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Cato_KT
Cato_KT
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功德+1,参议院在夏季休会前算是办了一件大事,大大减缓了10月1日可能因为国会博弈造成的政府停摆可能性 相信去年的美国历史上最长政府停摆事件还是历历在目,所以对于国会议员来说,如果不能提前避免政府停摆,其他事项都会被延后推动 而这个事情,对《清晰法案》本身是一个重要利好,这意味着9月14日后美国参议院有更多的时间来推动清晰法案了。 而对于宏观来说,9月份的政治风险减少一个,让市场聚焦点集中在宏观经济数据、利率调整与中期选举上,减少了一个不确定性!#CLARITY表决推迟至9月,监管窗口后移
Cato_KT
Cato_KT
Regarding the Clarity Act, we did not receive notice of the Senate's delayed recess in Thune, but we did receive confirmation that the bill would be postponed as a whole The Senate's summer recess on August 7 will not be delayed, and the Clear Bill clearly does not require procedural voting before the recess, but will proceed with the Clear Bill immediately after it resumes on September 14 Next, the focus shifts. This week, the original concern was whether a vote can be held before the August recess, and the next focus is whether Thun should submit a file cloture (motion ends). Once the cloture is submitted, it means the bill will need to be voted on Pay attention to the timeline. During the remaining day of the Senate session, pay attention to whether Thun has submitted a cloture, If the cloture is submitted before Senate members leave Washington, it means the Clarity Act will be voted on by full congress as early as September 15, If Thun does not submit a cloture at this stage, it means to submit a cloture after the reconciliation, and then the earliest procedural vote will be held on September 16 This is the focus we need to focus on from today to tomorrow, and for the bill itself, referencing it after the September return is not actually that optimistic Once the midterm elections in September begin, lawmakers will become more cautious in voting, raising the conditions and thresholds for supporting bills, making it even harder to secure 60 votes in September The resolution of the Clear Bill requires 60 votes to conclude, and according to current information, whether 50 votes can be secured remains highly uncertain, so the difficulty of 60 votes may have to be contested during this month's gap. If Thun could submit a cloture before leaving Washington, I think Thun would be more confident! #CLARITY投票或延至9月, the ethical divide remains unresolved

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