Post

Cato_KT
Cato_KT
Influential Creator
Show original
当然除了宏观+政策利好情绪之外,#Bitcoin 上涨还需要有一定的数据支撑,而最为关键的就是ETF的净流入与加密主流资金的情况 8月19日昨天的美国交易日,BTC ETF 单日净流入月5.172亿美元,这是本周连续第三次净流入,同时也是近3个月来最大的单日净流入, 最重要的是,本次ETF净流入并非单纯集中在IBIT一家,其中净流入的45%由其他ETF商家贡献,显然宏观与政策的利好短期刺激了全面买入情绪的增加 加密市场数据方面,对比了一下8月18与目前的数据情况 1,市值短期增幅中,除 #BTC 之外增幅最大的就是 #ETH 多头乐观情绪逐渐蔓延 2,交易量整体增幅一倍,BTC增幅2.5倍,ETH 增幅5倍,ETH短期交易量激增 3,资金方面市场资金总量净流入增加11亿,但是主力资金主要是来自USDC提供的4.36亿净流入,USDT并未出现明显净流入 加密市场数据整体来看还算乐观,乐观情绪逐渐扩大,交易量增加,美区资金回流,与ETF数据相互照应,数据是进一步验证支撑价格上涨的主要因素之一 #BTC突破72000美元,本轮上涨能否延续?
Cato_KT
Cato_KT
#Bitcoin has made a regular rebound from the bottom, greatly increasing the probability of successfully establishing a bottom range. As for the bull run? Not that fast!
#Bitcoin's regular rebound from the bottom has greatly increased the probability of successfully establishing a bottom range. As for a bull return? Not that fast! The long-dormant crypto market saw an accelerated rise during the Asia-Europe session, which many friends regard as a bull return. I originally didn't want to dampen spirits, but looking at the Fibonacci on the daily chart, you'll find that it has only just broken out of the bottom range and hasn't even completed an initial rebound yet. Actually, you can refer to the low point on February 6, after which BTC price completed a regular rebound in 41 periods, followed by a breakout rebound, yet still hit a new low at 58,000. Of course, I'm not trying to be bearish or scare anyone. From my perspective, a regular rebound or a strong rebound breaking through 74,200 is good for establishing the bottom range. Once the rebound completes and falls back without breaking the new low, the 58,000 level basically marks the completion of this bottom range. However, to say a new trend has started now seems a bit far-fetched. Currently, it is clearly the Asia-Europe market's sentiment driven by macro policies and the White House crypto meeting. The rise is accompanied by shrinking volume. Next, we need to watch for concentrated selling pressure at 74,200, which could easily cause short-term downside risk or even directly end the rebound trend. #BTC突破69000美元,这轮上涨能走多远? After all, the current macro-side positive factors are time-sensitive. The White House crypto meeting only changes policy expectations but doesn't push actual policies much, so it is also time-sensitive. Therefore, as time moves into next week, this positive factor is likely to become "history." Next, we can watch how #BTC price performs

Disclaimer: OKX Orbit content is provided for informational purposes only. Learn more

Replies

No comments yet. Be the first to reply!