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Lio hunter
SOL is currently around 75.7u, and at this position, I will continue to observe without rushing to take sides.
The price has been oscillating around 76 for several days, with a 7-day low of 72 and a high of 77.8, stuck within this range. In the short term, it’s close to the 20-day moving average, but the 50-day moving average is pressing down overhead, preventing a breakthrough. The 4-hour trend is still downward. Technically, the ADX is just above 11, indicating a typical weak trend market, moving like a tug-of-war with no clear advantage for either side.
But if you say it’s weak, the news side isn’t. In the past 24 hours, social media sentiment has been overwhelmingly bullish, with positive feedback from ETF inflows and ecosystem revenue. The spot market’s buy orders are nearly 60% thicker than sell orders, and large orders in the 15-minute chart are still net inflows. Over 70% of large accounts are long, and the chip structure shows no intention to exit.
The problem is this—there’s plenty of good news and strong sentiment, but the price just can’t rise. The 3-hour spot market is actually showing net outflows, indicating that this heat is more on the surface and in order book placements, with real sustained capital not yet following through.
So my view is: good news and price are in conflict, so don’t rush to chase before the direction is clear. Watch if the 72-74 range can hold on the downside, and if 76-77 can break out with volume on the upside. Wait for the capital to give the answer before making a move; it’s more comfortable than guessing the direction now.
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Дисклеймер: контент OKX Orbit предоставляется исключительно в информационных целях. Подробнее
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