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LTC surged 24%, with 1 billion transferred and a golden cross, a typical short squeeze. But BTC spot ETF saw an outflow of 746 million in two days, the CLARITY Act stalled, and the total market cap inflated by 9%. Futures liquidations reached 213 million, with both longs and shorts hit. The market looks lively, but funds are actually picking single points to break through. ETH stands above 2700 while BNB falls, showing clear divergence. Just finished my shift, placed the thermos on the windowsill, and the wind is blowing in through the guard booth crack.
ONDO current price 0.5367, extremely overbought and consolidating at a high level. MACD divergence, momentum exhaustion, heavy short liquidation chips pressuring between 0.545 and 0.555 above. The main force is likely to lure longs to hunt liquidity above, then reverse to smash the market. Short-term rebound space is limited, do not chase the rally.
Trading plan: short between 0.545 and 0.552, stop loss at 0.558, take profit first at 0.520, add to short positions if it breaks 0.518, target 0.495. Defense above 0.560. If it doesn't break 0.520, hold light positions and wait; if it breaks, then strike hard.
$ONDO
#财报观察员：好市多业绩超预期，美光接棒
@OKX星球 Comprehensive Inventory of Existing Issues in the $CORE CORE Project
1. Trust and Governance Crisis: Foundation Destroyed
· Validator Reward Vulnerability: Currently, about 69 million tokens have flowed into external wallets and cannot be recovered.
· Extremely Opaque Information: The project team has yet to disclose the duration of the vulnerability, the complete flow of the overissued tokens, and the list of involved nodes.
· "Fixed Total Supply" Narrative Broken: Equivalent to advancing rewards for decades into the future and selling them off on the secondary market.
2. Market and Liquidity Crisis: Liquidity Exhausted
· Price Crash and Volume Shrinkage: CORE price has plummeted about 99% from its historical high, and daily trading volume has drastically shrunk.
· Typical "Liquidity Trap": Many holders, but external incremental funds are unwilling to enter. Small rebounds trigger sell-offs to break even, while declines lack buy-side support.
· Collective delisting by exchanges, etc.
3. Ecosystem and Economic Model Crisis: Lack of Self-Sustaining Ability
· Ecosystem Revenue Negligible: Products planned in the roadmap like LST, SatPay, currently generate very low fees within the ecosystem.
· Sustained by Inflation Subsidies: Past support for the market was not from real business profits but from staking incentives; once staking confidence wavers, long-term inflationary selling pressure ensues.
4. Legal and Compliance Risks: Unresolved
Bitcoin cross-chain bridge remains closed
Class action lawsuits looming
Legal firewall: Project registered in the Cayman Islands, team anonymous, early airdrops excluded US users, increasing difficulty of accountability.$BTC surged then pulled back, is the altcoin season really here? Blind FOMO can easily make you the scapegoat holding the bag at the top.
📊 【The Three Iron Rules of Genuine Rotation】
True rotation requires seeing three changes happen simultaneously:
🟢 Altcoins show relative resilience when BTC pulls back
🟢 Trading volume spreads continuously from top assets
🟢 Stablecoin funds also start to grow
Missing any one of these might just mean short-term funds are exploiting the situation. Especially near quarterly options expiry, BTC being suppressed by position structure and sudden spikes in some altcoins do not prove that risk appetite has fully opened.
⚠️ 【Does a Decline in BTC Dominance Equal Funds Flowing into Altcoins?】
A decline in BTC dominance does not necessarily mean funds are flowing from BTC into altcoins.
BTC price stalling and a few tokens surging can also cause dominance to drop. The numbers are the same, but the underlying money is completely different. Don’t be fooled by superficial indicator changes.
(Source: OKX Planet 09/25 )
#BTC冲高回落，市场轮动开始了吗？ #美伊恢复接触，风险溢价会降吗？ #财报观察员：好市多业绩超预期，美光接棒 Day 26, single-day profit ¥18,005.37, and the account finally turned positive from negative. Three consecutive days of profit, finally recovering from the continuous drawdowns of the previous days.
The market on September 23 was very fierce, with BTC and ETH quickly dropping, and altcoins also falling sharply. U.S. Treasury yields rose, and expectations of rate hikes intensified, putting clear pressure on market sentiment.
This time, I didn’t chase the highs or panic sell the lows. After a loss the day before, I directly closed long positions and reduced leverage, only lightly going long when BTC returned near 83,500, and decisively exited after encountering resistance at 84,500.
The biggest gain of the day wasn’t how much I earned, but finally learning to trade less and stick to discipline.
In trading, the key is not always guessing the direction right, but controlling risk and first keeping yourself alive. $BTC $ETH 300 million.
In seven days, USDC increased by this much. Issued 10.1 billion, redeemed 9.8 billion, shuffled back and forth for a while, net increase of 300 million.
Honestly, I felt a bit sleepy after reading this.
In the past, stablecoin issuance was fierce, tens of billions poured in at a time. Now, this number wouldn't even be worth announcing two years ago. A total market cap of 74.6 billion, growing 300 million in a week, not even a fraction.
But you have to say, the reserves are honest. 74.8 billion in reserves against 74.6 billion in circulation, overnight reverse repos of 41.2 billion, short-term debt of 26.5 billion, all immediately liquid assets. Circle is much more reliable than some "reserves".
It's just that nowadays, being reliable isn't valuable.
If the money doesn't come in, no matter how clean it is, it's just a number. I guess it will continue like this, slowly grinding, don't expect stablecoins to give you signals first.
#稳定币新规推进，支付结算加速落地
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #美股探索代币化与全天候交易 $USDC In the early hours of September 25 Beijing time, Bitget experienced an unauthorized hot wallet transfer attack. The platform's security system detected abnormal fund outflows at 02:31. Internal official calculations estimate the loss at approximately 351.6 million USD, while on-chain monitoring agencies only accounted for assets transferred from publicly tagged addresses, with amounts ranging between 178 million and 190 million USD. The discrepancy between these two figures arises from the platform's wallet hierarchy and incomplete on-chain label coverage, not from contradictory data. The hacker's operational strategy was highly purposeful: prioritizing the exchange of stablecoins that could be frozen by issuers into ETH. On the Arbitrum chain, the attacker quickly completed large token swaps via DEX aggregators, even accepting costs 5% above market price. The core logic was to evade stablecoin freeze interceptions and increase the difficulty of tracking assets after transfer. Subsequently, multi-chain and multi-token assets were consolidated into a single hacker-controlled address, then split and transferred across cross-chain bridges, completing the asset laundering within 2 hours. Regarding incident response, Bitget chose to suspend withdrawals only, keeping deposits and trading fully operational to minimize market panic and bank runs. The platform pledged to fully cover losses using a 464 million USD user protection fund, confirmed that cold wallet assets remain intact, user account balances were not tampered with, and plans to release a complete root cause report at 05:30 on September 26. During this period, progress updates will be synchronized hourly, coordinating with on-chain security service providers and law enforcement agencies to track funds. This incident and the 2025 By₿ $BTC pushed to $84.5K, while on-chain data suggests whales realized over $470M in a day.
Despite heavy profit-taking, there’s no clear sign of a major dump. It could simply be capital rotating while strong demand absorbs the selling.
Shorting aggressively here carries significant squeeze risk if the rally continues. Stay cautious and manage risk. $BTC
#BTCPullbackAltRotation $BTC has risen so much, yet Coinbase's premium index has been negative for 20 consecutive days, indicating that large-scale buyers in the US haven't entered the market yet?
Not just the past 20 days, but most of this year has been negative. This means the rally above 80,000 is absent of US spot funds and is driven by offshore and derivatives.
The good news is leverage is being cleared: open interest dropped 10% yesterday, and 90% of liquidations were longs — it's the leveraged traders being cleaned out, not spot holders running away, so this kind of decline is actually healthy.
USDC issuance increased by 786 million in one day, with a net increase of 1.95 billion over the week; stablecoin liquidity is still flowing into the pool. The Fear & Greed Index is 71, in the greed zone, sentiment is still alive.
Today is futures expiration day, so let's wait and see. The upward trend is still intact. For those without positions, it's recommended to build up to 30% exposure. I see this upward trend reaching 90,000.After pondering trading for a long time, I discovered several contradictory truths. Only if you can truly understand them can you be considered insightful.
Why do many people online not favor day trading? It's not that you can't make money from day trading. The main issue is that it's too exhausting; you need to stay focused on the market constantly, the psychological pressure is maxed out, and the physical and mental toll is too great. The vast majority of people can't withstand this intensity.
From observation, most people's first large profit, with positions growing bigger and bigger, almost always comes from short-term trading. But once their capital scale grows, the philosophy they promote externally shifts to advocating long-term value.
There is also a harsh reality: it's almost impossible to find someone who treats trading as their sole livelihood and walks all the way to financial freedom. Many traders' initial capital to enter the market was actually not earned from the market itself.In AI cloud capital expenditures, memory's share is projected to reach 48% in 2026E and directly jump to 53% in 2027E.
Morgan Stanley's chart marks Memory as the largest single item, while GPU/ASIC only accounts for 18%.
Costco just reported, and the hot topic in the community has shifted to "Micron taking over," which is not just hype.
Simply put: everyone has been focusing on GPUs for too long, but the real biggest cost and bottleneck is actually the memory supply chain.
Micron is still increasing capital expenditures this fiscal year to expand production, indicating that supply won't catch up anytime soon.
I think: the elasticity related to Micron hasn't been fully discussed yet, but it's not about blindly chasing highs.
I'm somewhat bullish on the $MU chain, with very strict failure conditions—if cloud providers cut capital expenditures or memory prices reverse, this story immediately loses value.
Do you believe more in "memory as the main theme in the second half of AI," or do you think the valuation is already overextended?
$MU $NVDA $IBIT
#EarningsObserver: Costco's performance exceeds expectations, Micron takes over
#USLongTermBondYieldsKeepRising, financing pressure heats upAfter my last long position was precisely stopped out, I finally realized! This kind of shitcoin should be shorted! If you dare, keep pushing the shorts to explode! 😤
---
【Finally realized, this coin's tricks are too deep】
My last long was at 0.00196, happily thinking it would rebound after dropping 70%, but as soon as I entered, the manipulative whale pierced my stop loss, and I lost -29% directly.
What’s most frustrating is that after stopping me out, it actually pumped all the way to 0.0024! Watching that big bullish candle, I really wanted to smash my phone. I thought the "sell then rise" script was about to repeat.
But after calming down today, I see the volume behind this pump didn’t keep up; it was purely a "bull trap" after exhausting the longs. Now the price is stagnating and falling back; 0.0024 is its fatal weakness.
The coin’s trick is to first exhaust the longs, then the shorts. That pump last night probably fooled many chasing retail buyers. This current level is a perfect spot to harvest those chasing longs.
In the big downtrend from 0.006, all rebounds are just setups for further drops. The fundamentals of this coin haven’t changed; the one-way downtrend isn’t over yet.
【Trading plan】
· Stop loss: 0.0026 (exit if it breaks previous high)
· Target: 0.0018 → 0.0015
Since longs got cut, I’ll follow the trend and short. Manipulative whale, if you dare keep pumping, let’s see if you have more money or if I can run faster.
$ONE $BTC $ETH
#财报观察员：好市多业绩超预期，美光接棒 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #美联储重启加息，BTC为何仍有韧性？ The Federal Reserve resumed rate hikes in September, and the market's expectation for further hikes in October once reached 70%, with officials taking a hawkish stance. However, BTC did not weaken; after surging to $87,000, it pulled back. The US spot BTC ETF saw a single-day net inflow of $999 million, hitting a new high for 2026, and enterprises continue to increase their holdings.
#
Historically, BTC and US Treasury real yields have been negatively correlated, with rate hikes typically suppressing the coin's price. Now, this correlation has temporarily weakened: ETFs and enterprises represent long-term allocation funds, whose buying logic focuses on hedging debt and currency depreciation, making them less sensitive to short-term interest rates.
$BTC
But BTC has not completely detached from interest rate impacts. If rate hikes resume and yields continue to rise, the current strong institutional inflows will be hard to sustain, short-term speculative funds will flow out, and ETF inflows may shrink. Although long-term buying will remain, the coin's price will still maintain high volatility, making a one-sided market unlikely.After BTC surges to 87K, don't rush to call a takeoff; the real test might be at the 90K threshold
This BTC rebound has clearly shifted market sentiment. From cautious observation a while ago to the current battle around $87,000, market discussions have changed from "can it still rise" to "where to look after 90K."
This is a typical bull market: price builds confidence, social media fuels imagination.
From the capital perspective, ETFs have recently become a key driving force again. On September 21, the US spot BTC ETF saw nearly $1 billion in single-day net inflows, marking a very notable level this year; meanwhile, short liquidations also helped prices quickly break through key areas.
However, the closer to a round number, the more you can't just rely on sentiment.
87K has already completed an important breakthrough, so the next thing to watch is whether the price can form stable support in the 85K–87K range. If it continuously holds after the breakout, market expectations for 90K will naturally heat up further; if it quickly falls back to the pre-breakout range, it indicates significant short-term profit-taking pressure still exists in this rally.
And 90K itself is not just an ordinary number. Round numbers often gather take-profit orders, hedging positions, and short-term trading funds, so even if the price truly reaches near 90K, sharp volatility is entirely possible. If 90K is ultimately broken effectively, the market's next focus area may shift further up to around 95K or even 97K, with some current market analyses viewing 95K–97K as a significant resistance zone.9-25, Bitcoin consolidates at a high level, focus on capital rotation
Yesterday, Bitcoin retraced to the 1H FVG, 0.5 (82880), forming a support resonance with the previous 4H high. This also caused multiple market assets to form a relative low resonance signal, after which Bitcoin quickly rebounded to around 85,000.
From the current market perspective, if Bitcoin attempts to break the high again this week, it must surpass the higher timeframe high resistance; otherwise, it will likely form a short-term peak, so short-term there is still a need to be cautious about chasing highs.
It should be noted that the market has not yet entered a deep correction phase and is still in a high-level consolidation stage, so it cannot yet be said that the left-side uptrend has ended. For Bitcoin, pay close attention to the lower edge of the 1H FVG at 82,000; if it fails to hold support, it will open up space for correction.
Ethereum: watch the upside at 2700, downside at 2570.
Precious metals, commodities
Regarding CL, a reminder was also given on the 23rd to focus on confirming the 1H low; if confirmed, be cautious of a bullish rebound. Upside 96-98, downside 90-89.
TradFi direction
AMD, Intel, MATE remain strong bulls leading the market, far ahead, but stocks in the storage and cloud service sectors are currently in a pullback correction; watch for low point confirmation signals to seek buying opportunities. Previously held low-position spot assets should not be fully sold; this was already reminded on the 23rd.September 25 Midday Analysis:
ETH formed a small-scale bottom divergence rebound after dipping to a low of 2626 yesterday, but the 4H chart has only barely recovered around 2675. The 2690–2705 range has never formed an effective breakout, while the 4H MACD death cross continues downward and the bearish bars have not significantly contracted, indicating this rebound is more of a weak correction. In the short term, if 2675 continues to fail as support, the first retests will be 2641 → 2626 → 2608.
On the upside, focus on 2690–2705 → 2725. Only by firmly holding above 2705 can we say the short-term rebound quality has improved; further reclaiming 2725 is needed to reverse the current 4H weak structure and qualify for another challenge of 2760–2806. Conversely, if 2690–2725 continues to show stagnation, it should still be treated as a high-level weak consolidation.
2608 remains the core structural support after this rally. If the price only briefly dips below 2608 but quickly recovers, it can still be seen as a deep shakeout after the main rise; however, if the 4H candle closes with volume decisively below 2608 and the rebound fails to reclaim 2640, the HH/HL uptrend structure will be clearly broken. At that point, it can no longer be simply defined as deleveraging but requires caution for a genuine large-scale Wave 1 correction.
Summary:
Currently, the high-level consolidation is weak; 2675 is the short-term support, and 2705–2725 determines whether the rebound can strengthen; below, 2641–2608 is the core support zone. Holding 2608 means the major trend is still an adjustment after the main rise; a decisive 4H break below 2608 without a rebound recovery officially raises the probability of a large-scale correction, with subsequent levels to watch stepwise at 2535–2500, 2450–2380, and finally 2320–2160. $ETH $BTC I’ve lost heavily on $SOL, $IP, $CORE, and $CFX chasing one thing: breaking even. But the losses only grew.
I finally realized I wasn’t trading—I was gambling with my life.
No more leverage, no chasing losses. I’m stepping back, finding stable work, and rebuilding slowly.
Protect your capital. Life comes first. $BTC $SOL
#FedHikesBTCResilience
#USTreasuryYieldsRise If $BTC suddenly makes a big move when we wake up tomorrow morning, will it leave a lot of people completely stunned?
Actually, this possibility can't be ruled out.
The market has been crazy enough these past two months:
$BTC surged from 60,000 all the way to 87,000, an increase of over 40%;
$ETH jumped from around 1,800 to 2,800, rising more than 50%;
$SOL was even more extreme, doubling from around 60 to about 120.
The key point is, during this rally so far, there has been almost no significant deep correction.
Basically: new highs → sideways consolidation at high levels → then new highs again.
Now the market's bullish sentiment is becoming more and more unanimous. Across platforms, the mainstream view is almost unanimously bullish.
But it’s precisely at times like this that I start to be cautious.
When market expectations are highly aligned, risks often quietly accumulate. Prices don’t necessarily follow the majority’s script; instead, the market might suddenly deliver a "contrary to expectations" move.
So what I’m focusing on now is:
If $BTC really experiences a rapid pullback, can it crush the high-level chasing sentiment all at once?
I didn’t stop out my short position earlier, and at this point, I haven’t changed my original view for now. You have to get used to whatever happens in the crypto world,
for example, Bitget got hit last night.
If one morning you wake up and see Tether having issues, you have to get used to that too.
Tether has a sum of money stuck in an offshore bank.
And 80% of that bank's funds were just seized by US authorities.
What happened?
The bank is called EQIBank, licensed in Dominica, and it's a digital bank.
The cause was a US asset seizure case that implicated it.
It is currently in a lawsuit, trying to recover about $89 million. (This is very small for them)
The money was seized by US authorities from accounts related to a payment processor called Capstone.
There’s a detail I read twice.
Where was the frozen money held at the time?
Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase.
Money from an offshore digital bank was actually held in US domestic banks, then seized by US authorities.
Looking at the scale
This seizure took about 80% of EQIBank’s total monetary assets.
That’s why they warned they might face liquidation.
Tether’s deposit got stuck like this.
By the way, back in February someone mentioned on X that EQIBank was sued in the US for securities fraud.
What does Tether say? Two words: limited.
Exposure is less than 0.034% of total assets.
But there are two moves that are quite intriguing. Today's market, to be honest, feels a bit strange.
The greed index has already hit 71, and everyone thinks it can still go up.
But what about Bitcoin?
It's been grinding back and forth between 83,000 and 85,000, grinding people down to near frustration. ETH and altcoins are even more sluggish, yet funds keep flowing into BTC, pushing its market dominance up to 58.6%.
What's even more interesting is that today there's a large batch of options expiring—BTC and ETH combined nearly $18 billion, expiring at 4 PM, which will cause huge volatility.
At times like this, the biggest fear isn't a lack of movement.
It's that everyone thinks "it should still go up," and then liquidity suddenly hits you.
On top of that, BG had some issues today. Although the official response says trading and deposits are currently normal, such news on a Friday with concentrated options expiry will inevitably affect market sentiment to some extent.
So with the current market, I’m not excited just because the greed index is 71.
The sentiment is very greedy, but the price hasn’t moved much.
This is the key point to watch today.
Don’t get too carried away before the weekly close.
Take profits when you can, and if you can’t, just let it be. Don’t give back your earlier gains for these last few bites.Looking at the ETH ETF flow this afternoon — money is still coming in, but the market seems a bit behind.
On September 24th Eastern Time, the spot Ethereum ETF saw a net inflow of about $66.1 million, marking the fifth consecutive trading day of gains, with a five-day total of approximately $746.5 million; BlackRock's ETHA about $26.8 million, Fidelity's FETH about $21.5 million, and Grayscale Mini also around $17.8 million. The cumulative net inflow has nearly reached $13.88 billion.
However, OKX spot is hovering around 2682 now, with a 24h high of 2706 and a low that dipped below 2628, trading volume around $350 million; contract open interest remains around $1.6 billion. The capital flow is relatively warm, but the price is stuck oscillating between 2650 and 2700, which feels a bit contradictory.
In the short term, I’m watching whether 2650 can hold as support and if 2700 can be truly reclaimed. $BTC is also hovering near 84,000, so don’t push too hard on one side.
$ETH $BTC #ETH #Ethereum #BTC #DataAnalysis #ETFInflow #2650Level #FridayAfternoon #RiskWarning
The above is only my personal observation and does not constitute investment advice. The market carries risks; please make decisions cautiously. I have calculated the entire 793-day public ledger.
First, the conclusion: He really has the skills.
[Performance] Cumulative profit and loss +16,653,778 USDT
Single period t-value 2.57 — among the accounts I've calculated, very few exceed 2 (t>2 is statistically significant)
Annualized Sharpe ratio 1.74, Calmar ratio 2.46
Maximum drawdown only 16% of equity
[Three points I admire most]
① Held positions for 553 out of 568 days, presence rate 97.3%
Not relying on timing, but on always being in the market
② Dared to hold both long and short positions on the same asset (BTC long and short coexisting for 166 days)
Large total nominal, small net exposure — this is risk control, not gambling
③ The longest single position held for 347 days
Making big money depends on holding, not just entering accurately
[The data also tells me one more thing]
Out of 114 trades, the 3 most profitable decisions contributed the majority of the profits, the other 23 basically broke even.
This is not luck — it's a typical trend-following strategy: many small losses and small gains, relying on a few big waves.
I've been doing quantitative trading for three years, and more strategies have died than survived under testing.
Seeing data like this, my first reaction is to learn, not to doubt.
Not recommending any targets, not predicting rises or falls, just analyzing public data.
I'm doing quantitative data analysis; if you want to see more, follow me.
Who to analyze next? See you in the comments.
$BTC $ETH $CL Initially, I just wanted to grab a quick breakfast, but the market ended up handing me half a year's worth of dumplings.
During the intraday plunge, I saw CL's rebound was weak, with low trading volume and strong selling pressure. Every rally felt like fishing. I judged that no one would catch it on the way up, so I directly signaled to short near 97.20, entering without chasing or rushing, just waiting for it to show weakness.
From 97.20 down to 92.70, floating profit +230.96%, really satisfying. The rhythm was spot on, big gains in hand, all the previous struggles were worth it at this moment.
First close 80%, keep the remaining 20% at cost price as protection. If it continues to drop, let the profits run; if it rebounds, don't give the profits back.
Being out of position isn't a sin; opening random positions is the mistake. Hold as long as the trend is intact, exit once it breaks, don't fall in love with the market.
Now is not the time to rush; chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. There will be more opportunities later; wait for a new structure to emerge.
$BTC $DOGE $LIT Short-term bullish reasons
Robinhood order flow accounts for about 17% of Lighter's daily trading volume and is still rising. This is the rarest resource that on-chain derivatives platforms can obtain — distribution channels.
Institutional product launch: Bitwise's LIT staking ETP (BLIT) has been listed on Deutsche Börse, providing a compliant entry point for traditional European capital.
No VC sell pressure (for now): The team's and investors' tokens have a 1-year cliff period and will not start unlocking until December 30, 2026. Before that, there is no selling pressure from insiders in the market. Midday Review｜Unrealized Gains Continue to Shrink! Will You Take Profits to Lock in Gains?
The midday market slightly pulled back, HYPE oscillated downward, and unrealized gains were given back; BICO slightly rebounded, with little change in unrealized losses. Two fully leveraged positions with high account risk concentration!
HYPEUSDT｜20x Fully Leveraged Long Position
Current price 91.18, down 0.98%, unrealized gain +2596.50U, return rate 379.43%.
898 long holders, average price 82.17. The market pullback shrinks unrealized gains. The profit on a 20x fully leveraged position is extremely fragile and must rely on trailing stop profits to secure earnings.
BICOUSDT｜8x Fully Leveraged Long Position
Current price 0.02226, up 2.30%, unrealized loss -1281.62U.
The slight rebound is only a correction, not a trend reversal. Adding to a fully leveraged position to lower cost is strictly prohibited.
✅ Review Summary
HYPE's unrealized profits are easily given back; do not be greedy. BICO's rebound strength is limited; do not misjudge it as a reversal. Both fully leveraged positions have very low error tolerance; spikes can cause liquidation risk.
📌 Midday Trading Strategy
$HYPE: Closely monitor trailing stop profits to preserve most of the gains;
$BICO: Observe rebound strength, do not add positions, reduce holdings opportunistically to lower risk. Actually, paying attention to $TEM was also an opportunity. Three years ago, a family member was diagnosed with late-stage lung cancer, so I have been researching how to treat tumors. Even conservative treatment requires targeted drugs to suppress the disease and avoid excessive pain. However, after genetic sequencing, there are very few suitable targeted drugs available, and they are basically not circulated domestically. New drugs have to be obtained through quotas from Hong Kong.
Therefore, I naturally have a good impression of companies doing genetic sequencing. TEM first obtains real-world data through tumor gene testing, then uses AI to connect medical records, molecular data, and treatment outcomes, feeding back into diagnosis and new drug development. The more data, the stronger the model.
So this is probably a major direction for AI to truly apply and implement.
Everything is the best arrangement. $CORE The most likely outcome for CORE is to be completely marginalized by the market through a prolonged attrition rather than instant zeroing out.
· Price aspect: Due to the continuous increase in circulation and extremely weak demand, the price is highly likely to experience a long-term gradual decline or sideways movement within the $0.015 - $0.025 range.
· Liquidity aspect: As trading volume continues to shrink, more small and medium exchanges will follow CoinEx's lead in delisting CORE, further compressing its liquidity.
· Role aspect: CORE will gradually degrade from the former "BTCFi track star" to a neglected marginal asset, with its price fluctuations no longer related to any narrative. #美联储重启加息，BTC为何仍有韧性？
The Fed just finished raising rates, and the expectation for another hike in October has been pushed down to 70%. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker even said that inflation hasn't made enough progress and more hikes might be needed. According to the old script, BTC should have been crushed by now.
But this time it's different. Not only did Bitcoin not crash, it even briefly broke through 87,000 this week.
Just take a look at the capital flow and everything becomes clear. On September 21, the US $BTC spot ETF saw a single-day net inflow of $999 million, setting a new high for 2026. Not to mention Strategy's corporate treasuries, which are quietly increasing their holdings. Institutions are not fleeing during the rate hike cycle; instead, they're charging in.
In short, BTC's sensitivity to interest rates is changing. Rate hikes used to drain liquidity, but now Wall Street treats BTC as an allocation asset, buying on dips and firmly absorbing selling pressure.$ETH today is in a "steady consolidation after a high-level pullback," basically flat intraday (around $2,680), with the medium- to long-term uptrend intact — the pullback is an opportunity for phased buying at lower levels, not a market reversal.
Today's market:
- Current price about $2,680, up slightly 0.5% in 24 hours, intraday range $2,635-2,700, volatility narrowing, consolidating
- Previously fell 3-4% from the prior high of $2,807, which is a normal profit-taking after a strong rise; daily RSI about 62, MACD still bullish, not extremely overbought, and volume shrinks on declines, indicating no panic selling
- It just made the first "higher high" in a year, breaking the one-year downtrend structure; $2,438 has turned from resistance to support, confirming a medium-term bullish shift
Key levels:
- Support: $2,635-2,646 (recent lows) → $2,560-2,600 (dense support + moving average convergence, strong support), buy in phases on pullbacks
- Resistance: $2,800 (previous high) → $2,920; a volume breakout and hold above $2,800 opens the path to $3,400
Capital is underpinning: whales are accumulating 260,000 ETH again, spot ETFs have had consecutive days of net inflows; combined with RWA tokenization (ARK, Ondo) and ECB digital euro settlements using Ethereum, institutional demand is structural. After digesting the disturbance from the $18 billion BTC quarterly options expiry today, the direction is upward. Today, ZEC suddenly strengthened, putting significant pressure on short positions. My 2x leveraged short position ended up at about -1,980U, while $ETH's long position contributed about +118U, which only partially offset this loss. 😭 The market reminds me again: correct direction judgment does not necessarily mean the entry timing is correct. Meanwhile, $LTC and $UNI have also become more active, with some funds seemingly rotating from mainstream coins to some altcoin assets. 📊 What is more worth watching now is: 🟢 Can $ZEC → hold key resistance ⚡ after the rebound? $LTC → Can the strength continue? ♦️ $UNI → Will capital continue to flow back? 📰 Market News & Capital Rotation Recently, after a high-level pullback, BTC entered consolidation, with some altcoins showing relatively independent rebounds. As mainstream coin volatility narrows, short-term funds may seek highly elastic assets again. But at this point, a single rally alone cannot confirm the start of a new altcoin season. What really needs to be confirmed is trading volume, capital flow, BTC stability, and whether altcoins can continue to outperform. 🎯 So the current question is not "is it an altcoin season," but whether this rotation can continue. Don't chase sentiment trading; focus on price structure and capital direction. Look at the structure, not the noise 👀📊 #ZEC #LTC #UNI #Crypto #Altcoins #CryptoNews #DailyOrSmart money can also get stuck at the bottom.
On July 20, CleanCore Solutions liquidated 463 million Dogecoin at an average price of $0.072, reclaiming $33.4 million, and then reinvested in AI data centers. Two months later, DOGE stood at $0.095. That batch of chips is now worth $44 million, a difference of $10.6 million — enough to cover a large portion of the first phase of its Minnesota data center project.
Looking back at the timeline: In September 2025, the company announced the establishment of a Dogecoin treasury, with Pantera, GSR, and FalconX backing it, raising $175 million in private funding, with holdings valued at $188 million. The management agreement was terminated in March this year, and the position was fully liquidated in July. They issued press releases when buying in, but only left a sentence in SEC filings when selling out.
Institutions have their reasons for selling: the stock price shrank from $7 to $0.41, the treasury strategy couldn’t sustain the market cap, and the transformation required cash. Cutting losses is discipline, not a mistake. But the market only recognizes results — money labeled as "professional investors" bought high and sold low on $DOGE, missing out just the same.
Dogecoin’s pricing power has never been in research report models, but in community enthusiasm, exchange liquidity, and a single word from Musk. Institutions come in with Excel sheets and leave with losses. So-called smart money is just retail investors in suits. How much longer can $CORE be delayed?
BTC ETH
Short term (3-6 months): The project team may continue to maintain a "zombie" state by releasing technical updates and painting new narratives to sustain the last bit of presence. Some exchanges might keep trading pairs, but liquidity will further dry up.
Medium term (6-18 months): As validator vulnerabilities continue to worsen, more exchanges delist the token, and the ecosystem's ability to generate value completely fails, CORE will enter an accelerated marginalization phase. By then, even if you want to sell, you might not find enough counterparties.
Long term (over 18 months): The project will most likely enter a "vegetative" state—the chain may still be running, but with no real value, liquidity, or community consensus, completely forgotten by the market. US spot BTC ETF has seen net inflows for 5 consecutive trading days, with about $347 million more absorbed on September 23.
However, BTC did not sustain the breakout above $87,000 and has returned to around $84,000.
What is truly noteworthy is the options market: BTC options open interest exceeds $50 billion, with outstanding Calls accounting for about 60%; but in the latest 24-hour trading volume, Puts account for 58.2%.
This implies:
Spot demand remains, but marginal risk appetite has not been confirmed simultaneously.
An increase in Puts cannot be directly interpreted as short selling, as it may include protective hedging; ETF inflows also cannot be directly equated with price increases.
The next focus is the $85,000–$86,000 range: if BTC recovers this area, ETF inflows continue, and Put protection demand decreases, spot demand will gain further price confirmation; if ETFs continue to absorb funds while protection demand remains high, the current capital divergence remains unresolved. One of the most notable signals right now is the divergence in speed: $BTC is consolidating around $84K, while $SOL continues to rise and approaches $120. This could indicate that capital is shifting towards higher beta assets. But for this to be called a sustainable rotation trend, $ETH must participate. If $ETH breaks above $2.7K and holds this level, the BTC → ETH → SOL structure will become clearer. If ETH fails and BTC weakens, SOL will also struggle to maintain its long-term advantage. Therefore, look at the entire flow Tokenization and around-the-clock trading of U.S. stocks are evolving from concepts into infrastructure. Sounds great: you can buy stocks on weekends, settle directly with stablecoins, and even buy fractional shares with small amounts.
But 24-hour operation does not automatically bring 24-hour liquidity. When U.S. stock markets are closed, the underlying stocks have no new public prices, so market makers must rely on futures, related assets, and risk models to quote prices. When unexpected news breaks, on-chain tokens may jump to a price first, then realign after traditional markets open. The “stock price” seen at night is sometimes just a thin liquidity probe.
It’s also crucial to clarify whether the tokens you hold actually represent real stock ownership, custody certificates, or synthetic exposures tracking the price. Rights to dividends, voting, redemption, and issuer bankruptcy differ by a clause, making them two different assets.
I support around-the-clock markets but don’t want to mistake “always tradable” for “always fairly priced.” Convenience often arrives first; protection usually lags behind.
#美股探索代币化与全天候交易 If only every trade could end in profit! 😅
Three trades, three different stories: one secured profit, one is still being held, and one is deep underwater.
$ETH short — I’m calling it here.
Entry: 2696 → Exit: 2676
Profit: +67% | +18U
After three short trades in a row, I decided to lock in the gains this time. With a 100x full-position setup, the profit isn’t huge — basically enough for a hotpot dinner.
Still, realized profit is profit, and once it’s in the pocket, it’s yours.
#DailyOrbit Brothers, Er Gou has been watching all morning, eyelids fighting. In my dream, BTC was at 92,000, woke up at 84,463, the gap is more refreshing than liquidation.
BTC at 84,463, 4-hour SAR at 85,780 resistance, RSI 49, MACD underwater, narrow grinding between 84,000-85,000. US Treasuries are too fierce: 10-year at 5.00%, 30-year intraday at 5.444% hitting a 22-year high, risk-free yield draining liquidity, crypto market slicing each other’s supply. BTC ETF net inflow, about 347 million yesterday, BlackRock iShares IBIT accounted for 166 million; shorts cleared 12.26 million. But a water gun can’t put out a big fire. Support at 82,800, resistance at 85,000, break whichever way.
ETH at 2,685, even more timid. Moving averages 2,677-2,712 converging, SAR resistance at 2,713, RSI 47.59, following BTC’s lead. Vitalik mentioned STARK, block time 4-8 seconds, confirmation 8-32 seconds, market doesn’t acknowledge; ETH ETF net outflow 141 million. Support at 2,626, if broken look to 2,600.
Strategy: BTC 84,000 and ETH 2,626 are lifelines, hold sideways, cut losses if broken. ZEC charging to 1,650 but will just oscillate, mid-term privacy compliance logic unchanged. Control your hands.
$BTC $ETH
#美联储重启加息，BTC为何仍有韧性？
#财报观察员：好市多业绩超预期，美光接棒
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $HYPE
What kind of changes in capital flow do high-level assets fear the most?
Previously, HYPE attracted momentum capital with high popularity and strong structure, but when mainstream ETF inflows cool down overall, high-level assets are more likely to face profit-taking.
If the pullback is on low volume and the breakout zone is supported, the trend remains healthy.
If there is a high-volume decline at the top and the rebound volume keeps shrinking, it indicates that chips may be shifting from chasing funds to profit-taking funds. I won't guess the top just because of a new high, nor will I treat high popularity as risk protection. 🔥 The main upward wave of HYPE has most likely ended! After the new high lures more buyers, the high-level risks are fully exposed.
Currently, HYPE is trading on OKX spot at 92.03-92.13,
with a 24-hour decline of 2%, ranging between 90.08—94.70.
On Wednesday, it touched the all-time high of 97.84,
but the bulls couldn’t hold their gains at all. On Thursday, it followed the market with a violent drop, hitting a low of 90.08.
A three-day roller coaster: from 94.47 surging to 97.84 then crashing back near 90, with an 8% amplitude, twice the volatility of mainstream coins.
Such a rapid loss of a new high is very likely the last wave of a bull trap, signaling a market turning point that must be taken seriously.
Admittedly, the fundamentals remain:
The protocol’s daily revenue is stable above $3 million, the total open interest in the market remains high, Kraken’s compliance progress is underway, and the story is not completely gone.
But a story is just a story; the accumulation of profit-taking at high levels plus the upcoming large-scale unlocks create dual pressure overhead.
No matter how good the narrative, when funds cash out, they do so ruthlessly.
Key levels to watch:
90 is this week’s low and the short-term lifeline for bulls.
If it breaks, the next support is directly at 87-88, opening room for a deep correction.
Above, 94.70 is intraday resistance, and the 97.84 ATH is a very tough mountain to climb.
Only a volume-backed close above 98 could possibly restart a rally to 100, but this condition looks very difficult now.
This week’s pattern: a high-level range between 90—98, with risks far outweighing opportunities.
90-92 is only suitable for light observation, not for heavy bottom-fishing to bet on a rebound;
If the lifeline holds, the high-level tug-of-war can continue, but once 90 is lost, the correction cycle will lengthen.
The critical bombshell: a large unlock on October 6, releasing 9.92 million tokens, corresponding to a market value close to 910 million.
Next week is the pre-unlock window, and selling pressure is expected to be priced in early, with funds likely to exit ahead of time.
If it rebounds above 95, don’t hold illusions or take a long-term stance.
High-level good news is for selling, not for adding positions.
Don’t catch the last baton after the main upward wave ends.
$HYPE Not every entry is profitable, but every trade leaves valuable experience. ♦️ $ETH Short | Pocket first, don't fight the market head-on Enter: about $2,728 Exit: about $2,695 Result: +54% | About +19U 💰 After several ETH short attempts, this time I chose to harvest early rather than stick to my original judgment. In a highly leveraged environment, even if the price fluctuates slightly, both gains and risks are amplified. Profits that have already been realized are the real profits you have pocketed. 📈 $UNI Long | Trend still under observation Position opening: about $6.05 Current price: about $9.00 Recent high once approached $10.70 UNI's recent performance continues to attract market attention. Meanwhile, CME previously announced plans related to UNI futures, and Uniswap continues to advance its v4 infrastructure and Arc deployment, making ecosystem development a key market discussion. But after a rapid rise, profit-taking also began to increase. UNI has experienced a significant drawdown, and exchange balances are at a high level, which means future warnings are needed for fluctuations caused by capital liquidation. 📊 Three positions, three states ✅: one has already taken profit 📈, one continues to hold and observe 😅, and another is still in a clear floating loss 📰. The biggest news in trading isn't always profit, but whether you can adjust in time when the market changes. The market never follows the original script. There's a logic when entering the market,Catalysts:
· February: Launch on Robinhood
· March 2026 Roadmap "All fee revenue used to buy back and burn SNX/sUSD"
· June: Governance passes retiring sUSD to unlock SNX compensation for holders
· July: Mainnet TWAP orders go live
🟢 Substantial positives (near term)
1️⃣ SIP-423 proposal completed (September)
· Deprecate sUSD stablecoin, reform SNX staking mechanism
· New SNX minted at a 4:1 ratio with sUSD, including a 1-year lockup + 1-year unlocking period
· Mint 236 million new SNX, total supply increases to 581 million
· Long term, clears the historical burden of sUSD depegging
2️⃣ SLP Vault launching soon
· Users can deposit sUSD to earn delta-neutral market-making yields
· Target APY around 20%, no protocol fees
· Creates new utility for sUSD, potentially attracting significant capital
3️⃣ Buyback mechanism upgrade
· Protocol revenue will be 100% used to buy back and burn SNX (after sUSD peg restoration)
· Directly links protocol success with token demand, creating deflationary pressure
4️⃣ Recent price performance
· Over 15% rise in September, weekly-level breakout
· Daily chart above 10/20/50/100-day EMA, technicals turning bullish $SNX When BTC fell back from 87,000, who exactly was buying around 82,000?
After the rate hike landed on September 16, BTC first surged to 87,000, then steadily declined, touching around 82,000 during yesterday's session. (Today as well)
But I've been observing a small detail these past two days.
BTC is being pushed down, yet the buy orders below haven't noticeably dispersed.
1. On September 21, ETF net inflows approached 1 billion.
2. On the 22nd, there were still over 700 million. In this round of $ETH rebound, babala still chose to add to the short position.
#美联储重启加息，BTC为何仍有韧性？
The original short average price was 2682, and after adding to the position, the average price is now 2690.
As of the time of writing, ETH perpetual is around 2678, only a dozen points away from my average price. Although it has temporarily returned below the cost line, this small floating profit is not enough to indicate that the direction has been established.
In the past 24 hours, ETH's highest reached 2706, and the lowest dipped to 2626. The most important thing to observe now is whether the pressure between 2690 and 2710 can continue to hold the price down.
If ETH rebounds to around 2700 but still cannot hold, and then falls back below 2650, the bears will have a chance to test the previous low at 2626 again; if 2626 is effectively broken, the next target will be around 2600.
However, if the one-hour level stabilizes above 2710 again, it means this rebound is stronger than I expected, and it may continue to test around 2740. At that time, this short position will need to be reassessed, rather than adding more as the price rises.
$BTC is currently around 84200, still within the 83000–85000 consolidation range. If BTC breaks through 85000, the pressure on the ETH short position will also increase; if BTC weakens again, ETH is more likely to continue downward.
After adding to the short, the average price is now 2690, and babala will hold and observe first.
The average price has indeed risen, but the position has also become heavier. Next, I need to wait for the market to prove me right, rather than proving myself right by continuing to add positions. Regarding BTC, on the larger cycle, the 57,000 USD level will still be reached; currently, it is still in a rebound phase, and this rebound wave is nearing its end. However, in the short term, the high point near 87,000 will most likely be broken once more, but the risk is already very high. Following the principle of not chasing the last penny of profit, I have fully closed all my spot leverage positions. Next, I will wait for a new high to be broken and then enter a short position based on the Chan theory structure.
As for crude oil, $BZ, it hasn't finished rising yet, but that doesn't mean it's time to go long now—be bullish but don't buy.
Overall, the next phase is a new cycle, which means strong currencies and strong resource assets, and weak risk assets. So BTC and gold $XAU haven't bottomed out yet; patience is required. As long as you can stay alive in this market, there will be opportunities to make money. Earn steadily, and then through time and compounding, you will make a strong comeback.$ONE I said, why suddenly pull a wave to give the bulls a chance to get out of their positions? The neighbor took a look, the fees were ridiculously negative, and started charging once every hour. I guess it's because the big short holders got trapped over there. Although the price difference between the two sides is huge, it’s impossible for one to rise while the other falls.✌️✌️✌️ Continuing to chill today, pick one: chatting, drinking tea, or playing a game of chess?
$ETH's trend is really turning people into "old monks" 😂
Others are rocketing to the moon, but Ethereum seems to be taking a stroll, even turtles and snails watching would urge: can you speed up?
After watching the market all morning, I got so sleepy I fell asleep. In my dream, $BTC surged all the way to 92000, but when I woke up... it was still hovering around 84463. The gap between dream and reality is quite big.
📌 $BTC
Currently still oscillating around the 84000–85000 range, with no obvious capital breakout for now. The high yield on US bonds continues to exert some liquidity pressure on risk assets, ETF funds are flowing in slightly, short-term focus is on support around 82800. If this support doesn't hold, the oscillation range may continue to expand downward.
📌 $ETH
Weak consolidation near 2685, fundamentals aren't bad, but market capital response is clearly insufficient. Short-term watch for support at 2626; only if volume picks up again and it firmly holds above key resistance will the market likely become active again.
📌 $ZEC
Interestingly, this one is stronger than the overall market today. The privacy sector has been continuously attracting capital recently, with price still in a wide oscillation range of 1455–1680. Strong as it is, chasing the rally still requires caution due to volatility.
In this kind of market, the hardest part isn't finding opportunities, but restraining your own hands. #美联储重启加息，BTC为何仍有韧性？
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温
Today, Ethereum is hovering around $2700 with little apparent movement, but there's quite a bit going on beneath the surface. On one side, a whale transferred 6000 ETH to an exchange, seemingly to sell; on the other side, institutions keep buying, locking and staking their purchases, reducing the circulating supply. Bulls and bears are in a tug of war, with the price stuck around 2680, unable to rise or fall.
Right now, chips are changing hands. The short-term resistance at 2700 combined with whale selling pressure needs to be slowly digested; but looking mid-term, the coins on exchanges keep decreasing, indicating that selling pressure is quietly being absorbed. No need to rush or panic—wait for a breakout with volume before making a move.
For those like me who can't resist, a small position with stop-loss and take-profit is advisable.ONDO broke through 0.5, currently 60% profit! In this wave of altcoin general rise, the increase is not very outstanding!
But that's how the market is, Bitcoin still can't outperform altcoins, but that doesn't mean it's bad. One is a matter of scale, the other is the direction of capital flow! The air coins that rose especially high in the first half need extra attention; once caught, you have to run, because the second half will return to value coins. If you get stuck in air coins at the end of the first half of the bull market before the bull market ends, that's very dangerous!ZEC has recently shown clear signs of cooling funds. According to market position data, long positions have dropped from about $470 million to around $380 million, with nearly $90 million withdrawn in a short period. Meanwhile, the proportion of long profits has fallen from about **91%** to 66%, indicating that previously profitable long positions are clearly decreasing, with some funds choosing to cash in 📉. This is more like a redistribution of funds at high levels. If it were just a simple technical shakeout, funds would usually flow back quickly; But what we see now is that price rebounds do not synchronize with capital movements, so in the short term, it is still necessary to guard against continued profit-taking. After a pullback in the crypto market last night, ZEC rebounded somewhat as market sentiment improved. However, what is more worth watching now are: 🔸 whether long positions continue to decline 🔸, whether funds are flowing 🔸 back in, whether trading volume can increase 🔸 during the rebound, and whether there is sustained selling pressure 📰 at previous highs. Market News & Risk Background: Recently, ZEC's privacy narrative continues to attract market attention, but privacy assets also face regulatory discussions, capital rotation, and high volatility. Even if there is a rapid short-term surge, it does not mean funds have reestablished a sustained trend. 📌 My observation: Short-term rebound ≠ trend reversal. If funds continue to flow out and the price relies solely on sentiment to rebound, a second pullback may occur. For ZEC, it is currently more suitable to wait for funds to flow back againCoinCodex model predicts DOGE to reach 0.20 on October 24 — the "doubling market" calculated by AI, what is the basis of the model and how credible is it?
Conclusion first: this prediction deserves serious consideration. 0.2001 is not a shout from any KOL, but a coordinate drawn by a model after reading all of DOGE's history, which is more grounded than most people's intuition.
CoinCodex officially explained the prediction method: the input is historical market data, Bitcoin cycle patterns, plus AI modeling. Breaking it down, it’s moving averages, RSI, volume, volatility indicators combined with the halving cycle’s seasonal pattern. What the model does is find segments in history similar to the present, then extrapolate the trend replay — and DOGE happens to be one of the assets with the most historical pattern repetitions, each cycle following Bitcoin’s rhythm to create its own market moves.
Variables the model can’t read are currently favoring the bulls: advancement of payment applications, potential news releases from Musk at any time, retail capital returning in the later cycle stages — once these catalysts materialize, prices often run ahead of predictions. Backtesting records show that this type of platform’s directional judgment on $DOGE is generally reliable, and once market sentiment ignites, the actual highs often exceed the model’s numbers.
If scoring, direction reference gets 8 points, price precision 5 points. 0.20 looks more like the next milestone rather than the end point of this rally. If every trade could make money, how great that would be.
Right now, the three orders I hold correspond exactly to three states: one is safely pocketed, one is tightly held onto, and one is struggling deep in the pit.
Let's start with $ETH, this time I admit defeat.
Shorted at 2696, closed at 2676, +67%, earned 18U.
After shorting three times in a row, this time I finally didn't get greedy and chose to pocket the profit.
Although with 100x full position, 18U is indeed not much, probably just enough for a hotpot meal.
But that's how trading is: the profit actually pocketed is the money that truly belongs to you.
Next, look at $UNI.
The long position at 5.744 rose all the way to 9.124, with a peak at 9.495, yet I never dared to sell.
Now the profit is starting to give back, and I can only watch the floating gains shrink.
The most frustrating part is not that I didn't make money, but that even though it has doubled, I still don't dare to hit the close button.
I always feel that once I sell, it will take off completely.
The result is often: no profit pocketed, but the mindset becomes increasingly anxious.
As for $SNDK, it's even more obvious.
Shorted at 1538, still holding on tightly.
Last night it surged to 1808, now back to 1777, but still far from my cost line, so I can only endure.
One trade made money, one trade is reluctant to take profit, and one trade is stuck waiting to break even.