
#LastNFPBeforeFOMC
Populärt
About LastNFPBeforeFOMC
One major release remains before the Sep 16 FOMC. August ADP payrolls rose just 38K versus 47K expected, the slowest since January. The Sep 2 Beige Book said 10 of 12 districts saw modest growth and hiring slowed. Yet CME still prices a 25bp hike at 62.3%. Core PCE held at 3.3%, while Carson found 54% of 178 PCE items rose over 3% YoY, up from 47% a year ago. Williams called inflation encouraging but stayed wait-and-see. August payrolls arrive Sep 4 at 8:30am, the final puzzle piece.
Populär
Senaste
LastNFPBeforeFOMC Populära inlägg
Fastnålad
Fredagens förhandsvisning av icke-jordbruksjobb: sysselsättningen svalnar medan inflationen studsar tillbaka, hur kommer Federal Reserve att välja?
Originaltitel: US August Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: Hur mycket kommer det att påverka Fed:s beslut om räntehöjning i september?
Originalförfattare: Yulia Zeng, TradingKey
Redaktörens anmärkning: US Bureau of Labor Statistics kommer att publicera augustis icke-jordbruksanställningsrapport den 4 september, vilket är den sista fullständiga sysselsättningsrapporten före Fed:s räntebeslut den 15–16 september. I juli minskade icke-jordbruksanställningarna oväntat med 23 000, och maj- och junidata re
NONFARM PAYROLLS: THE NEXT MARKET TEST
Friday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls could set the tone ahead of the September FOMC.
$BTC remains trapped around $77K–$79K, while $ETH struggles below $2.4K as liquidity stays thin.
Strong jobs data could strengthen hawkish Fed expectations and pressure risk assets.
Weak data could support a BTC rebound toward $80K, but not necessarily a sustained rally.
Until the data arrives, patience is better than taking an early position.
#LastNFPBeforeFOMC
NONFARM PAYROLLS: THE NEXT MARKET TEST
Friday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls could set the tone ahead of the September FOMC.
$BTC remains trapped around $77K–$79K, while $ETH struggles below $2.4K as liquidity stays thin.
Strong jobs data could strengthen hawkish Fed expectations and pressure risk assets.
#LastNFPBeforeFOMC #AVGODipsSNOWPops #SaudiCrude9YearLow
🚨 Friday could decide Bitcoin’s next big move.
$BTC is hovering around $80K, but the market feels like it’s holding its breath.
The big event? U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls this Friday at 8:30 PM. This is one of the last major data points before the September FOMC meeting.
Lately, finding a job hasn’t been as easy as it used to be, while prices are still stubbornly high. That’s why the Fed’s next move remains a huge debate.
#LastNFPBeforeFOMC #AVGODipsSNOWPops #SaudiCrude9YearLow
🚨 Friday could decide Bitcoin’s next big move.
$BTC is hovering around $80K, but the market feels like it’s holding its breath.
The big event? U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls this Friday at 8:30 PM. This is one of the last major data points before the September FOMC meeting.
Lately, finding a job hasn’t been as easy as it used to be, while prices are still stubbornly high. That’s why the Fed’s next move remains a huge debate.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #FOMC #NonFarmPayrolls #Fed
#DailyOrbit
#LastNFPBeforeFOMC August payrolls feel like the final piece the Fed has been waiting for before September 👀
ADP private payrolls rose by just 38K, below the 47K forecast and the weakest result since January. The Beige Book added to the softer picture: 10 of 12 districts reported only modest growth, while hiring slowed.
What I find interesting is that markets still price a 25bp hike at roughly 62.3%. The labor data is cooling, but inflation remains difficult to dismiss. Core PCE held at 3.3%, and 54% of tracked PCE components reportedly rose more than 3% YoY—up from 47% a year ago 📊
That explains why Williams could describe inflation as encouraging while still taking a wait-and-see approach.
Tomorrow’s payroll report probably won’t settle every argument, but it should show which risk currently worries the Fed more: persistent inflation or a labor market losing momentum.
📊 BTC & FED WATCH 👀
The market is getting nervous about a possible September Fed rate hike, especially as oil prices rise and Treasury yields remain elevated.
But here’s the key: expectations are not the same as reality. 🔥
The upcoming U.S. jobs and CPI data could still change the Fed’s decision.
Stay patient. Watch the data, not the noise. 🧠₿
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #CryptoNews #Fed #InterestRates #BitcoinNews #CryptoMarket #Trading #Web3 #DeFi #DYOR

The probability of a rate hike in September continues to rise
After the Jackson Hole speech, the probability of a rate hike in September surged directly from 35% to nearly 60%-66%. The latest CME FedWatch data shows the probability of a rate hike has reached 66.1%. The non-farm payroll data this Friday (September 4) will be a key catalyst—if employment exceeds expectations, the rate hike expectation will be confirmed, and the market may take another hit. $BTC $ETH $SOL #Robinhood
August payrolls missed hard (38K), and hike odds went from 68-72% down to ~45% almost overnight. The NFP test I flagged actually broke the hawkish narrative, at least for now. Official BLS NFP still due Sept 4 that's the next real trigger. This is exactly why I don't call things settled before the data shows up.#NFPTestsSeptHikeOdds
Ögonblicksbild vid 02 sep. 2026, 22:42

NFP: THE NEXT CRYPTO TEST
Markets now price around a 70% chance of a 25bps Fed hike in September. The September 4 NFP is the key test, with weak labor data potentially challenging the hawkish outlook.
Strong NFP → higher hike odds → pressure on $BTC, $ETH and $SOL.
Weak NFP → lower hike expectations → potential crypto relief.
Meanwhile, spot ETF flows remain crucial for $BTC as macro pressure and rising yields weigh on risk assets.
NFP + Fed + ETF flows could shape September’s crypto direction.

BTC has slipped below the $77,000 level.
US equity futures are also trading lower, while the DXY is moving higher, adding pressure to risk assets.
Pre-market snapshot:
▫️ Nasdaq futures: -0.03%
▫️ S&P 500 futures: -0.29%
Risk sentiment remains cautious heading into the US session.
#NFPTestsSeptHikeOdds
#RobinhoodChainRWAvsMemes
#DellAIServerBeat
