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ETH Evening Core Logic · Qualitative: The upper edge of the trumpet was kicked open, reaching a high of 2751. After this short-term rise, it's unlikely to fly directly; most likely it will digest sideways first, watching the 2724-2650 box. · Long: Enter long aggressively on volume break above 2721 on the right side; if hourly holds above 2721, target 2751-2792, then 2858. · Short: Enter short aggressively on volume break below 2696 on the right side; volume is essential, a low-volume break is a fakeout; 4-hour break below 2696 targets 2649-2610. · Pullback: If before US market open it pulls back near 2650 and shows a stop-fall signal, light long positions can be taken, no greed beyond half position; if no pullback, don't force entry. · Structure: Oscillating within 2724-2650, no need to worry about 2610-2571 below for now; if it reclaims above 2721, next target is 2792. · 4-hour: The 2559 box has been broken, after pullback confirms support, it rebounds. High at 2751; as long as the pullback does not break the bullish trendline near 2615, the trend is intact; if stable, can test 2882. · Reminder: No top signals or structural damage yet; shorting risks being trapped, don't always try to catch the top. Always set stop losses. BTC Evening Core Logic · Qualitative: Don't rush; today is just a short-term strengthening, one more step needed to confirm the trend. · Daily: Just broke above the upper edge of the 82801 box and previous high, forming a W bottom pattern. Closing above 83002 tomorrow counts as awakening; three consecutive closes above 83002 would confirm a bullish reversal. Holding above the box's upper edge, ideally entering the left-side 83726-96747 consolidation zone.$SEI is slightly bullish in the short term, consider only after a pullback confirmation
The big bullish candle has widened the gap, and the first reaction is often fear of chasing a high or regret for missing the entry. But the biggest fear now is not missing out, but blindly chasing at market price. The market is very honest; the one-hour and four-hour gains are minimal, indicating that after the sharp rise, momentum has settled at a high level. At this time, betting on a breakout is less favorable than waiting for a natural pullback to test support and let the price stabilize on its own.
Trading plan: Slightly bullish short term, but only trade on pullback confirmation or breakout confirmation
Trading advice: Consider after a pullback to 0.0533–0.05404 stabilizes; if it strengthens directly, follow after breaking above 0.05602. Set stop loss at 0.0525, take profit first at 0.06038, then at 0.0643.
#加密总市值重返2.8万亿美元 $SEI is slightly bullish in the short term, consider only after a pullback confirmation
The big bullish candle has widened the gap, and the first reaction is often fear of chasing a high or regret for missing the entry. But the biggest fear now is not missing out, but blindly chasing at market price. The market is very honest; the one-hour and four-hour gains are minimal, indicating that after the sharp rise, momentum has settled at a high level. At this time, betting on a breakout is less favorable than waiting for a natural pullback to test support and let the price stabilize on its own.
Trading plan: Slightly bullish short term, but only trade on pullback confirmation or breakout confirmation
Trading advice: Consider after a pullback to 0.0533–0.05404 stabilizes; if it strengthens directly, follow after breaking above 0.05602. Set stop loss at 0.0525, take profit first at 0.06038, then at 0.0643.
#加密总市值重返2.8万亿美元 🐕 vs 🐱 DOGE and Fat Orange $PANGJU, not competitors of the same species
Plain language comparison, no hype or bashing:
DOGE Dogecoin
Born in 2013, Shiba Inu breed, PoW + merged mining with Litecoin, 1-minute block time, extremely low fees
No total supply cap: 10,000 DOGE per block, about 5.26 billion new coins annually, perpetual inflation, positioned as a "payment/tipping coin"
Advantages: 12 years of survival, 8 million+ holders, Elon Musk narrative, existing spot ETF, extremely high global recognition
Shortcomings: no native smart contract capability, price highly dependent on celebrities/emotions, inflation model not suitable for "hoarding"
Fat Orange $PANGJU
A cat-themed Meme on X Layer in 2026, total supply capped at 1 billion
400 million+ in liquidity, 100 million+ burned, developers hold zero, Top 10 holders hold 6.71%
IP is not made up: "Fat Orange's Comeback" on Douyin/Video Account has 148 million views, fans first then coin
Built on OKX X Layer: EVM compatible, low gas, directly viewable on OKX Wallet
Using OKB as base pool → buying cats means stepping into the X Layer ecosystem first
Objective differences
DOGE = "veteran payment Meme," competing on history, liquidity, celebrities, macro capital
Fat Orange = "short video IP + on-chain transparency" new cat, competing on cognitive transfer, daily community updates, token holding structure, ecosystem entry
DOGE doesn't need to prove survival; Fat Orange still needs time and data to prove it's not a one-cycle dog coin
Fat Orange's relative advantages (not talking 100x, but structure)
Total supply capped, unlike DOGE's perpetual inflation
Developers hold zero + Top 10 hold 6.71%, weak insider trading narrative
Short video IP has offline mass base, customer acquisition cost lower than "just drawing cats"
X Layer + OKX Wallet entry adds an ecosystem traffic layer beyond isolated Meme chains
Purple Orange community daily updates and secondary creations, more controllable in bear markets than "waiting for Elon Musk tweets"
But don't get it wrong: DOGE is a consensus giant with multi-billion dollar market cap, Fat Orange is an early-stage small-cap Meme. The former is about "capital returning to Meme sector," the latter about "whether IP can convert to on-chain retention." Not who replaces whom, but two lifecycle types.
Personally hold a small amount of $PANGJU as an observation position; this article is personal comparison notes, not investment advice or OKX official view. Contract self-check (OKX Wallet):
0x3cfbcebf998a27007326d18cffa5ba9cad041111 8月被黑客增发40亿砸穿地板，9月我抄底吃147%。
8月合约漏洞致代币无限增发暴跌，$ONE 跌至历史极低0.0006。
9月伴随迁移消息落地，严重超跌的筹码迎来暴力反弹，一周暴涨超100%。
我在回踩0.004166时果断做多。当前0.004812。RSI已严重超买，警惕获利盘砸盘。
$ETH $SOL #加密总市值重返2.8万亿美元 SEI is causing trouble again!!!!
Canary has revised the staking ETF application once more
By the time I saw the news
SEI had already rallied
I have to say
this time there’s really something going on
Canary Capital submitted a revised version of the SEI staking spot ETF to the SEC
It’s another step forward
Note
this ETF holds real SEI
not contracts
The new version changed the rules a bit
90% of the SEI in the fund will be staked to earn interest
All assets are entrusted to BitGo for custody
Planning to list on Cboe
Simply put
retail investors open a US stock account
buy some ETF shares
which is equivalent to indirectly holding SEI
and also getting the staking rewards
without having to deal with on-chain operations
or managing private keys
This is quite attractive
Previously when talking about crypto ETFs
everyone just wanted
not to have to buy and hold coins and deal with all the hassle
just buy a ticker and be done
But now
buying the ETF not only gets you the coins
but also free staking interest
This news is definitely a positive expectation for SEI
but it’s only sentiment-based
After all, submitting a revision doesn’t mean the SEC will approve it
No matter how complete the materials are
they can still say no
and the approval process can drag on
with lots of uncertainties
Don’t rush in impulsively
No matter how high it’s flying now
if it doesn’t pass
the fall will be ugly
$BTC $ETH $ZEC SOL's spike to 116.9 today directly surpassed 114.3, this surge is quite strong.
Yesterday's low was 107.4, the high was 112.5, and it closed at 108.8. Today it opened around 108.8, reached a high of 116.9, a low of 108.5, and the current price is about 115.8. The volume ratio has increased compared to yesterday, and those following the upward move are still present, but the high level has started to wobble.
The 116.9 level above is the new resistance; above that is the previous high at 295.9. If it breaks below 108.5, it’s likely to test 107.4 first; if that level also fails to hold, the short-term target will be around 100.7 to find space.
In the short term, watch if the current price around 115.8 can hold. If it can’t, consider this a pullback after a spike and don’t chase at this price. For those already holding, watch if the low of 108.5 today can hold as support; if not, consider reducing positions. For those looking to buy, wait for a pullback and see if it can break past 116.9 before considering entry—don’t catch a falling knife mid-air. $SOL $#比特币突破8 5,000 BTC officially broke through $85,000 today, reaching a high of about $85,166, marking an eight-month high. What's even more interesting is that this rally is not a celebration by the crypto community itself, but rather a clear linkage with the risk appetite of US stocks.
🔥 Layer 1: The rise in US stocks provides risk appetite for BTC
Today, US stock index futures strengthened, tech stocks such as AI and semiconductors continued to rebound, while oil prices fell and pressure on US Treasury yields eased. As a high-beta risk asset, BTC naturally tends to rise in line with capital risk appetite.
🔥 Layer Two: U.S. politics and regulation are influencing crypto funds
Last week, the CLARITY Act did not advance, but the market did not continue to panic; instead, it began to digest the negative news. Meanwhile, the SEC allowed eligible platforms to conduct tokenized U.S. stock trading, and the market began to refocus on the "traditional financial assets going on-chain" route.
This signifies a significant change: although there are short-term disagreements in U.S. political regulation, the market is beginning to view regulation as "long-term institutional building," rather than simply a negative or positive factor.
🔥 Third layer: Trump and the political variables of the U.S. stock market
This week, the market is also focused on Trump's meeting with Chinese leaders, as well as topics such as trade, AI, and tariffs. While US stocks rose today, BTC also continued to strengthen, indicating that capital is currently leaning more toward trading expectations of an "improved risk environment."
So this BTC breakthrough of 85,000 yuan is more likely: BTC's own technical breakthrough + ETF capital inflow + US stock risk appetite recovery$BTC 刚刚走了一根让空头绝望的大阳线。从80100低点直接拉到84234，4个小时涨了4000多刀，当前83743，24小时涨3.54%。
1小时K线图一目了然：一根大阳线直接吞掉了过去两周的震荡区间，MACD金叉后红柱暴力放大，DIF从水下直接拉到388，多头动能集中释放。
这根K线的意义不只是涨了多少。过去两周大饼一直在80000-82000之间来回磨，多空都快把耐心磨没了。现在一根大阳线直接突破，说明多头积蓄了足够的力量。24小时成交额68.37亿USDT，放量突破，不是虚拉。
但别上头。84234这个位置是前期高点附近，短线上方便抛压。一根大阳线之后，获利盘随时可能兑现，回踩82000-83000确认支撑是大概率事件。追涨的最容易在这个位置被洗出去。
90天涨幅34%，大周期趋势向上没变。如果回踩82000能撑住，下一个目标就是前高85000-86000。如果直接追多，一个回踩就到成本价下方。Market Watch on September 21: The key to the rebound is not the price increase, but whether the capital can continue. $BTC has reclaimed $80,000, $ETH is relatively stronger, and $SOL is following with a recovery. Last Friday saw a return of spot ETF funds, but the overall weekly flow was nearly flat, indicating capital is replenishing, yet the trend is not fully confirmed. Today, the focus is on spot trading volume after the US stock market opens and whether BTC can hold $80,000. If capital and trading volume continue in sync, the rebound may upgrade to a trend recovery; if liquidity recedes over the weekend and a pullback occurs, it indicates this is just an emotional pulse. #加密总市值重返2.8万亿美元 Brother Garrett Jin, you really disappointed me.
38,000 $ZEC short positions averaged at 656, held for three months, finally closed at market price near 1459, losing 35.44 million USD. This "first layer short holding" indeed became a joke across the entire network. In half an hour, the price was pulled from 1490 to 1530, with funding rates annualized soaring above 170%, a typical low liquidity short squeeze. But the comment section also revealed: he holds 203,000 spot coins at an average price of 230, and the spot profits have long covered the contracts. The whale is playing "spot protection, contract gambling," while retail investors only see the short position losses.
Considering the whole network, recent ZEC short squeezes, AKE flash crashes, frequent $DOGE high-leverage wipeouts, BTC holding the 80,000 mark, macro interest rate hikes and tax bills still looming, and thin weekend liquidity with very low fault tolerance. In such extreme market conditions, high leverage is just handing out losses.
In terms of operation, keep light spot positions, firmly avoid 50x leverage, set stop losses properly, don’t hold or add positions. Don’t be misled by "whale manipulation," survival is the only chance. Cash is king, survival first, don’t let unrealized losses turn into zero. 🤦♂️💀
BTC ZEC $DOGE #ZECShortSqueeze #WhaleLiquidation #HighLeverageRisk $DOGE I originally just wanted to grab a quick breakfast, but it ended up giving me dumplings for half a year.
Last night at dawn, I was watching DOGE; the bottom stayed flat all night, no matter how much it was hammered, it wouldn't break. I said in the group at the time: there's someone buying below, don't panic, this position is worth holding.
The answer came. Bought more at 0.08425, now the market has touched 0.09333, floating profit +538.27%. This gain feels pretty good.
First, take 70% off the table, pocket the main portion, move the stop loss above the cost price for the remaining 30%, let the profit run if it continues to rise, and if it really falls back, at least you won't lose what you've already gained.
The market is to be waited for, profits are to be held for.
For those who haven't gotten in yet, listen to me: now is really not the time to rush, chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I will notify you immediately.
$ADA $SOL The total market cap of altcoins has returned to 800 billion again, but I'm still not in a hurry to say the altcoin season is back.
In the past two days, after removing BTC and ETH from the crypto market, the remaining crypto market's total market cap has climbed back above 800 billion USD.
Normally, such a trend would easily make people shout:
Altcoin season is here! But I want to stay calm first.
Because the altcoin season index is only 41 now, there's still some distance from a truly comprehensive altcoin market.
At this stage, I don't want to chase coins that have already rallied.
I prefer to wait for two signals:
First, whether BTC can hold above 80,000 dollars.
Second, whether BTC's market dominance can truly start to decline.
If BTC stabilizes above 80,000 and funds continue to flow from BTC to other coins, that would be the altcoin market start signal I recognize more.
Conversely, if BTC falls below 80,000 again and altcoins also start to collectively retreat, then the previous rise looks more like an emotional rebound.
Now? Don't rush to FOMO.
The real altcoin season shouldn't be shouted out but should be proven by the flow of funds itself.BTC Sets the Tone, OKB Shows the Rotation
$BTC remains the market’s main liquidity benchmark, while $OKB can reveal whether demand is reaching exchange-linked assets.
If BTC holds its structure and OKB starts gaining volume, that would show stronger participation beyond the majors. If OKB moves without meaningful volume, the move needs more confirmation.
I’d track BTC stability first, then OKB’s volume response.
#CryptoCapReclaims2.8T #ZEC38KShortClosed #TrumpGulfIranTalks $ETH could indeed have a secondary impact on the overall crypto market sentiment. A well-known major short seller being forced to cover would make other short sellers more cautious, especially when the market is already in a breakout phase. BTC/ETH shorts might proactively reduce their positions, creating additional buyback demand #ZEC巨鲸3.8万枚空单平仓，亏损超3500万美元 #特朗普将会晤海湾六国，伊朗局势迎关键节点
伊朗这局棋，走到岔路口了。
特朗普明天要在联合国大会期间跟海湾六国领导人碰面，聊伊朗战争的下一步。他嘴上说面临重大决定，一边没排除重新大规模动武，一边又说伊朗还想谈。伊朗那边也没闲着，通过卡塔尔把停战条件递过来了，要结束各条战线冲突、解冻资金、解除海上封锁，现在等美国回话。特朗普对跟伊朗总统见面持开放态度，但双方还没敲定安排。
市场已经在投票了。油价跌了3%以上，布伦特回到103美元附近，WTI也往下走。这说明市场在赌谈判能往前走，至少短期内不会立刻升级成大规模冲突。如果会谈释放缓和信号，油价继续回落，通胀压力就能松一口气，美联储那边的加息紧迫性也会跟着降，这对风险资产是好事。
对BTC来说，这两种剧本都有利有弊。谈成了，短期流动性预期改善，价格有支撑。谈崩了，短期被砸，但长期看，地缘混乱会加速法币信用消耗，反而强化非主权资产的逻辑。
现在这个节点别赌方向。等明天会谈结果出来，看油价怎么走，再决定下一步。市场最怕的不是坏消息，是不确定性。$BTC $ETH $ZE2749 is not the target price, but the test ground for the quality of today's buying pressure
Many people see $ETH surge to $2749 and immediately draw lines at 2800, 3000. But the truly valuable number today is not those yet-to-happen targets, but the intraday high of 2749. It records the highest cost the first round of chasing funds are willing to pay and will also serve as the place to test selling pressure during the next upward attack.
It's normal to pause after the first touch of the high. Those who entered at low levels want to take profits, and trapped positions will also reduce holdings during the rebound. Strength is not determined by whether there is selling pressure, but by how far the price retreats after selling appears. If the pullback is shallow and holds above 2700, it means there are still buyers after chip rotation; if it quickly returns to around 2645, today's surge will be reinterpreted as a liquidity-driven impulse.
Therefore, I won't anxiously chase orders just because it's a few dollars below 2749, nor will I turn bearish at the first resistance. There are only two cleaner signals: a volume breakout followed by a non-broken retest, or a continuous buying reappearing after falling back to the support zone. The middle area is the easiest for emotions to replace plans.
What $ETH needs now is not louder slogans, but to turn the high-level transactions into new costs. Only if turnover near 2749 is completed does 2800 have discussion value; if not, no matter how high the target is written, it's just a wish. Instead of trading the high, observe who is still willing to stay after the high.XRP was just forcibly liquidated, and looking at this green on DOGE, I really can't describe how I feel 😮💨 This long position has an average price of 0.08854, at the time of the screenshot it was 0.09268, with a single contract floating profit of +233.92%, and it hasn't been closed yet, with a take-profit order set at 0.10. I'm happy, but I can't expect it to rise a bit more to make up for another losing position.
I still have expectations for DOGE's rise; the ETF angle is worth keeping an eye on. REX's disclosed holdings as of September 17 show that DOJE directly holds about 81.27 million DOGE, and also has allocations in Dogecoin ETP. There is at least a channel participating through securities accounts with actual allocations, not just hype online. However, these are existing holdings, not new purchases on that day.
I think ETFs change "how to buy more conveniently," not "that buying is safer." My bet is on the participation channel plus a warming sentiment to sustain subsequent demand; but to push the price expectations higher, we need to see new buying, not repeatedly count the same batch of fund holdings as positive. Whether the product exists or not is one thing, and whether funds are willing to keep coming in is another.
Looking at the price again, the yield is already over 200%, but from 0.09268 to 0.10, it still needs to rise about 7.9%, so it's not at the target yet. I'll first observe if it can move up around 0.095 and if a pullback can hold; if it can't push through and starts to clearly retreat, I'll consider reducing a bit first, no need to wait for the entire order to fill.#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
Many people ask: What is your maximum single-trade drawdown red line? When you profit, do you ever get greedy and give it back?
The crypto world isn’t about who makes the most money, but who loses the least when wrong and locks in gains when right.
My red line isn’t "run when it feels wrong," it’s written into my rules and executed:
Single trade risk: no more than 1%–2% of total capital
For example, with 10,000 U principal, if one trade loses 100–200 U, I exit—no holding, no averaging down, no arguing with the market.
Daily drawdown: -2% to -3%, stop trading that day
No chasing even in the best market, close the app, go eat.
Account drawdown:
• At 8%: reduce position, only do spot/limit orders
• At 15%: force half position exit
• At 25%: clear all positions and rest for a week, stop watching
When profiting, I don’t wait to sell at the highest point; I use a three-layer take-profit:
1. Floating profit at 5%–8%: reduce 1/3 to recover fees and trial costs
2. Floating profit at 15%+: move stop loss above cost line, this trade can no longer lose
3. If trend continues: set trailing take-profit, exit if price retraces 3% (short-term) / 5% (mid-term) from the highest point, no riding the market roller coaster
Simply put:
Stop loss is for survival, take profit is to keep the "money once earned."
The worst in crypto isn’t never having made gains, but having made gains and then giving it all back plus losses.
This round I only fix three things: position size, stop loss, rhythm.
100x coins are other people’s stories; surviving to the next round is your own.BTC and ETH Are Telling Different Parts of the Story
$BTC is still the market’s main liquidity signal. $ETH, meanwhile, shows whether that liquidity is spreading into the broader ecosystem.
When BTC holds its structure while ETH starts gaining strength with improving volume, market breadth is getting healthier. If ETH keeps lagging despite BTC strength, that tells a different story.
The next thing I’d track is ETH relative strength against BTC.
#CryptoCapReclaims2.8T #ZEC38KShortClosed $ONE is moving like a liquidity trap—violent pumps, sudden dumps, and reversals that can punish anyone trying to time the top. Yes, a breakdown can happen. But shorting purely because you expect a crash can be expensive. If price goes sideways for hours, funding fees keep eating into your position while you wait. With whale-driven coins like $ONE, timing matters more than having a bearish bias. For me, protecting capital comes before forcing a trade. Missing a dump is far better than getting tra比特币囤币与杠杆的多巴胺真相
我天天骑电瓶车跑单，一单几块钱，风里来雨里去，一个月撑死五六千。看币圈那帮人开杠杆，几分钟就干出我一个月工资，那心跳，谁看谁不迷糊？说白了，不是多爱钱，是迷那股多巴胺，跟上瘾一样。有钱人也一样，吃穿不愁了，生活没波澜，就爱高杠杆大起大落找刺激。
但咱骑手想明白了：闯红灯抢那几秒，快是快，出事就全完。杠杆也一个道理，爽一时，可能一把归零。
我就稳稳囤比特币，像每天跑单攒钱，一聪一聪攒，慢慢沉淀。没有一夜暴富的刺激，但有慢慢变富的踏实。杠杆赚的是一时爽，囤币攒的是周期底气。短线赌心跳，长期囤人生。
稳当送达，比啥都强。
$BTC During this $BTC rally, retail investors are increasing short positions against the trend, while large holders are only slightly reducing their positions; both sides are betting on opposite scenarios. The retail long-short ratio has clearly declined within a day; the higher the price rises, the more short accounts there are, which is a typical "disbelief in the rally." These short positions will serve as fuel for the subsequent upward push. Although the large holders' position ratio has fallen, it remains high, indicating profit-taking without a reversal in direction. On the leverage front, all long positions cleared in the past hour; leveraged traders who chased the rally have just been washed out, making the market cleaner. Funding rates for three periods remain in a moderate range, with no overheating. On the options side, bullish positions dominate, volatility is low, and the market is not pricing in a sharp drop. Judgment: This pullback is a leverage washout, not a market top. $BTC will retest 85,285 and break upward. Bearish condition: If it falls below 80,270.5, it means retail shorts were right, and the above judgment is void. $PONS is a classic trading point for capturing short-term high risk-reward rebounds after confirming secondary low support levels in highly volatile new coins and altcoin targets.
After $PONS surged to around 0.9882 earlier, it entered a consolidation downtrend. The price stabilized after dipping to a phase low of 0.4952, then rebounded and entered a pullback and base-building phase. From the 4-hour chart perspective, the price did not break the low near 0.5564 (close to the opening moving average 0.5636) during the pullback, forming a secondary bottom support. Subsequently, short-term buying surged in, with the MA5 and MA10 moving averages quickly crossing and turning upward, pushing the price to rebound back near 0.6189, signaling a clear short-term stop and rebound momentum.
Decisively enter long positions near 0.5636 with a clear trading logic:
Secondary low support confirmation: The price found support again above the previous low of 0.4952 without breaking the prior low, showing an initial bottom formation.
Moving average recovery and short-term rebound: Short-term moving averages (MA5, MA10) formed a golden cross at low levels, driving the price to quickly rise and challenge the MA20 moving average (0.6291) above.
This 20x leveraged long position was held from 0.5636 to around 0.6188, precisely capturing the phase of accelerated bottom rebound. For such highly volatile newly listed coins, controlling position size and leverage while accurately timing the rebound momentum at support levels can also achieve quite favorable returns.
The core of trading lies in risk control and rhythm management, aligning with trends and precisely positioning at support levels. Further live trade reviews and market insights will continue to be shared. Everyone is welcome to discuss and exchange ideas in the comments! $BTC $ETH #加密总市值重返2.8万亿美元 ETH surged to $2700, staking and funding diverge
I think ETH's current rise is more like a "reluctant sale" rebound, not a real breakout yet, because institutional funds are still hesitant.
Indeed, a single-day ETF net inflow of 144 million looks attractive, but the previous three consecutive days of outflows exposed Wall Street's wavering; even BTC's $80,000 level holds firmer than that. On-chain, 35% of ETH is locked in staking, and 85% of large holders' positions remain unmoved. The circulating supply shrinking does make it easy to "gently pull it up to 2700," but this is essentially scarcity of chips, not a frenzy of demand.
Looking at the whole network, macro factors like the Fed's fluctuating rate cut expectations and the advancing US crypto tax bill add uncertainty. Recently, ZEC short squeezes, AKE flash crashes, and $DOGE high-leverage disasters keep happening. With thin weekend liquidity, dog whales control the market fiercely, and the market's fault tolerance is almost zero. Without sustained external funds, relying solely on internal lock-ups, this rise is like walking a tightrope.
I personally hold a small long position and dare not go heavy. If ETF net inflows don't continue for a week, chasing highs is just handing out profits. Real money flows are more honest than candlesticks; watch the data closely and don't listen to "turnaround" calls.
Operationally, keep light spot positions, firmly avoid 50x leverage, set stop losses well, don't hold or add on losses. Cash is king, survival first; wait for institutional real money to enter continuously before adding positions. The last to survive is the winner.🤦♂️💀
BTC ETH $ZEC #ETH2700 #ETFFlow #StakingLockup 100x leverage is thrilling, but my underlying logic remains calm.
Despite bearish factors, spot ETF continues to see a net inflow exceeding 1.7 billion $XRP, providing strong support.
Combined with institutional accumulation signals, I firmly went long at 1.4321.
The current price of 1.495 confirms the judgment. Next, watch the 1.50 level; a breakout would open up upside potential.
$BTC $ETH #ZEC巨鲸3.8万枚空单平仓，亏损超3500万美元 $BTC's recent rally is indeed strong, with EMA7/25/99 in a bullish alignment, but the RSI has reached 86.7, indicating severe overbought conditions and significant short-term correction pressure. The Bollinger Bands upper band broke through to 84371, and the price is right near the upper band, making chasing the rally at this level quite risky.
If it can stabilize in the 82000-83000 range, the bullish structure can continue; however, if it falls below EMA25 (82033), the current logic will be invalidated. OBV shows continuous capital inflow, but the long-short ratio indicates a decrease in long positions, suggesting some longs may have already taken profits.
#加密总市值重返2.8万亿美元
#ZEC巨鲸3.8万枚空单平仓，亏损超3500万美元 🔥【Today's Painful Review: ONE's Boiling Frog Trap】🔥
This short position today really taught me a hard lesson.💀
The coin ONEUSDT has already surged 10x in the past 3 days. When the market crashes, it doesn't fall; when the market rises, it goes crazy along. The most absurd thing is—the contract side forcibly pushed to a new high, but the spot side didn't follow at all.🚨
This is the sneakiest manipulation tactic by the pump-and-dump operators:
1️⃣ Accumulate and pump secretly: quietly pumped 10x in the past 3 days, accumulating a large amount of profit-taking positions.
2️⃣ Use the market's momentum to ignite: today Bitcoin stabilized above 83500, they immediately used a small amount of funds in the contract market to force the price up, creating a "breakout" illusion.
3️⃣ Short squeeze + dump: contract price surged violently, wiping out shorts in one wave; spot price surged then quickly fell back, leaving a long upper shadow.
Result: lost over 100 dollars in funding fees in one day.💸💸💸
This kind of coin completely ignores technical analysis; the pump-and-dump operators make the rules.
A reminder to myself and everyone:
👊 Control your hands, try to avoid these highly manipulated meme coins!
👊 Small funds especially should not hold on hard; when margin is insufficient, even if your judgment is right, you can only be forced to cut losses!
👊 When shorting altcoins, always compare Bitcoin's candlestick and spot charts together; contract prices may be "fake fire"!
👊 Play less with altcoins, especially those that have surged 10x; the risk-reward ratio is extremely poor!
Preserve your capital, and you won't worry about running out of fuel. The US stock market opens at 9:30 tonight; strictly follow discipline and exit when it's time to go.ETH冲高2700美元，质押与资金面现分化
我认为ETH现在的上涨更像"惜售"带来的反弹，还不是真正的爆发，因为机构资金还在犹豫。
ETH冲到2700美元确实让人兴奋，但我注意到一个细节：虽然9月18日ETF净流入1.44亿美元，但之前连续三天都在流出。这说明华尔街那帮人还在摇摆，不像BTC那样坚定。
我看更重的是链上数据。现在35%的ETH都被锁在质押里不动了，BitMine这种大户甚至把85%的持仓都质押了。
这意味着市面上能卖的币变少了，稍微有点买盘就能拉起来，但这不代表需求有多旺盛。
我自己上周小仓位做多了比特币跟以太坊，但没敢重仓。因为我觉得只要ETF资金不能持续流入，可能还会回调..
很多人只看价格涨了就喊"以太坊翻身了"，但在我看来，没有持续的外部资金注入，光靠内部锁仓，这种上涨是不太稳定的。
比起追高，我更建议盯着ETF的每日流向数据。那是真金白银的态度，比大饼二饼的K线图更诚实。
如果连续一周净流入，#加密总市值重返2.8万亿美元 $BTC $ETH
On September 19, the total crypto market cap returned to 2.8 trillion USD, once approaching 2.9 trillion intraday; Bitcoin rose about 5% in a day to 81,914 USD, the highest since September 4, after having dropped below 75,000 USD three days earlier. ZEC surged 36% in a week, HYPE hit an all-time high, with funds clearly flowing out of BTC into high-beta assets.
Currently, this is a recovery of sentiment and leverage, not a structural recovery. This rally was accompanied by concentrated short liquidations; analysts had repeatedly warned of resistance near 83,000 USD and cautioned it might be a "bull trap." On-chain data can prove fund flows but cannot prove trend continuation.
Glassnode data shows altcoin leverage has exceeded its risk threshold, and Bitcoin will face concentrated liquidation tests in the 83,000–86,000 USD range.
The market cap rebound means liquidity has returned, but it also means the scale of funds in transit, counterparty complexity, and cross-platform risk exposure have all simultaneously increased. 【Top 10 Crypto Traders' Highlights Today｜BTC September 21】
The main focus tonight is not chasing the rally, but watching whether 83000 can turn from a breakout level into support. Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) original view: After BTC's weekly liquidity sweep engulfed the previous week, it must continue to push and break through 83000 for the weekly structure to turn bullish; he also warned that small pullbacks easily punish premature selling. Cheds (@BigCheds) original view: BTC is a right angle broadening wedge, volatility will increase. Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) only provides crypto risk appetite background, not a direct BTC signal. Editor's analysis: Binance BTCUSDT around 84612, if it pulls back to 83500–83000 without breaking, the main target is 85200, strong target 86000; if it falls back to 83000 and cannot reclaim it, the setup fails, breaking below 82000 means stop chasing longs. There are fewer than ten valid views in the past 24 hours; this article only retains verifiable sources, no filler; if the invalidation level is broken before publication, usage should be suspended. Leverage users beware of stop-loss risks, this is not investment advice. #BTC #ETH #OKBWhy do schools teach history, math, and foreign languages every year, but not finance?
Debt, interest, compound interest, inflation, taxes, pensions—these tools that directly affect the quality of life for every adult over decades are instead left for people to figure out on their own after graduation or to learn only after being taken advantage of.
As a result, the vast majority of people spend their entire lives using the most basic wages to hedge against financial risks they don't understand at all.
If we start teaching people systematically from middle school how to manage money, the wealth distribution of the entire society will be different decades later.
This issue is also a fundamental support for Bitcoin's long-term narrative—the more people understand money, the greater the demand for censorship-resistant assets.ETH gaining 3.36% versus BTC at 1.27% looks like selective risk appetite, not a broad breakout. I favor ETH on relative strength here, but split staking flows and the prospect of higher U.S. T-bill supply argue against chasing the move. Durability still depends on liquidity.
Not advice, just analysis.$BTC $ETH $ZEC
Current market funds are concentrating from Bitcoin to a few leading assets with real business support; the "broad altcoin rally season" has not fully arrived yet. Below are several clues sorted by risk preference, not constituting investment advice:
Conservative and Stable (Institutional Core Holdings)
· Bitcoin (BTC): Currently fluctuating around $80,000, it is the market's directional indicator. Institutional ETF funds mainly settle here, suitable as a core holding.
· Ethereum (ETH): Price around $2,500, relatively weak performance. But it is the core on-chain infrastructure; if funds rotate out of BTC later, ETH is the primary recipient.
Speculative Flexibility (Institutional Favorites)
· Hyperliquid (HYPE): Recently strong performance (once breaking $94). The core logic is real income buybacks; the platform uses most fees to buy back and burn tokens, with strong deflation expectations, attracting institutional attention.
· Zcash (ZEC): Recently surged above $1,500, regarded as the "privacy version of Bitcoin." Because Bitcoin's progress on quantum resistance is slow, ZEC's technical upgrades form a differentiated narrative.
· Solana (SOL): Price around $100, showing divergence: on-chain activity is declining, but ETF funds continue to flow in. Institutions are betting on its ecosystem recovery, a high-reward but high-uncertainty target.
#加密总市值重返2.8万亿美元 The meeting on the 22nd might be more important than fighting a war.
Trump is going to meet the Gulf Cooperation Council in New York, not to celebrate a victory,
but to discuss a more realistic issue: whether to continue the war with Iran or start negotiations?
Trump's current attitude is actually very contradictory.
On one hand, he says he hopes the war is nearing its end and that Iran wants to reach an agreement;
On the other hand, he says he is facing a "major decision" and does not rule out launching a large-scale military operation again.
Iran has also sent its conditions to Washington through Qatar:
ceasefire, release of frozen funds, and end of the maritime blockade.
But Iran also states that if the conditions are rejected, it is prepared to continue the war.
So the three signals to watch on the 22nd are:
1️⃣ Whether the Gulf Cooperation Council urges Trump to ceasefire or supports continuing the fight;
2️⃣ Whether Trump's tone after the meeting hardens or softens;
3️⃣ Whether Trump and Iranian President Raisi will truly sit down to talk.
My view:
It is not yet the end of the war; the best possible outcome of the talks might be the same as before—a temporary ceasefire!
If negotiation signals strengthen, the geopolitical premium on oil prices will continue to fall, and BTC and risk assets might get a breather.
But if Trump clearly shifts toward military escalation after the meeting, oil prices, inflation, and U.S. Treasury yields may again pressure risk assets.
The 22nd may not decide the end of the war, but it could determine whether the market trades "war" or "peace" next. $BTC $CL #特朗普将会晤海湾六国，伊朗局势迎关键节点 Fam, volume breakout! Are you chasing or waiting?
Technicals: short-term RSI overbought, pullback possible. But 50-week MA at 78,115 — first close above in 45 weeks, medium-term bullish.
Market data: $746M liquidated in 24h, $647M shorts — short squeeze fueling the rally. Exchange BTC below 2.7M, LTH ~75%. But 65K BTC from short-term holders moved to exchanges — profit-taking.
My take: cautiously bullish, limited upside. Heavy zones at 84-85K and 90-92K — likely shakeouts there. Family, the volume breakout has happened! Are you chasing or not?
Technical aspect: Short-term RSI is overbought, a pullback is possible. But the 50-week moving average is at 78,115, and the 45-week closed above it for the first time, indicating a medium-term bullish bias.
Market data: 24h liquidation is $746 million, shorts account for $647 million — shorts are being squeezed, pushing the price up. Exchange BTC fell below 2.7 million coins, long-term holders account for 75%. But short-term holders transferred 65,000 BTC to exchanges, some are taking profits.
My view: Cautiously bullish, but limited room. There are dense trading zones at 84,000-85,000 and 90,000-92,000, likely to see a shakeout. You can chase longs, but don't go heavy, don't FOMO.
What about you? Chasing or waiting? Let's chat in the comments!⚡ $XRP /USDT: $1.4551 (+3.16%)
Breaking above the 1H MA cluster! But the real test is $1.50 (50-week EMA).
🐂 Bull: 10 straight weeks of ETF inflows ($17.1M). XRPL upgrade adds on-chain lending. Legal status remains solid (digital commodity).
🐻 Bear: CLARITY Act failed. On-chain payment spike is driven by bots/whales, not new users. $1.50 is a known local top zone.
🔺 Break $1.50 → 1.72
🔻 Support at $1.4127 (MA20) → $1.3736
Play: Do NOT FOMO.
#CryptoCapReclaims2.8T
#TrumpGulfIranTalks $CARDS $ETH $BTC After bottoming around $0.105, CARDS has bounced strongly: → +36.3% in 7 days → +11.8% today → Now around $0.19 → Holding above the 5D, 10D & 20D MAs For me, $0.20 is the key test. A clean break and hold above it would confirm stronger momentum. If it gets rejected, I’d expect some consolidation before the next move. The recovery is here. Now I’m watching to see if CARDS can turn this bounce into a trend. #TrumpGulfIranTalks #UNI21%RallyOnSECRule #ZEC38KShortClosed $ETH Above: 2718—2720: 5m repair line
2725: This hour's high
2738—2742: 15m/BOLL resistance
2748.38: Today's true previous high
Below:
2710—2706: First support
2699—2700: Near 5m lower band
2687—2690: 15m MA20 + SAR, multi-timeframe key support
2655—2665: 1h core structural support
Current main judgment
1m: short-term long but overheated
5m: rebound repair ongoing, not fully bullish yet
15m: slightly bullish consolidation
1h: strong bullish but overheated
4h: strong bullish, severe expansion
So the most critical thing now is not to guess "will it keep rising," but to see:
Whether 2720 can be firmly held again.
If 2720 holds firmly, 2748 still has the possibility of being retested;
If 2720 repeatedly fails to break through and then falls below 2706, the short term will continue to seek support at 2700 or even 2688.
Currently, I do not define 2748 as a confirmed top, but I absolutely will not treat continued surge as the default path under such a 4h overheated condition. #特朗普将会晤海湾六国，伊朗局势迎关键节点 $BTC — $ETH: OIL FALLS, CRYPTO RISES — COINCIDENCE?
$BTC is at $84.22K, $ETH $2.71K, both nearing new highs. Meanwhile,
$BZ has fallen to $96.39, down 2.54% today.
The interesting part:
Oil falls → cost pressures ease → inflation expectations cool → risk appetite gains room.
$BTC is up 34.25% and $ETH 62.80% over 90 days.
The story now isn’t just whether $BTC breaks $85K or $ETH holds $2.7K.
If oil keeps falling, could this become a new catalyst for the next leg higher?Once the STRC tool, which is pegged to the Strategy asset price, stabilizes above 100, it officially signals a "bull market confirmation" at the market sentiment level.
The key observation point now is just one: can it sustain this level?
If it holds, it means on-chain liquidity is officially returning, and every pullback is a buying opportunity; if it doesn't hold, it indicates ongoing divergence.
Considering the macro perspective, disturbances like interest rate hikes may still occur once or twice more, but as long as this STRC thermometer doesn't break down, the initial bull market judgment can be maintained.
This is a method of inferring sentiment temperature by reversing from on-chain derivative prices, which might be more direct than looking at K-line charts.$ETH 1 minute: The rebound is strong, but it is already short-term overheated, indicating that the small rebound from around 2706 is strong, but the 1-minute chart is already close to short-term overheating. It is not very meaningful to chase longs on the 1-minute chart now, as it is easy to surge to 2717–2720 and then fall back. 5 minutes: Not fully recovered yet, although the price has rebounded from 2706, it has not truly stood back above the 5-minute MA20 and SAR.
Therefore, 2718–2720 is the first real recovery line.
If the 5-minute chart can stand back above 2720, then look at:
2725 → 2738 → 2748
If it is pushed down again near 2720, it means this is just a small rebound.
15 minutes: The structure is still bullish; the current pullback after 2748 still belongs to consolidation within the bullish trend.
But KDJ has cooled down, so the 15-minute chart is not in an acceleration phase now, but rather a high-level turnover.
1 hour: Still very strong but obviously overheated; the trend is strong, but continuing to push higher directly requires new buying power. 4 hours: The strongest but also the riskiest; the 4-hour price has been running along or even slightly above the upper BOLL band.
This indicates the main trend is very strong but also clearly in an overextended state.
So I will no longer use the logic that it is very strong and will soon hit 2800. It is more reasonable to first see if it can hold sideways around 2710 and slowly digest the 4-hour overheating. #加密总市值重返2.8万亿美元 $AVAX has always been on the move.
Recently, the market has been chasing $UNI and $NEAR, but I actually want to shift the focus back to AVAX.
NYSE has been testing Avalanche technology for nearly a year, and both sides have been exploring whether Avalanche can be used for tokenized securities infrastructure.
This is where AVAX truly deserves attention now.
Previously, AVAX was talked about in terms of DeFi, public chains, and being an Ethereum killer—stories everyone has heard.
But after 2022, Avalanche clearly started shifting its focus toward institutional finance, RWA, payments, and asset tokenization.
And now NYSE is also advancing tokenization of US stocks and ETFs, as well as on-chain settlement and stablecoin deposits.
So looking at AVAX now, it can no longer be understood simply as "just another public chain."
In the future, after stocks, funds, stablecoins, and RWA all go on-chain, the real value might not be in creating another public chain, but in who can become the foundational infrastructure for traditional finance entering the blockchain.
NYSE has been testing for a year.
This line of development, I think, is worth keeping an eye on. #加密总市值重返2.8万亿美元 Brothers, BTC is approaching 84,000, total market cap has returned to 2.8 trillion, ZEC is nearing 25 billion, ETH and XRP are all rallying. The bull market is truly back! Sentiment is fully ignited!
But I have to pour cold water on you, don’t blindly FOMO just by looking at the gains. Pay attention to a detail in the data: the total market cap of crypto assets excluding BTC surged from 1.17 trillion at the start of the week to a high of 1.23 trillion, then fell back below 1.2 trillion. What does this mean? It means funds are indeed spreading into altcoins, but the spread is not decisive; speculative capital is rotating quickly inside and could concentrate back into BTC at any time.
Looking at the mainstream tier, BTC is holding above 80,000 thanks to ETFs and institutional base positions, which is the foundation. ZEC’s recent rise is due to whale short positions being forced to cover, plus the dual catalyst of the NU7 upgrade expectation, pushing it up hard. ETH is still following the rally, but the old problem remains that staking yields can’t compete with US Treasuries.
The core question now is whether the market cap growth of assets outside BTC can be sustained. If it can hold above 1.2 trillion continuously and sector rotation is healthy, that’s a real bull market. If it spikes then falls back, that’s a typical bloodsucking market; when BTC wobbles, altcoins crash immediately.
My strategy is simple: hold spot firmly and don’t exit lightly; let profits run if you have low-cost chips. Bull markets often have sharp drops, don’t get shaken out by sudden spikes and dips. Protect your principal; in this market, we only play certainty. $BTC $ETH $ZEC @OKX星球 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
Q: What is your maximum single trade drawdown limit? How do you take profits when profitable?
Looking at it by coin type, first for $BTC and $ETH, large market cap mainstream coins, when the price is relatively low like 60000 or 1500, taking long positions with a high probability of upward space and a long-term bullish view means these are long-cycle trades. The drawdown is 99.99%, meaning BTC and ETH prices approach 0 (liquidation mark price), but if the position margin is sufficient, liquidation won't occur due to black swan events, such as on October 11. Additionally, to mitigate risk, multiple batches of spot buy orders above 0 are placed (to guard against extreme situations).
The reason for this approach is that after experiencing October 11, one understands how to prevent losing cheap chips due to temporary sharp market drops 🤔. Personally, I believe "surviving in the market is the prerequisite for future opportunities."
For mainstream coins (which have cycles), stop losses are set according to major resistance levels. If the price stabilizes, consider re-entering long positions to maximize the profit-loss ratio, which should be at least greater than 1. Partial profits are taken at previous resistance levels, while the remainder is left to let profits run.
For popular coins like $HYPE, ZEC, etc., strict stop losses must be followed according to resistance levels; otherwise, losses can become significant. Partial profits are taken at previous highs, with the rest held while monitoring KOLs and news trends. For example, in a previous post, hype spot was sold because Hayes publicly sold it; after profiting, the stop loss was moved up above the cost to a major resistance level.
@OKX星球 @米妮Minnie_OKX I have been sitting in front of the chessboard for thirty years, and this is the first time I've seen someone push the king's wing so aggressively, yet forget that their own rear wing's bishop hasn't even moved.
$STRK is exactly this move now. It surged 5.27% in 24 hours, looking fierce like a powerful central breakthrough. But the short-term RSI has already reached 71.0, a classic case of "piece overload"—your pawns have pushed too deep, but the supply line is cut off behind. The Bollinger Bands short-term position is at 94%, with only 0.2% space left to the upper band; the mid-term is even more extreme at 104%, breaking above the upper band by 0.3%. This is not an advantage; it's a lone force pushing too far.
I call this situation "rootless passed pawns": it looks intimidating but can be wiped out anytime by exchanges. The long-term RSI is only 57.0, neutral to weak, indicating that the real big money hasn't followed this charge. Short-term strength with long-term weakness is the structure I watch most carefully—like an opponent deliberately sacrificing a pawn in the midgame to lure you in deep, then striking a blitz that collapses your entire line when your pieces are scattered.
🔴 The short signal has already lit up.
I set the entry point at $0.03, 2.4% above the current price—I want to wait for it to push one more step, letting the last buyer lift the price to my ideal level before I make my move. This is not chasing a short; it's an ambush set in advance after the opponent's forced strong move.
📉 Short:
Entry: $0.03 (current price +2.4%)
Take Profit 1: $0.03 (-5.9%)
Take Profit 2: $0.03 (-8.4%)
Stop Loss: $0.04 (+14.0%)
Note this stop loss level, which is 14% above entry and over 16% above the current price. Many would think it's too wide, but grandmasters know: a stop loss isn't meant to be tight; it's the line to admit "I was wrong." Giving enough room prevents being stopped out by meaningless fluctuations in the endgame. Meanwhile, Take Profit 1 only requires a 5.9% pullback, and Take Profit 2 goes down 8.4%—the risk-reward ratio here is overwhelming.
Short-term overbought, mid-term topping, long-term weakness—this triple timeframe consensus points to one conclusion: White's attack has reached its limit. Next is Black's counterattack round.
True chess players never get excited when giving check; they only push out the rook hidden in their palm at the moment the opponent thinks they are about to win. #strategyplaybook$CORE CORE's rise has always been claimed to rely on BTC market trends, but this round of increase clearly lacks momentum. When BTC surged to 82,000, it peaked at 0.027; however, this time BTC firmly broke through 85,000, yet CORE completely failed to keep up with the rise. If even the market dividends brought by BTC's trillion-dollar market cap cannot drive it to form an independent trend, the final outcome is likely to be only one possibility.The upper Bollinger Band is not a converging line; it is the horizontal beam at the top — $STORJ has now pushed the floor slab to 105% of the short cycle, leaving only a -0.1% margin to the upper band, but a +2.9% gap to the lower band. This is not an elevation; it is an outward cantilever structure being forcibly pushed to its maximum deflection limit.
I have worked in structural engineering for twenty years and have seen too many projects fail because the "design drawings look good." The white paper is just a design drawing; anyone can make it look impressive. What truly determines whether this building can stand is the quality of the foundation, load-bearing walls, and node construction. $STORJ's long-term structure currently only reaches the 53.3 neutral load-bearing zone, while the short-cycle RSI has surged to 67.5. Building 1 is rapidly adding load, but the main structure has not been reinforced synchronously — different frequencies top and bottom. This is a typical local addition, not an overall elevation.
Looking at the mid-cycle Bollinger Band, the price is at 108%, with -0.3% to the upper band and +3.6% to the lower band. Both cycles are running close to the inside of the top curtain wall, with the expansion joints fully occupied. The tighter the curtain wall fits, the more likely it is to be dislodged by wind pressure changes.
A 24-hour increase of +3.08% looks mild, but combined with the RSI1H>64 triggered SELL signal, this resembles the final pre-camber of the last cantilever beam rather than a new round of pouring. My construction judgment: this position is not suitable for continuing to tie rebar; it should be shorted instead, with the position placed outside the eaves.
📉 Short:
Entry: $0.08 (current price +3.3%)
Take Profit 1: $0.07 (-6.2%)
Take Profit 2: $0.07 (-3.4%)
Stop Loss: $0.08 (+13.4%)
The entry point is set 3.3% above the current price, waiting for it to finish pouring the last cantilever before entering, costing 3.3% more but gaining a clearer structural stress direction. Take Profit 1 at a 6.2% pullback directly hits the first lower ring beam; Take Profit 2 at -3.4% is a secondary node, releasing half the concrete first. The stop loss at +13.4% is the building's seismic failure line; once breached, it means the overall frame is being re-reinforced, and I will immediately exit, leaving no rebar inside.
$STORJ's real problem is not in the drawings but in the foundation — the node density, redundancy, and long-term scalability of the storage layer are the only credentials for whether this building can add more floors. At this height, it can only be stripped of formwork, not topped out. #storjchapter11#ETH
As for Ethereum, it really looks like it has fully broken out of the consolidation range 👀
I previously mentioned where I would look for short opportunities, the range is 2710-2747.
If it doesn't return to the original structural range in the next couple of days, then this range will become the new support level. I will post a separate update then and mark the new long entry zone ✔️ $ETH