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I did NOT make money on $ZEC at $1400. But one whale DID lose $25.85 MILLION. From $400 → $1400, ZEC pumped 250% in 3 months. This whale shorted at $444 avg and KEPT ADDING. July: Short @ $444 July end: Add @ $510 August: Add @ $576 — already down $24M September: $1400 — now down $25.85M Size: 39,760 ZEC = ~$47M Liquidation: $2,292 He added $8.4M while already bleeding. This is not trading. This is ego. He is betting ZEC will go back to $444 because he can't accept he was wrong for 90 days strai$CORE —— Emergency hard fork destroys 150 million tokens, but the real risk remains!
First, on September 2nd, an emergency hard fork destroyed 150 million CORE! Core DAO experienced some validators exploiting a reward calculation loophole to overclaim CORE. After the emergency hard fork, the protocol directly destroyed over 150 million CORE, bringing the total supply back to the 2.1 billion cap. Staking recovered within 48 hours, and trading volume surged over 170%. This burn reduced the total supply by about 7%, effectively tightening supply in the short term.
Second, Core DAO is the largest Bitcoin sidechain by TVL! It holds over $314 million in TVL and more than 5,500 BTC staked, accounting for about 26% of all Bitcoin sidechain TVL. The 2026 roadmap focuses on Bitcoin DeFi and shifts toward revenue-driven CORE buybacks, centered on the SatPay digital bank.
Third, but the biggest risk remains — approximately 69 million “ghost tokens”! The hard fork has an irreparable flaw: about 69 million abnormal tokens were transferred to external wallets before the fork and cannot be recovered, posing a constant threat of dumping on the secondary market. The project team has yet to fully disclose how long the vulnerability persisted, the list of involved validator nodes, all addresses involved with the 69 million ghost tokens, or whether they have already been sold.
Fourth, the ecosystem’s fee volume is too small to offset the selling pressure from token releases! Currently, the fees generated by the ecosystem are minimal; price increases rely more on staking incentives than business profits. This is the fundamental reason institutional funds have been hesitant to enter the market. I still believe BTC will form a higher low before making its next leg towards 90K. However, that move may not begin directly from the current wick. Typically, after the market makes a strong move upwards, it consolidates, establishes a range and builds liquidity. Then, once it is genuinely ready for continuation, price capitulates significantly below the range lows before reversing higher. We saw a similar structure in 2023: BTC rallied from 16K to 24K, retraced towards 19K, and then continued tA 0.17% hourly funding rate looks absolutely wild. At that rate, the simple annualized-looking intuition can be misleading, but over 24 hours the arithmetic is roughly: 0.17% × 24 = 4.08% So on a 100U notional position, that's about 4.08U of funding over 24 hours if the rate stayed constant for every interval. That sounds like free money for the side receiving funding. But here's the catch 👇 ⚠️ Funding is not guaranteed profit. Funding rates can change between intervals, and the price of CNPY cGood news is here! Gold and silver surged violently, crude oil plummeted! $BTC sees an opportunity
Tonight, the global market shows a clear asset divergence. Watching the market so far, my first reaction to this wave is: the pressure on interest rates has eased in the short term
The trigger is the easing of the Middle East situation, with Saudi Arabia's oil pipeline repair progress exceeding expectations, causing crude oil to dive directly, and the inflation panic caused by geopolitical tensions quickly cooling down. U.S. Treasury yields fell simultaneously, the dollar weakened, directly driving a violent rebound in U.S. stock futures, gold, and silver
On the stock market side, Nasdaq futures strengthened, led by storage and AI computing power sectors, long-term bonds declined, easing valuation pressure on growth stocks. Gold and silver are even easier to understand: interest-free assets fear high interest rates the most; once U.S. Treasury yields drop, funds immediately rush in, causing gold and silver to surge violently
The crude oil direction is completely opposite. The market had been pricing in the risk of Middle East supply disruption, but now with the pipeline repair news confirmed, the premium quickly clears, and oil prices sharply fall
Key point about Bitcoin: BTC's underlying logic is very close to gold, most sensitive to U.S. Treasury real yields. Tonight's yield decline lowers the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin, which is a solid macro positive. Crude oil's sharp drop and cooling inflation expectations have also eased market expectations for further Fed rate hikes, temporarily relieving the macro bearish phase that has suppressed the crypto space for a long time
But having suffered losses many times, I must remind: this is only a rebound from expectation repair, not a major trend reversal. The Fed still keeps the option to raise rates once more this year. If subsequent inflation data rebounds and U.S. Treasury yields rise again, this rebound could easily peak and fall back, so do not blindly chase high with heavy positions. Big moves again in the US crypto market! BTC reserves + tax rules advancing simultaneously🚨
The crypto market just got hit by the Fed's interest rate news💥, and now the US is rolling out two major actions! One is the BTC strategic reserve🏦, the other is crypto taxation📑. Many are only focused on whether BTC will rise tonight📈, but what’s really worth watching might be this: the US is gradually integrating crypto assets into its financial system🇺🇸.
First, about BTC reserves🪙. The US House Financial Services Committee advanced the ARMA bill with a 28-21 vote. Simply put, BTC confiscated by government law enforcement will no longer be sold off at will but considered for inclusion in a strategic Bitcoin reserve, managed by the Treasury system, with long-term holding and disclosure requirements.
Here’s the key❗ This doesn’t mean the US suddenly rushes hundreds of billions of dollars into the market to buy BTC💰, but rather it will first manage and lock up the BTC it already holds🔒. If this mechanism is truly implemented in the future, the market might lose a long-standing official BTC seller. Previously, after the government confiscated BTC, the market worried about how it would be handled🤔; if it enters a strategic reserve, at least institutionally, the space for arbitrary selling will be compressed.
Next, the second matter—crypto taxation📑. The House Ways and Means Committee advanced new digital asset tax rules with a 38-5 vote. One interesting change👀: qualifying small crypto network fees can reduce tax calculation burdens. Meanwhile, issues like staking, mining, lending, broker reporting, and wash sales are also being incorporated into a clearer tax framework.
In short💡, many crypto tax issues that used to rely on interpretation are now being directly written into rules by the US.
But don’t get it wrong⚠️! These two bills have only passed committee stages so far; they still need to go through the House, Senate, and presidential signing before becoming US law. So, in the short term, don’t simply interpret this as “the US suddenly fully favors BTC”📉📈.
What’s truly worth attention is another matter👀: the US attitude toward crypto assets is shifting from “how to regulate” to “how to institutionalize.” How to manage reserves? How to handle government-held BTC? How to tax crypto assets? How to calculate trading gains and losses? These questions are being placed on Congress’s table one by one🏛️.
For BTC, short-term price drivers remain interest rates💵, the dollar💲, liquidity🌊, and market sentiment📊. But the long-term real industry changer might be these seemingly less exciting “rules”📜.
The real next phase of the crypto market may not be about who buys more, but who institutionalizes first🔐.
The Fed’s interest rate is one line📉, US crypto legislation is another🇺🇸. How these two lines intersect next is what’s worth watching👀.
#美战略比特币储备法案进入委员会审议
#美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进 #美联储三年来首次加息25个基点 $SNDK breaking through 1580 was late but finally happened
Tonight, after rebounding to 1626, it fell back to around 1580 and held support. Currently, the bulls seem stronger; the 1580 resistance has turned into support. If it doesn't break below, we will see if it can break through and stabilize above 1630. If it does, 1700 and above won't be far off.
Multiple positive news factors resonate, but CEO's share reduction acts as a hedge
The chip sector is fully erupting. On September 17, US chip stocks broadly rose: SanDisk (SNDK.US) gained over 6%, SK Hynix and Micron Technology rose over 5%, Western Digital and Seagate Technology rose over 2%. The storage sector's overall rally provides strong sector beta support for SNDK.
SNDK will be officially included in the S&P 100 index on September 21, which will bring passive buying from index funds and increase market visibility.
Negative disturbance: CEO's large share reduction
On September 14, Chairman and CEO David Goeckeler sold a total of 33,838 shares through 13 transactions at an average price of about $1527.87, cashing out approximately $51.7 million. The reduction was executed under a 10b5-1 trading plan. The timing coincided with the stock price retreating from a high, which may have caused market caution. This should mostly be digested by now.
The above personal views are for reference only
#AI发展焦虑升温，监管讨论升级 Bitcoin and Ethereum haven't collapsed the way some bears expected. I checked the long-short positioning, and longs are still outweighing shorts. The comments are also overwhelmingly bullish. But honestly? I'm still skeptical. The last bit of capital I have makes me even more cautious about forcing a trade based purely on my expectations. My concern is simple: If too many traders become convinced that the market can only go higher, positioning can become crowded. A sudden move in the opposite diMany people start trading for freedom
No need to clock in, no need to watch the boss's mood, time is your own
But once you really get into it, it’s easy to fall into a different state
Whenever the market moves, you watch the screen; even without a position, you want to find one
When you lose, you want to quickly make it back; when you profit, you fear missing the next move
No boss is pushing you anymore, but your account starts pushing you
Now I increasingly feel that in trading, whether you have freedom in the end isn’t about how many trades you make in a day
It’s about being able to close the screen when you don’t see any opportunities today
No chasing, no averaging down, no proving yourself
Not trading today doesn’t mean you feel like you missed out on anything The Fed's rate hike has landed, but long-term U.S. Treasuries are not buying it. After briefly dipping to 4.95%, the 10-year yield quickly rebounded to around 5%, the 30-year yield has consistently stayed above 5%, and the 2-year yield has climbed to 4.73%. The market is voting with its feet, signaling that this round of rate hikes is by no means the end.
Wash attributes the high long-end yields to economic resilience, AI capital competition, and geopolitical risks, a logically consistent view, but deliberately avoids the most critical variable—the fiscal deficit and debt sustainability. With $40 trillion in outstanding debt and interest compounding like a snowball, this is the true anchor preventing long-term rates from falling. The market sees this clearly despite the silence.
Going forward, one signal must be closely watched: if the 2-year yield peaks and falls with rate hike expectations, but the 10- and 30-year yields stubbornly hold above 5%, it indicates that long-end pricing has detached from pure rate expectations and is instead driven jointly by term premium, inflation risk, and capital demand. At that point, the valuation threshold for high-beta assets will be systemically raised.
BTC's short-term performance is conflicted. After the rate hike landed, it rose 1.53% instead of falling, appearing resilient, but the long-end Treasuries locked at 5% means the valuation ceiling for risk assets is suppressed, limiting rebound potential. In the short term, sentiment matters; in the medium term, liquidity does. Until the interest rate tension eases, a one-sided market lacks foundation. Will the 5% Treasury yield become the new normal? #长端美债5%会成新常态吗？ $BTC $ETH $ZEC
#美联储三年来首次加息25个基点
#长端美债5%会成新常态吗？
#OKX预言家：来星球玩预测 Yao Coin USELESS Two Consecutive Explosions Review
Brother Zhuang, please spare me. The same Yao Coin, two consecutive trades, I really got carried away.
---
1. Review: How it exploded
First trade: Short at 0.23911, lost 38.56%.
Second trade: Short at 0.2667, lost 28.18%.
Problem: 10x leverage, shorting against the trend, no stop loss, eager to recover losses. I fell into the same trap twice.
---
2. Market Trend Analysis
· 24-hour increase +12.69%, peaked at 0.28082, typical Yao Coin short squeeze.
· Currently at 0.25323, has pulled back from the high, 15-minute moving average death cross.
· Resistance above at 0.265-0.270, support below at 0.24000 / 0.22168.
Judgment: The overall trend is bullish, short-term correction. Shorting now is against the trend and very risky.
---
3. Trading Strategy Direction
1. Yao Coin max 3x leverage, or just trade spot directly.
2. Do not short before seeing a top signal, wait for a pullback to stabilize and go long with light positions.
$BTC $ETH $USELESS
#美联储三年来首次加息25个基点 #美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $USELESS What's the next move for the dog coin pump-and-dump?
Short term (48 hours): Most likely to oscillate between 0.238-0.286. The 0.274-0.286 range is strong resistance; if it can't break through, it will pull back to 0.238-0.245.
Mid term: With whale capital inflow + Upbit/Bithumb listing + Bonk Guy's call, the triple core drivers mean USELESS still has a story to tell. But RSI6 falling below 50, MACD bearish divergence, and shrinking volume—these three warning signs are all there. This rebound is news-driven, not a fundamental improvement.
A heartfelt last word:
USELESS is at 0.253 today, having risen nearly 4 times from 0.06 to 0.28—but this is just a meme coin named "USELESS," with no profits, no cash flow, and no possibility of generating profits. The price entirely depends on how long this meme can spread and which exchanges are willing to give it traffic. Whale inflow of 12 million is good, but whales can buy and sell. At 0.253, chasing the high is just handing year-end gifts to early participants who cost 0.06 and the KOLs calling the shots. Control your hands, wait for a confirmed breakout at 0.274 or a confirmed pullback at 0.238 before acting. Remember, surviving long in crypto is ten thousand times more important than making a lot of money! Meeting adjourned!At position 76651, the order book shows a clear thinning of orders. The area from 77000 to 77200 above is the dense trading zone before this drop, with a lot of trapped positions. On-chain stablecoin inflows have slowed, and whale addresses have net transferred out over three thousand coins in the past 48 hours. Exchange balances are rising, so selling pressure hasn't been fully absorbed.
The wind is strong late at the security booth, so I tightened the window and dimmed the screen brightness by one level.
Looking at the daily chart, 75600 is the previous low defense level, and below that, 74200 has a large accumulation of liquidation buy orders. The four-hour MACD bullish divergence has just appeared, but volume hasn't followed, so the rebound strength is questionable. A real signal requires volume to increase and hold above 77400 to confirm a short-term reversal.
In terms of trading, do not chase longs at the current price of 76651. Light short positions can be taken near 77000, with a stop loss at 77500 and a take profit target initially at 75800. If broken, add positions targeting 74200. If volume breaks through 77500 directly, reverse to long with a target of 78500 and a stop loss at 77000.
The key level to watch is 77400; until it holds, every rebound is an opportunity to short. Don't hold losing positions; cut losses when necessary. I'll patrol the night shift and then watch the market again.
$BTC
#CLARITY法案下一步怎么走？
@OKX星球 $ZEC has made a strong move, but at these levels, I’m more interested in what happens next than chasing the rally. The key level I’m watching is the September 9 high around $1,296. How ZEC reacts around this level over the next two days could tell us a lot about whether the current move still has strength. There are three possible scenarios. Scenario 1: Breakdown With Heavy Volume If ZEC drops below $1,296 within the next two days and selling volume picks up significantly, that would weaken the After ETH pierced 2480 and then pulled back, new positions began to unwind
Following the Fed's decision, ETH attempted to break above 2480 but left an unconfirmed breakout. Between 22:00 and 23:00, it recorded a 1H high of 2483.83, ultimately closing at 2461.68, slightly down 0.03% from the open; trading volume rose from 23.0799 million to 37.1530 million USDT, an increase of 60.98%.
Perpetual contract positions first rose from $1.8019 billion at 20:00 to $1.8230 billion at 21:00, then fell back to $1.8193 billion at 22:00, with the last segment decreasing by 0.21%. The timing of positions differs from spot between 22:00 and 23:00, so we can only confirm that new leverage started to unwind, not that there was a synchronous decline.
Two fixed points for judgment: confirmation condition is a 1H close above 2483.83, reestablishing the breakout; invalidation condition is a close below 2450.77, indicating continued weakening of this upward structure. Which data point would you use to determine that this position unwinding has ended?
#ETH #TradingWatch$USELESS Long positions are crowded, and the dog whales are waiting to harvest!
Regarding funding rates, the funding rate for USELESSUSDT on Bitget is +0.0050%, with longs paying shorts. Longs dominate but their position costs are increasing. Once the price pulls back, a long liquidation will be very brutal.
In terms of open interest, the contract open interest is about $11.52 million, with contract turnover at $36.49 million, which is 16.7 times the spot turnover of $2.18 million. It's all leveraged funds gambling; the spot market's absorption capacity is seriously insufficient!
Regarding the long-short ratio, the overall long-short ratio of BiAnQuan accounts is 0.8723, but the top 20% large holders have a long-short ratio as high as 1.2388—retail investors are holding longs, while large holders are adding more longs. When everyone is bullish, who will take the other side? The dog whales are waiting for retail investors to make the first move—you chase longs, they dump; you cut losses, they accumulate. $USELESS is named "Useless," but its token distribution is exceptionally clean!
USELESS was launched in May 2025 on Solana via the BONKfun platform, positioned as a satirical response to the crypto industry's overemphasis on "utility"—no presale, no team allocation, no roadmap, and the whitepaper is a 47-page parody document concluding that "this coin is indeed useless."
The token distribution is extremely clean: circulating supply is 999.1 million tokens, with a total cap of 1 billion tokens, meaning 99.9% is in circulation—no team or institutional shares waiting to unlock and dump. Major exchanges are basically all onboard—Coinbase, Binance US, and Kraken have all listed it. Passing the listing review of these exchanges indicates it’s not a crude pump-and-dump scheme.
But the core issue is simple—it has no business. No profits, no potential to generate profits; its price entirely depends on "how long this meme can spread and which exchanges are willing to give it exposure." When you buy it, you’re buying the meme’s viral power, not any cash flow or governance rights.$BTC LIQUIDITY IS LOOKING WAY TOO JUICY.
$BTC sitting at around $76K while liquidity is stacked on both sides.
78K-80K above.
72K-75K below.
Looks like the market is just waiting for enough people to pick a direction before it decides who gets punished.
Which side gets swept first?BTC $ETH
How many people got stopped out and taken away by this early morning spike?
Crazy shakeout, a real TM spike.
15-minute candlestick, BTC and ETH simultaneously dipped instantly, then quickly pulled back, a typical sweep of stop-loss orders below.
ETH's volatility elasticity is much greater than BTC's; heavy leverage in this kind of market is just giving away money.
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalatesBTC is just grinding from day to night. Nearly 4.8 billion short liquidations are stacked above 77,000 to 80,000, acting like a lid pressing down; below 75,000, there are buyers stepping in again. Both rising and falling are tough, purely leverage funds cutting each other inside. Tomorrow looks like consolidation, continuing to grind in the 75,000-77,000 range, don't chase.
ETF is even weaker than BTC, hovering around 2,440, can't even touch 2,500. Technicians are watching 2,570; if it can't break through, it's all in vain. Tomorrow will still follow BTC, oscillating between 2,400-2,500, no independent trend.
ZEC is the brightest star today, surging above 1,400, approaching an all-time high. Nearly 50 million short positions exploded in 24 hours, squeezed out by short covering. But with such a rise, it's definitely overheated short-term, profit-taking could hit anytime. Volatility will be large tomorrow; if you haven't entered, don't chase the high, if you hold, consider taking profits.
UNI broke through a descending wedge that had been suppressing it for two years, surging above 7, technicians are excited. Plus, protocol fee buybacks and burns, 180,000 UNI burned in one day, supply side has a story. 7.78 is the 200-week moving average, a real tough resistance, only counts if weekly closes above it. Tomorrow watch if it can hold above 7; if not, it's a false breakout.
SUI is the weakest one. Shrinking between 0.67-0.71, all moving averages are bearish, 200-day line at 0.84 pressing down, any rebound is sold off. Weekly chart shows a descending wedge pattern forming, but until it breaks out, it's just a drawing. Tomorrow continue to watch if 0.67 holds; if broken, it will go down to 0.64. The Hyperliquid ecosystem's USDC is about 6.73 billion
Just surpassed Solana's approximately 6.72 billion, second only to Ethereum
According to BlockBeats citing hl.eco data, on September 17, USDC on Hyperliquid reached about 6.73 billion USD, while Solana's was about 6.72 billion, just 0.1 billion short of overtaking. Breaking it down, native USDC on HyperEVM is about 6.28 billion, and the old USDC bridged from Arbitrum is about 453.6 million. The entire ecosystem's stablecoins total roughly 6.85 billion, with USDC accounting for about 98%, giving a strong margin pool feel.
Everyone is definitely more concerned now whether this is real money stacked by contract trading rather than arguing about which chain is hotter, which is more practical.Key Coin Tracking: HYPE (Hyperliquid) 260917~~~
HYPE's price on the day was $81.60, with a 24-hour increase of 4.81%, down about 6.98% from the baseline ($87.72 on September 7). The most important new news of the day is that Kraken's parent company Payward announced on September 16 plans to launch a CFTC-regulated compliant perpetual futures product on Hyperliquid infrastructure through the HIP-3 framework. If this plan is successfully implemented, it will be the first regulated US exchange to deploy a market on Hyperliquid, which is of landmark significance.
On the same day, the CFTC chairman publicly stated that the US will continue to maintain its position as the "global crypto capital" and expressed willingness to advance new regulatory frameworks. This is a neutral to positive signal for decentralized derivatives platforms like Hyperliquid and can be seen as a follow-up to the progress mentioned in the baseline report about the "CFTC compliant futures application submitted," representing a continuation.
Additionally, on September 15, two former Robinhood employees were accused of using insider information to trade on the Hyperliquid platform, each profiting over $50,000. However, the Hyperliquid protocol itself was not implicated. This is a newly added negative event alert for this period. $HYPE @OKX星球 $ONE is an old altcoin that doubled in a single day. Seeing the bubble fully inflated, have you already placed your finger on the short button?
Many people's first reaction to a surge is: it has risen so much, it must fall, so they short to catch the pullback.
But remember: old coins driven by events may look unstable, but that doesn't mean they will crash immediately.
The core reason for this $ONE surge is the hype around the mainnet shutdown and migration from Ethereum ERC20.
The project's fundamentals have long been dead, with the ecosystem and TVL almost zero; the rise is purely based on news expectations and capital pumping.
The scariest thing in this market is a short squeeze.
Many retail traders see the doubling and rush to open shorts. The accumulated short positions become fuel for the whales to keep pumping the price. When shorts get liquidated, automatic buy-ins push the price higher, and a random spike can easily trigger your stop loss. By the time you are stopped out, the market starts to fall.
⚠️ A few iron rules for trying to short:
1. Don't chase the top. If it keeps hitting new highs, absolutely no shorts. Wait for a high-volume long upper wick, no new highs in 4 hours, and shrinking buy volume before considering.
2. Use low leverage, at most 2x. High leverage has no resistance against spikes.
3. Be extremely cautious with position size; limit the max loss of this trade to within 1% of total capital, only for trial and error.
4. Always set stop loss properly, a hard stop loss 15% above entry price. If broken, accept the loss immediately, never hold the position.
5. Take profit in two stages: close half at 25% pullback, exit all at 40% pullback. Don't wait for a crash.A rocket company is negotiating to acquire data from a bankrupt AI startup. This matter itself is more worth watching than the value of the data.
The bottleneck in model capability is shifting from computing power to available corpora. After the startup died, the team dispersed, but the training sets and annotations remain on the servers; this is the only asset not yet fully liquidated.
What the buyer wants is not the technology, but the finished product that has been cleaned, labeled, and can be directly fed into the training process. On this chain, the beneficiaries are the liquidators and early investors, while those still burning money to create their own data are passive.
If more buyers outside the AI core business enter to acquire data, it indicates that public corpora have indeed been depleted. Currently, this is only confirmed at the discussion stage; there is no direct evidence of any deal.
#OpenAI拟IPO前融资，估值目标达1.2万亿美元
#AI发展焦虑升温，监管讨论升级 #AnthropicIPO争议延续 $BTC Key Coin Tracking: JUP (Jupiter) and MET (Meteora) 260917~~~
JUP's price on the day was $0.2262, with a 24-hour increase of 7.1%, down about 11.85% from the baseline ($0.2566 on September 7), making it the second largest retracement among the six coins. No major exclusive news about JUP was found in today's search, continuing the same "no exclusive news" status as on the baseline day. It has lacked independent catalysts for several periods, and the daily increase is more likely related to the overall strengthening of the market and the Solana ecosystem, with SOL itself also rising about 3% that day.
In contrast, Meteora (MET) had a price of $0.2172 on the day, with a 24-hour increase as high as 9.85%, up about 5.33% from the baseline ($0.2062 on September 7), making it the only one among the six key coins to achieve a counter-trend rise.
Reports on September 11 showed that Meteora generated about $20.3 million in protocol fees over the past 30 days, driving MET up about 18% in one week, with active addresses increasing by more than 40,000 in one day to 151,700. However, the spot market also saw about $474,000 in profit-taking pressure during the same period. On September 13, Meteora's DLMM dynamic market-making infrastructure launched a new LINK token trading pair, with a market value of about $400,000, which is new content for this period. Previously, DefiLlama gave an AA rating to @OKX成长学院 The total open interest of $ZEC contracts across the entire network surged 29% to $3.35 billion, with Binance's large account long-short ratio dropping to 0.31. Shorts have been liquidated for nearly $59 million in the past 24 hours.
Retail investors are lining up to short on rallies, while whales are holding onto spot and long positions tightly, pushing prices aggressively. Now shorts have become fuel, and the short squeeze drama is getting more and more intense 🤣 Have you held your short positions firm?
$BTC $ETH $ZECIt's not that the contract was exploited, but that the chain was scanned first and then the bank was tricked into handing over data.
The ransomware group iamnotavillain demanded about 6,000 XMR (approximately $3 million) from Revolut, giving a roughly 24-hour deadline, or else they would sell hundreds of customers' identity materials to other criminal groups — reported by the Financial Times and Decrypt on 9/17.
The harsh point of this leak lies in the selection method: the group claims to have first conducted blockchain analysis to pick out Revolut accounts with on-chain activity resembling whales, then targeted them specifically. ZachXBT also said the notification seemed aimed at high-net-worth users. Identity documents + addresses + verifiable holdings combined create a real-world "wrench attack" profile.
The data itself was not obtained by brute force database attacks: FT states the requests came from a compromised Italian government email system, impersonating law enforcement with legitimate authentication formats, continuously forcing Revolut to hand over materials for months; the company characterized it as a "complex external impersonation scam." At least about 680 accounts were affected, with materials including names, birthdates, occupations, addresses, copies of passports/drivers' licenses, KYC selfies, account statements, IBANs, and wallet references.
Revolut said Wednesday night that it has not yet been directly contacted or extorted by the group, that affected customers are "limited," and that funds and systems have not been compromised. The ransom demand in hard-to-trace Monero does not mean equivalent on-chain transfers have occurred — separate the facts from the intimidation. $BTC How will the $AKE pump-and-dump scheme proceed next?
Short term (before September 21): Most likely to continue a slow decline in the 0.018-0.025 range. The biggest risk is the sell-off rush before the unlock—insiders will definitely exit before retail investors.
Mid term (after unlock): If the price stabilizes and volume increases in the 0.015-0.017 range after unlocking, AKE may form a mid-term bottom and then rebound to 0.025-0.030. If the sell pressure after unlock exceeds expectations, 0.012-0.015 is the extreme target.
Long term: AKEDO's AI game engine narrative is still in its early stages, but the tokenomics are a major flaw—77% is not circulating and will continue unlocking until 2028. This crash is the pump-and-dump scheme's "open card harvest," not a market-driven move.
A heartfelt final note:
AKE is at 0.0211 today, down 21.97% in 24 hours, with 55% of circulating supply dumped onto Binance Alpha, a countdown to unlocking 2.1 billion tokens on September 21, and a funding rate of +0.013% indicating crowded longs—three major risks all triggered. One analysis put it well: "AKE from 0.015 to 0.029, and the AKE at 0.029 is the same project. What changed is not the value, but your fear of missing out." At 0.0211, you think you're bottom-fishing, but in reality, you're becoming the bag holder for early participants with extremely low cost and the 2.1 billion tokens about to unlock. Hold your hands, wait until the negative impact of the September 21 unlock is fully absorbed before making a move! Remember, surviving long in crypto is ten thousand times more important than making a lot of money! Meeting adjourned!#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
The base number is 0, no matter how large the multiplier is, it still remains 0
For highly popular new assets, I believe those that can run through this chain are worth investing in:
Real usage → Real income → Tokens can capture value → Positive feedback loop self-reinforcement
Stocks have financial reports as anchors, but most assets in crypto lack cash flow,
so short-term is an attention market, chasing hype and grabbing a wave before leaving is normal
But for the long term, you still need to look at:
Whether there is retention, how deep the order book is, whether the model can be activated, whether the narrative can be continued by the product itself.
Of course, the story is also very important
Fundamentals are the base, the story is the amplifier
$HYPE is a very typical case
First build a competitive perpetual exchange then issue the token, no VC holdings; volume and OI are real positions, not point farming; nearly 99% of fees are used for buyback and burn, the more usage, the stronger the buy side.
The story is not empty either—on-chain Binance, grabbing market share from CEX, HIP-3 turning the exchange into infrastructure.
So when I look at a highly popular new asset, I ask one question:
After the hype fades, are there still real people using it, real money flowing, real value returning to the token?
Hype without return flow is just a market wave
Short term looks at hype, long term looks at the flywheel
Hype is just the igniter.
People can be bought by airdrops, stories can be created by marketing, liquidity can be stacked by subsidies, only value capture is the base. #美联储三年来首次加息25个基点 $AKE
For those holding positions (trapped): If your cost is above 0.025, you are currently down over 15%. Do not add to your position, do not hold on! The unlock on September 21 is a ticking time bomb; run as much as you can. If it rebounds to 0.023-0.025, reduce your position to stop losses.
For those with no positions (waiting for opportunity): Wait until the negative impact of the September 21 unlock is fully absorbed, then observe if the price stabilizes in the 0.015-0.017 range. Enter at 0.015-0.017, stop loss below 0.013, target 0.022-0.025. Leverage 1-2x, position size 1-2%.
Short strategy (risky): If it rebounds to 0.023-0.025 with shrinking volume and a long upper shadow appears, enter at 0.023-0.025, stop loss above 0.027, target 0.018-0.020. Leverage 1-2x, position size within 1%.
Safest strategy (absolute wait-and-see): Wait until the negative impact of the September 21 unlock is fully absorbed before taking action! An analysis explains it clearly: "The exchange listing perpetual contracts is not to give you free money, but to provide counterparty positions to manipulative whales. 2.1 billion tokens will unlock in 5 days; guess who will run first, retail investors or insiders?" Canton Network has new activity around institutional trading infrastructure, including Temple Digital Group's launch of virtual orderbooks for selected institutions.
Canton's broader narrative is focused heavily on tokenization, privacy and institutional financial markets.
That makes CC interesting beyond today's price movement.
If tokenized assets continue moving from experiments into real financial infrastructure, networks built specifically for that environment could become highly relevantETH doesn't need more hope. For a sustained move higher, I want to see something tangible: ETF flows turning positive, stronger network activity, rising fee generation, or $BTC entering a consolidation phase. Otherwise, you're simply chasing the second leg of someone else's trade. Right now ETH is hovering around the $2.4K–$2.5K zone, with $2.50K acting as an important near-term resistance area. And the flow picture isn't giving a clean signal. Recent data showed roughly $520M of combined outflo$AKE Contract Data — Funding Rate +0.013%, Longs Are Crowded, a Pullback Could Trigger an Explosion at Any Time!
The current funding rate for AKE is +0.013367%, meaning longs have to pay shorts. A positive rate indicates longs dominate, but holding costs are rising — if the price continues to fall, a long squeeze will be brutal.
The total open interest (OI) across the network has reached $123 million, with Binance contract OI at $53M, which is 6 times the MC market cap. The open interest is 6 times the market cap, all leveraged funds are betting, and no one is taking the spot side!
Historically, AKE has experienced multiple short squeezes and liquidation events: a Binance user complained that over thirty arbitrage positions in their account were forcibly liquidated in the AKEUSDT contract, resulting in a single-day loss exceeding 5 million USDT. This coin's contract market is basically a cash machine for manipulative whales!$SOL has recently shown a signal worth paying attention to.
Circle minted about 2.25 billion USDC on Solana in the past few days, with stablecoin liquidity continuously concentrating in the Solana ecosystem.
Looking at CRCL, I mentioned the day before yesterday that I still have a positive long-term outlook. Last night, the lowest point had retraced about 20% from the previous high, and today it rebounded about 6%. The strength of this rebound after the pullback is quite evident.
One of the biggest highlights of $CRCL is its direct business connection with crypto regulation and stablecoin policies.
If crypto legislation becomes the market's main focus again, CRCL is very likely to become the core target of capital speculation once more, with very high volatility.
Therefore, I will not chase $CRCL at high prices.
If it falls back below $80, around $75, I will pay close attention.
But if I had to choose between the two now, I would put $SOL ahead of $CRCL.
The reason is simple: $SOL has recently fallen more steadily, and the continuous expansion of USDC supports liquidity and applications in the Solana ecosystem.
One benefits from policy expectations, the other from ecosystem growth.
Both directions are worth continuous monitoring going forward. $AKE What exactly is AKE——an AI game engine, but its tokenomics are a major weakness!
AKE is the native utility token of the AKEDO ecosystem. AKEDO is a multi-agent AI framework for autonomous content creation and game development. Users can generate games and digital content through natural language prompts.
Tokenomics: Total supply is 100 billion tokens, with only about 22.8% currently in circulation, and a max supply of 100 billion tokens. Distribution ratio: 31.5% to the community, 25% to investors, 17.5% to ecosystem growth, 15% to early contributors, 5% to advisors, 5% to LP, and 1% for community airdrops.
Core uses: paying for AI creation fees (about $0.1 per prompt, $10 per publish), staking rewards (protocol fees split roughly 33% platform / 33% stakers / 33% burn), and providing liquidity pairs for new game tokens on the Launchpad.
But the problem is—77% of the tokens are not yet in circulation! After unlocking 2.1 billion tokens on September 21, a large amount of tokens are still waiting to be unlocked. The amount of tokens held by whales is more than three times what is on the market. With liquidity returning, the volatility of ETH has also started to increase. Before significant macro developments occur, it may not be able to break through as quickly as last week.
The extreme support below is not the weekend low of 2460, but around the middle axis of the entire range at 2430. Above the midline, the trend is generally strong;
Alternatively, the short-term can be divided into fluctuations between 2430-2550. Since the lower horizontal support is relatively far, it is preferable to wait for a pullback opportunity near the upper boundary of 2550/2570. Why did $AKE crash today — Four major negative factors, the whale openly dumping!
First, 55% of circulating AKE was dumped into Binance Alpha by 4 wallets! In the past 4 days, 12.3 billion AKE (55% of circulating supply, worth $8.67 million) was transferred by 4 wallets into Binance Alpha, then massively sold off. The whale directly sold out, retail investors took the hit, and the price instantly collapsed.
Second, OKEx launched perpetual contracts — is it a positive or a "dumping channel"? At 07:00 UTC today, OKEx officially launched AKE/USDT perpetual contracts with up to 20x leverage. Exchanges launching derivatives appear as "liquidity premium" on the surface, but essentially provide whales with tools to short and distribute tokens. Retail investors rush in seeing "listed on a major exchange," while institutions see "finally some counterparties."
Third, 2.1 billion tokens unlocking countdown on September 21! About 2.1 billion AKE will unlock in 5 days, accounting for 2.1% of total supply, estimated at $30-60 million at current prices. The current 24-hour trading volume ranges from tens of millions to nearly a hundred million, and the unlocking amount equals about half a day's total buy volume. Pre-unlock sell pressure is one of the most certain rules in crypto.
Fourth, BTC is pressured at 75,000, the CLARITY Act has not progressed, and US Treasury yields are rising. High-beta small coins catch a cold when the market sneezes. Today I was swayed $PONS +12.11% | Setting the tone for complaints, short selling $PONS Current price 0.644, just one shiver away from the iron wall of 0.698, failed to hold on twice. It's like "Got a fortune for you," but really didn't get through. Short, 3x leverage, set a limit short position at 0.660-0.670, stop loss at 0.698 before the high-speed rail top, target 0.548, which is the 48-hour low. The reason is simple and blunt: this coin has been slapped at both ends in 7 days, rising 16% and falling 16%, like playing around. 0.698 is a "Plum Assassin," sweet but prickly. The funding rate is only 0.005%, and the bulls spend less money every 8 hours to buy a cup of coffee, so the momentum to chase the highs is almost worn down. $PONS claimed to have taken down Pump.fun's meme launchpad in two months, but its own token was first beaten by the market, turning the launchpad into the target for launch. This project launched tokens on RH Chain, and the team was pretty skillful in making plans. After checking the funding background, they couldn't find any major institutional endorsements, relying entirely on retail investors generating energy with passion. The meme launch track is now fiercely competitive, with Pump.fun treasury nearly $2 billion. $PONS wants to overtake on the RH Chain ecosystem curve, but token fundamentals can't support this volatility. The 7-day volatility exceeds 40%, purely driven by sentiment. $PONS The 7-day candlestick charts are more exciting than an ECG 1The logic behind $ONE's price increase is: first, you don't buy the spot; second, you are naked shorting; third, the contract expires at 4 PM tomorrow afternoon, and you have to close your position; fourth, just like traditional bulk commodity futures, at expiration you either deliver the spot or close the position in the market.
Short sellers, at 4 PM tomorrow afternoon, at what price are you planning to close your positions? You also don't buy spot to hedge,The boom on Robinhood Chain has further boosted the certainty and scale of crypto stocks. Currently, what we're seeing in this sector is: you can buy stocks on-chain, with the mainstream still being crypto stock pools to issue new assets (memes). The originally planned DeFi portfolio has been temporarily set aside. But once stocks enter the chain, there's something even more certain—dividends. Web3 has done this before, spinning off the future returns of a target and trading them separately in advance. It's just that now, with two fields intersecting and underlying technology (on-chain dividend distribution) supporting it, this will naturally happen on-chain. In recent years, Pendle has applied this model to ETH. For example, if a user originally held an ETH asset like stETH or weETH that could generate continuous yield, Pendle splits it into two parts: PT represents principal; YT represents the yield generated before maturity. Those who don't want to bear returns can sell YT, hold only discounted PT, and wait for maturity to redeem the underlying asset; Those who believe future returns will rise can buy YT, using relatively little principal to obtain all the returns for a period of time. Once stocks are on-chain, they naturally can do this, and it's not just fake demand. Traditional financial markets already have mature dividend derivatives (dividend futures), so this article isn't just about a single project—it's about breaking down and organizing the entire track to help you understand it. 1. StocksETH doesn't need another slogan. If it wants to outperform $BTC, I want to see an actual catalyst behind the move: stronger flows, rising network activity, improving fee generation, or BTC entering a period of consolidation. Hope isn't a catalyst. And if ETH only starts moving after Bitcoin has already made the majority of its move, traders may simply be paying a higher price for the remaining beta. The numbers are worth watching closely. ETH is hovering around the $2.4K area, with roughly $2,38If you haven't used AI to assist with playing Meme yet, you can start trying it now.
Here are some practical ideas I usually use—paired with the on-chain tool OKX Wallet, efficiency will be even higher:
https://web3.okx.com/ul/rTDqKeZ?ref=BAOFU688
1. Give the contract address to AI and let it collect and organize all background information about the project.
2. Tell AI your trading ideas and have it challenge logical flaws from the opposing perspective; then combine both sides to assess the likelihood of various scenarios.
3. Referencing market cap, market heat, user base, project returns, and narrative logic, have AI search for historically comparable similar projects.
4. Analyze the growth of token-holding addresses, trading volume, pool liquidity, and market heat—to judge whether the real momentum of the market is continuously strengthening.
5. Provide AI with your entry price, single position size, and overall account scale to jointly simulate potential risks.
6. Think clearly: which signals appearing would mean your original judgment has become invalid.
7. Let AI help you distinguish which are actual realized positive factors and which are just market rumors.
8. Import your historical trading records to uncover recurring trading habits and frequent pitfalls.
I often tell AI: don’t just agree with my thinking; try to find reasons to convince me to overturn my original judgment.
AI doesn’t place orders for you; it helps illuminate your blind spots.$ZEC's recent overall market has been in a consolidation pattern, but ZEC itself has made an independent violent surge, with a 24-hour increase of over 15%. The market is quite exaggerated; investing 100% profit is amazing.
Looking at the whale data here, the nominal long-short ratio has directly surged to 904.87%, with all 362 whale long positions in profit, and the long position profit ratio is directly 100%. This is data I rarely see. The short side has been almost completely hit hard, with only a very few accounts barely maintaining slight profits.
The average opening price for whale long positions is around 940, with very low holding costs. The current floating profit is already very substantial, providing ample space for profitable exits.
On the market front, the price surged to 1457 before slightly pulling back. Short-term moving averages are all diverging upwards, and the heat is fully ignited by news. But one point to remind here: for such news-driven strong coins, market makers are very good at creating false breakouts and false signals. Technical levels can only be used as references and should not be stubbornly clung to.
Whale long positions now have huge paper profits. Once they collectively choose to take profits, the correction will be significant. Blindly chasing highs is not recommended, as the risk of a high-level heated market is further amplified. Crypto is about to change drastically! The aftershocks of the rate hike haven't settled, and reserve bills have suddenly appeared. What's the outlook for the market? #美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进
The rate hike crash just ended, and two major US crypto bills have suddenly emerged. Here's a simple explanation of the core points and risks:
1️⃣ The ARMA bill passed the House committee: confiscated BTC will be included in the national strategic reserve, locked for at least 20 years, with sales prohibited at will. This is not the government buying coins! It's just custody of confiscated assets. This reduces selling pressure long-term but may cause short-term rallies followed by pullbacks.
2️⃣ Crypto tax reform bill advancing: closes loopholes for wash trading tax evasion; on-chain fees under $10 are exempt from separate tax reporting, but large accounts with over 5,000 transfers annually do not enjoy exemptions.
⚠️ Both bills have only passed committee stage! There are multiple rounds of voting before formal legislation, with huge uncertainties. Do not blindly speculate on expectations.
From a macro perspective, rate hike liquidity suppression remains. Policy benefits are a medium- to long-term narrative and unlikely to immediately reverse short-term market trends.
$BTC: Do not chase policy-driven rebounds; focus on the sustainability of the rebound, as liquidity pressure still exists.
Currently, news-driven market volatility is intense, and the risk of speculative expectations is very high. Maintain light positions and avoid heavy bets on policy benefits.🚨 $ONE JUST GOT INTERESTING — HERE’S WHY 👀
$ONE hit the fee cap, but the fees didn’t collapse afterward.
That’s an important signal.
It suggests the fees may not simply be a tactic to attract buyers. The spot/futures price gap could instead be coming from whales aggressively sweeping the spot market while retail traders keep shorting futures.
If that imbalance continues, $ONE may have more fuel to run before any major pullback.
#DailyOrbit The rate hike has really landed—25 basis points, unanimously approved with 12 votes, the first rate hike in 3 years and 2 months, and the dot plot also forecasts another hike within the year, quite hawkish.
But $BTC didn't crash along; instead, it rebounded to 76,482, RSI pulled back from oversold to neutral (51.48), KDJ formed a golden cross upwards, and MACD turned green. This is not "the bad news hasn't been fully priced in yet," but rather the bad news was already priced in during the days before the meeting—the real sell-off happened between the data release and the announcement, not after the announcement.
What’s really worth watching isn’t $BTC, but the divergence between $XAU and $CL: gold surged to 4,363, just a breath away from the previous high of 4,386; crude oil, however, dropped to 96.23, close to the previous low of 94.71.
The same rate hike, gold is hedging against the risk of "inflation not being contained and dollar credit damage," while crude oil is pricing in the risk of "rate hikes crushing demand and the economy sliding down"—one is rising out of panic, the other falling out of panic, two completely opposite panics hanging on the same interest rate decision.
#美联储三年来首次加息25个基点 How will the $ONE pump-and-dump scheme proceed next?
Short term (48 hours): Highly likely to fluctuate violently between 0.00100 and 0.00145. 0.00145 is the short-term ceiling; if it can't break through, it will pull back to 0.00100-0.00110.
Mid term: After ONE migrates to Ethereum, the total supply remains unchanged, but the released tokens will be allocated to the "AI video remix economy." ONE, having lost its independent public chain, is left only with an AI video PPT concept, making its long-term fundamentals extremely precarious. The 0.00145-0.00160 range above is a strong resistance zone; the pump-and-dump operators are waiting to sell at the high.
The biggest risk: Hackers could fake 4 billion ONE tokens (nearly 26% of total supply) at any time before migration, triggering a massive dump.
A heartfelt final word:
ONE is at 0.00121 today, surging 103% in 24 hours, from 0.0006 up to 0.00145—but this is not a bull market, it’s the last frenzy before bankruptcy liquidation! The official announcement to shut down the public chain, pivot to AI video, and the hacker’s fake 3 trillion counterfeit tokens in August—these three bombs are all set. The pump-and-dump operators are driving the price up before migration to sell their last chips to retail investors chasing highs. From 0.379 down to 0.0012, a 99.7% drop. Chasing highs here is like sending New Year’s gifts to the pump-and-dump operators. Control your hands, wait for confirmation of a pullback to 0.00100-0.00110 before acting. Remember, surviving long in crypto is ten thousand times more important than making a lot of money! Meeting adjourned.Opening two consecutive positions is essentially sentiment trading. I originally thought that in an environment of Fed rate hikes, a stronger dollar, and persistently high bond yields, a highly volatile asset like ZEC would find it difficult to remain strong. But the market gave me a reminder: macro negative factors do not necessarily mean prices will fall immediately. Especially when the market trades in early and bearish expectations materialize, prices may actually fluctuate in the opposite direction. On September 16, the Fed announced a 25 basis point rate hike, the first rate hike since 2023, while signaling that further tightening of policy may be ahead. The dollar and short-term U.S. Treasury yields strengthened accordingly, putting greater liquidity pressure on risk assets. But ZEC's current trend is very unique. According to the latest market data, the open interest of ZEC on Hyperliquid is about $840 million, with a 24-hour turnover close to $1 billion. Here's a noteworthy phenomenon: contract capital growth may have already outpaced the growth rate of spot demand. In other words, rising prices don't necessarily mean real capital keeps flowing in. It could also mean: - Bears forced to stop losses; - Bulls keep adding leverage; - Market sentiment keeps rising; - New funds chase after the rally. The biggest fear of this structure isn't negative news, but losing the sustainability of the rally. Once the price can't keep hitting new highs, the leverage accumulated earlier may quickly turn into selling pressure. So now, I'm not in a hurry to cut losses, nor do I plan to blindly add positions. First, observe the price, trading volume, and open interest$ONE Spot Conclusion: Absolutely do not buy, whoever buys is the bag holder! The current price is completely a bubble caused by a short squeeze and a last-ditch pump by market makers. ONE, having lost its independent public chain security moat and left with only an AI video PPT concept, faces a long-term fundamental survival rate of one in nine.
Short strategy (risking the edge): Wait for a rebound to 0.00130-0.00145 with shrinking volume and a long upper shadow, enter at 0.00130-0.00145, stop loss above 0.00155, target 0.00100-0.00110. Leverage 1-2x, position within 1%. Shorting is possible, but absolutely do not blindly chase shorts now—it’s very easy to get stopped out by a secondary malicious pump from the main force.
For those with a base position: If bought around 0.0006, the floating profit has already doubled. It is recommended to reduce positions by more than 70% in batches within the 0.00130-0.00145 range, and set a trailing take profit for the remaining position (move stop loss up to 0.00110).
The safest strategy (wait and see): Wait for a pullback to 0.00098-0.00101 to confirm support before considering entry. Reference analysis: enter at 0.00098-0.00101, if the pullback does not break support it can be considered a shakeout, take profit one at 0.00115, take profit two at 0.00128, stop loss at 0.00092. Don't rush to run. This lower shadow may not be an escape signal at all, but the starting line for the next 90K wave. 1. A crash is not the end, it's a "clearance" The market never takes off directly from a single shadow. After a surge, the script almost always follows three steps: consolidation → building the range, → accumulating liquidity, → false plunges→ takeoff. To push the market up, the main force must first push the riders off the board. So it will first move sideways, making you think "the market is over"; Then it suddenly breaks through the lower edge of the range, creating the illusion of a waterfall—long liquidation, short chasing shorts, everyone making mistakes at the same second. Then, the reversal. This is how 2023 played: BTC rose from 16K to 24K, pulled back to 19K, and everyone shouted "The bull market is over." As a result, that 19K became a higher low toward 30K. 2. This low is most likely not the final low. I still believe there will be higher lows, and I believe 90K will come. But I don't think it will go straight from here. The current support may hold, but it is likely just the "first line of defense" within the range. The real bottom usually only counts when that panic selling shadow that no one dares to take on appears—📉 70K~68K is the position I'm watching. Before that, it's more likely a long period of trading torment: sweeping up and down, repeatedly slapping the face, washing out all the patient players. 3. Think about who is trading behind the scenes. This time, the counterpart might not be retail investors, but institutions. They have chips, time, and tools. Their classic strategy is: