的效果开始显形。Hyperliquid的稳定币成交也增加+4960万，一个永续合约平台往现货结算场景伸手，这个动作比数字本身更值得看。 那市场到底在交易什么？我的理解是，大家在提前给"链上美元通道"重新定价。UNI作为治理代币，短期不一定直接受益于成交量，但费用开关预期会被反复拿出来讲。HYPE那Core 官方（Core DAO）主动撤出自己的验证节点，分两种完全不同的解读，要看是主动下线退出验证集合，还是只是临时停机。 一、最理想的解读：去中心化（利好叙事） Core 网络总共只有 31 个活跃验证节点。 - 基金会把自己运营的官方验证节点主动退出，不再霸占验证席位，把出块资格交给社区第三方验证者。 - 代表项目方不再把持网络控制权，弱化基金会对链的掌控，符合公链去中心化的目标。 - 属于很多公链后期的常规操作，本身不代表链要跑路。 但这里有个关键点： 虽然官方节点退出，但如果大量质押委托仍然集中在少数头部验证人手里，网络依旧高度中心化，只是控制权从项目方转移给了少数大户。 二、需要警惕的负面信号（市场最关心） 如果是在没有提前公告的情况下，核心官方验证节点突然退出，一般会被市场解读为下面这些问题。 1. 项目方运维收缩、预算缩减 运行验证节点需要持续服务器、运维人力成本。 - 币价持续低迷、生态收入不及预期，团队缩减开支，不再承担验证节点成本。 - 说明项目方已经不愿意持续投入维护这条链，属于基本面转弱信号。 2. 团队信心不足 Every time I open a position, as long as I'm not analyzing rationally at that moment, sometimes it’s very accurate, sometimes it’s not. One mistake can lead to irreversible disaster. Sometimes being too rational makes me timid, causing me to miss many opportunities. The market is like a mirror that always reveals my character flaws, leading to repeated mistakes, profits turning into losses, and losses turning into profits. In the end, it all ends in failure. For example, the highest short position on ZEC during that period—I even added to the position during the rebound. Later, it was inexplicably closed out. It's hard to maintain constant calm and rational market analysis. Maybe this is due to my personality, lacking patience in handling things. Since I stopped using high leverage, my control over greed and fear has improved a lot compared to before. I can also keep a stable mindset during volatility. It seems the road ahead is still long. I will keep working hard 💪 and maintain respect for the market. I approach life with the same mindset as the market. I believe that one day I will succeed.ZEC
Current price 1183.56, a strong rebound after a sharp drop.
Resistance levels: 1237.98, strong resistance above at 1289;
Support levels: 1111.30, the lifeline low of this round.
Grayscale ETF continues to see capital outflows, negative news persists
This is a rebound after overselling, don’t take it directly as a reversal
Focus on whether 1238 can be broken through, only if 1111 holds below is there a chance for continued rebound; if broken, it will test lower again.
$ZEC $ETH $CT
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#跟着OKX打卡2049 $BTC $ETH The major coins Bitcoin and Ethereum have already entered a downward trend. After dropping to the low point of 80351, there was concentrated position reduction. Following a deep wick, a large number of liquidations and forced closures occurred, releasing short-term selling pressure in one round. After a wave of sharp decline, many were washed out. Now it is a post-wash recovery observation period.
The probability of continuous violent wicks in the short term has decreased. For those holding positions, it is recommended to firmly set stop-loss and take-profit at key price levels, and not to hold positions based on feelings.ETH
Current price 2475.21, slight rebound after a sharp drop.
Resistance levels: 2522.48, strong resistance above at 2597;
Support levels: 2405.03, defense line at this round's low.
On-chain protocol migration completed, limited impact from the news. Overall trend remains weak, currently just a corrective rebound after the decline, not a reversal. First, see if it can break through the 2522 resistance; holding 2405 provides breathing room, breaking below will continue to test lower levels.
The major trend follows BTC.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#跟着OKX打卡2049 $SUI has entered the oversold zone; a rebound and a bottom are two different things.
$SUI 24h -8.64%, current price 1.0419. The 1-hour and 4-hour RSI are 29 and 16 respectively. Oversold conditions can trigger rebound demand, but a rebound only indicates a sharp drop; a bottom requires the price to stop breaking the structure.
Position is more honest than adjectives. The current price is about 4.21% away from the 1-hour support at 0.998 and about 10.07% away from resistance at 1.1468. Only by comparing these two distances can we see which side requires more evidence. Looking only at the rise or fall makes it easy to mistake the space already traveled as space yet to begin.
The opposing side also has a clear invalidation line. Breaking below the 1-hour support at 0.998 means short-term support has failed the test; if it continues to break the 4-hour support at 0.998, the previous strong or recovery judgment must be rewritten. You can hold your view, but you cannot pretend not to see when the evidence changes.
It’s easier to understand this market move as equipment acceptance: running unloaded doesn’t mean completion; stability under boundary conditions gives weight to conclusions. Write your views as conditions so you know where you were wrong if you are. Which signal would you rather wait for to judge: oversold enough to change the rhythm, or must you wait for the structure to stop making new lows? The market is volatile; the above is only market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Coin Circle Bull.After the needle drop, the market fell silent.
Last night, $BTC plunged from above 86000 to 82300 within minutes, with trading volume exploding instantly. Just a few days ago, people were shouting about 100,000 and millions, but now they're staring blankly at the liquidation line. Leverage is like wings when prices rise, but a noose when they fall.
$ETH broke below 2560, dropping nearly 5% intraday, directly breaking through the consolidation zone that lasted half a month. If 2600 can't be reclaimed, it's all talk; if 2540 is lost, 2520 is in sight.
$ZEC is even more brutal. At a price of 1240, it has dropped more than 20% from the previous high of 1700. 1320 has turned into resistance; only by reclaiming 1400 can a reversal be discussed; below, 1280 is the last line of defense. My 1400 position is stuck in the middle, caught in a dilemma.
But don't rush to cheer.
The real battlefield isn't how much it fell today, but whether BTC can stand back above 84000 or 85000. If it can't recover, any rebound is just a gift to the shorts.
The market neither sympathizes with tears nor rewards fanaticism. After the needle drop, only those who survive have the right to talk about tomorrow.
Personal opinion, not investment advice
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#跟着OKX打卡2049 October 15 is approaching, and what crypto traders need to catch up on is not their positions but their records
The extended filing deadline for the US 2025 tax year is October 15, 2026. For taxpayers who have already applied for an extension as required, the most important thing to pay attention to is not the coin price, but whether the transaction records are complete. The new Form 1099-DA introduced by the IRS this year also makes the reporting of digital asset transactions more specific.
One easily overlooked point is that receiving reports from trading platforms does not mean your cost basis has been fully recorded. The IRS clearly reminds that some 1099-DA forms for 2025 may not include cost basis, and taxpayers still need to calculate gains or losses themselves. Those who have done transfers across multiple platforms, coin swaps, and frequent trading especially cannot just look at how much $BTC or $ETH remains in their accounts.
Another detail: the extension applies to the submission deadline of the tax return, not the tax payment deadline. Generally, taxes owed are still due by the original April deadline, and delaying payment until October may involve interest or penalties; special extension cases such as disaster areas need to be verified separately.
I have always felt that traders most easily overestimate their memory and most easily underestimate the cost of record-keeping. When the market is good, they think transaction records are unimportant, but when it comes time to verify every trade, fee, and cost basis, they realize the hardest thing to make up for is not the profit, but the evidence. Those who survive long-term in the market must keep their accounts clear.
#美2025年度延期报税10月15日截止，涉及加密申报 Whale "Sets 10 Big Goals First": Under Multiple Macro Headwinds, $BTC Only Retraces About 5%, Will Continue Holding If It Doesn't Break Below $79,000
Famous whale "sets 10 big goals first" latest view: Currently, multiple macro headwinds such as rising long-term bond yields and escalating geopolitical risks are hitting simultaneously, but BTC has only retraced 5%, showing very strong resilience. His holding strategy is very clear: as long as the $79,000 level holds, he will continue to hold long positions; if it breaks down effectively, he will exit to avoid risk.
Here are my thoughts.
This round of decline is not very friendly; rising long-term US Treasury yields suppress risk assets, and market panic is spreading, but BTC's drop is limited, indicating strong support below and that long-term holders are unwilling to give up easily. The underlying structure of the bull market has not been destroyed for now.
But it is important to distinguish: resilience ≠ immediate rebound. The whale's approach essentially uses $79,000 as a defensive lifeline to hold trend positions. This price level is an important support for bulls; holding it means consolidation and accumulation; a volume-driven break below means the bull defense line collapses and opens the door for a deeper correction.
Operational reference: Do not blindly follow the whale to heavily position. The whale's capital size and cost basis are completely different from ordinary traders. Participate lightly in contracts; $79,000 is the key observation point. If it holds, you can play for a rebound; if it breaks effectively, do not hold the position stubbornly, prioritize reducing positions and stop losses.
Key points to watch going forward: US Treasury yields, ETF fund flows, and whether the $79,000 support level can hold.ORCA current price 2.348, RSI 58 neutral to slightly bullish, MACD green bars shortening, momentum weakening. Consolidating at a high level, liquidation is dense in the 2.19 to 2.25 range, short-term pullback pressure is real. There is liquidation support from 2.37 to 2.43 above, but if volume can't keep up, it's just paper support. The overall market cap dropped 1.04% to 2.70 trillion, trading volume shrank simultaneously, funds are withdrawing, don't hold on stubbornly.
Just finished patrolling the building, the delivery vehicle downstairs is parked in the fire lane again, I’ll have to put a ticket on it later.
ORCA is stuck in a middle position, chasing longs is just catching a knife. My strategy: lightly short on a rebound to 2.36 to 2.38, stop loss at 2.44, take profit first target at 2.26, second target at 2.20. If it directly drops near 2.19 with volume picking up, you can flip to a short-term long, stop loss at 2.14, target 2.32. Don’t be greedy, take a bite and run. High-level consolidation is the most frustrating, better to miss out than to make a mistake. In this market, staying alive is more important than making quick money.
$ORCA
#三星Q3初步利润首破100万亿韩元
@OKX星球 The Nasdaq gave back the new high it reached on Tuesday.
The trigger was not weaker employment but a rebound in oil prices and chips being sold off first.
Dow at 51232, up 52 points, +0.1%, fluctuating around the zero line all day;
S&P at 7765, down 36 points, -0.5%, closing lower for the second consecutive day;
Nasdaq at 27193, down 345 points, -1.3%; Russell 2000 basically flat.
So far this week, the S&P still has a 0.6% gain, the Nasdaq has almost wiped out this week's gains, leaving just a small floating profit, and small caps are still down 1.4%.
Year-to-date, the S&P is up about 13%, Nasdaq about 17%.
Most S&P components are actually up, but the tech sector's decline has overshadowed the overall market gains.
Initial jobless claims at 197,000, down 2,000, below 200,000 for the fourth consecutive week, and below market expectations;
Continuing claims rose to 1.716 million.
Monthly nonfarm payrolls may soften, but weekly claims data remain at post-pandemic lows, which does not support rate cuts.
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow estimates Q3 growth at 3.6%.
Employment hasn't worsened significantly, growth remains relatively strong, and the minutes' mention of "possibly one more rate hike by year-end" still holds weight; rising oil prices have pushed this expectation higher.
Brent crude surged to 104 intraday, touched near 106 in early trading, then retreated somewhat by the close, but the upward trend hasn't broken.
The catalyst was attacks on Persian Gulf oil tankers, US production forecast cuts, plus Trump's statement of no intention to reach an agreement with Iran.
Market structure: energy leads gains, tech lags.
The 10-year US Treasury yield approached 5.36% in early trading, hitting the highest level since 2002, then fell back in the afternoon but remained above 5.2%.
Yields surged and then retreated, but chips did not rebound; the semiconductor index plunged 3.4%.
Nvidia fell nearly 3%, the worst performer in the Dow; Arm, Intel, and Micron also had significant declines.
The trigger came from a Financial Times report: OpenAI's annual revenue is $20 billion less than previously expected by the market.
It's not that orders disappeared out of thin air, but the market is starting to doubt whether the revenue expectations corresponding to a $6 trillion market cap are overblown.
Pepsi's earnings beat expectations but couldn't lift the index;
Chipotle rose about 4% on Starbucks acquisition rumors, while Starbucks itself fell over 3%.
Tomorrow we will watch the Michigan consumer sentiment; Delta Air Lines' earnings can be used to observe whether oil prices above $100 have passed through to ticket prices.
But more noteworthy than these is: chips down 3.4%, Brent crude still holding above 104.
The new high stopped on Tuesday.
If oil prices don't pull back, this 1.3% drop in the Nasdaq may not be a simple shakeout.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#跟着OKX打卡2049 Arthur Hayes is speaking out again.
He said that every major bull market cycle starts with a hurdle. In 2017, it was the block size debate; in 2020, the pandemic; in 2023, the FTX collapse plus interest rate hikes; and by 2026, it will be AI and the panic around crypto.
Outsiders reading this might first think: Who is this guy, and why is he saying there will be a surge next year again?
I get that feeling. Hearing it too much can be exhausting.
But his logic boils down to one sentence: As long as money keeps being printed, assets will eventually rise. Those previous hurdles, in hindsight, were just noise.
To be fair, I don’t disagree with the direction. When there’s too much money, it has to go somewhere.
The problem is the timing. He says 2026, but no one tells you how to get through the next two years.
Statements like this are best saved as screenshots, not used as trading signals. The blunt truth is: those calling the bull market never take responsibility for whether you can hold on until that day.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#黄金ETF创纪录吸金，高利率仍压制金价 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ $ETH When the green rocket meets the word "short selling," you truly understand what it means to "fall into a starry sea."
$JTO USDT is currently showing a clear one-sided downward trend, from an opening average price of 0.5667 to a mark price of 0.5071. The bears continue to dominate the market, and 50x leverage has amplified the damage of this drop.
My strategy is very clear: place short positions above 0.56, relying on 50x leverage to fully capitalize on the decline. The current +525.85% floating profit is the best proof. If it hits previous lows or the rebound is weak, I will continue to hold and take profits in batches to secure gains. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Brothers, BTC and ETH are both hit hard by "geopolitics + rate hikes," with ETH directly crashing below 2,500.
$BTC $84,800 | $ETH $2,478
Bitcoin slid from above 86,000 to around 84,800, while Ethereum broke below the 2,500 mark, dropping over 4% in 24 hours, clearly underperforming BTC. In the past 24 hours, the entire network saw liquidations totaling $919 million, with long positions accounting for 91.25%, and Ethereum liquidations leading at $327 million.
Geopolitical risks + ETF outflows add another layer of bearishness for ETH
The trigger is the escalation in the Middle East. The US reportedly asked the military to prepare options for action against Iran, Brent crude surged above $105, and the 10-year US Treasury yield rose above 5.3%. The simultaneous rise in oil prices and interest rates is putting pressure on risk assets.
The funding situation is also deteriorating. Ethereum spot ETFs have seen net outflows for several consecutive days, losing another $219 million in a single day. More importantly, BitMine chairman Tom Lee clearly stated that the company’s holdings are close to the 5% cap of ETH’s total supply and will stop weekly regular purchases. The largest marginal buyer in recent months is about to exit, and the market is pricing in this gap in advance.
Technically, there is a whale liquidation line near ETH 2,445; breaking below it could trigger a chain liquidation. For BTC, watch the support zone between 82,000-82,600.
Discuss in the comments, did you escape this bull slaughter? 👇
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Hongmei Capital | Trading Diary | Bearish Trend $ETH
NO.017 | 2026.10.09
Market Status: The daily and 4-hour moving averages remain in a downward alignment, Bollinger Bands are widening, currently in a clear downtrend. In a downtrend, short-term corrective rebounds often occur, but most rebounds are just pauses in the decline. After correction ends, there is still a possibility of making new lows in the phase. Subjective bottom guessing should be avoided as much as possible.
Key Levels
- Short-term support: 2380-2400; deeper psychological level 2300
- Short-term resistance: 2450; then 2480-2500
Only if the price can firmly stand above 2500 again will this short-term bearish momentum have a chance to be interrupted.
Whale Liquidation Risk
Two large long positions that the market is watching have liquidation zones concentrated between 2400-2440. Last night’s price repeatedly approached this liquidation area.
Technical analysis of the market, not trading advice!
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 Dropped below the cost price
I know it will rebound
And rebound faster than other assets
So I won't cut losses
But all the profits of more than ten percent are given back
So when there is a rapid price surge
Much higher than the new high
You must sell some
To prevent all profits from being given back#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
Lately, many people in the community have been puzzled. Clearly, BTC spot ETFs are still seeing continuous net inflows, so why isn't the price rising and is instead going down? I've seen several friends asking about this.
From my personal experience, I've seen this phenomenon several times in previous major market cycles; it's really not unusual. Many think that ETF inflows should immediately push prices up, but actually, there's a transmission process from funds entering the market to truly driving the price. Also, a significant portion of ETF inflows comes from off-exchange market makers hedging and arbitraging, so not all the incoming money directly buys in the spot market. Plus, with long-term interest rates staying high on the macro level, valuations of all risk assets are suppressed. Relying solely on ETF buying pressure, the price may not necessarily be pushed up immediately in the short term.
That said, I might not be entirely right either. After years in this field, I no longer judge direction solely based on daily fund inflows. I take it step by step. Everyone should be cautious and not blindly chase inflows. Feel free to share in the comments your recent observations on the relationship between ETF funds and prices. $ETH #ETF Still Flowing In, Why Is BTC Falling?
ETF is buying, BTC is falling
There is a rare divergence between Bitcoin spot ETF capital inflows and the price trend. On October 6, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $119 million, with BlackRock IBIT leading single-day net inflows at $122 million; as of the week ending October 2, ETFs have seen net inflows for three consecutive weeks, totaling about $241 million, with cumulative net inflows rebounding to approximately $57.8 billion. However, on the same day, Bitcoin briefly surged above $86,600 before sharply plunging, dropping nearly $2,000 within about 20 minutes to below $84,000, with a 24-hour decline of about 2.7%.
The ETF buying pressure is simultaneously hedged by three forces.
First, tightening macro liquidity. The escalation of Middle East tensions pushed Brent crude oil above $102, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.36%, and the 30-year yield hit 5.73%, both reaching 24-year highs. The Fed's September FOMC minutes released a hawkish signal, with most officials favoring another rate hike this year; the market pricing for a December hike remains around 70%. For Bitcoin, which generates no fixed income, every step up in the risk-free rate raises the opportunity cost of holding it, maintaining pressure for funds to migrate from high-risk assets to high-yield U.S. Treasuries.
Second, concentrated liquidation of leveraged longs. During this sharp drop, about $400 million of leveraged long positions were forcibly liquidated within 20 minutes; extending to a 24-hour window, total market liquidations reached about $550 million, with longs accounting for over 87%. The perpetual contract liquidation mechanism creates a negative feedback loop: "price drop → triggers liquidation → intensified selling → further decline." LVRG Research analysts characterize the current movement as a "leveraged washout" rather than a trend reversal, but the liquidations themselves generated selling pressure far exceeding ETF inflows in a short time.
Third, whale behavior divergence, selling pressure has not truly disappeared. Glassnode data shows the trend of whales net depositing Bitcoin to exchanges ended in late August; Binance's BTC reserves decreased by about 40,000 coins after September 20, marking the end of over three months of whale dumping. However, not all large holders are waiting. After Bitcoin failed to break $87,200, whales sold over 30,000 BTC, directly crushing rebound attempts; mid-to-large whales' selling was especially prominent in the recent decline. Whales shifted from "actively dumping" to "selling on rebounds," creating latent supply pressure above.
Technical factors also amplify the pressure. Since September 21, Bitcoin has attempted to break the annual opening price of $87,570 four times without success, with selling pressure above never fully absorbed. After breaking below the 21-day simple moving average (around $83,850), technical selling intensified. CryptoQuant data shows open interest contracts dropped from about $28.8 billion to $26 billion since September 22, a decline of about 10%, indicating investors' willingness to take on further risk is weakening. Short-term holders' average buy-in cost is about $69,500, and the current price still holds roughly 20% unrealized gains, fueling ongoing profit-taking selling pressure.
The structural contradiction is: ETF inflows are "allocation-driven," while the market decline is "trade-driven." BlackRock IBIT has cumulatively net bought about $1.57 billion in Bitcoin over the past month; such funds hold on a quarterly or even annual basis and will not exit due to a single-day 5% fluctuation. But leveraged traders and short-term holders act instantly and reactively; when macro headwinds appear, their selling speed and scale can overwhelm the marginal ETF buying in a very short time.
Looking ahead, if U.S. Treasury yields and oil prices remain high, the leveraged washout may not be over—the current open interest still stands at about $150 billion, meaning there is room for another wave of forced selling. ETF inflows are building a mid-term bottom, but in the short term, they act more like a "shock absorber" than a "driver." The real turning point depends on two conditions occurring simultaneously: macro interest rate pressure peaking and retreating, and leveraged positions being fully cleared. $BTC BTC moved only 335.2 in four hours, next step is to wait for the range breakout
BTC recovery has entered a narrow range wait. From 04:00 to 08:00, the amplitude was 335.2 USDT, narrowing 76.7% compared to 1440.3 from 00:00 to 04:00; closed at 81760, 19.4 lower than the opening price.
The previous upward segment was 743.6 USDT, this segment's price advance has stalled, and volume dropped from 3282.12 to 429.61 BTC. The reduction in bilateral volume cannot be directly interpreted as net outflow; the short-term direction still needs to be verified by the range breakout.
At 09:00, if the 1H candle closes above the range high of 81944.9 and volume exceeds 99.22 BTC from 07:00 to 08:00, an upward breakout is confirmed; closing below the range low of 81609.7 invalidates the support. The 08:00 to 09:00 period has not closed yet.
If the close remains within the range, I will continue to wait; what closed-candle evidence would make you revise your judgment early?
Source: OKX official BTC-USDT spot v5, confirm=1; as of October 9, 08:00 Beijing time. 4H and 1H are different buckets; price in USDT, volume in BTC. Independent community, not official; not investment advice.Musk: The value of SpaceX could exceed the entire Earth's economy
Musk just posted a tweet:
"This sounds super crazy, but I think there is a path for SpaceX's value to be several orders of magnitude higher than the current Earth's economy." $SPCX
What is the "path" he mentioned?
According to the Kardashev civilization theory — which measures how advanced a civilization is by how much energy it can control.
Type I: Controls planetary-level energy
Type II: Controls stellar-level energy
Type III: Controls galactic-level energy
Humans are currently about Type 0.7, not even reaching Type I.
So based on what Musk said, we can infer that his crazy idea is primarily related to energy, most directly about harnessing solar energy in space, and to harness solar energy in space requires more powerful rockets; only more powerful rockets can meet the space transportation capacity.
Of course, Musk has not revealed exactly what it is yet, but if what he says is feasible, the market might revalue $SPCX .This time, the counter order directly wiped out half of my position. The main problem was adding to the position too early, which left no room to add later, and the more I added, the more it dropped, resulting in increasing losses.I bet BTC will break 82000 today, with a target of 82500.
Current price is 81786.8, resistance at 82000, support at 81000, leaning bullish. The 81000 support has been tested several times and held each time, indicating strengthening bullish momentum.
I opened a position with 5000U, going long at 81600, stop loss at 81300, first target 82000, second target 82500. After losing 200,000U, I learned that predictions can be bold, but stop losses must be strict; never hold losing positions.
Of course, this is just my judgment and does not constitute investment advice. You are responsible for your own money. $BTC #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ Single Coin Transaction Linkage｜Last 15 Minutes
$BTC volume increase mainly in spot market, prices rising on both ends. Based on the 15-minute average volume of the previous 1 hour, transactions increased on both ends, with spot market contributing about 66% of the volume increase.October 9 Morning Session｜OKX Spot 08:04 (Beijing)
The three coins fell overnight before rebounding, with the 4-hour 20 moving average still trending down; BTC and ETH trading volume in the past 3 hours has decreased compared to the previous 3 hours, and the rebound still requires volume confirmation.
BTC around 81,770 (24h -1.78%), hold above 81,945 then watch the 1-hour 20 moving average at 82,140; if it breaks below 81,610, watch for a retest of 80,400.
ETH around 2,477 (-3.72%), daily 20 moving average turning down. Break through 2,485 then watch 2,507; if it falls below 2,464, watch 2,430 and 2,406.
ZEC around 1,185 (-10.60%), daily chart still weak; if it recovers above 1,195 then watch 1,222, if it breaks below 1,169 then watch for a retest of 1,112.
This morning's Fed weekly report: as of the week ending 10/7, bank reserves increased by about $81.6 billion on a weekly average basis, which does not equate to buying pressure in the crypto market; Farside's 10/8 ETF statistics are still incomplete.
My positions: BTC and ETH both have 10x short positions, currently no ZEC holdings, attached is the new BTC position card. Today the focus is on whether the rebound can gain volume and hold above resistance; short positions should also guard against a short squeeze. For record only. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ $BTC $ETH $ZEC 纳指把周二的新高还回去了。还回去的原因不是就业转弱，是油又涨、芯片自己先卖。 道指51232，涨52点，涨0.1%，全天在涨跌之间翻。标普7765，跌36点，跌0.5%，连着第二天收阴。纳指27193，跌345点，跌1.3%。罗素2000几乎平。本周迄今标普还涨0.6%，纳指把涨幅还到只剩一根头发，小盘仍跌1.4%。年内标普约+13%，纳指约+17%。标普成分股多数在涨，科技的跌盖过了它们。 初请失业金19.7万，降2000，连续第四周低于20万，低于预期。续请升到171.6万。月度非农可以软，周度申请还在疫情后的低位。这不是给降息的数据。亚特兰大联储的GDPNow把三季度增长放在3.6%。就业没垮，增长也没垮，纪要里年底再加一次的那句话就还站得住。 油把这句话又抬了一下。布伦特盘中站上104，早盘有报到106附近，尾盘回落，涨势还在。触发是波斯湾油轮遇袭，加上美国产量下调。特朗普称不再想和伊朗达成协议。能源领涨，科技垫底。十年期早盘靠近5.36%，2002年的高位又被摸了一下，午后回落，仍在5.2%上方。收益率早冲晚退，芯片没有跟着退。 芯片指数跌3.4%。英伟达跌近3%，是道指里最Also dropped six points, but the following accounts are different
$ETH fell 6% in a week, with a monthly gain of only about 1.5%, the upward achievements have thinned considerably. Tonight near 2528, very close to 2500, but the round number is just for easy observation and does not mean the buying will definitely hold there. I think what is needed now is to reestablish the upward momentum. First stop the decline, then raise the lows, and finally break through the previous rebound position; these steps cannot be replaced by a single rise. If it just fluctuates around 2500 repeatedly, it can still only be seen as consolidation, and for now, rapid recovery should not be the main expectation.
$SOL also fell about 6.2% in a week, but still rose about 9.2% in a month, retaining more of its phase achievements. This gives me reason to keep observing it, but the price near 112 also indicates that short-term recovery is not yet complete. When the market warms up next, it needs to respond. The previous good rise can be used as a reference but cannot always explain the subsequent weakness.
#Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元
$OKB still rose about 3.1% in a week, with a monthly increase of about 10.4%, currently maintaining a certain advantage. But a positive increase does not mean the decline can be ignored. I will observe whether this advantage can continue: only if it rises again after adjustment is it worth further recognition; if other coins start to recover but it does not respond for a long time, it needs to be reordered. To judge strength and weakness, it must be able to hold on and keep up.
#OKX以250亿美元估值完成战略融资 $ETH ETH 1-hour K, current price 2477.67, rebounding up from the low of 2405.
Price is above the short-term moving average, MACD red bars slightly expanding, but KDJ's J value is close to 95, indicating short-term overbought and a risk of pullback.
Short-term resistance at 2491.22, strong resistance at 2502; support at 2455, bottom at 2405.
This is a recovery rebound after a big drop, not a trend reversal.
Hold long positions until 2491 and prioritize reducing positions, set stop loss at 2455;
If you have no position, do not chase longs at the current price, wait for resistance to stall before looking for short opportunities.⚠️For reference only$CORE
🚨Breaking: One wave hasn't settled before another rises. After @Coredao_Org suddenly added unknown nodes last time, the whereabouts of 69 million $CORE tokens flowing into the market remain unknown. The 186 million tokens burned have no post-mortem report, no evidence of destruction provided, only a statement of "no need to trust," causing the community to still question the transparency of the official operations. This morning, the Core staked on @b14g_network's official website suddenly dropped to zero! The double-staked Bitcoin plummeted from over 3,000 to just over 700 tokens. This is sending a terrifying signal!Recovered 1500u, but lost 1300 again overnight
Last week I just earned back the 1500u I lost.
Last night I bottom-fished $BTC $ETH $SOL, and lost over 1300 again.
How this number is calculated:
Recovered 1500, lost 1300, net profit left is only 200.
A round trip, and the fees are not even included.
Who is connected:
All three are mainstream, and when they drop, they move in the same direction.
Buying all together is like betting on only one direction.
Not touching $ZEC actually avoided a disaster.
This shows the loss was not bad luck, but the position was too crowded.
Splitting the same amount of money into three coins did not diversify the risk at all.
The stop-loss orders placed in that range have already been swept away.
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元 #Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 $BTC $ETH Many people think trading relies on prediction, but it actually depends on response.
BTC current price 81786.8, resistance 82000, support 81000, slightly bullish. At this position, whether you predict a rise or fall, you could be wrong, but you can prepare in advance: short if it breaks 81000, go long if it rebounds to 82000, do nothing in between.
I used to love predicting and lost 200,000U before realizing trading is not fortune-telling, it’s planning + execution. Now I open positions with 5000U each, always with stop loss, no holding losing positions.
Focus your energy on response, not prediction, and you’ll find trading much simpler. $BTC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Betting on Trump TACO to short crude oil, the funding fee already cost me nearly 10,000 U, am I a fool😂
Let it drop a few more points so I can make some moneySamsung's preliminary Q3 profit surpasses 100 trillion KRW for the first time, indicating that tech funds remain abundant, but UNI failed to benefit and instead came under pressure along with the broader market, with short-term bears controlling the pace.
UNI is currently at 7.151, down 9.6% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of only 28.376 million. The funding rate of -0.0029% shows shorts need to pay fees, but the open interest of 6.122 million coin-margined contracts remains high, indicating intense long-short battles; the top 10 buy orders are 21,000 versus 12,000 sell orders, with a buy-sell ratio of 1.81, showing support at low levels. It is only 1.48% above the 1-hour low and 33.23% below the 4-hour high, with oversold rebound momentum accumulating.
Strategically, if it pulls back to 7.023, a light long position can be tried with a stop loss at 6.887 and a target of 7.585; if it rebounds to 7.643 and faces resistance, then short-term shorting is advised with a stop loss at 7.788 and a target of 7.102. Position size should be controlled within 5%, and exit to observe if it falls below 6.987.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you smooth trading. —
$UNI#三星Q3初步利润首破100万亿韩元
#三星Q3初步利润首破100万亿韩元 $UNI I have finished reading this from Utexo.
On October 14, @utexocom will talk with @unisat_wallet founder @lorenzonical about UniSat supporting USDT.
It has been confirmed that UniSat will integrate the RGB version of USDT, planning to support sending, receiving, and exchanging. The exact launch date has not been announced yet, but I am optimistic about this.
RGB technology has been discussed for many years, but what it lacked was a wallet entry point with users. UniSat already has quite a few BRC20, Runes, and Ordinals users. If USDT can really be directly integrated into the wallet, Bitcoin ecosystem transactions will finally not have to route everything back through exchanges, and liquidity will be easier to manage.
However, RGB does not put every transaction fully on the Bitcoin mainnet. Utexo's cross-chain solution also involves bridges and TEE. Security, auditing, deposit/withdrawal speed, and liquidity will all need to be evaluated after launch.
Let's wait until UniSat really supports deposits, withdrawals, and trading, then see if this line has potential.
#bitcoin #USDT #UniSatSamsung's preliminary Q3 profit surpasses 100 trillion KRW for the first time, and the storage chip market boom directly boosts SKHYNIX sentiment, but the coin price did not follow. I judge that the short term is still dominated by bears. Current price 1212.4, down 6.5% in 24 hours, lowest 1188.2. Both 1-hour and 4-hour charts are in decline, falling more than 10% from the high, approaching the intraday low. Funding rate is zero, open interest 37,000, bulls have not collapsed. The top 10 order book shows 293 buy orders and 155 sell orders, with buying dominance; the 1.89 ratio suggests support at 1188.2, and 1318.8 is strong resistance above. You can lightly try long at 1191.6, stop loss at 1178.3, target 1246.5; if broken, reverse position. Position size should not exceed 5%, exit immediately if broken.
——This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you successful trading.——
$SKHYNIX#三星Q3初步利润首破100万亿韩元
#三星Q3初步利润首破100万亿韩元 $SKHYNIX In the past 24 hours, the entire network liquidated $427 million, with 90,950 people being liquidated. According to CoinGlass data, long positions totaled $374 million, while short positions were only $53.57 million, meaning over 70% of the liquidations were long positions collapsing on their own.
Breaking it down makes it clearer. BTC contributed about $135 million, with $125 million in longs; ETH about $96 million, with $86.2 million in longs; SOL about $26.95 million, ZEC about $23.15 million, and XRP and HYPE each just over $10 million. The largest single liquidation was on Binance BTCUSDT, at $11.82 million. One person's leverage is enough to buy a house in a small county.
On the price side, Bitcoin dropped from above 85,000, falling below 83,000 intraday, with some statistics showing near 81,000. On the same day, the Nasdaq dropped over 1%, and Federal Reserve official Musalem stated that further rate hikes may be needed in the next 6 to 9 months. Oil prices and US Treasury yields are rising, and risk assets are all taking hits together. Crypto is not being singled out; it’s just the most leveraged asset paying the tuition first.
The day before was even harsher. On October 7, $697 million was liquidated in 24 hours, with 122,944 people out, almost all longs. Adding the two days together, this is not a one-time accident but a double washout of positions.
$427 million is not an epic crash. The flash crashes last October with daily liquidations in the tens of billions were structural incidents. This time it looks more like a cleanup: leveraged longs are being taken out, while spot and low-leverage holders remain seated. But cleanups can come in waves. If open interest doesn’t truly drop, the next bearish candle will trigger another round. Until the macro turns, treat rebounds as rebounds, don’t rush to call it a reversal.
There are three practical points, not new but the most valuable this week.
1 If your leverage exceeds 3x, assume you’re in line for liquidation. Among the 90,950 liquidated, the vast majority didn’t just pick the wrong direction; their positions couldn’t withstand a 2% to 3% adverse move.
2 Rate hike expectations are still on the table; oil and US Treasury yields haven’t eased. Crypto is just the most elastic risk asset, not a safe haven.
3 The liquidation list is a public lesson. The largest single liquidation of $11.82 million shows the system doesn’t care if you’re a veteran. If your margin rate isn’t enough, it’s colder than you.
The tuition paid over these years has mostly been on the belief that "this time is different." What’s different is the story; what’s the same is leverage.
Can your current position withstand another 5% drop?
$BTC $ETH $OKB
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #Winklevoss旗下机构申请ZEC现货ETF The compliance of the privacy sector is heating up, and BSB, as a similar privacy concept asset, indirectly benefits from the sentiment, but the market has not yet shown independent strength. I tend to treat the short term as still range-bound.
Current price 0.09946, up slightly 0.3% in 24h, after hitting a high of 0.10503 it retreated. Both the 1-hour and 4-hour moving averages are weakening, having retraced 12.72% from the 4h high. The funding rate of 0.0268% shows bulls have a slight advantage but it’s not crowded. The open interest of 13.762 million coin-based contracts remains relatively high. The top 10 bid-ask ratio of 2.81 indicates decent support at low levels. In the short term, it looks more like a recovery after overselling rather than a breakout.
Strategy-wise, if it pulls back to 0.09268 and stabilizes, one can lightly try going long with a stop loss at 0.08913 and a target of 0.10375; if it breaks and holds above 0.10428 with volume, then chase longs with a stop loss at 0.09871 and a target of 0.11236. Position size should be controlled within 20%, exit immediately if broken.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you smooth trading. —
$BSB #ETF is still flowing in, why is BTC falling?
#Winklevoss旗下机构申请ZEC现货ETF $BSB #Winklevoss旗下机构申请ZEC现货ETF, expectations for compliance in the privacy sector are heating up, but for CL it is more about emotional spillover. I judge that it is still in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The hourly chart is moving upward, while the four-hour chart is trending downward; this divergence is the biggest current contradiction. Up 2.4% in 24h, priced at 91.01, with highs and lows at 92.87 and 88.57 respectively, trading volume of 18.178 million. The funding rate returning to zero indicates neutral leverage sentiment, and holdings of 420,000 coins show no significant increase or decrease. The top ten order book shows 75,000 buy orders against 53,000 sell orders, a ratio of 1.40, with short-term buying dominance. Resistance is clearly at 92.87 above, and strong support at 88.57 below. Strategy-wise, lightly buy on a pullback to 89.35, stop loss at 87.85, target 92.45; if it first breaks 92.60 but is resisted, consider shorting, stop loss at 93.55, target 89.75. Keep single position size under 5%, and in this divergent market, trade lightly and quickly.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$CL#Winklevoss旗下机构申请ZEC现货ETF
#Winklevoss旗下机构申请ZEC现货ETF $CL SOL currently sits at $SOL 109.29, dropping from its recent high of $124.96 and testing the lower Bollinger Band around $110.32.
Past Performance:
Earlier movement saw a dip to $95.79 before buyers pushed it up to $SOL 124.96. Moving averages (MA5: 115.34, MA20: 117.87) now show overhead resistance.
Predictions:
* Short-Term: If support holds near $105–$109, a bounce toward $117 is likely. Breaking below $105 could retest $SOL 95.79. Samsung Wallet will launch USDC cross-border transfers, bringing another mainstream entry point to the stablecoin payment sector. This is an indirect positive sentiment boost for the small-cap coin MMT, which also belongs to the payment narrative, but whether funds will truly spill over remains to be seen. I am cautiously optimistic about this.
From a macro perspective, US dollar liquidity remains tight, and crypto is under pressure following risk assets. MMT is currently priced at 0.1738, down 1.8% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of only 1.025 million, indicating weak momentum. The four-hour chart shows an upward structure but has retraced 9.20% from the high; the one-hour chart is downward, 4.95% from the low. The order book buy/sell ratio is 1.03, with buyers slightly dominant; the funding rate is a low 0.0050%, with open interest at 8.972 million, indicating longs are not overcrowded and selling pressure is limited.
If it stabilizes near 0.1683 on a pullback, a light long position can be tried, with a stop loss at 0.1617 and a target of 0.1831; if it rebounds to 0.1817 and faces resistance, then short for a quick trade, with a stop loss at 0.1873 and a target of 0.1691. Single position size should not exceed 5%, and exit decisively if stop loss is hit.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$MMT #Samsung Q3 preliminary profit breaks 100 trillion Korean won for the first time
#三星钱包将上线USDC跨境转账 $MMT Samsung Wallet will launch USDC cross-border transfers, further expanding stablecoin payment channels. The sentiment towards payment concept assets like $SNDK is relatively positive, but currently, I judge it is still dragged down by the overall market, with limited short-term rebound strength. After a 5.2% drop overnight, it is now at 1615.1, having retraced 14.87% from the 4-hour high, and is running close to the 1-hour low of 1586.3. The downtrend remains unchanged, and the trading volume of only 388,000 indicates weak willingness to take over positions. The buy-sell ratio of 1.98 shows that buy orders dominate the top 10 levels, the funding rate is 0.0000%, and open interest is 41,000; both bulls and bears are reluctant to increase positions, indicating a weak balance in a low-volume downtrend. Strategically, if it rebounds to 1638.5, a light short position can be taken with a stop loss at 1669.3 and a target of 1547.6; if it sharply falls near 1553.8 and buy orders remain, a long position can be tried with a stop loss at 1522.4 and a target of 1621.7. Single position size should not exceed 5%, exit immediately if broken, and do not hold losing positions.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you successful trading. —
$SNDK #Samsung Q3 preliminary profit exceeds 100 trillion Korean won
#三星钱包将上线USDC跨境转账 $SNDK Don't immediately shout "it's gone" when you see news about stablecoins; first, clearly understand the deadline and scope.
According to CoinDesk, the EU securities regulator ESMA has required EU crypto platforms to stop offering stablecoin services without MiCA authorization within 3 months, with $USDT being the most closely watched representative. Market interpretations vary: it's somewhat bearish for USDT's trading entry in Europe, but bullish for compliant stablecoins and licensed platforms. The impact is not just about delisting a single coin; European stablecoin liquidity and trading pair structures will continue to migrate toward compliant assets. Traders should focus on platform announcements, USDT redemption channels, and stablecoin price spreads. As the deadline approaches, withdrawal and coin exchange congestion risks on smaller platforms will increase.
Observation 1: The pace of compliant stablecoin platform integration may precede sentiment buildup. Observation 2: Nearing the 3-month deadline, fluctuations in exchange channels and price spreads are more likely to reflect risks first. Are you more concerned about platform announcements or changes in redemption channels? The US CFTC is advancing crypto market regulations, and the SEC plans to adjust the custody framework. KAITO, as a compliance-sensitive short-term target, is under pressure; I lean towards a weak consolidation. The four-hour downtrend channel remains unbroken, with 0.2932 as the near-term low; if breached, look to 0.2864. On the upside, 0.324 acts as resistance, requiring volume for a breakout. The funding rate of -0.0004% indicates bears have a slight edge, with open interest at 11.279 million coins showing no significant reduction, so selling pressure persists. The top 10 bid-ask ratio is 1.15, with buyers slightly stronger, but the 23.547 million volume is insufficient to reverse the downtrend. Strategy-wise, lightly short at a rebound to 0.3185, stop loss at 0.3272, target 0.2946; if it pulls back and stabilizes at 0.2887, consider a short-term long, stop loss at 0.2813, target 0.3074. Keep position size within 20%, exit on a breakout.
——This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading.——
$KAITO#美CFTC推进加密市场规则，SEC拟调整托管框架
#美CFTC推进加密市场规则，SEC拟调整托管框架 $KAITO $BTC 🔥 This round of portfolio adjustment has completely turned the situation around!
The pit dug before has not only been filled this time, but the account has also seen a burst of profits. The market never lacks opportunities; what it lacks is the execution power to change strategies after clearly seeing the trend!
🚨 $ETH: Opened at 2570.61, current price 2472.13, 20x full position, unrealized profit 1484U, return rate +80.04%! The absolute MVP of the three trades, shorts have been fully realized, and profits continue to expand.
🟠 $BTC: Opened at 82950.5, current price 81837.36, 20x full position, unrealized profit 168U, return rate +27.51%. Following the trend, continue to watch the downside space.
🔥 $BAND: Opened at 0.2648, current price 0.2346, 10x isolated margin, unrealized profit 255U, return rate +114.16%! The return rate has doubled directly, showing the power of trend trading again.
This market also reminds us: ETF inflows do not necessarily mean the coin price will rise. The September FOMC minutes released a hawkish signal, with most officials favoring further rate hikes within the year. High interest rate expectations continue to suppress risk assets, and macro sentiment combined with leverage liquidation has amplified the downtrend.
Change your mindset, and the world becomes wide open! But the thicker the profit, the more you must maintain risk control. Let profits run, but don’t let winning trades turn into losing ones.
#BTC财库优先股融资升温 #ETH强势拉升，空头清算超11亿美元 #BTC现货ETF连续流出