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The CLARITY Act represents the most significant breakthrough in this round of negotiations: the White House has accepted about 80% of the Tillis–Gallego ethics proposal, including state attorneys general enforcement authority and the divestiture or placement into blind trusts of certain major crypto interests.
The market is prone to interpret this as "the bill is basically passed."
However, there remains a procedural hurdle: the cloture motion scheduled for September 15 at 14:15 ET requires 60 votes to advance the bill; it is not the final passage.
Therefore, the more accurate current conclusion is that the ethical deadlock has clearly loosened, but the 60 votes have not yet been factually confirmed.
The next steps depend on only two variables: whether the final text satisfies key swing senators, and whether cloture truly secures 60 votes. Famous trader Killa precisely shorted BTC at $74,688 in mid-April, then reversed to go long during the market crash in June. On X, 200,000 followers track his signals.
On September 14, he said:
"Most macro narratives are just noise." $BTC
In plain language: stop watching the FOMC.
A quant trader who lives by macro rhythms suddenly tells you macro is noise?
First, look at his moves in recent days: $ETH
On September 12, he said the market is repeatedly hunting longs to clear leverage and destroy confidence; the final sweep will mark a local bottom.
On September 14, he outright rejected the logic of macro pricing. $SOL
And as early as August 12, he made a key judgment—the Clarity Act is playing the role of "ETF" in this cycle.
Killa is telling you: on-chain position structure > interest rate path. Regulatory legislation > Fed decisions.
On June 17, he was still warning that the FOMC is a key risk for Bitcoin, citing data that since 2025, BTC fell 7 out of 8 times after FOMC meetings, and gave a bullish structural line at $64,000.
On September 14, he said macro narratives are just noise.
Three months, from watching the FOMC to blacklisting the FOMC.
This is not forgetfulness. This is a narrative shift. #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #Anthropic拟赴纳斯达克IPO #特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近 $FLOCK: net movement in 24 hours -11.87%, but the full range was 35.81%.
The price is currently at 11% of this range. Is this a directional session or does the market actually remain two-sided?What makes these three networks powerful isn’t exactly the same. 🟠 $BTC → Scarcity + monetary confidence Its fixed supply and predictable rules are the foundation. The harder those rules are to alter, the stronger the long-term credibility becomes. 🔵 $ETH → Capital + programmable finance Ethereum gains value as more applications, stablecoins, tokenized assets and liquidity interact across the same settlement layer. 🟣 $SOL → Speed + real-world activity Solana’s edge comes from execution. If trLong-term positions and 100x leverage in the same sentence simply don't make sense.
$BTC built up near 76,000, with take profit set at 90,000, which is a strategy of exchanging a few weeks for space. If you also place 100x orders in the same account, a single reverse fluctuation will wipe out the principal, and the long-term position will be forcibly liquidated before it even moves.
A more likely explanation is that he is using the unrealized profit from the long-term position as a buffer for the leverage. $MINA is still holding despite an unrealized loss of over 3,000, relying on this kind of mental accounting maneuver.
Watch the forced liquidation price and margin ratio. Once the long-term position is dragged into passive reduction by short-term orders, this balance breaks.
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元
#伊朗允许BTC与USDT外贸结算 #ZEC机构资金入场，高位杠杆开始出清 $BTC $MINA $PROS This profit makes me feel anxious, afraid that the market will react tomorrow and blacklist me.🙃
When PROS was showing all green, I added another short position. The reason is simple: the high level has been grinding for too long, with decreasing volume and increasing selling pressure. So when the price rebounded to 0.5571, I continued to short.
Just checked the current price, it has dropped to 0.4824, and this floating profit has reached +268.53%. Honestly, I wasn’t confident when entering, but the candlestick pattern confirmed that I chose a pretty good position this time.🤏
Adjusted my position accordingly: took 70% off immediately, and set a cost protection for the remaining 30%, letting the profit run, so a rebound to the protection level won’t feel bad.
Risk control is done upfront, called being rational; cutting losses later is called decisive. What this trade takes away is skill, what it leaves behind are stories.😐
Chasing shorts at this position now is likely to get caught in a rebound. I’ll call you again when the next structure restarts.
$ETH $BNB I don’t think the crypto market can be understood by staring at a single chart. $BTC can hold steady while $ETH starts gaining momentum. $ETH can outperform while Bitcoin trades sideways. And when traders become more comfortable with risk, $SOL can quickly become the center of attention. ⚡ That’s why I’m watching the relationship between BTC, ETH and SOL rather than focusing on one isolated move. 🟠 $BTC → liquidity + market direction 🔵 $ETH → ecosystem + capital rotation 🟣 $SOL → risk appetit$TRUMP is a political sentiment cash-out machine. $1.94, down 2.87% in 24h, crashed 18% this week, market cap 530 million, ranked 102. My friend held at the peak of 74 and is left with scraps, miserable.
ATL just hit 1.37 on August 13, down 97% from the ATH of 74.27 on January 19, 2025. Issued to rush Trump's inauguration peak, then a zero-bound gradual decline. Up 32% in 30 days but can't withstand long-term heavy losses.
Catalyzing Korea Blockchain Week. Officially confirmed TRUMP's first conference appearance from September 29 to October 1 at Seoul KBW, with Upbit supporting, handing the mic to Asia's most active market. That day it pumped to 2.79, weekly up 68%, but the hype quickly dropped back to 1.94.
America First Challenge gave 1 million TRUMP to each of 10 companies, but finalists must buy TRUMP first; handing out with one hand and locking with the other, heavy marketing flavor.
Risk CLARITY's ethics clause calls out Trump's 1.4 billion crypto income as unrealistic. Memecoin market cap 23.3 billion, up 30.6 billion, fast rotation.
Political Meme events are quick in and out, holding long is like catching a flying knife. When the 10-year US Treasury yield approaches 5%, even if the Federal Reserve does not raise interest rates, the financial environment is already tightening on its own.
Corporate loans, mortgages, and asset valuations do not only reference policy rates; a large amount of long-term financing will be repriced around Treasury yields. With US Treasuries near 5%, it means companies wanting to issue bonds for expansion need to pay higher interest; investors buying stocks will also demand higher returns to compensate for risk.
This is the most conflicted aspect of the current market. Everyone is watching whether the Fed will raise by 25 basis points, but the bond market may have already completed a larger scale tightening on its behalf. The Treasury's expansion of long-term bond repurchases can only make trading smoother; it cannot eliminate energy inflation, fiscal deficits, or new bond supply.
For the crypto market, a near 5% risk-free yield is especially brutal. Funds can just sit in Treasuries to earn interest and will not easily pay for distant stories and high volatility. BTC must prove it offers more than just upside potential, and tech companies must deliver real cash flow.
What truly burdens the market may not be a single rate hike, but the inability to lower long-term funding costs.
#美债收益率逼近5%，回购难缓长期压力 🔥 $BTC / $ETH / $SOL | THREE ECONOMIC ROLES
$BTC behaves like capital.
$ETH behaves like infrastructure.
$SOL behaves like high-speed infrastructure.
Bitcoin is where investors seek monetary exposure.
Ethereum and Solana compete to host more of the activity built on-chain.
Same industry.
Very different economic models. ⚡
#SeptHikeOddsHit90% #BTCSpotETF450MOutflowIf you are referring to the GRASS / Grass Network token: As of the latest data I could get on September 14 at 05:00 UTC (around 13:00 Beijing time) intraday, GRASS is about 0.3166. The day has not closed yet, so the following is an "intraday interpretation," not a daily candlestick conclusion.
Key conclusion:
September 14 is a weak recovery after the sharp break on September 13. The price slightly rebounded from about 0.3126 at the end of September 13 to 0.3166, approximately +1.3%; but it is still about 4.4% lower compared to the close of about 0.3313 on September 12, so it is just a pullback and has not yet confirmed a bottom.
Market details:
- The intraday range on September 14 is about 0.3087–0.3171, with a volatility of about 2.7%; the latest price is near the upper edge of the day's range, indicating support at the low level.
- However, the 0.323–0.328 range above is the broken retest zone near the low point on September 11 and the close on September 12; further up, 0.331–0.333 is the horizontal zone on September 13 and the nearby short-term moving average resistance.
- Key supports: 0.312–0.309, followed by 0.304/0.300; if it breaks below 0.304, it is likely to retest 0.30, or even test the 0.293/0.286 area.
- For a short-term bullish reversal, it must at least recover 0.323–0.328; a more reliable bottoming signal is to stand back above $GRASS Active Trading Radar
$SOL Sell dominance has not yet been accompanied by a significant net price decline: In 3 sets of 5-minute statistics, active buying accounts for 29.6%, active selling accounts for 70.4%, with active selling amount approximately 2.38 times that of active buying; the current 15-minute candlestick dropped 0.02%; active selling amount exceeds active buying by $575,200. The sell bias signal mainly comes from transaction distribution, while the net price change has not shown a clear rise or fall.
$MET Price and active transactions show a weak combination: In 3 sets of 5-minute statistics, active buying accounts for 31.3%, active selling accounts for 68.7%, with active selling amount approximately 2.19 times that of active buying; the current 15-minute candlestick dropped 0.14%; active selling amount exceeds active buying by $4,836.45. The price decline and sell dominance mutually confirm each other, indicating a currently weak performance.
$ZEC Price decline, active buying and selling have not yet shown a clear gap: In 3 sets of 5-minute statistics, active buying accounts for 55.9%, active selling accounts for 44.1%; the current 15-minute candlestick dropped 0.31%; active buying amount exceeds active selling by $1.30M. The price shows a decline, active transactions do not show a clear one-sided bias, and the current weakness is mainly reflected in price performance.The long-awaited cryptocurrency clarity bill CLARITY finally has progress.
After a year of negotiations, Trump is willing to accept over 120 demands from the Democrats in exchange for the bill reaching the Senate voting threshold.
The biggest dispute now is that the Democrats are targeting the crypto business behind the Trump family—they not only want to prohibit officials from issuing new coins in the future but also want to regulate the entire chain behind it, including franchises, family companies, token sales, and stablecoin projects.
Additionally, the Democrats demand that crypto law enforcement on officials and their spouses should not be solely under the Department of Justice: they worry that the DOJ, appointed by Trump himself, will not investigate Trump and his family, so they want local state attorneys general to also take action.
As a result, a bill that was supposed to benefit the industry has turned into a "tightening spell" with extremely strict and broad requirements on officials—including the president, vice president, members of Congress, federal judges, and their spouses—where no one can participate for compensation or endorse any crypto project with vested interests.
But on the flip side: if this standard is truly implemented, the Democrats will have a ready basis for a major crackdown whenever they want.
Especially now, with the midterm elections approaching, both the House and Senate are predicted to be dominated by the Democrats.#OpenAICEO says no IPO in 2026
Altman said it directly
No listing in 2026
The reasons are safety, alignment, and a lot of work to do
Also need to leave room for non-short-term business decisions
Amodei just called to slow down frontier capabilities
Altman publicly takes a stand
On one side OpenAI holds back the IPO
On the other side Anthropic is preparing to go public
Still negotiating Nvidia anchoring
Computing power still requires huge funds
But the leaders are starting to talk about safety and pace
Financing, growth, and safety are intertwined
The thematic sentiment will shake a bit
The main theme in crypto is still inflation and interest rates
So my judgment is
Short-term suppress AI narrative heat
Mid-term watch who delivers safety progress first
Don't short the computing power chain just because of one statement
$BTC #OpenAI #AI$ETH: Long Position
Trading Strategy:
1. Lightly go long on a pullback to 2,500-2,505 (near MA20) with a stop loss below 2,480, targeting 2,522-2,535.
2. If volume breaks through 2,535, you can chase long on the right side, targeting 2,560.
3. If resistance appears at 2,525-2,535 with shrinking volume, consider a short position with strict stop loss.
Core Basis:
1. Pattern: The 15-minute chart shows a bottom rebound at 2,460.01, forming a V-shaped/W bottom rebound, currently in right-side consolidation.
2. Moving Averages: MA5 and MA10 converge with a golden cross at 2,512, price stabilizes above MA20 (2,505.52), indicating an early stage of a short-term bullish arrangement.
3. Volume: There is volume on the bottom rebound, but volume shrinks near the 24H high (2,522.60), making a direct breakout unlikely; time is needed for space exchange and consolidation.
4. Resistance: 2,520-2,535 is a previous dense trading area with strong selling pressure. If it falls below 2,480, the bullish structure is broken and a defensive stance is needed.
$ZEC $SOL
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#Anthropic拟赴纳斯达克IPO
#特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近 $BTC I've always leaned towards long-term holding, with a target of at least 90,000.
This time I opened a long position around 76,400, and will consider whether to add more based on the overall account funds, potentially leveraging up to 100x.
As for $LAB, I originally set the take profit above 3,000, but I can't quite recall the exact price 😂. The recent drop was so fast that I manually closed the position first. I feel there's still a chance for a rebound, so I immediately opened a small position again, with 20x leverage and about 200 points. I'll add or close positions depending on the market.
When opening a position, what I consider first isn't how much I can earn from this trade, but:
If I'm wrong, what's the maximum I could lose?
Can my other positions withstand this drawdown?
I think through the risks first, then decide the position size.
If the market feeling is bad, I might close the position at around a 100 loss to try to break even; if the market feels favorable, I can tolerate a larger floating loss.
Trading doesn't mean winning every time; the key is to survive first, then wait for the next opportunity.📈 Robinhood Chain Gas fees have fallen, and trading volume is increasing
Robinhood Chain's daily Gas revenue dropped from $5.44 million on September 4 to $943,728 on September 10, a decline of about 82.6%. However, the number of transactions only decreased from 13.98 million to 13.6 million during the same period, and the daily DEX trading volume remained roughly stable between $1.89 billion and $1.87 billion; the seven-day DEX trading volume as of September 10 actually increased by 26.5% compared to the previous week.
This data looks more like congestion and block space price easing rather than users suddenly leaving: the average Gas cost per transaction dropped from $0.43 to $0.077. For users, the most direct change is the reduction in transaction costs; for Robinhood Chain, whether the revenue peak can translate into sustained activity still depends on whether real trading persists in the low-fee environment.
#Robinhood #Trump Accepts New Ethics Rules, CLARITY Vote Approaches
Trump has agreed to the new ethics restrictions, clearing some congressional obstacles. The highly anticipated CLARITY Act is about to face a crucial Senate vote. If passed, the bill will clarify the regulatory responsibilities between the SEC and CFTC, define the classification of assets like BTC and $ETH, and establish a federal regulatory framework for the U.S. crypto industry, which is significant for institutional capital entry.
Personal view: The ethics compromise paves the way for the bill but does not guarantee its passage.
1. The new ethics rules resolve some Democratic senators' concerns, increasing the bill's chances, but the Senate still needs to secure bipartisan votes. Banking groups continue to lobby against it, so uncertainties remain high.
2. The market has already priced in the positive news, so there may be a "buy the rumor, sell the news" effect. Even if it passes smoothly, it does not mean an immediate bull market. Regulatory implementation is a medium- to long-term positive, and it will not directly reverse macro pressures in the short term.
3. The market is currently focused on the FOMC meeting, interest rate hike expectations, and U.S. Treasury yields, which remain the main drivers. Regulatory news mainly affects risk appetite and cannot fully offset macroeconomic negatives.
Do not simply bet on the bill's passage by chasing prices higher. Maintain a phased approach in spot positions and avoid heavy bets on news; strictly control leverage in contracts, as volatility and manipulative spikes will be frequent around the vote.
If the bill is blocked, it will trigger a sentiment pullback; if it passes smoothly, pay close attention to whether ETF funds begin to flow back. Let the data speak, BTC's current position is very critical.
Current price is 77563, resistance above at 78000, about 0.6% away from the current price; support below at 76323, about 1.6% away from the current price. This range-bound fluctuation has lasted for some time and could choose a direction at any moment.
From historical data, BTC's volatility near integer thresholds significantly increases, and 78000 is a battleground for bulls and bears. I have analyzed the past 10 similar situations, and 6 times there was a pullback near the resistance level.
My trading plan: consider reducing or lightly shorting near 78000, target 76323, stop loss set above 78200; if it breaks through and holds above 78000, decisively go long. Every trade must have a stop loss; never hold a losing position.
Recovering from a 200,000 U loss, every step must be steady. Data doesn't lie; the key is whether you can control your hands. $BTC #Coinbase is integrating DeFi into ordinary users' accounts
Coinbase has started to open DeFi Earn to Brazilian users: users deposit USDC in the app, and the funds actually go into the Morpho vault on Base.
This product currently has nearly $500 million in total deposits, with yields once showing as high as 7.4%.
For ordinary users, it just looks like they clicked "earn yield," but underneath, it's running on on-chain lending. The true large-scale adoption of DeFi may be when users don't even feel like they're using DeFi.布油一夜崩穿100美元！通胀火药桶松动了？别急着开香槟 就在所有人被CPI炸懵、9月加息概率飙到90%的时候，原油上演了惊天大反转。 周末布伦特原油直接跌穿100美元大关，日内暴跌超1.9%；纽约原油同步跌破96美元。 此前美伊对峙持续升级，霍尔木兹海峡航运受阻，市场疯狂交易战争风险溢价，油价一路冲向百元关口，是这轮通胀反弹的最大推手。 转折点来了—— 特朗普最新放话：美伊战争大概率在11月中期选举后结束，一旦冲突落幕，能源价格将大幅下行。 消息一出，资金疯狂出逃原油多头，紧绷的通胀情绪瞬间被撕开一道口子。 一桶油的涨跌，凭什么牵动全球所有资产？ 逻辑链条极其直白： 油价上涨 → 能源、物流、工业品成本飙升 → CPI走高 → 美联储被迫加息 → 全球风险资产承压 之前8月CPI反弹，汽油分项贡献了不小涨幅。油价就是通胀背后的隐形推手。 所以这一轮油价回落，相当于把高悬在头顶的通胀炸弹，暂时往下挪了一寸。 正因如此，周五CPI数据明明超预期利空，美股反而走出"靴子落地"式大涨——戴尔科技飙涨超11%，超微电脑涨超7%，高通、英特尔集体走强，贵金属同步收红。 市场已经在提前定价：CORE项目多次失误，刻意绑定BTC叙事，损害比特币的声誉形象 ✅核心解读 1. 刻意编排与比特币的关联，借BTC光环讲故事 CORE前身BTCs，从项目早期就反复渲染和中本聪、比特币算力的深度绑定关系。 技术本质上只是借用比特币矿工委托算力参与共识投票，并不是比特币分叉，代码底层和BTC主网没有关联，也不是中本聪相关项目。 但是宣传层面刻意模糊边界，让大量普通投资者误以为它是比特币官方衍生项目、是BTCFi正统，借用比特币数十年积累的巨大共识与声誉来吸引资金入场。 2. 项目接连出现多次任性的底层漏洞、代币意外溢出 项目上线之后，多次发生协议奖励漏洞、代币无预警提前流通，多次触发交易所暂停充提。一次次事故，不断暴露项目代码和治理的不成熟。 很多普通投资者分不清：CORE ≠ BTC。大量散户因为被“比特币算力”的宣传吸引进场，亏损之后，会把对CORE项目的负面印象，牵连到比特币本身。 3. 对BTC形象声望带来的负面影响 比特币本身底层协议十几年稳定运行，从未出现增发、账本篡改这类致命漏洞，靠长期安全可靠建立起全球范围内的声望。 而CORE不断爆出事故，又一直紧紧捆绑BTC叙FIP-0118 (Solstice) Reshapes the $FIL Economic Model
This is the most important economic model reform since Filecoin went live, directly addressing core pain points:
❌ Abolish Fil+ / DataCap: Cancel the cumbersome DataCap application and review process; new sectors enjoy equal consensus rewards upon launch (some new sectors have QAP increased up to 10x).
✅ Rewards tied to real payments: Introduce Service Orchestrators to allocate part of the block rewards directly to the service layer that brings real paying customers.
🔥 Burn if targets are not met: If on-chain payment volume (Filecoin Pay) fails to reach quarterly goals, tokens originally intended for service rewards will be directly burned. The new selling pressure is reduced by nearly 80%, combined with the burn mechanism, FIL could become net deflationary in the best-case scenario!Slowing down AI is not hitting the brakes, it's shifting gears
Sam Altman said he supports slowing down the development of cutting-edge models.
In the same sentence, he confirmed that OpenAI will not go public in 2026.
His original words were:
Slowing down means prioritizing safety investment over release pace.
The premise of this statement is:
No IPO means no need to report progress in quarterly earnings.
For project developers, who sets the pace is crucial.
Public companies' model iterations must follow earnings reports.
Without going public, you follow your own safety line.
Slowing down does not mean stopping; it means retaining control over release rights.
Whoever owns the schedule has the final say.
#Anthropic拟赴纳斯达克IPO
#OpenAICEO称2026年不会IPO $ETH The account number increased, but I didn't do anything, is this reasonable? When the market was just smashed in the early session, the market was chaotic, $UP rebounded fiercely, but the volume didn't keep up, no one caught it on the way up, so I directly opened a short at 0.4420. High position pressure is still high position pressure, it can't be faked.
Now at 0.3356, +241.17% big profit secured, can treat myself to a good meal. The earlier part was really dragging, but walking out of it feels really good.
Risk control done upfront is called rational; cutting losses after losing is called decisive.
First close 80%, move the remaining 20% stop loss to cost, if it continues to drop let the profit run, don't feel bad if it rebounds back.
Better to miss a limit-up than to catch a flying knife and get your hands full of blood.
Wait for a new structure to appear, now is not the time to rush, chasing shorts is easy to get stopped out, miss it and don't chase.
$ZEC $BTC $LIT is expected to rally after bottoming around 3.6 for several days, driven by the "DEX+CLARITY" anticipation, reflecting a resonance between news and consolidation. Lighter faces Robinhood diversion and revenue burn; it surged to 5.2 on September 9, pulled back to 4.30 on the 11th, then bounced back to 4.83. The news flow is sufficient but prone to shakeouts. I went long at 3.6669 with 50x leverage, currently at 4.5561, floating profit +1212.46%. Reviewing the chart confirms three stages: "consolidation with shrinking volume — news-driven volume expansion — pullback without breaking support." Next, watch 4.6 for news sustainability; a breakout target is 5.0—5.2. If positive news is fully priced in and 4.45 breaks down, take partial profits and exit. For high-leverage news trades, avoid stubbornness; lock in profits first, then follow up. $BTC $ETH #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ Nvidia's revenue scale has expanded rapidly over the past two years, but at the same time, its customer base has quietly narrowed. On September 13, according to The Information, in the first half of the fiscal year ending in July this year, three Nvidia customers each contributed over 10% of total revenue, with the three together accounting for 44%. In the previous fiscal year, this figure was 36% from two customers. Looking further back to FY2023, none of Nvidia's customers accounted for 10%. Behind this change is the explosive growth of NVIDIA's data center business—revenue soared from about $15 billion in FY2023 to $193.7 billion in the previous fiscal year, and is expected to double again this year. The larger the business, the deeper the dependence on top customers. Who are the three major clients? NVIDIA did not name these three customers in its public documents, but analysis by The Information suggests that they may include Dell or Hon Hai Technology—both of which integrate NVIDIA chips into servers and resell them to other companies. Dell recently disclosed that its "AI-optimized servers" revenue doubled year-on-year to $16.4 billion year-on-year in the second quarter, driving overall revenue growth by 58%; Hon Hai's first-half revenue also grew 35% year-on-year, mainly driven by AI equipment sales. On the other hand, Nvidia CFO Colette Kress stated in February this year that the top five cloud providers and "hyperscale computing" customers$VVV No operation, no analysis, just relying on luck, I even feel embarrassed to share this record.😇
Actually, the position was set up in advance. When VVV was just dumped in the early session, the selling pressure above was very strong, and the bulls tried for a long time but couldn't break 26.656. Seeing the volume couldn't keep up, I immediately placed a short order and then went to have breakfast.
When I came back, the current price had dropped directly to 22.641, and my account showed a floating profit of +301.77%. Only then did I understand that those who watch the market but move little often end up the happiest.
I closed 70% of the position first, safely pocketing the profit; for the remaining 30%, I moved the stop loss close to the cost price, letting it snowball if it dropped further, so at worst I would just earn less.🧊
The market punishes all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they are the smartest. Being out of the market is not a sin; opening random positions is the mistake. If you don't open, at least you won't be wrong.
Don't chase the dump at this position. If you really want to short again, wait for the next rebound to end; I'll give a heads-up in advance.
$SOL $ZEC 【 $BTC Four-Year Cycle Total Engraving Series 65】
2015 Bear Bottom: This indicator took 113 days from touching zero to the bull market recovery peak
2019 Bear Bottom: This indicator took 139 days from touching zero to the bull market recovery peak
2022 Bear Bottom: This indicator took 103 days from touching zero to the secondary bull market recovery peak
2026 Bear Bottom: This indicator has been 27 days since touching zero
┌── 🐼 On-Chain Data Details ──┐
The indicator at the bottom of the chart is the realized profit and loss ratio momentum of Bitcoin short-term holders on-chain
This indicator compares the “realized profit and loss ratio of short-term holders” with its “1-year moving average” to measure the "acceleration (momentum)" of short-term capital profit and loss changes, helping to identify turning points in macro market trends
When this indicator surges sharply, it means short-term investors are taking profits at a speed far exceeding the average level of the past year. This usually occurs during rapid market price rallies or bull market frenzy phases, reflecting a large amount of recently accumulated profit chips accelerating distribution and realization #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #Anthropic拟赴纳斯达克IPO #特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近 $OL Initially planned to sell and end it, but it reversed on its own and returned the gains.
During the intraday bottom consolidation, OL was sideways at the bottom, buying pressure strengthened, I indicated that as long as support wasn't broken, there was a chance. Entered lightly and early, don't get overexcited.
From 0.005550 surged to 0.005823, long position +50.09%, feeling good brothers. Timing the rhythm right feels really great.
Panic comes from lack of planning, losses come from overthinking. The premise of compounding is survival; shortcuts to getting rich often lead to zero.
Take the big profits into the pocket first, take profit on 70%, keep the remaining 30% at cost price for protection, let profits run, don't let pullbacks turn gains into discomfort. Take profits when it's time. Now is not the time to rush, wait for a more comfortable position in the next round. The market is not short of opportunities, it lacks patience.
$XRP $SNDK #US Treasury yields near 5%, repo fails to ease long-term pressure
The global asset pricing anchor alarm keeps ringing: the US 10-year Treasury yield is once again approaching the psychological 5% threshold! Despite the US Treasury launching a repo operation three times the usual scale for long-term bonds, the massive buying volume still struggles to stem the flood of US Treasury sell-offs amid a 90% probability of a rate hike.
Behind the failure of repo support lie three major deep macro dilemmas:
The deficit surge overwhelms buying support: The expanding fiscal deficit forces continuous US Treasury issuance, making a mere tens of billions in repo operations a drop in the ocean against the massive supply, with oversupply hard to reverse.
Inflation baseline rise demands higher premiums: The energy rebound heats up sticky inflation expectations, prompting long-term bond investors to demand higher premiums to compensate for the risk of future purchasing power being continuously diluted.
The indiscriminate hammer at the 5% critical point: If the 10-year US Treasury yield stabilizes at 5%, global risk asset cash flow discount models will be passively restructured, and risk-free high yields will continue to drain liquidity from growth stocks and the crypto market.
Do you think the 10-year US Treasury yield breaking 5% is a done deal, or will bulls mount a defense before next week's FOMC?
$TLT $SPX $BTC #USTreasury #USTreasuryYields #Inflation #FiscalDeficit #MacroeconomicsGold is expected to have a soft landing this week
Last Friday's sharp reversal must have left a deep impression on everyone
Even though the core CPI rose in August, the expectation for a rate hike in September surged
Gold briefly plunged but quickly rebounded, performing a rapid roller coaster ride
Due to the persistently high long-term US Treasury yields and central banks' gold reserves surpassing US Treasuries
The room for gold to pull back is very limited, unless the US Treasury credit crisis is resolved
Next, it depends on what the Federal Reserve's rate decision in September says, as well as the market's expectations for subsequent continuous actions (either consecutive rate hikes or maintaining rates unchanged)
On Monday, first watch 4310 as support (close to northbound), then see 4370 as resistance The selling pressure on small-cap tokens often appears before the price does, and a weak rebound is a typical characteristic.
$AEON's trading volume has been continuously shrinking before the breakdown. I shorted at 0.05841 following the trend.
A 20x leverage magnified the 17.2% drop into a +345.48% unrealized profit. Current price is 0.04832.
The 0.048 level below is an important support. If it breaks, look towards 0.04; if volume shrinks and it stabilizes, bears should beware of a violent rebound and are advised to tighten stop losses. $ZEC $SOL #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ 先声明：我目前没有黄金持仓。不是看空，也不是看多，就是空仓。这篇文章只是记录我看到的一件事。 9 月 11 日晚上 20:30，美国 8 月 CPI 出来了。 核心 CPI 环比 +0.3%，市场预期 +0.2%，超预期 0.1 个百分点。就这么一个数字，把下周加息概率从 67% 直接推到 85%～90%。按教科书，黄金该跌。 但它没跌。 当晚黄金先砸穿 4300，最低应该到过 4290 附近，然后两个小时之内拉回来，最高摸到 4398，逆势涨了 1.2% 左右。 这让我停下来想了一件事：当市场不按教科书走的时候，背后的逻辑往往比"跌"本身重要得多。 先对账。 这次 CPI 整体不算太坏。整体 CPI 同比 3.4% 持平预期，环比 +0.4% 也持平。但核心 CPI 环比 +0.3%，比预期高了 0.1%，这个数字直接让市场对 9 月加息的预期起飞。 加息预期飙升，金价逆势反弹。说明什么？ 我看到的不是"黄金不怕加息"。我看到的是：有资金把这次下跌当成买入机会，而不是把加息当成卖出理由。 这种买盘通常不是追趋势的散户。散户看到 CPI 超预期、加息概率冲 90%，第一反应是跑。能把黄Please call me the prophet, thank you!
Just said it yesterday morning, and it dropped that night.
Now the market shows a classic W pattern, but I have to tell you, this is obviously a bull trap!
Why do I say this W is fake?
Look at the candlesticks, $ETH dropped from 2667 to 2461, now it’s rebounding back to 2513.
A classic double bottom, right?
Retail investors seeing this pattern will definitely think "It's stable, a reversal is coming."
But look at the volume, the volume bar on the right side rebound is much smaller than the volume during the big drop on the left side.
A W bottom without real money entering is just a trap drawn by the smart money for retail investors.
Look at the moving averages: EMA5, 10, 20, 30, 60, 120 — six lines tangled tightly between 2500 and 2513.
The price at 2513 is being heavily suppressed by a cluster of moving averages above.
Is this a reversal? No, it can’t even lift its head.
Don’t think this is just technical; behind this is the smart money playing a big game.
The Federal Reserve meeting is coming soon, and big money definitely won’t start a real trend at this critical moment.
But the manipulators are using this macro vacuum period to repeatedly draw fake doors and lure bulls back and forth, deliberately creating the illusion that "it can’t fall further."
Why do they do this?
Because only by tricking retail investors into chasing highs and boarding the bullish train repeatedly can they pile up enough fuel.
When the Fed’s decision finally lands, the smart money will have enough chips to smash the market down and enough room to execute a perfect harvest.
Every bullish candle now is a pre-set trap.
Don’t try to bottom-fish at this position, don’t rush in just because you see a W bottom.
The smart money puts so much effort into drawing a double bottom just to trick you into entering, so they can unload the unsold high-position inventory onto you.
Once it breaks below the key neckline at 2461, the path down is clear.
Hold your short positions firmly, don’t be fooled by this fake W into exiting early. First watch for a break below 2461, then below 2400, and the waterfall will naturally come!
$BTC
$ZEC
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ On September 14, FIL's spot price reached around 0.9628. Based on the current candlestick structure, after a rapid earlier rally, FIL has entered a high-volatility consolidation phase. Although there is short-term pressure to realize profits, the price has not shown a clear continuous breakout during the pullback, and the support near 0.95 is worth paying close attention. Today's core idea is not to chase the rally, but to observe whether the 0.96 level can hold steady. If bulls can increase volume again, there is still a short-term opportunity to test further upwards. One-hour chart: Short-term oscillation and recovery; bulls need to regain control. From the one-hour perspective, after rapid fluctuations, the price gradually enters a consolidation phase, and the short-term moving averages begin to converge, indicating that bears' releasing strength has weakened. The 0.95 area is currently an important short-term defense zone. As long as the price quickly recovers above 0.96 after a pullback, and trading volume expands in tandem, the short-term structure is expected to strengthen again. The upper level should first focus on resistance near 0.97; after a breakout, look to the 0.98 level. Four-hour line: The upward structure still exists, but the area has entered a key confirmation zone. More noteworthy at the four-hour level is the trend inertia formed during the previous rally. Although the price has pulled back from highs, the overall price is still in a recovery phase after the previous rally. Considering the moving averages and candlestick alignment, this is not a typical one-sided trend decline but closer to a turnover at high levels after an uptrend. As long as no effective breakout occurs in the 0.94–0.95 area, bulls still have the foundation to rally again. If subsequent volume increases and breaks through 0.98, there is a chance for further breakthroughs in the short termThe entire crypto market this week is holding its breath for the September FOMC announcement, like waiting for lottery results. #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
Recently, August's PPI and CPI both exceeded expectations, oil prices and US Treasury yields remain high and sideways, and the market sentiment shifted suddenly — previously everyone was unanimously saying "no rate hike," but then institutions like Goldman Sachs collectively changed their tune, starting to bet on a 25 basis point rate hike. Now the market has been stuck sideways for several days, just waiting for the early morning result to set the direction.
Interestingly, while the data calls for a rate hike, the political side is undermining it. Trump jumped out saying the US should have the lowest global interest rates, and the White House economic advisor also stated there's no reason to raise rates. Both sides are talking past each other, adding another layer of fog to an already unclear situation.
As for me, I unloaded leverage early. Betting heavily on direction is something I wouldn’t dare to do after the Fed abandoned forward guidance. The last time PPI exceeded expectations and the market plunged is still fresh in my mind. If we get a "no hike but hawkish talk" or a "hike but hint it's the last one," either scenario could bury those betting on a single direction.
Moreover, the FOMC is no longer just about whether to hike that 25 basis points. If they do hike, the market might actually rally on a "bad news priced in" bounce; if they hold steady, the initial surge is likely to be quickly sold off. What really influences the big market moves in the coming months is how the Fed explains inflation pressures and the future path of interest rates — that’s the key to the market’s direction for several months.
This is also a lesson from experienced traders:
1. Don’t bet your whole stake before major events; watching with a light position is safest. You might think you’ve nailed the data, but politics always adds more variables than you expect.
2. Buying the expectation and selling the fact is ironclad. When everyone thinks a hike is coming, the actual hike might not cause a drop; if no hike happens, don’t hold on after the initial rise.
3. Don’t just focus on the rate number. The wording of the decision and the rhetoric in the press conference are the real market drivers. Many only watch if there’s a hike or not, then get caught off guard by subsequent comments.
$BTC The probability of a rate hike is 86.5%. The CME data is right there.
But Killa posted a tweet today — he doesn't even look at the FOMC.
This person shorted BTC at $74,688 in mid-April, switched to long on June 5 when the market broadly fell, and accurately predicted the peak of this bull market in May 2025.
He condensed his trading framework into three sentences.
First sentence: Don't use news to predict direction.
Killa's original words — most macro narratives are just noise.
"The market doesn't move because most people understand it. Most people understand it because the market has already moved."
Translation: Those who wait to act until the FOMC results come out have already missed the price move. The number you see is the institution's answer, not your opportunity.
Second sentence: Sweeping lows is a preparatory move to reward the bulls.
Killa's judgment on September 12 — BTC repeatedly hunts long positions below previous lows to clear leverage and destroy bullish confidence.
After continuous sweeping lows, the final sweep will mark a local bottom.
If BTC sweeps lows again after the FOMC, it's not a bear market coming. It might be the last shakeout.
Wash out those who can't hold, then rise.
Third sentence: The real catalyst has changed.
Killa shifted the narrative weight from the FOMC to the Clarity Act.
On September 15, the Senate procedural vote requires 60 votes; Republicans have only 53 seats, so Democratic support is key.
Interest rates determine short-term volatility. Legislation determines the long-term ceiling.
The logic behind these three sentences is the same:
The bottom may have arrived, but there are traps on the way. The real signals are not in interest rates but in position structure and legislative progress.
FOMC is noise. The Clarity Act is the signal.
Sweeping lows is the last dip. Legislation is the long-term ceiling.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ Famous trader Killa precisely shorted BTC at $74,688 in mid-April, then went long when the market crashed in June. On X, 200,000 followers track his signals.
On September 14, he said one thing:
"Most macro narratives are just noise."
In plain language: stop watching the FOMC.
Think about it—a quant trader who lives by macro rhythms suddenly tells you macro is noise?
It’s not that he changed. He saw something bigger.
On September 12, he said the market is repeatedly hunting longs to clear leverage and destroy confidence; the final sweep will mark a local bottom.
On September 14, he outright rejected the logic of macro pricing.
As early as August 12, he made a key judgment—the Clarity Act is playing the role that "ETF" did in the last cycle.
In the last bull market, Bitcoin began recovering from lows during ETF rumors, and by the time of official approval, the price had already completed the main upward wave.
What is Killa telling you?
On-chain position structure > interest rate path. Regulatory legislation > Federal Reserve decisions.
His analytical framework has switched engines:
June 17—he was still warning that FOMC was a key risk for Bitcoin, citing data that since 2025, BTC fell 7 out of 8 times after FOMC, and gave a bullish structure line at $64,000.
September 14—he says macro narratives are just noise.
Three months—from watching FOMC to blacklisting FOMC.
This isn’t forgetfulness. It’s a narrative shift.
So why does the Clarity Act deserve this weight?
September 15, Senate procedural vote. Needs 60 votes.
Republicans hold 53 seats, meaning at least 7 Democrats must defect to advance. Kalshi’s prediction market gives a 25% chance of passage, down from 82% in February.
Galaxy Digital’s Novogratz says the bill "is not dead," and weekend negotiations continue.
White House digital asset advisor Patrick Witt says: "Today is not the day to be a Clarity Act pessimist."
Senator Lummis dropped a hard line: if this bill fails, the next legislative window might not open until after 2030.
Note this timeline.
FOMC affects liquidity over the next three months. The Clarity Act affects the capital entry threshold for the next three years.
One decides your position next quarter; the other decides the industry’s ceiling for the next decade.
Killa isn’t ignoring macro. He’s done the math: three months vs. three years, which is worth betting on.
The bill’s content itself tells the story.
The latest version is about 630 pages, incorporating over 100 amendments. Core framework: digital assets are explicitly classified as "digital commodities," regulated by the CFTC, clearing structural obstacles for institutional allocation.
The phrase "digital commodities" is the real pricing anchor.
It means Bitcoin is legally recognized as a commodity, not a security. Once the compliance channel for institutional funds opens, the reduction in capital thresholds and compliance costs will be structural, not cyclical.
SEC Chair Atkins has expressed support, calling it "the most historic step to date." The SEC and CFTC are even synchronizing crypto asset classification outside of legislation.
The executive branch is paving the way, the legislative branch is sprinting, and traders are changing anchors.
So Killa’s narrative shift isn’t personal preference; it’s a signal:
When the smartest traders shift attention from the FOMC to Senate votes, it means pricing power in crypto markets is shifting.
From the cyclical pulse of monetary policy to the structural reshaping of regulatory frameworks.
Interest rates are tides—they rise and fall. Regulations are riverbeds—once changed, they don’t revert.
$BTC $ETH $FIL #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ Going all in short on $FIL!!
Dog whales, don't you like to pump?
Why aren't you pumping anymore? Come on! Keep pumping!!
My position is right here.
If you have the guts, blow me up directly!
Yesterday I saw it surge from around 0.8 all the way up.
I thought this thing was really going to break through the ceiling in one go.
No turning back at 0.90.
No stopping at 0.95.
The highest it went was 1.0336.
When that big bullish candle appeared,
almost everyone in the market was chasing longs.
Everyone thought
once it stood above 1 dollar,
there would be more to come.
But what happened?
Now it has dropped back to around 0.963.
I entered this short position
around 1.0117,
with 50x leverage.
As soon as the price dropped,
the return rate shot up to around 240%.
Although the position size isn't big,
I really like this rhythm.
The key point isn't how much I make,
but that it finally can't pump anymore.
The most annoying part before
was that every time you thought it had risen enough,
it could still pump one more leg.
But now it's different.
After hitting the 1.03 high,
it's obvious someone started dumping above.
It didn't even hold 1 dollar.
Now it has even fallen below 0.98 again.
With this kind of movement, I just want to see
how long you can hold on.
Next, I'll watch 0.95 first.
If it continues to leak down here,
it will likely test around 0.92 again.
If it can't even hold 0.90,
those who chased the big bullish candle earlier
probably won't be able to hold on.
Of course,
I won't think I'm invincible just because it goes my way now.
$FIL, a coin that just had a volume explosion and a violent pump,
can easily be slammed back by a retracement.
If it really stands back above 1 dollar
and then takes down 1.03 again,
I will reassess.
Shorting can be aggressive,
but not foolish.
Looking at $ETH again,
it's around 2514 now.
After that big wick at 2667 earlier,
it has been fluctuating between 2460 and 2540 recently.
I'm not interested in chasing this market for now.
It hasn't fully broken through above,
and there's always someone buying below.
Whoever gets anxious first is likely to get hit.
$ZEC bounced back today,
rising from around 1040 back to 1138,
up more than 7 points in a day.
But the previous high at 1299 is still there.
At most, I can say the rebound is strong.
If it really wants to turn strong again,
I want to see if it can reclaim the 1150 to 1200 range.
So right now, my focus is still on $FIL.
Dog whales,
you were pumping happily yesterday,
you even let me touch 1.03.
Why not continue today?
Come on,
keep pumping.
Better yet, get it back above 1 dollar.
My short position is right here.
Either lift me out,
or I'll wait for you to slowly give back that big bullish candle from yesterday!
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 $CORE: What does a daily release of 0.01% really mean?
Many people see the circulating supply continuously increasing and their first reaction is:
“CORE will keep releasing, won’t there always be selling pressure?”
But let’s look at it from another angle.
If we calculate using a simple math model of increasing by 0.01 percentage points daily:
• Daily release ≈ 210,000 CORE
• Annual release ≈ 76.65 million CORE
• Maintaining this fixed rate, theoretically it will take about 6.5 years to complete the remaining release
So what really matters is not “how much CORE is left unreleased.”
But rather:
Can the growth in ecological demand absorb the speed of new supply?
If in the future BTCFi, staking, DeFi, CoreBTC, and other ecosystems continue to expand, and the actual usage demand for CORE grows faster than the new supply, then the release itself may not be the biggest bearish factor.
Conversely, if supply keeps increasing but on-chain demand, TVL, users, and capital do not grow in sync, then even a daily 0.01% release will accumulate pressure over the long term.
So when looking at CORE, I pay more attention to three indicators:
① Speed of circulating supply growth
② Speed of ecological demand growth
③ Market’s ability to absorb new supply
The true long-term value is not about “whether there is a release.”
But:
Whether the released CORE has more and more places that need it.
The long-term logic of CORE ultimately comes down to one sentence:
Supply is fixed; demand determines value. Coverage: Gold · Crude Oil · AI Storage Chips (SK Hynix / Micron / SanDisk / Samsung / Changxin Memory) · AI Industry · Crypto Market (BTC / ETH) | Macro: US Treasury Yields, US Dollar Index, Federal Reserve Rate Hike Probability Explanation: Prices are based on the most recent closed Eastern US trading day, i.e., Eastern US closing on Friday, September 11 = 04:00 Beijing time, September 12; News and Asia-Pacific market updates are up to 10:30 Beijing time on September 14. I. Core Points (5 points) · 1. Oil Price Second Ignite: On Monday, Brent rose over 3% intraday to return above $107, WTI returned above $102. The reason is that the Saudi East-West oil pipeline (7 million barrels per day) was preemptively shut down due to drone attacks, and traders estimate that about 4% of global oil supply is at risk. Simply put, the only export channel in the Middle East that can "bypass Hormuz" has been cut off, making already tight supply even tighter. 2. AI chips hit by "narrative killing": On Monday, Asia-Pacific KOSPI fell over 3%, SK Hynix fell more than 5%, Samsung Electronics fell 3.6%, and TSMC dropped 1.24%. The trigger was Anthropic CEO Amodei's long article on September 12 titled "We Must Put the Brakes on Cutting-Edge Technology," which OpenAI's Altman and xAI's Musk collectively endorsed within hours🔥 $BTC /$ETH /$SOL |THREE DIFFERENT FORMS OF VALUE
$BTC monetizes trust in scarcity.
$ETH monetizes demand for programmable blockspace.
$SOL monetizes demand for high-speed execution.
That’s the deeper difference.
Bitcoin is strongest when people want a monetary asset.
Ethereum is strongest when people want to build.
Solana is strongest when people want to transact at scale.
Three networks. Three economic models. One evolving digital economy. ⚡🧠
#SeptHikeOddsHit90% #BTCSpotETF450MOutflowAfter a prolonged sideways movement, $AEON chose a violent downward breakout following a failed bottoming attempt.
I shorted at 0.05841 with 20x leverage; the current price is 0.04832, yielding an unrealized profit of +345.48%.
It is currently approaching the 0.048 support level. Market volatility may increase around mid-September. If it breaks below, expect 0.04; if it rebounds, it will be an oversold recovery, so decisively exit and wait. $BTC $ETH #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ Last week I said CLARITY's approval rate was only 17%, the wedding wasn't held, but the child's name was already chosen.
This week, the groom pushed the door open himself.
What blocked the entire bill was the ethics clause, "Can officials hold crypto or not."
Trump softened: accepting a bipartisan plan about 80%, officials must either divest crypto asset interests or put them into a blind trust. The Republicans rushed to insert this version into the new text overnight, and Schumer is also gathering key Democrats to discuss their stance.
The 7 votes that were previously missing suddenly have room for negotiation.
What exactly is this bill fight about?
In one sentence: whether a coin is regulated by the SEC or the CFTC. Without clear rules, institutions with money dare not enter. So don't underestimate these 60 votes; they decide not just a bill, but who will be the referee of the US crypto market going forward.
Getting Trump to agree to restrict officials from holding crypto is like having the dealer install surveillance at the table himself. His agreement shows he needs this bill to pass more than anyone.
My judgment last week only changed halfway: the vote on the 15th was just procedural, entering the door doesn't mean passing, there are still debates and final votes ahead, but this time the door really opened a crack.
When it truly lands, altcoins will be much more flexible than Bitcoin; part of the price discount now is due to regulatory uncertainty.
Those who laughed at my 17% last week, this week it's your turn to be nervous.
#特朗普接受新版伦理条款，CLARITY投票临近 $BTC $ETH $ZEC $ZEC ZEC surged then pulled back, don't be misled by the ETF bullish sentiment!
ZEC previously oscillated and climbed from around 1000 to 1297, but after reaching this level, it did not continue to break out with increased volume; instead, it gradually retreated, indicating that selling pressure above is still quite evident. The price is now back near 1053, and the key point is: it has not broken below the previous low.
This shows that there is still capital supporting around 1050, and the lower support has not been truly broken yet.
My view on ZEC now is: the mid-term logic remains intact, but there is no need to blindly go long in the short term just because of the ETF.
Previously, ZEC's price movement was mostly driven by crypto community funds; now, with ETF participation, there is indeed an additional channel for traditional capital to enter, which is a positive factor for the long-term narrative.
But the problem lies here—capital entering does not mean the price will only rise without falling.
The market is currently sensitive to Federal Reserve policies, coupled with inflation pressure from rising oil prices, which tends to suppress risk appetite across the crypto market. ZEC has already experienced a significant rally earlier, so chasing higher now does not offer an attractive risk-reward ratio.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
Therefore, my view is: if the 1050 level holds steady, it indicates ongoing support below, and we can observe the strength of any rebound; if 1050 is effectively broken, don't rush to buy—wait for the next support level.Investing $10,000 in $DOGE in 2013, at the then price of $0.00026, would have bought over 5.7 million coins; if held until today at $0.085, the market value would be close to $500,000. The real aspect worth analyzing in this capital curve is not the price increase itself, but the coupling mechanism between chip distribution and community consensus. $DOGE had no pre-mining, early distribution was relatively decentralized, and tipping, small rewards, and charity formed its circulation scenarios. In 2014, the community raised funds to send the Jamaican bobsled team to the Sochi Winter Olympics, later participating in Kenyan water well projects and racing sponsorships. "Do Only Good Everyday" became a long-term adhesive. My understanding is that price is just the result; what truly supports the bottom is the continuous willingness of people to use it for small payments and public affairs. From a market impact perspective, this kind of low-cost, highly circulating chip structure, once re-priced, easily amplifies the spot buying pressure on the order book and also drives emotional linkage in the meme sector. But the risks are equally clear: although early low-price chips are dispersed, if long-term holders cash out in concentration, liquidity support may be insufficient; the meme attribute also makes its valuation more dependent on sentiment rather than cash flow. Observationally, attention can be paid to whether real uses like tipping and charity continue, as well as the outflow rhythm of large addresses. Please assess volatility and position size on your own. 很多人有个误区：以为盯盘越久，赚得越多。
真相是：盯盘越久，亏得越快。 为什么？因为人是有弱点的。
你盯着每一根1分钟-15分钟K线的跳动，你的贪婪和恐惧就会被无限放大。稍微一拉升，怕踏空；稍微一回撤，怕套牢。最后就是频繁交易，被手续费和摩擦成本耗死。 🔑 交易小问的破局建议： 1. 大周期定方向：过滤掉90%的噪音。 2. 提前设好止损止盈：让机器替你执行，别考验人性。更不要靠感觉！ 3. 关掉软件去生活：该喝茶喝茶，该睡觉睡觉。 记住：你的利润，不是盯盘盯出来的，是“等”出来的。#美联储三票主张加息，今晚PCE成新看点 $LSK Demon Coin Bureau: After a 775% surge in 24 hours, who is harvesting?
LSK staged a textbook case of a "long and short double kill."
A 775% surge within 24 hours, reaching a high of 2.37U, with liquidations totaling $34.54 million topping the entire network — among them, short positions worth $31.28 million were forcibly liquidated. Market sentiment instantly ignited, and buyers rushed in chasing the rally.
However, the script took a sharp turn:
The project team launched the first wave of sell-offs, dropping from 2U straight down to 1U, leaving the bulls stunned; then related addresses deposited 3.29 million LSK (about $3.79 million) into Binance, ammunition ready; when the price rebounded to 1.22U, the second wave of sell-offs came mercilessly, pushing the price directly down to 0.7U.
Those chasing the highs, bottom fishing, and shorting—all were trapped in the same pit.
This is not a market move, it’s a harvest. First, blow up the shorts, then silently kill the bulls. The project team holds the chips and address movements, with timing as precise as a scripted play. Behind the $34.54 million liquidation is the blood and tears of countless retail investors.
The Demon Coin Bureau never lacks stories, but it lacks people who remember the lessons. Next time a 775% surge appears, ask yourself: Who is carrying your sedan chair in this rally? And who is waiting for you to take the bag?$ETH's recent trend has maintained a high correlation with $BTC, with the price retreating to around 2480. When the overall market is under pressure, capital also tends to stay on the sidelines; on-chain activity has neither shown clear support nor significant deterioration. In the short term, ETH is still dominated by the market sentiment, and independent price movements are not obvious.
Personally, I still consider ETH as part of a medium- to long-term allocation, and short-term price fluctuations are mostly normal volatility. Changes in relative strength are more worth watching than absolute price — if ETH can show stronger resilience when BTC stabilizes, or if its decline during pullbacks is significantly less than BTC's, it may indicate a shift in capital preference. Conversely, if it moves in sync or even weaker, it suggests that risk appetite is still contracting overall.
In terms of operations, I avoid frequent in-and-out trades during pullbacks. Position management is more important than chasing rises or cutting losses, especially in phases where the direction is not very clear. Patience and waiting for clearer signals is my current preferred approach. The fundamental logic of ETH (ecosystem, applications, staking, etc.) has not changed due to short-term price fluctuations, but market pricing is often more influenced by sentiment and liquidity.
In the current environment, I pay more attention to its correlation with BTC and whether any divergence appears. If a clear divergence occurs, it may provide some trading clues; if highly synchronized, it indicates the overall market is still the dominant factor. In either case, position control and risk awareness are more critical than directional judgment. Maintaining discipline is key to going further amid volatility. #以太坊草案EIP-8363引争议 #星球日报