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Concentration is decreasing, and chips are starting to loosen!
As of August 24, the highest chip peak — the accumulation at $63,000 — has dropped from a peak of 1.22 million coins to 980,000 coins;
while the nearby $62,000 bar shows little change, indicating that the short-term price rally has little impact on the chips here.
As we deduced in the possible future scenarios on August 21 (see quote): once chips start to loosen, the price will either stabilize or even pull back.
A new chip concentration area will then form. Because the price staying put provides an opportunity for turnover.
Now it seems the $76,000-$77,000 range has the potential to become a new chip concentration area (Figure 1).
In just 3 days, 320,000 BTC were added in this range.
At the same time, when BTC broke through to $77,000-$78,000,
there was a strong wave of profit-taking, the largest scale in nearly 6 months (Figure 2).
But even so, the price did not drop significantly.
Clearly, there is capital absorbing the supply here.
Assuming a new chip peak can really form near $76,000-$77,000, do you remember the "double anchor structure" theory?
Long-term followers of mine should be familiar with it. Once this structure forms, the subsequent BTC pullback is very likely to fall in the middle of the structure.
That is roughly around $68,000-$70,000.
So the question is simple: now it depends on whether the $76,000-$77,000 range can form a meaningful chip concentration area.
Yes! This requires a bit of time. From Sept. 9, longer-dated Treasury buyback operations will increase from $2B to at least $4B per operation through early November. This isn’t QE or a massive liquidity injection, but it could still help ease pressure in the long-end of the Treasury market. If yields respond lower, risk assets could get some breathing room — a potential tailwind for $BTC and $ETH . But I’d watch real yields and liquidity conditions before calling it bullish. For me, the key question is simple: does this translaOn-chain data is often more honest than any order shout. Last night, the TRUMP project team's actions made many followers nervous: they directly dumped 1.1 million TRMP through one-sided liquidity, converting back 2.94 million USDC at an average transaction price of about $2.68. This was not a simple transfer but a real selling, meaning the team began converting their tokens into stablecoins. What's even more noteworthy is that just the day before, the team had already transferred 3.837 million TRMP to OKX, which was estimated at the price at the time to be close to 9.33 million USD. These coins entering exchanges often mean they could be dumped into the market at any time. The combination of these two transactions sends a clear signal: the project team is actively reducing position risk rather than waiting for market sentiment to recover. From the on-chain structure perspective, this selling move is driven by one-sided liquidity, which usually impacts the market more directly and causes more obvious slippage. The $2.68 transaction price has already shown a clear drawdown compared to the previous market high, indicating that sellers do not care about short-term prices and care more about liquidity liquidation. This attitude itself makes long funds in the market more cautious. At the same time, the performance of the futures market also confirms this tension. In the past 24 hours, BTC liquidations across the entire network reached about $100 million, ETH reached $140 million, and TRUMP saw a single-day liquidation of $12.945 million, with large funds on both sides affectedHere's what happened: on August 24, a buy that looked like an "institutional statement" pushed Ethereum into the spotlight. Bitmine, owned by Tom Lee, bought about $81 million worth of ETH over the past week, marking its largest weekly purchase since early July. Even more interestingly, this purchase came after Ethereum rose about 30% in a single week. Most people's first reaction at this point might be: only chase after the rally ends, and institutions are buying in like this? But the logic of funding is often not that simple. If it's just a short-term chase, buying is not unusual. What is truly worth watching is what Bitmine treats as ETH—whether it is a transaction or a long-term asset allocation. The former cares about whether it can continue to rise next week, while the latter cares about whether Ethereum can become the second core entry point for institutional funds in the crypto market. This is also where the recent market narrative has shifted. Bitcoin moving first often means funds are seeking certainty; Ethereum is increasingly being continuously bought, more like funds seeking resilience, ecosystem, and the next stage of growth. It's not that one is replacing the other, but rather that market risk appetite is spreading outward. Of course, institutional buying does not necessarily mean prices will only rise. The cost of buying, the holding cycle, whether to continue increasing holdings, and the relative strength of ETH/BTC are all more important than a single news headline. Especially after prices have risen rapidly, the market easily interprets a single concentrated buying as trend confirmation, but it may also just be a temporary rebalancing. I am even more willingAdditionally, today I also took a small position in $GRASS.
The core logic of this trade is still the divergence observed earlier: volume and open interest are clearly rising, the contract CVD continues to decline, but the price does not follow the active sell orders down, indicating that selling pressure is being absorbed.
With the token unlocking approaching on the 28th, it is possible that some selling pressure comes from holders who unlock tokens and open short positions early to hedge. If these shorts cannot continue to push the price down, they might instead become fuel for a subsequent rally or short squeeze. Therefore, I will only maintain a small position during a potential rally before the unlocking and will execute the preset stop loss.Since early July, the BTC price has risen from about $60,000 to $78,000, an increase of approximately 30%. During the same period, market capital increased from $20.6 billion to $24.9 billion, nearing the high for this phase. It points out that unlike the price rise, the proportion of borrowed funds did not increase in sync. This indicator peaked on August 14 and has been declining since; even though BTC accelerated its rise after August 19, the leverage ratio has not significantly rebounded. It is believed that compared to a market driven by borrowed funds, the current capital structure is healthier; if BTC prices stagnate later and the proportion of borrowed funds rises again, it could become a risk signal to watch $BTC #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 Today's review:
In the New York session, $BTC and $ETH each had one trade, one took profit, and one hit stop loss.
The BTC trade basically followed the pre-market plan. After the New York open, the price first swept down to clear liquidity at the internal low but did not fall back below the daily open; instead, it found support above the daily open. Seeing the rejection candle close, I chose to go long, and the price smoothly reached the previous high for profit-taking.
When BTC broke the previous high, ETH did not simultaneously break higher, and then two consecutive doji candles appeared at the high level. I believed the upward momentum was starting to weaken and that an SMT reversal might form between BTC and ETH, so I opened a short position on ETH.
The direction was indeed correct in the end, but the trade resulted in a stop loss.
Because I wanted to use a small stop loss to aim for a large move and try to get 2R, I placed the stop loss directly at the highest point of the New York session at that time. The price then swept up again, precisely hitting the stop loss before dropping steadily.
Reviewing this, the problem was not the SMT judgment but that I placed the stop loss too aggressively in pursuit of the 2R on paper.
$SNDK sharply dropped after today's open but then showed a clear V-shaped recovery. If it can maintain the current recovery before the close, there is a chance to form a long lower shadow daily candle today, indicating there is still support below. The original trading logic has not yet failed, so I will continue to hold this initial position.$BEAT Honestly, a slow decline is even more frustrating than a sharp drop. Holding a short position, watching it hover there day after day, neither going up nor down, I was too lazy to even check the market those days. But at that time, I realized one thing clearly: this slow grinding movement most likely means the bulls have really lost strength. If there were funds wanting to push it up, they would have acted already.
Then one night, suddenly a bearish candle smashed down, breaking the support level, releasing all the previous pressure at once. From 0.1363 down to 0.1276, a 63.82% drop is the reward for patience. This saying really hits home when applied to myself. That night, I didn’t rush to act; I just watched the market step by step go down, and strangely felt a sense of calm.
Many people in crypto don’t lose because of the direction they chose, but because they got shaken out during the grinding phase. The lesson this wave taught me is: as long as the original bearish reasons still hold, try to ignore the noise in between. Holding on is stronger than anything.
$BTC $XRP $SNDK experienced a sharp plunge today, dropping straight from 1628.69 down to 1516.90, a steep fall of 112 points, nearly 7%. Many were caught off guard. Here's an objective breakdown of the reasons behind this dive.
1. Concentrated Profit-Taking
SNDK started rising around 1560 on August 22, gaining over 4% in two days, accumulating significant short-term unrealized gains. The 1628 level was a previous resistance peak, where trapped positions and short-term profit-taking converged, creating selling pressure that triggered a rapid decline.
2. Drag from Overall Sentiment in the Storage Sector
The AI storage sector had seen substantial gains earlier, but market divergence began to appear, with signs of capital taking profits and exiting. Peers like Micron and SK Hynix weakened simultaneously, and sector-wide correlation caused quantitative passive selling to further amplify SNDK's pullback.
3. Sensitivity of High-Valuation Stocks
As a strong cyclical storage stock, its price is very sensitive to capital flows. Even without negative news, it can experience sharp rises and falls. When sentiment drives the price up, if the bulls fail to sustain momentum, a rapid and significant retracement can occur.
Key observation point is the 1500 support level. If it holds, it indicates high-level consolidation and shakeout; if it breaks decisively, short-term correction may deepen. High-level cyclical stocks are highly volatile, so position sizing and stop-loss management are crucial.
This information is shared for reference and does not constitute investment advice. $xSNDK SanDisk drops another 7% intraday: evaporates 16.8% in five days, $93.9 billion orders can't withstand earnings week selling pressure
Opened lower and dropped sharply, then narrowed losses. SanDisk opened lower today and fell all the way to $1,416, closing near $1,486, down 6.9%. A cumulative drop of 16.8% over five days, down 37% from the $2,354 high. But YTD it's still up 526%, with a market cap of $217.6 billion and a P/E of 20x. This is not a crash, but a sharp turnover after a surge.
Why the drop: a chain of de-risking during earnings week. NVDA reported earnings Wednesday, and the whole market reduced positions before the event. The storage sector was collectively hammered today, with SanDisk, Micron, and Hynix all hit. Coupled with last week's 30-year US Treasury yield approaching multi-year highs, the AI hardware sector, which is high valuation and capital expenditure dependent on cheap long-term money, took the brunt. Last week, the US stock market weekly chart ended a three-week rally, with the Nasdaq down 2.05%.
$93.9 billion orders locked in. Eight NBM long-term contracts, total value no less than $93.9 billion, average term about 4 years, covering half of capacity in FY2027 and two-thirds by FY2028. Musk specifically named storage as a core AI bottleneck, and Goldman Sachs predicts AI token consumption will increase 24-fold by 2030. On Xueqiu, some share long-term logic: locking capacity with long-term contracts is more important than profit surges because it eliminates the biggest uncertainty of the cycle.
Golden pit or trend top? Optimists say: P/E only 20x, $93.9 billion orders locked in as a floor, the pullback is a buying opportunity Fasset has secured $68 million in funding, reaching a valuation of $1 billion and successfully joining the unicorn ranks.
What’s interesting is not just the valuation.
Fasset is building a sector that could potentially surpass cryptocurrency trading itself: stablecoin cross-border payments.
Its proprietary network connects various banks, payment institutions, and liquidity providers. Meanwhile, the company plans to increase investment in AI banking services, stablecoin settlement, and tokenized asset sectors.
And the investor SBI is no ordinary financial backer.
This Japanese financial giant has long been deeply involved in digital assets, having invested in XRP’s underlying infrastructure, USDC issuer Circle, and the DeFi project $MORPHO. It has a presence across the entire crypto chain.
This tells me one thing: traditional big finance truly values not necessarily coin price speculation, but the real-world application of stablecoins in cross-border settlement.
Fasset has been profitable for 12 consecutive months, with an annualized trading volume exceeding $40 billion, covering 125 countries, and is no longer just a conceptual story. SBI’s continued investment represents Asian traditional financial institutions treating on-chain payments as the next generation of cross-border remittance.
Information shared does not constitute investment advice $BTC The focus of Bitcoin's bullish and bearish battles appears to be the candlestick pattern and capital flows, but what truly determines the long-term direction is often the broader underlying currency tone. In recent market discussions, a core variable that has often been overlooked has resurfaced: the certainty of currency depreciation triggered by the U.S. debt crisis is becoming a deeper logic suppressing bear confidence. This pressure does not come from single-day fluctuations but from an irreversible trend—when the purchasing power of fiat currencies continues to be diluted, scarce crypto assets naturally become one of the main sources of funds. From a market performance perspective, virtual assets tend to be the most sensitive to these types of expectations, with price discovery much faster than traditional financial markets. This is not because the crypto market is larger; on the contrary, it is precisely because of its strong global liquidity and continuous trading hours that it can be the first to factor macro expectations into pricing. However, it is worth noting that this "first rise" does not mean the global impact is the deepest. To some extent, the crypto market acts more like a mirror, preemptively reflecting the shadow of debt problems, and the real ripples will take time to spread to the broader real economy. If debt pressures are transmitted to commodities, especially food and energy markets, over longer cycles, the vulnerabilities of global supply chains will be further amplified. Rising crude oil prices drive up transportation and production costs, while food shortages may trigger chain reactions at the social level. This reasoning is not sensational, but rather a common path in historical credit currency system crises. When basic material prices spiral out of control and geopolitical frictions arise🔥 THE MONEY ISN’T LEAVING CRYPTO — IT’S MOVING.
This is what capital rotation looks like.
$BTC is holding strong. $ETH is starting to catch momentum. And now liquidity is searching for higher-beta opportunities like $ZEC and $HYPE.
The pattern is simple: BTC leads → ETH confirms → capital hunts for the next big outperformers.
The real question now isn’t if money is rotating.
It’s where does it rotate next?
#Crypto #BTC #ETHWipes1.1BShorts #BTCETFInflowsSurge #ETHTests2500
#DailyOrbit $FLOW is up around 10% today while most of the market is barely moving. 👀
The bigger story: Flow recently raised transaction fees 2–4x while reducing new FLOW issuance as network usage covers more staking costs.
That gives today's breakout a real tokenomics angle — higher activity can mean less dilution.
Sustainable repricing, or another rotation trade?#BTCETFInflowsSurge #ETHTests2500 #OKXOutcomeF1TI15Recap #BTC Approaching $80,000, But What Really Matters This Round Is Not "How Much It Has Risen"
BTC's rebound has pushed from around $76,600 all the way to $79,998, running almost along the upper Bollinger Band on the 15-minute chart.
However, I think the most important question now is not "can it break through $80,000," but rather—whether there is genuine incremental buying above $80,000.
From the market perspective, this rally is strong.
The price has climbed back above MA5, MA10, and MA20, with moving averages starting to form a bullish alignment; volume has increased in sync with the rise, indicating this is not just a low-volume retracement. The $79,000–$79,200 range has become the first layer of short-term support, and as long as this level is not broken again, the bullish structure remains intact for now.
The real resistance lies near $80,000.
This is both a psychological round number and the first obvious point of selling pressure after this rapid rise. BTC peaked at $79,998 before pulling back, showing that some profit-taking has started near $80,000.
But this time there is a clear difference from previous rebounds: spot ETF funds have returned.
The US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded net inflows for five consecutive trading days last week, totaling nearly $2 billion, which is a very important signal of institutional capital warming up recently. (Investopedia)
At the same time, this rally is not just coming from within the crypto market.
After the US Treasury adjusted long-term bond repo arrangements, long-term yields were suppressed, the dollar weakened, and the market resumed trading liquidity improvements; combined with short covering, BTC completed a very sharp valuation repair in a short time. (CoinDesk)
So I now divide the market into two stages:
The first half is liquidity expectation improvement + short squeeze;
The next stage is the real determinant of how far the trend can go—whether spot funds can continue to take over.
If BTC can break through $80,000 with volume and hold $79,000–$79,200 on the pullback, I would be more inclined to believe the market has moved from "oversold repair" into a new trend continuation phase.
But if ETF inflows continue and BTC still cannot effectively hold above $80,000, then caution should be heightened.
Because the most dangerous signal in a rally is never the absence of good news, but:
Good news remains, funds are still flowing in, but the price cannot move up.
Now $80,000 is not just a technical resistance level, but more like the market's first real test of the quality of this rally.
What do you think? Will BTC hold above $80,000 directly this time, or will it first have a deeper pullback before breaking through?
:::$BTC $KO Time Will Prove COCA-COLA: Truly Surviving Bull and Bear Markets, Listed for 107 Years
Truly surviving bull and bear markets, COCA-COLA has been listed for 107 years. Over the many years of the US stock market, more than 5,000 companies have been delisted. After the great sifting, only a handful of enterprises remain standing.
It has gone through the Great Depression, multiple financial crises, high inflation, war shocks, and waves of consumer trends, with countless once-glorious companies falling, yet COCA-COLA has survived and continues to generate returns for shareholders.
In the short term, the market always has various noises: executives exercising stock options and cashing out, debates over valuation being expensive or not, commodity price disturbances, consumption fluctuating across regions, causing stock prices to rise and fall. In Q2, profits grew 17%, outpacing revenue growth of 7%. The iteration of sugar-free products, volume growth in emerging markets, and asset-light cost reduction and efficiency improvements are the current fundamental supports; 64 consecutive years of dividend increases and continuous free cash flow are the solid foundation for enduring cycles.
Of course, it is not without risks. Weak consumption, rising raw material prices, and changing tastes of the new generation are ongoing challenges. A century-old company will not always rise, but a strong brand moat and global channels allow it to withstand round after round of market reshuffling.
Five thousand companies have been eliminated by the times, yet it remains center stage. Time will test the true value of this consumer leader.#杰克逊霍尔临近，沃什能否明确政策路径
I am Cige. The Jackson Hole annual meeting officially kicks off this week, and Wash's debut is the most critical variable for the entire market.
After the July FOMC, Wash did not provide clear policy guidance, and market doubts about transparency have been accumulating. In this speech, he must at least answer one question: what data is the Federal Reserve actually looking at to decide the next move? If he can't explain clearly, the market will continue to fluctuate in the fog of rate hike expectations. PCE, GDP revision, and durable goods orders will be released this week; these data will directly test whether inflation still has stickiness. Wash's speech will combine with these data to influence the market, rather than being priced alone.
BTC has repeatedly been resisted and fallen back near 79500 to 80000, currently oscillating around 77500. The market has already expressed its attitude toward the 80000 level through price, lacking the willingness to continuously chase higher. If Wash's speech is hawkish, 80000 may be the phase top of this rally, with a pullback target between 74000 and 75000. If dovish, breaking through 80000 will reopen the upside space.
The Jackson Hole speech is the most critical node this week. Before that, heavily betting on any direction is gambling. Wait for the boot to drop before acting, and follow up once the direction is clear. Cige has finished speaking; savor it. $BTC $ETH $TRUMP #财报观察员：英伟达领衔，AI回报进入验证期
This week's real market test is not just Jackson Hole, but also NVIDIA's earnings report.
NVIDIA will announce its FY2027 Q2 results on August 26. Last quarter, the company’s revenue reached $81.6 billion, an 85% year-over-year increase; data center revenue was $75.2 billion, up 92% year-over-year. This means the market discussion is no longer about "whether AI demand is growing," but rather how long such massive capital investment can sustain a high growth rate. (NVIDIA Investor)
I believe there are three key points to watch in this earnings report.
First, whether AI computing power demand continues to exceed supply. Recently, NVIDIA has even partnered with institutions like Apollo, BlackRock, and Blackstone to promote over $500 billion in AI infrastructure financing, indicating the entire industry is still expanding, not contracting. (NVIDIA Investor)
Second, whether profit margins can be maintained. Now that AI server costs, memory prices, and data center construction costs are all rising, the market is no longer satisfied with just revenue growth; it is more concerned about how much profit this growth ultimately leaves behind.
Third, and most importantly—whether customers can truly make money from AI investments.
In the past two years, the market traded on "who owns the most GPUs." The next phase may trade on "who can convert these GPUs into cash flow."
This is also why I believe the AI market is entering its second phase:
Phase one validates the technology, phase two validates the demand, and phase three must ultimately validate the return on investment.
If NVIDIA’s earnings continue to significantly exceed expectations, the logic of AI capital expenditure can continue; but if growth remains strong yet the market is no longer willing to assign higher valuations, it may mean the core of AI trading has shifted from "growth speed" to "investment returns."
What truly deserves attention is not whether NVIDIA can continue to grow, but—
When will the AI industry start proving that these hundreds of billions of dollars in capital expenditures are really worth it? Review of today's operations: August 25th, 21:00
First, at exactly 8 AM, the Korean stock market opened, and I shorted two positions of SK Hynix based on my logic.
The Korean market opened at 8 AM, following the trading strategy I shared last night. Since the memory sector had positive catalysts, I expected SK Hynix to open flat and then rise. However, after the opening, SK Hynix fluctuated downward for the first two to three minutes, indicating that even with positive news, it couldn't strengthen, which showed weak buying interest. This was a shorting opportunity. I expected SK Hynix to decline about 4% by the Korean market close. My shorting strategy was swing trading; I closed my position before the Korean market closed. Later, at 8:30 AM, with about 2% profit, I chose to exit because I anticipated a round of buying at that level. Then at 9 AM, SK Hynix rose 2%, so I opened a second short position, expecting a drop of about 3%. Around 10 AM, it dropped about 2%. I chose to take profits again, feeling I was close to my target price. At this point, I shouldn't be greedy—better to lock in gains first. Subsequent rises and falls no longer concerned me; I only trade what I understand. From 2:30 PM to 9:30 PM, I didn't understand the market, so I stayed on the sidelines, waiting for a high-probability signal to appear.Another late night $BTC touches 80,000!
Dalio calls to buy coins, Standard Chartered says $100K is conservative
Tonight's market is interesting. During the day, there was concern $77K wouldn't hold, but late at night $BTC directly pulled back to $78,948, up 2.3% in 24h. More importantly, volume — $48.6 billion, a 62% surge compared to before. This is not a low-volume rebound; real money is chasing.
Big players are lining up. Dalio posted that one should underweight bonds, allocate 10-15% to gold plus a "small amount" of Bitcoin, saying this can reduce risk and increase returns. This statement from the founder of the world's largest hedge fund carries more weight than ten analysts calling a buy. Standard Chartered's Kendrick is even more direct: the year-end $100K forecast "might be too conservative," and a push to the previous high of $126K before year-end is possible. Honestly, coming from a week of record short liquidations, this is worth considering.
Capital is passing the baton. Last week, ETF net inflows hit $1.92 billion, the highest since October last year; Coinbase premium turned positive and held; whales increased holdings by $2.75 billion over 60 days. This round from $62K to $79.5K is essentially driven by Besent expanding Treasury repos (QE Lite) plus short squeeze resonance. Now that the short squeeze fuel is mostly burned, future momentum depends on spot demand. The 62% volume increase is a good sign, but sustainability remains to be seen.
But don't get carried away. RSI is still in the overbought zone, about 37% away from the previous high of $126K, and this year has seen multiple rebounds fizzle out.#杰克逊霍尔临近，沃什能否明确政策路径
This year's Jackson Hole, what the market is really waiting for is not a "hawkish" or "dovish" statement, but whether Waller can provide a clearer policy path.
The situation the Fed faces now is actually very difficult to handle: on one side, inflationary pressures remain stubborn, with energy prices and geopolitical conflicts continuing to increase the risk of re-inflation; on the other side, the economy and employment are showing some signs of cooling. More critically, in the July FOMC, three members voted to support a 25bp rate hike, indicating that internal Fed divisions over "whether to tighten again" are widening.
The market has even started to reprice the risk of rate hikes.
So what I am most focused on in this speech is not whether Waller will directly say "a rate hike in September," but three questions:
First, how does he define the nature of current inflation — a temporary shock, or has it re-formed into a persistent pressure?
Second, will he continue to emphasize data dependence, or will he proactively increase the weight on inflation risks?
Third, and most importantly: will he give the market a clearer reaction function — what kind of data combination will truly trigger the next rate hike?
If Waller continues to remain vague, the short-term market may become even harder to navigate, because bonds, the dollar, U.S. stocks, and crypto markets will keep repricing around every set of data.
But if he clearly tells the market: if inflation does not fall back, continued tightening cannot be ruled out.
Then Jackson Hole could become a node for repricing monetary policy expectations in the second half of this year.
I believe the biggest risk now is no longer "whether to hike rates" itself, but whether the market has fully priced in a world of maintaining high interest rates for a longer time, or even further rate hikes.
What do you think — will Waller choose to stabilize market expectations this time, or use Jackson Hole to actively shake the market? $INJ /USDT is showing strong bullish momentum with buyers holding control.
Structure remains bullish above the 5.70 zone.
EP
5.70 – 5.75
TP
TP1 5.80
TP2 5.95
TP3 6.10
SL
5.60
#BTCETFInflowsSurge #ETHTests2500 #OKXOutcomeF1TI15Recap Congressional holdings disclosures trigger short-term sentiment speculation, causing a sharp rise in attention to $BE and $INTC in the US stock market, but the lag in disclosure timing and the risk of buying at high levels form a core contradiction.
Holdings disclosures bring $15 million-level purchases into the public eye, and momentum-chasing funds quickly boost risk appetite, leading to highly concentrated short-term speculative positions in $BE and $INTC.
The driving factors, in order, are: retail preference recovery triggered by political figures' holdings, macro inflation expectations suppressing capital expenditures in clean energy and semiconductors, and institutional willingness to absorb the lagging disclosed information.
Bullish scenario: If market risk appetite continues to expand and macro inflation data does not exceed expectations, chasing funds will absorb the selling pressure from the disclosure lag period, pushing prices to break upward. At this time, the net inflow rate of retail funds needs to be observed; if the single-day net inflow drops by more than 30%, the bullish logic is invalidated.
Bearish scenario: If inflation rebounds delay rate cut expectations, high-risk appetite funds will first withdraw from policy dividend expectation stocks, and the $15 million-level concentrated positions will face liquidity squeeze. At this time, institutional funds' risk-hedging rotation actions need to be observed; if the rotation scale expands for two consecutive days, the bearish logic is confirmed.
An 88.4% historical win rate sample cannot hedge price adjustments during the disclosure window; if the overall market pullback leads to liquidity tightening, the sentiment premium brought by political chips will quickly dissipate.
The most important variables to observe in the next 7 days are institutional holding changes in $BE and $INTC and the transmission direction of macro inflation data.
#黄金突破4600美元，债券避险地位受挑战 #特朗普披露千笔证券交易，透明度受关注 #英伟达AI服务器或涨价超15%Final push
Bitcoin is approaching the 80000 mark. Whether it can hold this level is not just about tonight but crucially depends on the US stock market opening tomorrow morning.
The weekend spike cleaned out all the leverage, making the rally smoother with a lighter load. But the 80000 round number is more psychological than technical; the real resistance lies in the 81500-82000 trapped zone. Holding above 80000 tonight only means bulls are temporarily in control. To break through to 100000, the Federal Reserve must ease, otherwise it's all in vain. My judgment: the trend is upward with fluctuations, but don't chase the highs. Waiting for a pullback to 78500-79000 to enter long positions is safer than betting on a breakout.
Ethereum is really strong this round; 2500 feels as fragile as paper.
It surged from 2400 straight to 2500 with almost no pullback. I think the previous high at 2600 will be broken. The logic is simple — the exchange rate bottomed successfully around 0.032, and funds are starting to flow out of Bitcoin into altcoins, a typical mid-bull market characteristic. I placed a long order at 2450, waiting for a pullback to enter, targeting 2650.
BICO has been oscillating around 0.018 for almost two weeks, with low volume and sideways movement. Investing in something without capital attention is like giving away money; shorting on rallies is the right approach. Hynix and SanDisk, the storage sector overall is adjusting. Hynix's short-term weakness is an industry factor; strategy-wise it's fine but don't over-allocate.
BNB and OKB having independent rallies is not a bad thing. Platform tokens strengthening means funds are still in the market, just not flowing back into Bitcoin.
Finally, a word: crypto moving on its own logic is good. Constantly watching US stocks for trades will only get you slapped back and forth Today's market underwent a noteworthy change. Before the US stock market opened on August 24, traditional markets were under pressure, but the crypto market did not follow the weakening trend and instead continued its upward trend. Currently, $BTC is trading around $76,000–$78,000, with intraday trading close to $79,000; $ETH is holding steady in the $2,350–$2,480 range. This indicates that current crypto market buying may no longer rely solely on US stock risk appetite, and capital sentiment remains somewhat independent. Combined with recent continuous inflows into spot BTC and ETH ETFs, institutional demand remains an important support for the market. Therefore, it may be too early to directly judge that this rebound has ended. Next, I will focus on several short-term catalysts: 📌 whether BTC can hold above $79,000 📌, whether ETH can break through $📌 2,500, whether BTC and ETH ETF funds continue to maintain net inflows 📌, whether capital further rotates from mainstream assets to AI, RWA, and some high-beta altcoins, and whether the rebound can evolve into a larger trend depends on whether funds can continue to enter the market, rather than just looking at one or two candlesticks #BTC #ETH #Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #DailyOrbit#BTC fluctuates after rally, ETF funds continue to flow in #ETH fluctuates after reaching $2500 #ETH surges 30% in a week, entering a turnover phase after a sharp rise⚡
This round of ETH's explosive power clearly surpasses Bitcoin, rising from 1900 all the way to 2550, with a maximum weekly increase close to 30%. However, after the rally, momentum weakened, quickly falling back to around 2400 after touching 2550, a typical short-term excessive gain where the market needs to shake out and digest profit-taking.
The data is very convincing: last week ETH rose 29.8%, higher than BTC's 22.9%; on August 19, a single-day surge of 17.5%, jumping directly from 1917 to above 2250, the strongest rally since mid-April. The ETH/BTC rate rebounded to 0.031, a clear signal that incremental funds are flowing out from Bitcoin to altcoin leaders like Ethereum.
This rally is the result of three positive factors resonating:
First, Ethereum spot ETF net inflow of $697 million in one week, with institutional funds continuously entering;
Second, shorts liquidated $1.69 billion over three days, large-scale forced liquidations created a short squeeze effect, further boosting the market;
Third, US Treasury repos suppressed long-term yields, weakening the dollar, improving the overall risk asset environment.
On-chain supply also tightened, with ETH supply on exchanges down 15% in one month, total staking surpassing 42 million, and circulating sell pressure continuously decreasing.
The 2550 level failed to hold mainly due to severe technical overbought conditions. The daily RSI peaked at 86, price deviated 5.5% above the upper Bollinger Band, short-term chasing risks sharply increased, so funds naturally started to take profits and exit.
Key subsequent trading ranges:
Resistance above at 2440-2510; only by breaking and holding volume here can there be a chance to retest 2550 and then target 2750;
Core support below at 2210-2130; a valid break below this range would weaken the short-term strong structure.
Short term is very likely to oscillate between 2400-2500 for consolidation.
$BTC $ETH $TRUMP
#ETH fluctuates after reaching $2500$KO 3. Solid dividend attributes, with dividends increased for 64 consecutive years. The latest quarterly dividend is $0.53 per share, with the dividend payment executed on October 1. Cash flow is abundant, providing stable cash returns to long-term shareholders.
4. Strong growth in emerging markets, with Asia-Pacific single-unit sales up 8% year-over-year. China and India markets have become global core growth drivers; sugar-free products continue to explode, with global sugar-free cola sales up 16%, and product mix optimization continuously raising gross margin levels.
From a signal perspective, single executive option exercises and sales have no substantial impact on the company's fundamentals. COCA-COLA's Q2 performance exceeded expectations, with multiple brokerages raising target prices. The company's operations remain stable. Going forward, the key focus should be on whether there is large-scale voluntary reduction of holdings by board members and CEO-level executives, as that would be a more concerning signal.The last time BTC saw such a strong rebound, the real bottom is actually yet to come. Looking back at 2022, BTC quickly rebounded from around $19K to $22K+, with the market once believing the worst phase was over, but then dipped again and finally completed a true bottom confirmation near the $15K–$16K range. ETH also experienced a similar trend at the time. Now, as we move into 2026, the market is once again showing a similar structure worth watching: ₿ BTC: Quickly rebounded from around $60K, briefly surging toward $79K–$80K ETH: Rebounded from around $1.9K and is now back above the $2.4K area. But this time, there are some key factors that differ from the past. Recently, BTC spot ETF funds have flowed back into the market, recording a net inflow of about $1.6B+ last week, with institutional funds re-entering the market. Another variable worth watching is MSTR (Strategy). The company recently disclosed that it holds approximately 840,447 BTC in BTC and recently raised about $2B through equity financing, but has not yet continued to buy BTC. The market is watching: if MSTR resumes large-scale buying, could it become a catalyst for the next stage of the rally? So the real question isn't: "Will BTC and ETH continue to rise?" Rather: This rebound is just a strong pullback in a bear market, or is it institutional funds or ETFs? At 2 AM, gold has already sounded the alarm: Is BTC really in danger this time? 🚨
At 2 AM tonight, the US will announce the "strictest ever" sanctions plan against Iran. Just at this moment, gold has surged to a three-month high, as the market is pre-pricing the upcoming inflation and Federal Reserve policies.
What really needs caution is this chain:
Sanctions exceed expectations → crude oil rises → inflation pressure heats up again → Fed rate cut expectations cool down → BTC/ETH come under pressure.
Iran has also issued a tough warning: if the economic war escalates, it may restrict oil transportation through the Strait of Hormuz.
Interestingly, oil prices actually fell more than 1% today. This looks like a typical "buy the rumor, sell the fact" scenario—the market may have already priced in some of the negative news.
So next, there are two scenarios to watch:
🔴 Sanctions really escalate: oil prices soar again, inflation worries rise, BTC/ETH may continue to be under pressure.
🟢 Sanctions fall short of expectations: negative news is priced in, bearish sentiment releases, BTC might actually see a short-term rebound.
More importantly, this week also has PCE data + Powell's speech.
Gold is already telling the market: funds are seeking safe havens.
But BTC hasn’t followed, which is actually a warning sign.
From tonight until the data releases this week, volatility may significantly increase.
Don’t rush to bet on direction; wait for the market to give the answer.
$BTC $ETH
#DailyOrbit After the rise, the most easily overlooked risk often comes from sudden changes in the macro environment
BTC quickly surged from around $64,000 to the $79,000 range, rising more than 15,000 points in a short time, with market sentiment clearly heating up. But when the price enters a high-level range, investors need to pay attention to one question:
Can the funds driving the rise continue to take over?
Recently, new uncertainties have appeared in the market
Tensions between the US and Iran have escalated again, and related sanctions may increase volatility in the energy market. If rising oil prices push inflation expectations back up, the Federal Reserve's pace of rate cuts may be affected.
For risk assets:
Rising inflation pressure → declining rate cut expectations → slowing liquidity improvement → pressure on high-valuation assets.
This is also the logic that short-term BTC needs to be wary of.
On the other hand, ETF fund inflows have indeed provided support to the market. Recently, BTC spot ETFs have continuously seen net fund inflows, indicating institutional demand is recovering.
Current key BTC focus:
Resistance:
$78,000-$80,000 range.
Support:
Around $75,000.
Stay calm when rising, be patient during pullbacks.
The market always rewards those with a plan, not the most aggressive. $BTC #BTC冲高后震荡，ETF资金持续流入 $SNDK Tonight's situation with SanDisk can be understood as: in the short term, it is being "stepped on" by industry negative news, but the company's long-term logic and institutional attitude have not fundamentally reversed.
This pressure mainly comes from external concerns, rather than problems within the company itself.
The trigger for tonight's market: a sudden external negative impact
The most direct reason is a report from The Wall Street Journal stating that nine major tech giants carry about $3 trillion in off-balance-sheet AI-related commitments. The market worries that if these tech giants cut AI infrastructure spending in the future, storage chip stocks like Micron and Western Digital, which heavily rely on AI demand, will be impacted, dragging down SanDisk as well, with a single-day drop exceeding 5% at one point.
At the same time, some industry research points out that SanDisk and Kioxia's NAND technology lags behind competitors like Micron and Samsung in generational terms, intensifying short-term profit-taking sentiment.$BTC: The overall trend remains upward, but in the short term, it is in a "calm before the storm" phase—both bulls and bears are watching and waiting for a clear directional signal.
Current situation: High-level "consolidation," is it gathering strength or running out of steam?
After failing to break through $80,000, Bitcoin has entered a high-level consolidation. The current price is just above the key moving average (MA7), indicating strong consolidation. Behind this are two competing forces:
· Optimistic side (supporting forces):
1. Institutional inflows continue: In the past week, ETF net inflows exceeded $1.9 billion, and "whales" have been continuously accumulating, indicating that large funds have not retreated.
2. Favorable macro environment: A weakening dollar and the "currency devaluation trade" logic still provide bottom support for Bitcoin.
· Cautious side (suppressing forces):
1. "Fear of heights" sentiment: $80,000 as a psychological barrier carries heavy selling pressure; after the first failed attempt, the market needs time to digest.
2. Lack of new catalysts: No major policy or news stimuli in the short term, reducing the willingness of funds to chase higher prices. In 2022, $BTC dropped to around $17,700, then experienced a strong rebound, but eventually pulled back and sought support near $15,800. $ETH experienced a similar trend at the time—a crash, a rebound, and then another test of market confidence. As we enter 2026, the market seems to be unfolding a familiar script. $BTC rebounded strongly from around $58,000, once approaching $80,000; $ETH also regained the $2,500 area. But this time, there is a key difference: institutional funds are clearly returning. The latest data shows that the US spot $BTC ETF recorded a net inflow of about $1.9 billion last week, while spot $ETH ETFs attracted nearly $700 million in funds, totaling about $2.6 billion, making it one of the strongest inflows since 2026. ETF trading volume also surged sharply, indicating that this rally is not solely driven by retail sentiment. Recent news also provides support: market expectations for the U.S. crypto regulatory framework are rising, while macro liquidity and the dollar's movement have become important catalysts for risk asset rebounds. $BTC This week, it briefly surged to around $79,000 and experienced large-scale short covering. The real question to watch is: Has the cycle bottom been confirmed this time? Or another strong rebound driven by liquidity and short squeezes? Next, I will focus on whether 🔹 ETF capital flows can be sustainedBeen in the industry for a few years, this is the first time I'm seriously posting a review. Let's get real.
This week, there's only one word in the circle: recovery. BTC rose 23.5% weekly, climbing from 63,000 all the way to above 79,000, marking the largest weekly gain since March 2023; ETH +31%, XRP +53%, total market cap back to 2.63 trillion USD. I checked the data, this wave isn't retail sentiment, it's real money: US spot BTC ETFs had a net inflow of 1.92 billion USD in one week, the strongest week since October 2025, with BlackRock's IBIT alone absorbing 1.33 billion, net inflows for 5 consecutive days.
Why such a sudden surge? The core logic lies in "debt." US Treasury bonds officially broke 40 trillion USD this week, and interest payments have surpassed Medicare, becoming the government's second largest expenditure after Social Security — the key is, no one has a plan to repay. The Treasury also promised to at least double debt buyback scale to 4 billion USD. Bridgewater founder Dalio directly warned: the US may face a debt crisis within three years (±2 years), recommending allocating 15% to gold plus "a little bit of Bitcoin." Simply put, this is a "sovereign credit dilution" narrative — money is losing value, so buy hard assets. Gold simultaneously hit a 100-day high, same logic.
Policy is also warming up. Trump met with Coinbase and Gemini executives, pushing the CLARITY Act again, with a procedural Senate vote on September 15 (needs 60 votes); the SEC proposed new crypto regulations, the key being the "safe harbor" proposal — crypto tokens will no longer be categorically deemed investment contracts, small projects can be exempt from issuing 5 million USD within 4 years; the CFTC chairman even said: if the bill fails, CFTC will act on its own, even ready to greenlight leveraged trading. This is the clearest regulatory easing signal since 2021.
Technically, BTC reclaimed the 50-week moving average (around 77,750) and the 200-day moving average, both for the first time since November 2025; Saylor's holding cost line at 75,385 is back, and on Polymarket the probability of "90,000 before 2027" is already 48%.
But I have to pour cold water: the 80,000 level is a clear resistance, historically bear market rebounds often sharply pull back after strong weeks; and despite this week's gains, BTC spot ETFs have still net outflowed 2.9 billion USD year-to-date, with 4.5 billion running off in June alone — many haven't forgotten the 19 billion USD liquidation in October.
My judgment: the mid-term narrative (debt + compliance) is bullish, but don't chase highs at this short-term level, wait for a pullback that doesn't break 75,000 before discussing trend. First time posting, just sharing logic, no advice, welcome everyone to discuss.#BTC consolidation after surge, continuous inflow of ETF funds
Don't treat the short squeeze rally as a perpetual motion machine; you can be optimistic but not overly so
$BTC touched $80,000 tonight. This rally is no longer just a "short squeeze": it has risen about 22% in the past week, the US spot BTC ETF has had net inflows for 5 consecutive days, totaling about $1.92 billion for the week; meanwhile, over $4.3 billion in shorts have been liquidated, with ETF funds plus short squeeze forming a dual driving force.
More importantly, US Treasury repos, a weakening dollar, and Trump's push for the CLARITY Act are all improving liquidity and regulatory expectations for crypto assets.
My judgment: $80,000 is the trend confirmation level and also the short-term life-or-death line for bulls and bears. Holding above $80,000 targets $85,000; a pullback to $76,000–$78,000 with stabilization can be bought in batches; if it falls below $75,000, reduce leverage first. US crypto concept stocks all rose across the board, with Strategy up 5.1% and BitMine surging 7.47%
On August 22, US crypto concept stocks collectively strengthened. Strategy rose 5.1%, BitMine surged 7.47%, and targets like Robinhood, Coinbase, and Circle also rose simultaneously. This is not a simple sector-wide rally but a market revaluation of crypto assets after a prior correction.
The breakthrough of $BTC is the most direct trigger. Bitcoin surged intraday to the $80,000 mark, with a weekly gain exceeding 20%, marking the largest weekly increase in three years, accompanied by over $4 billion in short squeezes. Short covering amplified the upward momentum, which is why crypto concept stocks often outperform Bitcoin spot prices.
Strategy's rise reflects a dual effect of being a “Bitcoin proxy” and expectations of increased holdings. As the most representative Bitcoin proxy stock, its price is highly sensitive to Bitcoin's volatility. Meanwhile, the company recently established a $1.59 billion “USD cash pool,” strengthening market expectations for continued Bitcoin accumulation.
BitMine's surge reflects an overall rebound in crypto treasury stock. Ethereum recently rose about 2% to near $2,500, reaching the highest level since January. If Strategy represents the “Bitcoin proxy logic,” BitMine embodies renewed market attention to Ethereum and the crypto ecosystem.
On the macro level, improved liquidity provided support. The US Treasury announced doubling purchases of long-term bonds, briefly pushing yields lower and boosting demand for risk assets like Bitcoin.
Policy is also reinforcing expectations. Trump met with crypto industry executives urging Congress to pass crypto-friendly legislation, with the Senate scheduled for a full vote in mid-September. Clearer regulatory expectations help narrow valuation discounts in the crypto sector.
Institutional capital inflows provide more substantive validation. The spot Bitcoin ETF recorded $1.92 billion inflows last week, the largest single-week inflow since October 2025, indicating that medium- to long-term allocation funds are re-entering the market.
However, a rebound does not equal a trend reversal. Bitcoin's short-term gains are already large, and short squeezes often cause volatile rises; ETF inflows still need to be observed for sustainability; policy benefits have not yet fully materialized.
A more prudent judgment is that US crypto concept stocks are undergoing a strong rebound driven jointly by Bitcoin's breakthrough, liquidity recovery, policy expectations, and institutional capital inflows, but it cannot be simply equated with the establishment of a new crypto bull market.
What truly determines how far this rally can go is whether Bitcoin can hold the breakout structure, whether ETF funds can continue to flow in, whether macro liquidity can keep improving, and whether crypto regulatory policies can move from expectation to implementation.
#BTC冲高后震荡，ETF资金持续流入 $ETH The U.S. Treasury has significantly stepped up its efforts to support the long end of the bond market. It first doubled long-term Treasury buybacks from $2 billion to $4 billion per operation. It then signaled that the size of these operations could potentially increase much further. Now, there is even discussion around whether the Treasury’s nearly $950 billion General Account could be used to help fund these purchases. Yet despite these increasingly aggressive measures, the 10-year Treasury yi#BTC fluctuates after a surge, with continuous inflow of ETF funds
The capital structure has completely changed! Spot market exits, contract market controls, and high-level volatility is about to intensify!
This round of low-level rise was led by spot funds, with incremental funds entering and a steady trend continuing. But after reaching above 77000, net spot inflows have continuously dried up, long-term funds have stopped entering, and the market is entirely controlled by short-term contract leverage funds. A market dominated by contract funds = high volatility, high shakeouts, high false signals, and high risk. Without long-term funds supporting the bottom, the market lacks stability; even a slight selling pressure can trigger large fluctuations, and a small buying interest can cause impulsive bullish traps. All the current market chaos, repeated shakeouts, and false breakouts are caused by changes in the capital structure.
#ETH触及2500美元后震荡 $XAU Gold surges nearly 15% in one month: Why didn't safe-haven funds prioritize buying U.S. Treasuries this time?
Over the past month, gold has risen nearly 15%, while BTC has also strengthened significantly. Conversely, the yield on the U.S. 30-year Treasury remains near a 20-year high, and Treasury prices have not strengthened in tandem as they typically do during traditional safe-haven rallies.
Under normal circumstances, if the market is only worried about an economic slowdown, funds usually first flow into long-term U.S. Treasuries. But this time, gold and BTC rose, while long-term Treasuries weakened.
This suggests that market trading may not be just about "safe-haven" demand, but concerns over U.S. fiscal health and long-term monetary purchasing power.
U.S. government debt has surpassed $40 trillion, the fiscal deficit remains high, and the Treasury even needs to expand long-term bond buybacks to improve market liquidity. However, the problem is that buybacks can improve trading but do not solve why debt keeps increasing.
If the next wave of safe-haven funds no longer prioritizes U.S. Treasuries but shifts toward non-sovereign assets like gold and BTC, the entire pricing system for safe-haven assets may be undergoing a fundamental change. I'll also share my perspective; the short direction is consistent, but the reasons vary in emphasis.
I'm also bearish; I have a short position at 79,000 with 20x leverage, currently floating in profit, with the first target at 75,000.
Why short? Two core reasons:
First, the US-Iran sanctions issue—market pricing is too optimistic.
This time Trump is serious, "maximum pressure" 2.0 version, sanctioning all third parties doing business with Iran. This is not just talk; it's a real supply shock. If Brent crude oil surges to $100, US CPI will immediately rebound, and the Fed won't consider cutting rates this year. The market is still pricing in a "soft landing + rate cuts" scenario, but once forced to switch to a "stagflation" script, risk assets will be hit first. Bitcoin's rise from 64,000 to 79,000 barely gave shorts a breather, but once macro logic reverses, profit-taking will avalanche out.
Second, on-chain data has already issued warning signals.
In recent days, long-term holders have started massively transferring BTC to exchanges, with single-day inflows hitting recent highs. This is not retail behavior; whales are unloading in batches. Meanwhile, Coinbase premium index has turned negative, indicating US retail buying is weakening. ETFs are indeed inflowing, but the pace has clearly slowed, and incremental funds can't absorb the whales' selling pressure.
Summary: Sanctions push oil prices → inflation stickiness increases → rate cut expectations delay → BTC valuation under pressure. Coupled with whale selling + technical overbought, a pullback to 75,000 is reasonable. The direction is right, so hold on, don't be greedy, and take profits when it reaches there After the 2019 bear market bottom-fishing ended, 687 days later. In 2021, the first fleeing red bar appeared. After the 2023 bear market ended, 678 days later. In 2024, the first escaped red bar appeared. The two cycles are less than 10 days apart, almost the same rhythm. Now, 4 days and 2 hours have passed since the 2026 bear market bottom-fishing ended. According to the time windows of the previous two rounds, the real trend is just beginning. It's not about to end, but there is a detail worth noting: the cycle length is compressing. Last time was 9 days shorter than the one before last. Whether this time will be shorter, no one knows But the direction is consistent. Now is not the time for panic, but to wait patiently. Cycles repeat, but don't just chase the sword. You can refer to the rhythm. You need to judge the position yourself. $BTC $ETH #BTC冲高后震荡, ETF funds continue to flow in. #ETH触及2500美元后震荡 #OKX预言家: F1 and TI15 results revealed Recently, the volatility of $SNDK and $MU has indeed been quite large. They surged sharply earlier, and the pullbacks have been equally aggressive. Especially for SanDisk, short-term funds have clearly started to diverge, and there are quite a few shorts above on the market, so I think there's no need to chase longs right now.
But on my side, I have actually chosen to go lightly long on SanDisk. The logic is not that I think it’s about to take off again immediately, but rather that the core logic of this AI storage cycle hasn’t completely broken down yet. AI servers still demand HBM, high-performance NAND, and enterprise-grade SSDs. SanDisk and Micron are still benefiting from industry trends, not just speculating on a concept.
Micron leans more towards HBM and DRAM, while SanDisk directly benefits from NAND prices and AI storage demand. If storage prices continue to remain strong or even rise further, these two companies’ earnings will still have support.
Of course, the biggest problem now is that valuations and expectations are already high. After such a big run-up, the market is prone to sell-offs at the slightest disturbance, so my current light long position focuses more on entry point rather than betting on a guaranteed rise on any given day.
My view: SanDisk may still experience short-term fluctuations or even further shakeouts, especially since there are many trapped holders at high levels and short-term shorts, so it’s not easy to rally sharply in one go. But if the fundamentals don’t deteriorate significantly during the pullback, I’m willing to treat this decline as an opportunity to reassess. My current approach is light long, not blindly holding. If the logic changes, I will cut losses accordingly. What storage stocks fear most now is not dropping a few points in a day, but misreading the industry trend.Bitcoin Approaches $80,000, May Face Short-Term Consolidation After Strong Rally
Bitcoin approached $80,000 intraday on Monday, reaching a high of about $78,700, currently trading above $77,000. It has gained approximately 22% to 24% over the past week. Gold has also strengthened, rising about 6%. Meanwhile, tech stocks remain under pressure, with the Nasdaq 100 index down more than 3% over the past week.
This rally is mainly driven by two factors: the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a net inflow of about $1.92 billion last week, indicating a rebound in institutional demand; at the same time, short sellers covering their positions contributed to about half of the gains. The U.S. Treasury continues to advance and may further expand long-term bond repurchase operations, which has somewhat eased yield pressure and supported risk assets.
Market analysis suggests that after the rapid rise, Bitcoin may consolidate in the $74,000 to $81,000 range in the short term, with a chance to pull back to around $75,000 to $76,000 to digest profits. If it can effectively hold above $80,000 with sustained capital inflows, it could open the door to higher levels. The next key resistance is the 50-week moving average at about $81,000.
Some views warn that leveraged long positions have accumulated, making a significant next move more likely to be a pullback rather than a one-sided acceleration upward. Overall, Bitcoin has entered a critical observation period after a strong breakout. Attention should be paid to whether spot buying can continue to support the rally and how macro events impact market sentiment.
$BTC I am currently writing an article about the reinsurance sector, and if things go quickly, it will be published tomorrow.
This sector is one of the few relatively new areas in this round.
Also, while exploring the concepts of RWA and reinsurance, I have gained new insights.
Scale is indeed important, but the degree of distribution is the key.
On the XRP chain, a power token with a very high TVL was issued, and now the TVL has reached 2.2 billion, but how much distribution is there on-chain?
Very little.
Also, after the Q2 financial report disclosure from Securitize, I realized that the business model of RWA asset issuers does not have a completely positive correlation between profitability and asset scale.
To some extent, these RWA issuers are somewhat like service providers that specifically generate TVL data for various protocols, which can easily give a false sense of prosperity.📉 Brent crude oil fell 1.87%, sanctions have not yet been implemented, the market fled first
On Monday, Brent crude oil futures dropped 1.87% to $92.63 per barrel, WTI crude oil futures fell 1.97% to $85.35 per barrel. The energy sector was sold off across the board, with natural gas, gasoline, and heating oil declining between 1.68% and 1.88%
🔥 Last week surged too much, this week the market takes profits first
Both major crude oil benchmarks rose more than 5% last week due to the Strait of Hormuz navigation talks deadlock, and Trump also previewed the "toughest economic actions in history." But before the sanctions officially take effect on Monday, the market chose to take profits — expectations were too high, so the market fled before the boot dropped
📊 Strait of Hormuz traffic surged, supply concerns marginally eased
In the past two weeks, vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz soared from 39 to 192 ships, a 392% increase. Although total flow is still about 90% lower than pre-conflict levels, the market has already priced in the "strait is resuming navigation." Risk premiums have temporarily declined, naturally putting pressure on oil prices
💡 Bassett will hold a press conference at 2 AM tonight, the real drama has yet to begin
U.S. Treasury Secretary Bassett is scheduled to hold a press conference at 2 AM Beijing time on the 25th, expected to announce details of new economic sanctions on Iran. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard has already characterized the U.S. actions as an "admission of military failure," and the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council has even threatened to completely cut off oil transport through the Strait of Hormuz
Oil prices fell 1.87%, but the trump card is still in Iran's hands. After the sanction details are released, the market will reprice. This game is far from overThe recent $BTC above the $79,000 mark leans more towards a short-term consolidation technical correction/sideways correction to $BTC a healthy price structure, rather than a $BTC reversal to a long-term downtrend. Factors supporting the long-term upward momentum of the $BTC Monetary policy: The US Treasury Department expanded the scale of long-term government bond purchases to help reduce bond yields, thereby strongly stimulating capital inflows into risky assets such as $BTC. Institutional Cash Flows: Net Buying Capital Flows from E FundsBTC hasn't stabilized, and the altcoin "bull market" is just fireworks, so don't rush to go all in yet
Looking at today's rebound, it's not over yet, but it has already moved from a "short squeeze" phase to a "capital verification" phase. Last week, the combined net inflow of $BTC and $ETH spot ETFs was about $2.6 billion, with BTC at $1.92 billion and ETH at $697 million, showing clear institutional capital returning; BTC is fluctuating around 77,000 today, ETH around 2460, with 7-day gains still at 21% and 29% respectively.
My judgment: the trend is bullish, but short-term is more volatile. If BTC holds above 75,000, you can continue holding; if it breaks 80,000, look for acceleration; if it falls below 75,000, reduce leverage first. ETH is stronger than BTC, so pay attention to the 2400 support level.$KO COCA-COLA Latest News
COCA-COLA announced its Q2 2026 results, with revenue of $13.38 billion, up 7% year-over-year, and net profit of $4.438 billion, up 17% year-over-year. Profit growth significantly outpaced revenue growth, with operating margin rising to 34.9%, reaching a recent high.
Benefiting from lower raw material costs, an increased proportion of high-margin sugar-free products, combined with price adjustments and AI-driven cost reductions, the company's profitability continues to improve. After the earnings report, the full-year guidance was raised, expecting about 5% organic revenue growth and 9% to 10% earnings per share growth. The stock price hit a record high intraday following the earnings release.
The Asia-Pacific market performed strongly, with an 8% increase in case sales. The Chinese market is an important growth driver, continuously launching localized new products and expanding into functional soda segments. Going forward, attention should be paid to changes in global consumer sentiment and profit pressures caused by commodity price fluctuations. 🚨 Don’t get too bullish on $BTC and $ETH just yet.
There’s a major geopolitical catalyst coming tonight that could shake the entire market.
At 2 AM, the U.S. is expected to reveal details of its Iran sanctions. If the measures are harsher than expected and tensions escalate, markets could quickly reprice the risk around the Strait of Hormuz.
That could mean: 🛢️ Oil prices ↑
📉 Risk appetite ↓
⚠️ $BTC & $ETH face short-term selling pressure
#DailyOrbit Friends, don't get too bullish just yet There is a major event tonight that will have a significant impact on btc and eth. At 2 AM, the US will announce the details of sanctions on Iran, which could become a major short-term variable for BTC and ETH. If the sanctions exceed expectations and Iran escalates the conflict further, once the risk of the Strait of Hormuz is repriced, oil prices and risk aversion sentiment will rise, and BTC and ETH might face a pullback after a surge. But the market ha