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Non-farm payroll data will be released in 40 minutes ⚠️ Whether BTC can restart the bull market depends on this moment 📈
40 minutes to go. The non-farm payroll data for August this year is about to be announced. ⚠️
This set of non-farm data is very likely to trigger a market reversal. Whether a new bull market can start 📈📈 depends on the effect of tonight's non-farm data release.
The expected value for July's non-farm data was 80,000, but when the results were announced, it turned out to be -23,000. The market was directly shocked, seriously suspecting data falsification by the Trump administration, causing a sharp market spike and rapid fluctuations.
The non-farm data to be released today for August is also very dramatic, reaching near the Bitcoin bull-bear dividing line around 82,000. Yesterday, Bitcoin quickly surged through a bullish candlestick to the bull-bear dividing line at 82,200. Now it is staying just below 82,000, waiting for the non-farm data release and a breakthrough of this resistance level. Currently, the bulls are still very strong. If tonight's non-farm data release is bullish for the bulls, then Bitcoin will naturally break through the resistance level quickly and fully open a new bull market. It is very likely that Bitcoin will rise to $100,000 before or around October.
This is the most extreme bull market experienced in four years of trading Bitcoin, and also the shortest bear market. So tonight's data is worth paying attention to. If the release is bullish for the bulls, everyone can quickly follow the market to enter long positions. If it breaks through the previous high after the release, you can immediately chase longs.
ETH support levels updated simultaneously below
2486-2456
If the non-farm release causes a spike but does not break below, then the bulls are confirmed and long positions can be prepared.$AMC USDT
Technical Analysis: Fresh equity perpetual listing showing aggressive distribution. Price is printing consecutive red candles with expanding range. High risk of further downside.
EP: 2.65 – 2.72
TP1: 2.90 | TP2: 3.10
SL: 2.48💎 FROM RECOVERY TO REAL MOMENTUM?
This could become an important chapter for crypto.
$BTC has pushed into multi-month highs while $ETH has reclaimed $2,500, showing that buyers are returning with confidence. If these gains turn into sustained support, the broader market could receive another sentiment boost.
But confirmation matters.
For me, the interesting part isn't simply the rally — it's whether the market can build on it.
#WallerEyesAugCPI #BTCGoldRatioHigh #OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC Waller's few dovish remarks directly dropped the probability of a September rate hike from 63% to just over 50%, causing risk assets to take off on the spot. $BTC surged past $81,000 in one go, rising more than 5% in 24 hours.
The hardest hit in this wave was Zcash, which jumped nearly 15% in one day, leading the pack. Ethereum, Binance Coin, and Dogecoin also saw gains between 4% and 5%.
The three major US stock indexes all rose more than 1%, with the Dow soaring over 600 points. Tech stocks led the charge, with Tesla up more than 5% and SpaceX up over 6%. Cryptocurrency concept stocks were even stronger, with Strategy surging over 17% and Coinbase up more than 10%.
On the A-shares side, AI application concepts collectively strengthened, with Longban Media hitting a 5-day winning streak. Digital currency concepts were also active, with Cuiwei Co. and Chutianlong both hitting daily limit ups. The agricultural sector warmed up against the trend, boosted by confirmation of El Niño formation.
The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong rose 437 points, with AI application stocks leading gains. Meituan rose more than 5%, and both Construction Bank and Bank of China hit new all-time highs. Boya Interactive surged over 11%, riding the Bitcoin wave.
Gold also rallied, with spot gold climbing above $4478. How far this wave can go still depends on upcoming data.$CASHCAT TUSDT
Technical Analysis: Meme-style token under sustained selling. Price is grinding lower with weak recovery attempts. Oversold short-term, but trend remains down.
EP: 0.270 – 0.278
TP1: 0.295 | TP2: 0.315
SL: 0.255Tokenized stock holding addresses doubled to 2 million in a single month, leading public chains and brokerage platforms begin to emerge. According to CryptoRank data, the number of tokenized stock holding addresses across the network rose from about 1 million in August to 2 million, doubling within a month. Among them, holders on Robinhood Chain, BNB Chain, and Solana together account for about 95%, indicating that on-chain stocks are moving from early attempts into a phase of rapid volume growth. On September 4, according to CryptoRank, the number of tokenized stock holders grew from about 1 million to 2 million in August, doubling in a single month. Holders on Robinhood Chain, BNB Chain, and Solana together account for about 95% of all holders, showing a clear concentration of top stocks in the market. Previous data shows that by the end of July, there were about 329,000 wallets holding tokenized stocks on Robinhood Chain alone, accounting for roughly 35% of the market at that time, meaning the growth in August was mainly driven by leading platforms and the public chain ecosystem. Tokenized stocks are tokens issued on public chains of traditional assets such as US stocks, allowing users to gain stock price exposure around the clock with low entry barriers. They are one of the categories with the largest user base and lowest participation threshold in the RWA real-world asset track. The number of addresses doubled in one month, indicating that retail investors' demand for on-chain stocks is rapidly being released, and the integration of traditional finance and the crypto ecosystem has entered a phase of substantial volume. The number of addresses held is an on-chain businessBefore the BTC non-farm payrolls, I only follow this setup
Current price around 81100, 24h high 82285 low 77700
Rallied to 82285 but failed to hold, retraced to around 81 with reduced volume
4H near support 80657 / 80908
Near resistance 81290 / 81305, with 82285 above
Funding rate +0.0032%, longs paying but not heavy
Entry: Light long on pullback to 80800-80900 and stabilization
Or follow if volume breaks and holds 81300, no early bets
Stop loss: below 80500
Target 1: 81800-82000
Target 2: 82285 previous high
Risk-reward ratio 1:2, reduce position to half usual size
Tonight at 20:30 non-farm payrolls will cause sudden volatility expansion
So my judgment is: only take structural longs above 80800, accept breakouts, no holding or averaging down
$BTC $ETH #BTC #strategy🌍 CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE
Bitcoin clears $81,000 as privacy coins lead a broad crypto rally
BTC pushed through the level that capped it in late August, while zcash gained 16% and dash 19%.
Source: CoinDesk: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Crypto News and Price Data • 04 Sep 2026 09:57 UTC
#CryptoNews #OKXOrbitTopicsFast moves can make traders chase green candles, but that’s exactly when risk management becomes more important. $BTC recently pushed above $81K, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recording roughly $731M in net inflows — their strongest single-day inflow since January. Fed Governor Christopher Waller’s softer stance also helped improve risk appetite. But I’m still not chasing. My current structure: 🛡️ Core → $BTC $ETH ⚡ Growth → $SOL $XRP 🎯 Higher Risk → $HYPE $SUI Key zones I’m watching: $BTC → $80$ZEC has broken through the 1000 mark, is 2000 far away? My understanding of this coin is that it is a privacy coin, the cryptocurrency of cryptocurrencies, but wasn't there some news a while ago saying it secretly increased supply in the background? I haven't really paid much attention to it. Does it really have that much potential? I'm not very clear on the underlying logic.
#沃勒：8月通胀决定9月是否加息
#BTC兑黄金比率升至1月以来高位，强势能否延续？
#HOOD收涨创年内新高，链上收入居公链第一 $BTC movement has started
After accumulating capital, BTC decided to move upward.
The probability by the end of the day is to reach the 85000$ mark.
This 🌊 wave will also affect other cryptocurrencies such as $ETH
and $SOL .
The probability of $BTC price birth is extremely low.
But other factors such as macroeconomics
and world news must be taken into account.#WallerEyesAugCPI #BTCGoldRatioHigh #CryptoTreasuryDurability Tonight at 20:30, the US August non-farm payroll data is coming, with sharp fluctuations and both bulls and bears exploding!
Market expectations: 55,000 new jobs, unemployment rate 4.1%.
But Fed's Waller said, "Whether to raise rates in September depends on CPI, non-farm payrolls are not important."
BTC has already surged 5% in advance, clearly taking the lead!
The data is likely to be weak (around 50,000), but BTC has already rebounded early. After the release, it will most likely first dip near 78,500, then rebound above 82,000. ETH will first dip near 2,420, then rebound to 2,530. Overall wide-range volatility, with both bulls and bears exploding.
Then at 9:30, the US stock market opens, and the direction will be sought again.
Tomorrow is the weekend, likely to continue fluctuating, but it may also take advantage of the weekend's low liquidity to make a sharp move!The market is showing strong recovery momentum today. 🚀 ₿ Bitcoin ($BTC ) is back above $80K, with $82K–$83K acting as the key resistance zone. A clean breakout above this area could open the door toward $90K. But if BTC loses $80K again, a pullback toward $75K–$77K remains possible. 🔷 Ethereum ($ETH ) is holding around the $2.5K area. The next important resistance is around $2,535–$2,550. Holding above $2,490 would keep the short-term structure positive. 🔥 My Market View: BTC has improved siScan finds 96,000 fake-address outputs clogging $BTC UTXO
Bitquery reported cheap OP_RETURN repetition and fake-address text imposing extra costs on nodes
#BTCGoldRatioHigh
#WallerEyesAugCPI Tonight's non-farm payrolls set the tone, but what exactly is the market betting on?
Brothers, the current market situation, frankly, is being held up by Waller's remarks. He said whether there will be a rate hike in September depends entirely on August's CPI. Once this statement came out, the probability of a rate hike dropped directly from 70% to 50%, and US stocks surged in response.
But if you think carefully, what can truly shake the expectation of a September rate hike is not tonight's non-farm payrolls, but next Wednesday's CPI. As long as the non-farm payrolls aren't too outrageous, the market can tolerate it. The key is whether the CPI can continue to approach 2%. If inflation picks up again, even Waller can't save it; a September rate hike will be unavoidable.
What is the market trading on now? It's the "soft landing" expectation, betting that inflation will slide down on its own and the Federal Reserve won't need to act further. That's why you see AI concept stocks and tech stocks rallying enthusiastically—they're trading on this logic.
My projection for the path ahead is: most likely, CPI will stabilize or be slightly higher, and the Federal Reserve may indeed hike once in September. Even if they don't hike, long-term bond yields will be pushed up by the market, with the same effect. The biggest fear now is the third scenario—inflation doesn't fall, and the Fed doesn't hike either, then the market will take matters into its own hands, crashing until the Fed admits defeat.
In the short term, protect profits before the CPI release; don't chase highs. Wait for the data to land, then find the direction. $BTC $ETH $ZEC This time, the CFTC directly requested the court to dismiss CME's lawsuit against crypto perpetual futures.
The core of the dispute is actually quite simple:
CME believes that Kalshi's approved Bitcoin perpetual contracts should be classified as Swaps, not traditional futures.
But the CFTC's response is that CME has not proven it suffered any actual competitive harm.
They even said quite directly — it's a bit of an "overreaction."
Because CME itself can also apply to launch similar perpetual products.
On the surface, this lawsuit is a regulatory dispute between CME and the CFTC.
Looking deeper, it's actually traditional futures exchanges starting to face product innovation from new platforms like Kalshi.
Previously, perpetual contracts were basically the domain of crypto exchanges.
Now, Kalshi is bringing this type of product into the regulated U.S. derivatives market.
CME's deadline to respond is currently set for early October.
What’s really worth watching is no longer just who wins this lawsuit.
But how much room the U.S. regulatory system will ultimately leave for "perpetual futures."
$BTC $ETH 🚨 $730M JUST HIT BTC.
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $730.9M in net inflows on Sept. 3.
BlackRock’s IBIT alone pulled in $454M. 💰
This isn’t retail FOMO.
Institutional capital is moving.
BTC is back above $80K — but the real question is:
👉 Are institutions front-running the next breakout?
Bullish or trap? 👇#WallerEyesAugCPI #BTCGoldRatioHigh #OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC $ETH is holding firm after its recent recovery, with price around $2,522 and still well above the MA5, MA10 and MA20. Buyers are now testing the $2,547.10 high, making this the key resistance. The main question is whether ETH can push through with stronger buying pressure. A breakout above $2,547.10 could extend the move toward $2,566.46, while rejection may bring short-term profit-taking. $ETH remains in a constructive position, so the next reaction is worth watching.Why does it feel like the bear market isn't over yet?
┈➤ Let's start with some casual talk
Logically, every bear market should teach us something. From the last one, we learned that altcoins were just a way to cut losses.
But now, looking at it, it's still MEME, the narrative hasn't changed at all? Could it be that we haven't learned anything this round?
┈➤ Now for a serious point
Another serious point to make is that we are currently in a wave of market activity brought on by the midterm elections.
The US Congress is up for re-election: the entire House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate. Although both chambers are up for election, the Treasury, Labor, Commerce, and 15 other cabinet departments haven't changed leadership; Trump is still in charge.
Although the Federal Reserve, SEC, and other committees are officially independent, most officials probably wouldn't want to undermine Trump at this particular time.
The current majority party (Republicans) is working hard to create prosperity and leave voters with a good final impression to win the midterm elections.
However, this prosperity is temporary and not a true reflection of the US economy's health.
Of course, the midterm election campaign might just be getting started:
Maybe new candidates have already begun their efforts, but current representatives will return to their states in late September to focus on election work.
The Treasury's previously proposed accelerated long-term bond purchases will also only begin on September 9.Ahead of the release of US nonfarm payroll data, the crypto market continued its rally for the week on Friday. Bitcoin stayed above $80,800, Ethereum held above the $2,500 mark, and XRP maintained a strong performance after rebounding from key support levels this week. The market is waiting for new macro data to provide short-term clues. Nonfarm payroll data approaching: Nonfarm payroll data will influence market judgments about the Fed's future interest rate path. If employment data is stronger than expected, the market may further bet on high interest rates to persist longer, which typically puts pressure on risk assets like crypto. If employment data is weak, it could ease concerns about the Fed maintaining a hawkish stance, providing additional support for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP. As the data release approaches, traders are preparing for increased volatility caused by rate expectations adjustments. Bitcoin heads for $85,000 Bitcoin has risen more than 4% this week, closing at around $80,856 on Friday. The article mentions that the current price is still significantly above the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day exponential moving averages, indicating that the medium-term uptrend has not yet been broken. The 50-day moving average is around $71,126, the 100-day moving average is about $69,696, and the 200-day moving average is about $72,539. The article considers $85,000 as the next major resistance level for Bitcoin. If the daily chart effectively holds above this level, it may indicate that buying still dominates; If it fails to break through for a long time, the market may shift into consolidation or exit out$SNDK
SanDisk returns to the 1600 level again
The price has reached 1600; round number levels often have a large number of pending orders, making the battle between bulls and bears very intense
The bullish structure is intact but facing a test. The moving average system confirms a bullish alignment. However, the extremely bearish pending orders mean the breakout won't be easy
Tonight, Axun is bearish on the direction
Two scenarios for the evening; first, a pull-up followed by a drop. Second; a direct drop at the open
In the first scenario, consider shorting at 1660 and 1700 respectively
In the second scenario, just randomly enter shorts above the psychological level of 1600
Axun has accurately predicted SanDisk's opening direction for four consecutive nights$HYPE short positions have been completely wiped out! 98% of long positions are in profit, and the $23 million profit pool is ready to trigger a massive stampede at any moment!
Right now, this market is purely the bulls playing against themselves. The bulls hold a heavy position worth $166 million, with a profit ratio as high as 98.52%! There is a floating profit of a full $23.4 million on the books. In contrast, the shorts only have a struggling position of just over $36 million left, almost completely wiped out.
The biggest taboo in trading is "no counterparty." With the shorts all wiped out, what’s the point of the whales pushing the price up further? Raising it only benefits these longs who averaged in at $74, essentially carrying them on their backs. The current $23 million profit pool is a ticking time bomb hanging overhead. As soon as the big players reverse and dump, these profitable longs will run faster than anyone to lock in their gains, instantly becoming the strongest force driving the price down. Without any positions, the current price will open shorts directly and watch it fall back to the $75 cost zone!$DASH DASH is also awesome!
Just yesterday I mentioned ZEC soaring, and Dash was lagging far behind, but today it also appeared at the top of the gainers list, surging 21% in one go, with a market cap of 660 million USD.
However, the 24-hour trading volume is only about 7 million USD, which translates to a turnover rate of 1%, showing low popularity.
DASH is a veteran privacy coin forked from Bitcoin in 2014. Back then, it was popular due to its masternodes and anonymous transactions. It was also a star during the last bull market but later faded away, with few people mentioning its name.
Today, the old privacy coins are collectively rising; the bull market is really here, but I still dare not chase it. Everyone, please be cautious~$FARTCOIN USDT
Strong momentum continuation after +3% push. Holding above key intraday support with solid volume. Bias remains bullish for further upside.
EP: 0.1720 – 0.1760
TP1: 0.1850
TP2: 0.1950
SL: 0.1650Under the volatile market pattern, the rhythm of rises and falls switches quickly, easily disrupting the pace of ordinary traders.
The bottom support of the market has been repeatedly confirmed, the bullish strength is gradually accumulating, and for BTC 🫓 I provided a long reference at 77950, with the current mark price at 81259.6, achieving a +424.52% profit.
The main force completes chip exchange through volatility, selling pressure gradually weakens, incremental funds enter the market pushing prices higher, and trend markets require more patience and perseverance.
#沃勒：8月通胀决定9月是否加息
There is a risk of pullback after a short-term rise; prioritize taking partial profits on positions; keep empty positions and stay on the sidelines, refuse to chase at high levels, and wait for the market to adjust before reassessing participation opportunities. $ZEC $USELESS ETH (Ethereum) Market Update Today
The following does not constitute investment advice
24-Hour Core Data
Current Price: ~2510-2530 USDT, approximately 16,850 CNY
24h Change: +4.3%~+5.4%, rebounding with the broader market
24h Range: Low around $2389, High near $2527
7-Day: Slight gain of about +0.6%-1.3%; 30-Day significant increase, about +35%
24-Hour Trading Volume: Approximately 9.6-16.8 billion USD, market activity rising
Today's Market Review
Today is a broad market-driven rebound:
Overnight, Federal Reserve officials released dovish statements, easing short-term rate hike concerns. US Treasury yields fell, risk asset appetite warmed, BTC first rose above $81,000, leading ETH to rally in tandem.
Intraday, ETH first oscillated higher, peaking at the 2520-2530 resistance zone before slightly retreating. Hourly charts show high-level consolidation with volume increase during the rise, indicating capital inflow.
ETH is strongly correlated with BTC, which is the main market indicator; the overall market capitalization has risen to 2.82 trillion USD, with market sentiment favoring risk.
Short-Term Key Levels (Technical Reference)
Resistance above: $2530-2580, with a breakout targeting around $2650
Support below: $2440, $2390; if it falls below $2390, the rebound structure will weaken Surging to $1025: $ZEC 's real fire is in the ecosystem.
Recently, $ZEC's rally is forming a rare resonance.
On-chain data shows "BTC OG whale" Garrett shorted about 32,760 ZEC at an average price of $444. Now with the price approaching $1025, the unrealized loss is about $19.03 million.
Although his BTC long position has an unrealized profit of $5.38 million, it still cannot cover the loss from the ZEC short.
Such a huge contrarian short position may become fuel for a short squeeze.
$ZEC $LRCX USDT
Steady upward pressure. Trading near session highs with constructive structure. Momentum favors further gains.
EP: 298 – 304
TP1: 315
TP2: 328
SL: 290$BTC slips, but $ETH refuses to follow.
BTC: $77,771 | -0.83% ETH: $2,449 | nearly flat
BTC lost the $77.8K area after rejecting $79.2K, while ETH is showing clear relative strength.
Watch the liquidation map — key support levels could decide the next move.#WallerEyesAugCPI#WallerEyesAugCPI #BTCGoldRatioHigh #OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC $BICO USDT
Solid bounce with increasing volume. Price reclaiming short-term resistance. Bullish bias intact.
EP: 0.0223 – 0.0229
TP1: 0.0240
TP2: 0.0255
SL: 0.0215$BTC has pushed back above $80K, with the latest rally helped by softer Fed expectations and dovish comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller. Now the market is waiting for U.S. NFP data to see whether this momentum can continue. But I’m not chasing the move. My watchlist is structured differently: 🛡️ Core → $BTC $ETH ⚡ Momentum → $SOL $XRP 🎯 Higher Risk → $SUI $SEI The key levels I’m watching: $BTC → $80K–$82K $ETH → $2.4K–$2.5K $SOL → $190–$200 If price holds and builds higher lows, I’ll$PI is holding an important support zone around $0.09–$0.10 after a long consolidation.
the level I’m watching next is $0.20. A clean reclaim could shift the structure and bring $0.30+ into focus.
for now, the setup needs confirmation patience before chasing the move.#沃勒：August inflation determines whether there will be a rate hike in September
$BTC $ETH From leading indicators, ADP small nonfarm payrolls are only 38,000, and multiple employment data such as service sector employment and initial jobless claims have collectively weakened. The signal of cooling employment is very clear. The market has already priced in the expectation of "weaker nonfarm payrolls and the Fed pausing rate hikes." Major coins have already experienced an upward trend before the news. Buying the expectation and selling the fact is the biggest trap tonight.
$ETH This means: even if the nonfarm data is positive, it is easy to see "once the data is released, bulls cash out and prices surge then fall back"; conversely, if nonfarm payrolls significantly exceed expectations, bears will face a definite market correction.
Two or three scenario scripts, with the latest long-short probabilities (updated version)
Scenario 1: Nonfarm < 45,000 (significantly below expectations) | Probability 50%
Conditions: New employment is significantly below the expected threshold of 56,000, unemployment rate ≥ 4.1%, wage growth slows.
Macroeconomic implication: Employment market confirmed to be cooling, September Fed rate hike expectations significantly cool down, theoretically favorable for the crypto market.
Market risk point: Expectations have been priced in advance, very likely to see an initial rally followed by a plunge, meaning positive news is realized and bulls take profits. Do not chase longs just because the data is weak.
Scenario 2: Nonfarm 45,000–70,000 (within expected range, neutral) | Probability 25%
Conditions: Data is close to market expectations, no clear directional signal.
Market trend: Typical wide-range oscillation with two-way spikes to shake out positions. After the news, there will be an initial surge, then a reversal downward, cutting stops on both sides; the market will leave the main suspense for next week's CPI inflation data, with no one-sided big move tonight.
Scenario 3: Nonfarm > 70,000 (employment stronger than expected) | Probability 25%
Conditions: New employment significantly exceeds expectations, labor market resilience surpasses market imagination.
Macroeconomic implication: Market pricing for restarting September rate hikes, strengthening USD and US Treasury yields, risk assets under pressure, cryptocurrencies enter a correction phase.$UNI USDT is gaining momentum at 6.282, currently up 0.62%. The move is smaller, but buyers are still maintaining positive pressure. If UNI breaks higher with stronger volume, momentum could accelerate quickly. Traders are watching for confirmation because the next push may decide whether this move develops into something much bigger.
#BOJHikeOddsRise #BOJHikeOddsRise #LSETokenizesUKStocks U.S. Treasury yields fluctuate at high levels as the market awaits employment data to find the Federal Reserve's next signal
After a week of intense volatility, the U.S. Treasury market has finally calmed down a bit, but investors remain on edge.
On September 4, U.S. Treasury yields were basically stable on Friday, with the 10-year Treasury yield hovering around 4.76%, though it has risen about 5 basis points over the past five trading days.
The market is now focused on one key data point—the employment report.
This data could determine whether the Federal Reserve will continue to maintain high interest rates or start signaling rate cuts.
Looking back at this week, the Treasury market has been on a "roller coaster."
At the beginning of the week, influenced by rising energy prices and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Powell, the 10-year Treasury yield surged to nearly a three-year high.
In simple terms, the market worries that:
Inflation may heat up again, and the pace of Fed rate cuts may slow down.
But by Thursday, Fed Governor Waller sent a different signal, suggesting inflationary pressures might be easing, which boosted bond market sentiment, pushed Treasury prices up, and yields began to fall.
This reflects a problem:
The current Federal Reserve is easier to understand than before but increasingly harder to predict.
Florian Ielpo, Head of Macro at investment firm Lombard Odier, said that uncertainty in monetary policy is becoming a major source of market volatility.
For the crypto market, changes in U.S. Treasury yields have always been an important indicator.Why does the A-share market always open high and then fall to trap investors, even when overseas markets surge?
Today, the A-share market was again disappointing. While overseas markets were thriving, the A-shares surged then crashed, with the three major indices all closing lower. More stocks fell than rose, and trading volume surged past 2 trillion, indicating intense profit-taking.
The only bright spot was the pork and livestock sector, which defied the trend with a wave of limit-up gains due to the combined effects of the El Niño extreme weather forecast and recovering pork prices. The tech and AI sectors were heavily hit, playing out an ironic scene of "pigs eating technology."
The reasons for the plunge are clear:
Nonfarm payroll data is approaching
The US nonfarm payroll data will be released tonight. Whether it overheats or cools down will cause sharp fluctuations in the Fed's rate cut policy. Domestic institutions, lacking a sense of security, chose to preemptively sell off to hedge risks.
Rumors and disturbances
Sudden rumors on foreign websites about Trump's death disturbed market sentiment, coupled with domestic semiconductor short-selling rumors, which precisely hit the already fragile high-tech stocks.
Fragile capital structure
The overseas surge raised opening expectations, which instead created an excellent opportunity for profit-taking and liquidity release by onshore holders.
This trend exposes the market's core problem:
Lack of sustained incremental buying capital, relying purely on stock redistribution and short-term high sell/low buy tactics.
Forecast for the near future
In the short term, the market will maintain a consolidation bottom above 3900 points. After high-tech stocks are squeezed out, the market will seek a new bottom next week.
As long as the nonfarm data does not bring major negative news, the late-session bottom-fishing funds indicate support remains below. In terms of operations, don't rush to blindly bottom-fish; wait for high-level chips to clear and the trend to stabilize before seeking low-entry opportunities.
DYOR$CASHCAT USDT
Solid volume on the dump. Approaching potential demand zone for a quick long scalp.
EP: 0.270 – 0.280
TP1: 0.300
TP2: 0.320
SL: 0.255
$BTC
#WallerEyesAugCPI #LSETokenizesUKStocks #BTCGoldRatioHigh ETH Evening Analysis
Tonight at 20:30, the non-farm payroll data will be released, marking an important short-term macroeconomic event that deserves close attention.
If the non-farm data is favorable to risk assets, ETH could effectively break through 2560, with the first target near 2630; if BTC simultaneously holds above and breaks through 82000, market sentiment will further open up, and ETH is expected to test 2700.
Reverse observation level: If the price effectively falls below 2465, this rebound phase will be declared over, and the market may enter a new round of range consolidation.
Data-driven market volatility is intense; do not bet on direction prematurely. Wait for signal confirmation before considering positioning, and strictly manage position size and stop-loss settings. BSC chain meme coins continue to strengthen: MarsCoin market cap approaches $200 million, Max hits new high of $24 million. On September 4, the BSC chain meme coin market heated up significantly: driven by the launch of Binance spot, MarsCoin's market cap is approaching $200 million, currently quoted at $192 million, with a 24-hour increase of 70%; The meme coin Max, modeled after the Giggle mascot, surpassed $24 million in market cap, hitting a new all-time high, currently at $20.9 million, with a 24-hour increase of 61%. The background to this round of BSC chain meme coin rally is that the Robinhood chain went viral across the internet that day, driving meme speculative sentiment to spread to other public chains, with BSC chain quickly taking over. The core catalyst for MarsCoin's surge came from the listing of Binance spot. The liquidity inflow from leading exchanges is usually the most direct driver for short-term price increases in small and mid-cap tokens. A 70% increase in 24 hours and a market cap of $192 million indicate high capital attention. Another meme coin, Max, modeled after the Giggle mascot and a community token derived from Binance's ecosystem cultural symbol, quickly surpassed $24 million in market cap, hitting a record high with a 61% increase in 24 hours, indicating that the influx of funds driven by community narratives continues. The significance of this trend lies in the fact that BSC, as Binance's core public blockchain, has on-chain meme activity that serves as an important window to observe speculative sentiment and capital risk appetite in the crypto market: when mainstream assets lack direction$UP USDT
Steady decline, now testing support. Short-term bounce likely if it holds.
EP: 0.470 – 0.485
TP1: 0.510
TP2: 0.540
SL: 0.4#WallerEyesAugCPI #OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC #LSETokenizesUKStocks #沃勒：August inflation will determine whether there is a rate hike in September
Non-farm payrolls decide life or death! BTC at the 80,000 mark—is this a real breakout or a fake pump-and-dump?
Whether BTC can firmly hold the 80,000 level this round will basically be decided by tonight's non-farm payroll data.
Currently, the market expects about 56,000 new jobs added in August, a slight recovery compared to July's negative growth.
Reviewing the market, BTC has recently been stuck oscillating around 81,000. Last night's strong rebound has a very clear core logic: Federal Reserve officials released dovish remarks, US Treasury yields fell, market rate hike expectations cooled, directly driving a recovery rally in the crypto space.
But this rise is not a full-scale capital inflow; it is more of a recovery driven by macro sentiment, so the high level heavily depends on tonight's data verification.
The market trend basically falls into three scenarios:
First: Employment data exceeds expectations and is strong.
US Treasury yields rebound, tightening expectations reignite, BTC at 80,000 will face direct pressure, and this rally is most likely a short-term fake breakout.
Second: Employment is mildly weak, consistent with a cooling trend.
Yields continue to decline, macro environment is loose, the 80,000 resistance level is expected to fully convert into support, and this bull run can be considered truly established.
Third: Employment data collapses significantly.
The market will immediately switch to recession panic, risk assets will collectively come under pressure, and the crypto space will instead face a new round of correction; worse data does not mean better for BTC.
So the most perfect BTC movement tonight: steady cooling employment and a soft economic landing.
At 20:30, the non-farm payrolls will be released, and the market will soon distinguish strength from weakness.
Tonight, either ride the trend for big profits or get shaken out in a volatile washout.
Guess what, will my position explode with profit or get shaken out tonight?
⚠️ The above is only my personal market analysis record and does not constitute any investment advice. The crypto market is highly volatile; investing carries risks, enter the market cautiously, and bear your own gains and losses.
$BTC
#BTC兑黄金比率升至1月以来高位，强势能否延续？
#OKX预言家：9月FOMC利率决议预测上线 BTC has reclaimed 80,000, but bulls and bears are already in a heated argument with no consensus expectations.
Jiang Zhuoer directly liquidated at 82,000, reasoning that after only 13 days of consolidation, breaking through 83,000 to 84,000 is unrealistic. He believes the next likely move is a pullback to 70,000 to 72,000. Yi Lihua is a bit more moderate, treating 76,300 as support but also considering 86,000 the real resistance. Meanwhile, a whale is shouting "last chance to get on board, aiming for 100,000."
The capital side is even more divided. On one hand, a mysterious whale sold nearly 170,000 ETH in five days, cashing out over 400 million USD. On the other, Strive still holds up to 1.4 billion in buying power, vowing to keep accumulating BTC. Long-term funds are buying, short-term funds are exiting, and neither side convinces the other.
Regarding ETFs, the US has 174 crypto ETFs, with IBIT alone accounting for 61 billion, nearly 40% of the share. Institutional channels are becoming more mature, but funds are also more concentrated. At the same time, short-term trading is clearly heating up, with daily terminal volume breaking 1 billion, and risk appetite returning.
So now it’s not a simple bull vs. bear battle; long-term buying and short-term profit-taking are happening simultaneously. If BTC can hold volume and stabilize between 83,000 and 86,000, the 100,000 story can continue. If ETF momentum is insufficient, 70,000 to 72,000 will be the next stop. Don’t rush to take sides; let the price speak first.
$BTC $ETH $OKB: After consolidation, what really matters is not how much it rises, but whether it can break out with volume.
Current price is about $111.56, 24H +0.1%. OKB is still consolidating at a high level and has not yet accelerated the trend. The key change is that contract OI is about $28 million, down 1.31% in 24H, while the funding rate is only about +0.008%/8H, indicating the rise is not obviously driven by leveraged long positions, but rather looks like chip digestion.
More importantly, BTC has reclaimed $80,000, macro risk appetite has clearly warmed, and Waller's dovish stance has lowered the September rate hike expectation from about 63% to around 50%, making the overall environment relatively favorable for platform tokens like OKB.
My judgment: slightly bullish, hold for now, do not chase.
$110 is the first support, $105 is strong support; on the upside, first look at $115, after a volume breakout look at $120–125. What really needs caution is a drop below $105, along with continued OI decline and shrinking spot volume, which would indicate this consolidation is distribution and the logic turns directly bearish.Can ETH still increase 333 times?
Nick Tomaino, founder of 1confirmation, made a very bold prediction:
He believes the potential market size of ETH could reach over 100 trillion dollars.
Currently, ETH's market cap is about 300 billion dollars,
which means the theoretical upside is more than 333 times.
Of course, everyone understands how exaggerated this number is.
But what’s truly worth considering is:
In the future, will ETH be just a "public chain token," or will it become a global store of value asset?
If it’s the latter, the current valuation might indeed be just the starting point. 🚨 Is $CORE actually doomed—or is the market overreacting?
While other coins are pumping, $CORE has dropped back to levels we saw last week. So, what’s really going on?
First, don’t panic—your coins haven’t been stolen. The issue is that some parties responsible for validating and maintaining the chain received more rewards than they were supposed to. That resulted in extra $CORE being minted.
#DailyOrbit $APR USDT
Oversold after sharp -18% dump. RSI deeply oversold on lower TFs, high volume capitulation. Watching for bounce.
EP: 0.2150 – 0.2200
TP1: 0.2350
TP2: 0.2550
SL: 0.2050
$BTC
#WallerEyesAugCPI #BTCGoldRatioHigh #OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC $CP USDT
Heavy sell-off, trading near recent lows. Momentum exhausted short-term, possible relief bounce.
EP: 0.0320 – 0.0335
TP1: 0.0365
TP2: 0.0390
SL: 0.0305
$BTC
#WallerEyesAugCPI #BTCGoldRatioHigh #OKXOutcomeLeagueFOMC A very noteworthy phenomenon has emerged: BTC remains oscillating at high levels, but funds are beginning to spread into mainstream ecosystems like ETH, SOL, SUI, OKB, etc. This often indicates the market is entering a new rotation phase. Many people think a bull market means daily surges, but in reality, major rallies often end in shakeouts during consolidation. The main force uses sideways to wear down retail investors' patience, then continues to rally after everyone exits. Next, I will focus on four directions: whether BTC continues to hold high levels will determine overall market sentiment and whether ETH can continue to rise with increased volume Decide whether the altcoin season will fully begin. SUI ecosystem activity continues to rise, on-chain capital inflows are worth watching. OKB's platform ecosystem is continuously developing. If trading activity keeps increasing, platform tokens will still have independent opportunities. The most important thing now is not to predict the top every day, but to manage positions. Hold strong assets patiently, adjust weak assets in time, avoid blindly chasing highs, and don't panic sell just because of a single pullback. I believe the opportunities in this round of market are not over yet. Those who truly make money often position themselves early when market divergences occur, rather than rushing in when everyone is bullish. What do you think? Which one has the best chance to lead the rise next: BTC, ETH, SUI, or OKB? Feel free to discuss in the comments #BTC #ETH #SUI #OKB #SOL #欧意星球 #币圈 #牛市 #加密货币 #山寨季Tonight's non-farm payrolls basically decide whether $BTC can truly hold above 80,000 this time or if it will fake another breakout.
The market expects about 56,000 new jobs added in August, slightly better than July's -23,000. BTC is currently stuck near 81,000. It bounced last night mainly because the Fed sent some dovish signals, US Treasury yields fell, and rate hike expectations cooled down.
So there are three possible scenarios tonight:
Data too hot, yields rise again, 80,000 keeps pressing down, most likely no breakout.
Data moderate or weak, yields continue to fall, BTC then has a chance to turn resistance into support.
But if employment collapses too badly, don’t celebrate too early. The market will start to panic about a recession, and risk assets will be hit as well.
The most comfortable scenario is: employment cools down gradually, the economy doesn’t collapse, and BTC takes advantage to hold steady.
At 20:30 tonight, it’s either a big explosion or big profits. Where do you think my position will go?
⚠️ The above is just my personal market view, not investment advice. Profit and loss are your own responsibility. The crypto market is risky, trade cautiously. #沃勒：8月通胀决定9月是否加息 #HOOD收涨创年内新高，链上收入居公链第一 $ZEC $ARB Yesterday, the expectation of a rate cut decreased, and the entire market was celebrating wildly. So why did gold remain silent and even decline today? Is the correlation between BTC and gold drifting further apart?
First, looking at the price, $XAUT is currently around 4457.9 USDT. Although it has rebounded significantly from around 4280 a few days ago, it is still noticeably below the previous high of 4679.8. Gold's performance today is indeed not as eye-catching as BTC.
#WallerEyesAugCPI