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To prove your private key hasn't been stolen,
you have to hand it over once again.
This is not a joke.
This is a new Bitcoin proposal requirement.
It's called BIP461.
Author: Liam Gilligan.
Merged on September 16, still in Draft status.
In one sentence, what it wants to do:
Set a standard answer for signatures; if someone answers differently, there might be something fishy.
Sounds pretty reliable, right?
But first, think about it, how to compare?
For the same transaction,
you have to use another clean device to sign it exactly the same way again.
To have that device sign it,
you have to give it your private key first.
To prove it hasn't been stolen, you have to steal it yourself first.
Isn't this just looking for trouble?
Writing this, I really want to curse.
There's an even darker layer.
In the future, attackers won't even need to modify your firmware.
They just need to make a "signature consistency checking tool," and you bring your private key to them yourself.
The tool is fake, the key is real. Haha, you tell me what kind of mind that is.
And the cost.
The only ones who can really run this comparison are researchers and manufacturers.
Ordinary people only see one sentence: "It is recommended to verify."
Then they comply. No one tells them what this step is actually doing.
There's one more thing no one mentions.
Once signatures are required to
"have the same output for the same input,"
it's no longer just a signature.
It's a fingerprint; your device model, firmware version, operating habits—all can be classified.
These used to be hidden in diversity. ZEC current price is 1438, I'm watching my OKX account, long position floating loss of 8%, only two words in my mind: numb.
Opened position at 1472, at that time I saw it drop from 1697, thought it should rebound after falling more than 200, but I didn't close it, this crazy knife is unreasonable, it slipped down again. At 1438, it has already broken the previous low of 1444, short-term clearly turning weak. I glanced at the order book, buy orders are sparse, sell orders are piled up, volume is not large but price just can't rise, indicating bulls have no strength, bears are slowly grinding.
$ZEC key levels I mark:
Support: 1400-1420, if broken I have to seriously consider reducing position, no emotional attachment.
Resistance: 1480-1520, if it can't rebound past this, it's weak, if given a chance I'll run part of my position first.
My plan: reduce half if it breaks 1400, stop loss below 1380, no catching falling knives. If it can stop falling with shrinking volume near 1420, I might hold a bit more, wait for rebound near 1480 to exit. ZEC is hard to trade both long and short, this time I chased longs recklessly, I accept it.That wave in the late night, probably many people were staring at the order book cursing.
BTC and ETH played the same old trick again: first a fake drop, then a real pull-up, back and forth several times, the price almost returning to the starting point, but the positions changed hands.
BTC suddenly plunged at midnight, looking like it was about to break down, but it didn’t fall much and was pulled back. In 24 hours, liquidations totaled $115 million, with long liquidations at $46.82 million, short liquidations at $68.17 million, the largest single liquidation at $7.56 million, and 7,024 people liquidated, with volatility exceeding 3.48%. ETH’s movement was similar: first smashed then pulled up, liquidations at $69.23 million, longs at $41.27 million, shorts at $27.96 million, largest single liquidation at $4.73 million, 4,386 people out, volatility over 3.19%.
The familiar formula, sweeping up and down. When you think it’s breaking down and chase shorts, it pulls you back; when you think it’s stabilizing and chase longs, it smashes you down again. The price barely moved, but accounts moved first.
But looking at the big picture, the upward trend of BTC and ETH hasn’t broken yet. Sharp drops and slow rises are normal shakeouts in a bullish market. The liquidation data shows that leverage in the market is still hot; a shake clears some positions, making it lighter afterward.
The late-night spike is a cure for stubbornness. Leaving room in your position prevents being wiped out by a single line.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 $ZEC is moving like a coiled spring—sweeping both sides without giving bulls or bears a clean breakout. 👀 Grayscale remains constructive, noting ZEC’s market-cap share vs.$BTC has grown from under 0.1% to ~1.5%, with further potential if its privacy advantage holds. Meanwhile, the NU7 upgrade is approaching, with testnet activity expected soon and the mainnet targeted for November 5. Price has cooled below $1,500 toward ~$1,400, down ~12% over the past week, while RSI has eased to ~53. On-chaBrothers, this market really makes people laugh😂
$ETH dropped from around 2800 and has been fluctuating around 2700, repeatedly testing 2750 but never effectively breaking through.
There are only two directions next:
Either a volume breakout above 2750, with a big bullish candle shooting straight to 3000;
Or the resistance remains unbroken, funds loosen, and the price turns downward.
Standing at 2700, I personally prefer to guard against a pullback first.
It's not that ETH must fall, but after continuously testing resistance without holding, there’s no strong breakout signal in the short term.
I used to think buying meant hope.
Now I realize this hope is like wild grass on the ground, with the wind blowing, it all withers away.
Since we’re already in this game, we can only silently endure.
Enough, enough.
The money lost was probably taken by the market and used elsewhere😂
So my approach is simple: watch resistance on rebounds, short when given the chance, don’t chase the rally.
Of course, if you think I’m wrong, you can totally do the opposite.
If you’re bullish, just go long.
If ETH really breaks 2750 and rushes to 3000, show off your longs and mock me hard, I’ll admit it.
In the end, the market doesn’t care who talks tough, but who actually keeps money in real trades.
If you really think I’m wrong, use real money to be my opponent and make money off me, I respect that.
The market won’t fall just because I’m bearish, nor will it rise just because you’re bullish.
Don’t get carried away, don’t overleverage, if the direction is wrong there’s still a chance, but losing control of position size is truly painful. ETF flows are still supporting the market, but the pace has slowed.
Recent data showed BTC ETF inflows around $31M and $ETH ETH around $17M, after much larger previous sessions.
Capital is still coming in.
But traders are watching whether demand accelerates or fades.Markets move fast, but discipline keeps you in the game.
Yesterday I shorted $BTC around 85K–85.4K with 10x leverage and closed near 83.6K. Took the profit and walked away—no greed, no chasing.
Big leverage can multiply gains, but it can destroy an account just as quickly. I’d rather grow steadily and survive longer. 🐱
Today: watching $PONS with a cautious short bias.#RateHikeDelayedJobsNext #IranUSDealStandoff #TokenizedStocksOnAave Crypto isn't moving in isolation.
U.S. Treasury yields remain elevated, with the 10-year yield recently reaching levels not seen since 2007.
That keeps pressure on risk assets.
For $BTC, liquidity and yields remain important signals.$SOL and $ZEC are showing relative strength while BTC consolidates.
That's worth watching.
If BTC holds its range and altcoin volume continues expanding, capital rotation could become more visible.
If volume disappears, the move may simply be temporary.$BTC doesn't need another vertical candle.
The market already pushed toward $87K.
Now the real test is whether buyers can defend lower levels and rebuild momentum.
Higher lows > random pumps.
Confirmation > FOMO.$CORE
This tweet is a textbook example of a "soft exit" and "crisis management" by the project team amid mass node withdrawals, frequent frontend crashes, and exchange delistings.
"Another step towards decentralization"
Project team's narrative: "Gradually handing over the remaining block production roles to independent validators... marking a new chapter for Core, driven by independent operators."
The harsh truth: This is a typical beautification of a "massive node collapse."
Previously, you witnessed the staking webpage showing 503 errors and the number of nodes sharply dropping from dozens. The so-called "handover to independent validators" is actually because official nodes are unprofitable and are withdrawing en masse (soft exit). They are unwilling to bear the server costs to maintain the network themselves, so they are passing this burden to the so-called "independent operators." If no independent nodes are willing to take over in the future, this chain will completely halt. The so-called "new chapter of decentralization" is essentially the project team shedding responsibility and preparing to fully withdraw. #US Treasury yields frequently hit new highs, long-term interest rate pressure remains unresolved. As a spot player, it's most frustrating that PCE benefits can't push prices up. The real valuation anchor suppressing BTC is the 10-year Treasury at 5.3% and the 30-year above 5.6%. Short-term rate hike expectations have cooled, offset by persistently high long-term rates, so BTC pulled back after surging to 85,500.
There are three specific impacts: First, opportunity cost skyrockets, with risk-free US Treasury yields over 5%, holding spot means giving up guaranteed returns, large funds are reluctant to enter, so prices can only fluctuate within a range; second, benefits become dulled, any macro positive only triggers a pulse rebound, chasing highs easily leads to being trapped; third, credit risk rises, CCC-rated corporate bond spreads exceed 1000 basis points, if a corporate default triggers a liquidity crisis, BTC may be sold off first.
In terms of strategy: cash is king, don't FOMO; reduce positions on rallies triggered by positive news, don't chase with full positions; patiently wait for confirmation that the 10-year Treasury yield has peaked, then invest in batches. Surviving is more important than making quick money. $SOL ZBCN intraday amplitude exceeds 20%, yet the 24-hour price change is close to zero.
As of 13:06 Beijing time, OKEx spot price is about $0.002772, with a 24-hour high of $0.0029364 and a low of $0.0024334, and a trading volume of approximately $1.336 million. The current price is about 5.6% below the high and about 13.9% above the low.
More notably, this trading volume is about 2.5 times the median of the previous 7 full calendar days; however, OKEx currently only has spot trading, with no corresponding perpetual contracts available for cross-verification of open interest and funding rates.
My judgment is that this is not a clear one-sided continuation, but more like a directional contest after volume-driven turnover. The easiest misjudgment is to interpret the near-zero 24-hour price change as the end of volatility; conversely, increased volume does not automatically mean a new round of upward movement.
Next, pay attention to $0.0029364 and $0.00265. If volume increases and the price breaks above the previous high, the high turnover may turn into an effective breakout; if it falls back below $0.00265 and volume continues to expand, it indicates a higher risk of loosening chips.
$ZBCN BTC Investment Monthly Report | September 2026 (Exclusive for Long-term HODLers · Major Cycle Analysis) Risk Warning: The following content is only a popular science summary of on-chain data and major cycle logic, and does not constitute any investment advice. Cryptocurrency trading is highly volatile and not legally protected domestically; all operations strictly follow personal trading systems and risk tolerance. I. Core Summary of This Month Currently, BTC is at the late stage of bear market recovery and the initial stage of bull market launch. It has completely exited the bear market bottom range but has not yet entered the mid-stage of the bull market; valuation shows no bubble. Personal position status: fully invested with 100% base holdings maintained unchanged; no reduction or adjustment this month. No need to predict short-term price fluctuations; continue to hold long-term waiting for the bull market cycle to heat up, maintaining weekly indicator tracking and monthly reviews. Core qualitative assessment: the major cycle bottom structure is solidified, and the bullish trend is initially established; the high-level oscillation this month is a normal shakeout in the early bull market, and short-term volatility does not change the long-term holding logic. II. Key Indicator Data This Month (Weekly Level · Major Cycle Caliber) Statistics Period: 2026.09.01 — 2026.09.30 1. CBBI Bull Market Index: 49, neutral range, not entering bull market bubble zone (threshold ≥90 is bull market top warning zone) 2. MVRV Z-Score: 1.02, neutral valuation, far from historical bull market top overvaluation zone (≥5) 3. RHODL Ratio: 1089, long-term holder coin lock-up status is good, far from historical bull market$OKB Have you ever seen money that truly makes a profit being actively traded every day? Many people online tell you to leverage small amounts for big gains. They promise daily returns of a few percent or even tens of percent. Wake up, everyone—those are all pig-butchering scams. Either they lure you to small platforms to get slaughtered, or they get you to do trades for commission sharing. The principal is yours; if you lose, it's on you; if you win, everyone shares the profits. Even fools can do that. If they were really that good, they wouldn't bring you along. Otherwise, they'd just teach classes and charge tuition. My personal investment philosophy is to hold spot assets long-term. Once I enter, it's like marriage and having children—no separation. I don't care about the ups and downs. Since I've chosen it, I let it be. I've been holding OKB since entering 8 years ago until last year's high of 258, and I never wavered. Think about it, brothers—if you sell and buy something else, can you guarantee profits? It's better to stick with one flower. I believe Boss Xu won't just stand by and watch OKB only have a few percent of Binance's share.Core PCE came in below expectations, Bitcoin briefly surged past 85,000, but rising bond yields and oil prices pressured risk assets, combined with the situation in Iran, causing the price to fall back below 84,000. ETF net inflows continued but narrowed in a single day; institutional support remains, with short-term sentiment leaning defensive.
I just opened my thermos and took a sip of cool water, continuing to watch the market.
LYN current price is 0.0248. RSI is under pressure, MACD shows a death cross, and bearish momentum is strengthening. A large amount of long liquidation is stacked between 0.0243 and 0.0250, creating downward pull on the price. This is not a suitable position to go long.
In terms of operations, focus on short positions. Enter in batches between 0.0248 and 0.0251, take profit first target at 0.0243, second target at 0.0236. Set stop loss at 0.0256; if broken, admit the mistake and exit. If 0.0243 breaks down with volume, lightly add shorts targeting 0.0228.
Avoid long positions for now; wait for liquidation to clear and see if there are signs of stabilization. Control position size, do not overleverage.
$LYN
#SEC主席Atkins称将推进链上募资规则明确化
@OKX星球 #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出
Bitcoin ETFs have seen net inflows for 9 consecutive days totaling approximately $3.08 billion, but daily inflows have dropped from a peak near $1 billion to $66.19 million, showing a clear slowdown in marginal momentum; Ethereum ETFs shifted to small net outflows after 7 consecutive days of inflows, indicating a short-term divergence in capital flows between the two.
This divergence reflects selective allocation by institutional funds amid macro uncertainty: BTC benefits from the "digital gold" narrative and a more mature ETF ecosystem, receiving support at the low range of $83,000 to $84,000; ETH, lacking short-term independent catalysts, is more prone to being reduced when risk appetite contracts.
The current core contradiction remains the tug-of-war between high long-term US Treasury yields and delayed rate hike expectations. Before the non-farm payroll data release, funds tend to adopt a wait-and-see approach, so the slowdown in inflows is normal. If the non-farm data is weaker than expected, BTC is likely to regain accelerated inflows, and ETH may also rebound; if the data is strong, both may face outflow pressure. Overall, the institutional support logic for BTC remains intact, but it is not advisable to chase highs in the short term; ETH needs to wait for ecosystem catalysts or a return of capital rotation.Seeing the US and Iran negotiating again, many people in the group are closely watching the news from the Middle East, worried that a sudden conflict might crash the market.
Having been in this circle for so many years, I've noticed a pattern: whenever there's geopolitical news like this, the market usually reacts most strongly right when the news breaks, but by the time everyone really understands what's going on, the move is basically over.
Many times before, when tensions in the Middle East rose, BTC would surge alongside gold, but within a few days, once negotiations made progress, everything would fall back, and those who chased the highs often got slapped around.
Personally, when I see such major international news now, I don't rush to act; I wait for the market sentiment to fully release. Most of those who rush in full position right after seeing the news end up being the ones left holding the bag.
In my opinion, international geopolitical news is inherently unpredictable—no one can say for sure if the next moment will bring a deal or another conflict. We just have to take it step by step. Everyone can pay more attention to whether the market truly trends after such news or just pulses briefly, and not get led by a few big green candles. Share your thoughts in the comments.
$BTC
#伊朗收到美国反提案，美伊分歧仍在 US stocks $CRCL and $COIN have been fluctuating back and forth, and it's time to recharge faith again.
I mentioned CRCL before: you can build positions in batches below 50. It dropped as low as 49.9, then rebounded to 135, doubling in a month. Now the price has fallen back, and many people are starting to be bearish again, but my view on CRCL and COIN hasn't changed: one is a stablecoin concept stock, the other is a crypto exchange concept stock, both still worth focusing on in a bear market.
So how to choose bottom-fishing in a bear market?
CRCL is a high-growth small-cap stock, with the advantage of small market cap and high elasticity. As stablecoins continue to expand, its growth potential is huge. The market is currently worried whether USDC's market share can meet expectations, but as a compliant stablecoin, its long-term expansion logic still exists.
COIN is the exchange's money printer, with stable business and strong cash flow, plus income from CRCL dividends, but its market cap is already large, so its elasticity is naturally less than CRCL.
So my allocation is: 40% CRCL, 60% COIN.
CRCL is responsible for elasticity, COIN for certainty.
CRCL is a bet on the future, COIN is buying the present, and the combination is just right.
#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 Help!!! Where's the promised profit? Why am I red on both sides again???
I thought today would be my turnaround, but those two short positions of mine are perfectly red, as if mocking me!
$SNDK I opened a short at 1779, and now it's stuck at 1779, not earning a cent, and I'm even paying fees!
I heard the company's boss secretly sold tens of millions of dollars worth of stock and ran away, so I thought this was a sure thing and quickly opened a short. But then?
The company turned around and said it would spend over ten billion dollars buying back its own stock, stubbornly propping up the price!
The boss runs away, the company defends the price, it's a battle of gods, and I'm just a retail investor caught in the crossfire!
I shorted ZEC at 1400, but it soared all the way to 1437, making me lose so much it hurts!
A few days ago, I heard a big player smashed the market, made tens of millions, and ran, so I hurriedly followed the short.
But today I heard that a big player quietly bought tens of thousands of ZEC with millions of dollars in cash over a month!
The big player is smashing and buying at the same time, and I'm like a fool getting slapped from both sides!
Sigh, my title as the "Leek War God" is well deserved. Buying at the peak, shorting at the bottom, whenever I make a move, the dog whales laugh.
$BTC $ETH #加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 $WLD was at 0.538u at noon, with a 24-hour increase close to 10%. This excitement is indeed worth watching. But when the price rises quickly, I prefer to calculate the supply side: according to the official schedule, the daily unlocking speed has decreased by 43% since July, yet about 2.9 million tokens are still unlocked daily. Unlocking does not mean immediate selling, but it cannot be ignored either. My judgment is that the rebound is worth attention, but its sustainability depends on new demand catching up. If the trading heat can be maintained afterward, it will be more convincing than a single sharp surge. Don't use the price increase as a reason to suddenly create a long-term logic for yourself.
For $HYPE, let's first look at the integer resistance at 90u. At noon, it was about 88.94u, about 9% away from the high of 98.04u on September 23. The 90 level is just my observation line; if it crosses it but quickly falls back, it cannot be considered stable; only if it can sustain trading above it is it worth further discussion about the previous high. It's not far from the high, but the remaining distance won't be automatically covered just because it rose before. Waiting for confirmation here is more reliable than prematurely writing the breakthrough into the script.
$BICO is a bit easy to misread: it rose about 3.4% in 24 hours but still fell about 3.5% over the past week. Focusing only on the green number of the day can easily mislead one to think the weakness is over. I temporarily put it on the recovery list, with the evaluation standard being whether it can reduce the pullback in the next few days, not how high it can surge today. A low unit price itself does not mean cheap, and a single rebound does not prove demand improvement. Watch more, act less, save patience for continuous performance, and don't let one day's excitement make decisions for you.$DOGE trading is active but the price remains within the range; what is the market waiting for?
OKX spot 24-hour range is approximately 0.09289—0.09816, with a trading volume of about 51.32 million USDT, and the current price is still within the range. The short-term elasticity of meme coins comes from attention and liquidity; if trading volume expands without price following, it may just be a turnover between bulls and bears and cannot be directly considered a trend start.
If the 1-hour chart shows volume rising above 0.09816 and holds after a pullback, I will increase my confidence in a breakout; if it falls below 0.09289 with expanding volume, it indicates that chasing funds are exiting the market. After the mainstream coins rose, they entered a high-level consolidation with bulls and bears competing. The news is mixed, and no clear one-sided trend has emerged yet, so avoid chasing highs.
BTC｜Holding above the short-term moving average, the bullish structure remains, but short-term upward momentum is weakening. The MSCI index adjustment news poses potential capital disturbance, limiting rapid surges.
ETH｜Moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, the market follows BTC with stronger elasticity. Market expectations see a slight decline in ETH staking, slightly suppressing upward space, with no major negative factors.
SOL｜Moving averages provide support, the trend remains good. Completed $15 million ecological financing, fundamental benefits support the price.
DOGE｜Oscillating upward with greater volatility.
DogeOS testnet launched, large holders continue accumulating, MEME sentiment supports but sustainability is weak.
The major trend remains bullish, short-term fluctuations may repeatedly trigger stop losses. Prioritize waiting for a pullback to support before considering opportunities, reduce leverage, strictly stop losses, as news can cause sudden volatility anytime. Heavy positions for speculation are not recommended. #加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 $BTC $ETH $SOL ETH's on-chain signals in this wave are not weak. 130,000 ETH were transferred out from the 2015 ICO whale address at a cost of 0.3 each. Whether it's for repositioning or preparing to stake, at least it wasn't directly dumped onto exchanges. Top 50 addresses increased holdings by $4.5 million within 14 minutes, indicating funds are absorbing high-level turnover. OKX received 502 BTC, Binance hot wallet withdrew 8,200 BTC, showing short-term liquidity on exchanges is tight, which is not bad for bulls.
Just parked the car by the roadside, the order reminder call made my pocket vibrate numb, eyes still on the hourly chart. The candlestick is still above the moving average, but MACD momentum has weakened. The liquidation chart shows short stop losses accumulated between 2740 and 2770, and dense long liquidity between 2680 and 2650. This structure tends to first spike down to clear longs, then reverse to squeeze shorts.
Operationally, do not chase at the current price of 2713. Enter longs on a pullback to 2685-2700, defend at 2670, take profit at 2745, and watch 2765 after a breakout. If it directly breaks and holds above 2740 with volume, lightly chase longs with a stop loss below 2720.
$ETH
#特朗普签署行政令将AI更名为SI
@OKX星球 Single Coin Contract Fluctuation｜Last 15 Minutes
$MON showed a buying bias in the first two segments, with buying and selling nearly balanced in the last segment: overall active buying was 61.2%, dropping to 59.8% in the last segment, with a 3.04% price increase over fifteen minutes. The buyer's advantage did not continue until the end of the window, and the most recent segment showed no clear one-sided transaction dominance.PCE was lower than expected, but BTC surged and then pulled back; the real answer might lie in U.S. Treasury yields.
On September 30, U.S. August PCE was weaker than expected, and BTC once quickly climbed to $85,500, but then mostly gave back the gains, returning to around $83,700 in the Asian morning session. The market was originally trading on the premise of "cooling inflation → lower rate hike expectations → risk assets rising," but the problem is that U.S. Treasury yields did not actually come down.
Currently, the 10-year Treasury yield remains above 5.2%, and the 30-year yield is running near a high level of 5.6%, with long-term yields staying at multi-year highs.
This creates a very clear market signal: PCE gave BTC a positive boost, but the bond market did not confirm it.
My understanding is that the biggest short-term resistance for BTC is no longer just rate hike expectations, but the opportunity cost of capital caused by high yields.
As long as the 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields continue to trade sideways at high levels, even if BTC surges due to positive data, it is prone to pull back after the rally.
Conversely, if employment data weakens later, the market further lowers rate hike expectations, and Treasury yields begin a trend of decline, then that is the combination truly worth watching.
The transmission path is also very clear:
Cooling inflation → lower rate hike expectations → declining Treasury yields → dollar under pressure → improved liquidity → BTC benefits first → then ETH, SOL, and high Beta assets rotate.
So now I am more focused on "whether yields are trending down" rather than simply whether a single economic data point is good or not.
In short-term trading $UNI
This ID's viewpoint
UNI on the 30-minute chart started its recovery path from the low of 8.444, establishing a consolidation zone. Currently, it is moving back and forth within the box, engaging in a "tug-of-war and idle fishing" pattern, which is a repair phase after a major drop. The bulls have just caught their breath and have not yet gathered enough strength to launch a major counterattack.
Entry: Wait for a secondary-level pullback to form a bullish divergence + bottom fractal, then buy low near the consolidation zone's ZD; enter a trade on a volume breakout above ZG, and if the price retests but does not break below ZG, consider a third buy.
Stop loss: Place defense below the consolidation zone's ZD; if ZD is broken, this round of consolidation repair structure fails.
Chan Theory Structure
The purple box represents the consolidation zone at this level, with ZG ≈ 9.10 and ZD ≈ 8.70. The price fell sharply from 9.806 down to 8.444 before braking. After rebounding, it entered the consolidation zone and oscillated back and forth. As long as the 8.444 low holds, there is still a chance to turn around; only by stabilizing above ZG can it challenge the previous high of 9.806. If 8.444 is lost, the downtrend drama will continue.
Wyckoff Volume-Price Observation
During the previous decline, large-volume bearish candles appeared consecutively, with bears fully exerting pressure. At the 8.444 low, capital stepped in to absorb the sell-off. The rebound saw a brief volume surge at the high, but unfortunately, subsequent capital did not follow through, and volume quickly died down after the peak, causing price to fall back. Inside the consolidation zone, the price oscillates repeatedly with overall shrinking volume, as bulls and bears exchange chips here without a one-sided accumulation or distribution.
Key Observation Points
UNI is trapped grinding repeatedly inside the 30-minute box, with 9.806 as the immediate major resistance. Not another small wallet reshuffling — Multicoin just pushed about $8.34 million worth of HYPE into Coinbase Prime.
According to ChainCatcher (Onchain Lens) at 10/1 04:53: A wallet related to Multicoin Capital deposited approximately 92,400 HYPE tokens into Coinbase Prime, valued at about $8.34 million, suspected to be for sale based on monitoring criteria. This is a new deposit by a different entity compared to yesterday's Arrington→FalconX and other recent HYPE deposits.
Transfer to Prime ≠ all sold at market price; monitoring association ≠ confirmed entity; suspected sale ≠ confirmed transaction. At the time of writing, OKX HYPE is about 88.90. Not investment advice.Woke up from a nap and checked my account equity still at 859.32U, feeling relieved. I was afraid that when I opened my eyes, it would be like before liberation, but luckily the few positions I hold haven't caused major trouble.
The $CT long position in hand is really a headache, bought at 0.451 cost and now at 0.3937, a floating loss of 12.61U, the margin is almost gone. Held it for 18 hours, from 7 PM last night until now, it’s been going down nonstop, feeling like I can’t hold on much longer.
Then the $BTC long position, opened at 84300, now at 84198, bottom fishing but only halfway down the mountain.
Speaking of $ETH, this one is the hero of today. Cost at 2685, now 2711.3, floating profit of 49.02U, nearly doubled. Held for 15 hours, finally the late night wasn’t wasted.
Among the positions closed yesterday, the $ETH trade made 41.48U, the $BTC trade made 88.68U, quite a bit combined. Also those $ZEC trades, the one from the afternoon before yesterday made 152.8U in 3 hours, the most satisfying. Of course, there were also some cut losses, the $UNI trade lost 57.64U, that hurt a lot.
Currently watching a few coins: $ORDI at 4.700, up nearly 2 points today; $DASH at 60.660, basically flat; $STRK at 0.04374, also up over 2 points. Let’s see which one gives a chance to get in this afternoon.
Total account still at 859U, started with 500U principal over 2 days, all thanks to guts and quick moves. Will check the market again this afternoon. Good afternoon, family.#比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 #加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 Currently, BTC is fluctuating around 84,000, with bullish moving averages but shrinking volatility. With non-farm payrolls approaching, the market is cautious. ETH has 1.06 billion short positions liquidated at 2830 above, and 1.01 billion long positions liquidated at 2561 below, posing extremely high risk of both long and short liquidations. Avoid reversing to long positions out of anxiety; it is recommended to reduce leverage and control positions, wait for the non-farm payroll release and volume-confirmed candlestick to confirm direction, then trade with the trend on the right side. $BTC $ETH $ZEC On September 30, MetaMask announced it is handling an infrastructure security incident and simultaneously began withdrawing all its Ethereum validator nodes from the Lido protocol. The exit is expected to be completed by October 7, but full withdrawal will take about 45 days due to the current long queue for Ethereum validators.
MetaMask did not clarify what exactly happened.
The official statement only said "an infrastructure breach is under investigation" and "no immediate threat to MetaMask wallets has been identified"—a typical early-stage security incident statement: confirming an issue but withholding details.
There are several chain reactions worth noting:
This incident also affected Aave—because stETH is used as collateral on Aave, MetaMask’s exit from Lido validator nodes will impact related positions on Aave.
Lido has a temporary reserve of 6,750 stETH specifically to handle such node exits, which will not directly affect ordinary stETH holders. stETH holders do not need to take any action.
MetaMask is not the first to do this—in September 2025, node operator Kiln also performed a similar precautionary exit after its infrastructure was breached. This is the standard emergency procedure for the Lido protocol.
But one question remains unanswered: how exactly was MetaMask’s infrastructure breached, and whether private keys are at risk. Until this answer is revealed
#加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 Most current quotes are in the range of $2,680–2,700, showing slight fluctuations compared to yesterday's close (about +0.1% to +0.7%, depending on the exchange). Yesterday, prices surged to around $2,740–2,750 before retreating, failing to effectively hold above $2,700. Today's Asian session volatility has further narrowed. Today's market structure Yesterday (September 30): opened around $2,674–2,693, peaked at about $2,739–2,749, bottomed near $2,652–2,658, and closed around $2,682–2,686. Similarly, it surged then pulled back. So far today: the range is roughly $2,668–2,699, with prices hovering sideways around $2,680–2,690. Both volume and volatility are weaker than during yesterday's peak period. Broader context: Since rebounding from mid-year lows, the price has mainly oscillated within the $2,650–2,800 box over the past two weeks. It is currently about 45% below the 2025 high (around $4,850–4,950) but still approximately 9% higher than one month ago. ETH and BTC are moving in similar rhythms: BTC is holding support at 83,000 and facing resistance at 85,000; ETH is holding support at $2,650–2,660 and facing resistance at $2,700–2,750. Key levels Immediate support: $2,660–2,680 is today's most important defense line Secondary support: $2,620 / $2,500 lower boundary of the box; if $2,620 breaks, more downside space opens Immediate resistanceThe stablecoin sector has become lively again over the past week.
Let's first look at a set of key data:
USDC's market cap increased by $1.1 billion in one week, while USDT's increase during the same period was $446.3 million — the former is 2.5 times the latter. From the issuer's perspective, Circle grew by $1 billion in one week, clearly surpassing Tether's $445.2 million.
$CRCL became the strongest performing issuer in the past week, outperforming Tether.
What is even more noteworthy is that traditional banks have started to appear on the leaderboard. Crédit Agricole (French Agricultural Credit Bank) entered the top ten issuers with EURXT, increasing by $39 million in one week, making it the only euro stablecoin among the fastest-growing assets in the top ten.
However, the overall pattern remains unchanged: USD stablecoins still account for about 98% of all growth, increasing by $2 billion in one week; euro stablecoins only increased by $30.9 million.
Ethena's USDe market cap grew by over $100 million but only added 800 new holders. The growth mainly comes from a few large holders rather than widespread retail adoption.
But it seems this is not yet the fastest bull phase for stablecoin growth; hopefully, this market will see more players.The inflows and outflows of BTC ETFs are quite meaningful as a reference; the surge in September came fast and left quickly.
On September 21, there was nearly $1 billion in inflows in a single day, the largest single-day inflow in almost a year.
After that, inflows decreased every trading day, and by the 30th, it was already in a net outflow state, while the $BTC price remained sideways.
In other words, this rally was pushed up by institutions/US investors, and now that the big players have finished buying, they have paused. Who will take over next? 🫣tao has reached the current target level above 300, you can start swing trading now. To make money, you either rely on discipline (only trade one, lose money in the early stage, but can recover later) or rely on gradually averaging down by only buying and not selling. The losses now can all be recovered in the future.
1. When choosing coins, always pick those with high volatility that won't go to zero, otherwise you're just throwing your money away.
2. Never touch leverage; if you can't hold without leverage, don't even think about using it.
3. Never go all-in; always keep some reserve. If you're afraid of missing out, use the spot Martingale strategy in your plan to gradually lower your cost basis. When you feel you've lost a lot and the coin shows signs of a rebound, go all in (keep enough for living expenses), ensuring you have a month's buffer to wait for the rebound (guaranteeing no loss).
4. Everyone says you must protect your principal to survive (Buffett started with small capital and high-risk investments, but his era was different. The crypto space itself is already extremely high risk compared to his time, so don't use leverage or dream of getting rich overnight. If you survive 4 years in crypto, you're just getting started).
5. Don't look at all those messy indicators; just watch which price level the hourly chart stays at longer. When it shows signs of holding and not falling further, that's when to enter. Always use Martingale then, leave room for error. Even making one dollar is better than losing 100 (98% of people in crypto die this way).
6. When selling, if you feel the price is rising very fast, keep watching for any sudden sharp drop to take profit immediately. Don't chase the tail; it takes a week to rise but only 0.001 seconds to fall.
7. Crypto is only part of life; don't forget your family. Even gamblers need to be rational.
For buying, refer to points 1, 2, 3, 4.
For taking profit, refer to point 5.
Wishing everyone survival.Bitcoin just showed why one green move isn't enough.
BTC pushed above $85K after softer inflation data, but the move didn't hold.
That's the part I'm watching.
A breakout matters more when buyers can defend it after the initial reaction.
For now, I'm watching price not headlines.Market and Strategy on the Eve of Nonfarm Payrolls
Currently, BTC is oscillating near the high of 84,000, with daily moving averages in a bullish alignment that remains unbroken, but the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, indicating extremely compressed volatility. ETH is quoted at 2,707, SOL at 119, and the overall structure remains relatively strong.
On the macro level, ADP exceeded expectations but ISM data was weak; Federal Reserve official Kashkari maintains a hawkish stance, and the 10-year US Treasury yield remains high, continuously suppressing risk appetite. Before the nonfarm payroll release, bulls and bears are extremely cautious in their battle.
On the funding side, the Fear & Greed Index has cooled down to 68. Coinglass data reveals a highly symmetrical liquidity pool with 1.06 billion short liquidations clustered around ETH at 2,830 above, and 1.01 billion long liquidations clustered around 2,561 below. Spot ETF inflows continue to provide support, while the futures market experiences a two-way squeeze, making it very likely to trigger two-way spikes when the data is released.
Regarding the current situation of holding high-leverage short positions, reversing to long is an emotional operation driven by loss anxiety. Frequently switching directions in the middle of the range will face the risk of both long and short liquidations. Professional response strategy: reduce leverage and control position size before the data release; after the nonfarm payrolls are announced, observe the first high-volume candlestick to confirm direction, then trade with the trend on the right side. Preserve capital and avoid subjective assumptions. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 $2Z remains weak on the last day before unlocking on October 2, representing nearly half of the circulating new chips, making it the only main theme in the market this week. Almost all of the positions liquidated in the past 24 hours were long positions, with short positions barely affected, indicating that the decline is driven by active selling pressure rather than a short squeeze rebound. Both volume and open interest are thin, lacking sufficient buying power to absorb this expected supply. The chart's "higher highs" pattern is a completed structure and a lagging signal. The supply event outweighs technicals, and the RSI at 34 reflects the current real weakness. Backtesting large unlocks shows an average underperformance of about 6% against the market in the first 7 days; $2Z is currently at the tail end of this window. Conclusion: Maintain a weaker stance than the market before the unlock. If it retakes the intraday high of 0.0649 before unlocking, it indicates that selling pressure has been digested early, shifting to a neutral to slightly bullish outlook. After unlocking, this supply will no longer determine direction, and focus returns to volume and price themselves.The first truth: 4 billion tokens were minted out of thin air, trust dropped to zero
On August 12, 2026, an attacker exploited a vacant block vulnerability in the Harmony protocol and unauthorizedly minted about 4 billion ONE tokens, accounting for 26% of the total supply at that time. Approximately 2.8 billion of these were quickly transferred to exchanges to dump.
This is not the first time Harmony has been hacked. In June 2022, the Horizon cross-chain bridge was breached by North Korea's Lazarus group, resulting in a loss of about $100 million. The same project suffered two major security incidents within four years, both involving illegal manipulation of token supply.
How can you trust a public chain that can't even "prevent tokens from being minted out of thin air" to safeguard your assets?
Even more outrageous, to fix the vulnerability, Harmony rolled back the blockchain and removed over 109,000 legitimate transaction records. What does this mean? It means that on this chain, the blockchain's core promise of "transactions are immutable" has been broken by the project team itself. $ONE $BTC $ETH #加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 Last night's $HYPE was insanely strong, especially between 23:00-24:00, with two big bullish candlesticks breaking through $90 directly, it was crazy🙈
As the child of the version, my approach with HYPE has always been to buy the dip, which is much simpler than shorting; the market doesn't reward you for more difficult operations, it only rewards the correct choices.
During studying, solving difficult problems gets you rewards; trading is not like that. When facing tough market conditions, you should rest more and avoid them, not confront them head-on.
Only do simple trades🫡
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
@OKX星球 OKB is moving sideways along the upper edge of the box, direction not yet chosen
OKB is currently at 120.85, stuck near the upper middle range of the 60-period band between 116 and 126
4-hour close at 121, high 121 low 120, volume 9388
Daily close at 121, high 122 low 119, volume 49002
The key is the volume
Yesterday volume surged to 122, today 4-hour volume dropped to 9388
Price hasn't fallen but volume shrinks first, selling pressure is light, and buying momentum is not active
Funding rate +0.0050%, longs are paying very lightly
In terms of position, 119 to 120 is support, 121 to 122 is resistance
Once PCE data is released, it will likely pick a side directly
So my judgment is
Don't chase before the data, only a break above 122 with 4-hour volume rising above 12,000 again counts as a valid breakout
If it falls below 119, it will return to the middle of the box, 116 is the real level to watch
$OKB $BTC #OKB #VolumePrice$BTC just surged hard, why is it that one position is split into several positions in the historical positions? Clearly it was a partial close, leaving margin funds in isolated margin with an estimated liquidation around 85900, but I see it split into several, and the first few show fully closed?Circle issued 1.1 billion more in a week, leaving Tether behind
Here is the latest data on stablecoin issuers:
In the past 7 days, USDC's market cap increased by 1.1 billion USD, 2.5 times that of Tether's USDT (446.3 million USD). From the issuer's perspective, Circle grew by 1 billion USD, more than double Tether's 445.2 million USD.
$CRCL outperformed Tether, being the strongest issuer in the past week.
Traditional banks are starting to appear:
Crédit Agricole entered the top ten issuers, increasing by 39 million USD through EURXT, the only euro stablecoin among the top ten fastest-growing assets.
Overall, USD stablecoins still account for about 98% of total growth, increasing by 2 billion USD. Euro stablecoins only increased by 30.9 million USD.
Regarding new stablecoin holders:
$BNB chain added 985,000 new holders, more than half of the top ten combined, nearly five times the second place.
By assets:
USDT added 845,900 holders, accounting for 62% of the top ten holder growth. USDC ranked second with 390,800.
A noteworthy detail:
Ethena's $ENA USDe market cap grew by over 100 million USD but only added 800 holders.
Growth mainly came from a few large holders, not widespread retail adoption.Happy National Day! 🇨🇳 Wishing everyone profits and a good night’s sleep. 😴💰
$SOON played out nicely—long from 0.0437 and closed around 0.0537 while I was asleep. 😂
$CAP? I’m staying away from shorts. Slow climbs can turn into sudden pumps.
Most importantly, watch $BTC before taking any altcoin trade. When BTC’s broader trend is strong, shorting alts can be a dangerous game.
Trade with the trend, not against it. 📊
#USTreasuryYieldsClimb
#IranUSDealStandoff
#AMDWorldLabsAcquisition Brothers, I'm back again. Last night I was still pacing the edge of the rooftop, and today I'm continuing to review this damn market for everyone. First, let's look at a data point that made my blood pressure spike: Coinglass shows that if ETH breaks through $2830, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $1.062 billion. Conversely, if it falls below $2561, the long liquidation intensity will also be $1.01 billion. In plain language: both bulls and bears have planted $1 billion worth of explosives, and whoever can't hold on first will blow up first. And I am the fool in the short camp holding the torch. --- Now look at my current miserable state. SOL short position is down 15.86%, ETH short position down 124.27%, BTC short position down 83.03%. 100x leverage, full position mode. ETH entry average price is 2675, the mark price has already moved to 2707. My estimated forced liquidation price is 2833—coincidentally, right above that $1 billion short liquidation zone. In other words, if the non-farm payrolls push ETH up, not only will I be liquidated, but I'll also take that $1 billion with me into oblivion. This scene is as tragic as a low-budget disaster movie. --- But the market is still "healthy" for now, and that's the most tormenting part. On the daily chart, BTC is firmly above 84,000, with MA5, MA10, and MA20 all in bullish alignment, and the Bollinger Bands middle band at 81,627 providing strong support. ETH has risen from 1,852 to 2,806, more than 50%, now hovering near the high at 2,707 In the past two days, the bottom of Bitcoin will speak
September 30th at 8:30 PM, Core PCE. October 2nd at 8:30 PM, Nonfarm Payrolls + Unemployment Rate.
Both data points will be released within 48 hours.
My judgment is straightforward: Bitcoin's phase bottom will emerge within these two days.
Let's start with the PCE side. August's Core PCE annual rate held steady at 2.9%, overall PCE annual rate at 2.7%, both meeting expectations. This data brought no surprises, but precisely the "no surprise" itself is good news—it confirms that the Fed's path of cutting rates by 25 basis points last week remains unbroken, and the consensus of two more cuts before year-end remains rock solid. The market needs this kind of certainty.
Now looking at the Nonfarm Payrolls. What is the current state of the US job market? To sum it up in one word: slow, painful cuts. Employment growth remains weak; July and August nonfarm job additions were significantly below expectations, and May and June data were sharply revised down. The labor market is not collapsing, but it is steadily leaking.
What does this mean for Bitcoin? The two indicators the Fed cares most about—inflation and employment—now have one stabilized and the other declining. Powell himself said, "Short-term inflation risks are tilted to the upside, employment risks are tilted to the downside." In plain language: the direction of rate cuts won't change, only the pace will.
So how will the market react when the data is released?
I don't rule out an initial drop. If the Nonfarm Payrolls data is worse than expected, short-term risk aversion will push Bitcoin down a bit first—this is the so-called "last dip before all the bad news is out." But you need to see clearly that the pit created by this drop is precisely the bottom. Because the worse the employment, the stronger the rate cut expectations, the looser the liquidity expectations—which is fundamentally bullish for Bitcoin.
The technicals are also cooperating. The $112,000 level has been repeatedly tested; @CryptoMichNL clearly said this is a month-end shakeout, a retest is underway, and he is optimistic about an upward move in the coming days. Earlier, Bitfinex Alpha's report also pointed out that the market is in the late stage of correction, and the $93,000 to $95,000 range is expected to become a cyclical bottom. The current price is already some distance from that area, indicating buyers are entering early.
The logic of the bottom is not "stop falling at a certain price," but "all the bad news is out, and no one wants to sell anymore."
Then comes October 2nd to 8th—the seven days of the National Day holiday.
Last year during National Day, Bitcoin rose cumulatively by 3.99%, ranking third among major global assets. This year, I am more optimistic than last year. The reason is simple: the US government shutdown risk looms overhead, funds are seeking safe havens, and the "devaluation trade" logic for Bitcoin and gold is being seriously considered by institutions. Geoff Kendrick from Standard Chartered Bank directly said this shutdown is important, and Bitcoin will continue to rise.
I reserve judgment on the "seven days of joy" saying. But the strength of this rally depends on how aggressively the market prices in the rate cut path after the data release. If Nonfarm Payrolls push the probability of a November rate cut above 90%, then the seven days won’t just be "a little fun," it will be a full-on breakout.
But one thing I must make clear.
After this rally, the bull market through the end of October will basically be over.
From June to October, a full three-month, one-hundred-day bull cycle will basically conclude by then. Why? Because the market has already priced in rate cuts to the fullest. When everyone knows rate cuts are coming, the cuts themselves are no longer bullish. At that point, a new narrative is needed, not a repetition of old logic.
So my stance is very clear:
In these two days, watch the market closely. When the bottom appears, act accordingly. Hold through the seven days of National Day. But by the end of October, take profits and don’t get attached.
The market never waits for you to be ready before it starts. It only waits until you realize it, by which time it’s already halfway gone.
#加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 #伊朗收到美国反提案，美伊分歧仍在 📊 THREE CHARTS. ONE CHAIN REACTION.
$BTC = Market direction
$ETH = Market health
$SOL = Speculative risk
If $BTC chops sideways:
• ETH/BTC strength = Altseason prep
• SOL/ETH strength = Aggressive risk-on
Don't trade the asset—trade the rotation.
💬 Which pair are you watching closest right now: BTC/USD, ETH/BTC, or SOL/ETH?
#BTC #ETH #SOL #TechnicalAnalysis #Altcoins$ETH, you really want to test my patience? 😂
180U margin, 100x leverage, short from 2681.97.
Liquidation sits around 2729.82.
$BTC is back near 83.5K and $SOL looks weak, yet ETH refuses to drop.
Now I’m watching one thing:
2600 = payday 🎯
2729 = game over 💀
No middle ground—let’s see what ETH decides.
$ETH $BTC $SOL
#OKXNOW：SeeWhat'sNext
#TetherFreezes550MUSDT
#OKXNOW：SeeWhat'sNext Bottom line: BTC is sitting in an interesting $80K–$86K battle zone: ETF/institutional flows are supportive, while high yields and profit-taking remain headwinds. This is market information, not a prediction or trading recommendation.😂 Short version posted on Orbit
BTC this morning: $83.7K – politics back on the table 😂
US–Iran tension → oil rises → inflation worries → Fed hard to ease → BTC under pressure.
But US PCE softer than expected → chance of Fed rate hike in October decreases → BTC supported.
One side oil pulls down, the other side Fed pulls up.
BTC in the middle: “Have you two decided yet so I can choose a direction!” 🤣
$83K–$85K worth watching.
Today, don’t just watch crypto charts, also watch oil + US–Iran + Fed. $BTC