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colword.std
colword.std
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K 线长什么样就说什么话 这七天 $BTC 的走法可以用四个字概括——冲高、栽了。9/10 从 78264 开盘直接被拍到 76536 收盘,一根大阴棒先给人一巴掌;9/11 反弹摸到 79860 被打回,收 77191,那根上影就是本轮天花板;9/12 和 9/13 两根小十字星缩量横着,多空都不想先动;9/14 放量冲到 79570 差点创新高,结果收盘 78153,第二次摸顶失败;9/15 直接翻脸——开盘 78153 全天单边砸到 74909 收 75600,一根跌 3.3% 的灌肠阴把所有支撑全捅穿了。9/16 今天小幅反弹到 75797,成交量骤降,典型的「大脑降噪」行情——大家都不敢出声,等明天凌晨 FOMC 定调。 图里画得很清楚:两个圆顶在 79860 和 79571,中间夹着一条下降压力线往下压;76000 原来的支撑已经变成天花板,反弹到这附近就是空单进场区;下方 74909 是 7 天最低点,跌破就奔 73800 去。MA3 和 MA5 已经死叉向下发散,MA10 在 77000 附近高高吊着,均线系统全线偏空。
colword.std
colword.std
Main focus $BTC | Strategy: Short, initiate position first, no nonsense $BTC current price 75800, down 2.4% in 24 hours, truly a "jinx protagonist" — whoever gets close gets unlucky, bulls have basically been wiped out this week. My approach is shorting: place limit sell orders around 75500 to 76000, stop loss at 76900 (if it goes above the 9/15 rebound high of 78223, admit the mistake), first target 74500, second target 73800, 3x leverage. The reason is simple: on 9/11 and 9/14, it touched 79860 and 79571 but failed to hold, forming a double top; on 9/15, a big bearish candle smashed through the 76000 support down to 74909, the trend has turned bearish. The probability of a FOMC rate hike tomorrow early morning is nearly 90%, chasing longs at this critical moment is like going against the money flow.

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