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$BTC: Historic Indicator Suggests the Bottom May Be Near Realized Price by Age tracks the average price at which different groups of Bitcoin last moved on-chain, helping estimate their cost basis. The pink line represents BTC held for 3–6 months, while the blue line represents BTC held for 1–2 years. In 2015, 2019, and 2022, bottom formation began when the pink line crossed below the blue line. This suggested newer holders were capitulating and transferring BTC into stronger, longer-term hands. We’re now seeing this crossover for the fourth time, with Bitcoin trading below both groups’ average cost basis. Historically, this signal didn’t mean an instant reversal. BTC often moved sideways for months while the market built a base and entered an accumulation zone. That’s why I believe we may be witnessing a similar bottom-formation and long-term accumulation phase. I’ve been buying step by step between $54K–$64K for weeks and sharing my 5% buy orders in real time with premium members. This is educational content, not financial advice.