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峰哥的交易日记
峰哥的交易日记
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Doctor Profit今天发话了。 原话是:“未来几天比特币看空声音可能增强,多头将承受更大压力。” 有意思的是——他没说“因为某个数据”或“因为某个事件”。 一个靠交易吃饭的人,不说具体原因,只说“看空声音会变多”——他在预判什么? 不是宏观事件,不是政策利空,是情绪周期本身。 “看空声音”从哪里来? 剧本已经写好了: 第一步:比特币冲上8万,追高的人在箱体上沿冲进去。 第二步:价格回落,这部分人被套。 第三步:被套的人开始恐慌——到处找理由说服自己“牛市结束了”,然后在社交媒体上疯狂唱空。 第四步:媒体放大恐慌,更多人跟风卖出,形成自我实现的短期下跌。 这就是Doctor Profit在提醒你的东西—— 接下来你会看到铺天盖地的“看空理由”,但大部分都是噪音。 真正值得关注的反常细节是什么? 他说“看空声音会变强”,但—— 他自己6.2万美元建的现货仓位,没动。没做空,没卖出。 一个人跟你说“天要黑了”,然后自己站在原地不动。 你猜他是在提醒你带伞,还是想让你先跑? 从7月止盈12万美元空单以来,他一直在定投BTC。从对冲者转为纯多头,押注的是AI股调整与加密脱钩的延续。 嘴上说看空声音会变多,身体却很诚实。 过去两周发生了什么? 累积清算规模超过97亿美元——空头爆仓65.5亿,多头爆仓31.6亿。 多空一起被“挤爆”。 但恐慌与贪婪指数仍然停在69——“贪婪” 。 97亿清算都没把情绪打下去。 这意味着什么? 杠杆被阶段性挤出去了,但贪婪还在。 新的杠杆很快会重新堆上来——然后下一轮清洗。 这不是趋势反转,这是清洗追高者和不坚定者的正常流程。 8.2万美元——真正的战场 8.2万已经成为市场公认的多空分水岭。 8万到8.2万这个区间,聚集了接近8%的比特币流通供应量。 光8万美元这一个价位,就集中了约5%的筹码。 这是比特币历史上最密集的阻力区域之一。 一旦价格回到这个区域,大量之前买入的人回到成本线——他们会卖。 这就是“供应墙”。 Doctor Profit给出的箱体是7.1万-8.2万。 7.1万是底,8.2万是顶。 他说无论突破发生在第一次还是第三次尝试,最终向上。 当市场一致看多的时候,风险最大。 当“看空声音增强”但“大仓位不动”的时候——往往是聪明钱在收集筹码。 如果你在7.1万到8.2万之间被洗下车,这个箱体对你来说就是“亏损区间” 。 如果你看懂了,它就是“蓄力区间” 。 Doctor Profit在用一种极其隐晦的方式告诉你—— 接下来你会看到很多噪音。别被噪音带走。 $BTC $ETH $TRUMP #BTC高位多空拉锯,黄金联动增强
峰哥的交易日记
峰哥的交易日记
The man who precisely shorted 74,688 just spoke again Five speed reads, keep up with the pace in 3 minutes. Quick Reading 1: Each bear market is gentler than the last Kira reviewed several rounds of bull and bear data and found a pattern—the bear market pullback narrows with each cycle. The bottom of this round is very likely over. Those still waiting for the $50,000 bottom in October, wake up. Speed Reading Two: 50,000? The Illusion of the Skywalker Killa's exact words are: "It's almost impossible for it to drop to $50,000 in October." Who said this? In mid-April, there was a precise short position at $74,688, and on June 5, when the market fell across the board, it turned bullish. The words the Skywalker fears most are to hear, and he said them for you. Quick Reading Three: But Don't Get Excited Too Soon — 20 billion is waiting for you If Bitcoin falls to $61,000, the expected long position liquidation could reach $20 billion. Market makers are not philanthropists. They have a strong motivation to harvest you first, then build their own warehouses. The bottom is 62,000, but the road is still covered with 20 billion in corpses. Quick Reading Four: His analytical logic has changed Previously, Killa looked at cycle patterns and the proportion of profitable addresses. This time, he is looking at the "market maker liquidation game." What does that mean? The number 62,000 isn't calculated; it's shouted against the leverage structure. The bottom can stand, but the path to the bottom may be a directional wash targeting the lever. Quick Read 5: How Ordinary Players Respond Don't go all-in at 62,000 yuan. and other opportunities for insertion under 61,000. Let the market maker help you complete the final drop before you enter. $BTC $ETH $TRUMP #BTC高位多空拉锯, the gold linkage has strengthened

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