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Using creator earnings as principal → Challenge to reach 10,000 U｜Phase 2 starts Day 1
Phase 1 has ended.
With 10U principal, forced liquidation happened on day 6, didn’t make it to 10,000 U.
No excuses, no sugarcoating.
High leverage, low principal, low tolerance for error — losing means losing.
But I’m not planning to stop.
Phase 2, starting fresh.
Initial principal: 1U
Current account: 1.44U
Start time: October 8, 2026, 08:20
Principal source: Planet creator earnings
Rules remain the same:
No top-ups, no bailouts, no extra principal added.
If it’s all lost, challenge ends.
Reach 10,000 U, challenge succeeds.
Current position:
$TRUMPUSDT Perpetual｜20x leverage
Position: 10.2 $TRUMP
Entry average price: 1.842U
Mark price: 1.875U
Estimated liquidation price: 1.753U
Break-even price: 1.844U
Unrealized profit: +0.33U (+35.83%)
Started with 1U, now at 1.44U.
But don’t rush to celebrate.
From 1U to 10,000U, the real challenge is not doubling, but surviving.
I admit I lost in phase 1.
Phase 2, here we go again.
Setting a flag: no top-ups this time, 1U to 10,000U.
If successful, I’ll document the whole process.
If not, I’ll accept the loss.
Phase 2, officially underway.UNI
Current price 7.945
Slight rebound after a big drop
Resistance levels: 8.162, strong resistance above at 8.58;
Support levels: 7.68, the low of this round, is the short-term lifeline.
Bears dominate
This is just a minor correction after the decline
Don't mistake it for a reversal
Watch if the rebound can break through the 8.16 resistance first
If 7.68 breaks, it will continue to probe lower
$ZEC $UNI $SOL
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 $4.4 billion surged on-chain❗ Tokenized stocks on-chain, Bitcoin actually looks more attractive❓
Solana's tokenized stock trading volume in September exceeded $4.4 billion, hitting a record high.
Many people's first reaction: Isn't this just taking money from the crypto circle?
Actually, it's quite the opposite. The more popular tokenized stocks become, the more it shows that traditional capital is looking for a smoother path into the crypto world. Previously, they bought US stocks through brokers; now they find that on-chain trading can be 24/7, settlements are faster, and the threshold is lower. Naturally, the next step will be to engage with stablecoins, public chains, and Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is the "main gateway" of this on-chain financial channel. Stocks can go on-chain, funds can cross chains, but ultimately everyone will return to the hardest, most universal, and most recognized asset — Bitcoin is that anchor.
So don't see tokenized stocks as Bitcoin's competitor. It's more like building roads for the entire crypto market: the wider the road, the more cars come in, and Bitcoin, as the underlying asset, benefits more.
Of course, currently this part of trading is mostly just "buying and selling," not yet widely used for collateral, lending, or yield tools. The real explosion depends on continued progress in regulation and infrastructure.
In the short term, watch sentiment; in the long term, watch the channels. Once the channels open, Bitcoin may not rise directly, but its underlying value will be re-evaluated by more people.
#Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元 Raising interest rates is great,
ANZ Plus savings interest in Australia has already reached 5.35%.
Now the rent-to-price ratio for apartments in Melbourne isn't even necessarily 5%,
so why bother with investments? Isn't it better to just put money in the bank?
Can you understand why interest rate hikes are bad news for US stocks & the crypto world? 🤣32 hours, $670 million.
The US government address has been moving quite a lot these past two days.
Let me break down a detail first: just $BTC transferred 6,215 coins, worth $520 million, all going into Coinbase Prime. In the same batch, there was also 119 million USDT, heading in the same direction.
Note, USDT is not a coin, it’s cash.
Moving coins and cash together to the exchange is an action worth a closer look.
To be clear, if they really wanted to sell, they wouldn’t move it slowly in batches like this; it looks more like following procedures, preparing.
But what they’re preparing for, the data doesn’t say, and I won’t guess either.
For the market, it might not crash immediately in the short term, but emotionally, some people are definitely starting to get nervous.
What I want to see most now is: will there be more transfers afterward?
If it stops, it’s just a false alarm. If it continues, that’s a real signal.
As for me? I’m always the last to react to this kind of news — the fate of an old trader.
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 #美CFTC推进加密市场规则，SEC拟调整托管框架 $BTC $USDT Bitcoin has returned near 84,000, and Ethereum is fluctuating around 2,600. Many people's first reaction: Is the bull market over?
Let's look at the essence first: oil prices, the US dollar, and US Treasury yields are all rising together—global funding costs are increasing, and risk assets are collectively under pressure.
The upper resistance at 87,000 has been tested several times without success, showing obvious selling pressure; the key support zone is around 82,000-83,000, with bulls and bears in a tug of war. Ethereum is more fragile: it has long-term upgrades paving the way, but in the short term, lacking a major buyer, it has fallen more sharply.
The interest rate meeting at the end of the month is critical; once rate expectations change, valuation logic may be re-evaluated.
$BTC $ETHNeutral to slightly weak, narrow range grinding, direction not yet chosen, Meme varieties' volatility will be influenced by BTC
• 1 hour: Bollinger Bands narrowing with oscillation, support at 0.00603‑0.00614, first resistance at 0.00641‑0.00662; StochRSI is mid-high but without momentum, as long as 0.00603 is not broken, the range will be maintained temporarily; a valid break below signals a direct shift to bearish.
• 4 hours: Bollinger Bands start to flatten and narrow, indicators slightly turning up from low levels but rebound strength is weak; major watershed at 0.00678 (previous high), only stabilizing above this opens bullish potential; key support below at 0.00591, losing this breaks the short-term structure of this cycle.
• Practical reference:
• Holding positions: do not overtrade within the range; long position stop-loss below 0.00590, upper target first at 0.00660; short positions consider after rebound pressure at 0.00640‑0.00660, stop loss if breaking above 0.00680.
• No entry: do not gamble at mid-price levels; wait for volume breakout above 0.00662 to try long, or break below 0.00591 to try short; the middle area is a high uncertainty grinding zone. Is Ethereum crazy today?
Indeed it is, and it's crashing hard.
ETH once fell below $2544 today, with a 24-hour drop of 5.58%, nearly twice the decline of Bitcoin. Even more painful, the liquidation amount for ETH in the past 24 hours reached $250 million, topping all crypto assets, with 94% being long positions — meaning those betting on a rise were almost completely wiped out.
Why is ETH falling much harder than Bitcoin? Two "Ethereum-specific" negative factors are hitting simultaneously:
First, ETF funds are fleeing. The US spot Ethereum ETF has seen net outflows for six consecutive trading days, totaling about $408 million, with a single-day redemption of $202 million on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net inflow of $119 million on the same day — institutions are abandoning ETH and turning to BTC.
Second, on-chain selling pressure is building. The number of ETH validators exiting the queue surged from about 166,000 ETH at the end of September to approximately 851,000 ETH in just a few days, an increase of over five times. The market's expectation of subsequent staking unlock sell-offs is heating up.
Technically, $2544 is approaching the 50-day moving average support line. If the daily close confirms a break below, the next strong support is around $2511. Don't rush to bottom-fish in the short term; wait until the ETH/BTC exchange rate stabilizes.U.S. Treasury yields soar to 5.7%❗ Can Bitcoin really hold up this time❓
The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield is approaching 5.7%, hitting a new high since 2002, shaking global assets.
Many people's first reaction: with yields this high, funds will all flow into U.S. Treasuries, and Bitcoin is definitely doomed.
But this time it's not that simple❗❗❗
The traditional logic is that the higher the U.S. Treasury yields, the less attractive it is to hold "non-yielding" assets like Bitcoin. But the current issue is that yields are rising not because the U.S. economy is booming, but due to sticky inflation, large deficits, excessive debt, and rising financing costs.
So another logic emerges: when people start worrying about U.S. Treasury supply and currency devaluation, Bitcoin may instead be seen as a "hard asset" hedge.
In short, high Treasury yields will suppress risk appetite in the short term; but if the underlying cause is debt anxiety and liquidity intervention, that’s not entirely bad for Bitcoin.
Don't rush to conclusions now. Keep an eye on two things: whether Treasury yields can continue to rise, and whether Bitcoin can hold steady above key support levels.
At this macro juncture, don’t bet all in on direction; preserve your ammunition first.
#美债长端收益率再创新高，30年期逼近5.7% The key signal in this BTC sell-off is not the drop itself, but the attitude of the funds.
BTC suddenly dropped with high volume, breaking recent sideways support, but what’s more noteworthy is that the OI only fell to around 29.93k and did not significantly shrink along with the sharp drop.
Normally, a sharp drop would trigger long liquidations, causing OI to drop substantially. The limited decline now indicates that the funds entering during the past two days of sideways movement and breakout are likely bearish. The short-term initiative has temporarily fallen into the hands of the bears.
The real risk lies on the spot side. If the price continues to fall, it may trigger further spot selling. Over the past two months, ETF funds have been an important driving force for the rise, but ETFs are increasingly like "large retail bulls": buying low and selling high, flexible in portfolio adjustments, and large in size, they run at the slightest sign of trouble.
Therefore, don’t just focus on the news right now. The market has already shown that the pricing power of news on BTC is weakening; fund flows are the core. If ETFs collectively flow out, short-term bearish momentum following the trend is safer.
Support below: 83100-82800
Resistance above: 84500
Personal opinion, for reference only.
$BTC $ETH
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 "Is this drop a shakeout or is it really going to cool off?"
$BTC fell below 84,000, dropping over 2% intraday; ETH lost 2,600, down more than 3%. MSTR, COIN, and CRCL also plunged, but the US stock market hit new highs. Crypto is under pressure alone, with clear liquidity mismatches.
The reasons for the drop are not complicated: divergent expectations on rate cuts, high interest rates, major players taking profits at highs, and a return to traditional safe havens. In terms of chips, it looks more like a chain liquidation—previous long positions were over-leveraged, fees deviated, and large funds are smashing the market to clear leverage. ETH fell harder than BTC; altcoin risk appetite has hit rock bottom, with funds concentrating on BTC.
What about the outlook? Short-term deleveraging is not over; BTC will likely retest strong support at 80,000–82,000. As long as 80,000 holds, this is still a normal pullback within a mid-term bull market, not a cooling off. Once the macro uncertainties clear, there will still be opportunities for a new round of chip battles by year-end.
In terms of operations, first look for a stop-loss signal; do not blindly bottom-fish or panic sell. Wait for stabilization before taking action.
$BTC #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ $ETH has entered the oversold zone; a rebound and a bottom are two different things.
$ETH is down 4.63% in 24 hours, currently priced at 2,573.49. The 1-hour and 4-hour RSI are 46 and 15 respectively. Oversold conditions can trigger rebound demand, but a rebound only indicates a sharp drop; a bottom requires the price to stop breaking the structure.
Set emotions aside first; the information given by the structure is very specific. The 1-hour EMA20 is at 2,587.8, currently weak; the 4-hour EMA20 is at 2,642.03, also weak. The short-term cycle exposes changes, while the long-term cycle limits imagination. When both align, beware of crowding; when they conflict, beware of repeated fluctuations. You cannot just pick the side that benefits you.
The stronger side has a clear task: first, firmly hold above the 1-hour resistance at 2,696.93, then observe whether the 4-hour resistance near 2,739.5 can still maintain support. If it only briefly breaks through intraday and quickly returns to the range, the so-called breakout lacks the crucial second half.
Think of this market phase as equipment acceptance testing: running without load doesn’t count as completion; stability under boundary conditions gives weight to the conclusion. Write your views as conditions so you know where you’re wrong if you are. Which signal would you rather wait for to judge: oversold enough to change the rhythm, or must you wait for the structure to stop making new lows? The market is volatile; the above is only market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull.No need to explain the market trend; it just moves, and you just need to avoid making reckless moves. Just after lunch while watching the market, $NIGHT support held, buying pressure strengthened, so I opened a long position around 0.037645.
0.046516 gave the answer, floating profit +471.19%, nailed it, time to enjoy a good meal.
First take profit on 70%, keep 30% at cost price for protection, let the profits run if it continues to rise, and don’t let gains turn uncomfortable if it falls back.
The market punishes all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they are the smartest. The money you make is the realization of your understanding; the money you lose is the flaw in your understanding.
For friends who haven’t gotten on board yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush, wait for the next signal before making a move.
$LAB $DOGE Gold fell below 4100 last night
⚠️ Market review only, does not constitute any trading advice, high market risk
The FOMC minutes were released early last night, showing a hawkish tone. Most officials indicated the possibility of another rate hike by the end of the year, causing the market to instantly reprice for higher interest rates to persist longer.
The 10-year US Treasury yield surged, the dollar strengthened, and gold, as a non-yielding asset, came under pressure, breaking below 4100 and hitting a low near 4066.
In simple terms, the market was previously hoping for an earlier rate cut, but the minutes poured cold water on that expectation, causing a reversal and a collective exit by bulls.
Moreover, 4100 was a key short-term psychological support level. Once broken, many long stop-loss orders were triggered, leading to a chain reaction of stop-loss selling and accelerating the decline.
From a short-term perspective, two points:
1. 4100 has now turned from support into resistance. On any rebound, there will be selling pressure at this level, so don’t rush to buy the dip on every bounce.
2. The key support below is at the 4000 level, which is an important defense point.
Key focus tonight: Thursday 20:30 US initial jobless claims
If employment data is strong, it will continue to weigh on gold, with a chance to test lower levels again;
If employment data weakens, US Treasury yields will fall, giving gold a chance to rebound and recover.
#Gold #XAUUSD 10.8｜BTC and ETH Early Session Thoughts
Today's trading idea is very clear: mainly short on rebounds, no chasing longs without volume recovery.
$BTC is currently around 83300. Last night's minutes were clearly hawkish, with most officials thinking another rate hike within the year is appropriate. The price dropped directly from 85500 to 82700, and now it's just a weak rebound. The issue isn't the candlestick itself, but that the 87300 level was never held, and longs piled up before the minutes; once the bearish news came out, the pullback was quick.
$ETH is now around 2570, moving in sync with BTC, dropping from around 2700 to 2540, with the high at 2778 even further away.
The minutes have been released, and there are no new major data today. The real risk is a rebound without volume. US Treasury yields remain high; if no one picks up during the Asia-Europe session, BTC could retest 82700 or even see 82000.
Current trading plan:
BTC: Short in the 84500-85500 range, target around 82700-82000.
ETH: Short in the 2620-2680 range, target around 2520-2450.
If BTC recovers 86000 with volume, all shorts are invalidated; never stubbornly hold against the trend.
What do you think after this rebound ends? Will BTC first go to 82000, or directly recover to 86000? doge current price 0.08903
Brief small rebound after a sharp drop
Resistance levels: 0.09078, strong resistance above at 0.09889;
Support levels: 0.08771, intraday low, if it can't hold, it will continue to go down.
Meme coins are especially volatile
Currently in a weak recovery after the decline
Don't mistake it for a reversal
Short-term risks are considerable
$BTC $DOGE $CT
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 A bearish candlestick slammed down, and the calls for 100,000 disappeared
$BTC led the drop, $ETH followed, and $ZEC dealt another blow.
The first to be hit were the momentum chasers:
They entered when prices surged, fully leveraged, and were the first to be liquidated when prices fell.
Next to be hit were those waiting for a pullback:
They thought they could catch the dip, but ended up buying halfway down the slope.
One bearish candlestick does not equal a trend reversal.
It might just be clearing out leverage or could be funds withdrawing.
The difference depends on the volume afterward—whether it continues to shrink or rebounds.
Reversals and shakeouts behave differently.
The positions of the momentum chasers have already been cleared.
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 #以太坊Glamsterdam升级登陆Sepolia测试网 $BTC $ETH BTC vs ETH: the decentralization tradeoff nobody prices in. ARK and Glassnode found that just 3 entities could cross the critical control threshold for both 3 mining pools for BTC's 51% hash rate, 3 stakers for ETH's 33% stake.
But the exit differs: a Bitcoin miner can dump a 1% position in 30 seconds, while unstaking ETH can take weeks under stress. Which risk is worse?
$BTC $ETH $BTC has been grinding until now, and there are actually only two price levels truly worth watching.
The current price is about $83,294, still oscillating repeatedly within the $85,600 range in the short term.
If it can hold above $85,600, it indicates that the resistance above is being gradually absorbed, and we can continue to observe the strength of the breakout afterward.
But once it falls below $82,800, the short-term structure needs to be reassessed;
especially if it cannot quickly recover after breaking below, the downside space may further open up.
In this kind of market, the worst thing is to chase gains and cut losses repeatedly.
My approach is very clear: patiently wait within the range, follow the trend after a breakout, and defend first after a breakdown. As soon as the minutes were released, did BTC crash?
It did drop, but that spike wasn’t caused by the minutes.
I checked OKX’s BTC hourly chart: the lowest point this round was 82,753, which happened last night at 21:48. The Fed’s official website posted the minutes at 2:00 AM Beijing time today, more than four hours after the low. Since the minutes were released over six hours ago, the lowest point has been 83,125, never returning to last night’s level.
The minutes didn’t force a rate hike in October either. The original text says most participants think it might be appropriate to raise rates once more by year end, but it doesn’t specify which time. On Polymarket, the odds for no hike in October were 82.5% before the minutes and 83.5% after, actually increasing.
The low was before the minutes, no new lows after, and bets didn’t shift toward an October hike. That drop last night happened before the minutes came out, not because of them.
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ ETH Morning Analysis
Is the pullback over? Will ETH continue to fall?
If this position can be successfully reclaimed, then the recent drop from 2807 is only defined as a minor pullback within the 2359–2807 range, and will not escalate into a major weekly-level correction from 1505 to 2807!
Last night, ETH tested the Gann 1/2 line at 2536, only briefly dipping below it without a valid breakdown. After the dip, the price quickly recovered, and the market has now entered a recovery phase.
I entered long a bit early,
For the next market direction, I will continue to wait for confirmation from the price action.8-Hour Strategy Review｜2026-10-08｜Data Observation
Statistics Period: 2026-10-08 00:00 to 2026-10-08 08:00 (Asia/Singapore, excluding end time)
Contract: BTC-USDT-SWAP
Exchange Trade Receipts: 0 entries
Open or Add Position Trades: 0 entries
Close Position Trades: 0 entries
Receipts have been paginated, verified, and deduplicated by trade ID; some trades are counted by receipt entries and do not equal order count.
First record actual execution, then discuss strategy performance.
No trades found in this period does not mean no trading occurred all day, nor does it mean no positions were held.
Signal count, account balance, and net profit/loss were not individually verified for this round and are not conclusive.
For strategy testing and real trade record only, not investment advice. $JUP If the destination is the moon, then getting on at Mount Everest or at the Mariana Trench is the sameGlamsterdam upgrade is imminent, so why is ETH still stalling?
Ethereum's script is more complex than BTC's:
The next major upgrade, Glamsterdam, targets Q4 2026, focusing on ePBS and block-level access lists to improve L1 efficiency.
Since July, whales have accumulated over $2.5 billion worth of ETH withdrawn from exchanges.
However, from late September to early October, spot ETH ETFs saw a net outflow of about $118 million, reversing the previous week's inflow of $690 million.
Fundamentals are improving, but short-term capital shows divergence; don't mistake the roadmap for a price guarantee. #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 The concrete in this beam and column hasn't even set yet, and they're already rushing to lay bricks on top. Who gave you the guts to stand on the scaffolding and feast?
Just took off my safety helmet and wiped the sweat off my face, and the "Hundredfold War God" in the group chat is again posting his flashy 3D renderings, bragging about some deep V reversal and skyrocketing. I squatted in the construction shed, took a couple of bites of my boxed meal, and watching $ETH crash to 2573.15 in this half-dead state almost made me spit out the braised pork in my mouth.
That big shot in the group who keeps shouting "Let's live in Tomson Riviera with the brothers" was just crazily tagging everyone to buy the dip, but the newbies who rushed in got buried in cement dust immediately, crying and asking if they should cut losses. I see this chart like a misaligned foundation; the 1-hour Bollinger middle band at 2580.65 is pressing down like a glaring crack in a precast slab. The rebound can't even hold the mortar; once the bears push a little, the entire load-bearing wall starts shaking.
RSI is lying at 34.7, the surface moisture is almost drained, and the slurry hardening is very poor. The only tough support left below is the thin cushion layer at the Bollinger lower band 2541. If even this cement skin gets hammered through, below is a bottomless collapse and landslide zone. The big shots in the group are still playing dead; I only trust the level and steel tape in my hand.
Defensive bottoming, no rush on the schedule, just short-term load-bearing tests.
- Target: $ETH 🟢
- Entry: 2550 - 2575
- TP1: 2615
- TP2: 2640
- SL: 2525
Once the load-bearing pile at 2541 breaks, the whole building will collapse vertically; no one will escape alive from the construction site.🏗️
#CoinMoveAlert$UNI resisting a position doesn't exist, it's too exhausting. All day long, I just keep thinking, "Hurry up and go back up for me," and my mental state is really bad. I never want to experience that feeling again. Even if there's a chance to open a position, you don't have extra funds to do so, and you can only watch the great market slip away, so I closed my position.
$ETH I was waiting for an opportunity all night, and at 1:30 AM I finally got it, opened a position precisely at 2535, took profit at 2572, stop loss at 2485, full position, max leverage. Went to sleep 💤
Woke up to an email confirming the take profit on the perpetual contract."The wind hasn't risen yet, don't cast your net prematurely"
The most tormenting thing about the market isn't the slow decline, but every time you try to counterattack, you're slapped back to where you started.
$BTC is repeatedly tugged around 84200, with 85500 like a wall that hasn't been broken through for the third time. Fortunately, the bottom is quietly rising, bulls are still present, but the selling pressure above is indeed heavy. 83500 is temporarily stable; the real breakout point remains 85500: only with a volume-backed hold above it can we look towards 86500 or even 88000; if it falls below 82800, the converging pattern will likely dig a pit downward first.
$ETH hovers around 2680, with the 2650 integer level temporarily holding. What it lacks is not a big bullish candle, but whether it can effectively stand above 2720. After stepping up, 2780–2820 becomes possible; 2600 is the short-term bottom line, and breaking below it indicates funds still prefer BTC.
$SOL is dawdling around 118, with 116–120 forming a narrow range. It has elasticity but weak sustainability. 120 is the immediate hurdle; only a breakthrough can target 124; if 115 holds, the pattern is still okay. It seems to be waiting for BTC to lead the way first.
Currently, the three keys are: BTC 85500, ETH 2720, SOL 120. Without BTC breaking the wall, the latter two are hard to accelerate.
BTCETH $SOL #Macroeconomic data is about to be released, which way will the wind blow?Brothers, is this a diving competition?
Blood-red dusk! Retail investors buy more as prices fall, when will the "last spike" for BTC/ETH come?
1. Market: Long bearish candle at the top, oversold alarm
On the 4-hour chart, $BTC and $ETH have a large bearish candle breaking through previous support, the market is in chaos. KDJ is bottoming out, ETH's J value even fell into negative territory. Oversold means a rebound could happen anytime, but in a breakdown trend, a rebound without volume is mostly an escape opportunity, not a reversal.
2. Funds: Retail investors catch falling knives, main players sharpen knives
During the crash, open interest surged against the trend; this is not a bottom, but leverage longs piling up wildly. Danger signal: ETH long-short ratio soared to 2.51, retail investors buy more as prices fall, stubbornly holding on. The main players won’t carry such a crowded long position; the hunt for retail leverage is still underway.
3. Strategy: Don’t catch falling knives, wait for certainty
Never heavily bottom-fish. My plan: patiently wait for the last wave of panic spike to test the bottom, or wait for a right-side stabilization signal before entering. Don’t catch falling knives, don’t hold losing positions, don’t bet on one-sided moves. Before the shakeout is over, cash is king; protecting principal is the highest-level operation.
Core summary:
Being out of the market and waiting is also a sharp offense. When support breaks, respect the market; don’t let bottom-fishing obsession bury your principal. Patiently lie low, wait for that spike that washes away the dross, or wait for the clear right-side trend signal. Endure the darkest times, then strike hard.
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
#波动雷达：币种异动观察 The US CFTC is advancing crypto market regulations, and the SEC plans to adjust the custody framework. As a leading decentralized exchange token, UNI is moderately bullish in the mid-term amid clearer regulations, but it still faces pressure from the broader market in the short term. It has dropped 7.4% in 24 hours, currently priced at 7.926, having retraced 25.98% from the 4-hour high, with bearish momentum not yet exhausted. The funding rate is only 0.0029%, indicating weak bullish sentiment; open interest is 5.925 million, with a buy-sell strength ratio of 0.78. Sell orders at 15,000 outweigh buy orders at 12,000, showing short-term selling pressure dominance. The key support is at 7.68; if broken, look for 7.35, with resistance at 8.28 above. Strategy-wise, lightly short at a rebound to 8.15 with a stop loss at 8.42 and a target of 7.72; if it pulls back to 7.69 and stabilizes, consider a short-term long with a stop loss at 7.48 and a target of 8.05. Single position size should not exceed 5%, with strict stop loss.
——This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading.——
$UNI#美CFTC推进加密市场规则，SEC拟调整托管框架
#美CFTC推进加密市场规则，SEC拟调整托管框架 $UNI The US CFTC is advancing crypto market regulations, and the SEC plans to adjust the custody framework, creating a regulatory tailwind that supports the sentiment for highly volatile assets like SKHYNIX. However, I judge that the short-term trend is still dominated by technical factors, and any rebound needs to first digest the overhead resistance.
The 24-hour price has fluctuated between 1256.5 and 1329.2, currently at 1294.6, slightly down 0.2%. The trading volume of 91,000 indicates low participation. Both the 1-hour and 4-hour trends are downward, respectively -6.40% and -8.27% from the highs, but only 2.11% and 1.33% above the lows, showing closer support below; the order book's top 10 levels show a buy/sell ratio of 0.55, indicating obvious selling pressure. The funding rate at 0.0635% remains bullish, and open interest is 36,000, with crowded longs posing a risk.
Strategically, if the price pulls back to 1273.4 without breaking, a light long position can be tried with a stop loss at 1261.8 and a target of 1308.6; if volume-driven break below 1261.8 occurs, reverse to short with a stop loss at 1276.5 and a target of 1243.2. Position size should be controlled within 20%, and exit immediately if the funding rate turns negative.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$SKHYNIX#OKXNOW: Ushering in a new era of 24/7 markets
#美CFTC推进加密市场规则，SEC拟调整托管框架 $SKHYNIX Today, don’t rush to wait for a “V-shaped recovery”
$BTC has retreated to around 83,000, down about 3.1% in 24 hours, and the weekly chart has also weakened. The hardest part now is not finding negative news, but admitting that the decline itself changes trading willingness. Those who want to buy might wait a bit longer, and those who want to sell will wait for a rebound to exit, making recovery naturally more difficult. Only by reclaiming and holding above 84,000 is it worth shifting expectations from defense back to observation. If rebounds are always short-lived, it’s better to move less and not treat bottom guessing as a task.
$ETH has fallen even more sharply, about 5.6% in 24 hours and about 4.5% over a week. The larger the drop, the more tempting the rebound, but first look at where it fell from. If it rises only to slide back down, that’s just volatility, not recovery. Only continuous reclaiming of lost ground counts as improvement. At this stage, controlling position size is more realistic than breaking even.
$LINK has dropped about 6.4% over the week and only retains about 5.3% gains in the past month, showing clear weakness. The long-term story can still be followed, but position size must face short-term pressure. If it still lags when the market warms up, it’s time to reassess the holding logic. Familiarity doesn’t mean it will rise first; don’t let preference replace judgment.
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 Solana tokenized stocks' trading volume in September exceeded $4.4 billion, reflecting that on-chain asset expansion is resonating with macro liquidity expectations. As an important target within the ecosystem, CL cannot remain unaffected. I tend to believe it will face short-term pressure but with limited downside. Overnight, the price slipped 1.2% to 88.91, with 1-hour and 4-hour trends both declining synchronously. It has retraced 7.79% from the 4-hour high, and the trading volume of only 9.687 million indicates selling pressure is not overwhelming; the top ten sell orders in the order book total 74,000 versus 56,000 buy orders, with a buy-sell ratio of 0.75 leaning towards sellers. Meanwhile, a negative funding rate of -0.0139% and 392,000 coin-margined positions suggest crowded shorts, which instead plants the risk of a short squeeze. Operationally, one can lightly try going long at 87.65, with a stop loss at 86.35 and a target of 90.45; if a rebound is blocked at 90.63, a short position can be taken with a stop loss at 91.82 and a target of 88.15. Single position size should not exceed 5% of total capital. In a negative funding rate environment, beware of two-way spikes.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you smooth trading. —
$CL#Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元
#Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元 $CL Last night, my hand trembled slightly when setting the stop loss, and this morning I realized it was an unnecessary act of filial piety. The last glance before sleep showed $NG still retracing but not breaking the level; the buying pressure quietly strengthened. I knew this position shouldn't panic, so I directly signaled to go long, took back the long position, set the stop loss further away, and gave the market some breathing room.
This morning when I opened the market, the price surged from 3.267 to 3.338, with a floating profit of +107.13%. Feels good, brothers, this piece of meat tastes really good. Last night was not wasted; the market finally rewarded those who held firmly.
Panic comes from lack of planning, losses come from overthinking.
Don't get inflated by profits, don't despair over drawdowns.
For position management, I first take profit on 70%, push the protection level to the cost price for the remaining 30%. If it continues to rise, let the profits fly; if it falls back, don't turn profits into discomfort. Take profits when you should, don't fight with your own account.
For friends who haven't gotten on board yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush; chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait for the next signal before moving; opportunities remain, patience is more valuable than speed.
$DOGE $ADA $SPX A platform-type correction may be forming here. We see an overlapping Wave A decline and a Wave B that recovers the previous high — a typical pattern for a potential Wave C decline. This is the current assessment but has not yet been confirmed.
I am watching for a clear downward momentum wave and whether the Wave A low around 7,560 points will be decisively broken. This is the critical dividing line. Until then, this is just an assessment, not a trading signal.
Emphasize strong evidence, not subjective conviction. Focus on structure, not hope. Let the market reveal its hand.Shorted near $BTC 85550, finally manually took profit at 83600.
Actually, the lowest point of this trade already hit around 82700. To be honest, when I saw the price continuing to drop, I was a bit tempted.
But I didn’t chase further.
When I shorted at 85550, I was watching the resistance above at 86400–86800 that it just couldn’t break through. After it fell below 85000, the bears clearly accelerated. The lowest hit 82700, and throughout the process, the profit I wanted to capture was already realized.
So I chose to close at 83600 first.
Some might wonder: since it dropped to 82700, why not hold on?
My understanding is simple: you don’t have to catch every head and tail of the fish.
In trading, the hardest part in the end isn’t predicting the market, but whether you can control yourself after making money.
This time, I’m satisfied with the middle portion of the move. Whether it rebounds or continues to drop afterward, I accept it.
There’s always more money to be made in the market. Locking in your own profits first at least prevents giving back previous gains due to greed for those last few hundred points.
Now BTC is oscillating around 83000, so I’m watching first.
Next step is to see if 82700 can hold or if it rebounds and stands back above 84000.
This time, no guessing—waiting for the market to give the answer itself. Don't rush to call a crash just because of a rate hike; first, understand the minutes content clearly.
According to PANews, the Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes show that officials unanimously support a 25 basis point rate hike to 3.75%–4.00%, with most believing another hike before year-end is more appropriate; inflation upside risks remain the core concern, and infrastructure investment is also seen as a new variable pushing demand higher. This is somewhat bearish for risk assets like $BTC and $ETH: a higher terminal rate will increase the attractiveness of US dollar cash and Treasuries, compressing the valuation flexibility of crypto assets.
Consider two scenarios: one, US Treasury yields and the dollar index continue to strengthen, and risk appetite remains under pressure; two, the market has priced this in advance, so the strength of the pullback support will be more critical than chasing shorts. Which do you lean toward now: watching yield changes first, or waiting for price pullbacks before assessing support? $BTC $ETH combined with the latest market situation shows that ETH is clearly under short-term pressure. On October 7, ETH quickly fell from about $2700, hitting a low of $2544, a single-day drop of about 4.7%, currently fluctuating around $2570.
From a technical perspective, the 4-hour RSI once dropped to around 25, entering the oversold area, indicating a short-term technical rebound demand, but the trend has not yet reversed. The first support to watch is $2520–$2540; if broken, the next support is $2320–$2350. On the upside, the rebound first focuses on $2680–$2720; only by firmly standing above $2720 is there a chance to recover to the $2750–$2800 range.
On the fundamental side, ETH's ETF funds have recently weakened significantly, with a net outflow of about $202 million on October 6, and continuous outflows for several days, putting short-term pressure on the price. Meanwhile, rising US Treasury yields and a stronger dollar, along with renewed market concerns about inflation and interest rates, are suppressing high-volatility risk assets.
Overall, ETH is currently in a "weak consolidation after a sharp drop," and short-term blind shorting is not advisable. The $2520–$2540 range is a key defense zone; if it can stand above $2720 again, the market may turn strong again. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #OKXNOW: Opening a new era of 24/7 markets, SNDK's capital dynamics are more transparent in a continuous trading environment. Currently, I lean cautiously bullish; there is short-term rebound momentum but the mid-term is still in recovery.
24h up 2.2% to 1703.4, high 1733.4, low 1618.1, with a turnover of only 474,000. The funding rate is zero, indicating neither longs nor shorts are willing to pay a premium. Open interest at 46,000 coin-based contracts shows no significant increase. Both 1-hour and 4-hour trends are downward, still 10.21% below the 4-hour high, but the order book's top 10 levels show 243 buy orders versus 82 sell orders, a buy/sell ratio of 2.98, indicating stronger support at the low levels than selling pressure.
Strategy-wise, lightly buy on a pullback to 1658.3, stop loss at 1607.5, target 1731.8; if volume breaks above 1733.4 and then pulls back without breaking down, add to the position up to 1789.6. Keep position size under 20%, exit immediately if 1607.5 is breached.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$SNDK#OKXNOW: Opening a new era of 24/7 markets
#OKXNOW: Opening a new era of 24/7 markets $SNDK $DOGE $DOGE Market Analysis: Rally followed by pullback turning weak, mainly a high-short strategy
1. Stage peak and pullback, bearish structure established
After previously hitting the stage high of $0.10598, it has continuously corrected. The daily price has consecutively broken below the EMA5, EMA10, and EMA20 short-term moving averages, with all moving averages turning downward to form resistance. The bullish upward structure is completely broken, and the short-term downtrend is clear.
2. Oversold not stabilized, still room to probe lower
The KD indicator J value has dropped to the oversold zone at 10.74, indicating a technical need for correction, but no clear bottoming signal has appeared yet. The current price is approaching the lower Bollinger Band support at $0.08699. If it breaks down effectively, it will further open the downside space, approaching the previous low range.
3. Significant pressure from trapped positions, high probability of rebound resistance
A large amount of trapped high-chasing chips have accumulated in the $0.095-$0.10 range. The Meme-themed market sentiment is fading quickly, and every subsequent rebound will face concentrated selling pressure from position releases. Before the trend strengthens again, the risk-reward ratio of shorting at rebound resistance is far better than blindly bottom-fishing.
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks, risk appetite is warming but has not transmitted to KAITO. I judge that it is still dominated by sellers in the short term, not suitable for chasing longs. Current price 0.3226, down 3.2% in 24h, trading volume 18.016 million, funding rate negative 0.0003% indicates bulls are unwilling to pay fees, open interest 11.958 million while the top 10 bid-ask ratio is only 0.62, selling pressure is obvious; 1-hour and 4-hour trends are both downward, resistance at 0.3312, support at 0.3148. Strategy: lightly short at rebound to 0.3298, stop loss at 0.3358, target 0.3152; if it breaks below 0.3148, wait for a pullback to 0.3186 then short, stop loss at 0.3238, target 0.3064. Position control within 20%, single loss no more than 1.5% of total funds, be sure to use stop loss.
——This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you smooth trading.——
$KAITO#BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks
#BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks $KAITO #BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks, and the risk appetite recovery indirectly supports SOL, but SOL itself is still in short-term adjustment. I prefer to wait for a pullback confirmation before discussing a rebound.
Currently at 116.14, down 3.6% in 24 hours, high 120.62 low 115.14, turnover 9.039 million, 1-hour decline is only 0.51% from the low, 4-hour rise but already -6.40% from the high, short-term pressure is obvious. Order book top 10 buy-sell ratio is 1.24, buyers slightly dominant, funding rate 0.0022% is neutral, open interest 3.136 million with no panic exit, support at 115.37, resistance at 119.83.
Strategy: lightly buy on pullback at 115.42, stop loss at 114.68, target 119.26; if volume breaks below 114.68, then switch to wait and see. Position control within 20%, do not hold through a break.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you successful trading. —
$SOL#BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks
#BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks $SOL Is there anyone like me who buys and the price drops, sells and the price rises?
BTC current price 83274.6, resistance 84000, support 83000, bearish bias. I used to be like this, chasing the rise and then it immediately pulled back; cutting losses when it dropped, then it immediately rebounded. Lost 200,000 U back and forth.
Later I realized the biggest enemy for retail investors is not the market, but their own emotions. Now I open positions with 5000 U, only operating at key levels: short if 83000 breaks, long near 83800, no action in between. Every trade has a stop loss, no holding losing positions.
On the road to recovery, controlling your hands is more important than anything. $BTC #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ 835 failed to hold last night, and Bitcoin continued to decline in the early morning, hitting a low near 829. It is now at 833, ETH at 2566, and SOL at 116, down 4%. Note, it is only $400 away from our first buy-in level at 825, which is the closest it has been since the order was placed half a month ago. This overnight drop triggered long liquidations; the news is already reporting Bitcoin falling below 83,000, with MicroStrategy and Coinbase stock prices following suit, and panic sentiment beginning to surface. This is exactly the moment we've been waiting for half a month. Calmly doing the math, from the high of 86,989 to now, the cumulative pullback is less than 5%. A 5% pullback in a bull market is barely a warm-up and far from being damaging. Why is the 825 level critical? It was a strong support repeatedly tested in September and the area with the densest chip accumulation before this rally started. As long as this level holds, the entire upward structure remains intact. Today during the day, focus on two things: first, whether 825 will be precisely tested; second, after hitting it, whether there will be volume support and if it can be quickly reclaimed. In terms of operations, stick to discipline and don't act prematurely. When it really reaches 825, manually confirm the strength of support on site. The buy orders are reserved for moments of panic, and the market is currently delivering panic to us.#Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标感恩节前上市，若科技融资窗口回暖，风险偏好或回流主流币，但眼下以太坊仍处承压格局，我倾向弱势未改。
短周期与长周期罕见同步偏空：24h跌4.6%至2571.72，最低触及2532.55，1小时距高回落5.80%，4小时距低仅0.09%，几乎贴着地板走；成交额仅3007.4万，订单簿前十档买卖比0.24，卖压明显，资金费率-0.0028%显示空头情绪占上风。
策略上，反弹至2618.4可轻仓空，止损2672.6，目标2538.7；若急跌至2517.3附近且缩量，可反手多，止损2486.5，目标2604.2。仓位不超两成，破位即走。
——仅为个人看法，不构成投资建议，祝交易顺利。——
$ETH#Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市
#Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 $ETH #Winklevoss旗下机构申请ZEC现货ETF The privacy concept has again gained a compliant channel, with limited sentiment spillover to narrative-driven tokens like WLD. I judge it will still move in an independent range-bound pattern, lacking breakout momentum.
The 0.521 level, accompanied by a 5.5% drop and a turnover of 227 million, indicates selling pressure release; the 1-hour decline is 13.13% below the high, but the 4-hour remains 28.31% above the low, highlighting a short-term bearish and long-term bullish contradiction. The funding rate at -0.0035% shows bears slightly dominant, but the top 10 buy orders at 381,000 versus sell orders at 262,000, a ratio of 1.46, clearly indicate support at low levels. The 0.5077 level is the critical line, and unless 0.5544 is broken above, the range-bound pattern is unlikely to change.
If it pulls back to 0.5123 and stabilizes, a light long position can be tried, with a stop loss at 0.4987 and a target of 0.5471; if it breaks below 0.5077 with volume, reverse to short, stop loss at 0.5231, target 0.4817. Position size should not exceed 20%, and avoid heavy chasing before the funding rate turns positive.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you smooth trading. —
$WLD#Winklevoss旗下机构申请ZEC现货ETF
#Winklevoss旗下机构申请ZEC现货ETF $WLD #BTC whale sell pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks
There is a change that many people may not have noticed: whales have finally stopped dumping on exchanges, and ETFs have quietly been receiving funds for three consecutive weeks.
According to Glassnode data, the previous trend of whales continuously net transferring to exchanges for over three months has ended. Simply put, those large funds used to transfer coins to exchanges daily to prepare for selling, but now this action has stopped, easing potential selling pressure. On the other hand, the US Bitcoin spot ETF has had net inflows for three consecutive weeks as of October 2, with about $241 million coming in during the most recent week. One side has stopped dumping, and the other is still buying; the capital flow is indeed moving in a positive direction.
So what impact does this have on our crypto circle? I'll tell you two points.
First, this is a weakening of selling pressure, not a buying surge. Whales stopping transfers to exchanges means selling pressure has decreased, but it doesn't mean they have started buying aggressively. Although ETFs have had net inflows for three weeks, $241 million in one week is moderate compared to the previous peak of $1 billion in a single day. So this signal is somewhat positive but not enough to support a big bull market.
Second, short-term sentiment can catch a breath, but don't expect an immediate takeoff. Weaker selling pressure means stronger support below, but to break upwards, it's not enough that whales just stop selling; incremental buying must come in. Right now, funds are waiting on macro data, and no one dares to make big moves.
It's not quite enough fuel for a takeoff yet, but enough to stabilize. Don't rush, be patient and wait $BTC #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？
ETH 2574, 4H weak below previous low, 2538 determines direction
Market: 4H consecutive bearish candles downtrend, moving averages in bearish alignment, late session tested 2538 then with a small lower shadow pulled back to 2574, volume not expanded. Overall bearish bias, but previous low not effectively broken, not a one-sided acceleration.
Key levels:
• Support: 2538 (24H low/previous low)
• Resistance: 2617 (rebound high), 2699 (start of decline/short entry)
• Break reference: 2500 round number → 2300 target
Objective scenarios:
1. Effectively break 2538 and not recover → target 2500 → 2300
2. 2538 stabilizes + rebound → watch 2617 resistance, if breaks 2699 then weak turns to consolidation
3. Neither break nor hold → 2538-2699 weak consolidation
Trading view (my short at 2700):
Holding short at 2700, first target 2538, break target 2500 → 2300. Stop loss at 2699, reduce position if above to control risk. Lock in floating profits, do not chase shorts at low levels, wait for rebound resistance before acting.
Core: 2538 is the watershed; break means follow shorts to 2300, no break means beware of false break and rebound, hold steady and don’t panic 🔥
$ETH Hello brothers and sisters, I am Coin Brother.
Every deep market correction is never accidental; all declines are the inevitable result of accumulated sentiment and data!
I reviewed the latest OKX evening report data, and the logic behind this plunge is completely clear. Currently, in the high-level range, the ETH contract long-short ratio has directly risen to 2.11, clearly showing a severe clustering of longs across the entire network, with extremely crowded chips.
Data doesn't lie: the DeFi sector's 24-hour decline is approaching 4.7%, the overall market cap has retracted by 2.3%, and a differentiated downtrend has fully started. ETH has directly lost the critical 2600 support, quickly dropping from above 2700 to the current price of 2572, with longs collectively trapped.
What the heck is going on? Simply put, retail investors are crowded into longs, and the main forces are washing out and harvesting accordingly!
Tonight, the Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes are about to be released, and the market is completely uncertain about the future pace of rate hikes, with macro uncertainty maxed out. In such a market, daring to go full position long is not a game of strategy but purely handing over chips!
I don't rely on luck; I just understand the market data and retail trading psychology.
The iron rule in crypto has never been that oversold means a must-rise, but that weak markets will only continue to weaken until all high-leverage longs in the market are completely cleared.
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 $BTC $ETH $ZEC Speaking with data: BTC current price is 83274.6, 24h decline about 0.5%, resistance at 84000, support at 83000, bearish bias.
Key data: 83000 is a double support level with the round number and previous low, 84000 is a double resistance with the previous high and round number. The current price is only 274 points above support and 725 points below resistance, indicating limited downside space but a potentially large drop if the support breaks.
I opened a position with 5000U, plan: short if 83000 breaks, stop loss at 83300, target 82500; if 83000 holds and rebounds, short near 83800, stop loss at 84100, target 83000.
After losing 200,000U, I learned to make decisions based on data, not feelings. Never hold a position without stop loss, steadily recovering step by step. $BTC #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 The minutes did not support new highs. The S&P set a record high, hitting a 2002 high again during the 10-year period. Dow 51,180, down 341 points, down 0.7%. S&P 7,802, down 0.2%. Nasdaq 27,539, down 0.2%. Russell 2000 down about 1.3%. On Tuesday, the S&P closed above 7,800 for the first time, then dropped from the record on Wednesday. Small caps fell more than the index, so financing costs should be broadened first. The September minutes were written very straightforwardly. Most participants believed that raising the federal funds rate target range by another notch before year-end would still be appropriate. The decision depends on subsequent data. This is not a guaranteed increase in October; it means the rate hike path has not yet fallen within the year. Last week, the market just pushed the probability of an October rate hike to just over 20%, and the Minutes put the year-end tier back on the table. Auctions are tougher than Minutes. The $39 billion 10-year bid yield is 5.3%, the highest since 2000, but both the bid-to-cover ratio and indirect bids are not bad. During trading, the 10-year yield reached 5.365%, the highest since April 2002, and closed close back to around 5.28%. Bonds were sold, but prices didn't fall. Bank stocks closed lower, with Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, and JPMorgan all among them. The market isn't worried about not buying bonds, but that the 5.3% financing cost will hold back lending and AI capital expenditures. Oil didn't help. WTI closed at 88.28, down 1.3%. Brent closed at 100.20, down 0.4%. Still above 100. Caterpillar fell nearly 6%, CrowdStrike dropped nearly 5%, Meta fell more than 2%. Chip ETFs fell more than 1%.