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Media reports this morning reported that the US military has completed its strike against Iran. According to the three counterattack plans I mentioned yesterday—upper, middle, and lower— Based on current open-source information, this strike against Iran is relatively neutral 1. This strike will still focus on military facilities: Revolutionary Guard command centers, missile facilities, drone bases, coastal defense systems, and maritime defense forces, with a focus on military weakening 2. Specific target locations a. Bushehr, a city in southern Iran, an important military node in the Persian Gulf, and a key Revolutionary Guard military facility b. Abu Musa Island, an important node at the southern entrance of the Strait of Hormuz controlled by Iran c. Kish Island, the Persian Gulf islands, and tourist islands have simultaneously deployed key military facilities such as radar and logistics d. Avaz, an important logistics center in southwestern Iran 3. This two-hour attack struck dozens of targets, not continuous bombing, but precise targeted strikes 4. So far, Iran has reported three deaths, nothing more, and no clear military response has been made Overall, assessing this attack, the U.S. strikes on Iran focused on military facilities and related expectations, using targeted strikes to maintain a certain degree of restraint and not expanding to civilian sites. The focus is on attacking southern Iran, mainly to weaken military intervention in the strait, and has not targeted any major Iranian towns. This means Trump still maintains some room for negotiation and mediation. In summary, the current U.S. counterattack is neutral and has the option to move in an optimistic direction There are three aspects to pay attention to in the next 24 hours: 1. Will Iran retaliate against the United States? 2. Whether new military actions have occurred in the Strait of Hormuz, including Revolutionary Guard activities and harassment of oil tankers 3. Whether Trump has signaled the resumption of negotiations If options 1 or 2 appear, it means there is a risk of escalation in US-Iran tensions, causing oil prices to rise. If option 3 appears, it signals an optimistic downgrade for the US and Iran, leading to a drop in oil prices Of course, if the majority remain silent and there is no military friction or escalation, it would be a potential benefit, indicating that the parties are secretly negotiating and negotiating! #美军空袭伊朗, oil prices surged and then retreated