#LastNFPBeforeFOMC

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One major release remains before the Sep 16 FOMC. August ADP payrolls rose just 38K versus 47K expected, the slowest since January. The Sep 2 Beige Book said 10 of 12 districts saw modest growth and hiring slowed. Yet CME still prices a 25bp hike at 62.3%. Core PCE held at 3.3%, while Carson found 54% of 178 PCE items rose over 3% YoY, up from 47% a year ago. Williams called inflation encouraging but stayed wait-and-see. August payrolls arrive Sep 4 at 8:30am, the final puzzle piece.

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LastNFPBeforeFOMC Populära inlägg

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Blockbeats
Blockbeats
Fredagens förhandsvisning av icke-jordbruksjobb: sysselsättningen svalnar medan inflationen studsar tillbaka, hur kommer Federal Reserve att välja?
Originaltitel: US August Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: Hur mycket kommer det att påverka Fed:s beslut om räntehöjning i september? Originalförfattare: Yulia Zeng, TradingKey Redaktörens anmärkning: US Bureau of Labor Statistics kommer att publicera augustis icke-jordbruksanställningsrapport den 4 september, vilket är den sista fullständiga sysselsättningsrapporten före Fed:s räntebeslut den 15–16 september. I juli minskade icke-jordbruksanställningarna oväntat med 23 000, och maj- och junidata re
Bit_Danu
Bit_Danu
NONFARM PAYROLLS: THE NEXT MARKET TEST Friday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls could set the tone ahead of the September FOMC. $BTC remains trapped around $77K–$79K, while $ETH struggles below $2.4K as liquidity stays thin. Strong jobs data could strengthen hawkish Fed expectations and pressure risk assets. Weak data could support a BTC rebound toward $80K, but not necessarily a sustained rally. Until the data arrives, patience is better than taking an early position. #LastNFPBeforeFOMC
margull Rani
margull Rani
NONFARM PAYROLLS: THE NEXT MARKET TEST Friday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls could set the tone ahead of the September FOMC. $BTC remains trapped around $77K–$79K, while $ETH struggles below $2.4K as liquidity stays thin. Strong jobs data could strengthen hawkish Fed expectations and pressure risk assets. #LastNFPBeforeFOMC #AVGODipsSNOWPops #SaudiCrude9YearLow
Musa janjua
Musa janjua
🚨 Friday could decide Bitcoin’s next big move. $BTC is hovering around $80K, but the market feels like it’s holding its breath. The big event? U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls this Friday at 8:30 PM. This is one of the last major data points before the September FOMC meeting. Lately, finding a job hasn’t been as easy as it used to be, while prices are still stubbornly high. That’s why the Fed’s next move remains a huge debate. #LastNFPBeforeFOMC #AVGODipsSNOWPops #SaudiCrude9YearLow
浩泽   Hào Zé
浩泽 Hào Zé
🚨 Friday could decide Bitcoin’s next big move. $BTC is hovering around $80K, but the market feels like it’s holding its breath. The big event? U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls this Friday at 8:30 PM. This is one of the last major data points before the September FOMC meeting. Lately, finding a job hasn’t been as easy as it used to be, while prices are still stubbornly high. That’s why the Fed’s next move remains a huge debate. #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #FOMC #NonFarmPayrolls #Fed #DailyOrbit
Katie_OKX
Katie_OKX
#LastNFPBeforeFOMC August payrolls feel like the final piece the Fed has been waiting for before September 👀 ADP private payrolls rose by just 38K, below the 47K forecast and the weakest result since January. The Beige Book added to the softer picture: 10 of 12 districts reported only modest growth, while hiring slowed. What I find interesting is that markets still price a 25bp hike at roughly 62.3%. The labor data is cooling, but inflation remains difficult to dismiss. Core PCE held at 3.3%, and 54% of tracked PCE components reportedly rose more than 3% YoY—up from 47% a year ago 📊 That explains why Williams could describe inflation as encouraging while still taking a wait-and-see approach. Tomorrow’s payroll report probably won’t settle every argument, but it should show which risk currently worries the Fed more: persistent inflation or a labor market losing momentum.
DAHA DG TECH HUB
DAHA DG TECH HUB
📊 BTC & FED WATCH 👀 The market is getting nervous about a possible September Fed rate hike, especially as oil prices rise and Treasury yields remain elevated. But here’s the key: expectations are not the same as reality. 🔥 The upcoming U.S. jobs and CPI data could still change the Fed’s decision. Stay patient. Watch the data, not the noise. 🧠₿ #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #CryptoNews #Fed #InterestRates #BitcoinNews #CryptoMarket #Trading #Web3 #DeFi #DYOR
BullishCryptoX
BullishCryptoX
The probability of a rate hike in September continues to rise After the Jackson Hole speech, the probability of a rate hike in September surged directly from 35% to nearly 60%-66%. The latest CME FedWatch data shows the probability of a rate hike has reached 66.1%. The non-farm payroll data this Friday (September 4) will be a key catalyst—if employment exceeds expectations, the rate hike expectation will be confirmed, and the market may take another hit. $BTC $ETH $SOL #Robinhood
Callistemon
Callistemon
August payrolls missed hard (38K), and hike odds went from 68-72% down to ~45% almost overnight. The NFP test I flagged actually broke the hawkish narrative, at least for now. Official BLS NFP still due Sept 4 that's the next real trigger. This is exactly why I don't call things settled before the data shows up.#NFPTestsSeptHikeOdds

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Felix.Crypto
Felix.Crypto
NFP: THE NEXT CRYPTO TEST Markets now price around a 70% chance of a 25bps Fed hike in September. The September 4 NFP is the key test, with weak labor data potentially challenging the hawkish outlook. Strong NFP → higher hike odds → pressure on $BTC, $ETH and $SOL. Weak NFP → lower hike expectations → potential crypto relief. Meanwhile, spot ETF flows remain crucial for $BTC as macro pressure and rising yields weigh on risk assets. NFP + Fed + ETF flows could shape September’s crypto direction.
ayanshahid
ayanshahid
BTC has slipped below the $77,000 level. US equity futures are also trading lower, while the DXY is moving higher, adding pressure to risk assets. Pre-market snapshot: ▫️ Nasdaq futures: -0.03% ▫️ S&P 500 futures: -0.29% Risk sentiment remains cautious heading into the US session. #NFPTestsSeptHikeOdds #RobinhoodChainRWAvsMemes #DellAIServerBeat