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$BTC Robinhood bought $25 million worth of Bitcoin! The Bitcoin it holds on behalf of customers is more than 600 times that amount!!
▪️ Own holdings of $25 million, equivalent to about 294 BTC at this week's average price — the company put Bitcoin on its own balance sheet for the first time!
Custody for clients: 185,000 BTC, about $15.6 billion, recorded in separate ledgers
▪️ The official figure only gives the amount; 294 BTC is media-calculated — the amount is definitive, the BTC count is an estimate
▪️ In the same week, Strategy bought 334 BTC at an average price of 85,838.80, with total holdings of 848,000 BTC
The disagreement is not about how much was bought, but that "self-owned" and "custodied for others" are not the same thing. The former is a line on the balance sheet, the latter is the shelf it uses for business. In the same week, Strategy bought its 848,000th BTC, while these 294 BTC are the 1st — the company itself says that at a $100 billion market cap, this amount doesn't change much.
There are two sides to BTC as well: new entities entering the market are noteworthy, but this scale cannot enter any supply-demand table — it moves the narrative position, not the price position.
Focus on three things:
① The exact BTC count in the next filing;
② Whether this holding will become a system;
③ Whether the support at 82,000 holds.
Would you consider a broker's self-purchase as the start of institutional entry?
$BTC
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #全球长期国债收益率升至多年高位 $USELESS, true to its name, has already plummeted drastically. The most critical point is that the biggest whale Bonk Guy (who holds the most) has completely gone silent and hasn't mentioned Useless for a long time. Previously, there were all kinds of hype, but now it's all backfiring.$ZEC Four-hour chart
ZEC previously surged to $1689 before continuously retreating, currently around $1300.
The core pressure of this round of adjustment comes from ETF fund outflows. Grayscale ZCSH has had continuous net outflows for several days, with a single-week outflow scale close to $93.56 million. The managed scale has dropped from nearly $980 million to $751 million, and institutional fund withdrawals have brought sustained selling pressure.
There is an important fundamental event at play: the NU7 upgrade is underway. The testnet activation was completed on October 6. The upgrade will shorten the block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, tripling block production efficiency; the mainnet activation height will be finalized on October 20, with the mainnet activation target date set for November 5.
Resistance above is seen at 1430. To reverse the downtrend, volume must increase and hold above this level to have a chance to recover upward; key support below is at 1250. Once effectively broken, the downside space will further open.
Strategy: Currently, it is a consolidation phase after the decline, with intense long-short battles. ETF selling pressure and upgrade expectations are pulling against each other. Avoid heavy bottom-fishing in the short term; a prudent approach is to wait for a pullback to support and a stable close before considering buying; if the rebound fails to break through resistance, beware of a secondary decline.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元 Circle and Tether—the two biggest competitors in the stablecoin market—have rarely stood together on the EU's MiCA regulation this time.
The trigger is MiCA's reserve requirements for "significant" stablecoin issuers: up to 60% of reserves must be held in the form of bank deposits, and are subject to concentration limits with any single bank.
Tether's CEO said: reserves should be invested in highly liquid instruments like government bonds; being forced to expose them in commercial banks is actually more vulnerable. Circle hopes the EU will allow stablecoins compliant under foreign regulatory systems to enter the European market.
Though their opposition logic differs, their conclusion is the same—this rule either makes reserves less secure or reduces choices in the European market.
For us doing PayAll aggregation, European users' U-card options may be directly affected. If the rule is not changed before the December transition period ends, many small and medium issuers may exit Europe, reducing the variety of stablecoins users can use and tightening withdrawal channels. This is also why I insist on multi-channel aggregation on PayAll—if a single channel encounters problems, users need to have a Plan B.Stripe announced at TOKEN2049 that the Bridge-supported stablecoin Visa card will expand from 18 countries to over 100 by the end of the year. Half a year ago, it was still testing in Latin America; now it aims to go global directly.
In September, stablecoin card spending reached $1.2 billion, three times that of the same period last year; Visa stablecoin-linked card payment volume increased by 200% year-over-year, with over 160 projects running on its network; Credit Coop provided $2.5 billion in settlement credit for participating projects.
Stripe's logic is very clear—spend $1.1 billion in 2024 to buy Bridge for on-chain settlement, acquire Privy in 2025 for wallets, and now combine them to make stablecoin cards function like ordinary Visa cards. Stripe's global product head said: "Businesses don’t innovate for innovation’s sake; they need reliable ways to move money."
This shows that stablecoin cards are evolving from niche tools in the crypto circle into mainstream global payment infrastructure. From my experience doing aggregation comparisons at PayAll, the biggest takeaway is that card selection depends not only on fees but also on the depth of settlement network coverage and the transparency of issuer reserves. When Visa, Stripe, and Samsung are all working on the same thing, this track is no longer in the experimental stage.Enter ETH at the position
Short around 2580-2585
Take profit at 2563-2540-2520
Stop loss at 2605
Make sure to set take profit and stop loss!
Make sure to set take profit and stop loss!
Make sure to set take profit and stop loss!
Following orders is voluntary. Join the discussion and check the pinned post.
Always set take profit and stop loss properly.
Use about 3-5% of your position per trade.
Stop loss is not failure, but your own protection.Two signals are telling different stories.
On the BTC side, open interest contracts once dropped to nearly a 12-month low at the end of September, and only started to recover slowly in early October as funding rates rose—this wave of sentiment in Bitcoin is rebuilt by leverage.
ETH, however, tells a different story: in the last 24 hours, network fees reached $435,000, surpassing BTC's $325,600. Don't forget that BTC's market cap is several times larger; for a chain with such a smaller scale, its fees overtaking the big brother is quite an interesting contrast.
Of course, fees alone don't prove "who is used more"; on-chain activity can't be judged by this metric alone.
Here's the question for you: which do you trust more—the sentiment built by leverage, or the on-chain activity driven by real money?$SUI
This ID's viewpoint
SUI on the 30-minute chart surged to 1.2645 before pulling back. The previously long-standing purple consolidation zone was directly broken down, and now the price is oscillating at a low level below the consolidation zone. Entry: On a rebound touching the lower edge of the purple consolidation zone with signs of stagnation, a short position can be attempted; Stop loss: If the price stabilizes and returns back into the purple consolidation zone.
Chan Theory Structure
On the 30-minute timeframe, after the high at 1.2645, upward momentum gradually exhausted, and the market turned downward, directly breaking through the long-maintained horizontal consolidation zone. Currently, it is in the downward phase after leaving the consolidation zone, undergoing a brief pause after the decline. There are two possible subsequent directions: a rebound testing the original lower edge of the consolidation zone as resistance, then continuing downward; or if volume increases and the price pulls back into the consolidation zone, this breakdown is a false breakout, and the market returns to range-bound oscillation.
Wyckoff Volume-Price Observation
Previously, while consolidating back and forth within the purple consolidation zone, volume fluctuations were minor, with bulls and bears in a tug-of-war. The volume significantly increased on the downward breakout candle, indicating concentrated release of bearish power and weak bullish support. Currently, this low-level rebound shows a clear volume contraction, with weak buying strength.
Key Observation Points
Focus on the volume-price coordination of this rebound: if the rebound is under pressure with shrinking volume, the bearish trend will continue; once volume expands and the price stands above the consolidation zone, this breakdown fails, and the trend returns to range-bound competition.The wildest altcoin in the market today is $MET (Meteora), which surged from 0.33 at 11 PM last night all the way to 0.48, now around 0.46, up more than 40% in 24 hours.
What's even more interesting is the contract side: today's contract volume hit 100 million USD, compared to just 11 million yesterday; open interest rose from 1.4 million USD to 6.4 million, yet the funding rate has remained negative, with a settlement of -0.65% at 4 AM.
In simple terms, the more it rises, the more shorts there are, and shorts have to pay longs, making this kind of market prone to sharp reversals. I'm watching two levels: if it holds above 0.48, it could squeeze shorts further; if it falls back to 0.43, I'll exit first.
$BTC at 82,900 and $ETH at 2,570 are still flat, while altcoins are running so strong—don't go all in chasing.
$BTC $ETH $MET #MET #Meteora #ShortSqueeze
#SeptemberFOMCMinutesReleased, most officials favor another rate hike #BTCWhaleSellingPressureEases, ETF funds see three consecutive weeks of net inflows #OKXNOW: Ushering in a new era of 24/7 markets
#RiskWarning
This is not investment advice; small coins are highly volatile, so keep your position size moderate. 【On-Chain Trading Update｜BTC】
Monitored address 0x24fb opened a long position:
▪ Execution price: $82,897
▪ Transaction amount this time: $124,345.5
▪ Leverage: 16x
Note: This address has earned over $244,000 in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +9.12% $BTC $ETH $SOL In this recent market move, my judgment is simple:
The market is not trending now; it is undergoing "high volatility deleveraging."
BTC briefly dropped below $84,000 yesterday and is now pressured near $83,000; ETH has fallen even more, exceeding 4% in 24 hours, and SOL is weakening around $116. Oil prices, the US dollar, and US Treasury yields are all relatively strong, which is clearly unfavorable for risk assets.
I will not blindly buy the dip here.
Key levels to watch: BTC at 83,000; if it doesn't hold, the market could easily test 80,000 next; ETH at 2530–2550, and if this breaks, there is more downside room.
However, I also do not recommend shorting at this level.
The reason is simple: after continuous sharp declines, high Beta assets like ETH and SOL have entered a clear oversold zone and could quickly rebound at any time.
So my trading approach has only two options:
If the rebound fails to break resistance, continue looking for shorts.
Or wait for BTC to firmly reclaim key levels before confirming and entering long positions.
The easiest way to lose money in this market now is to buy the dip after a big drop and then short again after a breakdown.
The overall bias is bearish, but be cautious of short-term rebounds.
Real opportunities do not come at the peak of extreme emotions but after confirmation following those extremes.
I will trade less and wait more these days.
Because in this kind of market, survival is more important than making an extra profit.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $UNI retraces 28% from the high! Overbought correction accelerates realization, treat as a weak rebound until 8.6 is recovered
The $UNI 4-hour chart has clearly weakened. Since the high of 10.90 on September 23, the price has retraced 28%. The previously repeatedly indicated overbought correction is now materializing, with the adjustment exceeding market expectations.
Technically, it has broken below the key 8.6 level. The daily RSI has fallen from the overbought zone to the neutral zone. The EMA50 moving average has been pushed down to 9.2, forming sustained overhead resistance. The fundamental narrative remains unchanged: the UNIfication burn mechanism and the DEX trading logic brought by tokenized stocks still hold. However, with the overall DeFi sector capital withdrawing, even the best narratives struggle to resist large-scale profit-taking.
Support and resistance: The 8.6 level above is an important resistance platform. Only by reclaiming this level can the current weak pattern potentially be reversed. Below, 7.6–7.7 is the chip platform from early September and serves as the core support for this round of adjustment. If volume-driven breakdown occurs here, the next target is 7.0.
The market is very likely to continue its downward momentum, with an oversold rebound opportunity expected in the 7.5-7.7 range. However, this rebound is merely a weak bounce, not a trend reversal. A reversal requires volume support. Until the price effectively recovers above 8.6, the overall trend remains weak.
Intraday oscillation range: 7.7–8.2.
Intraday stop-loss defense point is set at 7.55. If this level is broken with volume, the lower support fails and downside space opens up.Got stuck, saw Bitcoin break the 5-minute moving average and bought one more lot
Floating profit 20% but didn't sell
In this market, this strategy is only good for taking a quick lick and running
Hesitate for a moment and you get stuck如果BTC这波回踩不是孤立事件，那么它其实在替整个加密市场试探风险偏好。 你注意到ETH和山寨这次没跟着一起崩吗？ 昨晚BTC从85.6K滑到83.2K附近，表面看只是2K多的回调，但我盯盘时更在意的是节奏变了。以前这种级别的下探，ETH通常会跌得更凶，山寨更是直接血流成河。这次不一样，ETH相对抗跌，部分山寨甚至没怎么跟。这说明抛压主要集中在BTC本身，而不是整个市场的信心在瓦解。 关键位置先摆出来。 - 82.8K是短期支撑，跌破它才会真正打开下行空间 - 83.2K是当前价格，刚好卡在支撑上方一点 - 83.8K是近端阻力，收回去才算修复 - 85.6K是这轮下跌的起点，也是多头要重新证明自己的地方 从跨市场联动的角度看，这次BTC单独走弱、ETH和山寨没同步，通常有两种解读。一种是资金在BTC内部做短线止盈，风险偏好没真正退潮，那只要82.8K守住，反弹随时会来，ETH和强势山寨可能先于BTC回暖。另一种是BTC作为龙头先感知到宏观压力，山寨只是还没反应过来，一旦82.8K失守，补跌会来得又快又猛。 我偏向认为现在市场在交易的是"龙头休整、板块轮动还没断"的预期。但有个被忽略的#全球长期国债收益率升至多年高位 783% is not a reversal, but a critical hit for "betting on HBM": Samsung's Q3 operating profit exploded, AI memory rescues the storage runner-up throne
Samsung Electronics' Q3 operating profit soared 783% year-on-year—not because of crazy phone sales, but because HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) finally caught up with Nvidia's order pace.
The plot twist is intense:
From 2024 to the first half of 2025, SK Hynix took Nvidia's orders with HBM3E first, while Samsung was mocked as the "storage king turned backup";
In Q3 2026, Samsung's HBM3E/12-layer stacking passed major client validation, HBM4 sample delivery accelerated, AI servers, GPU cards, and cloud providers' self-built computing power all locked in production capacity;
Traditional DRAM prices also recovered, with LPDDR5X, server DDR5, and enterprise SSD NAND all raising prices, storage cycle plus AI premium both stepping on the gas.
Breaking down the numbers:
The chip division turned from a "profit drag" back into a "money printing machine," with a low operating profit base (last year was hit by HBM lagging and inventory impairment) also making the 783% look good;
But the real signal is that yields have passed, and customers are willing to sign long-term contracts—AI memory is not a spot business, it is an oligopoly of "locking 18 months of capacity before negotiating price." BTC next 24 hours
- The first support is 82,750–82,800.
- If broken, it will test 82,000–82,500.
- If 82,000 is lost, the next support to watch is 80,000–80,500.
- The first rebound resistance is concentrated at 83,200–83,450.
- Stronger resistance is at 83,600–83,800; only after holding above this can it test 84,400–84,600.
Assessment: A technical rebound may occur, but below 83,800 it still belongs to a corrective phase within a bearish trend. The main focus for the next 24 hours is the 82,000–83,800 range.
ETH next 24 hours
- The first support is the intraday low at 2,535–2,540.
- If broken, look at 2,500–2,510.
- If 2,500 is lost, the next support to watch is 2,460–2,480.
- The first rebound resistance is at 2,575–2,585.
- Stronger resistance is 2,620–2,635; regaining and holding this area will significantly ease short-term weakness.
Assessment: ETH's 1-hour moving average shows signs of stopping the decline, but the 4-hour trend remains bearish. Below 2,585, the risk of a second test of 2,538 remains high. $XAU Gold fell to 4074 yesterday, then immediately rebounded to 4090, and continued to rise above 4100. The subsequent market trend still tends to fluctuate around 4100 for bottoming out. On the upside, 4300 and 4400 are strong resistance zones, with 4400 being the key trend dividing line for the bulls. How the year-end market moves and whether it can hold above 4400 is crucial.
Currently, gold's role is more of a market regulator.
At this stage, the importance of the US dollar outweighs gold, so it will use geopolitical events to temporarily suppress gold prices. However, whether this suppression can be fully maintained is questionable. In the medium to long term, I still remain optimistic that gold will develop its own independent market trend.$JUP Real-time trade review:
1. The 3-minute lower shadow has been broken
2. The 5-minute upper shadow has become a resistance level
3. The 20-position long position has gained over 88%
4. Don't be greedy, act boldly, holding onto profits is the key.
5. $JUP This trade has no technical merit, purely just good luck.It seems that $RAY has not officially formed a top yet. I see a liquidation zone around 2.5 USD, suggesting the price could revisit the previous high and push even higher, triggering short liquidations.
I think we need to see at least one technical divergence signal on the 15-minute timeframe before planning a short.BTC is stuck in the danger zone — not breaking up, not breaking down.
Glassnode’s liquidation map shows a clear battle:
🔺 $92K — key resistance
🔻 $81K — near-term support
⚠️ $75K — next downside level
💀 $60K–$63K — the heavy liquidation zone
The bigger picture still lines up with BTC’s six-month trend.
Now it’s basically bulls vs bears throwing punches again.
If you’re using high leverage, the real question isn’t Where will BTC go?
It’s Where am I getting out if I’m wrong?
#DailyOrbit Last night my hand trembled slightly when setting the stop loss, and this morning I realized it was an unnecessary act of filial piety. Yesterday afternoon at the high point, every time $PENGU surged, it fell just short, volume didn’t keep up, and the resistance above was obvious. Seeing the insufficient support, I signaled a short at the high point, advising not to chase longs.
During the repeated intraday fluctuations, the short position wasn’t shaken off but instead awaited the drop. From 0.009042 to 0.008642, the short gained +221.74%. This profit was satisfying; the high-level pressure finally gave an answer, time to enjoy a good meal.
First, close 80%, pocket the bulk. Keep the remaining 20% at cost price as protection; if it continues to drop, let the profit run, and if it rebounds, don’t give back the gains.
The market is waited out, profits are held onto. Panic comes from lack of planning, losses come from overthinking.
For friends who haven’t entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in; chasing shorts risks getting slapped back by a rebound. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I will notify immediately. If you miss it, don’t chase; there will be more opportunities later.
$SOL $SNDK $BERA I didn't make much judgment, just held on a bit longer, didn't expect it to really pay off.
Just after lunch when I checked the market, there was obvious resistance above BERA, a strong bull trap, no one took the bait going up, so I signaled a short entry at an opening price of 0.2485.
In the afternoon it directly dropped to 0.2209, a return of +222.93%, really awesome, nailed the timing.
First close 80%, keep the remaining 20% at cost price for protection, if it continues to drop let the profits run, brothers watch your profits.
The market punishes all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they are the smartest. For uncertain stocks, a glance is clarity, buying a lot is foolishness. Now is not the time to rush, chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak, I will promptly signal the next round, waiting for good news.
$DOGE $ADA BTC vs ETH: a paradox in market structure. ETH rallied 70% in Q3 vs BTC's 42%, yet ETH's order book depth is only 35–45% of BTC down from 60% a year ago. BTC depth grew ~50% to $29M bid / $37M ask. ETH holds $13–14M. Price says one story liquidity says another.
$BTC $ETH You lean hawkish on September FOMC minutes tonight and will first guard against short-term pullback BTC ETH — I lean same after what we saw. *What really matters not whether rate hike tonight — September hike already implemented, minutes truly affect how many within Fed support further tightening and how serious inflation concerns are:* Exactly. Market already knows pause October low expectation, but disagreement whether inflation sufficiently under control you noted earlier — energy, tariffs, A$BTC Recently, the BTC trend actually reminds me of 2020 😂
In January 2020, when COVID-19 started spreading, BTC was still around 7K; in February it surged to 10K, and in March, global panic caused it to crash directly from 8K down to over 4K.
But the truly outrageous part came afterward.
By December 2020, BTC was already approaching 30K; by April 2021, it even surged past 60K.
So now, seeing the suspected pneumonic plague incident in Russia, I don’t immediately treat it as "the pandemic is here."
Plus, recently, a US government-associated wallet transferred 833.6 BTC into Coinbase Prime, worth about 71.6 million USD. Note, this does not mean it has been sold yet.
But I have a bold thought:
Could this transfer actually be a "bait" to scare the market?
Everyone is watching the selling pressure closely; if it really crashes, it might actually give the bulls a more comfortable position.
So right now, I’m neither fully out nor heavily invested.
Lightly long, and waiting for the market to give answers with the rest of the funds.
If the 2020 script repeats, the truly painful part might not be this drop now.
$BTC
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $ZEC Last night my hand trembled slightly when setting the stop loss, and this morning I realized it was an unnecessary act of filial piety.
Yesterday afternoon, ZEC was still stubbornly pushing up there. Watching the market, the volume didn’t keep up, and no one was supporting the rise, so I casually opened a short on ZEC. At that time, I just said: obvious resistance above, weak rebound, don’t rush to catch the dip.
As a result, it went down all the way, giving the answer. Short entered at 1,328.29, now at 1,304.45, floating profit +89.32%. The earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is really sweet.
The market waits to be timed, profits are held to be realized.
First close 80%, pocket the main part. Move the stop loss to the cost price for the remaining 20%, if it continues to drop, let the profit run; if it rebounds, it won’t give back the gains.
Now is not the time to rush, chasing shorts easily gets caught on the mountainside by a rebound. I will notify immediately when the next signal comes.
$DOGE $LAB $ETH
ETH trading volume is close to BTC's—does this indicate increased attraction or risk rotation?
This morning's 24-hour spot observation window: range 2536—2691.6 USDT, change -4.01%, trading volume approximately 535.54 million USDT.
With similar trading scales, ETH's window decline is larger, indicating that trading activity and price support are not moving in the same direction. Large volumes may also occur during position reductions and stop-loss executions, so this cannot be considered a definite net capital inflow.
If volume remains high while lows continue to drop, prioritize seller pressure; if prices stabilize and perform stronger during the next BTC pullback, then increase confidence in improved price support.📊 TOKEN2049 Eve: Traders Lost Over $4 Million in Their Sleep
▸ At 4:30 AM on October 7, trader Frogman's two wallets in Singapore were emptied, losing over $4 million
▸ Tokens like BP, MarsCoin, Cash Cat were swapped for ETH, BNB, SOL, then laundered through Privacy Cash and Chainflip
▸ Losses spanned multiple chains; analysis suggests it was not a single authorization error but a compromise of the mnemonic phrase or the device itself
💡 Conference season is hackers' "hunting season": lots of people, connecting to unfamiliar networks, devices left unattended—every step is a risk. Important assets should be stored separately, cold and hot wallets separated, and daily use wallets protected by AI risk alerts to guard the first gate—Cat Wallet’s approach is to provide this alert before signing.
#walletsecurity #TOKEN2049 #Web3security Big brother Maji has already started reducing his positions, so where exactly is ETH's bottom?
This time, big brother Maji almost blew himself up.
I just checked his latest holdings: he currently has 37,925 ETH long positions with 25x leverage, valued at $97.49 million, with an unrealized loss of $2.94 million.
Compared to the previous 39,030 ETH, he has reduced by 1,105 ETH.
Looking at the market, ETH dropped to $2,544, falling 5.58% within 24 hours, with a total liquidation of $573 million across the network, of which ETH alone accounts for $251 million.
But what surprised me most was not the reduction in ETH positions, but that he suddenly increased his BTC long positions from 17 to 306! With 40x leverage, the position is valued at $25.37 million, currently with an unrealized loss of $116,900.
The previously held HYPE and PUMP long positions are no longer in the holdings list.
ETF funds are even more worth noting: ETH has seen outflows of $408 million over 6 consecutive days, while BTC still had an inflow of $119 million on October 6.
What does this indicate? At least from the ETF data, BTC is currently more favored by capital than ETH.
I am now focusing on ETH at $2,500.
If it doesn't hold, leveraged long positions below may continue to be under pressure.
Even big holders like Maji know to reduce positions first to control risk, so ordinary people have even less reason to rush to catch the bottom.
The market comes every day, but the principal is limited, so capital preservation comes first. $UNI's low levels are starting to attract attention, but cheapness can never replace evidence of a bottom.
I break it down into two scenarios: A, breaking through 8.247, confirming a short-term structure; B, falling below 7.692, invalidating the original judgment, with the next observation point shifting to 7.692.
Current price is 7.872, 24-hour change -3.56%; 1-hour and 4-hour trends are weak, with volume about 0.35 times the average of the last 20 bars.
No preset answers, just watching which condition happens first. Do you think scenario A or B is more likely to occur first?
The above is market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is Crypto Bull Talk.$BTC liquidations hit $410M, but that doesn’t mean bears have won.
Most of the wipeout came from longs; shorts were barely touched. Now short sellers are starting to get squeezed too.
The key question is whether volume can support the rebound. If not, this bounce may fade quickly.
Watch volume, not just liquidation numbers. 👀
#BTC #Bitcoin
#SepFOMCMinutesHikeWatch
#BTCWhalePressureEases
#SolanaStocksTop4.4B In less than two weeks, three different addresses, each dormant for over 4 years, each just transferred out 4,500 BTC.
Lookonchain detected that the third one appeared this morning: address bc1q4h transferred out 4,500 BTC after being silent for more than 4 years, worth about $376 million. The first two were bc1qln on September 25 (about $381 million) and bc1qd6 on September 28 (about $379 million).
Together, the three batches total 13,500 BTC, which is about $1.12 billion at the time of writing. The same amount, the same dormancy period, it looks like the same party is moving coins in batches, but there is no on-chain evidence linking the three addresses yet. So far, only transfers out have been seen; it’s not confirmed that they went to exchanges, and transferring out does not equal selling.
At the time of writing, BTC on OKX is about $82,922, down about 1.2% in 24 hours, with an intraday low of 82,753.
4,500 BTC per batch, three batches already moved, do you think a fourth will appear, or will it stop here?
$BTC $ETH daily chart has already weakened, the 4H bearish trend remains unchanged, but the 1H short-term has started to recover, so don't blindly short near 2570 today.
What's the current situation with ETH?
- Looking at the daily big picture: it's not as strong anymore, a bit soft.
- Looking at 4 hours: bears are still in control, no change.
- Looking at 1 hour: short-term is catching a breath and recovering.
So don't do this today:
When you see a drop, don't impulsively short near 2570. ❌
A slight rise today doesn't mean "wow, the trend has reversed,"
it's just a technical pause and correction within a bearish market.
In the next 1–2 weeks, the overall trend is still bearish, don't be fooled by small rebounds.
How to trade more comfortably?
ETH strategy:
- Wait for a rebound to 2620–2640 before considering shorting
- Set stop loss at 2660
- Take profit around 2550–2530
Now the key point 👇
2530 is the real dividing line today.
- If 2530 holds: it can still consolidate and rebound
- If 2530 breaks down: 2500 won't hold, 2450 might open directly 📉
In plain language:
"Don't rush to short now, waiting for a rebound to short is smoother; once 2530 breaks, don't cling to the fight."#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $SNDK looks like a classic crowd trap. 👀
The numbers are telling: only 39.59% of longs and 42.22% of shorts are profitable. Both sides are getting chopped up.
Out of 442 long traders, 267 are losing. On the short side, 171 of 296 are underwater.
But the bigger clue? Longs are about 1.5× the number of shorts, with 260+ longs holding roughly $65M in positions.
That’s a huge pool of liquidity.
Crypto rule #1: don’t blindly follow the crowd.
#DailyOrbit Conclusion first: $RAY held at $2.0, and on October 7th, a big bullish candle pushed it directly to 2.47, a single-day gain of +13%.
This is not a random oversold rebound.
Looking at the 4H chart: the candle on the evening of October 7th had a trading volume of $55 million — usually at this time it's at most $5 million. The volume is 10 times the usual.
Volume speaks the most honestly: the support level is confirmed by large trading volume, it's not "still wants to fall," but "buyers are willing here."
Solana DeFi's TVL is still there, and Raydium's position as a leading DEX remains unchanged. If $2.0 holds, this could be a mid-term bottom structure.
How many more times do you think $RAY can hold at the $2.0 level? $RAY Overall account looks pretty good today holding longs BTC SOL ETH all full 20X leverage still profitable — in this $190M liquidation slaughter day, that's survival win. *Your positions:* - *BTC entry 83,395 current 83,407 unrealized 117U* just near cost line holding to observe. Key support below 82,500 as long as doesn't break no big issues upside target 86,700 first — exactly. 83k floor you mentioned earlier, if breaks → 81k next, but 82,500 is your stop line good. Tonight 2am minutes will deciWhen reviewing a trade, I ask myself 21 questions:
1. Is the market environment suitable?
2. Is this a true market leader?
3. Is it part of a hot theme?
4. Is there a strong catalyst?
5. Are sales and profits strong enough?
6. Was the prior price action strong enough?
7. Is the pattern of A+ quality?
8. Is the base compact enough?
9. Did I enter early enough?
10. Have I extended too far from the breakout point?
11. Can I set a tight, reasonable stop loss?
12. Does volume confirm the breakout?
13. Does the stock follow through immediately?
14. Has this trade ever made me doubt?
15. Did I size my position correctly?
16. Did I follow my own rules during management?
17. Did I give winners enough room to run?
18. Was my partial exit necessary?
19. Did I exit for the right reasons?
20. What is my final risk/reward ratio?
21. Would I make this exact same trade again?
The last question is the most important.
I review trades not to judge the outcome.
I review them to identify which decisions are worth repeating. This wave of Bitcoin $BTC and Ethereum $ETH continues to decline, so there's no rush to bottom-fish for now! The short-term approach is more cautious; the key is not just how much the price has dropped, but whether the support has returned during the decline. A few days ago, market leverage liquidations clearly increased spot selling pressure, but this cannot be directly equated with long-term capital withdrawal. What concerns me more is the repeated movement of ETF funds: Bitcoin saw short-term inflows followed by outflows, while Ethereum, after continuous inflows previously, experienced a week of outflows, showing that the capital momentum is clearly weaker than before. On the macro side, the Federal Reserve still keeps interest rates around the mid-3% range, so the environment for risk assets is not exactly friendly. Therefore, I won't chase the rally nor force long positions just because of overselling. I'll wait to see if Bitcoin ETFs have continuous net inflows again and if liquidation scales come down before considering whether it can reclaim the recently lost areas.I had to read a message several times before believing it: Tesla said the Roadster will be released on October 15th. After dragging on for so many years, they're finally going to lift the cover. At the Waco launch event, those who pre-ordered probably should switch to the second generation by now. The reaction on TSLAB to this news is quite subtle — it rose 5.5% over 7 days to a high of $377, but now the three major US stock indexes all closed down, with banks and tech stocks taking hits. This stock token is really pegged to the US stock market; it trades 24 hours, but once the US market closes at night, it easily loses its peg and jumps around on its own — during the day, the market makers aren't around, so if you accidentally buy it at night, you'll find the price is way off your expectation when the market opens. The Roadster news is just a story to listen to; don't rush with real money. I'll just sit back and watch the excitement. $TSLA ETH yesterday had a long bearish candle down to 2552, and today on the rebound no one dares to increase volume.
Yesterday's low was 2552, the high touched 2707 but didn't break through, closing at 2571. Today opened at 2570, the high was 2587, the low 2536, current price around 2573. Volume has shrunk.
Resistance remains between 2587–2707. If it breaks below 2536, it’s likely to see the 2500 area first.
In the short term, watch if 2570 can hold. If it doesn't hold, treat it as a rebound after a sharp drop and don't chase at this price. For those already holding, watch if 2536 can support; if not, consider reducing positions. $ETH $ETH Second entry is stuck too 😅
Longs got wiped this morning, but the pullback never really came. Now ETH is just moving sideways, and adding feels risky.
If the Fed minutes bring another hawkish surprise tonight, I’m staying defensive. No point getting caught in another waterfall.
#ETH #FOMC #Fed
#SepFOMCMinutesHikeWatch
#BTCWhalePressureEases
#SolanaStocksTop4.4B Sisters, the market has been sideways overnight, still holding at 70%!
There are still so many people going long!
This also confirms my guess.
$ETH indeed did not rise, it didn’t even break through 2600.
Yesterday was clearly the time of the meeting announcement, with an 80% probability of maintaining the interest rate in October, and only a 19.4% chance of a rate hike. Isn’t that good news?
So why didn’t it rise?
Actually, just look at the candlestick chart: the MA5, MA10, and MA20 lines are all stuck together, and the MACD is flat below the zero line, completely in a sideways, directionless state.
Clearly, the biggest macro risk has been eliminated, so why no rise?
Because the load is too heavy!
70% of retail investors across the network are going long, with a long-short ratio of 2.28.
If you were the market maker, would you be willing to spend real money to pump the price and carry these 70% retail investors?
Obviously not.
Big money isn’t charity.
Since the bad news has landed and the good news has been priced in but the price can’t be pushed up, the only choice is to shake out the market downward.
Only by blowing out retail investors’ leverage and completely washing out the bulls can cheap chips be acquired.
The current sideways movement is nothing more than the manipulator testing patience, waiting for everyone to relax, then suddenly hitting a big bearish candle to smash through the 2532 support below.
So chasing longs at this time really isn’t cost-effective.
Go with the trend and lightly try short positions, aiming for a shakeout pullback; the risk-reward ratio is actually better.
The target is first 2500, if broken then 2400.
Of course, don’t go heavy, and set stop losses properly.
The quieter the market, the closer the turning point. No rush, let the bullet fly a while.
$BTC
$ZEC
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $MET Haha, perfectly missed this wave of gains! The day before yesterday I was still considering whether to buy the dip, but in the end I gave up. Isn't that just missing out on a hundred million? Today's 40% rise is still driven by positive news; the $MET team launched DLMM Pro, which is basically a tech upgrade, expected to bring more users and revenue! This should be considered a medium-term positive, but personally, I dare not chase the high. On one hand, today's rise is too much, overdrawing gains for a long time to come; on the other hand, it has already spiked today, possibly a short-term peak. A wise person doesn't stand under a dangerous wall. If you really can't resist chasing, I suggest playing with just 5% of your principal. This kind of market is still more like gambling, don't fantasize about getting rich from it!Now my mind is full of cryptocurrency, full of how to trade and make money, but the 100u I put in has already lost 53u. Fortunately, I didn't try with a large amount of capital, but this loss ratio is still very shocking.$PUMP longs stare blankly at each other, already weak and powerless, shorts are happy, eyes like bronze cauldrons. If it goes down further, I'll leave After reading many stories from crypto influencers and experiencing various things myself, I have completely understood the phrase: slow is fast.
In 2021, I heavily invested over $90 in FIL, turning 500,000 into 120,000. In 2024, ORDI, YGG, STRK each turned over 200,000 into 10,000, meaning over 600,000 became 30,000. PORTAL, ACE, VOXEL turned over 200,000 into 10,000. ARB, OP turned 200,000 into 10,000. ACT turned over 300,000 into 20,000. This is the heavy price of chasing quick gains and trying to get rich fast with altcoins. After the bull market ended in 2025, I no longer heavily invest in any altcoins, at most $10,000, which is the limit.
As for staking and lending, I did it on exchanges, staking BTC and ETH to borrow USDT to continue heavy altcoin investments. Finally, during the tariff war on April 1, 2025, BTC and ETH plummeted. I cut losses on some ETH at 1500, still borrowed USDT to reduce loan-to-value ratio and liquidation price. This was also chasing speed, using on-exchange leverage to pursue a quick fortune, which knocked me down.
As for wild short-term trading, countless times I bought high and sold low within minutes, losing over 10,000 easily. This was also chasing speed and the thrill of gambling.
Now, I no longer heavily invest in altcoins or use leverage. Even if I do, I use off-exchange leverage and no longer do short-term trading. All of the above proves that slow is fast; in the end, wealth not only failed to accumulate but principal was quickly lost. Now most funds are held in BTC and ETH, with small amounts playing in altcoins. 10.8 BTC near 2580-2600, Qingcang Kong, defense at 2640, target 2530/2480
Those wanting to go long can wait near 2500 for stabilization, defense at 2460, target 2580/2650.
BTC 1H dropped from 2779 straight down to 2535, current price 2570 weak rebound, moving averages in bearish alignment.
2600-2630 is resistance above; once 2535 breaks again, the downside space opens up.
ETH ETF outflows for 6 consecutive days, US Treasury yields soaring above 5.3%, oil prices back above $100, Middle East situation continues to disrupt.
Today's market could see another hit at any time.
With 9 years of trading experience, when the market is at its most volatile, that's often when execution is truly tested.
Don't rush, the real gains are still ahead. $ETH $ZEC $SOL #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 In the same DEX sector, UNI and AERO now have completely different cost-performance ratios.
$UNI: On October 7th, it dropped 9.3% to 8.04, with a market cap falling to 5 billion, liquidations of 54 million, dropping harder than BTC and ETH.
But its fundamentals are not bad, with a cumulative transaction volume of 3.7 trillion, fees of 5.1 billion, and after reform, it earned 28.2 million and burned 100 million UNI from January to July. After a 30% pullback, large funds can consider buying in batches. However, rushing in when the market cap hit 8 billion amid hype is a different matter from slowly buying after the current pullback.
$AERO: Current price 0.688, market cap 686 million, only 1/7 of UNI's, up 32% in 30 days, up 53% in 90 days. Annualized revenue about 94 million, TVL 344 million, 30-day fees 16.32 million, protocol revenue 13.45 million.
The key is ve(3,3) distributes 100% of protocol revenue to veAERO holders, real cash flow. UNI does not pay dividends, only burns tokens. AERO's trading volume reaches about 88% of UNI's, but its market cap is only 1/7. This calculation makes it clear. Don't be a diode in investing; pouring cold water when it's hot is more useful than shouting buy-the-dip when it crashes.Samsung partners with Solana, 82 million devices to support stablecoins
Samsung just announced: Samsung Wallet and Samsung Pay will support USDC cross-border transfers on the Solana $SOL chain, starting from the last week of October, covering about 82 million Galaxy devices.
Why is this important?
First, no extra app download is needed. The USDC transfer feature is directly built into Samsung Wallet, so users don’t need to install a separate crypto app or manage private keys themselves.
Second, users can use it for cross-border remittances. Funds can be sent to qualified bank accounts in over 60 countries, arriving in the recipient’s local currency.
Third, CB is responsible for custody. The USDC in Samsung Wallet is custodied by CB, with Bastion providing the compliance framework.
Lily Liu, President of the Solana Foundation, said something very key: “We are witnessing stablecoins no longer just as crypto products, but starting to become a way for people to move money.”
Samsung has embedded stablecoins into the default wallet of 82 million phones. It’s not about playing with crypto; it’s about making crypto completely invisible to you. BTC yesterday had that long bearish candle down to 82753, and today on the rebound no one dares to increase volume.
Yesterday's low was 82753, the high touched 85857 but didn't break through, closing at 83458. Today opened at 83458, the high was 83683, the low 82916, current price around 83170. Volume has shrunk.
The range 83683–85857 above is still resistance. If it breaks below 82916, it’s easy to see 82753 first.
In the short term, watch if 83458 can hold. If it can’t hold now, treat it as a rebound after a sharp drop for digestion, don’t chase at this price. For those already holding, watch if 82916 can support; if it can’t, consider reducing positions. $BTC