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Last night before going to bed, I was still thinking about how to exit gracefully. This morning when I opened the market, it directly pushed the short position into profit 😮💨. During the intraday plunge, $ZRX every time it surged, it was just short of breath, lacking support. I signaled to open a short at 0.11460. Now at 0.11280, +32.28% is already in hand. The earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is truly satisfying 😎. Took profits on the big part first, closed 80%, kept 20% at cost price as protection, don’t let the rebound take away the gains.
Don’t get greedy with profits, don’t despair over pullbacks.
Hold as long as the trend is intact, run when it breaks, don’t fall in love with the market.
Now is not the time to rush, chasing shorts easily gets caught on the peak by rebounds. Wait for a new structure to form, there will be more opportunities later 💰.
$SNDK $BTC $LSK surged 500% over the weekend, not due to a value reassessment, but because funds went crazy over the "chain shutdown + burn"!
Lisk briefly surged to about $2 on Sunday, with a 24-hour increase exceeding 500%, then quickly fell back to around $1.
Behind this rally:
Chain shutdown creating scarcity expectations + burn creating a supply reduction narrative + low weekend liquidity + short squeeze.
Lisk Chain will shut down on October 31,
with the official plan to burn 100 million LSK from the treasury, reducing total supply from 400 million to 300 million.
Adding to this, contract funds poured in wildly, with about $40 million liquidated in 24 hours, mostly shorts.
This led to the most typical scene:
Fundamentals barely changed, but the price was first blasted by leverage.
What’s worth watching is reports of addresses suspected to be related to the founder transferring about 3.3 million LSK to Binance at the peak.
If large transfers to exchanges and contract position declines continue, this rally could turn from a short squeeze into a profit-taking stampede.
My advice:
LSK now looks more like an event-driven short-term casino rather than a long-term asset with fundamentals fully reassessed.
$2 already shows how crazy the market is.
What really matters next is not whether it can rise another 500%, but after the hype fades, who will still be willing to buy above $1?
If no one can hold it, what this surge leaves behind may not be a new high, but a huge upper shadow. #PPI、CPI公布后，多家机构上调9月加息预期 🚀 $BTC / $ETH / $SOL | THREE BETS ON THE FUTURE
$BTC is the bet that digital scarcity matters.
$ETH is the bet that finance becomes software.
$SOL is the bet that blockchain activity can become fast and cheap enough for everyone.
One protects value.
One programs value.
One scales value.
Three different theses — and all three are being tested by real adoption. 🧠⚡
#SeptHikeOddsHit90%
#BTCSpotETF450MOutflow The 10-year Treasury yield closed around 4.96–4.98% on Sept. 11 — its highest level since October 2023. It also jumped roughly 18 bps in just one week. So why the sudden repricing? 👀 Three forces are colliding: → Oil pushed above $100 amid Middle East tensions → August core CPI rose 0.3% MoM, above the 0.2% forecast → Treasury’s long-duration buyback saw weaker-than-expected demand The market reaction was fast. Pricing for a 25-bps hike at the Sept. 15–16 meeting moved toward 90%. But here’s th$ZEC dropped nearly 13%, can it continue to rise afterward?
#ZEC机构资金入场，高位杠杆开始出清
ZEC's recent trend is quite interesting.
Grayscale's Zcash ETF asset size has already surpassed $500 million, with over $70 million of external capital inflow in the two weeks before listing. The channel for institutions to enter ZEC is clearly smoother than before.
But the price hasn't continued to surge.
On September 9, ZEC peaked at $1298, and now it has fallen back to around $1130, a nearly 13% retracement from the high.
The reason is actually not hard to understand.
The previous rally was driven not only by ETF buying but also heavily leveraged derivatives. When breaking through $1000, ZEC futures open interest once surged to about $2.3 billion, with a large number of shorts forcibly liquidated, further amplifying the upward speed.
When it rises fast, leverage naturally accumulates quickly.
Now that the price is going down, the leveraged longs who chased the high are being cleared, which is actually cooling down this round of the market.
So, looking at ZEC now, I wouldn't say the institutional story is over just because it dropped by more than ten percent.
The institutionalization trend is still there; the overheated high-level leverage is just being cleaned out first, which is actually more normal than a daily straight-line surge.
What’s truly worth watching next is whether the spot and ETF funds can continue to support the price after this round of clearing.
If they can hold it, this round of ZEC will be considered as gradually moving from an emotional surge to a more solid pricing.The market scans up and down, with false breakouts and false breakdowns alternating, repeatedly teaching those who chase orders. Both bulls and bears are vying for initiative, but neither can produce a one-sided trend. The more it is like this, the more you need to reduce trading frequency and not let emotions make decisions for your account.
$ETH Continue holding the base position, lock in half the profits first, and leave the rest to the trend. Don’t panic because of a single bearish candle, nor get excited because of a single bullish candle. Enduring the shakeout is the only way to qualify for discussing the space ahead.
$ZEC Short positions have been partially taken off the table. Hitting the rhythm is superficial; the core is daring to test during divergence and holding during the trend. Taking profits in stages is enough; don’t expect to hold from start to finish. The most expensive thing in the market is "waiting a little longer."
After a sharp drop, Bitcoin pulls back; the wide range remains. The market is focusing on macro data, and volume is reluctant to signal early. Before the data is released, all directions can be reversed. Position management is more important than prediction.
Small-cap coins are experiencing extremes: some flash crash, some surge rapidly; sentiment lacks continuity. Chasing highs easily leads to standing idle, and bottom fishing is not necessarily safe. Illogical pulses are only for watching, not chasing.
Trading is difficult because of restraint: earn what should be earned, don’t be greedy for the last bit; stay out when signals are unclear, and avoid unplanned volatility. Frequent trading seems diligent but is actually paying tuition to the market.
Surviving longer is more important than making big profits. Keep the rhythm to have the next initiative. In chaotic markets, patience is not passivity but the rarest position. Don’t treat every fluctuation as an opportunity; real opportunities often appear when most people dare not act.
$BTC 最近关注了几个同行，都或大或小出现了不小的回撤，甚至有两个已经爆仓退圈了。当然，我也好不到哪里去，出现了规则之外的回撤。 其实在市场上，谁都知道，活着，要比暴利更重要？ 其实在我看来，敬畏市场，尊重自己的交易系统，正确认识到事实。 什么是事实？有依据，有理由，有逻辑，有结果。 其实我的回撤的最初根本原因在于，我91.35建仓的原油，没有完全执行好我的半仓止盈策略，我的第一目标止盈是94.5，第二目标止盈是98.5。 那时候我为什么会在94.2进行全部平仓呢？ 因为我关注到了两个细节， 第一溢价，而且是暗盘与亚盘的2.4刀以上的溢价，溢价的瞬间让我产生了恐惧，强烈的不安，我并不担心我会亏钱，因为我早已平推成本，这笔订单早就是无风险订单。 第二资金费率，我那时候脑子里只想着资金费率变大了。我压根没去仔细去思考，其实对我是有利的资金费率，而且我的成本是91.35，完全可以吃资金费率。 正是这两个细节，导致了我平仓的关键。 原因一：我产生了对未知的恐惧，并且我没有阻止这种恐惧的蔓延，导致我最后被恐惧淹没，做出了非系统内的操作。 原因二：我未经历过原油这个品种出现过溢价大于3%的事情。 原因三：⚠️An abnormal signal: funds are running away, but the market is stubbornly holding on; this kind of market is the most exhausting
Let me share a current situation worth being cautious about:
ETF funds are retreating, but the market hasn't fallen yet; this kind of divergence is often the hardest to endure.
The US BTC spot ETF has had net outflows for 3 consecutive days, with a total outflow of $450 million from 9.8 to 9.10, and a single-day outflow of $283 million on the 10th alone.
Top institutions like BlackRock, Fidelity, Grayscale, and ARK are all withdrawing.
Just a week ago, from 9.2 to 9.4, there was a massive inflow of $1.01 billion over three days. Institutional attitudes can change suddenly and their actions are very decisive.
The reason is actually simple: two major events are approaching:
9.16 Federal Reserve meeting, 9.25 quarterly options expiration, with BTC options alone totaling $14.39 billion.
Institutions reducing positions in advance to hedge is a routine operation.
Once incremental funds leave, the market's weaknesses immediately show: the market repeatedly surges and falls back, lacking strength to push higher. Without continuous ETF capital injection, relying only on existing on-exchange funds, it's hard to sustain a one-sided rally.
📌Key BTC market points (current price 77257)
Between 77,100 and 80,200 there is a huge accumulation of historical sell orders, creating heavy resistance here.
Against the backdrop of ETF outflows, selling pressure will be very strong when pushing into the 78,000 to 80,000 range.
The core support below is at 76,000: breaking below this level could lead to further declines, while holding it would mean continued large fluctuations.From the perspective of capital and position, $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL currently resemble three different risk budgets rather than a simple ranking of price rises and falls. $BTC is positioned more as a guardian of the monetary system itself, with trust and decentralization as its valuation anchors; $ETH centers on programmability, aiming to reorganize financial contracts on-chain; $SOL prioritizes performance, striving to make ordinary users unaware of blockchain latency. Each attacks traditional finance's weaknesses differently: Bitcoin targets currency issuance and censorship, Ethereum targets intermediaries and contract efficiency, and Solana targets throughput and cost. This also means that during macro liquidity tightening and repeated interest rate hike expectations, capital tends to first concentrate on the asset with the strongest trust attribute, then spill over to narratives of flexibility and performance based on risk appetite. If market sentiment warms, all three may rebound simultaneously, but the driving logic differs, and volatility structures will diverge. It should be noted that the above is only an observation at the conceptual and mechanism level and does not constitute a judgment on price direction; macro data and liquidity changes may still dominate short-term trends.
#NvidiaAnthropicIPO10B
⚠️ Crypto assets are highly volatile; please independently assess risks and participate cautiously. $BTC $ETH $SOL$RAVE Air Force brothers, don't be afraid, keep holding, it's not over yet
Long-short ratio: retail and large holders both bullish
Binance retail long-short ratio 3.8497, OKX retail long-short ratio 4.15, retail overall extremely bullish.
Large holders count long-short ratio 4.7571, large holders position long-short ratio 2.244, lower than count ratio.
Although many large holders are bullish, the actual long capital invested is relatively restrained.
More critical issues:
👉 ZachXBT accuses about 90% of RAVE supply concentrated in team-related wallets
👉 Before the April crash, the whales first transferred in 30.58 million tokens to create a "sell-off" illusion to lure shorts, then withdrew 31.94 million tokens to violently pump and squeeze shorts
👉 Short liquidations of $23.99 million accounted for 82% of total liquidations, a perfect harvest
My view: This short-term rebound is a short squeeze targeting shorts, not a value reversal. $0.22-$0.25 is strong resistance, spot buying won't return, the rebound is an escape opportunity
#PPI、CPI公布后，多家机构上调9月加息预期 Look at BTC, my first reaction: is this market trying to force people to delete the app?
Every time Bitcoin gets stuck in a narrow range with shrinking volume, watching the chart feels like staring at a flatline ECG, and this thought pops up.
It's not fear of going to zero, but that slow, dull knife wearing you down. It rises a bit, making you think it will break out; it falls a bit, making you doubt if it will break down. There's no clear direction, only repeated tugging that slowly erodes your patience.
In the group chat, people are still talking about ETFs, interest rate cuts, and non-farm payrolls, speaking confidently but too lazy to place orders. Bulls are worn down by the slow decline, bears get taught a lesson by sudden spikes. After all the fuss, the account stays still, but the person is already numb. So they think: uninstall the app, quit the internet, find peace.
Many want to quit, but few actually do. Usually, when "I don't want to play anymore" becomes a consensus, the market is close to choosing a direction. But don't mistake collective fatigue for a bottom-fishing signal. Emotions can be observed but shouldn't be the reason to open a position. Exhaustion isn't a bottom guarantee; it just shows both bulls and bears have reached their limit of endurance.
This kind of tiredness is understandable. Don't quit the internet with them, and don't stubbornly fight the market. If you can't see clearly, just turn off your computer and take a break—that's better than randomly placing orders. $BTC Next week's token unlock warning:
Although there are many tokens unlocking, most are routine; the really critical dates are only two.
1. On the 18th, $TRUMP has a double unlock. The team was just caught by an on-chain detective withdrawing liquidity from the pool, and 28.7 million tokens will be unlocked and credited five days later.
On one side, the drained pool; on the other, the new supply. Everyone must pay attention, a drop is inevitable.
2. On the 20th, $ZRO has a large unlock. LayerZero releases 25.7 million tokens, accounting for 7.3% of the circulating market cap. This means the market has to absorb one-fifteenth of the floating supply.
On the same day, $KAITO also unlocks just over 7%, but its market cap is a bit higher, so it's somewhat better.
3. The others are just minor events.
On the 14th, PUMP releases 30 million (1.7% of market cap, a monthly routine); on the 16th, ARB releases 9 million, a normal stop in a four-year long run. Neither constitutes a market-moving event.
For those holding TRUMP, reduce your position before the unlock without hesitation; for ZRO/KAITO, don't catch the falling knife in the short term.Rotation shift period, who will step on the gas first among OKB, TRX, and FIL?
The market looks like traffic just starting to move after a jam; the front-row popular coins have already surged, and in the rearview mirror, funds begin searching for cars that haven't merged yet—OKB, TRX, and FIL aren't the hottest, but they're stuck in the rotation replacement window. Not rising doesn't mean cheap; the key is whether the bottom has been pre-supported by funds.
OKB's foundation is "stable": chips are well locked, pullbacks always have support, what's missing is just an active buy order to push the price out of the range. TRX is like a steady climb, usually not grabbing attention, but its lows keep rising; once it breaks through, the wait-and-see crowd tends to follow collectively. FIL is the most elastic one; the longer it stays quiet, the more it can instantly attract short-term attention when volume surges, but false breakouts are also the fiercest.
Bulls watch three signals: OKB actively increasing volume, TRX breaking through and holding, FIL continuously stacking volume. As long as two of these come together, funds dare to rush into the low-lying areas. Bears wait for FIL to surge and then fall back, then see if TRX's support collapses.
Looking up: OKB holds steady, TRX opens the door, FIL accelerates; looking down: FIL deflates first, TRX falls back into the box. Rotation never picks the cheapest; the real low point is where the price hasn't moved yet, but funds are already positioned.Radioactive decay can also be used to generate Bitcoin mnemonic phrases.
Developer open-sourced Entropy32 Plus:
It captures the time intervals of decay events using a Geiger counter, then processes them with SHA-256 to generate BIP39 mnemonic phrases.
The entire process is offline, not connected to the internet, and does not persist mnemonic phrases.
Sounds very "cyberpunk," but don’t use it to store large amounts of funds just yet — the entropy quality has not yet passed NIST SP 800-90B validation.
Would you dare to use nuclear decay to generate private keys? $BTC $OKB: Entering a range-bound consolidation phase, the market in the second half of the year deserves close attention
OKB's core operating range is between 108-118
A large amount of historical trapped positions accumulate near 120 above; every time this level is touched, it faces obvious selling pressure;
The 100-110 range below is the main support area where major players repeatedly rotate positions; when the price pulls back to this range, the buying power noticeably strengthens.
Next week, the market will be crowded with macro events, including the FOMC interest rate decision and the CLARITY Act coming into effect, which will amplify market volatility.
OKB will also experience frequent spikes and dips, as major players take advantage of this volatility to clear floating positions, grind down short-term speculative chips, and raise the overall market holding cost.
Reviewing historical trends, it is clear that OKB tends to launch rallies in the second half of the year; most of the major upward moves in previous years have been concentrated in the latter half.
Additionally, with the current push in the X Layer ecosystem, continuous implementation of RWA and Meme projects, ecosystem activity continues to rise.
As the only Gas token on L2, OKB's token consumption logic remains effective.
With multiple narratives overlapping, there is ample reason to believe that OKB's market performance in the second half will not be dull.
In terms of strategy, the 108-118 range can be used for grid trading or phased dollar-cost averaging during consolidation.
When the price dips close to around 108, it is suitable to gradually accumulate at a low level, ideal for long-term phased positioning; avoid heavy single bets on a one-sided breakout. ⚡ $BTC / $ETH / $SOL | THREE DEMAND ENGINES
$BTC → demand to hold.
$ETH → demand to use and settle.
$SOL → demand to execute at scale.
That creates three very different paths to value.
Scarcity drives Bitcoin.
Economic activity drives Ethereum.
Throughput and adoption drive Solana.
Different engines. Different risks. Different opportunities. 🧠
#SeptHikeOddsHit90% #BTCSpotETF450MOutflow #OracleAICloudUp121% $ETH
Now it's 2479, I don't want to make this position too complicated,
The 1-hour hour is still a bit short, but it's no longer the kind of place where you blindly chase shorts.
Recently, there has been volume in this recent decline, and selling has indeed been active. The price has been holding down below around 2490,
So if you want to call it a reversal in the short term, I think it's still too early.
But the problem is, the 2465 area has already reached key support,
The RSI is already relatively low. Although bears are strong, further downward pressure will require new selling pressure to continue.
If you can't kill here, it's easier to pull back first.
First, look at 2490, then regain your position. In the short term, you can look at 2510.
2510 can break out with increased volume, then watch 2527 or even 2535.
On the other hand, once 2465 is broken, don't stubbornly argue with it. Let's first look at 2432.
The market is likely to continue searching for support downward.
The capital situation is also quite interesting; the bulls haven't completely withdrawn yet,
Major players are still holding a high position, and the funding rate is positive.
Simply put, many people inside the market are still willing to buy, but prices keep dropping.
The worst thing in this situation is to kick in again and wash out the remaining bulls together.
So now I won't guess the bottom, nor will I blindly chase shorts.
At 2465, look for support; at 2490, see a rebound; at 2510, see a breakout.
Before confirming, it's better to keep your position light.
In this kind of market, patience is sometimes more valuable than direction.In the late session, it's the ecological coins' turn again. Among UNI, ARB, and NEAR, who can turn the catch-up rally into the main uptrend?
#PPI and CPI released, multiple institutions raise September rate hike expectations
The market looks like a meal reaching the second half; the main dishes have been served several times, and chopsticks start reaching for the plates that were barely touched before—UNI, ARB, and NEAR now have that vibe. It's not unusual for funds to rotate to low positions, but the challenge is whether the catch-up rally can continue to attract buyers; otherwise, the first surge can easily become a trap for bulls.
#BTC spot ETF outflows nearly $450 million in three days
The most worth watching for $UNI is whether the selling pressure above can be continuously absorbed. Once DeFi gains momentum, its recognition is enough to attract funds, but the breakout must be accompanied by volume; ARB depends more on ETH's performance—if ETH leads, ARB can easily shift from following to a high Beta acceleration; NEAR grinds longer—if the bottom starts to rise continuously, it indicates chips are moving from observers to active hands.
Bulls are waiting for three moves: UNI opening with volume, $ARB breaking out without retreat, and NEAR continuously raising its bottom. As long as two of these happen, the ecological rotation could shift from catch-up to offense; bears are waiting for ETH to weaken and then see if ARB falls behind first.
Looking upward, watch for UNI ignition, ARB acceleration, and $NEAR taking over; looking downward, watch for ARB losing steam first and UNI failing to break through. Catch-up rallies only let prices catch up with others; the real main rise is when, after catching up, funds are still willing to push forward.Tonight, I lean more towards a weak consolidation rather than simply pricing in the rate hike expectations early.
With the FOMC approaching, the market has indeed priced in some hawkish expectations in advance, so a further sharp drop now requires new negative catalysts. Conversely, until unknown news and the Fed's final wording are confirmed, funds will not easily make large bullish moves.
So tonight feels more like digesting expectations early and waiting for confirmation, with the market likely to fluctuate repeatedly. For $BTC, key support is around 76000; for $ETH, around 2480. If these hold, there is room for recovery; if broken, further defense is needed.
Simply put: tonight is not suitable for guessing direction, it’s more about waiting for the FOMC to give the real answer
#PPI、CPI公布后，多家机构上调9月加息预期 #BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 #美债收益率逼近5%，回购难缓长期压力 Cloud Infrastructure revenue jumped 121% YoY to $7.4B, while total cloud revenue reached $11.6B, up 62%. But the bigger story may be what’s happening underneath the revenue numbers. Oracle delivered 850MW of additional data-center capacity and more than 300,000 GPUs to AI cloud customers during the quarter. It also signed over $30B in new AI cloud contracts, pushing remaining performance obligations to a massive $664B. That changes the competitive landscape. AI companies are no longer competing 🚨 The biggest loss he reported was only 260U. But the real damage wasn’t the money—it was what happened to his mindset.
He shorted $ZEC with a stop-loss, mainly because he was afraid of a sudden push toward 1,500 or even 2,000.
But here’s the painful part: $ZEC never reached 1,500, and he had already lost 28U.
What was he betting on?
Not really the direction. He was betting that he could survive the spike.
And that’s where trading gets dangerous.
#DailyOrbit On Ji platform, it can even reach 500x, but the actual leverage people use varies greatly among several groups. 1. Ordinary retail investors (largest market share) Beginners: Many people start with 20-50x trades, influenced by short videos and get-rich-quick stories, which is the highest risk of liquidation. 20x leverage: Reverse volatility of around 5% leads to liquidation; Bitcoin daily volatility of 3-8% is normal, and occasional insertions instantly wipe out positions. Retail investors who have played for a while and suffered losses: will lower it to 5-10x and trade swing trades, keeping some margin for volatility and error. Ultra-short-term traders: will open 50-100x trades but hold very small positions, using only 2-5% of the account funds, never heavy positions; Even so, a single spike goes straight to zero. 100x leverage: If the price moves about 1% in the opposite direction, margin will be instantly wiped out. Bitcoin can reach this level in a single instant, and most people can't withstand it. 2. Professional traders and veteran contract players Swing range (daily, 4-hour level): Generally 3-10x, rarely above 20x, low leverage, relies on position management and stop-loss to control risk. Short-term high-frequency: 10-25x, strict stop-loss, not long-term holding. Spot traders: Only use 1-5x leverage, contracts are used to hedge downside risk, not to gamble on huge profits. 3. Institutions and large capital institutions rarely use high leverage: usually 1-3 times, mainly used for hedging and hedge spot price risk, and not using dozens of times to gamble on price fluctuations. US compliance A seller this large should leave a scar. $SOL barely blinked.
Pump.fun sold another 77,705 SOL (~$7.88M), taking its cumulative SOL sales to roughly $842M. Yet SOL is around $102.09 on OKX, +1.24%/24h.
That divergence matters: persistent supply is hitting the market, but price is still absorbing it.
Sometimes #resilience is the signal.
#SolanaInflationVote
#OracleAICloudUp121%
#SeptHikeOddsHit90% $LAB Long-Short Ratio: Retail and Whales Both Bullish
Binance retail long-short ratio is 3.2553, OKX retail long-short ratio is 3.03, overall retail is bullish.
Whale count long-short ratio is 3.6425, but whale position long-short ratio is 2.0268, lower than the count ratio.
Although more whales are bullish in number, the actual long capital invested is relatively restrained; large funds are not fully betting.
LAB's fundamentals (highly controlled supply, continuous release of supply, questionable team transparency) have not improved.
A short-term short squeeze rebound may occur, but the medium-term trend remains bearish.
The $0.075-$0.08 range is a strong short reference zone, $0.065 is the short-term long-short dividing line.
💡My strategy: Do not chase longs, do not bottom-fish. Wait for this short squeeze to end, consider below $0.05.
#PPI、CPI公布后，多家机构上调9月加息预期 Short sellers are willing to lose money to stop the rise, POWR surged 39% in one day: the short squeeze in the first half is not over yet
Wow, short sellers pushed the funding rate down to -1.23%, and open interest increased by 67.73% compared to this morning. $POWR still rose from 0.0526 to 0.0745. The short-term bias is bullish, only trading breakouts without chasing the pullback—if 0.0936 (intraday high) is not broken, the short squeeze is just the first half.
Negative funding rate means short sellers lose money every settlement period to hold their positions; the price not moving makes them more passive; 24-hour volume is 8,012,030 USDT, 44 times the 30-day average—leverage is fully on the table, plenty of fuel for the short squeeze. Since the event, the price has only moved up +1.5%, the market has not fully digested it yet.
But don’t get carried away—the daily RSI is already 76.1 (overbought), the 1-hour SAR flipped above 0.0898, and multi-timeframe signals are bearish. The major market coins show 33 down and 17 up; $BTC currently at 76763, down for 1 day, showing high-level divergence and pullback.
Resistance above: 0.0936 (intraday high, only talk about secondary acceleration if broken)
Support below: 0.0573 (4h SAR dynamic support) → 0.0565 (today’s low, break means short squeeze ends)
Long positions held above 0.0573 can take profits near 0.0936; if you miss the move, don’t chase the pullback, buy back above 0.0573, cut losses if it breaks down.
I’m watching the market closely, stay tuned and don’t get lost.
$POWR $BTC$BTC The 80,000 level has once again failed to hold steady. 79,800 has become the short-term ceiling, and the price has fallen back and forth around 77,200. Resistance above is still at the three barriers of 80,000, 81,200, and 82,200. If it rebounds to these levels, don't rush to chase them; Below, first watch 77,200, then 76,200 and 75,800. 75,000 is the last line of defense; holding it still gives a chance for recovery.
Now 77,200 is a light position to test long. If it continues to decline, I will gradually refill at the support levels of 76,200 and 75,800. Don't rush in. The long-term outlook remains biased, but this year it will be difficult to directly break through to 100,000 yuan. Don't overestimate your expectations.
If you want to short, wait until it returns above 80,000 to look for an opportunity; chasing short positions at low levels can easily trigger a rebound. If you don't like to bring stop-loss stocks, putting the strong breaking price above 100,000 will thicken your 😁 safety cushion. The rhythm is: if support doesn't break below the low and long positions, the resistance won't be high to sell, position control is good, and you will choose your direction when the box opens. This is just a personal review and does not constitute investment advice 😊 $ETH $SOL OKB's "Resilience Code": When the Market Pulls Back, It Quietly Goes Its Own Way
The market is full of panic; Bitcoin leads a group of coins downward, and many people's positions have shrunk again. But looking at OKB's candlestick chart, there is a sense of "unfazed by any wind from any direction."
Around $114, it once dropped to $108 yesterday, then quickly recovered above $113. This kind of lower shadow has appeared more than once. When the market falls, it follows; when the market stabilizes, it rebounds even faster. The support orders have never stopped, as if an invisible hand is holding it up.
Looking back a few months ago, OKB was hovering around $60. At that time, people thought "wait a bit longer, it can go lower," but what came was a relentless rise. Saying there is no regret is false. But more than regret, what’s worth pondering is: why is it so resilient?
The answer may lie in the fact that OKB is no longer just a coin that follows market sentiment. It has a solid ecosystem backing it, expectations of platform buybacks, and on-chain application consumption. These fundamentals make it a safe haven amid panic.
Those holding spot positions should feel quite secure now. There’s no need to gamble on small coins that suddenly spike with a big green candle only to crash back instantly. OKB’s movement is more like a gentle slope, steady and solid with every step.
The market always cycles, and those chasing pumps and dumps come and go. But OKB uses this wave of resilience to tell everyone: some assets resist the fall and won’t be absent when prices rise. For those who missed the $60 entry, what you might need to do now is not to slap your thigh but to reassess its logic.OpenAI and Anthropic are calling to slow down, analysts say this is just lip service
Both have recently been urging to slow down AI development.
It sounds like they are worried about safety.
The exact rule is:
Safety testing and third-party verification can’t keep up with model iterations.
The premise of this statement is:
Whoever stops first loses customers and funding.
In plain language:
Calling to slow down doesn’t mean to stop, it means to make others stop first.
Big labs can afford the fixed costs of evaluation and auditing.
Small teams can’t, so the threshold is raised.
So this call to slow down ultimately helps the leaders close the door.
At first, I really believed it.
#英伟达拟向Anthropic投资最高100亿美元
#OpenAICEO称2026年不会IPO $BTC THE MARKET IS MISPRICING THE FED — AND $BTC MAY BE THE STRONGEST REACTOR There is something more important than whether the Fed raises or lowers interest rates. That is: WHAT THE MARKET EXPECTS THE FED TO DO. Because asset prices don’t just react to the decision. They react to: THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN REALITY AND EXPECTATIONS. And this is where a big move can happen. Suppose most of the market believes: The Fed will be more dovish. Interest rates will drop soon. Liquidity will improve. USD will weaken. Risk assets will benefit. Traders start $BTC
On Saturday and Sunday, Bitcoin's volatility was minimal, basically oscillating sideways around 77181, with the current price at 77126, indicating a narrow range consolidation.
The 45-minute timeframe is in a bottoming phase below the zero line.
Key focus: It is best to hold the support at 76828.
✅ Holding 76828: There is a chance for an upward rebound.
✖️ Breaking below 76828 will first test the 12-hour support at 76000; if 76000 also fails, the market will challenge the daily support at 72860.
What about risk assets?
Keep reading.
Bullish: Gold, Bitcoin.
The worse the fiscal situation, the more concern about dollar depreciation, so money flows into assets that resist depreciation. Recently, the dollar has weakened, and both gold and Bitcoin have risen together.
Bearish: High-valuation tech stocks, commercial real estate.
The government is issuing a lot of debt, pushing US Treasury yields higher, with the 10-year yield once approaching **5%**. When interest rates rise, valuations get hit.
Strategists say if the 10-year yield breaks **4.8%**, fiscal issues will spread to the stock market; if the 30-year yield can't stay below **5%**, systemic sell-offs may occur.
The market pricing logic has changed; it’s no longer just about the economy but about pricing in "fiscal risk."
Holding gold and Bitcoin versus high-valuation growth stocks feels completely different. #BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 #美国柴油价格首次突破6美元 Altman's statement that it won't go public in 2026 has stirred up the weekend of AI concept coins. Anthropic and Musk followed suit and shouted to slow down, with three mouths joining forces to flood the story of unlimited computing power expansion being doused by their own people.
But if you look closely, they're talking about safety, not stopping. Centralized giants hit the brakes, and decentralized computing power may instead receive overflowing demand—TAO and WLD are stuck in this position.
The question is, is this a narrative switch, or is it money borrowing news to keep speculating?
I tend to believe that short-term computing power expectations have indeed been suppressed, but whether decentralized AI can hold up depends on next week's trading volume. Volume shrinkage and stopping declines are digestion; volume drops are the real bad ones.
Waiting with no stock, before the signal comes out, who can say for sure whether this is the start or the end?
#英伟达拟向Anthropic投资最高100亿美元
#OpenAICEO称2026年不会IPO $TAO $WLD $GAS The trend is so smooth as if someone is in a hurry and gave me a ride along the way.
Just finished watching the bearish news, the resistance above GAS is obvious, the bearish rebound is weak, opened short at 1.3481. Now at 1.3169, +45.24%, the earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is really sweet.
Better to miss a limit-up than to catch a flying knife and end up with a bloody hand.
Take profits on 70% first, protect the remaining 30% at cost price, if it continues to drop let the profits run. Don’t chase, wait for the next signal to move, the market is not short of opportunities, it’s patience that’s lacking.
$ZEC $SNDK Everyone talks about the best time to buy $BTC.
Almost nobody talks about when to sell.
So I tested 3 approaches with $500 invested every week since 2017:
→ Never sell
→ Panic-sell and buy back later
→ Follow one simple written rule
The rule ended with 74% more Bitcoin.
The lesson wasn’t timing the market.
It was having a rule before emotions took over$BTC The board surface forms a giant whale pincer attack structure,
Between 79.9K and 80.6K, a series of sell orders piled up, and around 75K was filled with large acceptance orders, completely splitting market sentiment between bulls and bears.
A large number of traders frequently change direction in the 76K-79K range, repeatedly triggering stop-losses, causing the short-term gains accumulated earlier to quickly pull back.
The vast majority of people are obsessed with predicting precise turning points in advance, but they fail to realize that in this balanced market deliberately created by whales, the moment you bet early, it already becomes liquidity waiting to be harvested.
In this two-way ambush game, those who can catch the full big market move are never the most accurate guessers, but those who dare to abandon the vague middle range and wait for the whale to reveal its true intentions before making a move.
Previously, ETH showed a completely similar pattern, with the whole market rushing to bet on direction. One trader immediately closed all short-term positions, focusing only on key order movements.
Afterwards, the price falsely broke support and swept out short stop-losses. The order book showed that large buy orders below instantly unlocked two-thirds. He followed the trend to chase shorts, earning over 300 points in profit within two hours, and recovered all previous stop-loss losses including principal and interest.
Don't mess around in the whale's pocket circle. Wait until the price reaches the edge of the range, see whether to hold large orders, then follow the trend. No matter which side you sweep first, you can reliably capture the most fertile single-sided market without wasting your capital during the volatility.
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4 50 million USD $ETH As of the evening of September 13, Bitcoin was trading around $77,000–$77,200, with a slight decline over 24 hours, and intraday highs and lows fluctuating sharply between $76,000 and $79,859. After the CPI data was released, it first plunged to 76,000, then quickly rose to 79,859, but failed to hold above the 80,000 mark and was stumped back to around 77,000, with both bulls and bears being cleared out.
$BTC $ETH Derivatives liquidation structure (core perspective): According to Coinglass data, if BTC falls below $76,000, the cumulative long liquidation intensity of mainstream CEXs will reach $394 million; if it breaks $78,000, the strength of short liquidation will be about $227 million, with a long-short pressure ratio of about 1.7:1. A more critical marginal change is that from September 8 to 13, the liquidation strength of long positions below has shrunk by more than 60% from 1.017 billion to 394 million, meaning leveraged long positions have been continuously cleared during this period. If the price truly breaks through 76,000, the "fuel" for the cascade reaction will be much weaker than a week ago. What really needs to be watched is whether the short side starts to re-accumulate above 78,000.
Capital flow divergence: Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of about $463 million this week, turning negative for the first time in four weeks; Ethereum ETFs saw net inflows for four consecutive weeks, with about $197 million this week, showing a clear shift in funds within crypto. #PPI. After the CPI release, several institutions raised their September rate hike expectations to $#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4 50 million Who got confused riding the LSK roller coaster this time?
Today's LSK market is simply thrilling to the point of suffocation, directly staging a massive roller coaster.
There was a violent surge in the morning, shooting straight up in the short term, with the price multiplying several times in a short period. Many people, seeing the price shoot up in a straight line, rushed in impulsively, thinking the big rally had officially started and it was about to soar all the way.
But after the peak, the funds immediately fled, and the price crashed down rapidly, trapping those who entered at the high point.
In short, this is a typical case of short-term price pumping driven by news. Taking advantage of the ecosystem transformation benefits, big players first pumped the price high to sell off. The short-term surge was not built up by genuine buying slowly accumulating, but by violent short-term capital inflows without enough support to hold the price.
Once retail investors chase in at the high level, the main force starts to realize profits in batches. When buying can't keep up with selling pressure, the market naturally falls quickly.
Now the price has dropped significantly, and those who chased at the high point have had a disappointing experience. This kind of rapid rise and fall tests one's mentality the most; it's easy to chase the surge and end up buying right at the peak.
Whether the positive factors can continue to ferment is still uncertain. After this kind of pulse-like surge, it will most likely need some time to consolidate and digest. It's very difficult to immediately replicate such a crazy surge again in the short term, so chasing highs must be done with extra caution.
$LSK
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 ⚡ $BTC / $ETH / $SOL | THREE DEMAND ENGINES
$BTC → demand to hold.
$ETH → demand to use and settle.
$SOL → demand to execute at scale.
That creates three very different paths to value.
Scarcity drives Bitcoin.
Economic activity drives Ethereum.
Throughput and adoption drive Solana.
Different engines. Different risks. Different opportunities. 🧠
#SeptHikeOddsHit90% #BTCSpotETF450MOutflow LSK current price is 0.8285, this position has already reached the lower edge of the short-term chip concentration area. The 15-minute naked K shows continuous upper shadows between 0.835 and 0.842, indicating that there is capital reducing positions on each rebound above, and the bulls have not formed an effective breakout. On the downside, the two wicks near 0.810 were quickly pulled back, the defense positions have not failed, but the buying side lacks the strength of active sweeping.
Just finished climbing an old building without an elevator to deliver an order, my legs are still shaking. The market stuck at this indecisive position, I’m not inclined to go in directly.
So the plan is very clear. Wait for a pullback to 0.810 to 0.816 to enter long positions in batches, set stop loss at 0.7980, take profit first at 0.848, and if it breaks through, then look at 0.865. If the price first rises to around 0.842 and the 15-minute volume does not expand, I will short, with stop loss at 0.856 and take profit at 0.812. Currently, do not chase longs, wait for confirmation on the right side.
$LSK
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元
@OKX星球 Brothers, today's market can be summed up in one sentence: BTC playing dead, altcoins bleeding, money flipping wildly in memes. Let's look at the core data first: BTC: $77,260, 24h -0.02%, almost flat · ETH: $2,524, 24h +0.35%, barely closed in the red · SOL: Fell below $100, 24h -0.68% But strangely—the mainstream barely moved, but the total market cap dropped 2.54% to 2.66 trillion. What does this mean? All the drops are altcoins. BTC accounts for 58.23%, funds are hiding in Bitcoin, and altcoins are continuously drained. BTC: Sideways Bottoming, Big Money Waiting for a Signal Market Surface: BTC repeatedly rubs around the 78,500 range, 4-hour MACD below the zero line, RSI only 44, neither bulls nor bears are interested. Key support below 78,500; holding firm is necessary for strengthening. The real highlight is here: Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant, pointed out that after BTC rose 24% over two weeks, it encountered resistance, **it must close above 77,100-83,600 and $88,700 as the next round of resistance. Today's most intriguing signal: updated Clarity Act text released; next Tuesday the Senate will hold a 60-vote programmatic vote. Emotions exploded on X: Bitcoin Magazine post 4,200 likes, post "Passing the bill would be the biggest bull market ever" 2,700 likes — but the market ended$BTC is lying below the key level, and the worst thing is to be itchy-handed!
This week, Bitcoin has worn down both bulls and bears until neither side has any energy left. It rallies high but gets pushed back, falls but can't drop further, repeatedly slapping faces back and forth. In this kind of market, the most expensive thing is never money, but emotions.
Why is it stuck? Next week is the Fed's interest rate meeting. When the last inflation data was released, the market was immediately spooked, causing a sharp spike. Institutions dare not heavily bet on a direction before the official announcement, and retail investors are even more cautious. History is repeating itself; the previous failed rally followed by a volume-shrinking downtrend is almost a replay of the current script.
The capital flow is more honest. Last week, U.S. stock spot ETFs saw continuous net outflows, with several hundred million dollars leaving in a week. The buying power is visibly shrinking. This scale cannot be pushed by sentiment; sideways movement is the norm.
My judgment: As long as the 75,000 support holds, it will be a consolidation—neither a crash nor a bull rebound. If it truly breaks down, waiting for panic selling to flush out the bloodied chips before picking them up is more attractive. Until the 80,000 level is reclaimed, calls for a reversal are just self-comfort. Also, don't rush to short; the spike at the end of low volume phases is best at hitting both ends. The market has played out many scripts of double-sided liquidation.
I currently hold 30% of my spot position and am staying put, setting an alarm to watch the interest rate meeting. In this kind of market, not messing around means you've already beaten half the people. It's not too late to act when a big move really happens.#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
The Federal Reserve is very likely to raise interest rates next week, with the market pricing already close to 90%, the first time since July 2023. On the day the CPI was released, the pricing jumped from 69% to 87%. BTC made a sharp spike, surging to 79,301 before dropping to 76,700, and is now slowly declining around 77,600.
The key is not whether to raise rates, but what happens after the hike. Almost no one inside the Fed thinks one hike is enough; the market is already betting on at least three hikes by June next year. After the CPI, Goldman Sachs directly changed its stance from "holding steady" to "expecting a 25 basis point hike," reasoning that with market pricing near 90%, not raising rates would trigger severe volatility—essentially being held hostage by expectations.
Liquidity is also shifting. BTC spot ETFs saw a net outflow of 460 million over four days, with ARKB, GBTC, and IBIT all bleeding; but Ethereum ETFs attracted funds during the same period, with BlackRock's ETHA seeing net inflows for 20 consecutive days. Money hasn't left crypto; it's moving from BTC to ETH, essentially a reprioritization of the "higher for longer" narrative.
I think the rate hike itself won't cause a crash because it's already priced in. What really matters is the statement's wording: implying "this is just the beginning," which would keep risk assets under pressure; a more neutral tone might actually signal the worst is over and trigger a rebound. But don't expect a big bull run; the buying structure is contracting, which is more troublesome than interest rates. Let's first see if 76,000 holds.Sun Yuchen's business acumen is overall very strong, especially outstanding in "monetizing attention, trend capturing, capital operations, and ecosystem expansion," but highly controversial. You can say Brother Sun is cutting you, but you can't say Brother Sun is weak.
The core of his business acumen is not in pure technical originality, but in extreme marketing, storytelling, and cycle judgment:
Publicly, he said he bought BTC around 2013, and around 2016 recommended young people not to buy houses but to buy Bitcoin, Nvidia, Tesla, and Tencent. Nvidia and Tesla have indeed delivered astonishing long-term returns. In recent years, he has shouted "short-term chip shortages, long-term energy shortages, and perpetual storage shortages," and shifted focus to physical AI, embodied intelligence, space, and other directions, with some storage-related targets seeing huge gains.
Spending millions on a lunch with Buffett, paying $6.2 million for a duct tape banana and eating it publicly, space travel, linking with the Trump family projects... these moves turn controversy into global traffic, directly or indirectly boosting the heat of related tokens and projects.
Tron survived and became a main force for USDT transfers, acquired BitTorrent, got involved with HTX and Poloniex, reverse merged to list on Nasdaq, and engaged in DeFi, stablecoins, and AI-related experiments.
Simply put, he is one of the most skilled in the crypto industry at playing "traffic is consensus, consensus is market value," with business acumen reflected in grasping hotspots, narratives, regulatory gray areas, and retail investor psychology, rather than the long-termism of traditional steady entrepreneurs.
$TRX
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 9.13｜Storage stocks have reached a critical point again, can they keep rallying this time?
#财报观察员：Oracle AI cloud revenue up 121%
This week, the storage sector has clearly strengthened again
$MU Micron, $SNDK SanDisk, WDC Western Digital have all seen capital inflows in recent days. Goldman Sachs' latest view is that the summer correction in the storage sector may be nearing its end, institutional positions are currently not high, so there is still room for funds to re-enter
More importantly, the fundamentals
In July, DRAM prices rose about 6%, NAND rose about 9%, and AI data centers continue to drive demand for high-end storage. Micron has surged over 250% this year, and the market's core focus has gradually expanded from "AI chips" to "AI storage"
But the biggest problem now is obvious:
The rise has been too fast
This year, stocks like SanDisk and Micron have already accumulated huge gains. If US Treasury yields continue to rise, or the Fed signals a more hawkish stance next week, highly elastic sectors like storage stocks could see sharp pullbacks
Last week, the US 10-year Treasury yield reached around 4.97%, so I won’t chase the highs in the short term
Current thinking:
The storage thesis is still intact, but valuations are no longer cheap
Pullbacks are more worth watching; be cautious with continuous acceleration
Among them, I’m still more focused on MU for HBM and the late September earnings report, SNDK for NAND prices, and WDC for the storage cycle
In the next phase of the AI rally, storage is likely still the main theme, but now it’s not about whether to dare to chase, but who can wait for a better entry point 7.7万美元拉锯战，多空谁先扛不住？ 截至9月13日下午，BTC 报价在 76,800—78,000美元 区间窄幅震荡，24小时微跌约0.44%—0.76%。但真正让人警觉的是——本周累计跌幅已达3.3%，这是比特币连续上涨四周以来，首次交出周线负收益的成绩单。 连涨四周的势头说断就断，市场到底怎么了？ 📉 宏观面：通胀"反扑"，加息阴云压顶 美国8月核心CPI环比上涨0.3%，直接高于市场预期，CME利率期货数据显示，市场对美联储下次会议加息的押注一度飙升至85%。CoinShares研究主管直言：CPI数据边际偏空，比特币短期上行空间或受限于81,000美元下方。 不过事情没那么简单——美国财政部近期扩大国债回购规模，但长端收益率并未如期回落。如果这一局面持续，反而可能引发市场对美元贬值的担忧，构成中期潜在利多。短期利空、中期暗藏转机，多空博弈进入关键阶段。 💰 资金面：ETF出现罕见"跷跷板" 比价格下跌更值得关注的是资金流向的剧烈分化： - BTC 现货ETF近4个交易日连续净流出，本周合计流出4.63亿美元，四周来首次转为净流出，机构资金态度明显转冷； - $ETH 现货A while ago, my neighbor Lao Zhou came to me
and said his son was studying abroad
and wanted to send some living expenses over.
The bank queues were too troublesome
and the fees were expensive.
I told him not to worry,
I’d try using $XRP to transfer it.
It arrived in just a few minutes.
Lao Zhou’s eyes widened
and he asked if it was reliable.
I said it’s okay to try with small amounts,
but for large sums, use official channels.
Later, I bought a second-hand graphics card myself,
and the seller only accepted $LTC.
I struggled for a while to understand it,
I almost lost it because I copied the address wrong.
Since then, I’ve been very careful,
checking every character three times.
There’s also a netizen who talks about $ADA every day,
saying how it will be this and that in the future.
I just smile and don’t buy it,
because this thing is too volatile.
Popular today, forgotten tomorrow.
Someone in the group sent a link,
saying click it to get an airdrop.
I just deleted it.
Pies don’t fall from the sky,
and if something falls, it’s probably a frisbee.
Now I just remember a few rules:
Don’t click unknown links,
Don’t show screenshots of your holdings,
Don’t store your mnemonic phrase on your phone,
Don’t borrow money from others to play.
Making money is luck.
If you lose, don’t blame fate.
Live your life as you should.
Treat virtual currency as just a topic,
Don’t let it run your life Yesterday, I used "price up + OI down + negative fee rate" to break MINA's short squeeze. Today, monitoring dug to the bottom: MINA is a target of a TG signal network, along with LAB and ETHFI in the same batch.
Tonight, the fourth network goes live, switching the target to ZIL: 1-hour OI +7.9%, price +9.2%, the copywriting is based on real events — the first exchange just completed the EVM migration.
Overnight, four networks and nine old coins rotated.
Easter egg: one of the networks even called a short on ZIL this morning, only to be slapped with a 9% rally afterward.
The narrative can be real, the hype is fabricated, and both can be true at the same time. $MINA $ETH 【Real-time Monitoring】1H has confirmed weakness, and the 15min rebound can only be considered a technical pullback for now; if 2480—2490 is not reclaimed, the bearish structure remains valid. To truly stabilize again, it must stand above 2500. After a real break at the hourly level, it enters an oversold phase.
The price has already dropped below the 1H BOLL lower band, and MA5 < MA10 < MA20, the hourly bearish alignment is quite clear.
The low-level golden cross on 15min can only be understood as an oversold rebound, not a direct bottom signal. The first resistance upward: 2480—2490.
Only after reclaiming the BOLL lower band and MA5 can it be considered the first step to stop the decline.
A truly quality recovery needs to continue holding:
2500—2505 → 2513—2517
If the rebound to 2488/2500 is pushed back down, it still belongs to a weak rebound after the break.
On the downside, watch:
2465: This hour's low
2455—2460: Next support layer
If weaker, look at 2440—2430 #日银年内再加息成焦点
The Bank of Japan is very likely to act next week, raising rates by 25bp, pushing the rate directly to 1.25%, a 31-year high.
This is not just a spectacle for the crypto community. The yen carry trade is one of the fundamental sources of global leveraged funds, borrowing cheap yen to buy US stocks and crypto. This strategy has been played for over a decade. Now the faucet is being tightened.
Last time in January when rates were raised, BTC dropped 3% within a few hours. Earlier, in August 2024, there was a flash crash, the Nikkei circuit breaker triggered, and BTC fell over 30% in a single week. When leveraged funds run, they don’t look at fundamentals; whoever has better liquidity sells first.
Currently, BTC is stuck around 78k, with resistance at 80k above and support at 77k below. If the Bank of Japan really implements the hike, short-term focus is on whether 77k can hold. If it doesn’t, the next support is at 76-75.5k.
No need to panic excessively, but don’t go full leverage to tough it out at this point. Wait for the shoe to drop and see how funding rates move. The market’s biggest fear isn’t the rate hike itself, but not knowing how many more hikes will come. Ueda’s words are more dangerous than the interest rate itself.
#日银年内再加息成焦点 @OKX中文 $BTC $ETH $ZEC Geopolitical events continued to escalate over the weekend, with the Iranian president taking a tough stance, refusing to surrender. The Houthi forces precisely struck Saudi military bases and seized the key Mand Strait stronghold, Perim Island. After attacks on Saudi Arabia's east-west oil pipeline facilities, operations were halted. The geopolitical risk premium has not dissipated, and uncertainties on the crude oil supply side continue to support oil prices, thereby underpinning the cost side of ethylene glycol.
The talks in Oman on Monday were merely an exchange of views; Iran has clearly stated it does not expect to sign a formal navigation agreement immediately. Market expectations for a rapid easing of the situation have been dashed, and the so-called "complete cooling down" is unrealistic. The Fed's rate hike expectations for next week have mostly been priced in by the market and are considered old news, having limited impact on the market.
From the market perspective, oil prices quickly rebounded after the escalation of the conflict. WTI crude oil held above $92, Brent crude approached $97, and ethylene glycol fluctuated following the cost side without a significant drop. Currently, geopolitical struggles remain the core driver of the energy and chemical sector. As long as the conflict does not substantially ease, the downside support for oil prices and ethylene glycol remains clear.
#PPI、CPI公布后，多家机构上调9月加息预期 #BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 With only the final countdown left before the Federal Reserve's September FOMC meeting, the crypto market this weekend shows typical characteristics of "ultra-low volatility shakeout." BTC continues to consolidate narrowly between $59,800 and $61,200, with the overall network funding rate returning to a neutral slight negative, and short positions densely accumulated in the $61,800 - $62,500 range. From Sunday night to early Monday morning, facing the dual liquidity drain of CME futures opening and weekly close, be vigilant against "false breakouts followed by reverse hunting," and firmly execute range boundary arbitrage intraday.