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This trend is as smooth as if someone designed it specifically for me. When the screen is full of green, I know no one is catching $FLOCK on this rise; the trading volume is low, and it smells like a bull trap.
During the intraday plunge, I signaled a short at 0.08365, but the volume didn’t follow; each rebound was weaker than the last. Right after reading the negative news, while others were still panicking, I actually felt more composed.
Looking back now, at 0.06453, +457.62%, those on board must be waking up smiling.
First, take profit on 70%, securing gains. Keep the remaining 30% at cost price as protection; if it continues to drop, let the profits run.
Now is not the time to rush in; wait for a new structure to emerge.
Being out of the market isn’t a sin; recklessly opening positions is the real mistake.
Don’t feel bad if you missed this wave; move when the next signal appears.
$BNB $DOGE #AI development anxiety heats up, regulatory discussions escalate
The drama in the AI circle is getting more interesting; the government finally can't sit still and is preparing to call all the tech giants' bosses to the White House for a "chat."
So what impact does this have on the crypto world? I'll break it down into two layers for everyone.
First layer, short-term sentiment transmission. On September 14, as related discussions heated up, chip stocks like Nvidia, AMD, and Intel collectively weakened. The market worries that a slowdown in large model development will drag down GPU demand and computing power investment. When tech stocks catch a cold, Nasdaq sneezes, and as a high-beta asset, the crypto market's short-term sentiment will definitely be pushed down. The big coin stuck at 74,000 is partly due to this.
Second layer, the AI concept coins in the crypto world will undergo a major reshuffle. Traditional giants now face third-party evaluations, regulatory reviews, and antitrust disputes. Those "AI concept" projects in our crypto world that only write white papers and don't even have products will only die faster. Funds will concentrate on places with real revenue and closed business loops.
Here's my view.
Don't listen to what the big shots say; real capital expenditure doesn't lie. This so-called "security anxiety" is essentially a political-business game and valuation management. The computing power arms race simply can't stop; whoever stops first will be eliminated in the next era. For us retail investors, now is not the time to chase those purely speculative concept coins. Holding mainstream assets is better than anything.
What do you think?
$BTC $ETH Standard Chartered calls $ARB to $10, but there's a bomb you need to know about today!!!
The market crashed sharply, but ARB rose 3% against the trend, reaching a high of 0.1593. Many people are confused, so I’ll help you clarify the logic.
Bullish logic (from Standard Chartered’s report today):
Standard Chartered Bank covers ARB for the first time, with a 2030 target price of $10, implying 70x upside from the current price. The core logic is that Arbitrum’s business model has changed—Robinhood Chain runs on Arbitrum Orbit and is expected to contribute $5 million in revenue in September, 5 times that of July. Arbitrum has transformed from an "L2 issuing tokens" to "infrastructure collecting tolls from TradFi."
Bearish logic (the bomb happening today):
On September 16, 92.63 million ARB tokens unlock, worth about $12 million, accounting for 1.4% of the circulating supply. The linear release by the team and investors will continue until 2027.
My judgment:
Standard Chartered’s report is a long-term narrative, but the unlock is today’s real selling pressure. ARB is currently in a game of "narrative improving but chips increasing." At the 0.159 level, some of Standard Chartered’s bullish factors are priced in, but the selling pressure from the unlock has not been fully released yet.
👇 Do you hold ARB? Do you think Standard Chartered’s $10 target will come first, or will the selling pressure from the unlock push it back to 0.13 first?
$ARB $BTC Bill fails to pass, 120,000 liquidations, market awaits FOMC
BTC: Lost key support, ETF still receiving
$BTC fell below 76,000, with over 115,000 liquidations in 24 hours. But on September 15, spot ETFs still saw a net inflow of about $147 million, with institutional buying continuing. Price is falling, but funds are buying — this divergence needs attention.
$ETH dropped even deeper, with the highest 24-hour liquidation amount, mostly long positions. The long-term logic of declining exchange balances on-chain remains unchanged, but leveraged longs are being liquidated.
$XRP: Leading the mainstream decline, but whales are buying
XRP once plunged over 10%, with a sharp 7.5% drop in 4 hours. However, dense buy orders appeared in the 1.38-1.39 range, with shorts liquidated over $2.02 million in one hour. The biggest drop attracted the strongest bottom-fishing funds.
Tonight's FOMC rate decision is the real verdict. The bill's short-term positive impact has fallen through, and rate hike expectations are fully priced in. Clarity Act dies in the Senate. Market gives back the “regulation hope” bid.
$BTC slid from ~$79.6k to $75.6–76.8k.
$ETH ~$2.4k,
$SOL ~$100.
$Cap ~$2.6–2.7T.
Futures volume up, OI down money is closing risk, not chasing.
Same day: oil ~$103, yields up, Fed today prices an 85% chance of a 25bp hike. The bill isn’t the only seller.
Take: $76k has been tested all month. Don’t long headlines. Size down, wait for the FOMC reaction.
Not financial advice. Your risk$ETH View ETH liquidation map
The 890 million long liquidation below is too eye-catching.
A large amount of long liquidation is piled up near 2288 below; once broken down, it will trigger a chain stampede of longs;
Above 2550, there is still a 1.5 billion short liquidation volume. If the price surges upward, shorts will be concentratedly liquidated, which will reverse and boost the market.
At 2 AM Beijing time on Thursday, the Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced. The market probability of a 25 basis point rate hike has exceeded 90%. Oil prices have risen above $100, and US Treasury yields have broken through 5%. Tonight is destined to be a fierce battle.
The key is not just whether to raise rates, but also to watch the statements at the Powell press conference and the dot plot. Once the news lands, it is easy to break through one side's liquidation pool, with the risk of two-way harvesting right in front of us. Positions must be tightened at such moments.
Tonight is so scary…😭 Now everyone is starting to get nervous… frightening👻 $SOL $BTC
#本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地? #CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议 I just don't believe you can still pump
A meme coin
If you have the guts, keep pumping, don't pull back
Blow up all the shorts
I went short and saw 0.23 0.22
This trade situation
Shorted USELESS
Entry average price 0.239
Small position
700 units
10x leverage
Target 0.23016
USELESS pumped 17% today
Rushed from 0.197 to 0.242
Pumped over 20% in one day
Typical meme coin hype
No fundamental support
Purely driven by sentiment
These coins rise fast
And fall even faster
MA5(0.23347) and MA10(0.22642) have caught up
But MA20(0.21892) is far away
The deviation is too large
Needs a pullback
Meme coins fear short squeezes the most
The more you short, the more it pumps
Blow up all the shorts then drop
So position size must be small
Stop loss must be set
Don't fight it head-on
Target 0.23
When it reaches, take half off first
Watch the rest at 0.22
If it keeps pumping
Stop loss at 0.2482 triggers exit
Don't hold the position
Don't fall in love with meme coins
Shorting meme coins
Is a short-term game
$USELESS $BTC $ETH
#本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地?
#交易之声:你的经验值得被听到 Brothers, many people say every day that CORE has no ecosystem.
I just checked the official ecosystem and found that quite a few things are actually running.
Molten is doing DEX, Volta is doing perpetuals, Colend is doing lending, VaultLayer is doing BTC staking and Smart Vault, and Fiamma has even launched the BitVM2 BTC cross-chain bridge.
These are not just "coming in the future" as stated on the roadmap.
These are things that are really already live.
Of course, having an ecosystem doesn’t necessarily mean the CORE price will do anything.
But at least when discussing whether a project has something, you have to first see if anyone is actually using it on-chain.
Otherwise, staring at the K-line every day to criticize the project is pretty pointless. $CORE #标普领投Kaiko,布局链上数据标准
S&P leads investment in Kaiko, expanding Series B to $110 million.
This round is just a top-up for something already in progress.
▪️ In March, the two moved the iBoxx US Treasury bond index onto the Canton chain—not as investable tokens, but as permissioned NFTs. S&P retains exclusive minting rights and can let tokens expire, embedding usage metadata for compliance verification.
▪️ On September 1, they merged over 4,000 indices into the "S&P Kaiko" brand—S&P issues licenses for distribution, Kaiko provides the data.
▪️ In June, they acquired Amberdata, their largest US competitor; this is the fifth acquisition in five years.
So this is not "institutions filling the data layer," but the index being turned into a data-version DRM. The index is not just data; it is a licensing agreement—whoever holds it decides what products can be built on this chain.
What really matters is not the $110 million, but the list: S&P, BNP, Royal Bank of Canada, Broadridge, Canton Foundation—almost their client list. Licensees have become shareholders; can procurement still be called procurement?
The missing data layer for RWA has indeed been built, but it is designed as permissioned: with access control, metadata, and expiration mechanisms. It’s not about filling gaps; it’s about fencing in.
The disagreement is not whether TradFi can fill the gap, but who should issue pricing power on-chain. Would you bet on the side with gatekeepers?$DOGE This short position basically captured the entire downtrend, from 0.08427 all the way down to around 0.07921, with unrealized profits having tripled.
The reason I can hold this position is mainly because the structure is quite clear. The 4-hour chart shows consecutive lower lows, with the price consistently below MA5, MA10, and MA20, and all short-term moving averages turning downward. The MACD green bars continue to expand, indicating that bearish momentum has not yet clearly weakened, and the previous volume surge during the drop also confirms that selling pressure is real.
However, the KDJ has already entered a low zone, and 0.07835 is a recently established short-term low, so it’s not suitable to blindly chase shorts here. I will continue to protect profits on my short position. If the price breaks below 0.07835, expect another acceleration down; conversely, if it climbs back above 0.0800, be cautious of a rebound. $BTC $ETH #本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地? $CRCL has climbed from a low of $57 in August all the way to $103, and the logic behind it isn't that complicated.
$BTC's strength + expectations for the CLARITY Act + the ARC mainnet launch on the 16th—these three major positives pushed the stock price up naturally.
But now the awkward situation has arrived: these three positives have either already materialized or haven't been fulfilled yet. So a pullback now doesn't surprise me at all. In fact, I personally feel this $CRCL dip isn't over yet. If you really want to buy, you might want to wait a bit longer.
The correlation between crypto-related US stocks and $BTC is still too high, and tonight's Federal Reserve interest rate decision is a big variable. If the rate hike is confirmed, it could trigger a rather abstract market reaction: bad news materializes → US tech stocks rebound. But $BTC might not follow. Also, don't forget, the CLARITY Act is not just an ordinary positive for $CRCL. Circle itself is a stablecoin issuer, so if the bill gets delayed further, its impact on Circle will be more direct than on typical crypto concept stocks.
So at this point, I prefer to wait.
#CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议 $ZEC ZEC this round, the bears might just become fuel again
Brother Kuan is reviewing ZEC today. The previous low hit 1085, then it oscillated between 1100-1130, like an old lady wandering the market, grinding down people's patience. But today it directly surged with volume, breaking through the 1136 resistance level, reaching as high as above 1190, almost touching 1200. Now it has pulled back to around 1183.
Tonight's Federal Reserve interest rate decision is the biggest thunderclap, but the market has pretty much priced in the rate hike already. The bad news landed, yet the price didn't continue to hit new lows; instead, it climbed from 1085 all the way to 1190, which itself shows that funds haven't fled and are still active inside.
So Brother Kuan is actually leaning bullish. In terms of trading, if it pulls back near 1136 but doesn't break it, you can lightly go long, targeting 1190-1200 first, and if it breaks, look higher. But tonight's Fed decision is the biggest variable, so don't go heavy, set your stop loss well, and don't be hard on your own money. #本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地? 📉 Bitcoin drops 4%! This cut is actually three cuts happening at the same time. $BTC
Brothers, BTC directly smashed through 76,000, with over 115,000 liquidations in 24 hours. Don’t just look at the drop percentage, you need to see clearly who is actually hitting this wave.
🔪 First cut: CLARITY Act vote failed miserably. 49 votes in favor, 50 against, didn’t even reach the 60-vote threshold. XRP, SOL and other so-called “digital commodities” named directly led the decline. Regulatory pass delayed, institutional entry rhythm forced to hit the brakes.
🔪 Second cut: Macro pressure maxed out. Oil prices broke 100, diesel broke 6, inflation can’t be contained. 10-year US Treasury yield nears 5%, Bassett will testify in the House tonight, funds simply dare not bottom-fish at this critical moment.
🔪 Third cut: Leverage chain explosion. After several days of decline, long positions piled up, once price broke key support, stop-loss and forced liquidation orders were triggered directly, forming a negative feedback loop of “drop → liquidation → further drop.”
💡 Next, watch two key levels:
One is the psychological 75,000 USD mark, breaking below may look for support at 73,000; the other is Bassett’s testimony tonight, if he turns hawkish, US Treasury yields will continue to surge, and BTC will remain under pressure.
Now it’s not about who bottoms out faster, but who survives longer. Don’t bet heavily on direction, keep your U ready, wait for the panic selling to finish before making a move.👇
Do you think this wave will drop to 73,000? Let’s chat in the comments.$BTC Evening Market Analysis
Over the past 24 hours, more than $670 million in positions were liquidated, with bulls accounting for over 70%
First, the CLARITY Act procedural vote failed by 10 votes, disappointing regulatory expectations
Second, the probability of a rate hike exceeds 86%, with the 10-year US Treasury yield breaking 5% for the first time since November 2023
Brent crude oil rose above $106, with geopolitical conflicts driving energy inflation, creating a secondary bearish impact on $BTC
Key support is at 74,800–75,000, which is the August rally high conversion zone; a wick pullback indicates support below. The first resistance is at 76,000–76,300, with a second level at 77,600
1-hour ADX is 43.8, indicating a clear short-term bearish trend
The Fear and Greed Index dropped to 52, shifting from "Greed" to "Neutral," falling 16-18 points in a single day
The market prices in over 86% chance of a rate hike, but personally, I expect rates to remain unchanged; surprises are not lacking in this market
If the market interprets this as "the Fed backing down under political pressure," long-term Treasury yields may actually surge, causing dollar movements to become chaotic
$BTC may rise first then fall, with doubts about the sustainability of the rebound
Key levels
Stabilization confirmation line is at 77,000; closing above this indicates that the dip below 75,000 yesterday was just liquidity sweeping
Downside confirmation line is at 74,967; breaking this may trigger programmatic selling, with a potential low near 72,000
#本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地?
#CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议 $SNDK is currently in a tug-of-war zone between the “AI long-term narrative vs short-term valuation digestion.” The fundamental trend is strong, but the more than 5x increase within the year itself constitutes the biggest risk factor. The $1,400–$1,450 range is the dividing line between bulls and bears; holding this range suggests a higher probability of consolidation and recovery, while breaking below it requires a reassessment of the holding logic.
At $1,530.90, it fell 1.36% intraday and slightly continued to decline after hours to $1,527.29. It has dropped 10.81% over the past week, a 5.43% pullback over the past month, and has retraced about 35% from the 52-week high of $2,354.39. However, looking at the longer term, the year-to-date gain still reaches 553.8%, with the stock price only $86.13 a year ago.
The $1,509.14–$1,579.99 range is currently near the lower edge of the recent consolidation zone. The 52-week range is $89.56–$2,354.39, with a volatility amplitude close to 26 times and a Beta value of 3.21 (high volatility), making it a typical high-risk, high-reward asset.
#AI发展焦虑升温,监管讨论升级
📌 What’s your view? Is this pullback the "boarding window" in the AI storage supercycle, or the start of valuation normalization? Share your judgment in the comments.
#本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地?
#CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议 Brothers, 2880 days, almost eight years of practical experience, today I’m revealing everything I’ve gained.
First, a bull market is not a place where you pick up gold coins everywhere.
Greed makes you choke; chasing every hot topic leaves you with nothing but scraps. My approach is simple: focus on one sector and only ride the main upward wave. For example, if AI coins explode, dig into that concept—see who starts first, who catches up, who is the true leader. Catch one, and you can ride the whole wave. You don’t need to catch every opportunity, just the one that belongs to you.
Second, always buy new coins, not old ones.
Don’t think old coins are treasures just because they’re cheap; most old coins are junk, designed to trap nostalgic holders. The market always prefers new stories, new expectations. New coins have popularity, capital, and room for imagination. Old coins give you sentiment but empty your wallet. In this cycle, the ones that run are basically new faces.
Third, cycles are iron laws.
The crypto world cycles every four years. At the end of a bull market, you must clear out all altcoins—no exceptions. When you see delivery workers and convenience store owners talking about which coin will multiply tenfold, the peak has arrived. If you don’t exit then, the bear market will make you suffer a 90% drawdown hell. This is no joke; it’s a bloody lesson.
The truly effective strategy is actually very simple. Don’t chase hot topics; you’ll always catch the tail. The market isn’t made profitable by smart people, but by those who survive the cycles and stick to the rhythm. Don’t rely on gambling or insider info; just follow the rhythm—buy when it’s time, sell when it’s time, take it slow $BTC Solana has produced another 990x Meme, but the gameplay behind PAID is more worth watching than the surge
The Meme market on the Solana chain has exploded with a fierce player.
According to GMGN data, the Meme coin PAID's market cap once surged past $20 million, with a 24-hour increase of over 990 times, then quickly fell back, currently valued at about $13.4 million. This kind of rise is very exaggerated, but what I care more about is not the 990x, but the UsePaid mechanism behind it.
Simply put, UsePaid is a "creator fee automatic distribution tool." Project teams can connect the creator fees generated by Meme coins to UsePaid, then the system automatically processes: 80% of the fees are converted into USD and paid to designated X users through X Money; the remaining 20% is used to buy back and burn PAID.
This is where it gets interesting.
Traditional Meme coins often rely on sentiment, community, and stories, while PAID tries to add a more direct economic cycle to this gameplay: projects generate fees → part goes to creators → part is used to buy back and burn PAID.
In other words, it aims to bind "people issuing Meme coins earning fees" and "PAID's own value capture" together. As more projects use this tool, theoretically the buyback demand could also increase.Last night's drama over the bill is over: 49:50, no passing means no passing. The market first took a hit on the bulls, with BTC dumped sharply near 75,000. The regulators have taken their hit quietly.
But don't think the selling is over—tonight the real big shot will speak.
A 25 basis point rate hike? The market has already digested that, with over 90% probability priced in, so the hike itself is no surprise. The surprise lies in what Powell says and the dot plot: if he says "just this once, then watch the data," that's a full clearing of bad news, and the rebound could be strong; if he subtly leaves the door open for "more hikes to come," then the 5% bond yield noose tightens again, and risk assets won't get relief.
Look at today's market, it's exactly like closing windows before a storm:
The approach remains:
Don't rush to call a bottom before 750 breaks;
The rebound looks more like a target for shorts, not a reversal;
The 776–783 range is a hunter's zone, not a buy zone. After a US stock sentiment rally, it's easier to trap bulls and then get killed by news;
If you want to short, wait for the rebound into the range before acting, don't enter early.
Tonight is the minefield; heavy positions are like blind bets. Manage your position size well and don't skimp on stop losses. This is all prediction; everything depends on actual market action. $BTC $ETH In the morning, I said that when things are abnormal, there must be something fishy, and in the afternoon, a big fish really showed up!
If you dare to pull tricks, I dare to short you.
Brothers, all in, adding to the short position!
Today, the $ZEC community vote brought a small positive, with 99.9% supporting shortening the block time. The price actually rebounded from 1086 to 1198, looking quite strong.
But on the other side?
The Clear Act was directly rejected in the Senate by 50 votes to 49, the FOMC rate hike probability is as high as 79%, Bitcoin plunged 5%, and Ethereum crashed 8%.
With such a big negative hitting, ZEC barely fell and was instead lifted by the small positive.
Isn't this very suspicious?
In this situation, the manipulative whales are most likely using the small positive to pump and dump.
The big negative impact is not absent; it's just temporarily suppressed. Once the selling is done, none of the bad news will be spared.
On-chain data further confirms this.
On one side, new whales have accumulated over 12,000 ZEC in a week, while on the other, old whales keep adding to their short positions up to 39,760 ZEC. Bulls and bears are fiercely clashing around 1130.
In the same price range, profit-taking is happening while new funds are building positions, and macro negatives keep piling up.
Chasing the rally in this market is actually not cost-effective.
I have already added to my short at 1176.
Now that the small positive is exhausted and the big negative is pressing down, what can hold 1170?
Short brothers, hold your positions tight, don’t be fooled by this fake rally into getting off.
$BTC
$ETH
#本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地? Whale order cancellation scam! $SKHYNIX surged wildly to 1285, Intel's nuclear bomb detonated, will the shorts be wiped out tonight?
Today I was watching Hynix and almost got fooled by an on-chain whale. Yesterday there was still a buy order at 1160, but today it was directly withdrawn to 1080, clearly trying to suppress the price to scare people. Then Intel suddenly announced it would build chips with Hynix on US soil. With this positive news, the market jumped straight from 1220 to 1285.
Looking at the capital flow chart, score +53, net inflow ratio 83%, crazy buying of 91.86 million in 7 days. This is not selling off, it's accumulation. On the liquidation chart, all short positions are between 1294 and 1315, while the long positions above 1220 have just been washed out.
Main direction: Long.
Long: Aggressive entry at 1285, conservative entry at 1250-1260. Target 1315, if broken look to 1350.
Secondary direction: Short.
Short: Light short positions only when blocked at 1294-1315, or short on break below 1250. Target 1240, if broken 1220. Quick in and out, don't get attached to the fight.
The whale didn't get a bargain, likely to chase higher later. Intel's positive news is solid, don't go against the trend. For specific points and signals tonight, follow Tang Seng, who will provide real-time updates. #本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地? The CLARITY Act did not advance. How much did BTC drop?
There is an easily overlooked issue in crypto regulation:
Who makes the rules, and how stable are they?
Congressional legislation, SEC/CFTC regulatory rules, enforcement actions, court rulings—all seem to be called "regulation," but their stability varies.
After this procedural vote failed, the US crypto market structure still relies more on the existing regulatory agencies' authority and subsequent rulemaking.
So when reading the news, pay close attention to:
Law → Regulatory rules → Enforcement actions → Court rulings
See which layer it is and what it can change.
#CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议 The final calm before the storm? The market is already a bit too tense 😤. The market has been really tormenting these past two days. It crashes a little higher, then drops again, and BTC keeps stuck in the range, repeatedly inserting needles. It looks like it hasn't dropped much, but the real pain lies here: everyone seems to know a big swing is coming, but no one knows where the first big bullish or bearish candlestick will go. Before the FOMC results fully materialize, funds are clearly reluctant to bet on direction early. Combined with oil prices, US Treasury yields, and geopolitical risks, what the market lacks most now is not a story, but certainty. So I actually think the quieter it is these days, the more we must not let our guard down. $BTC The market is still anchored for now. If it can hold around 76,000, at least it means the bottom support is still there; But before ETF capital flows and interest rate expectations clearly shift, it's also very difficult for the upper side to truly break through. Right now, BTC seems more like holding in direction. Not falling doesn't mean it's about to rise; Not rising doesn't mean it's about to crash. What really matters is which side of the range is effectively broken through first. $ETH is actually worth focusing on. BTC can still grind sideways, but ETH often exposes market sentiment early. Once risk appetite weakens, its volatility usually amplifies rapidly; But if funds flow back again, ETH is also likely to outperform BTC. So at this level, I prefer to treat ETH as a market sentiment thermometer. $SOL is even more extreme. Risk appetite$BTC The market has already highly priced in a 25bp rate hike, so the focus is no longer on "whether to raise rates," but on what he says after the hike, especially whether he defines this as One-and-Done or hints at a second rate hike later. 1️⃣ 25bp + Dovish If Warsh emphasizes continuing to watch the data without clearly hinting at consecutive hikes, then even though oil prices and long-term bonds are poor now, the market might first trade a "bad news priced in" scenario. In this case, watch$AAVE This position is still moving downward, the short position at 126.49 has currently reached +299.62%, with the current price pressed near 118.91. The previous surge to 133.60 failed to continue, the 4-hour structure has weakened all the way, and now the price is below MA5, MA10, and MA20, with short-term moving averages also forming a bearish alignment.
The MACD green bars continue to expand, indicating that the bearish momentum has not yet fully released. However, the KDJ has already entered a clear oversold zone, so chasing shorts here is prone to a rebound.
I am still holding this position for now but will start protecting profits. Next, watch if the 118.69 area can be effectively broken down; if broken, there is room to extend downward; if it recovers back above 121-122, be prepared for a technical rebound. $BTC $ETH #本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地? The CLARITY Act failed to advance, yet $ZEC is showing relative strength. But I wouldn’t rush to call this the start of another rally.
The Senate vote ended 49–50, while $BTC remains under pressure. ZEC recently fell from around $1,300 before recovering toward $1,100 and briefly above $1,200.
For now, I’m watching whether ZEC can hold the rebound with strong volume. If momentum fades, another pullback is possible.
Strength is interesting—but confirmation matters.
#CryptoRevenueVsBTCAt 2 a.m., the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision landed. I'll share my most genuine and practical understanding of the market situation, without any clichés.
This decision was overall more hawkish than expected, with a rate hike implemented + maintaining high interest rates, completely dismissing any expectations of rate cuts within the year. Many people's previous hopes for easing were directly shattered by the market today. In my view, this market move is entirely a reaction to the gap in expectations; the market was overly optimistic beforehand, which caused a clear emotional pressure once the news landed.
My core viewpoints are straightforward:
First, this is not a devastating negative factor, but a negative that reshapes the rhythm. The Fed this time only corrected the rebound in inflation and did not start aggressive tightening, so there is no basis for a sustained large market drop. It's more about shaking out positions, grinding, and digesting emotions.
Second, the overall environment in Q4 has already changed. There will be no strong bull trends ahead, only structural fluctuations. All fantasies of one-sided rallies must be abandoned. Under high interest rates, the market's tolerance for errors is extremely low; chasing highs is a sure way to lose, while buying dips for arbitrage is the mainstream approach.
Third, and what I value most: the negative news landing equals the biggest emotional release.
The pattern of Fed-related market moves is always the same: panic before the news, a turning point after the news lands. Now all hawkish expectations have been fully priced in at once, short-seller momentum has been fully released, and the short-term sell-off is basically nearing its end.
In summary, my trading approach:
Do not blindly be bearish or chase shorts in the future; pullbacks are opportunities, and volatility is the norm. Control your position size, give up aggressive short-term speculation, wait for market sentiment to stabilize, then seize the repair rebound after this landing.
For Q4 trading, stability is paramount, and following the trend is king. $BTC $BTC sets the liquidity regime. ETF flows, real yields, and higher-timeframe support decide if alts get oxygen.
$ETH is crypto duration. It needs fee demand and product inflows, not just a BTC bounce. Underperformance vs BTC is the default until that flips.
$XRP reprices on policy and payments headlines, then still sells when the whole book de-risks.
Read BTC first.
DYOR.1-hour chart, the larger timeframe is in a consolidation range. Yesterday, the price steadily declined, falling to the lower boundary of the consolidation range, which is also near the lowest point of the entire range. It then quickly rebounded. During this period, both open interest and CVD fell synchronously before recovering. The decrease in open interest and the CVD turning negative indicate that many long positions were stopped out when the price reached this level. However, the price then rebounded, and both open interest and CVD rose again, indicating that the previously stopped long positions were reopened, betting on the continuation of the consolidation. In summary, there is indeed some support at this level. At the same time, open interest continues to increase, and CVD returns near the zero line, but the price does not rise. If the main force chooses to push the price up now, the momentum would be too heavy at the front, which is not the path of least resistance. Therefore, the price may experience a second dip, creating a new minor low, followed by a quick rebound that clears out the hastily entered long positions. At that time, observing a reduction in open interest and a continued negative CVD would present a good buying opportunity. However, if the price breaks below the previous low with a surge in open interest and a sharp drop in CVD, combined with the long consolidation period, it is likely to trigger a strong one-sided move, leading to a high-short trading scenario.
【The price may make a second dip and quickly rebound, presenting a buying opportunity; if volume increases and the price breaks below the previous low, a one-sided move may begin (due to the long consolidation period)】$BTC $ETH $HYPE #ThisWeekFOMCReveal, Will the Rate Hike Land? #CLARITYBillVoteBlockedCausesControversy 150,000→12,300,000→1,000,000, all within just over a month.
In August, Maji caught the $ETH rally from 1900 to 2500, rolling positions to go long, turning 150,000 into 12,300,000 at one point.
But in September, ETH fluctuated repeatedly between 2400 and 2600, and he was continuously stopped out, with the 12,300,000 eventually reduced to just 1,000,000.
Even more extreme, he currently still holds a 25x long position of 12,500 ETH, with a nominal value of about 29.97 million USD, an opening price of 2468.23, and an unrealized loss of about 760,000 USD.
The liquidation price is less than 100 USD away from the current price.
ETH is now at 2395 USD; if another sharp drop comes, it could be liquidated immediately.
In the past week, his $HYPE, $BTC, and PUMP long positions have been successively stopped out, with a realized loss of about 3.99 million USD, but this ETH position has not been reduced.
🚨 High leverage rolling positions: the faster the account grows when profiting, the harsher the drawdown when losing.
Turning 150,000 into 12,300,000 is legendary, but without risk control, 12,300,000 might just be a fleeting number in the account.🚨 BTC: Price hits new lows, but momentum hasn't followed
Bitcoin just broke below the $74,000–$76,000 support zone.
But notably: RSI has shown a bullish divergence.
📉 Price keeps making new lows
📈 RSI is not weakening in sync
This indicates a divergence in downward momentum. If this structure holds, BTC may see a strong technical rebound later.
My view:
Don't chase shorts in the short term; focus on whether BTC can reclaim the $74,000–$76,000 zone.
🔹 Reclaim and stabilize → watch for rebound continuation
🔹 Rebound fails to recover → still need to guard against a second dip
🔹 RSI divergence fails → bullish thesis weakens
Core logic: Price is weak, but momentum is starting to refuse further weakening.
#BTC #Bitcoin #比特币 #加密货币 $BTC Price action compresses near intraday low bounds at $BTC $75,572.5 (-0.08\%), as institutional limit orders absorb ongoing sell-side flow above the$BTC $74,955.5 liquidity sweep target. **Quantitative Liquidity Metrics** 24H Volatility Bounds: $BTC $74,955.5 –$BTC $77,348.9 Spot Turnover Aggregate: $663.33M USDT (8.71K$BTC) Primary Bid Density / Structural Demand: $BTC $74,955.5 –$BTC $75,500.0 Overhead Supply / Liquidity Sweep Targets: $BTC $76,279.2 –$BTC $79,896.3 **Microstructure & StruOn September 15, the U.S. Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act, causing BTC to drop about 4% and ETH to drop over 6%; More notably, BTC and ETH spot ETFs combined saw a net outflow of about $592 million that day. But this is not just a simple "regulatory headwind." Meanwhile, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury briefly broke above 5%, and market expectations for a 25 basis point Fed rate hike reached about 93%. When risk-free yields rise, institutions naturally reassess the funding costs of highly volatile assets. 🧠 I think the most noteworthy points are:
In the past, the market often misunderstood ETF inflows as "bullish by institutions." But what really matters is whether these funds are still willing to stay when macro interest rates and regulatory expectations deteriorate simultaneously. If ETF funds recover quickly afterward, it suggests this time it feels more like short-term risk repricing; Conversely, it would require a re-examination of how strong institutional demand was before. 👀 The question arises: Is this round of institutional demand for BTC a long-term allocation, or is it a risk exposure that only exists when the macro environment allows? $BTC $ETH $SOL #CLARITYActSept15 #RobinhoodChainRevenue #BTCGoldRatioHigh $RAVE Did nothing, just went to make instant noodles, and when I came back, the candlestick had already closed my short position for me.
Last night before bed, I watched RAVE; every rebound was suppressed, with obviously insufficient support, heavy false breakout signals. While others were waiting for a breakout, I signaled a short near 0.2097 with one logic: the upward push lacked momentum and volume.
When the market was just crushed in the morning session, 0.1692 gave the answer directly, floating profit +386.26%, worth the wait. The earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is truly sweet; those on board should have woken up laughing.
Don’t lose patience in the consolidation and then try to regain dignity in a one-sided move. Hold if the trend is intact; run if it breaks.
Take profits first, close 80%, keep 20% at cost price for protection. Let profits run if it continues to drop, and don’t let gains become uncomfortable on a rebound. Brothers, watch your profits, don’t be greedy for the last bit.
Now is not the time to rush; wait for a more comfortable position in the next round. I’ll notify immediately when a new structure emerges.
$DOGE $SOL CLARITY only received 50 votes, BTC falls toward 75,000: This time it's not just regulatory bearish news
The crucial 60-vote test for CLARITY has given its answer: the Senate procedural vote only got 50 votes in favor, 10 votes short of advancing the bill.
The market quickly traded this as regulatory bearish news, with BTC dropping below $76,000, hitting an intraday low of about $74,913.
But there is an important conflict in the data: before the voting results were announced, BTC had already dropped to about $75,560.
The reason lies in another pricing line—the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield broke above 5%, near the highest since 2007, with the Fed expected to raise rates by 25 basis points today.
Therefore, the more accurate current research conclusion is: the failure of CLARITY has expanded the regulatory discount, but this round of decline also includes a macro interest rate shock.
If after digesting the voting impact BTC still cannot recover $76,000, and the 10Y yield remains above 5%, it indicates that the dominant variable has shifted from a single regulatory event to a "double discount".$ZEC This wave has shown some flavor again. The long position around 1099.78 has now reached +350.07%, with the price pulled up near 1176. On the 4-hour chart, it has retaken MA5, MA10, and MA20, and the short-term structure has clearly strengthened.
This time it's not just a single surge; MACD has turned positive and continues to expand, and KDJ has also turned upward again, indicating that capital support is still present. The first resistance to watch above is around 1193, then further up near the previous high at 1224.
ZEC itself is a well-recognized veteran coin in the privacy sector, and its explosive power has never been weak when a real trend emerges. I'm not in a hurry to move this position for now, but the profitable positions will start to be protected by raising stops. Whether it can continue to gain depends on whether 1193 can be effectively held. $BTC $ETH #本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地? 🔥Big Bitcoin $BTC isn’t falling today, it’s being squeezed into a sandwich. $BTC today’s vibe: On top is the US 10Y Treasury yield breaking 5%, below is the CLARITY Act in the Senate failing 49:50, not reaching 60 votes, and in the middle is tonight’s FOMC hanging like a suspended knife. 🥪 Price movement: Asia session opened dreaming at $78k, then got pierced down to $76k overnight. Lowest at dawn was $74,984, almost smashing the $75k psychological barrier into a meme. Now it’s bounced back ar
今天盘面其实挺适合冷静算一笔小账。
BTC 还在 7.5 万美元附近反复,ETH、SOL 也跟着回撤。更关键的是,比特币 ETF 出现约 4.5 亿美元级别流出,监管投票受挫、长仓清算、降息前预期摇摆,全都叠在一起。市场现在不是简单的“看多看空”,而是在重新给流动性和现金流定价。
但普通用户最容易忽略的,往往不是大新闻本身,而是新闻过后自己的钱会怎么被卡住。
很多人一看到回撤,第一反应是补仓、等反弹、看支撑位。问题是,你接下来 24 小时到 7 天要花的钱,不会因为你还没想清楚方向就暂停。AI 会员该续还是要续,代码助手、云服务、设计工具、团队账号该扣还是会扣,购物预算和礼品卡也不会等行情站稳。
最尴尬的场景是:账户里明明有资产,但临到 29.9 美元的 AI 订阅、50 到 100 美元的购物额度,才发现这笔钱还在投资路径里。于是又要临时换资产、等确认、找支付方式、处理失败回退。金额不大,折腾感很强。
我现在越来越觉得,回撤日最该做的不是立刻判断自己是不是看错了,而是先把“确定会花的钱”从波动仓里拎出来。
交易资金可以继续承受波动,稳定余额可以留作机动,但订阅和消费预算#数字资产信息合规受关注
The material framed this as "the industry's compliance boundaries becoming clearer." But what’s truly worth noting is how they were caught.
On 9/15, the U.S. Department of Justice charged two former Robinhood engineers—they used the company’s internal token listing announcements to open perpetual contracts on Hyperliquid before the tokens were listed, each profiting over $50,000. They executed more than 20 trades, splitting funds across multiple wallets, using small batch trades, and transferring funds via cross-chain bridges.
▪️ They were caught not by internal audits, but on-chain: Hyperliquid’s order book, positions, and timestamps are all public. Independent analysts had flagged those wallets even months before the indictment, ahead of the listing announcements.
▪️ One wallet cluster even opened short positions just hours before Robinhood’s quarterly earnings release.
The disagreement isn’t about whether decentralized exchanges are regulated, but about "anonymous" and "public" being two sides of the same coin. They thought they could hide on a chain without a central authority and no KYC; ironically, this chain records every transaction with timestamps accurate to the second. Those trying to hide chose the worst possible place to do so.
The real issue is: the token listing list is material non-public information within the brokerage, and that responsibility doesn’t disappear just because the orders are executed on-chain. This precedent is set, and the entire industry’s employee trading monitoring needs to be redone.
Can a decentralized shell shield against traditional legal enforcement?$XTZ This position was held from 0.2988 all the way down to 0.2432, with unrealized short profit already reaching +372.15%. There has been basically no decent counterattack from the bulls along the way; every rebound was suppressed, and the 4-hour structure is getting weaker and weaker.
Currently, the price is pressed below MA5, MA10, and MA20, with all short- and mid-term moving averages turning downward. The MACD bearish bars continue to expand, indicating the trend has not yet reversed. However, the KDJ has already entered a clear oversold zone, and around 0.2427 is another short-term low point. Chasing shorts here is a bit late.
I will continue to hold my existing position, focusing on whether 0.2427 can be effectively broken. If it truly breaks down, there is more room below; if it quickly recovers above 0.25, then prepare for a potential oversold rebound. For profitable trades, what matters later is not courage but how to protect the profits. $BTC $ETH #本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地? CLARITY did not pass, and the entire crypto market was hit hard
$BTC fell below 75,000, and $ETH and altcoins also collectively dropped
The result hasn't even been officially announced yet, but the crypto market had already fallen in advance
Could it be that the market knew the result all along?
I don't think we can jump to that conclusion. A more likely scenario is that the market had already been trading on the expectation that CLARITY would not advance, combined with BTC itself being weak, so the result only amplified the panic further.
So is this drop really caused by CLARITY, or is CLARITY just taking the blame for the whole market?
Personally, I lean towards the latter.
A single voting setback may affect short-term regulatory expectations, but I don't think it is enough to change the long-term direction of Crypto development.
$BTC spot ETFs also went through multiple setbacks and repeated struggles back then, so I am more focused on how the subsequent regulatory framework will continue to advance, rather than the win or loss of a single vote.
Next, there is an even more important verification point—the FOMC.
If after the FOMC, BTC can stabilize again around 75,000, then last night's panic might not be as severe as imagined; if it continues to break down, then what is really weighing down the crypto market might be more than just CLARITY.
Next steps:
I still believe we are in the early stage of a bull market, so I will patiently hold spot positions. For truly long-term valuable coins, I will continue to buy in batches during dips, but I won't fully load my position at once.
#CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议 #中东能源风险推高油价
Two energy lifelines are simultaneously facing issues, pushing oil prices up to $105-109, but what's more dangerous is that this is not a short-term spike. The Saudi pipeline repair will take 3 to 5 weeks, meaning high oil prices will likely remain locked in until at least October.
WTI closed at $104.87, Brent at $108.53, both hitting multi-month highs. The Saudi East-West oil pipeline segment between Riyadh and Medina was attacked by drones on September 10, leading to a preventive shutdown of the artery with a daily capacity of 7 million barrels; repairs are expected to take 3 to 5 weeks. In the Strait of Hormuz direction, on September 13, an Iranian merchant ship was attacked near Qeshm Island, resulting in 1 death and 4 injuries; Oman talks have been postponed indefinitely.
Transmission chain to the crypto market: The surge in oil prices is suppressing BTC through inflation expectations. On September 10, the day Brent crude broke $100, BTC fell below $77,000, hitting a low of $76,676. The core CPI in August rose 0.3% month-over-month, exceeding expectations; continued oil price increases mean the energy component of the September CPI will likely worsen further. CME data shows the probability of a rate hike in September has been pushed to about 90%. BTC is currently around $75,900, significantly down from the early September high of $82,278. Core CPI month-on-month 0.3%, non-farm +162,000: Tonight's rate hike is almost certain, but the key is "how many times".
I lean towards "only once," based on two points.
First, the Fed's own dot plot has set an upper limit: the June SEP median shows rates at 3.8% by the end of 2026, dropping to 3.6% in 2027, and 3.4% in 2028, indicating a pattern of one hike followed by stabilization and then a decline, not continuous tightening.
Second, most economists surveyed by Reuters still expect no change this month and rates to remain steady until the end of 2027. The divergence between market front-running and institutional caution itself is a source of volatility.
The real variable is oil prices. Brent crude has returned above $106, and the transmission from energy to core inflation is just beginning. If supply disruptions escalate, the market will directly price in the next meeting rather than debate this one.
$AEON Starting from July 13th this year, I set a very simple rule for myself: to publicly record my trading strategies. Regardless of whether they are right or wrong, whether they end in profit-taking or stop-loss, or even strategies that never entered the market, I record them all. Today, the 40th issue has been completed. Forty issues — not too long, not too short. If you just read one market analysis every day, it might seem insignificant. But when I put all 40 issues together and review them again, I truly realize that trading is completely different from what we imagine. Sometimes the judgment is correct, sometimes there are consecutive stop-losses; sometimes I see the right direction but fail to enter, and sometimes after entering, I hold on to the point of doubting myself. But this is exactly why I persist in writing trading logs. I don’t want to prove that I’m right every time, but to see exactly where I went wrong. Being wrong is not scary; what’s truly scary is not knowing why you were wrong after the fact. 1. Let’s first look at how “smooth” I was in the first 20 issues. The data from issues 1 to 20 is actually very impressive. BTC had a total of 20 strategies: 10 not triggered, 10 actual trades, 9 profitable, 1 loss, a 90% win rate. ETH also had 20 strategies: 10 not triggered, 10 actual trades, 9 profitable, 1 loss, a 90% win rate. BTC+ETH combined had 40 strategies: 20 no entry, 20 actual trades, 18 profitable, 2 losses, an overall win rate of 90%. The 90% figureThis $ADA trade continues downward. The short position opened around 0.2086 has now been pressed down to 0.1931, with unrealized profit reaching +371.52%. Many previously thought it should rebound after such a drop, but the 4-hour structure has not given a true signal of strength.
The price has continuously broken below short-term moving averages; MA5, MA10, and MA20 are all trending downward, and the rebound highs keep moving lower; MACD remains below the zero line, with no clear end to bearish momentum. Around 0.193 is close to short-term support, so I won’t chase shorts here anymore and prefer to let the original position run.
The real value of this trade is not shouting short after the drop, but entering the direction near 0.2086. The profit has already been realized, and the focus now is whether the 0.192 area can hold. If it breaks, there is room for further downward extension. $BTC $ETH #本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地? 🚨Attention to those playing Meme! A new type of phishing scam is spreading: you think you're just doing a “Cloudflare verification,” but you might actually be opening the door to hackers on your computer.⚠️
According to monitoring, recently multiple popular Meme coin display pages have shown risky links. When users click on the token's official website or social media entry, they are redirected to a phishing page disguised as a “Cloudflare verification.” The page looks very much like a normal human verification, but the real danger lies ahead—it gradually tricks users into performing specific actions, ultimately causing the computer to download and run malicious scripts. Once compromised, attackers may target not only the Meme coin you are trading but also wallets on your computer, browser data, and on-chain assets.
In plain terms, many phishing scams used to be about “tricking you into clicking links or signing authorizations,” and at least when the wallet popped up, you had a chance to notice something was wrong. This new method is more ruthless: it tries to get malicious programs directly into your computer. You think you're passing a captcha, but you might actually be opening the door for thieves.😨
Why are Meme coins especially vulnerable? Because the Meme market is all about “speed.” When a new coin comes out, many people's first reaction is to check the contract, visit the official website, find social media, and rush in to grab chips, fearing missing out on tens of points by just a few minutes. But the more rushed you are, the easier it is to overlook whether the link is genuine.Many people compare $CORE to the historical deep declines and subsequent rebounds of $BTC and $ETH, but the underlying logic of the two is different.
BTC and ETH, as established public blockchains, have long-standing user bases, continuously evolving ecosystem applications, and a globally extensive developer community. CORE, launched based on BTC's hash power narrative, has planned numerous ecosystem sectors, but most solutions have limited implementation results. Early on, there was an incident where the cross-chain channel was suspended, related disputes entered legal proceedings, and some asset withdrawal issues remain unresolved to this day.
The project's initial token release plan originally anticipated a total release period of 81 years. Now, the circulating proportion has reached 70.3%, with tokens continuously released periodically, adding new tokens to the market at intervals. At the current release pace, the remaining large amount of tokens can be fully released within just a few years.
The continuous token release combined with net capital outflow results in persistent selling pressure on the market. Even if funds enter at lows, it is difficult to sustain long-term absorption of the continuous selling pressure. With the ongoing increase in token supply, a significant price rebound in the future would require very strong incremental capital support, which is quite challenging.
Small-cap tokens have limited market depth, frequent flash crashes occur, and support levels can be breached at any time. Historical market trends can only serve as a reference; the fundamentals and token release schedules of different projects vary greatly, so the same rise and fall logic cannot be simply applied. BTC dropped below 76000, ETH broke 2400, and SOL also retraced near 97. The three major leaders have been steadily declining, and market sentiment is visibly weak. The trigger for this drop is actually quite clear. $BTC $ETH $ZEC First, the procedural vote on the CLARITY Act in the US Senate resulted in 49 votes in favor and 50 against, falling short of the 60-vote threshold needed to advance. This bill was originally seen by the market as a key step for US digital asset regulation to be implemented, but the vote failed, and the crypto market immediately started to release risk. BTC briefly fell below 76000, and mainstream coins like ETH and SOL dropped even more sharply. Additionally, the macro environment is not cooperating. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is about to be announced, and the market's pricing for a rate hike once surged above 90%. The US 10-year Treasury yield also briefly surpassed 5%. In a high interest rate and high yield environment, the preference for high volatility risk assets naturally decreases, so pressure on crypto is very normal. When the market was rising before, part of the expectation that the CLARITY Act would pass had already been priced in. Now that the procedural vote failed, this expectation is being repriced. A large number of leveraged positions were liquidated in a short time, naturally amplifying the decline. Whether the panic-driven low is a trend reversal or just a shakeout still needs price confirmation. If BTC and ETH can stop falling near key support levels and rebound with volume, after this panic selling is over, it might be worth paying attention to opportunities to buy at low levels. #ThisWeekFOMCReveal Recording this short position on $DOGE, with an unrealized profit of 197.77%, entry at 0.08267, current mark price 0.0794.
Many Meme coins experience pulse rallies, and after the hype fades, selling pressure gradually releases. Observing the market at the time, the upward momentum was insufficient, so I chose to short according to my trading rules.
The market steadily declined with fluctuations, multiple rebounds lacked enough buying support, a typical pattern of sentiment ebbing.
For me, risk management is always the priority in trading. This position will rely on a trailing stop to protect profits and dynamically adjust the position size.
Everyone’s trading system is different; this is shared only as a personal practical record, please do not directly copy the operation. #CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议 $BTC $BTC
ETF single-day net outflow about 290 million; OI continuously declining, on-chain funds flowing to exchanges, indicating active deleveraging decisions. Around 76000 remains the dividing line tonight
Support: 7.5-7.4
Resistance: 7.74–7.78, 8W
View: Holding 7.5 is still pre-event consolidation; breaking below 7.5W likely to seek liquidity at 72600
No short chasing before FOMC, nor recommended to bottom-fish on the left sideA glance at 4 PM: XRP stuck, DOGE playing dead, UNI lying flat
#This week's FOMC announcement, will the rate hike land?
A glance at 4 PM, three coins with three different states.
$XRP 1.37, bulls dominate with a 7 to 3 ratio, but the 1.46 to 1.47 barrier just can't be passed. The ETF collateral story has been told for a week. Bitcoin pushing toward 75000 is also stuck below the barrier; don't chase longs if it can't break through.
$DOGE 0.085, purely an emotional coin, the 0.086 to 0.09 range is all trapped positions. If the market doesn't rise, it just plays dead and lies flat. Emotions won't pick up before the boot drops tomorrow night.
$UNI 6.05, DeFi leader, market cap 3.7 billion, has been consolidating this round. New narratives have moved to L2 and meme coins; old DeFi is ignored. It’s like a blue-chip in the crypto market, not falling but also not rising, purely waiting for the wind.
At 4 PM, XRP stuck, DOGE playing dead, UNI lying flat. Don't mess around before the boot drops tomorrow night; small positions only.
#CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议