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Chia plots consist of seven tables, with their format defined in mid-2020. The reference plotting tool included in version 1.0 was ChiaPoS, which used only one CPU core and generated uncompressed plots. When Chia's mainnet launched in March 2021, all Chia plots were created using the ChiaPoS plotting tool.
Later in 2021, the madMAx and BladeBit plotters were developed independently. These plotters fully utilized the resources of the plotting machines, making them significantly faster than the ChiaPoS plotter. For the first time, creating plots entirely in RAM became possible, eliminating the need for enterprise SSDs. However, these second-generation plotters still only created uncompressed plots.
By the end of 2022, a form of "lossy" plot compression had become apparent. Several different competing techniques were designed, involving omitting one or two tables or some of their data during the plotting process. The result was incomplete plots, with missing data added during farming. These techniques made plots 20-30% smaller than uncompressed plots, depending on the amount of data omitted during plotting.
Information
There are two basic types of compression—lossless compression and lossy compression. For a brief overview of their differences, see this article. Although compressed Chia plots do not actually use lossy compression, it can still serve as a useful analogy to explain how it works. I suddenly realized that I have unlimited time
I can even save 2000 yuan next month, which is about 300u, to diversify into another coin
I will have a position of over 2000u
Currently, I only have a position of 1000u, I must not waver, having gained the advantage, I absolutely cannot be stopped like based and get squeezed out again
Just wait, maybe by early next year, I can grow my principal to over 10000u
I will get better🚩Hallo, for everyone, I'm a veteran in the crypto world~ Chao-ge, today we're not talking about candlesticks 🧵. Let's look at the flow of money, the actions on the chain, and who is entering or exiting. 👉 First, capital flow: ETFs are turning from buying to selling. 1️⃣ Grayscale ZCSH saw a weekly net outflow of $93.56 million, with assets under management falling from a peak of 979 million to about $751 million. 2️⃣ On September 30, $30.25 million saw outflows, and on October 2, another $26.93 million flowed out. 3️⃣ The largest buyer, who once held nearly 3.5% of the total supply, is now retreating. 👉 Second, whale movement: Some are running, some are catching. 1️⃣ Some whales have withdrawn 24,706 ZEC from exchanges at an average price of $1,140, worth $28.17 million; 2️⃣ Another whale has accumulated about 22,960 ETH in one week, worth about $31.7 million. However, Garrett Jin, the largest on-chain short, currently has a floating loss of over $24 million and is still adding 7,000 short positions against the trend, with a liquidation price of $2,292. Both bulls and bears are increasing their holdings, and this chip battle is far from over 👉. Third, on-chain privacy pool: 1️⃣ The shielding pool now holds over 5 million ZEC, accounting for more than 30% of total supply, with vertical growth exceeding 1.2 million since early October. 2️⃣ However, Bitget hackers transferred about 2,746 ZEC (about $3.9 million) through the privacy pool, raising market concerns about the privacy sector. Fourth, key technical positions: 1233Midterm election countdown, Trump really can't afford to lose this battle.
Once Congress is lost, Jeffries will start issuing subpoenas on day one, investigating the family's crypto holdings, Little Donald's venture capital, and those energy tycoons who buy policies with donations. His net worth surged by 2.2 billion in two years, exploiting every regulatory loophole.
Crypto brothers know what this means—the crypto narrative heavily backed by the Trump family could change overnight. Regulatory crackdown plus political persecution, the market fears this kind of uncertainty the most.
Even worse, 89% of Americans think the government is terrible, a 20-year high. The two parties have long torn each other apart; they used to avoid family, now the whole family is under the microscope.
This isn't about policies; it's pure zero-sum survival. No one is managing the economy; it's all mutual destruction.
Do you think $BTC will crash first as a salute before the election, or take off riding the momentum? Maji's position setup is no longer just "playing contracts" so simply.
Currently, the total position in perpetual contracts is $147.1 million, with an overall leverage of 15.03x. The most striking thing is: the available margin has gone directly to zero.
Let's first look at the two biggest cards.
$ETH is directly leveraged with $98.47 million, 36,600 coins, opened at $2688.92, currently floating profit of about $123,000, but has already paid $1.2265 million in funding fees. This basically represents the largest directional risk in the entire account.
The second largest is **$BTC, $29.24 million**, 345 coins, opened at $84,727.7, currently a small loss of $13,300. 40x full position, liquidation price at $65,731.
Additionally, there is $HYPE with $15.68 million, currently a small loss of $20,400; $PUMP with $3.765 million, which is actually the strongest position, floating profit of $260,600, +69.23%.
So the interesting part of this position setup is:
$PUMP is making money, $BTC/$HYPE are slightly under pressure, while the real heavy artillery is on $ETH.
What Maji fears most now is not normal volatility, but a sudden rapid market crash. Because the position is too large, leverage is not low, and there is no margin buffer left.
To put it plainly:
Now it's not about who can predict correctly, but who can withstand the next big wave of volatility. Regarding $PUMP, I’d rather first ask a somewhat uncomfortable question: Are we seeing a trend now, or a trend that has already been priced in prematurely?
Currently, the 1-hour volume is only 0.43 times the average volume of the previous 20 bars, with both 1-hour and 4-hour showing strength. The direction seems consistent, but participation is low; a breakout without volume support often requires the next candle to confirm.
The current price is 0.006314, about 14.73% away from the 1-hour support at 0.005384, and about 2.72% from resistance at 0.006486. Here, it’s not a lack of directional guesses, but a lack of sustained movement after the price truly breaks through the boundary.
The direction of $PUMP looks smooth, but the volume is casting doubt on this move.
For now, my conclusion is only conditional. My observation line is clear: only by reclaiming and holding above 0.006486 can the short-term initiative be considered regained; if it breaks below 0.005384, attention should shift to the 4-hour support at 0.005097. If pressure continues above, the 4-hour resistance at 0.006486 is just a distant reference for now, not a preset target.
To keep tracking this segment continuously, just remember 0.006486 and 0.005384. I will come back in the next round to check if the market has overturned this judgment.
When direction consistency and insufficient volume conflict, which do you trust more?
The market is volatile; the above is only an observation of the market and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Coin Circle NiuNiu.A 0.16% margin rate is like tap dancing on the edge of the Grim Reaper's blade; if I don't lock in profits soon, tonight will definitely be a sleepless night! Listen to advice, close half the position, save your life!
Brothers, looking at the 0.16% in my account, cold sweat just broke out on my back. From 0.39% and 0.29% before, dropping all the way down to 0.16%, I’ve really been pushing myself step by step into a dead end.
Position update:
BCH: The eternal charge! Full position 10X leverage, entry at 261.02, mark price 318.36, unrealized profit +178.72U, ROI as high as +180.11%! From being crushed to now nearly doubling, this "living on the edge of death" was truly a life-or-death fight. Position size 992U, margin only 99U, decisively closing half first! $BCH
SOL: Steady and solid second place! Full position 20X leverage, entry at 115.63, mark price 120.13, unrealized profit +118.45U, ROI +74.58%. Position size 3175U, margin 158U. Same discipline applied, locking in half the profits for safety. $SOL
$ETH: The eternal drag. 5X full position still underwater, unrealized loss -21.46U (-4.90%). Forget it, let it be. $ETH
To speak frankly: the three orders combined only have about 275U unrealized profit left, but a 0.16% margin rate is a horror story. What does this mean? If the overall market drops by 0.16%, my few hundred U in profits and principal will instantly go to zero! Not even a second to react!
I used to shout "living on the edge of death" every day, waking up at midnight to watch for forced liquidations, making money but more anxious than losing. This profit is enough; greed will only lead to being taught a lesson by the market. Today, I won’t be stubborn, decisively closing half the position and putting real money safely in my pocket!
Reducing position size, raising the margin rate, finally able to sleep soundly tonight. The remaining base position, I’ll still fight for the stars and the sea.
Brothers, do you think I did the right thing by reducing my position to save my life? The market is still rising; did you lock in profits today or keep holding on? Let me know you’re safe in the comments!
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 85,000 surprisingly became the accumulation zone for whales.
Santiment monitoring shows that in the past 10 days, whale wallets holding between 10 and 10,000 BTC increased their holdings by 41,025 BTC. The total holdings surged to 13.64 million BTC, accounting for 67.93% of the circulating supply, hitting a six-week high.
But what are retail investors doing at the same time?
Santiment's original words: small wallets holding less than 0.01 BTC are "roughly flat" — neither buying nor watching. On the ETF side, last week Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of $82.9 million, shrinking 97% compared to the previous week's $2.39 billion.
Whales are scooping up, ETFs are cooling off, and retail investors are lying flat.
This kind of chip concentration from weak hands to strong hands has happened several times in history: March 2020, November 2022, January 2023. What happened afterward, I don't need to say.
In the past two weeks, BTC was hit down three times when touching 87,000, but each time after the drop, the lows were raised. 83,000 is the bottom line, and the whales' cost zone is around here. Retail investors are not buying, ETFs are slowing down, which precisely indicates this rally hasn't reached the stage where everyone is FOMO.
The real top is when even the security guard downstairs is asking how to buy coins. Clearly, it's not now.
Below 85,000, I will continue holding spot. No leverage, no chasing highs.
$BTC $ETH PUMP has again seen large capital movements, with an address that had been dormant for over a year suddenly active.
On October 4th, according to Lookonchain monitoring, the address "netherlol" bought 383.34 million PUMP tokens after being inactive for more than a year, worth about $2.4 million.
At the same time, a newly created wallet GnZqfY withdrew 189.22 million PUMP from MEXC 7 hours ago, valued at about $1.18 million.
Looking at these two actions together, the focus is not on the single $2.4 million transaction, but on the old address re-entering the market combined with a large withdrawal from a new wallet.
This suggests that short-term capital competition for PUMP may be heating up.
However, large on-chain purchases do not necessarily mean a price increase, especially for Meme coins; after whales build positions, high volatility or quick profit-taking can also occur.
The key in trading is to see if PUMP can absorb this capital with volume. If the price rises while on-chain funds continue to flow in, the short-term trend may strengthen; if there are large purchases but the price struggles to rise, be wary of capital using the hype to offload.
My approach remains one sentence: track the capital, do not blindly follow trades.
Whale buying is a signal, not a reason to buy; the real opportunity is when capital, volume, and price resonate together.
Will PUMP see another rally because whales are re-entering this time?
$PUMP Brothers, $SNDK is plunging along with the storage sector, and the 1717 level is somewhat critical.
$SNDK $1,717
SanDisk closed down 3.79% on Friday at $1,719.99, hitting an intraday low of $1,713.47. Since the September 22 high of $1,909, it has retraced over 10%. The direct trigger for this drop is the collective crash in the storage sector—Seagate and Western Digital both fell over 10%. Market rumors say Toshiba will invest 60 billion yen to double HDD supply, spreading panic across the entire storage track.
Citi reiterates buy, but insiders keep selling
Citi analyst Atif Malik reiterated a "buy" rating on $SNDK after Micron's earnings report, maintaining a target price of $2,100. The core logic is that NAND supply tightness may continue until 2028, and AI data centers' demand for KV Cache to SSD conversion will keep driving growth. But one signal to watch: insider Bernard Shek sold 600 shares at an average price of $1,734.94 on October 1, cashing out about $1.04 million.
Technically, $1,700 is a short-term key battleground. The 50-day moving average is at $1,545, the 200-day moving average at $1,438, and the long-term uptrend remains intact. The Q1 earnings report on October 29 is the next catalyst.
Let's discuss in the comments: Is this panic in the storage sector an overreaction or a market top? 👇
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 $SAND controlling such a large position and consolidating while paying fees is really not easy. The main reason is that both longs and shorts are sizable. The main force can consider controlling the spot market a bit, widening the price gap between spot and futures, pushing the fee to -1%, then switching to a two-hour settlement, continuing to consolidate for a day to force a short squeeze, then pushing the fee to -1% again to switch to a one-hour settlement, allowing external funds to gather and drive the price up to force a short squeeze. When the long positions and support are sufficient, they can directly clear out in one wave.Any brothers playing this coin? Roll back to 0.005 for me! I’m not letting go this time! 😤
---
This coin went crazy earlier, look at the 15-minute candlestick chart, from 0.005091 it surged all the way to 0.006480, a nearly 30% short-term increase.
A typical Meme pump coin, all hype-driven. Now after hitting 0.006480, it’s starting to stagnate. MA5 (0.006252), MA10 (0.006257), and MA20 (0.006286) are still below, but the upward momentum is clearly weakening. The resistance at 0.0065 is hard to break through in one go.
Coins like this rise fast and fall fast. Once the hype fades and the main players pull out, it can crash back to its original state in minutes.
【Trading Plan】
· Direction: Short
· Stop Loss: 0.0066
· Targets: 0.0058 → 0.0052 → 0.0050
Roll back to 0.005 for me! I’m not backing down this time, let’s see if your hype is stronger or my short position is.
$PUMP
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 G7 is releasing 100 million barrels of crude oil to put out the fire, can BTC benefit from this? 👊
The Middle East situation remains unsettled, with the Strait of Hormuz hanging in the balance, making global energy supply very tense. When oil and fuel prices rise, ordinary people can't bear it, and the G7 (US, UK, France, Germany, Japan) can't sit still either. On October 2, they held a video conference and decided to coordinate through the IEA to release up to 100 million barrels of crude oil and refined products over the next four months, prioritizing diesel release in the first 20 days.
This move is basically firefighting. Europe must be extremely tight on diesel, otherwise they wouldn't prioritize releasing diesel. In the short term, this 100 million barrels will definitely help suppress oil prices. With energy prices down, inflation pressure can ease a bit, which is good news for the Federal Reserve, allowing the tightening of rate hikes to loosen slightly.
For the crypto community, this is a somewhat positive signal. With inflation expectations cooling, US Treasury yields tend to fall, giving BTC, a liquidity-sensitive risk asset, some breathing room. But the Middle East is too unpredictable; if conflicts escalate, oil prices will surge again, making this 100 million barrels just a drop in the bucket.
My judgment is that this is a short-term positive for $BTC recovery, but don't expect a one-sided big rally; keep an eye on US Treasury yields and geopolitical developments.
Comment below, do you think this release of crude oil reserves can hold down oil prices? $CL $BZ 🙈#美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 How was I liquidated?
2050-2028=22
22/2050=0.01073170732
Leverage 50, a 1% drop, shouldn't it be losing half?
How come it was fully liquidated?
Is anyone else experiencing this?BTC 84,813｜84K holds, 85K is still waiting
After BTC surged to 87K and then pulled back, it has returned to hovering around 84K. This position is somewhat critical now: 84K is defending, 85K is waiting for a breakout, and 87K remains a clear resistance left behind.
For contracts, first watch 84K–85K. If 84K holds and climbs back above 85K, there is a short-term chance to test 86K–87K again; but if 84K fails, the price will most likely return to around 83K to seek support.
The funding side has not yet shown a clear weakening that would break the structure, but the previous continuous 9-day net inflow of BTC ETF has already been interrupted, so whether this rebound can continue still depends on whether the price can reclaim 85K.
Now it’s not about whether BTC will rebound, but whether 84K can hold and 85K can be broken.
This is only a market view and does not constitute investment advice. $BTC #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 In September, a group of Bitcoin addresses that had been dormant for over a decade quietly sold $457 million.
5419 $BTC, 94 transactions. On September 6 alone, 1620 were transferred out. Wallets from 2016 moved 1556, those from 2013 moved 888, and 57 transactions came from addresses dormant for 12 to 16 years.
Their cost basis is unimaginably low. Mined in 2010, almost zero; bought in 2013, just a few dozen dollars. Now at 84000, selling even a little yields thousands of times profit.
Why move now?
Not panic, but an orderly retreat. In September, BTC surged past 86000, and long-term holders have the highest position density between 84000-85000. They feel this is a good selling point—not the peak, just good enough.
Don’t ask if the bull market is still on. Ask yourself: someone who held for 16 years is slowly selling to you now. Is the future they see the same as the one you see?
The above is compiled from on-chain data and does not constitute any trading advice.
$ETH The most frustrating part of trading contracts is when you leave the market, but your emotions remain tied to your positions. Watching unrealized profits while eating, checking prices in the middle of the night, rushing to recover losses after a stop loss, and missing out feels worse than losing money. You talk about trading strategies, but inside you’re hoping for a turnaround. Then, at some point, you suddenly get lucky. You keep hitting the right direction, your account doubles repeatedly, and the candlesticks seem to speak a language. Breakouts and pullbacks you couldn’t understand before now feel obvious at a glance. You start to wonder: Have I really found the holy grail of trading? This kind of "inspiration" might come from accumulated experience: the more charts you’ve seen and reviewed, the faster you recognize patterns and the more decisively you act. But it might also be that the market just happened to fit your style, and leverage amplified your gains, making short-term tailwinds seem like stable skill. The most subtle change is that you start using profits to prove every trade was right. You make money on casual trades, so you stop waiting; you recover losses holding positions, so you think stop losses are unnecessary. Continuous profits give confidence but may quietly dismantle discipline. If you want to know if you’ve truly improved, don’t just look at how many times your account has doubled. Look at returns after fees and funding costs, look at maximum drawdowns, see if profits rely on one or two heavy positions, and most importantly, see if the same rules still hold when the market changes. The holy grail mindset I understand is turning "I feel it will rise" into a conditional, falsifiable, and reviewable judgment. Allow for mistakes, be able to bear them, and know when to stop if there’s no opportunity. Have you ever had that phase of suddenly "understanding the market" and making continuous profits? Later, did it prove to be a real skill breakthrough or just a lucky market tailwind? #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 ETH current price is 2693, 24-hour high is 2697. I've been watching the OKX order book; today it's sticking close to the ceiling, not giving any chance for a pullback entry～
A couple of days ago it was dithering around 2650, but today it suddenly perked up. The 2700 round number is right ahead, and ETH is showing some strength this time.
I glanced at the order book; buy and sell orders above 2690 aren't very thick, but the price is holding firm, and the selling pressure has been eaten up cleanly. Volume numbers weren't given specifically, but judging by the trend, it's more active than the past few days. Funds are clearly tilting towards ETH, while BTC is moving sideways around 84800. ETH seems to want to make its own move. However, 2700 is a hurdle; if it breaks through without volume, it can be pulled back anytime. Don't chase just because it's near the high.
Key levels for $ETH I marked:
Support: 2670-2680, as long as it doesn't break on a pullback, it's still strong; if it breaks, look at 2650.
Resistance: 2700-2720, only with volume to break above can we look at 2750-2800; if it can't hold, expect a pullback after the spike.
My plan: If it breaks above 2700 with volume, I'll lightly follow in, stop loss below 2670, target 2750; if it hits 2700 without volume and turns down, I'll reduce some short-term positions instead.The once highly popular LRT projects are gradually transforming.
EtherFi appears to be a relatively successful project in this transformation.
Currently, EtherFi's weekly revenue reaches 700,000 to 900,000 USD, with its U card EtherFi Cash contributing nearly 60%.
Recently, EtherFi Cash's daily transaction volume exceeded 7 million USD, setting a new record.
EtherFi is gradually moving towards a cash flow + token buyback type of project.BTC 85K held steady, shorts turned into fuel: 87.3K is the new magnet position
Conclusion first: 0013 just said "short-term momentum burnout," and BTC immediately refuted it with action—the price surged to 87,239 on October 2, then pulled back but did not fall below 84K, instead reclaiming 85K. Two forces behind this: shorts were squeezed into fuel (about $122 million in short liquidations within 24h after breaking 85K), and ETF "Uptober" had a net inflow of $103 million on its first day. CoinGlass liquidation heatmap shows that after breaking 85K, the new magnet position moved above 87,300. Strategy update: the 86.5K short defense line is now the "long-short battleground," no directional bets, only "magnet realization."
What happened (OKX data, retrieved 10-04 09:00):
- On October 2, BTC peaked at 87,239 then pulled back; on October 4, it broke above 85,000 again (OKX 85,015), current price 84,750, price hugging the 85K line
- Breaking 85K triggered about $122 million in short liquidations within 24h; short covering itself became buying pressure, a classic "break resistance → short liquidation → forced buyback" structure
- ETF "Uptober" had a net inflow of $103 million on day one; September nonfarm payrolls added only 29,000 (expected 90,000), unemployment rate 4.2%, October rate hike probability dropped from 70% to 13%
- 1H: MA20 (84,721) closely follows price, price returned above MA20; cycle high 87,239 (10-02), cycle low 82,726 (09-29)
- Pressure remains: US 10Y Treasury yield back to 5.26%, Dollar Index at 102 (18-month high); Nasdaq hit all-time high, risk appetite warming, but incremental funds favor US stocks more
Positions:
- 87.3K: liquidation magnet zone—the last stronghold for shorts, magnet realization is the climax of short squeezes and the easiest place to get trapped chasing highs
- 85K line: long-short watershed—holding above confirms bullish narrative, losing it looks back to 83–84K
- 82–83K: last lower defense line, losing it targets 80K
Trading plan:
- Long: hold above 85K line (1H pullback not breaking, no downward momentum) → go long; stop loss below 84K; target 87K → exit at 87.3K magnet zone, no stubbornness
- Short: only consider fake breakout/stagnation at 87.3–88K → light short test; stop loss above 88.5K; target 85K
- No trade: avoid chasing orders in 85–87K mid-range, weekend liquidity thin, chasing up or down is giving away money
- Risk control: 24h total network liquidations $291 million, long-short double kill, indicating both sides are under pressure at this level; halve position size; 87.3K is a magnet, not a promise, reversal can happen anytime after short squeeze realizationBTC and BCH, ZEC,
have been consolidating sideways at high levels,
there's no profit in going long or short,
so market funds are temporarily staying out.
Without volatility, market sentiment remains stable,
funds will choose assets with high volatility,
so today let's just trade some altcoins,
cut losses quickly,
don't stubbornly hold losing positions, and take profits quickly.$FIL — hurry up and make your move. 👀 I have a feeling a larger move could be coming for FIL. Even over the weekend, the price managed to push up to around $1.08, briefly reaching $1.077 before losing momentum and turning lower. At this point, I’m not convinced the upside has much fuel left. The pre-halving narrative may already be largely priced in, with roughly ten days remaining until the event. The key level I’m watching now is $0.95. If $FIL breaks below this area and confirms the move wOKB Dollar-Cost Averaging Log: Daily 100U, Day 343
$OKB Price: $120.35
This volatile market isn't much to watch, just keep doing what you should. Historically, October generally sees gains, and pullbacks are buying opportunities. Otherwise, a few months from now the year will be over. Now just waiting for OKB to take off.
Funds Injected Today:
100 USDT | Coins Acquired: 0.83 OKB
Total Funds Injected:
34425.13 USDT (Daily DCA: 34300U + Others: 125.13) | Coins Acquired: 368.00 OKB | Average Cost: 93.47 USDT | Profit: +9851.35 USDT (+28.71%)
No new major regulatory or security-level "big events," market core remains BTC fluctuating around $85K; BTC ETF maintains slight net inflow, while ETH ETF continues outflow.
Overall: BTC high-level volatility, ETF buying cools down, BTC/ETH capital divergence, industry news relatively quiet over the weekend.
#DollarCostAveraging #OKB #BTCSpotETFBackToInflow #ETHCapitalContinuesOutflow The weekend is really tough, no significant market movement, $BTC price is just hovering above the Bollinger middle band. The three bands have started to flatten and converge after previously spreading downward, a typical consolidation convergence signal. After rebounding from the low of 83,826, there was no trend breakout; instead, it has been trading sideways within the bands, with volume clearly shrinking continuously, tightening more and more. Most likely, there will be a directional choice later, but it hasn't been made yet, probably will wait until tomorrow.
The Bollinger middle band has now become the first support, with the hourly level showing a slightly bullish but weak structure. Once it falls back below the middle band and breaks below the lower band, the consolidation pattern is likely to be broken, retesting the lows. The upper band is also gradually pressing down. To break upward, volume must increase and close with a solid body above 85,000 for it to be considered a valid breakout; otherwise, it is very easy to encounter resistance at the upper band and fall back, continuing to sweep back and forth.On the weekend of October 4th, BTC is currently trading around $85,000, with a 24-hour increase of about 0.27%. On the surface, the price is steadily holding near $85,000, but this weekend feels unusually quiet.
Looking back at the rhythm over the past two days: BTC was hammered down from $87,200 to $83,800, dropping nearly $3,400 in a single day, then spent the whole day oscillating between $84,000 and $85,000. Early this morning, it briefly broke above $85,000, but Daan Crypto Trades put it bluntly: "Failed to break above $85,000; after bulls were squeezed in the evening, it returned to the range. It's the weekend, so not expecting much action before Monday." This is very true, as weekend liquidity is thin, and the selling pressure above $85,000 has not yet been fully absorbed.
A bigger variable comes from the institutional side. Citi raised its 12-month BTC target price directly from $82,000 to $113,000, citing the recovery of ETF inflows and an improved macro environment. But Glassnode poured cold water on this, noting that net inflows to spot ETFs have clearly declined from the high levels seen in late September, selling pressure remains in the $85,000 to $85,500 range, and overall trading volume is still low, so the sustainability of the rally remains to be seen.
My personal view is: this is a typical "undecided direction" phase. $85,000 is the short-term dividing line between bulls and bears; if $84,000 is lost, the next support is $83,000. Let's wait and see, and make decisions after liquidity returns on Monday. $BTC $ETH $XAUT 140U Challenge 10000U｜Day 178
Initial Principal: 140 USDT
Current Total Assets: 22832.31 CNY
Today's Profit: +76.19 (+0.33%)
All-time High: 22888.45 CNY
ESP｜Current Price 0.11274
Key Support: 0.10807
Hello everyone, here is the latest real-time market analysis.
The early session saw a rapid surge breaking the dull weekend consolidation deadlock. ESP violently spiked to 0.11717 before quickly pulling back, with a long upper shadow on the hourly candle standing out. After the spike, I chose to take profits at the high position to secure gains.
From the moving averages perspective, the short-term EMA21 is turning upward, with funds launching a raid based on news. However, the long upper shadow indicates heavy selling pressure above, with bulls consuming a large amount of momentum at once. This rally looks more like a short-term speculative raid rather than a trend reversal.
Many were triggered by the sharp rise during the session, chasing high impulsively. Sharp rallies tend to amplify human greed; seeing the straight-line surge, people fear missing out and rush in recklessly, often just catching the chips sold by the main force.📰 【BofA Warning: Current Market Conditions Highly Concentrated in AI Sector, Very Similar to the Eve of the 2000 Dot-com Bubble Peak】
BlockBeats reports that on October 4, Michael Hartnett, Chief Investment Strategist at BofA Securities, stated in the latest episode of "Flow Show" that the current U.S. stock market structure is highly similar to the period just before the 2000 tech bubble peak. In the six months leading up to the March 2000 peak, the tech sector rose over 40%, the consumer staples sector fell 30%, and all sectors except tech and telecom declined; the current market similarly shows a divergence pattern with AI and large tech stocks rising alone while other stocks are under pressure. The market is going long AI assets represented by the Nasdaq 100 index and Mag7, while shorting those with low AI correlation...
Seeing this data feels quite tangible; right now, funds are all crowded into a few narratives, and other sectors are clearly bleeding. On-chain is the same story—hot money only recognizes the leaders, and the long tail is ignored. This structure looks comfortable but can shatter at the slightest touch, so be cautious with leverage. Are your recent positions concentrated or diversified? 👇👇👇
$BTC $ETH $CL Currently, $ETH is still fluctuating below 2700, and the non-farm payroll data from the day before yesterday only had a 1.11 amplitude, with a high of 2777.83 and a low crushed down to 2648. My current average price is 2685.11, and the current price is starting to slowly climb, like an old lady climbing stairs, I won’t say the next sentence.
$PUMP has also been open for a few days, I don’t even remember, it seems I added positions 3-4 times, and the average price was pulled up to 0.0057577. I might consider adding the last position. $BTC 1.52 million $BTC are concentrated in the 83,000 to 84,000 range, with a concentration rate of 12%, just a breath away from the warning line.
Honestly, I usually just glance at this kind of data and move on.
It's not that I don't believe it, but chip concentration only tells you "there are many people," it doesn't tell you "which way they're going."
What really made me take a closer look was another set: a similar combination appeared on August 1st, where 1.68 million were stacked at the 62,000 position, with a concentration rate of 12.9%.
Then, in 17 days, it went from 60,000 to 80,000.
So is this history repeating itself or another false alarm?
I don't know.
All I know is that the phrase "increased volatility" means completely different things for spot holders and for those using leverage.
For the former, it's at most uncomfortable; for the latter, it could mean getting wiped out.
What do you think—will it break upwards or downwards this time?
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 #SEC加密资产托管新规，拟放宽机构自托管限制 $BTC Four coins stuck at the threshold together—this is the easiest place to misjudge. Do you think this is the "eve of a synchronized breakout"? I watched all night, and the more I looked, the more it felt less like an opening and more like a mid-break during a divergence phase. The price didn't crash, but it didn't really provide direction. At times like this, it's easiest to be fooled by the illusion of "almost breaking out." Let's look at the facts first. BTC is at 84,753, needs to reclaim 84,800, then hold above 85,028. ETH is at 2,691, with 2,689 below and 2,695 above. SOL is at 120.11, 120.00 is the floor it must hold, and 120.40 is the gate. ZEC is at 1,309; it needs to recover 1,314 before 1,318 can be discussed. The key difference lies in position. BTC and ZEC are still below the short-term moving average cluster, indicating weak recovery; ETH and SOL are closer to bullish support, with relatively complete structures. So this is not four coins moving at once, but rather a quiet stratification between strength and weakness. Looking down at the risk line. BTC fell below 84,550, ETH lost 2,681, SOL broke 119.84, ZEC dropped 1,300. Any one of these is broken down and the pullback pressure will immediately amplify. Conversely, whoever can first reclaim the upper resistance will have more convincing recovery results. What I care more about is this transmission layer: if SOL and ETH stabilize first, it means risk appetite remains and funds are willing to stay in high BEIn short: In the crypto world, asset ownership isn't based on balances, but on private keys. When you see 1 BTC in your account at an exchange, you think it's your asset. But strictly speaking, that's just a line of numbers in the exchange's database. If the private key isn't in your hands, the highest control over the coin isn't yours. This isn't a metaphor—it's a lesson countless people have paid with real money. First layer: What is "your coin"? In traditional finance, "owning" is a legal concept. You have a property certificate for buying a house, bank records for deposits, and stocks for registration and settlement. Ownership is protected by the legal system, and if something goes wrong, you can go to court. In the crypto world, "owning" is a mathematical fact. You hold the private key, you can generate a legal signature, and all network nodes recognize the transfer. If you don't have the private key, you can't control the asset, regardless of how much you "own" on the interface. So the accurate translation of "Not your keys, not your coins" isn't "No private key, no coins," but rather: Without a private key, your control over the asset is incomplete. What you see is the IOU given to you by the exchange, not the on-chain ownership. Layer Two: Who actually owns the exchange's money? You deposit coins into the exchange, but the exchange doesn't lock the coins under your name. It collects everyone's coins into its own wallet for unified management. The balance in your account is a ledger recorded by the exchange. What does this mean? If the exchange misappropriates assets, is hacked, or goes bankrupt or liquidated, your coins may not be recovered. FTX is the most typical exampleBitcoin is currently just testing patience, watching those support levels fluctuate is indeed boring. The current funds are very smart, they have no intention of touching those zombie tokens at all; instead, they focus on some strong coins within the SOL ecosystem or a few niche infra tokens. As soon as there's a bit of buying pressure, you can immediately see good volume follow-up.
Although we are not entering the market now, the watchlist needs to be dynamically updated. Focus exclusively on those tokens that can develop independent trends even with shrinking volume. These tokens are most likely to have the strongest explosive power once the overall market warms up. Don't just stare blankly at the market; pay more attention to which tokens have continuously increasing turnover rates—that's where the opportunity lies.
$DOGE $PEPE $WIF This weekend, I made one trade.
Last week's non-farm payroll market,
Bitcoin still hasn't broken through the high point,
so it's still a difficult mode market.
Meanwhile, ETF funds are still overall in a net inflow state,
I no longer dare to short Bitcoin.
So I shorted other targets whose patterns better fit a bearish structure,
one is SHIB, and the others are ASTER and DOGE.
The main reasons for not shorting Bitcoin are as follows:
1. Bitcoin's ETF funds show net inflows, and last week there was only one day of net outflow; no news is more important than funds. News only affects temporarily, funds affect the underlying logic.
2. Shorting the above two altcoins mainly because recently altcoins have been performing poorly, while Bitcoin is relatively strong. If Bitcoin really breaks through later, it will most likely be a bloodsucking move for Bitcoin, and altcoins will still struggle to rise.
3. Technically, Bitcoin still has a strong bullish structure. Unless there is a big bearish candle that changes the current 4-hour bullish structure.
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% Analyst Murphy tweeted that BTC daily candles have consecutively closed as doji stars, with rare upper and lower wicks. Data shows that on August 1, two chip columns appeared in the $62,000-$63,000 range, totaling about 1.68 million BTC, with a chip concentration of 12.9% at that time; on October 3, two prominent chip columns also appeared in the $83,000-$84,000 range, totaling about 1.52 million BTC, with chip concentration rising to 12%, and the upper warning zone is close at hand. After this data combination appeared on August 1, BTC rose from $60,000 to $80,000 in just 17 days. Murphy believes that chip accumulation and rising concentration do not indicate a definite direction, but the probability of "increased volatility" is rising. #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC 10.4 Market Outlook｜BTC & ETH & ZEC & XAU & XAG 4-Hour Cycle
4-hour Bollinger Bands Overall Market Summary: After a round of decline for BTC, ETH, ZEC, gold, and silver, the 4-hour level has gradually stopped falling and entered a low-level consolidation and recovery phase. The upper Bollinger Band continues to move downward, creating resistance, while the lower band provides short-term support. Most assets are trading below the middle Bollinger Band, with weak rebound strength overall and no strong reversal signals. Holding the lower Bollinger Band support maintains range-bound consolidation; if the lower band is effectively broken, the downtrend will continue. Rebounds face resistance at the middle and upper Bollinger Bands, with priority given to expecting a pullback. The market should be treated as range-bound without blindly chasing one-sided moves.
BTC
Current Price: 84792.3
Long/Short Strategy
Short: Enter near 86000-86200 on stagnation, stop loss at 86450, targets 84652, 83177
Long: Enter near 83200-83400 on stable dip, stop loss at 82900, targets 84652, 86127
ETH
Current Price: 2692.91
Long/Short Strategy
Short: Enter near 2730-2735 on stagnation, stop loss at 2758, targets 2693, 2652
Long: Enter near 2650-2655 on stable dip, stop loss at 2625, targets 2693, 2733
ZEC
Current Price: 1305.31
Long/Short Strategy
Short: Enter near 1345-1350 on stagnation, stop loss at 1382, targets 1347, 1255
Long: Enter near 1255-1260 on stable dip, stop loss at 1222, targets 1347, 1438
XAU Gold
Current Price: 4144.60
Long/Short Strategy
Short: Enter near 4160-4200 on stagnation, stop loss at 4226, targets 4161, 4124
Long: Enter near 4124-4130 on stable dip, stop loss at 4098, targets 4161, 4199
XAG Silver
Current Price: 60.49
Long/Short Strategy
Short: Enter near 60.70-61.45 on stagnation, stop loss at 61.75, targets 60.73, 59.98
Long: Enter near 59.95-60.00 on stable dip, stop loss at 59.65, targets 60.73, 61.48
Core Idea: After a sharp drop, the 4-hour chart is in a consolidation and bottoming phase with no clear reversal signals. The overall trend remains weak. Strictly rely on the upper and lower Bollinger Bands for range trading, waiting for an effective breakout before following the trend.
Risk Warning: The above is only technical market analysis and does not constitute any investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; please manage risk carefully.Why does the price drop as soon as you buy and rise as soon as you sell? Because you always chase orders when the fast and slow lines diverge.
The fast and slow lines are like two rubber bands; if stretched too far apart, they will definitely rebound, and only when they stick together can you choose a direction. I used to lose 200,000 U because I kept rushing in when the rubber bands were stretched to the longest, and every time I got slapped back by the rebound.
Now I only make one type of trade: when the fast and slow lines stick together for more than 3 days and the price suddenly breaks out with volume. BTC is currently at 84800, resistance at 84998, support at 84682, exactly stuck between the two lines.
The operation is simple: a small position of 5000 U, go long on a breakout above 84998, go short if it falls below 84682, set stop loss 50 points outside the sticking range, never hold a position without a stop loss.
Remember: don’t reach out when the rubber band isn’t tight; wait for the moment it loosens to grab it. $BTC $BTC #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #The US-Iran situation remains tense, G7 to release up to 100 million barrels of reserves
G7 announced that over the next 4 months, it will coordinate through the IEA to release up to 100 million barrels of crude oil and refined product reserves, focusing on diesel release in the first 20 days. If the energy crisis continues, diesel reserves will be further increased. The trigger remains the shipping crisis in the Strait of Hormuz, with the market constantly fearing supply disruptions caused by blocked shipping routes, driving up global inflation.
This reserve release aims to precisely suppress the risk premium on oil prices. In the short term, releasing reserves can ease spot shortages expectations and curb rapid crude price surges. But the essence must be clear: releasing reserves is a short-term emergency measure, not a change in long-term supply and demand. If the Middle East conflict escalates further and the shipping route is truly blocked, the 100 million barrels can only buy time, not solve the crisis.
The logic transmitted to the crypto market is very clear. Oil prices are an inflation barometer; overheated oil prices force the Federal Reserve to maintain a hawkish monetary policy, suppressing crypto valuations. If reserve releases stabilize crude oil and ease inflation pressure, expectations for rate cuts will rise again, benefiting the mid-term outlook for BTC and ETH.
But do not be blindly optimistic. The market is currently in a game of tug-of-war: on one side is the G7's ammunition, on the other is the Middle East's situation that could worsen at any time. The tug-of-war intensifies, making short-term volatility inevitable. Until the geopolitical situation settles, any one-sided bets carry huge risks. Maintain a range-bound mindset and wait for clear signals from the situation. The most outstanding assets in history have spent about 96% of their lifetime below their all-time highs.
Think about that again.
Bitcoin is the same; most of the time it just grinds back and forth, moves sideways, or drops. Holding it can be really frustrating.
Then, without any warning, it suddenly shoots up in a few weeks, hits a new high, and then calms down again.
That 96% is just waiting and enduring; the real money is made in that 4%.
So, hold on tight, don’t let go.
$BTC US employment data falls short of expectations, BTC surges sharply in the short term
🚨 US September nonfarm payrolls "surprise on the downside," BTC sees a strong rally!
US September nonfarm employment increased by only 29,000, far below the market expectation of 85,000; unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and wages increased by just 0.1% month-over-month.
More notably, employment data for the previous two months were also revised downward:
📉 July: +21,000 → -10,000
📉 August: +162,000 → +133,000
A total downward revision of about 60,000 jobs over two months, signaling a cooling labor market.
The market's initial reaction was quite direct:
🟠 BTC: Within about 5 minutes after the data release, it surged from $86,450 to around $87,230, an increase of over 3%.
⚡ Within 1 hour, approximately $27.5 million in short positions were liquidated in the crypto market, including about $20.5 million in BTC shorts.
Why did the market respond positively?
The core logic is: weaker employment → reduced pressure for the Fed to continue raising rates → US Treasury yields and the dollar come under pressure → BTC and other risk assets receive short-term liquidity support.
Currently, market expectations for the Fed to maintain rates unchanged in October have clearly risen, with the probability reaching about 77% at one point.
However, this should not be simply interpreted as "weak nonfarm payrolls = BTC must rise."
Monthly employment data can be quite volatile; the real determinants of the Fed's future path will also depend on CPI, core inflation, upcoming employment data, and Fed officials' statements.Filecoin uses content addressing and storage proofs to provide AI data with security that ensures it is "not tampered with and provably still present"; privacy mainly relies on pre-storage encryption, key management, minimal exposure, and retrieval authentication—the protocol guarantees verifiable storage, while confidentiality is the responsibility of applications and key strategies.I’ve been leaning toward the view that this rally may be getting close to exhaustion.
Yesterday, I opened another short on $PUMP. The token has already surged nearly 5x from its lows. While buybacks and burns can help sustain momentum, the upcoming monthly unlocks could introduce significant selling pressure.
With less than 50% of the total supply currently circulating and nearly $50M worth of tokens scheduled to unlock each month, the downside risk shouldn’t be ignored.
#DailyOrbit $PONS As soon as the price of PONS drops, doubts and criticism immediately arise.
Consider its market performance: a 30-fold surge in a short time, rising from 0.03 all the way to nearly 1U, with a peak market cap of 700 million USD, which is already quite impressive. Currently, it is still at 0.44U, so a correction is perfectly normal.
It is not a Ponzi scheme; it cannot only go up without falling. The current ceiling has reached 700 million USD, so expecting 7 billion USD is unrealistic, especially with a large amount of profit-taking piled up from earlier stages, creating a natural market demand for cashing out.
I still remember the day @MEADGod announced that Chinese investors were starting a bull market, which itself was a short-term peak signal. At that time, I also issued a risk warning, and the $PONS founder replied to me.
Market makers will not keep pushing the price up or defending it; they are not doing charity. Consolidation takes time, and only those who truly believe in the long term can hold on. This is a process every good project must go through.3x leverage couldn't withstand even a dozen minutes
That $SAND spike, from 0.07322 up to 0.08045.
In just over ten minutes, the short positions got liquidated.
Here's how the numbers work:
With 3x leverage, if the price moves 10% against you, your principal is gone.
From 0.07322 to 0.08045 is a 9.9% increase.
Right on the liquidation line, no time to set a stop loss.
The moment it triggered:
The price didn't climb gradually.
A spike in just over ten minutes, no trade buffering in between.
Where the order book was thin, a few trades were enough to break through.
The $BTC trade was a different mistake.
Shorted at 83752, held for a day and a night.
Only cut losses at 85423, losing 41%.
After cutting, it didn't drop, just sideways.
Two different ways to lose.
One died to speed, the other to stubbornness.
The spike wiped out positions, the sideways wiped out patience.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 $SAND $BTC #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
Warm
The market sentiment has quietly shifted.
After nearly $3.1 billion in cumulative net inflows over 9 consecutive trading days for the Bitcoin spot ETF, the trend has turned. Since September 30, it has experienced two consecutive days of net outflows totaling approximately $173 million. On the other hand, the Ethereum spot ETF has seen capital fleeing for 3 consecutive trading days, with a single-day net outflow of $55.4 million on October 1 alone.
Previously, BTC and ETH capital flows diverged, but now they have evolved into simultaneous outflows, which is a signal worth noting. Multiple capital indicators are collectively weakening, and market enthusiasm is clearly cooling.
Coinbase's report confirms this situation: BTC's recent profit-taking has surged to a yearly high, and bullish spot buying momentum has slowed.
When the capital tide recedes, the market loses the sustained driving force. Early profit-taking exits and ETF funds no longer continuously entering make it easy for the market to enter a consolidation and digestion phase. Combined with macro-level disturbances and on-site capital realization, market volatility is likely to increase significantly. It is advisable to avoid chasing highs in trading.Don't mess with my mindset and eat up my fees, please
I've seen mainstream sideways movements, but never seen altcoins sideways like this
This SAND dropped from 0.082 to 0.072 and then just stopped. I can understand mainstream sideways, but altcoins copying that? That's something to see
Stuck in the middle, moving back and forth. The funding fees keep getting deducted, holding it just means losing money. Either dump it so I can take some profit, or pump it up to hit my stop loss, don't just drag it out wasting time and fees.
I'm still holding my short position with a tiny floating profit. The longer altcoins sideways, the stronger the breakout usually is, I think it will likely go down. If the manipulator doesn't like me, come at me directly, no messing around.
$SAND
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 Exactly. The weak NFP was bullish on paper, but BTC’s rejection around $87K shows the market is still more focused on liquidity and positioning than the headline data.
With OI and funding already elevated, another failed attempt at $87K could mean more leverage gets flushed before any real breakout.
$87K–$87.3K is the level to watch. Reclaim it with healthy positioning, and the setup changes significantly.
#StrategicBTCBillHearing #BTCTreasuryFundingRise #BTCVolumeDriesUp
$BTC $ZEC $SOL Just as US-Iran negotiations reached a stalemate, diplomatic friction escalated again.
On October 4, U.S. officials revealed that two members of the Iranian delegation had been expelled from the country. Previously, on September 28, the U.S. had already requested all members of the Iranian delegation attending the United Nations General Assembly to leave the United States.
What is even more noteworthy is that the incident occurred after the US-Iran negotiations reached a deadlock. The further dismissal of diplomatic personnel at least indicates that the current atmosphere of communication between the two sides has not significantly eased.
For the financial market, what truly needs to be watched is whether geopolitical risks continue to escalate.
If US-Iran relations deteriorate further, the market may re-trade safe-haven logic: rising geopolitical risks→ pressure on crude oil prices→ rising inflation expectations→ rising US Treasury yields→ suppressed Fed rate cuts→ and risk assets under pressure.
Although BTC is sometimes considered a safe-haven asset, in the short term, it mostly follows global liquidity and risk appetite. When geopolitical conflicts suddenly escalate, the first reaction is often to reduce risk with funds rather than directly buying cryptocurrencies.
Therefore, my short-term outlook on BTC remains cautious, focusing on the flow of funds in the US dollar, US Treasury yields, crude oil, and BTC. If oil prices and US Treasury yields rise simultaneously and BTC breaks below key support, risk assets should be guarded against further drawdowns.
Conversely, if the situation does not escalate further, crude oil prices fall, the dollar and US Treasury yields weaken, and the market re-trades expectations for rate cuts, BTC may instead regain liquidity support.
The real variable now is not the "two diplomats being expelled" itself, but whether the US-Iran negotiations continue to be discussed📌 Quantitative and Cyclical Strategies: How to Rationally View "100% Win Rate" Historical Data and Market Signals
When faced with overwhelming "history repeating" and "buy signals" on social media, establishing a rigorous trading and risk control SOP is crucial:
📊 Three Key Dimensions for Evaluation and Risk Control:
Sample Size & Macro Environment:
Historical cycles (such as political cycles, seasonal patterns) provide macro probabilistic advantages rather than guaranteed outcomes. It is essential to judge comprehensively by combining current interest rate trends and liquidity conditions.
Liquidity & Orderbook:
Observe on-chain capital flows and large order depth; avoid blindly FOMO in "emotional rallies" lacking actual spot buying support.
DCA & Trailing Stop:
Turn "optimism about long-term trends" into an executable strategy—reduce entry cost through dollar-cost averaging and set trailing stops at key resistance levels to protect principal.
⚠️ Risk Control Bottom Line: In crypto and financial markets, surviving longer is always more important than making quick profits.
Do you usually prefer technical indicators or on-chain data? Feel free to share in the comments 👇#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2%
In September, nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, far below the market expectation of 85,000-90,000; the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. Meanwhile, employment data for July and August were revised down by a total of 60,000, and wage growth also weakened. The entire set of data points to a rapid cooling of the U.S. labor market.
After the data release, market bets on a Fed rate hike in October collapsed directly. The CME FedWatch tool shows the probability of holding rates steady in October surged to 83.9%.
For the crypto market, especially BTC, the core driver has never been employment itself, but the expectation of dollar liquidity.
Weak employment = significantly reduced pressure for Fed rate hikes, even opening the imagination for future rate cuts. The marginal easing of a high interest rate environment is the biggest positive for risk assets.
But here is a common pitfall many fall into: weak employment being good for coin prices does not mean you can blindly chase highs.
This nonfarm report is a "recession-style cooling," not a perfect soft landing scenario. If employment continues to deteriorate, the market will switch from "expecting rate cuts" to "fearing economic recession," at which point funds will flee risk assets and the positive logic will directly reverse.
In the short term, liquidity expectations recovery will continue to support BTC; in the medium term, focus on two things: first, whether Fed officials will use this data to release dovish signals; second, subsequent economic data to confirm whether employment is slowing moderately or weakening rapidly.
Market trends are always a game of expectations. After positive news lands, be even more vigilant about the violent fluctuations caused by expectation reversals.#BTC、ETH spot ETFs are simultaneously seeing outflows, cooling down capital heat. After the non-farm payroll release, the market actually failed to find a clear direction.
$BTC $ETH have started to experience capital outflows, with incremental funds not entering for a long time; currently, most of the activity is just internal funds shuffling back and forth.
The biggest characteristic of the market is very fast rotation.
Today privacy coins surge, tomorrow meme coins spike, and the day after they flow back to the mainstream. Many friends fall into a strange cycle:
The coins just sold immediately rally sharply, chasing in leads to an instant pullback, getting hit repeatedly, no profits made, and positions repeatedly worn down.
The most frustrating time is when the market consolidates sideways and bottoms out.
Watching others’ coins surge while your own holdings remain still easily triggers FOMO, leading to frequent coin switching chasing hot spots.
Here is a reality: in a stock market scenario, broad rallies are hard to come by, and making money is just luck for a few.
The faster the hot spots switch, the easier retail investors get repeatedly harvested.
Currently, there are two approaches:
One is to hold firmly to your favored sectors and patiently wait for rotation;
The other is to reduce trading, watch more and act less, wait for clear incremental capital inflows and a clear trend before adding positions.
Don’t try to grab a piece of every hot spot; the market’s money is endless, but your principal can easily be lost.
Brothers, recently have you been frequently switching coins for rotation, or just lying flat holding positions?
I choose to lie flat and not move, no other way, deeply trapped, want to ask if anyone has good suggestions to get out!