#PPIHotCPINext

#PPIHotCPINext August PPI came in hot at 5.4% YoY, but the details make the inflation picture less straightforward than the headline suggests 🌡️ Energy and commodity prices kept producer inflation elevated, while core PPI rose just 0.2% MoM—slightly below expectations. Treasury yields and the dollar still strengthened, and markets moved toward higher odds of a September Fed hike. What caught my attention is how much of the pressure is coming from supply-sensitive categories rather than broad underlying inflation. Monetary policy can reduce demand, but it can’t directly solve energy disruptions or geopolitical risk. The ECB’s 25bp hike and higher 2027–2028 inflation forecasts reinforce that concern, especially with the Middle East identified as a major upside risk 🛢️ Tonight’s CPI is the final major input before the September 16 Fed decision. I’m curious whether consumer prices confirm the PPI warning—or show that producer costs haven’t fully passed through.

$BTC is heading into the PPI release with the market already focused on inflation and rate expectations. If PPI comes in hot, yields and risk-off pressure could increase. If it’s softer, bulls may get some relief, but tomorrow’s CPI remains the bigger test. I’m not trying to predict the candle. Data first → price reaction → confirmation. The best trade might simply be waiting for the market to show its hand. $BTC $ETH $SOL #PPI #CPI #Crypto

❗️U.S. Macro — PPI MoM = +0.4% (expected +0.3% / previous +0%) YoY = +5.4% (expected +5.1% / previous +4.7%) Core PPI MoM = +0.2% (expected +0.2% / previous +0.2%) YoY = +4.6% (expected +4.5% / previous +4.2%) In addition, yields on 2-year Treasuries jumped to 4.47%—the highest level since July 2024.

🇺🇸 Fed rate hike odds jumped to 58% after today's PPI data.

US PPI data will be released today. Expectations: 5.3% If PPI = 5.3%, a slight dump. If PPI < 5.3%, pump and rate hike odds will go down. If PPI > 5.3%, dump and rate hike odds will rise. $BICO

$MACRO $PPI PPI lands in less than two hours. Markets are already priced for acceleration. Consensus expects August headline PPI +0.4% MoM and +5.3% YoY, a clear step-up from the flat July print. Core is seen at +0.3% MoM / +4.6% YoY. This is the last major inflation print before tomorrow’s CPI and next week’s FOMC. If it came higher than 0.4%, expect a drop in the markets across the board and if it came equal or lower than 0.4%, expect some relief. NDX, SPX and Bitcoin all sit downstream

🚨PPI INFLATION DAY🚨 US PPI data drops today at 8:30 AM ET. Previous: 4.7% | Forecast: 5.3% Market reaction:👇 > Below 5.3% → Bullish reaction > Above 5.3% → Bearish reaction > In line at 5.3% → Mixed reaction A major macro event to watch.

I’m starting to feel that even after tomorrow’s CPI, the market could remain stuck in indecision for a few more days. Crypto is simply too fragile right now. Just look at how quickly BTC and ETH sold off immediately after today’s data. The reason is pretty simple: CPI is only the last piece of the puzzle. The real decision comes with the September FOMC. PPI has already added fuel to the inflation narrative, with August’s year-over-year increase reaching 5.4%. #DailyOrbit

$BTC is facing a tougher macro backdrop. US PPI accelerated to 5.4% YoY in August, Brent crude jumped above $107, and the 10Y Treasury yield moved close to 4.95%. Hot inflation + higher yields can pressure risk assets, even if crypto ETF demand remains positive. Today’s CPI reaction may decide whether $BTC reclaims $80K or retests lower support.

Hot PPI has reignited inflation concerns and lifted Fed hawkish expectations, putting short-term pressure on $BTC . Today’s real variable remains CPI. Another hot CPI print would further validate the bearish setup.