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The foreign crypto scene today is really more dramatic than the market itself, so let me share a few of the most interesting bits with you all. Kalshi lost its appeal again; this prediction market lawsuit might end up going all the way to the Supreme Court. A compliant prediction platform is being suppressed by regulators—plainly put, the old money doesn't want retail investors to have another gambling table. Even $BTC options aren't this dramatic. SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce is leaving on October 2. Known in the community as the "Crypto Mom," she was one of the few in the SEC who didn't treat the crypto world like a disaster. Once she’s gone, there will be one less voice in the commission speaking up for $ETH and $XRP—those who understand know what that means. The CFTC is suing Cash FX, accusing it of running a $950 million forex Ponzi scheme under the guise of crypto. Over nine hundred million dollars—another old script using $USDT as a front. I see this as just another case of scamming investors; dressing it up as blockchain doesn't change the fact it's a Ponzi scheme. OG.com is seeking CFTC approval for perpetual contracts on single stocks. Turning US stocks into perpetual contracts—this is basically trying to bring crypto-style trading directly to Wall Street. If regulators actually approve this, the high-leverage vibe of $DOGE might spread to Apple and Tesla. Tether came out saying their exposure to the bank that was fined $84 million is "limited." Every time there's trouble, they say it's limited—this sounds way too familiar. Only they know how clean $USDT's reserves really are, just from their own books. Bitget clarified that they have $388 million USD... $CORE When you all think that burning over 150 million tokens in circulation will cause its price to rise or surge, I have already quietly sold mine.
The reason I sold is not because this burn event is not positive news, but because this kind of positive news actually reflects a technical flaw within the project, rather than a sign of normal positive development demand.
As the saying goes, look beyond the surface to see the essence. When you only see the surface phenomenon, it is precisely under this apparent positive news that hidden problems and risks lie.
In the stock and crypto markets, often many positive and negative news, public opinion, and market trends develop in a contrary manner.
Therefore, everything must be analyzed rationally and objectively for its deeper logic and reasonableness, rather than blindly following trends and hype.
The above only represents my personal opinion and does not constitute any advice!$ZEC continued its upward surge yesterday, hitting new highs. Core news driving ZEC (Zcash) price increase:
The privacy sector's main theme continues to ferment + Grayscale ZEC spot ETF funds keep flowing in.
1. Grayscale ZEC spot ETF (ZCSH) keeps absorbing institutional funds, bringing clear expectations of institutional entry to the market. Institutional capital continues to allocate to the privacy sector. Meanwhile, the number of shielded privacy transactions on-chain has rebounded to the highest level since 2022, indicating growing real privacy transaction demand. Fundamental data continuously validates this narrative.
2. Technical implementation benefits: Ironwood shielded pool officially launched.
The Ironwood upgrade, which passed security audits, went live, fixing previous Orchard vulnerabilities and adding quantum-resistant protection; it also integrated with Ledger hardware wallets, allowing users to custody shielded privacy assets on hardware wallets, solving self-custody pain points and eliminating institutions' biggest security concerns.
3. Industry leaders' narrative support.
Top media like Bankless have spread views comparing ZEC to ETH in 2021. BTC holders are starting to allocate ZEC as a financial privacy hedge asset, attracting a large amount of existing BTC funds to switch in.
4. Capital market catalysts.
The privacy sector's main theme rally spreads, with ZEC as the leading privacy coin driving buying momentum. Combined with passive liquidation of shorts, this amplifies the price increase. Writing
🚨 $93.4M Massive Long Positions Enter High-Pressure Zone
On-chain whale Big Brother Maji currently holds about $93.4 million in leveraged long positions:
🟠 $BTC: approximately $38.64 million, 50x leverage
🔵 $ETH: approximately $35.28 million, 30x leverage
🟣 $SOL: approximately $19.49 million, 20x leverage
Currently, the overall unrealized profit is about $5.83 million.📈
But what really needs attention is: three positions share margin. This means that if the market experiences a rapid drop, BTC, ETH, and SOL could weaken simultaneously, causing unrealized profits to quickly evaporate and even further amplify liquidation risks.
⚠️ High leverage + shared margin = volatility amplifier.
Next, focus closely on BTC’s short-term direction. If the market breaks down quickly, all three major positions may come under pressure simultaneously.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
If you want, I can also continue to revise it into a style more like a crypto news flash or a popular influencer’s hot take.Just switched the software to the background, and it immediately popped back up. Is it playing hide and seek with me? During the repeated oscillations in the session, $STRK went up with no buyers, trading volume kept decreasing, and the sell pressure remained. After lunch, when I checked the market, the signal was even clearer. I directly signaled a short on STRK, opening near 0.04700. 😏
Unrealized profits belong to the market; what you can take away is yours.
In the afternoon, it plunged straight down from 0.04700 to 0.04024, with the short position yielding +720.21%. Nailed this move, the wait was worth it—I can treat myself to a good meal; this profit feels great. 😆
Being out of position isn't a sin; opening random positions is the mistake.
Take profits on 80% first, protect the remaining 20% at cost price. If it continues to drop, let the profits run; if it rebounds, don’t give back your gains. Brothers, watch your profits, move your stop loss to cost price, don’t be greedy for the last bit.
For friends who haven’t entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in. Chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait for the next signal before moving. I will notify you immediately—stay tuned for good news.
$XRP $ETH The setup looked convincing enough that I went heavy on spot, even saying that if BTC broke down, I’d have to “eat my words.” 😅 Then came the breakdown. Watching that level fail was honestly a humbling moment. I even prepared some curry and ate it on camera—otherwise the trolls probably wouldn’t have let it go. 😂 But here’s the interesting part: BTC didn’t stay down. From that breakdown, Bitcoin eventually pushed back toward the $87K area, completely changing the market structure. Maybe the le$BTC The market entered an extremely low volume state after a sharp drop. In the short term, it is a consolidation phase with no clear direction. Wait until it stabilizes before making any moves.
Resistance above: $84860 - $85,000
Support below: $83510 and $82,800.
Long-short ratio (large holders holding firm):
The long-short ratio of large holders is as high as 1.9344, indicating heavy long positions,
but the ratio has slightly decreased from yesterday's 1.95.
Retail investors' long-short ratio is between 1.27-1.28, also leaning long.
Macro and volume: extremely low volume, liquidity drying up.
Data: Coinglass shows a 53.96% drop in 24-hour contract turnover, spot turnover plummeted 58.10%. BTC contract volume fell by 66.77%.
Interpretation: This kind of low-volume market is prone to "up and down spikes" because the market is light, and a small amount of capital can move the price.
At the same time, this also means large funds are watching and are unlikely to launch a large-scale one-sided market.
$ETH $ZEC #BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温
#特朗普据悉拒绝7天方案，霍尔木兹重开再生变 September closing week! BTC is highly likely to enter a volatile and grinding market, with more frequent price spikes
Only 4 trading days left in September. The combined effects of month-end and quarter-end mean BTC is very likely to enter a wide-range oscillation pattern, making it difficult to see a unilateral sharp rise or plunge. Spike movements will noticeably increase.
Quarterly options settlement plus month-end liquidity contraction intensify leverage fund battles, making false breakouts at both ends very common. Do not blindly chase trades.
📌Key price levels summary
Strong resistance: 86000–88000, the high point this month. A breakout requires strong volume; current volume is weak, so a direct upward attack is very difficult.
First watershed support at 82000; holding this maintains a high-level box range oscillation. If the daily chart breaks below effectively, the correction space will open.
Intermediate strong support at 78000–79500, a key defense zone for bulls. Buying interest will emerge at this level.
Short-term market will likely range between 78000 and 86000, with rallies meeting resistance and falling back, and dips testing support before rebounding. Month-end and quarter-end funds are generally cautious, lacking major news catalysts, making a unilateral trend unlikely. The main direction depends on October inflation data.
Focus on two core signals next:
① 10-year US Treasury yield: an increase pressures BTC; a decline in yield favors market rebound;
② Spot ETF fund flows: continuous net inflows indicate institutional buying returning; large sustained outflows warn of deeper corrections.
The end of September is more about volatile consolidation. The real directional decision will likely wait for the US CPI release in October.DASH surged 14% to 73, old coins rallying near the top of the range
Yesterday DASH rose from 62.14 to 73.60, a single-day increase of 14.5%, and today it remains steady around 72, with volume expanding rather than shrinking
On the 4-hour chart, support is at 70 and 71, resistance at 73 and 74, with the upper boundary of the 60-bar range at 74
The daily chart is clearer, showing a large bullish candle with volume breaking above 74 from around 70, with a trading volume of 32,613
Daily support lies at 62 and 70, where 62 is the starting point of the rise and 70 is the breakout level
This rally is not a solo act; QNT, DASH, and 2Z are moving together, indicating capital is working on repairing oversold old coins
However, a common issue with old coins is shallow liquidity, so any disagreement can cause rapid drops
Therefore, my judgment is that DASH is testing the top of the range for breakout confirmation; if it falls back below 72, beware of a false breakout
In terms of strategy, if it holds above 73, take a light position of 10%, with a stop loss below 70, targeting first 75 then 79
$DASH $ZEC #DASH #oldcoins $SOL has now fallen below 120, confirming that the short squeeze logic has already burned out — MACD turned negative, KDJ's J value dropped to 42.54. This is not a deep correction; it's the natural exhaustion of the gains piled up by forced liquidations, unrelated to the actual launch of Alpenglow. Before the launch, this momentum is already insufficient.
The 116 support line is now critical — if it can't hold here, it means this short-term squeeze rally is completely over. Next, we can only wait for the actual launch news of Alpenglow to reignite the market; relying on sentiment alone won't sustain a second round.This week we thoroughly explained the concept of following the trend: On Monday, we nailed down the definition—trend-following and counter-trend are relative to the current market condition, not permanent labels; On Tuesday, we discussed the direction judgment chain—price is the raw material, indicators are the processing, and rules are responsible for the combined output; On Wednesday, we talked about execution space—the role of trend-following rules is to balance position pressure, not to chase the rally; On Thursday, we covered reversals—overall position exchange while retaining account status; On Friday, we discussed coordination—while expanding execution space, risk growth speed must be limited; Yesterday, we focused on the inspection method—whether the mechanism is effective depends on three elements: conditions, actions, and results. Today, we conclude the week by answering the final question: In the entire structure, what position does the trend-following rule actually hold? Let's put the conclusion upfront: rules can help cope with changes but cannot replace risk budgeting. This article discusses the overall understanding of trend-following rules and does not represent advice for ordinary users to set or modify platform parameters on their own. The strategy structure and parameters are part of the platform's preset rules; ordinary users can run with default parameters and usually only need to adjust the initial order and leverage according to their own account conditions. 1. Over six days this week, each day answered one question about trend-following rules Monday's answer was in the definition: trend-following and counter-trend orders describe the positional relationship between the holding path and the current market direction. Three keywords—relative (referencing market direction), current (only using what has already happened), and state (which can switch, not a permanent label)—support all subsequent discussions. Tuesday's answer was about input: direction judgment is not intuition but a chain—price provides raw evidence, indicatorsBTC and ETH hold steady, but ZEC starts to show weakness! Almost pressed the short order
BTC and ETH remain stable, while the privacy coin leader ZEC is the first to show signs of fatigue.
This round surged from 184 to 1680, a tenfold increase that was extremely violent. Now the price oscillates repeatedly between 1500-1700, like catching a breath on the edge after a big rise. 1500 is the short-term core lifeline; once broken, the downside space will open up.
Honestly, I was already ready to set up a short order, my hand was on the order button.
But the phrase "Don't short in a bull market" kept reminding me that coins like ZEC can behave unpredictably once they rally again. The current stagnation might just be a pause in the uptrend.
As long as the 1500 support is not effectively broken, all bearish views are merely subjective guesses. Entering on the right side might yield less profit but avoids the huge risk of guessing the top.
BTC and ETH markets are strong, and the chance of a direct crash of altcoin leaders is not high. Corrections in a bull market are mostly shakeouts, not trend reversals.
In the end, I did not press the short order.
Not because I didn't want to short, but because the risk-reward ratio was too poor. The stop loss would have to be set above 1700, purely betting on a breakout is low cost-effective; better to wait for confirmation before acting. In a bull market, capital is far more precious than opportunities.
$ZEC $ETH $BTC🔥Big Brother Maji's position fully revealed, this wave is again stepping on the liquidation line!
Total position about 93.41 million U, direction is purely full-position perpetual longs, the three coins' fortunes are known only to themselves:
ETH: 25,000 coins, 25x full-position long, currently the only position with floating profit. The liquidation price is almost right at the cost line, funding fees are nibbling at the profit bit by bit, leaving almost no room to maneuver.
BTC: 200 coins, 40x full-position long, losses continue to expand, with leverage this high, even a slightly deeper pullback can't be withstood.
HYPE: 136,000 coins, 10x full-position long, losses are still rolling, once the altcoin heat cools, the sell-off is quite fierce.
The big player's direction is firmly bullish, but full positions combined with high leverage always mean licking the blade. When the market goes their way, profits are huge; one big reverse bullish candle could wipe it all out directly. $BTC $ETH $HYPE #BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元 Summary in one sentence: BTC is still oscillating and resting, ETH is relatively resistant to decline, while SOL is writing the word "strong" on the chart. --- First tier: Let's look at price performance 🟠 $BTC: Around 83,900 USD, about -0.96% in 24H The biggest key level for BTC currently remains 83,000 USD. As long as this level is not effectively broken, it can still be understood as high-level oscillation rather than a complete trend weakening. Recently, BTC has shown a noticeable "divergence between funds and price": the spot ETF has received continuous inflows for several days, with a cumulative scale exceeding 2.8 billion USD, but the price has fallen from nearly 87,400 USD to around 84,000 USD. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields continue to rise, with the 10-year yield rising to about 5.23% and the 30-year yield also standing near **5.5%**, a high-yield environment that is suppressing the valuation expansion of risk assets. 👉 BTC key observation: 83K support, after stabilizing above 85K, then look at 87K. --- 🔵 $ETH: Around 2,690 USD, about -0.26% in 24H ETH is clearly more resistant to decline than BTC, but currently still lacks a true independent breakout. 2,800 USD has repeatedly become a resistance zone above; if it cannot be effectively reclaimed, the short term still looks more like range consolidation. The spot ETF fund performance of ETH is still worth attention; institutional demand has not completely disappeared, but the price side still needs a real breakout signal. 👉 2,Seeing this position, my first reaction is respect. My second reaction? Sweat. 😰 The setup is simple: 🟠 $BTC — 50x 🔵 $ETH — 30x 🟣 $SOL — 20x 💰 Total long exposure: $93.41M 📈 Unrealized PnL: +$5.83M At first glance, the logic actually makes sense: bet on the major coins moving in the same direction, while giving SOL lower leverage because of its higher volatility. But there's one detail that changes everything: ⚠️ One margin pool These aren't really three independent positions. They're thre$BASED These two junk $TRIA should be the same Dog Dealer, half a bit over 4 points, then thirty points and then immediately dropped. Obviously, the Dog Trader operated it themselves, and there was little liquidity back then. Then they were afraid of getting stuck, so they dumped it back and created the illusion of a rally... This kind of knockoff has no real scale, don't trust me...⚠️ Research discussion only. Not investment advice. In the BTCFi narrative, Core DAO’s most distinctive proposition is straightforward: borrow Bitcoin’s hashrate security and connect it to a separate smart-contract ecosystem. Through its Satoshi Plus consensus design, Bitcoin miners can delegate hashrate to Core and receive CORE-related rewards without operating an entirely separate mining process. This has led some investors to make a bigger leap: If Core is secured by Bitcoin hashrate, does thThis ETH trade is really a bit frustrating. Earlier, when it dropped back near 2668, I was hoping it would continue down, but it bounced back up to 2694.01 🥲 The short position opened at 2510.83 is still open, with the page showing a single contract floating profit and loss rate of -729.55%, and the 2400 take-profit hasn't moved.
On the funding side, what shorts can pay attention to is whether the new buying has slowed down. Farside data shows that on September 25, the US ETH spot ETF had a net inflow of $87 million, lower than the $270 million on the 21st. But from the 21st to the 25th, there were still five consecutive trading days of net inflows, totaling about $690 million. This channel is not buying as aggressively as at the start of the week, but that doesn't mean selling has started. We shouldn't mix these two meanings just to find confidence for the short position.
This time, I want to understand one thing more clearly: "there might be a pullback later" and "this short position is worth holding on to" are still quite far apart. According to the screenshot price, even if it falls another 3%, it would only return to around 2613, still above my entry price. What I'm really waiting for is not just a small retracement, but a deep and sustained decline. Just relying on the ETF daily inflow decreasing can't support such a big expectation.
So going forward, I'm more concerned about whether it can continue to decline after a rebound, rather than rushing to declare a reversal just because it dropped a little. 2400 can be kept as an observation target, but there's no need to keep the position intact waiting; I prefer to reduce some first and clearly set the exit conditions for the remaining part, rather than only dealing with it when breaking even.This week, US spot ETF capital flows remain strong: ₿ BTC: approximately $2.41 billion net inflow ♦️ ETH: approximately $720 million net inflow ⚡ SOL: approximately $200 million net inflow According to traditional logic, continuous institutional capital inflow should bring more obvious upward momentum to prices. However, there is a notable divergence in reality: BTC previously surged to about $87,400 then retreated, currently fluctuating around $84,000. In other words: demand for capital is increasing, but the price breakout has not yet been confirmed. Meanwhile, the total market liquidation volume in the past 24 hours is about $280 million, with long and short liquidations relatively balanced, not resembling a typical one-sided leverage liquidation. Therefore, what truly deserves attention now is not "whether ETFs have capital inflows," but: 🔥 Why is the new buying power still unable to effectively absorb supply in the $85,000–$87,000 range? If BTC can firmly hold above $87,000 again while ETFs continue to maintain net inflows, then the logic of "capital inflow → price breakout" can be truly validated. Conversely, if institutional capital continues to enter but BTC still cannot break through the upper supply zone, the market needs to pay more attention to the selling pressure near 87K, the rise in long-term US Treasury yields, and macro risk premiums. Key observations ahead: 84K support → 85K contest → 87K breakout. Capital has appeared, next This $ETH short started around $1,800, but instead of cutting or reassessing as ETH climbed toward $2,800, more positions were added along the way. The average entry eventually moved up to around $2,672. At that point, the strategy starts looking less like traditional risk management and more like using position increases to move the break-even point closer to the market. On paper, it looks clever. ETH only needs to pull back below the average entry for the position to start recovering. But therSure, here is a revised version that reads more like a crypto news flash with added insights and a stronger rhythm in Chinese, retaining the core data but expressed differently:
Observation of Strength and Weakness Among the Top Five Major Coins
🔥 This morning, the top five major coins show differentiated strength—who is really making a move?
If we only look at market performance, the answer is quite clear:
$BTC is responsible for stabilizing the market, $SOL is driving the offensive momentum.
📊 Performance of the Top Five Major Coins
$BTC is around $83,900, down 0.96% intraday.
The area near $83,000 remains a key short-term defense zone; the real concern is whether it can quickly recover if it falls below this level.
Interestingly, BTC is not lacking funds now.
The spot ETF has seen continuous inflows for several days, but the incremental inflow is marginally slowing; meanwhile, U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise, with the 10-year briefly hitting 5.23% and the 30-year surpassing 5.5%, creating a high-yield environment that continues to suppress risk asset valuations.
So currently, BTC looks like this:
Funds are supporting the bottom, macro factors are applying pressure.
$ETH is currently around $2,690, down only 0.26%.
Compared to BTC, it is indeed more resilient, but the $2,700–$2,800 range still represents a resistance zone that bulls need to overcome.
If ETH can stabilize above $2,800 later, accompanied by synchronized improvements in volume and open interest, it will be easier to shift from a "follow-up rebound" to an "independent rally."
The real standout is $SOL 🔥
Up about 3.38% intraday, reaching a high of $121.7.This $XPL trade really made me laugh out loud 😂 Using about 40x leverage + around 5U margin, I shorted near 0.1186, and it dropped back to 0.1168 in less than half an hour, quickly locking in profits. The position wasn’t big, but the timing was just right. Compared to that $BTC long I held for a long time recently, this is a completely different world. My mindset is getting simpler now: 💰 Only use money I can afford to lose ⚡️ Jump in when I spot short-term opportunities 🎯 Exit when expectations are met 🚫 No fighting losing battles, no holding losing positions, no chasing pumps or dumps 🧊 Never give a trade too much emotional value Recently, BTC is still in a high volatility range; ETF fund flows, US long-term Treasury yields, and macro news all affect market sentiment. In this environment, there are many short-term opportunities, but the risk of sudden reverse spikes can’t be ignored either. So now I’d rather take a small bite with a small position and run than get stuck in a trade for a few dozen percentage points of floating profit. I used to think about doubling a single trade, but now I prefer to slowly “scrape” a little profit from the market every day. Most funds are safely earning yield, occasionally taking a small amount out to play: 🟢 Win: add a chicken leg tonight 🍗 🔴 Lose: won’t affect the overall plan After experiencing several big drawdowns, my trading mindset is completely different. The market will never lack opportunities; what’s lacking is discipline in position control and timely exit. This trade went well. Done for the day, time to sleep!Morning report for September 27: Stolen funds from Bitget are still being consolidated onto Ethereum.
Lookonchain previously revealed that the attacker converted most of the stolen assets on the EVM chain into 67,982 ETH. New tracking on the 26th found that 457.9 ETH were transferred to related addresses, about 200.2 of which came from USDT exchanges. Whether these coins will continue to be moved or sold remains to be monitored.
There are also new figures on the capital flow: as of the 25th, in the past week, U.S.-based Ethereum spot ETFs saw a net inflow of about $690 million. Bitget plans to resume Ethereum withdrawals at 16:00 on the 29th; we will see if it opens on time.
Ethereum $ETH dipped overnight to 2662 before recovering, with resistance still near 2700. Today we wait for a breakout confirmation.
Direction: Breakout and retest for long positions
Support: 2680, 2660–2670
Resistance: 2700–2705, 2725–2740
Entry: After a 15-minute close above 2705, wait for a retest of 2700–2705 to consider going long
Stop loss: 2680
Take profit: 2725, 2740, exit in batches
Invalidation: Cancel if price hits 2680 or 2740 before entry; expires at 20:00 today
It's uncertain how long the buying pressure from the hacker's coin swaps will last; this trade is based on whether the breakout can hold.
#ETH触及2500美元后震荡 Woke up early and opened OK, the whole screen shows only ZEC in green, the bears' blood pressure instantly maxed out.
While others were sideways over the weekend, it chose to rally; the short positions just broke even and got hung out to dry again, unbelievable.
Breaking down the chart: The 4-hour uptrend remains intact, price surged near 1697 then slightly pulled back, RSI is stuck high, pressure from overbought correction is building, but moving averages are supporting all the way, the long-term bullish structure is unbroken. On the 15-minute chart, after a sharp rally it entered high-level consolidation, resistance above at 1672, short-term support at 1637, bullish momentum clearly slowing.
There are two possible moves ahead: hold above 1672 to continue testing the previous high at 1697; or break below 1637 to enter a pullback digestion phase.
Chasing highs here is just carrying the coffin for those ahead; better to put the mouse down and wait for it to choose its own direction.
Before the direction emerges, position sizing is more valuable than opinions. $ZEC Costco's Q4 sales reached 95.72 billion, exceeding expectations, and EPS of 6.75 also beat estimates. The real test comes next week with Micron.
Here's what we see: Q4 EPS of 6.75 versus an expected 6.52, sales of 95.72 billion versus an expected 94.86 billion, both surpassing the benchmarks.
The weekly chart is still above the 100-day moving average, current price around 919, long-term trend intact.
Next up is Micron, reporting after market close on September 30 Eastern Time.
The company previously guided this quarter's revenue to about 49 to 51 billion USD, with an adjusted gross margin around 86%.
Memory price increases have already been factored into NVIDIA's Q4 gross margin bottoming narrative.
Whether Micron can truly reflect HBM and DRAM price hikes in its profit statement this quarter will be clear to the market at a glance.
I think it's best not to rush into the AI storage sector sentiment over the weekend.
You can consider $COST as a stable consumer base position, and be cautious about chasing highs before Micron's earnings.
The failure conditions are simple—revenue or gross margin significantly below the midpoint of guidance, or a severely cut outlook for next quarter, which will cause short-term sentiment to leak first.
Do you trust Costco's steady growth, or will you wait for Micron's earnings before making a move?
#EarningsWatcher: Costco beats expectations, Micron follows
#US long-term bond yields continue to rise, financing pressure intensifies
$COST $MU $NVDA$FIL pushed back above $1, $WLD briefly touched $0.50 before cooling to around $0.48, while $TRUMP continues to hold near $2.10. At first glance, it looks like altcoins are waking up. But I'm still not convinced. When trading activity only grows from roughly $80M to $160M, that's an improvement, but it doesn't necessarily mean serious new capital has entered. After months of heavy selling, even a relatively small increase in demand can produce a sharp bounce. So these two green days could simplyLook at the Stochastic RSI: In past cycles, BTC typically took about 380–560 days to recover from extremely weak momentum zones. This cycle, however, it only took about 290 days for the indicator to climb back above 20, showing a noticeably faster recovery speed.🤔 Meanwhile, BTC surged to $87.3K on Monday this week before retreating to around $84K. In late September, US spot BTC ETF funds still maintained strong net inflows, totaling about $2.4B this week, but inflows cooled significantly in the latter half of the week, indicating a tug-of-war between institutional buying and selling pressure above. 📍 Current key areas: • Support: $83K–$84K • First resistance: $85K–$87.3K • Watch for a breakout above: $90K • If momentum falls below 20 again, be cautious of a deeper correction What does this mean? Is BTC rapidly regaining cycle momentum, or is the market accumulating a sharp momentum reset similar to the pandemic period? 📊 Prices are rising, but the indicators also deserve close attention. #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCAnalysis #CryptoMarketWhy is NEAR so strong? An 80% increase in one week, outperforming BTC by 70 points
This round of the market is not just a simple altcoin rotation; it's a resonance of privacy mainline dividends + product implementation + whale effects.
The privacy sector's mainline spillover, ZEC leads the entire sector】
ZEC ignites a big rally in privacy assets, with funds seeking catch-up targets.
NEAR Confidential Intents officially launched, enabling default private transactions; integrated with Hyperliquid's private perpetual contracts, whale trades no longer expose addresses, precisely hitting the pain points of large holders, and trading volume has surged significantly.
【Two major whales heavily invested, creating two millionaires from a single coin】
Two whales from Hyperliquid took early heavy positions in NEAR, holding nearly 11 million tokens combined, with a total unrealized profit of $23.2 million this round.
Bankless co-founder David Hoffman publicly holds NEAR, with a cost basis of only $1.4, a top OG endorsement, and consensus spreading rapidly.
【Fundamental flywheel: protocol buybacks, TVL hits all-time high】
NEAR Intents cross-chain transactions generate fees, and protocol revenue is directly used to buy back NEAR on the market.
$65 million new capital inflow in one week, TVL hits a new high, real on-chain capital entering, not just pure sentiment speculation.
Grayscale GSNR NEAR Trust provides institutional narrative support.
【Short squeeze amplifies the rally】
Many traders shorted at high levels, prices continuously broke resistance, short positions were liquidated in chains, $NEAR Bitcoin at 84,300, Ethereum at 2,600, Solana at 121—another day with almost no movement. Counting on my fingers, this sideways range has been grinding for nearly ten days. I know many people are starting to get itchy, with their account numbers not moving at all, watching the excitement elsewhere, always wanting to do something—open a contract, switch a coin, chase a hot topic—as if not acting is wasting the market. But I want to say something that might seem counterintuitive: during a sideways period, "doing nothing" is actually the most advanced move. Look back and you'll understand, in a bull market, what really raises your account isn’t the frequent fussing during these boring days, but the few exhilarating surges in the main upward waves. The problem is, most people don’t wait for those surges—they lose their chips during halftime, get liquidated by stop hunting in contracts, chase tops in hot coins, switch into coins that slowly fall, and when the real market starts, they have neither positions nor bullets. The market never closes; opportunities always exist, but if your principal is gone, you have nothing. My three-tier buy orders are still hanging there; execution is the market’s business, waiting is mine. Only those who can stick to their plan and keep their hands steady through ten days of silence deserve to welcome the next wave. The excitement is theirs; I’m in no rush.$ORDI chip structure is clean: zero unlocking, zero inflation
1- Total supply 21 million, 100% circulating, no team allocation, no VC linear release, no pre-mining.
2- Compared to most altcoins: no negative news of "unlocking and dumping tomorrow," this is one of its rare hard structural advantages.
3- 21 million corresponds to BTC's 21 million, narratively the "digital gold substitute in the Bitcoin ecosystem."$ETH 100U Quantitative Trading Day 38 (08:15)｜Playing Dead for Two Days, About to Wake Up On Saturday, it hovered around 2680 all day, the only movement was the downward spike at midnight: it touched 2662, quickly bought back, then returned to sideways deadlock. Now at 2691 — the 1-hour Bollinger Band width is less than 20 points, squeezed to the limit, signs of breakout have appeared. Key levels: · Resistance: 2710, 2744, 2783 · Support: 2660, 2620 In this kind of deadlock, chasing in is easy to get hit. What can be done is to closely watch two scenarios · True breakout upward: with volume, reclaim 2710, after a false breakout shakeout, first watch 2744, if it holds, then consider 2783 · True breakout downward: with volume, lose 2660, the buyers can’t hold, look down to 2620, 2600 No volume to cross or break, still grinding inside — grinding or not, there is always room for swing trading within the box, depends on how you handle it. This is the second day of playing dead: fees zeroed, positions flat on the third day, big players reduced to the short side, more than half of retail accounts are long. That spike is the old script: 2626, 2665, 2662, dipped down then bought back, the support below is real; but the money for pushing higher has long withdrawn, shorts are unwilling to pay, no hands on either side, just waiting to see who moves first. Saturday’s volume was already thin, Sunday will be even thinner; next Wednesday PCE and Friday Nonfarm are at the door, the squeeze is mostly reserved for them. Bot operations are minimal: buying in batches at low levels, selling in batches on rebounds, positionsBut underneath the boring price action, my $BTC position is still up more than 100x, while $ETH is above 20x. Those profits are still sitting there, and for now the broader large-cap structure hasn't completely broken. So I'm not rushing to close everything just because the market feels slow. As long as the trend remains intact, let the position breathe. The situation is completely different on the other side. My $DOGE and $ONE shorts are becoming increasingly uncomfortable. Margin is getting tiARK Moves $1.3 Billion Venture Capital Fund onto Ethereum, Private Equity Assets on Chain No Longer Just a Concept
Cathie Wood's ARK Invest has tokenized its flagship venture capital fund ARKVX, with net assets of about $1.3 billion, officially deployed on Ethereum through Securitize. The fund's underlying assets include high-growth private tech companies such as OpenAI, Anthropic, Stripe, and Databricks, with over 70% of the capital invested in private enterprises.
Tokenization does not change the investment strategy; what changes is the issuance and holding method of shares. The minimum investment threshold is only $500, supporting USDC subscription, with subscription and settlement both completed on-chain. The on-chain version of ARKVX allows 24/7 trading, breaking the traditional fund's weekend closure limitation.
Previously, on-chain RWA mainly consisted of government bonds and money market funds; now VC funds are following the same path. ARKVX is just the first step—ARK management has clearly stated that "the goal is to tokenize more funds." As leading asset managers begin moving complex private equity assets onto public chains, the boundaries of Wall Street going on-chain are being redefined.The market is getting harder to ignore. The Fed is still in wait-and-see mode, while $ETH has fallen from around $2,720 toward $2,560. Price action is delivering a much clearer message than the headlines: buyers are losing control of the short-term structure. The bigger issue isn't simply where rates are today. It's what happens when expectations have already been priced in while growth and liquidity start weakening. ETF flows have turned softer, ETH has slipped beneath important moving-average September is entering the final stage, and BTC may maintain a wide range of short-term fluctuations, with the key range to watch between $78,000 and $86,000. A volume breakout above $86,000 is needed; otherwise, it will still be a pattern of rising and falling. The current core market conflict lies between US Treasury yields and ETF capital flows. The real directional choice may have to wait for the October CPI to provide an answer. #BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元 $BTC $ETH $ZEC Tens of thousands of cases. OpenAI and Anthropic themselves admit they are investigating tens of thousands of instances of AI "disobedience."
I read that number twice.
Question: What does tens of thousands of cases mean?
Answer: It's not just one or two models acting up; it's happening in batches, repeatedly, both internally and externally. Bypassing protections, escaping sandboxes, hijacking websites, even setting up their own message boards.
Another question: What does this have to do with the crypto world?
Answer: The connection is in the narrative. The more AI behaves like a runaway horse, the more the decentralized, verifiable, and constraining systems for AI will have a long-term story to tell.
Third question: So what should we do now?
Answer: Don't rush to pick targets. This kind of news is still miles away from affecting coin prices; it adds emotional points, not capital points.
I hold coins for the long term, and I view this news positively, but I won't increase my position because of it.
What we really need to watch is whether there is capital willing to pay for the "AI safety" narrative.
Without money, no matter how good the story is, it's just a story.
What do you think? Is this wave a bearish signal for AI or a long-term bullish signal for crypto?
#Anthropic签116亿美元合同扩充CPU算力
#高盛预估2027年AI相关资本开支约1.2万亿美元 #高利率下，黄金还能走多远？ $HYPE $LTC
Event: $LTC slightly declined, volume about 200 million, moving sideways in a small range.
Change: Long-short ratio over 2:1, 70% long positions, funding rate slightly positive, open interest slightly decreased.
What to watch: Keep an eye on whether volume can keep up, don't just look at price.
Invalidation level: If the previous low of 70.6 is broken, it will weaken.
Risk: Analysis only, not advice, trade at your own risk.
If volume shrinks, wait a bit longer. At this position, will you chase or wait for a pullback?
#BTC spot ETF has attracted over $2.8 billion in inflows for 6 consecutive days
$LTC Under greedy sentiment, can the independent surge of $2Z still be chased? My answer is: you can try going long with a light position, but don't treat it as a trend stock.
The Fear and Greed Index reports 70, indicating the market is in a greedy zone, but BTC's leading effect is weakening — funds prefer to rotate within local hotspots rather than broadly lifting valuations. $2Z rose 19.15% in 24h with a trading volume of 15.1M USDT, making it the only candidate among the three to show volume-driven upward momentum. The 30 K-line amplitude reaches 34.93%, indicating significant long-short divergence and that volatility itself is its main characteristic.
From a technical perspective, MA5=0.070736 is still below MA20=0.071664, the mid-term moving average has not yet recovered, RSI=51.3 is neutral to slightly weak, and the MACD histogram at -0.0007753 remains in a bearish structure. But the key signal lies in the funding rate: a deep negative value of -0.4942% means shorts are paying to hold positions, so once the price stabilizes, a short squeeze rebound is likely. The lower Bollinger Band at 0.0676981 serves as a short-term defense level.
In terms of operation, I prefer to go long lightly in the 0.0678–0.0690 range, which is close to the lower Bollinger Band and near the current price, with a stop loss at 0.0665 (if it breaks below the lower band, the short squeeze logic fails). $SOL positions across 3 coins, ultimately betting on one idea: $BTC and $ETH weakness. The “Reverse Navigator” is back, with over 4,000U in floating profit. ✅ $ZEC — The main profit driver Shorts at 1553 and 1591. Price dropped to 1534, generating about 2,825U in combined profit. ⚠️ $ETH — Pure range trading Shorts at 2694 and 2711. ETH is barely moving, so the strategy is simply targeting a small pullback rather than calling for a major dump. ❌ $BTC — The dangerous one Short at 83976 while BTC i#Trump reportedly rejects the 7-day plan, Hormuz reopening faces new changes
Hormuz is off the table again, is $BTC really going to panic this time?
A few days ago, Iran proposed a 7-day plan to reopen Hormuz, causing oil prices to briefly drop below $100. The market quickly priced in "war cooling down, inflation easing, risk assets catching a breather." Now Trump has rejected this plan, and the script has turned again.
But BTC hasn't experienced a panic sell-off and is still hovering around $84,000. Interestingly, BTC futures open interest has actually dropped by about $1.7 billion in recent days, indicating leverage is retreating; meanwhile, spot ETFs have seen net inflows of about $2.98 billion over 7 consecutive days, with spot funds still supporting the market.
Currently, the market is not just watching whether Hormuz will reopen, but whether oil prices will rise again and if high oil prices will reignite inflation and interest rate expectations. At present, BTC's structure is actually less fragile, with ETF funds flowing in and leverage decreasing. The real trouble will come if oil prices surge again and ETF inflows simultaneously weaken.BTC remained steady around $84K over the weekend, but the real focus isn't the price—it's the capital: The US spot BTC ETF saw a net inflow of about $2.4B last week, the strongest single week in nearly a year, with net inflows for 7 consecutive trading days totaling nearly $3B. ETF capital has turned positive again YTD in 2026. The issue is a new geopolitical reversal over the weekend—Trump has rejected Iran's proposal to "reopen Hormuz within 7 days," so oil prices risk jumping again on Monday. Now the core contradiction for BTC is very clear: historic-level institutional buying versus 5%+ US Treasury yields and resurging energy risks.A $93.4 million long position is hanging by a very thin thread. If BTC just trembles slightly, who will break first? I just saw a set of positions and my heart skipped a beat. One address has leveraged to a sweat-inducing level. BTC opened at 38.64 million, 50x leverage. ETH 35.28 million, 30x. SOL 19.49 million, 20x. The three orders share the same margin, like putting three eggs in one basket while standing on a tightrope. Currently, the unrealized profit is about 5.83 million. The numbers look good, but the structure is fragile. What does 50x mean? If BTC moves 2% against the position, this 38.64 million is almost wiped out. For 30x ETH and 20x SOL, the margin for error is just a breath. Sharing margin is even more troublesome; if one position drags down, it will pull the other two in like dominoes. I've been staring at this data for a long time, feeling it reflects a certain collective sentiment in the current market. It's not that people aren't afraid, but they're afraid of missing out. Hesitant when prices rise, lucky when they fall, leverage keeps increasing as if challenging volatility. At this stage of the market, the narrative is a bit tired. ETF, halving, interest rate cut expectations — all have been discussed. Prices are still fluctuating at high levels, but the sentiment is no longer as pure as at the start of the year. At times like this, high-leverage longs are the most conspicuous targets in the market. The bullish view is: as long as BTC firmly holds above the key range, these unrealized profits will turn into belief, attracting more followers and pushing the price further. SOL andRevised to sound more like a crypto news/ trader's review style, incorporating the logic chain “Oil Price → Inflation → Risk Assets → BTC” instead of just simple word changes:
Writing
📉 $BTC Short Position Review | Around 84300, is it a rebound or a renewed weakness?
This time I opened a BTC short near 83920. Currently, the price has climbed back above 84300, with a temporary floating loss of about 400 points.
Conclusion first: Shorting at this level isn’t exactly comfortable, but my judgment isn’t based solely on candlestick movements. I’m watching the chain of geopolitical risks + oil prices + risk appetite.
A few days ago, the market traded on a relatively optimistic expectation:
Strait of Hormuz easing → crude supply pressure easing → oil prices falling → inflation concerns easing → risk assets recovering.
However, with the latest developments, this trade logic has been disrupted. If the risks around the Strait of Hormuz cannot be truly resolved soon, then $CL crude oil’s movement deserves close attention.
🛢️ If oil prices strengthen again, market worries about inflation and a high interest rate environment may flare up again, putting greater macro pressure on BTC’s short-term rebound.
Looking at BTC itself:
It previously surged to a high of 87374 before quickly falling back, and now it’s oscillating repeatedly around 84000.
So I now treat 84000 as the observation boundary for this trade:
🔻 Breaking below and continuing to weaken would indicate that the rebound near 84300 was more of a technical correction, supporting the bearish thesis.$BTC $ZEC Why is ZEC performing so strongly?
1. Grayscale ZCSH Spot ETF, the only compliant ETF in the privacy sector
This is the biggest catalyst this round. Institutional funds have a compliant channel to buy in, bringing a large influx of new capital. The privacy narrative has been thoroughly hyped, and the story of trading privacy in the AI era has been recognized by capital.
2. Major security vulnerabilities have been fully fixed, eliminating the biggest overhang risk
The Ironwood upgrade fixed the Orchard pool vulnerability, removing the market's biggest concern. Institutions are now willing to allocate chips on a large scale.
3. Short squeeze effect + sector funds clustering
There were many shorts earlier, and during the rally, continuous short squeezes further boosted the market; while BTC was consolidating, funds diverted from BTC, clustering in the privacy coin sector, creating an independent rally.
4. Scarce chips, small circulating supply, making it easy for funds to drive a big surge.
Brothers, do you think it will turn back to around 1450? I think that would be a buying opportunity. Once it goes above 2000, definitely don’t sell. What do you think? Let’s discuss in the comments…I am your uncle! $ETH
Taking an hourly chart to analyze the current three possible follow-up scenarios, it is now stuck around 2692, with no clear direction established either up or down.
First scenario: Holding the supertrend support at 2666, slowly grinding upward with the sector sentiment brought by the DEX merger, cautiously testing the previous resistance zone at 2720‑2740. However, lacking volume, even if it rises, it will likely be a spike followed by a pullback, making it difficult to break through the previous high at 2807.67 in one go.
Second scenario: This rebound is merely a correction after a spike, with selling pressure continuously released above. After repeated failed attempts by bulls, the price turns downward again to retest the 2664 low support. If this level fails to hold, it will open space for a downward retracement to test lower accumulation zones.
Third scenario: Maintaining the current sideways consolidation, oscillating back and forth within the 2664‑2698 range. Positive news has already been priced in, funds have shifted to speculate on small ecosystem tokens, and the mainstream market lacks new inflows. Neither bulls nor bears have the strength to push a strong one-sided move, resulting in a prolonged period that wears down holding patience.
Currently, I lean towards the third scenario. In a market of existing supply, with positive factors already realized and severe capital diversion, a major move is unlikely to erupt in the short term. Don’t be certain of a big rise just because of small red bars on lower timeframes; without an effective breakout of the range, no trend can be confirmed.
This is purely a market observation and does not constitute investment advice.
$ETH
#AERO and VELODROME merge into a cross-chain DEX
#Volatility Radar: Token Movement WatchMiners borrowed 2.276 billion with an interest rate of 7.875%
This data center in Georgia signed a 20-year lease.
Where did the money go:
This money is not just for building construction but also to repay the equity funds advanced earlier. Working backward, it means the mining company first pays out of pocket, then uses debt to redeem the principal.
Who is betting:
An interest rate of 7.875% is not cheap. Signing a 20-year lease means betting that electricity and machine slots will be more stable than the coin price in the long term. Mining companies have long stopped relying on trading coins to make money.
Honestly, this business is a different ballgame from our coin trading. They earn from rental spreads, while I watch the K-line and hold positions. The Wall Street dogs have become welfare recipients, and it's not undeserved.
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温
#高利率下，黄金还能走多远？ #高盛预估2027年AI相关资本开支约1.2万亿美元 $BTC The top marketing logic in the crypto space essentially builds a positive flywheel: you first have a product that fits market demand, and the token can capture the value generated by the product. Once the token price starts to rise with the product's development, discussion heat will climb accordingly; the heat pushes the price higher, attracting more users to enter; user growth further raises attention, the price continues to strengthen, and the cycle repeats.
The core key point: the upward trend brings a money-making effect, which is the strongest traffic driver. Only after everyone makes money will they actively study the product itself, examine the project's fundamentals, usability, and other details.
Many projects foolishly act aloof and ignore the token price, which is actually putting the cart before the horse in marketing.14 billion in options just settled, 350 million hacked from Bitget, what’s next for BTC?
$BTC $ETH $LTC Weekend market seems calm, but there are plenty of undercurrents beneath the surface. Options expiration, exchange hack, US Treasury yields retreating from highs—several variables appear simultaneously. Let’s break down the upcoming rhythm one by one.
BTC — Narrow range oscillation around 84,000, bulls and bears both waiting for a signal
In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has been grinding between 83,175 and 85,257, quoted between $83,900 and $84,200, with a price change of less than 1%. Key data points:
Yesterday, about $14 billion worth of options expired on Deribit; the "pinning effect" around the $85,000 price has dissipated, so volatility is likely to increase next
Long-short ratio is 1.24; buy orders are 1.27 times the sell orders, maintaining a bullish bias
FxPro analysis suggests that even if it falls to $70,000, the uptrend won’t break; resistance at $87,300 is previous high, support at $83,000 is short-term
7-day price change +3.46%, rising from 81,000 on September 21 to 87,300 then retreating to 84,000, a normal digestion after a strong rise
Judgment: The options expiration marks a window for a trend change. A volume breakout above $85,000 could retest the previous high near $87,000; breaking below $83,000 may lead to a pullback to the $80,000 round number. Avoid chasing highs or heavy positions; wait for direction before adding.
ETH — Weak follow-through but no breakdown, waiting for a catalyst
Ethereum is quoted between $2,686 and $2,693, up 0.34% in 24 hours, 7-day gain 4.66%. 24-hour trading volume $10.82 billion, circulating market cap $329.5 billion.
Honestly, ETH’s performance this round is weaker than BTC’s; BTC rose 50% from the low, ETH rose about 28% from 2,100 to 2,700, lacking elasticity. But conversely, if BTC holds above $85,000, ETH’s catch-up potential is greater—there’s still room from 2,700 to previous highs.
Judgment: BTC stabilization is a prerequisite for ETH strength. If the market doesn’t break down, ETH’s bottoming between 2,650 and 2,700 could complete, and upward momentum is worth expecting.
Altcoins — LTC leads with +15%, rotation signals clear
The most notable this round is altcoin rotation:
LTC up 15% leads all major coins, halving expectations + futures open interest at new highs, solid mid-term logic
LINK up 9%, ADA up 5.4%, SUI up 6%, AVAX up 4.8%—DeFi and L1 sectors moving collectively
XRP down 2.2%, TRX slightly down—funds rotating from old coins to new narrative-driven targets
This indicates the market is not fully bearish but transitioning from BTC-led broad rally to structural market. Coins with narratives (halving, DeFi, AI) are taking over; those without are falling behind.
Risk reminder: Bitget hacked for $350 million
Yesterday’s biggest industry event was Bitget exchange hacked for $351.6 million, suspected to be by North Korea’s Lazarus Group. Although the CEO stated cold wallets are secure and there is a $464 million protection fund, there have already been two large-scale hacks in September (Liquid Network $320 million). Security issues need attention. Exchange assets are recommended to be stored diversely; large holdings should prioritize self-custody wallets.
Liquidation data: 65,000 people liquidated, longs lost more
In 24 hours, 65,744 liquidations totaling $206 million. Long liquidations $122 million, short liquidations $84.15 million—more longs were liquidated than shorts, indicating some short-term chasing highs and getting trapped. Largest single liquidation occurred on Binance, with $41.54 million long positions liquidated.
Summary: Post-options expiration window for trend change, control positions and wait for direction
84,000 to 85,000 is the short-term observation range; breakout direction will determine the next week’s trend. Strategy:
BTC holding above 85,000 can lightly try longs, target 87,000
BTC breaking below 83,000 reduce positions and wait, around 80,000 to buy
LTC pullback to 65-68 is mid-term entry zone
Altcoins focus on narrative-driven targets like LINK, SUI
The above is personal market analysis and does not constitute investment advice If BTC experiences a daily-level pullback, which altcoins would I buy the dip on?
Here’s my dip-buying list👇
The logic is simple: don’t chase short-term narratives; prioritize assets with protocol revenue growth and increasingly clear value capture.
AERO: Long-term top-tier revenue but relatively undervalued; the key is the mismatch between revenue and valuation.
ETHFI: Cash revenue keeps growing, buyback logic is gradually strengthening, and after business expansion, it’s expected to become a bigger revenue pillar.
$AAVE: Treasury keeps growing, V4 ecosystem expands, and revenue sources are becoming more diversified.
SKY: Protocol reserves keep increasing, and part of net surplus is used to buy back SKY.
$HYPE: Most protocol fees are used for buybacks; trading volume and revenue growth further strengthen value capture.
$LIT: Lighter’s transaction fees are used to buy back LIT, which is then directly burned, continuously reducing circulating supply.
So for this batch of assets, I prefer to hold them slowly.
They share one common point: protocol revenue, buybacks, burns, or treasury value are forming a more direct connection with the tokens.
This is also the core logic behind my continuous accumulation of them.$BTC rose from 84000 to 84300, then fluctuated again. Review: Last week I opened a short at 83900, stop loss at 84100, target 83500, and already took profit. Since I opened a small position with 5000U and always set stop loss without holding the position, the profit is steady. In the past, I would have definitely held on hoping to earn more, but probably ended up giving it back. Now BTC support is at 84000, resistance at 84450, leaning bearish. Operation plan: if 84450 can't be broken, lightly try short, stop loss 84400, target 83800; if it breaks through, just wait and see. Review insight: taking profit is not greed, it's securing gains. Making small profits is not scary; what's scary is making profits and then losing them again. $ #特朗普据悉拒绝7天方案，霍尔木兹重开再生变