Miners Become 'Landlords': Behind the $9.1 billion AI order, Bitcoin's supply logic is being rewritten
If a Bitcoin mining company no longer makes money by selling coins—
Would you still look at it by the valuation of "miners"?
On August 10, Riot Platforms dropped a bombshell.
AI giant Anthropic—the company behind Claude—signed a 20-year hash rate lease with Riot.
$9.1 billion, guaranteed minimum level.
If both renewal options are fulfilled—$16.1 billion.
Riot's approach is simple: lease 191 megawatts of power capacity from the Rockdale campus in Texas to Anthropic for AI operations.
As soon as the news broke, Riot's stock price surged 25% in after-hours trading, surging to $24.40.
A Bitcoin mining company sold "electricity" instead of "coins," giving itself a 25% increase.
But if you think this is a simple positive story—you're too naive.
Riot released its Q2 earnings report on the same day.
Revenue was $174.2 million, exceeding expectations. However, net losses were $237.2 million, nearly double the market expectation.
Losing 237 million yuan, the stock price rose 25%.
What is the market betting on?
The bet is that Riot is no longer just a "mining company."
Behind this is an ongoing structural migration.
In the first half of 2026, Riot has already sold 9,665 Bitcoins, cashing out $732.5 million.
Why sell?
Because mining is no longer profitable.
The mining costs including depreciation for US-listed mining companies have already soared to $112,000. And how much is Bitcoin now? Around $64,000.
Digging one is a loss for another.
So mining companies collectively searched for solutions. Core Scientific's AI data center revenue soared from $8.6 million to $77.5 million, a ninefold year-on-year increase. IREN, Hut 8, Cipher Mining—all are turning.
This is not a choice, but survival.
Riot's $9.1 billion deal has pushed "transformation" to a new level.
Bernstein's analysts did the math: AI hosting accounts for 84% of Riot's target enterprise value, while Bitcoin mining only makes up 11%.
84% vs 11%。
Is this still a "Bitcoin mining company"?
H.C. Wainwright directly raised Riot's price target from $25 to $40. Morgan Stanley set a target price of $36, rating it as "Overweight."
Wall Street is redefining this company.
So what does this mean for those of us who hold Bitcoin?
Three matters, each one deeply moving.
First: Miners' pressure to sell coins is easing.
Previously, miners were the "native sellers" of Bitcoin—they had to sell large amounts of Bitcoin every month to pay electricity bills and buy new mining machines.
But things are different now. Riot sold 9,665 bitcoins in the first half of 2026 to invest in AI infrastructure. But after investing this money, it yielded 20 years of stable rental income of $9.1 billion.
Once AI leases start generating cash flow, miners no longer need to rely on selling coins to keep operating.
Reduced selling pressure → reduced BTC selling pressure.
Second: The valuation logic of mining companies has changed.
How did the market view mining companies in the past? They looked at hash rate, the number of mining machines, and the mining cost per coin.
What about the future? Look at power capacity, long-term contracts, and customer credit.
The capital market has consistently discounted valuations of Bitcoin mining companies, with EBITDA multipliers typically only 6 to 12 times.
But what about AI data center companies?
More than 10 times higher.
The same assets—electricity, land, data centers—are labeled differently, and their valuations differ by nearly half.
The third: and the most important item—
Bitcoin's "supply-side narrative" is being rewritten.
Over the past decade, the core narrative of "halving → reduced supply → price increases" has been Bitcoin's core narrative.
But if miners no longer rely on selling coins to maintain cash flow—is the supply shock from the halving still that big?
No one can answer this question now.
Riot's deal will not be fully commercially operational until June 2028.
$9.1 billion is the total revenue over 20 years, which averages out to about $450 million per year. Riot's current annual revenue is around $700 million.
Distant water cannot quench the nearby thirst.
Moreover, the market has already started to cool down. The day after the announcement, Riot's stock price gave back some of its gains during regular trading.
Wall Street's attitude toward AI transformation among mining companies has shifted from "fanatic" to "rational." Early AI announcements could trigger an average of 24% of stock price volatility, but now only 10% remains.
The storytelling stage is over; now it's about real money.
So back to the initial question:
Is Riot still a "Bitcoin mining company"?
From the perspective of income structure—not yet. From the perspective of valuation logic—things have already started to change. In the long run—perhaps not anymore.
Miners are shifting from "coin sellers" to "rent collectors."
What this means for Bitcoin may need to be reconsidered.
Do you think mining companies' transition to AI is a good thing or a bad thing?
$BTC$ETH$SOL#比特币矿企Riot获Anthropic算力大单
Disclaimer: OKX Orbit content is provided for informational purposes only. Learn more