#USCPIReignitesHikeOdds
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About USCPIReignitesHikeOdds
US August CPI rose 0.4% MoM, holding 3.4% YoY; core CPI ticked up to 0.3% MoM while the annual rate eased to 2.4%. PPI hit 5.4% YoY above expectations; core PPI a mild 0.2% MoM. Combined with strong jobs data, Sept hike odds jumped from ~70 to 90%. Yet markets didn't trade one-way: BTC rose from ~$76.4K to $78K and XAUT climbed to ~$4,390. The debate: will energy and production costs pass through to services, or does cooling core inflation give the Fed room to hold Sept 16?
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At 7:30 PM tonight, BTC faces the biggest test of the week with the US CPI.
CPI is forecasted to increase by 3.4% YoY, while Core CPI is expected to drop from 2.5% to 2.4%, which is the figure the market will scrutinize the most.
If lower than expected, it could boost BTC back higher than forecast, but both Long and Short positions should be cautious of a strong sweep.
This is shared information, not investment advice.
$BTC — bulls are defending the battlefield 👀
BTC is holding the $76.5K–$77K shelf while markets digest CPI and rising Fed-hike odds. Macro pressure is still high, but buyers haven’t surrendered the key support.
Reclaim $80K and $82K–$84K opens. Lose $76.5K, and $74K–$75K becomes vulnerable.
For me: bullish above $76.5K — $80K is the trigger.
$BTC & $ETH —AFTER THE SHOCK, WHO IS REGAINING CONFIDENCE?
Yesterday,hot PPI rattled markets.$BTC fell toward $76K,while $ETH dropped near $2.40K.Leverage was flushed,Fed expectations shifted,and the bullish narrative suddenly looked fragile.
But the story is changing.
$BTC rebounded to $77.93K,while $ETH surged to $2.51K,reclaiming MA5/MA10/MA20 as BTC still fights to recover MA20.
This isn’t a breakout yet.But buyers haven’t disappeared.With CPI now in focus,the rebound will face its next test
INSANE VOLATILITY IN BITCOIN
08:30: US CPI data comes in, Bitcoin dumps $1,120 in 1 minute.
08:31: Reversal starts almost immediately as the selloff fades.
09:30: US markets open, and Bitcoin rips higher.
08:30-10:00: Bitcoin jumps 5% in 90 minutes, peaking at $79,800.
10:00-11:55: Bitcoin dropped $2,500 to $77,300.
$BTC
A jump in hike odds is not the same as a clean risk-off signal. BTC and XAUT both rose even as September hike odds reached roughly 90%.
My read: the harder question is whether energy and production costs feed into services. With annual core CPI easing to 2.4%, the case for a hike looks less settled than the odds suggest. That tension matters more than the headline alone.
#USCPIReignitesHikeOdds
🚨 $BTC JUST GOT A NEW MACRO HEADWIND
Bitcoin is trading around $77K after August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month, coming in faster than expected. That has pushed fresh concerns about a possible Fed rate hike next week.
With the 10-year Treasury yield still near 5%, BTC is now fighting both inflation pressure and tighter-rate expectations.
If $77K holds, buyers still have a chance to reclaim $78K–$80K.
#PPIHotCPINext
#OracleAICloudUp121%
#BTCSpotETFOutflows
👀 $BTC | CPI = DECISION TIME
BTC is hovering near $77K, but the next move matters more than the current candle.
📉 Softer inflation → room for risk appetite
📈 Hotter inflation → pressure on BTC and broader risk assets
Either way, I’m not trading the first spike.
Let volatility cool down.
Wait for structure.
Then act.
Confirmation > FOMO. 🧠📊
#BTC #Bitcoin #USCPI
$BTC IS SITTING AT A CRITICAL DECISION POINT. 👀
Bitcoin is hovering around $77K as the market digests today’s U.S. inflation data.
The reaction could go either way:
🔥 Cooler CPI → risk-on potential
⚠️ Hotter CPI → more pressure on risk assets
I’m not interested in chasing the first candle.
Let volatility settle. Let the market confirm the direction.
Confirmation > FOMO. 📊
#USCPIReignitesHikeOdds #OracleAICloudUp121% #BTCSpotETFOutflows
