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Reviewing the recent wave movement of SOL, the SAR indicator points were previously consistently above the K-line, indicating a bearish dominance. As sector interest heated up and low-level funds continued to enter, the price stabilized and broke upward, with SAR points falling below the K-line, forming a bullish trend confirmation signal.
After SAR turned bullish, SOL began an upward wave, with the indicator continuously providing dynamic support below the price. The price rose from 101.46 to 108.45, and a 100x leverage long position achieved a high floating profit of 688.94%. SAR successfully captured the trend reversal opportunity.
Currently, SAR bullish support remains effective, but after continuous rallies, the short-term has entered an overbought zone. SAR signals tend to switch frequently in a volatile market, making chasing highs very risky. The strategy is to avoid adding new positions, focusing on protecting existing floating profits. Once the price breaks below SAR support, tighten take-profit conditions immediately to lock in gains.
$SOL $BTC Crypto Market Special · September 20, 2026 (Sunday) | Coverage: BTC, ETH weekend trends and volatile coins, macro and regulatory news, key upcoming events next week. Crypto market operates 24/7, monitoring as usual on Sunday. 1. Key Points 1. BTC stayed steady above 80,000 all day Saturday, trading around 81,300 to 81,800 USD, a slight 24-hour increase, with a weekly gain of about 6%; however, Saturday's trading volume shrank by about 74% compared to Friday, with Coinbase only trading about 3,200 BTC all day. This means: the price held, but participants dispersed, a typical weekend "no follow-through" scenario. 2. The biggest irony this week is the capital flow: BTC spot ETF net inflow for the week was only about 6.2 million USD, almost zero — Tuesday and Wednesday saw outflows of 746 million USD, and Friday's 433 million USD inflow from Fidelity barely balanced the books; moreover, 96.8% of Friday's funds were concentrated in just two firms, Fidelity and BlackRock. In other words: the money didn't really come back, two big players were bottom-fishing, while retail and institutional main forces did not enter the market at all. 3. The regulatory door fully opened this week: SEC's "innovation exemption" details were finalized, approving a five-year pilot for tokenized US stock on-chain trading (until September 17, 2031); CFTC's crypto market rules have been submitted to the White House for review. But as of Sunday, no platform has applied to use this exemption. The framework is set, but no one dares to be first$SNDK 75x leverage short position, currently floating profit of 5.53%. This trade is not a bet on an instant market crash, but based on the clear structure of a weak rebound.
1. Heavy resistance above; every rebound gives bears an opportunity. A weak rebound is a window for shorting.
2. The key to high leverage is not how much you earn, but risk control. 75x leverage has extremely low tolerance for error; you cannot hold stubbornly. If the market reverses sharply, losses can be wiped out instantly. Floating profit is just a paper number; you must plan your take-profit level in advance. Only realized profits count.
3. Small-cap coins have unstable liquidity and are prone to rapid spikes. Do not hold large positions stubbornly; if the market reverses, exit decisively.
Insight: In a weak market, do not try to guess the bottom. Short when the rebound is weak and follow the trend, but always set stop-losses with high leverage to avoid small floating profits turning into big losses. Following the trend does not mean easy wins; always be alert for major players reversing the market with sharp spikes to shake out shorts.This might be the most underestimated story of the week. First, Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) sold approximately $326 million worth of Bitcoin from July to September to pay its preferred stock (STRC) dividends. This is a company that has "never sell Bitcoin" written into its corporate DNA—Michael Saylor has publicly declared countless times that BTC is a "permanently held asset." But the reality is, the preferred stock dividends were due, cash was insufficient, so they had to sell Bitcoin. The July sale of 32 BTC (about $2.5 million), although only 0.0038% of their holdings, directly caused MSTR's stock price to plunge 6%, and BTC fell below $72,000 within hours. Second, the deeper issue is a structural contradiction. Strategy currently holds about 843,000 BTC at an average cost of approximately $75,476. It simultaneously faces about $1.8 billion annually in preferred stock dividends and debt interest expenses. When BTC price hovers near the cost line, the "borrow to buy Bitcoin + fixed dividends" model becomes a ticking time bomb—leveraging up when prices rise, forced to sell Bitcoin to repay debt when prices fall. Saylor repackaged selling Bitcoin as a "maximizing coins per share strategy," but the essence remains unchanged: the world's largest corporate Bitcoin holder is now a potential supply source. Third, but the market has digested this news. Strate$BTC $ETH $SOL Brothers, this weekend's market is really wearing me down. Saturday gave a little sunshine, but Sunday took it all back, so the two days were basically wasted. From now on, I really should just shut down and sleep on weekends, watch less and trade less; the manipulators love to play around when liquidity is low.
The two levels, 82000 and 2650, are as solid as if welded shut. Can't push up, can't break down, clearly just testing patience. My wild guess about the manipulators' two paths: one is to first fake a strong top, repeatedly fake a drop, wait for retail investors to give up on a breakout, then suddenly a big bullish candle breaks through, BTC surges to 85000, ETH touches 2800, tricking the bulls to chase, then reverses sharply, crushing prices back to 60000 and 1500; the other is simply no breakout, with each rebound lower than the last, a slow grind down that wears out bullish hopes bit by bit.
As for a direct bull run? I don't believe it. Whether there's a bull market in '26 is another matter, but right now, with this volume, this sentiment, and this capital situation, it looks more like a harvesting game. Don't try to guess the bottom, don't get overconfident, just wait for it to choose its own direction. Staying alive is more important than bottom fishing. The negotiation table in New York is set up again, a scene I'm familiar with. The last round started the same way; I was watching the news to go long, but ended up getting tossed back and forth twice.
The mechanism of trade consultations isn't complicated: both sides need a window to explain internally, so the talks themselves are more important than reaching an agreement. The longer the talks last, the easier it is for the market to preemptively price in each meeting as positive news.
What really impacts $BTC isn't the agreement text, but the risk appetite during the talks. Capital moves first, news arrives later—I've experienced this sequence.
Watch whether both sides set a specific date for the next meeting after talks. If not, it means this round is just maintaining contact, and risk appetite will decline.
#BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散
#美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进 #摩根大通称比特币或跑赢黄金 $BTC 🚨 What truly deserves attention might be the widening gap between BTC and ETH.
If $BTC continues to hold steady sideways, while $ETH starts attracting more buying interest, the market structure could be shifting.
Focus on ETH/BTC. If this ratio breaks above the recent range with volume expanding by 20%+, it may indicate capital rotating from the relatively stable BTC to the more volatile ETH.
📌 BTC → Stability and liquidity
⚡ ETH → Momentum and capital rotation
Next, will the trend continue to follow BTC overall, or will ETH’s relative strength take the spotlight?
👀 Which one are you paying more attention to right now?
$BTC $ETH #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto #ETHBTCCan ETF funds really determine Bitcoin's price trend?
Many people treat ETF net inflows as a magic formula for BTC's surge, but it's not that simple.
Spot ETFs are the most important channel for Wall Street funds to enter and exit BTC. Continuous net inflows indicate institutions accumulating coins, while net outflows indicate institutions cashing out and exiting.
But it's crucial to distinguish: there are two types of drivers for price increases—one is the real buying from spot ETFs; the other is the pulse rebound caused by contract short liquidations. Single-day fund inflows rarely trigger a big market move immediately; only continuous multi-day fund trends have reference value.
When the price reaches the previous profitable range of ETF holdings, profit-taking selling pressure can easily appear.
ETFs are an important indicator but should not be used alone to judge short-term price rises or falls. $BTC #美联储10月再加息概率破55% #BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 Weekend volatility, keep an eye on these key levels first.
It's been three days since the rate hike was implemented. The market has cooled down from the initial excitement faster than expected. The expectation of whether there will be another hike in October still looms overhead—CME data shows the probability of a rate hike in October is fluctuating around 55%. After Fed Chair Warsh's comment that "this is removing some easing, not tightening," the market interpreted it as a hawkish signal, pushing the October hike probability from 42% to around 58%. Weekend liquidity is poor, so the market grinds; it neither rallies strongly nor falls deeply, making both long and short positions uncomfortable.
Next, we await next week's Nonfarm Payrolls and CPI data. Before these two releases, the market will likely remain range-bound. The New Fire Research Institute also mentioned that with reduced Fed forward guidance, the crypto market has become more sensitive to CPI and Nonfarm data. So next week's data might stir the market more than usual.
Let's start with the news.
The market reaction after this rate hike was interesting—when it was first announced, everyone felt relieved that the "boot had dropped," and $BTC briefly rallied to around 80,700, but the excitement didn't last two days. Warsh's wording caused the market to reprice the rate hike path; federal funds futures now imply rates reaching 4.635% by the end of 2027, meaning there could be three to four more hikes ahead. Goldman Sachs has already included an October hike in its forecast, and Bank of America expects one hike each in October and December.
The logic behind this is straightforward: U.S. economic data is solid, with August retail sales up 1.2% month-over-month and initial jobless claims down by 10,000. A strong economy means the Fed has no reason to stop tightening quickly, which means interest rate pressure on risk assets like crypto will persist.
$ZEC has its own independent narrative. Grayscale's Zcash ETF (ZCSH) listed on NYSE Arca has AUM reaching $880 million to $910 million, with ETF holdings accounting for about 3% of circulating supply. The NU7 upgrade passed with 99.9% votes and will activate on November 5, reducing block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, making privacy transactions nearly as fast as regular payments. ZEC's correlation with BTC is only about 18%, showing a strong independent story, but after a big run-up, short-term overheating pressure is also significant.
Now, let's talk about the market levels in detail.
$BTC is currently around 80,500. Support at 79,000, resistance at 82,000. The 80,000 round number is transitioning from a "resistance" to a "support" level. Closing above 80,000 for two consecutive trading days shows bulls are holding for now. If it holds 80,000 and continues to grind, don't rush to buy if it breaks below 79,000; the 78,000 to 79,000 zone is the real chip exchange area.
$ETH is around 2,579. Support at 2,500, resistance at 2,650. ETH has overlapping 4-hour EMA20 and previous lows near 2,562, and the 1-hour RSI has dropped to around 35, indicating short-term oversold rebound demand. But it failed to hold above 2,600 and fell back, with order book depth skewed toward sellers, showing short-term weakness. Don't rush to add positions; wait for it to stabilize above 2,570 first.
$ZEC is around 1,450. It previously peaked at 1,598 and has now pulled back nearly 10%. It has risen 150% in the past month and 29% in the past week, with volume and open interest at high levels. First, see if the previous low at 1,400 can hold; if it does, there is more to watch. Short-term 5 to 15-minute charts show negative divergence, RSI near 67 to 69 approaching overbought, chasing highs will be painful.
$OKB is around 116. It fell from 123, with support at 113 and resistance at 118. After breaking out of a months-long consolidation, OKB entered the 115 to 118 supply zone, where sellers are clearly active. Now it's a post-drop consolidation; whether 113 holds is key. If it holds, then watch 118. A daily close above 118 could open the way to 120. If it doesn't hold, the 107 to 108 area needs to be watched again.
Weekend liquidity is poor, so avoid heavy trading. After next Wednesday's Nonfarm release, don't rush to act. The first move up or down may not be the true direction. Wait for the data to be digested and for clear signals from the market before making moves.
#BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 #BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 #美联储10月再加息概率破55% Good evening, brothers, this is the Demon King!
Yes, yes, you read that right, I have shorted again and again and again!
Looking at ONE's nearly vertical surge, the reason for shorting is actually very simple, because this spike is completely a castle in the air. The official announced at the beginning of the month the shutdown of the mainnet that has been running for seven years, fully transforming to focus on AI video. A project that even abandons its underlying public chain is basically equivalent to zero in the crypto world.
What’s even more fatal is that in August, hackers arbitrarily issued nearly 4 billion fake coins to crash the market, and about 658 million of these have not yet been recovered. This dirty money could crash the market again at any time.
Additionally, the platform has already issued a delisting announcement, then retracted it to announce a delayed delisting. Such flip-flopping operations are often to buy time for the manipulators to unload their positions, creating a false escape window.
Under the major negative news of shutting down the mainnet, the token has surged 500% against the trend. This is obviously a final short squeeze and bull trap orchestrated by the manipulators using news to lure retail investors to take the fall. The fundamental support for its rise is not real but a carefully planned liquidity game.
My personal feeling is that the current rebound is an opportunity for you to short, not to bottom-fish. Do not touch it.
$ONE
#ZEC高位震荡，多空仓位开始分化 The third day after the rate hike, sentiment has receded faster than expected. Whether there will be a hike in October, the market is in chaos again. Liquidity is thin over the weekend, and the market feels stuck in the throat, unable to rise or fall.
Next week, the non-farm payrolls and CPI are the main events. Before that, it's likely to be range-bound — chasing gains is easy to get trapped, selling off is easy to get stopped out.
$BTC current price is 80500, with 79000 below as the short-term lifeline, and 82000 above pressing down hard. As long as 80k holds, it will continue to consolidate; if 79000 breaks, don’t rush to be the bag holder, there might be another drop below.
$ETH at 2579, 2600 was gained and lost again, short-term weak. 2500 is the last cover, 2650 is the ceiling, hold off on adding positions for now.
$SOL is hovering around 110. It bounced from 95 to 114 then fell back, with obvious selling pressure around 112. At this level, watch more and act less; itching hands are easy to get hit.
$ZEC at 1435, retraced nearly 10% from the high of 1598. First watch if 1400 can hold; if it holds, then talk about rebound, if not, continue to seek bottom.
Impulsiveness is the worst over the weekend. The first wave of the non-farm rally or dump next Wednesday is mostly a fake move, don’t chase. The real direction often shows up in the second wave.
#BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 #美联储10月再加息概率破55% #ZEC高位震荡，多空仓位开始分化 $FIL I slowly realized one thing: slow is fast, provided the track logic can be implemented and fulfilled.
Patience itself is not a free pass; blindly holding on is not perseverance, but paying the price for your own understanding.
Frequent trading easily leads to missing out and losses, but blindly lying flat and holding also suffers from continuously shrinking expectations.
The harshest part of the market is not losing money from back-and-forth operations, but that the story you bet on has a realization cycle far beyond imagination.
Still waiting for the supply contraction in October, which counts as the final exam for six years of holding.The 2% Kashkari mentioned is not a price
Fed's Kashkari spoke again.
He said inflation is still too high, and the task is to bring inflation back down to 2%.
What is this 2%:
It is not the price of any coin, but the rate at which the US dollar depreciates in a year.
If prices rise 2% in a year, the dollar is worth 2% less.
How is this number calculated:
The Fed looks at prices over the whole year, excluding oil prices.
Oil price fluctuations are removed; what remains is called inflation.
In the past two years, this number reached around 9%.
Now it is going down but hasn't reached 2% yet.
So Kashkari says it still needs to be suppressed.
The way to suppress it is to keep interest rates steady.
If interest rates stay steady, the dollar becomes stronger, and money flows into the dollar.
When money flows in, coin prices suffer first.
Only when that number truly returns to 2% will the held interest rates be loosened.
Let's first look at next month's inflation data.
#美联储10月再加息概率破55%
#伊朗称已转达停战条件，油价迎新变量 #全球高利率预期再升温 $BTC 🔷 AI pays more per watt than $BTC
• Demirors: BTC laid the foundation for the AI infrastructure boom, but the product of computations is intelligence
• CoreWeave and Crusoe transitioned from mining to AI infrastructure
• Hashrate down 13%, difficulty 8-9% below peaks (Fidelity)
• Crusoe sold mining to NYDIG, Riot invested $9.1 billion in AI
🧠 Miners vote with watts: AI pays more. For BTC, this is a market, not a verdict — difficulty compensates (−10% in June, +4.2% now).
⚠️ Demirors' thesis — and her stance: she invests in AI
❓ BTC — computation or money?👇Invalidation in one line.
$BTC: lost structure.
$ETH: no flows, worse beta.
$DOGE/$USELESS: attention gone.
$ZEC: impulse dies.
$LIT: catalyst dead.
$OKB: volume gone.
$CORE: BTC multiple compresses. No kill switch, no trade.Bitcoin's push through $80,000 after the Federal Reserve's latest rate hike tells a narrower story than the headline suggests. The macro overhang cleared, but the tape now belongs to positioning, not policy. Price sits inside a band where institutional exits cluster, and that density matters more than the direction of the last candle. The 80,000–82,000 zone is the week's real battleground. Sell orders, stop-outs, and profit-taking from larger desks are stacked there, which is why a single clean $BTC is hovering around 80,000, with altcoins already showing signs of an early retreat.
According to OKX market data, $BTC is currently priced at $80,628, with market dominance rising to 59.45%.
GameFi is down 6.67%, PayFi down 5.29%, indicating clear capital withdrawal from high Beta into BTC.
The 30-day compression indicator has risen to 93.9%, yet the price has failed to hold above the annual moving average for 20 consecutive days.
This only indicates that a market shift is imminent.
On Friday, spot ETF net inflows were $433 million, with Fidelity contributing $311 million and BlackRock $108 million.
However, the total inflow for the week was only $6.21 million, and single-day replenishment has not yet formed a sustained buying trend.
Futures open interest is about $28 billion, with an 8-hour funding rate steady around 0.01%, leverage has not noticeably cooled, and both bulls and bears are waiting for a breakout from the range.
For spot trading, you can accumulate in batches between $79,000 and $80,000, and exit if $76,800 is breached.
For futures, do not chase longs before $82,300 is firmly held; after confirming a breakout, target $83,800 to $86,000.
If $78,000 breaks first, avoid catching a falling knife; wait for bull liquidations to release before looking to support.$FIL FIL has been held for a full 6 years, always adhering to one saying: slow is fast.
Frequent swing trading and constant position switching often end up causing more losses.
Many people always want to precisely time the highs and lows, constantly doing T trades and switching targets, seemingly capturing every market wave, but in reality getting harvested back and forth, with fees, missed opportunities, and selling too early all eating into profits.
Stick to the chosen track, hold quality chips, and wait for the core logic to materialize. The market doesn't have opportunities every day, and big profits are never made by nonstop trading, but by patiently waiting.
The market is never short of opportunities; what is lacking is the firmness to hold on.#From rate cuts to rate hikes, Fed divisions fully exposed
The storage chip sector has been extremely volatile in recent days.
On the evening of September 14, the sector collectively plunged, with SK Hynix, Micron, and SanDisk all sharply down. The market worried about a loosening of AI capital expenditure expectations, leading to concentrated capital outflows.
But just one trading day later, on September 17 after the Fed's decision, the sector saw a strong rebound and recovery: Micron surged over 5%, SK Hynix and SanDisk both rose more than 4%, with capital flowing back into the computing power storage track. On the 18th, SK Hynix continued to close up 2.46%, maintaining a volatile pattern.
The differences among the three companies are very clear:
$SKHYNIX: The most elastic this round, HBM is a must-have for AI servers, so capital prioritizes betting on it. It leads both the big rises and falls, with the largest volatility.
$MU: Enterprise-level NAND orders are solid, supported by overseas cloud vendors' procurement; but geopolitical factors are many, and news disturbances amplify the ups and downs.
$SNDK (part of Western Digital system): Focuses on consumer-grade flash memory, benefiting from NAND price increases, but with weaker elasticity than Hynix and Micron, its market follows the sector.
Underlying logic: Storage contract prices are still rising, but the growth rate has started to narrow. PC and mobile procurement are no longer willing to accept high prices, only high-end storage demand for AI servers is still holding up.
In the short term, this is an expectation-driven volatile market, not a one-sided trend. Once cloud vendors lower capital expenditure expectations, the sector can easily plunge again quickly.
#日韩芯片股走强，AI存储周期能否延续？ #美联储10月再加息概率破55%
XRP inventory is running low, but short-term consolidation is still needed
Brothers, XRP exchange reserves have dropped to a seven-year low. Binance has withdrawn 500 million coins in a year, and the current monthly average inventory is about 2.6 billion. In other words, the chips that can be dumped anytime are getting fewer, and many have moved their coins to cold wallets.
On the news front, ETFs are indeed accumulating, but there was also a single-day outflow of 5.15 million recently. The community is saying "once inventory is gone, a pump will come," but honestly, the ETF volume alone can't support a big rally in the short term, so don't get carried away.
From a technical perspective, it's hovering around 1.40, with significant resistance between 1.45 and 1.50 above. 1.35 is a key support line; as long as daily and weekly closes don't break it, the cup-and-handle pattern remains intact, with targets above at 1.87 to 2.11. But if 1.35 breaks, 1.23 or even lower levels are possible.
My view: The medium- to long-term inventory decline is a solid positive, but short-term looks like a correction first. No inventory on exchanges doesn't mean an immediate pump; market risk-off sentiment is still suppressing it. $AR is bearish in the short term; the rebound is a window for bears to add positions, not a bottom-fishing signal. Reason: 24h drop of 10.49%, price at 4.232 has already touched the lower Bollinger Band at 4.19179, MA5 at 4.3084 and MA20 at 4.3083 are almost aligned and flat, indicating bullish momentum has been dispersed; RSI at 48.4 is in a neutral to weak zone, MACD histogram at -0.02941 remains negative, bearish structure not yet repaired. The key lies in the funding side: funding rate is still +0.0100%, price has plunged but the rate has not turned negative, meaning bulls are still paying to hold positions, short squeeze has not cleared, this kind of structure is common in a downtrend continuation rather than a bottom. Fear and Greed Index at 71 is in the greed zone, market sentiment has not cooled down, risk of a spike washout is relatively high, chasing longs has poor cost-effectiveness.
Strategically, short in batches when the rebound reaches the 4.30–4.34 range (MA5/MA20 aligned resistance zone), take profit 1 at 4.19 (lower Bollinger Band), take profit 2 at 4.08 (extension after breaking below the band), stop loss at 4.42 (above the upper Bollinger Band at 4.42481 to prevent false breakouts and stop loss hunting). If volume surges and price stabilizes above 4.43, the bearish logic fails and you should exit and wait.🚨 The next move for BTC and ETH may depend on where the funds flow!
$BTC currently still holds a stronger liquidity advantage, with the price maintaining around $80K; while $ETH is fluctuating around $2.58K, and the market is watching to see if it can regain relative strength.
📊 The latest fund data is also worth noting: last Friday, the US spot BTC ETF had a single-day net inflow of about $433M, while the ETH ETF ended its previous consecutive weeks of net inflows.
I will focus on: • Whether ETH/BTC starts to strengthen continuously
• Whether ETH trading volume can significantly increase
• Whether BTC's funding advantage begins to spread to ETH
If both ETH/BTC and trading volume improve simultaneously, it better indicates that fund rotation is happening.
₿ BTC → Liquidity and capital support
Ξ ETH → Relative strength and momentum
🔥 Going forward, are you more focused on BTC's fund flow or ETH's relative strength?
$BTC $ETH
#Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto #ETHBTC #CryptoMarket This morning I didn't sell at 81,080, now I'm slapping my thigh.
The Middle East news caused a spike down to 80,361, and my 0.32 BTC (cost 80,950) instantly dropped 0.73% below the average price. Meanwhile, AVAX was still up +15.98% — this is what "the safe-haven sector not following the rally" looks like.
Now it's at 80,700. It has recovered some, but the 80,119 level worries me.
My own rule is simple:
Hold 80,000 → wait until Monday's open to see if the ETF continues the 400 million rhythm;
Break 79,800 → don't hold, cut the position and sleep.
I won't add at a "half up, half down" position like 80,300 — adding there equals giving it away.
BTC 24h quick notes (my own drawing):
81,951 ← this morning's high (the spike down)
81,332 ← only after bouncing back here is the bull not dead
80,700 ← now
80,361 ← Middle East spike down
80,119 ← first retracement level
79,800 ← my cut-loss line
78,156 ← 20-day moving average (worst case look here)
Unrealized loss -80 U (only this much for 0.32 BTC, but I can't handle it).
Bro, are you holding through tonight or are you as scared as me? Reply.
#CreatorIncentive Here’s a tighter version with a cautious, profit-protection tone: Secure the Profits 💰 This trade is still relatively risky. The market is rallying across the board, and I’m not interested in chasing longs at these levels. I opened a small $PIPPIN position to catch some extra upside and made around 2,000U in one day. Not bad. If you followed the trade, I’d rather see you secure the profit now. Risk is still elevated, so protect the gains instead of getting greedy. $PIPPIN $ONE $AKE #CryptoReI’ve been a big proponent of buying $ZEC since everyone was bearish on it at $400.
But at some stage, this chart is going to mean revert the euphoria, just as it has during every monster rally before it.
Price is now reaching the same kind of extreme deviation from its cycle mean that preceded those previous reversions.
That doesn’t mean the move has to end today.
It means the risk has completely changed, and at some stage, price will revert back toward its accep$BTC #USCPIReignitesHikeOdds$BTC doesn't drop today, it will explode tomorrow: The "quiet" at BTC 81K and ETH 2.63K is the charging before the storm
BTC: Moving sideways between 81,000–81,900, no volume pushing past 81.9K, but someone catches at 81K, like a hunter crouching in the grass
ETH: Sticking around 2,600–2,665, holding 2.6K but not breaking 2.67K, bulls are holding back without roaring out
Altcoins went crazy last night (AVAX +19%, SHIB +12%), today they collectively "catch their breath"—short squeeze over, chips changed hands
Why must there be volatility today?
Rate hike settled → shorts fully squeezed → thin volume over the weekend → Monday US stocks + futures open to set the tone.
Main players don’t push today because they don’t want to be the "weekend spike target";
If you don’t stop today, you’re funding the slippage for Monday’s open.
The most deceptive thing in a bull market isn’t a crash, it’s the "obvious movement in sentiment but pretending there’s no market" kind of shakeout.
BTC holding 81K = strong base, ETH not breaking 2.6K = altcoins not cooling off,
But if 82K / 2.67K don’t close above today, don’t mistake the "sideways" for "accumulation"—
The longer it moves sideways, the harsher Monday’s move will be.
Hold your hands tonight:
BTC breaks 81K → reduce, stands above 81.9K → follow, in between = watch the show
ETH breaks 2.6K → reduce, stands above 2.67K → follow, in between = don’t move
Wait for tomorrow—not for opportunity, but for the market to finish faking out. $BTC $ETH Altseason has a leverage problem.
Over two years, the median mid-cap altcoin lost 74% while $BTC gained 28%. Yet leverage is clustering at the opposite end of the risk curve: futures OI equals roughly 24% of PEPE’s market cap, versus ~2% for BTC.
The smaller the frog, the bigger the leverage. That is one crowded pondI’ve been a big proponent of buying $ZEC since everyone was bearish on it at $400.
But at some stage, this chart is going to mean revert the euphoria, just as it has during every monster rally before it.
Price is now reaching the same kind of extreme deviation from its cycle mean that preceded those previous reversions.
That doesn’t mean the move has to end today.
It means the risk has completely changed, and at some stage, price will revert back toward its accep$BTC #USCPIReignitesHikeOddsTwo pawns advance simultaneously on the chessboard: one managing taxation, the other managing the treasury, while the opponent is still stuck on CLARITY's stalemate for seconds—the flavor of this game has changed.
The House Ways and Means Committee passed H.R.10357 by 38 to 5. This is not a minor exchange; it fully incorporates cryptocurrency income, transfers, mining, staking, and broker reporting into the tax framework. What does the 5 opposing votes mean? It means this is not a partisan brawl but an acceptance of new rules by default. When the opponent almost unresistingly yields this line, what you should be wary of is not their weakness but that they have already positioned pieces elsewhere.
On the same day, the Financial Services Committee advanced H.R.8957 by 28 to 21, enshrining the strategic Bitcoin reserve into federal law, requiring the government to lock up BTC holdings for at least 20 years. What does 20 years mean? In chess terms, it’s like nailing a heavy piece on a critical square—not to checkmate immediately but to ensure all future endgames revolve around this anchor. The 28 to 21 vote split is the real highlight—this is not consensus but a forced passage, indicating the midgame still has reversals, constraints, and legislative bargaining.
In my career, I’ve seen too many such scenarios: market structure, taxation, and national reserves advancing simultaneously. It looks like scattered skirmishes but is actually the same opening system. The CLARITY halt is not the end; it’s the opponent’s long contemplation under time pressure. A true grandmaster won’t abandon the entire plan just because one line is blocked; they will switch flanks to attack.
The linkage with $XCH is the dynamic piece on the board. When the macro regulatory framework begins to take shape, liquidity flows first to those with clear structures and logic not reliant on narratives. This is not hype; it’s a redeployment of pieces in orderly positions. What’s discarded is short-term noise, exchanged for midgame initiative.
True winners won’t rush to move at this point. They will position their holdings like chess pieces covering both wings before legislation advances further—finalizing tax rules means opening compliant capital inflows, and enshrining reserves means national-level buying becomes a long-term threat. The combination quietly tilts the endgame’s balance.
What I care about most is not whether the bills ultimately pass but the determination revealed by these two votes. 38 to 5 and 28 to 21—one is consensus, the other a strong push. The opponent almost gave up resistance on taxation but was cornered on reserves—this shows the real battlefield is reserves, not taxes. Taxation is the setup; reserves are the killer move.
Looking back 20 years from now, people will understand this is not routine legislative progress but a structural turning point in the entire game. Anyone still moving pieces by daily lines now has already lost the endgame. #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve $BTC , one month later, the roadmap still looks familiar.
mini range: $81K–$73K ✔️
Deviation zone: $72K–$68K ⏳
Expansion zone: $90K–$100K ⏳
if BTC deviates below the range lows, that’s the area I’d watch for a potential swing-long add rather than chasing a breakdown.
for me, the bigger question is whether this range eventually resolves higher toward $90K–$100K. I’ve been a big proponent of buying $ZEC since everyone was bearish on it at $400.
But at some stage, this chart is going to mean revert the euphoria, just as it has during every monster rally before it.
Price is now reaching the same kind of extreme deviation from its cycle mean that preceded those previous reversions.
That doesn’t mean the move has to end today.
It means the risk has completely changed, and at some stage, price will revert back toward its accep$BTC #USCPIReignitesHikeOdds#伊朗称已转达停战条件，油价迎新变量
Iran says it has conveyed ceasefire conditions, oil prices face new variables
Iran says it wants a ceasefire, yet oil prices have broken through 100. I really don't understand this market situation.
Just now I saw a news piece that Iran, through Qatar, sent a message to the US saying that if three conditions are met (ending conflicts on all fronts, releasing frozen funds, ending the maritime blockade), the war can stop. But Trump hasn't responded yet. After the market took a look, it immediately pushed oil prices back up. WTI crude surged to 97.45, Brent directly stood above 100.75.
Honestly, I stared at these two oil price charts for quite a while. Clearly, they are talking about a ceasefire, so why are oil prices still rising? Simply put, the market doesn't believe this war will stop so quickly. Saudi Arabia's oil pipeline was just attacked, and European refineries' contract supplies for October have started to be cut off. Everyone knows in their hearts that talk is talk, fighting is fighting, and as long as the Strait of Hormuz is not peaceful for a day, oil prices won't come down.
When oil prices are high, inflation won't come down, and the Fed folks won't be willing to cut rates. Last night during the review, I thought the slight dip in the market was a normal adjustment. Now I see, as long as oil prices stay high, valuations of tech stocks and BTC will be suppressed.
Reality is just this absurd: peaceful talk can't beat market panic. Don't rush to bottom-fish yet; wait for a clear word from Trump first.
#波动雷达：币种异动观察 I’ve been a big proponent of buying $ZEC since everyone was bearish on it at $400.
But at some stage, this chart is going to mean revert the euphoria, just as it has during every monster rally before it.
Price is now reaching the same kind of extreme deviation from its cycle mean that preceded those previous reversions.
That doesn’t mean the move has to end today.
It means the risk has completely changed, and at some stage, price will revert back toward its accep$BTC #USCPIReignitesHikeOdds$FIL, stop hesitating.
Just crush it down.
Let me see where the real bottom really is.
If the price really retraces all the way to $0.50,
the market will tell us:
Is this a completely broken weak structure,
or a genuine support test after extreme panic?
Right now, FIL is actually in an interesting position.
Recently, $FIL broke above $1 again, with a noticeable increase in volume, and the market has started discussing AI data storage, on-chain payment demand, and Filecoin's network economic model again.
What’s more noteworthy is that Filecoin’s strategic focus for 2026 has clearly shifted:
From "how much storage capacity there is"
→ to "how much real paid demand there actually is."
Meanwhile, on October 15, some vesting from Protocol Labs and Filecoin Foundation will end, expected to bring significant changes to FIL’s supply structure, which is one of the variables the market has been watching recently.
So the real question isn’t:
"Can FIL go up?"
But rather:
If the market keeps crashing, where can it prove itself?
$0.90?
$0.70?
Or $0.50 after market sentiment completely collapses?
Let the price answer itself. Buildings that think about topping out before the foundation is even finished collapse the fastest. I've seen too many clients start construction armed only with a rendering, and too many people jump into the foundation pit without even understanding the blueprints. When newcomers ask questions on site, it's not about embarrassment—it's about exploration. Driving piles without a geological report is just playing with the building.
The first thing I always do on a project is check the foundation, not the facade. What is a white paper? It's a design drawing. I've seen plenty of projects with beautiful design drawings, Zaha Hadid-style curved renderings hanging in sales offices, but the load-bearing wall positions are all wrong, and the contractor doesn't even understand the grade of reinforced concrete. What you need now is a "starter guide," a construction specification manual. It doesn't teach you how to draw; it teaches you not to mistake ring beams for decorative lines.
The veteran stories about pitfalls in the community are what I call on-site accident reviews. Every "I bought a certain coin and it went to zero" story is a structural collapse investigation report. Will you listen? Of course, you should. When I review a construction team, the first thing I check is whether they keep records of past rework orders. People willing to show you cracks openly are more reliable than those who only show you the completion photos.
Regarding newcomers asking questions and the idea that there are no stupid questions: on a construction site, when a carpenter asks "Why can't this beam be removed?" that's not stupid; that's safety awareness. The truly fatal ones are owners who pretend to understand and demolish load-bearing walls on their own. So keeping the question channel open is like maintaining a complete supervision log for the project. Supervisors aren't there to nitpick; they're there to ensure the building doesn't lean.
As for official guidelines being updated regularly, that's good. Building codes need revision every few years; fire safety regulations and seismic ratings change. If you build using a 20-year-old atlas, the day of inspection is the day of demolition. The underlying architecture of the crypto market evolves faster than any building material iteration I've seen. What works as a shear wall solution today might require steel structures tomorrow. Without a dynamically updated knowledge base, building a skyscraper with paper blueprints is doomed.
I understand the reward mechanism as recognition for quality projects. Good review posts being featured is like putting a model project on the wall for the whole industry to see. This is a positive incentive for construction quality. But remember, awards for main structures are for completed buildings. If your project hasn't even dug the foundation pit, don't rush to apply for awards. First ask yourself: Have you figured out the load-bearing system? Is the load path clear? Do you have a contingency plan if the developer runs away?
The tokenized targets in the US stock market linked with crypto-native assets form a hybrid system structurally. The connection nodes between two different materials are always the most fragile parts of the entire building. The connections between steel structures and concrete, the anchoring of glass curtain walls to the main frame—every material handoff is a node that keeps engineers awake at night. The linkage you see now is this node under stress. Where the force transmits, where cracks appear first—don't look at renderings, look at detailed node drawings.
Finally, I'll say this: structural designers never trust renderings; they only trust load calculation reports and material test reports. Whether your building stands or not doesn't depend on how lively the sales office is on opening day. #newherestarthere I’ve been a big proponent of buying $ZEC since everyone was bearish on it at $400.
But at some stage, this chart is going to mean revert the euphoria, just as it has during every monster rally before it.
Price is now reaching the same kind of extreme deviation from its cycle mean that preceded those previous reversions.
That doesn’t mean the move has to end today.
It means the risk has completely changed, and at some stage, price will revert back toward its accep$BTC #USCPIReignitesHikeOddsePBS does not change the abbreviation, but who has the authority to decide what goes into a block
One of the important aspects of Glamsterdam is ePBS, which explicitly defines the roles of proposers and block builders in the protocol. Currently, Ethereum's block supply chain relies heavily on external relays and builder markets, which is very efficient but makes critical processes dependent on off-protocol infrastructure.
This issue is not far from ordinary users because it relates to censorship resistance, network stability, and MEV distribution. If a few external services control most of the high-quality block flow, their failures or policy choices could impact the entire network. Internal protocol division of labor cannot eliminate centralization but can reduce a layer of intermediaries that must be trusted unconditionally.
Writing the process into the protocol also increases complexity. Clients need to handle new messaging mechanisms, validators must upgrade, and behaviors under exceptional circumstances must be thoroughly tested. Any changes touching block production cannot be judged solely by theoretical efficiency.
Increasing TPS easily attracts attention, but restructuring block power relations determines the network's long-term quality. ETH's moat has never been just speed but minimizing single points of control in high-value settlements. ePBS truly fills this foundational gap.Advice for you
I know what you're thinking. ARB rose from 0.07 to 0.22, and you're wondering: "Should I chase it?"
My answer is: first, check how many days are left until September 23.
What is the essence of this rally? It's Robinhood's cash flow story + short squeeze + a "pump and dump" before token unlock. The combination of these three forces created a threefold increase in three weeks.
But you need to see clearly: the fuel for the short squeeze has been burned out. On September 1, open interest contracts dropped 29% in one day, indicating shorts have mostly been cleared. The subsequent rise requires real spot buying to take over.
And on September 23, 139 million zero-cost tokens will enter circulation.
An analyst's straightforward judgment: "Bullish in the mid-term, but there will definitely be a 15%-20% short-term pullback. The main players won't let retail investors comfortably profit."
If you stand at 0.22, you're betting that "spot buying can absorb the 139 million tokens unlocking while continuing to push the price higher." $SOL $ETH $ARB #BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 #SEC代币化股票创新豁免落地，UNI盘中涨超21% #ZEC高位震荡，多空仓位开始分化 $TRUMP This wave is hitting hard. 🚨
It pushed above $2.19, then suddenly crashed to $1.993. Watching my account shrink was painful, and honestly, I wasn’t sure what to do in that moment.
Now it’s back around $2.02 with green candles, but don’t assume the drop is over.
I’m watching $2.05–$2.06 closely. If it holds with rising volume, $2.09–$2.11 could come next. If rejected, $2.00 and $1.993 remain key defenses.
Still bullish, with my stop/reduction level at $1.958.
#CryptoRecoveryBroadens ZEC is approaching $1,600 as the battle between bulls and bears intensifies. Open interest remains elevated, with heavy liquidations and contract volume far above spot. Leverage is driving much of the move. Bulls see strong privacy-sector potential, while bears expect a sharp pullback after profit-taking. With weak liquidity, ZEC can move violently. I’d avoid chasing and watch for sustained spot inflows#UNI21%RallyOnSECRule #CryptoRecoveryBroadens #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve I’ve been a big proponent of buying $ZEC since everyone was bearish on it at $400.
But at some stage, this chart is going to mean revert the euphoria, just as it has during every monster rally before it.
Price is now reaching the same kind of extreme deviation from its cycle mean that preceded those previous reversions.
That doesn’t mean the move has to end today.
It means the risk has completely changed, and at some stage, price will revert back toward its accep$BTC #USCPIReignitesHikeOddsPONS at $0.56, are you going to cut your losses?
First, look at the surface: bad news bombardment, but the price firmly holds at 0.55.
In the past 24 hours, it dropped 9%-12%, falling from the September 5 ATH of 0.968 to 0.56, a 42% retracement. Trading volume remains high at $76 million. 0.55 is a critical watershed; RSI is already in the 34-42 oversold zone, and a short-term rebound window is opening. It's oversold, but the trend hasn't reversed yet.
First thing: a whale dumped, but the burn mechanism is still working
On September 19, a whale withdrew 2.25 million PONS from Binance and directly dumped them, exchanging for $1.29 million USDG+ETH. The price crashed 12% that day.
But if you look at the other side—
PONS has cumulatively burned 300 million tokens, accounting for 31% of the total supply. Circulating supply dropped from 1 billion to 686 million. 80% of protocol revenue is used for automatic buyback and burn; in 30 days, fees contributed $132.9 million, with $14.5 million directly burned.
Second thing: Meme hype fades, but the launchpad is still printing money
Robinhood Chain fees dropped from a peak single-day $8 million in early September to $230,000, a 97% plunge. PONS weekly trading volume fell 37%, protocol revenue dropped from $10.7 million to $5.8 million.
Daily fees still amount to $830,000. PONS has cumulatively launched hundreds of thousands of tokens, with peak single-day revenue close to $6 million, once surpassing pump fun.
The Meme craze has cooled, but the launchpad is not dead. It has just shifted from "crazy money printing" to "normal money printing."
Third thing: Uniswap is increasing positions, OKX launched perpetuals
Uniswap Labs previously bought PONS and deepened cooperation; V2 graduation tokens directly entered Uniswap V4 pools. OKX perpetuals launched on September 5, spot on September 15, liquidity comprehensively improved.
PONS is the strongest launchpad on Robinhood Chain, bar none. Robinhood Chain is an Arbitrum-based L2, mainnet launched in July, backed by Robinhood with 24 million users.
You may not believe in Meme, but you can't ignore Robinhood's traffic.
Bull vs. Bear, you decide
On one side:
A whale dumped 2.25 million tokens, short-term selling pressure is real
Meme hype fades, fees plunged 97%
Fed raised rates by 25bp, risk assets under pressure
Circulating supply is not small, early holders still have selling pressure
On the other side:
31% of supply burned, deflation mechanism is real
Daily fees still $830,000, protocol is alive
Uniswap cooperation + OKX listing, liquidity improved
0.55 key support held multiple times, RSI oversold
Resistance above: 0.61-0.63 (recent highs) → 0.70 (channel upper edge) → 0.80+ (return to strength)
Support below: 0.55 (bull-bear watershed) → 0.52-0.50 (psychological level) → 0.44-0.45 (deep support)
Trading strategy
Short-term traders:
Light long positions near 0.56, stop loss below 0.52. Target 0.61-0.63, breakout to 0.70. If volume breaks below 0.55, do not bottom fish, wait for 0.5.
Swing traders:
Wait for daily close above 0.63 before entering, target 0.7-0.8. Or wait for volume surge with bullish candle + bottom divergence near 0.5 before entering.
Long-term believers:
DCA below 0.5. Betting on Robinhood Chain ecosystem explosion + continuous buyback and burn.
The biggest problem for PONS now is not the whale, not the Meme fade—
It's whether it's worth this price.
From 0.0038 to 0.97, it rose 255x. From 0.97 to 0.56, it fell 42%.
When it rises, you think it's too high; when it falls, you fear death. So when will you buy?
Here's a fact:
The lifeline of launchpad tokens is only one: whether the platform is still printing money.
As long as daily fees of $830,000 continue and burns keep happening, this flywheel hasn't stopped.
If 0.55 holds, it's a golden pit. If 0.55 breaks, it's a bottomless pit.
What's your PONS cost?
At 0.56, do you dare to bottom fish or cut losses? $BTC $ETH $PONS $ETH 150,000 ETH dumped into exchanges! Retail investors are still crazily going long, but whales are lining up to sell?
Data shows that over 150,000 ETH were dumped into exchanges yesterday, marking the largest single-day inflow since January. The most eye-catching move was from a dormant wallet inactive for two years, transferring all 33,180 ETH, bought at 2002, selling now at 2620, netting a $20.48 million profit in one go. Not moving for three years, suddenly cashing out at this level—do you think it's optimism for the market or a quick escape?
Even more chilling is the sentiment divergence. The global retail long-to-short ratio is 2.25, with 69% going long; meanwhile, smart money is only 56% bullish, with a long-to-short ratio of 1.28. Historically, when retail investors cluster on the long side, it’s often not a sign of a market takeoff but that retail investors are about to get trapped. Now, a whale has collected 102,900 ETH from multiple wallets and has already deposited 2,858 ETH into exchanges, with the rest queued up.
The macro environment is also worrying. Iran announced the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz, Houthi forces and Saudi Arabia exchanged harsh words, crude oil prices surged in the dark market, and over 100,000 people were liquidated in the past 24 hours, totaling $240 million. When geopolitical tensions rise, funds rush to safe havens.
It’s hard to say if the current market is the dawn before the light or the last darkness. On-chain data is always lagging, but the simultaneous appearance of whale selling and retail frenzy is definitely not a good sign. #SEC代币化股票创新豁免落地，UNI盘中涨超21% #BTC维持8万美元，加密市场修复扩散 #ZEC is approaching $1,600 as the battle between bulls and bears intensifies. Open interest remains elevated, with heavy liquidations and contract volume far above spot. Leverage is driving much of the move. Bulls see strong privacy-sector potential, while bears expect a sharp pullback after profit-taking. With weak liquidity, ZEC can move violently. I’d avoid chasing and watch for sustained spot inflows.#CryptoRecoveryBroadens #UNI21%RallyOnSECRule #ZECPositionsDiverge $BTC $ETH —— Is the market finally starting to show signs of weakening?👀
Over the past two days, short positions have been under considerable pressure. Now, have the short traders finally gotten some breathing room? Or is this just a brief pullback within a bullish trend, with prices set to continue rising afterward?
$ZEC has also experienced a noticeable decline. It previously surged close to $1,600 but has now retraced to around $1,470, a drop of about 8%.
My short entry price was around $1,200, so this pullback is definitely worth paying attention to.
The real question now is:
Wait longer? Or increase positions in the current area to raise the average entry price from $1,200 to a higher level?
The market is entering a critical observation phase.📉
Going forward, focus on price structure, volume, and shifts in long and short capital, rather than simply guessing the next candlestick.
NFA. DYOR.
#BTC #ETH #ZEC #Crypto #Trading #MarketUpdateOriginally, I just wanted to grab a quick breakfast, but the market ended up giving me dumplings for half a year. Last night at dawn, I was watching $HBAR; the market hadn't fully started yet, support wasn't broken, and the bottom was grinding sideways. I judged that someone was buying below, so I casually suggested a long position on HBAR. Going long, only on the part I understand.
The market is something you wait for, profits are something you hold for.
Panic comes from lack of planning, losses come from overthinking.
This morning when I opened the market, HBAR shot straight from 0.07449 to 0.08786, +896.76% right before my eyes. That meat tastes good. The wait was worth it, the rhythm was right, those on board should be waking up smiling.
Position management is simple: take profit on 70%, protect the remaining 30% at cost price. If it keeps rising, let profits run; if it falls back, don’t let gains turn uncomfortable. Don’t be greedy for the last bite, pocket the big part first.
For friends who haven’t gotten on board yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in; chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I’ll notify you first thing. The market isn’t short of opportunities, it’s short of patience.
$DOGE $BNB People call crypto "risky" while treating banks as safe. The FinCEN Files showed otherwise.Major banks including HSBC, JPMorgan and Deutsche Bank moved over $2 trillion in suspicious transactions from 1999–2017 often after red flags were raised.Traditional finance has done this at scale for decades. Crypto faces far stricter scrutiny for smaller volumes.
#FinCENFiles #Crypto #TradFi Yushu dropped from 76.77 to 76.16, and I actually breathed a sigh of relief. After being stuck for so long, even "losing a little less" almost feels like a gain 🥲 The short position opened at 68.05, 20x leverage, and the page shows this contract's floating profit and loss rate at -238.35%, still not closed.
This time, looking at the fundamentals, I care more about cash flow. In the half-year data disclosed in August, Yushu's revenue grew 48.54% year-on-year, but net cash flow from operating activities decreased by 32.53%. The company explained that the increase in procurement, expenses, and personnel costs outpaced the cash inflow from sales. This was previously disclosed information, not some sudden bad news today.
One bearish concern I have is that the market might be prematurely interpreting "products becoming more popular" as "business will get easier." For me, how many units are sold is just the first half of the problem; the second half is how much cash remains after expansion. If every additional batch of business requires more upfront investment, no matter how impressive the revenue growth is, I’m unwilling to directly imagine it as easy money.
Of course, more investment during expansion doesn’t equal operational deterioration. If revenue continues to grow and cash recovery keeps pace, this concern should be downgraded. I shouldn’t interpret all investments as burdens just because I hold a short position.
But the most painful thing right now is: the company hasn’t finished this test, yet my short position has already suffered a significant drawdown. #SEC代币化股票创新豁免落地，UNI盘中涨超21% #BTC holds at $80,000, crypto market recovery spreads
Saylor is calling a buy again, will you follow this time?
Last night, Saylor posted a position chart with the caption "A little more orange," hinting at another purchase. Strategy last increased holdings at the end of August, buying 4,603 coins at an average price of 80,318, then paused for three weeks to repurchase preferred shares. CEO Phong Le recently stated, "We will never stop buying Bitcoin."
The technicals are a bit awkward. BTC is currently around 80,360, with the 4-hour RSI hitting 77, indicating overbought conditions; 81,321 is the upper Bollinger Band resistance. On-chain data is even clearer: between 77,100 and 80,200, long-term holders have sold 539,000 BTC in the past 30 days. CryptoQuant is clear: if the 365-day moving average at 81,700 is not broken, the bull market cannot be confirmed.
My view: Saylor's buy call is a positive sentiment boost but should not be used as a short-term signal. His is a strategic accumulation, buying more as prices fall. There is dense resistance in the short term, and chasing highs carries significant risk; wait for a pullback confirmation. In the medium term, as long as Strategy continues issuing preferred shares to raise funds to buy coins, there is support at the bottom.Kashkari said that strong investment demand will push up interest rates, which is not very friendly to long-term holders.
When money chases projects, interest rates can't fall; discount rates press valuations, and $BTC is no exception.
But the question is, how much of this round of strong investment demand is real use, and how much is just a front-runner?
If it's just a front-running, when interest rates rise, the first to withdraw is this money.
I hold my position and don't plan to move because of a single word, but don't expect interest rate cuts to save valuations either.
If interest rates don't fall, don't blame valuations for not rising.
#BTC维持8万美元, the crypto market has recovered and spread
#美联储10月再加息概率破55% #美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进 $BTC