
Orbit: Crypto Community Feed
I suggest everyone use AI more; if you have questions or ideas, you can have AI analyze them for you. You can learn a lot during this process.
Whether going long or short, it all comes down to timing and position size—when to enter, how much to buy, and when to exit.
Overall, I am making money, but I bought at mid-levels, which means I entered too early; the timing was off.
This month, I will keep small positions, avoid making moves or adding positions lightly, focus on learning, and fight again next month.

Three Federal Reserve officials advocate for a rate hike, U.S. July nonfarm payrolls decrease by 23,000, U.S. employment and interest rate signals diverge: Observations on TradFi dual-currency winning targets and price targets
⚖️ 美国经济现在同时出现两种信号:通胀仍让部分美联储官员保持谨慎,就业增长却几乎停了下来。 这组矛盾不会直接告诉市场涨跌,却会影响利率、企业盈利和风险预期。对 XQQQ、XNVDA、XSOXL、XAUT 等 TradFi 标的来说,影响路径也不一样。 📉 事实一:新增就业转负,但失业率没有明显上升 美国7月非农就业减少 2.3 万人,失业率为 4.1%。5 月新增就业从 12.9 万人下修至 6.3 万人,6 月从 5.7 万人下修至 2 万人,两个月合计少于此前估计 10.3 万人。 这说明,最近几个月的就业增长比最初公布的数字更弱。 但“新增就业减少”和“失业率稳定”并不矛盾:非农就业主要调查企业增加或减少了多少岗位,失业率则来自居民调查,而且会受到劳动参与率影响。7 月劳动参与率为 61.4%,较 1 月下降 0.7个百分点。 因此,4.1% 的失业率不能单独证明就业市场仍然强劲;-2.3 万的非农也不能单独证明大规模失业已经发生。 🧭 事实二:企业减少招聘,但暂未集中裁员 截至 8月1日 当周,美国首次申请失业救济人数为 19.9 万人,去年同期为 22.6 万人。6 月
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From Top Meme Coin to Delisted Outcast: BONK's 17-Month Korean Wave Rollercoaster
BONK 的结局,将成为每一个Memecoin喧嚣的启示。#交易之声:你的经验值得被听到 $BONK 撰文:Shannon@金色财经 韩国最大加密货币交易所 Upbit 今日宣布,将于2026年9月7日 KST 15:00 正式终止 BONK 的 KRW 和 USDT 交易对支持。 公告发出后,BONK 当日价格跌至0.00000255美元的日内最低点。这是自2023年11月以来的最低价格,接近三年低位,24小时内跌幅接近7%。 Upbit 在公告中表示,「经对该虚拟资产进行进一步仔细审查,Upbit 认定交易谨慎标注的理由依然存在。因此,根据交易谨慎标注及交易终止政策,决定终止交易。」 这句话的背后,是一段历时17个月的事件链条。 时间线:从上市狂欢到退市泥潭 2023年12月 — 登场 BONK 是 Solana 生态在经历 FTX 崩溃后萧条时期诞生的第一个爆款 Memecoin,于2022年圣诞节空投给 Solana 社区。2023年底,随着 Solana 生态的强势复苏,BONK 成为「Solana Memecoin 牛市」的标志性代币,价格在2023年底和2024年初实现
I saw a post saying tonight’s CPI won’t come in above 3.4%, and apparently liquidity is ready to pump. I almost stopped chewing. 😂
ETH back to 2100? Then maybe my 67500 BTC long finally gets some breathing room.
I kinda believe the bullish case, but I’m not trusting it blindly. Last time I thought the same thing, got wicked out, and nearly dropped my phone into my lunch.
Still, after holding this mess for so long, I’m giving it one more shot. My stubborn line is 2700 ETH. Not selling before that.
I’ll place a small long, close the app, and let the market decide. If it nukes, it nukes. 😭
$ETH #美联储即将公布利率决议
Apple uses Changxin, what should I buy?
苹果大概率会把长鑫存储纳入供应链,但不会全面切换。 最可能的方案是,从中国市场开始。小规模采购。与三星、SK海力士和美光混用。 这件事的主要矛盾很清楚。 苹果需要第四家DRAM供应商,压低成本,缓解缺货。 美国又不愿看到苹果亲手把一家中国存储厂商送进全球一线供应链。 技术问题反而排在后面。 据《华尔街日报》报道,苹果正在iPhone和MacBook等产品线上测试长鑫存储的芯片,并与长鑫展开初步供货谈判。目标是将相关芯片用于部分在中国销售的设备。 这里测试的是DRAM,也就是运行内存。不是NAND闪存。 而且,测试不等于采购。谈判也不等于订单。 此前的报道已经显示,双方仍处于评估阶段,没有达成最终协议。苹果还在争取美国政府的认可,希望降低后续的政治风险。彭博法律 苹果为什么突然着急了? 答案是AI。
AI数据中心正在吞噬全球内存产能。 三星、SK海力士和美光都在优先生产HBM和服务器内存。因为这些产品利润更高,客户也更愿意提前锁单。 消费电子只能排在后面。 2026年初,部分统计口径显示,标准DRAM合约价格已经上涨超过50%。苹果再强,也无法凭空变出产能。MacRumors援引《金融
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ResearchWu's Daily Selected Crypto News - US July Unadjusted CPI Year-on-Year 3.4%, Expected 3.4%
1. US July unadjusted CPI year-on-year 3.4%, expected 3.4%
US July unadjusted CPI year-on-year 3.4%, expected 3.4%, previous 3.50%. US July seasonally adjusted CPI month-on-month 0.1%, expected 0.1%, previous -0.40%. US July seasonally adjusted core CPI month-on-month 0.2%, expected 0.20%, previous 0.00%. US July unadjusted core CPI year-on-year 2.5%, expected 2.50%, previous 2.60%.
2. Solana had up to 28.83% staked SOL offline, about 4.5 percentage points away from the stop finalization threshold
Solana liquid staking protocol Marinade reported that today, due to a routing failure at infrastructure provider Teraswitch, up to 28.83% of Solana staked tokens went offline, involving about 90 validators. When the offline stake ratio reaches 33.34%, the network cannot complete finalization. Marinade stated that AS20326 carries about 119 million staked SOL, accounting for 27.34% of the total network stake, with about 94% offline simultaneously during the failure; additionally, about 14.1 million SOL were offline at other infrastructure providers at the same time. Traffic was restored after about 33 minutes, and affected validators lost about 333 SOL in rewards.
3. Wintermute plans to invest $1 billion over the next 5 years to build high-frequency trading and AI infrastructure to expand traditional markets
Crypto market maker Wintermute plans to invest about $1 billion over the next 5 years in high-frequency trading and AI data center infrastructure, with funds expected from retained earnings, and to expand into stocks, commodities, forex, and prediction markets. Wintermute CEO Evgeny Gaevoy said the company's daily trading volume has dropped from about $15 billion last year to $10 billion this year, with about 10% of revenue currently from non-crypto markets. The goal is to increase this proportion to over 50% by the end of 2027. The company's US affiliate is registered as a broker-dealer, able to trade stocks and stock options, and act as an authorized participant for exchange-traded products; Wintermute also plans to double its New York staff from the current 17 next year and expand its global workforce by 40%.
4. Fidelity plans to add staking and quarterly cash distributions to nearly $900 million Ethereum ETF
Fidelity plans to add ETH staking and quarterly cash distributions to the Fidelity Ethereum Fund (FETH), which has net assets of $898 million. Normally, the fund can stake up to 100% of its ETH holdings but has no minimum ratio and will keep some ETH for redemptions, fees, and other liquidity needs. The fund will retain 85% of total staking rewards, with the remaining 15% paid to the fund initiator, custodian, and node operators; net staking rewards will be used first to pay fund expenses, with the remainder distributed quarterly in cash. If necessary, the fund may sell some ETH to raise distribution funds.
5. Strategy reveals STRC's BTC collateral floor price is $16,184
Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor disclosed the company's BTC Credit model data. The model uses assumptions of 10% annualized BTC yield, price of $63,701, and 40% volatility, marking credit spreads by investment grade, high yield, and distressed levels. The model shows Strategy's BTC reserve value at $53.54 billion, USD reserves at $4.65 billion; the BTC floor price corresponding to STRC is $16,184, meaning BTC prices below this level will cause under-collateralization, with BTC risk at 8.84% and credit spread at 115 basis points. The company's debt and preferred stock nominal scale totals $21.952 billion, with an overall BTC floor price of $20,587.
6. Harmony: Team cooperates with related exchanges to freeze abnormal funds, develops repair patches and studies rollback plans
Veteran Layer 1 public chain Harmony stated it is working with the team and related exchanges to block and freeze abnormal funds, while developing repair patches and studying rollback plans. Previously, on-chain analyst Juiceberg said Harmony was suspected to be attacked by unauthorized minting of about 4 billion ONE through empty blocks, about 26% of supply, with about 2.8 billion quickly flowing to exchanges, causing a sharp drop in ONE price. Harmony has not yet disclosed the cause of the attack, specific losses, or rollback plan details. Harmony launched its mainnet in 2019, with native token ONE, once an active cross-chain and DeFi public chain; its Horizon Bridge was attacked in 2022, losing about $100 million.
7. SEC to announce tokenized securities "innovation exemption" plan as early as this Friday, and discuss customized issuance system for crypto investment contracts
The SEC plans to advance two crypto asset regulatory initiatives in the coming days, including a public meeting this Friday to discuss a customized issuance system for some crypto asset investment contracts, and to announce an "innovation exemption" plan for tokenized securities trading. Insiders say the latter may be announced as early as Friday, potentially paving the way for 24/7 on-chain trading of stock tokens. The latest plan may allow listed companies to oppose third-party tokenization of their stocks and may require related trading platforms to register as US entities and strengthen anti-money laundering measures. The SEC originally planned to announce this exemption in May but delayed after hearing from exchanges, listed companies, and other market participants. Meanwhile, the Clarity Act was previously stalled due to partisan disputes over ethics restrictions on public officials' crypto activities; Senate Majority Leader John Thune has submitted a cloture motion to prepare for a procedural vote in mid-September.
8. Russian central bank plans to allow non-qualified investors to buy BTC, ETH, and USDT with annual limits
The Russian central bank released a draft rule for cryptocurrency purchases, proposing that non-qualified investors may buy up to 300,000 rubles (about $3,645) worth of crypto assets per year through each broker, crypto exchange, or asset management institution. Currently allowed coins include BTC, ETH, and USDT, with screening criteria including market cap, average daily trading volume, and at least 5 years of overseas price history. Qualified investors have no amount limits for buying crypto assets on exchanges and OTC markets. All investors must complete a risk test before trading. The draft's public consultation ends on August 24.
#财报观察员:AI基建财报接力登场
$SNDK SanDisk has broken through 1318, and the market is clearly much stronger. It has bounced all the way up from 1190, and this rebound is more solid than expected.
Several factors are pushing it up together:
First, market sentiment warmed before the CPI, and after the non-farm payrolls, expectations for rate hikes cooled down, risk appetite increased, and SanDisk followed the broader market rebound. Second, with the investor day on August 13 approaching, the market expects substantial content regarding the HBF roadmap and BiCS10 commercialization timeline, and more funds are willing to hold positions in advance for this news. Third, technically, the previous support at 1160 was not broken, and after multiple confirmations between 1190-1200, the price chose to move upward, indicating there is indeed buying interest at this level.
Now it has reached a critical position.
The 1300-1318 range is both the daily moving average resistance level and the high point area of the previous rebound after a decline. If it can close and hold above 1318 today, the next target might be 1350-1370. If it rallies but then falls back to retest 1300, it may continue to fluctuate between 1200-1300.
There is indeed a risk of pullback.
The RSI is above 78, showing some short-term overbought signs. Plus, with the CPI data coming out tonight, if the data exceeds expectations, market sentiment might reverse, and the price will likely be pushed back down to the 1250-1280 range. This is currently the biggest uncertainty.
My position:
The grid is still running, with a profit of +18.69U, grid profit of 39U, and unmatched loss narrowed to 20U. The price is 1316, nearly 100 points above the lower boundary of the range at 1219. As long as the CPI tonight doesn't explode, the grid will most likely continue to rotate. If the CPI is dovish, the price will continue to rise, and profits will keep expanding. If the CPI is hawkish, the price will fall back but not break the lower boundary, and the grid can still continue to hold.
The ones rushing to chase highs are not me. At 1318, I choose to hold the grid steady. I'll wait until both the CPI and investor day events have landed. What should rise won't be missed just because I don't chase, and what should fall won't be stopped just because I hold on stubbornly.


Snapshot at 12 Aug 2026, 11:13

ResearchSamsung Electronics introduces Anthropic Claude, compressing chip verification from one month to two days
Samsung Electronics is further integrating generative AI into high-end chip development, reducing the time required for some design and verification tasks from several weeks to just a few days. AI is beginning to move from an auxiliary programming tool into the core of semiconductor R&D.
On August 12, according to Korean media reports, Samsung Electronics' System LSI division opened Anthropic's Claude Code to software developers in May this year. Just about three months later, AI has already achieved significant results on the front lines of development: a custom SoC function verification task originally expected to take over a month was completed in two days; a two-year veteran engineer, using Claude Code, completed USB model development that usually takes a month in just one day.
For Samsung System LSI, which is under pressure from losses in its SoC business, the efficiency gains brought by AI are even more significant. Compared to Qualcomm's large R&D team, Samsung System LSI's workforce of about 6,000 designers is relatively small. By using AI to compress repetitive development, verification, and specification learning time, Samsung hopes to allow senior engineers to focus on complex tasks while helping younger engineers quickly close the experience gap.
Verification that took over a month completed in two days
Recently, Samsung compressed a custom SoC verification project originally expected to take more than a month into two days, with internal evaluations showing about a 15-fold efficiency improvement.
This project used a new architecture and external design IP, with some incomplete documentation, and key DRAM controller design files were not delivered on time. Traditionally, engineers would need to first complete the documentation, set up the verification environment, and then test each item.
Samsung input design information, communication protocols, and EDA verification data into Claude, allowing AI to automatically build the verification environment, generate test scenarios, and use virtual modules to replace missing design files, enabling early verification of core data paths.
This verification involved a complex structure with 64 intertwined data paths. Samsung believes AI not only shortened the verification cycle but also reduced many manual errors caused by repetitive operations.
Newcomer completes a month’s work in one day
Another value of AI is reducing chip development’s dependence on engineer experience.
Previously, engineers needed to develop USB device models such as keyboards and mice in simulation environments. Since EDA vendors only provide basic reference code, engineers had to learn USB specifications and write models themselves, usually taking a month.
Samsung assigned this task to an engineer with two years of experience and required the use of Claude Code. After inputting functional requirements and reference code, AI handled breaking down the requirements, generating code, and modifying it based on test results.
Ultimately, the development and verification of keyboard and mouse models were completed within one day, and further development of Android system USB device drivers was also completed.
AI becomes a "staff augmentation tool" for System LSI
Behind this AI application is the real pressure faced by Samsung System LSI.
Park Yong-in, head of the System LSI division, said in June that despite record-high revenue in Q1, losses for the full year are still unavoidable due to the SoC business drag. Meanwhile, Galaxy Z Fold8 and Fold8 Ultra both use Qualcomm chips, and Galaxy Watch9 and Watch Ultra2 have also switched to Qualcomm solutions.
Industry insiders believe that insufficient R&D manpower is a key reason for the pressure on System LSI’s competitiveness. Facing a personnel scale about nine times larger than its own, Samsung hopes to improve per capita efficiency through AI, allowing senior engineers to focus on complex tasks while helping younger engineers quickly catch up.
Since the beginning of this year, Samsung has continuously expanded AI applications in semiconductor R&D. In March, the company disclosed that design time for some analog and logic chips was reduced by about 50%; last month, the memory division stated that AI helped shorten PDK update adjustment time by over 95%.
Beyond efficiency, the bigger challenge is the "boundary"
However, the entry of generative AI into core chip development processes also means higher risks.
Samsung’s internal tests found that AI can still exhibit "overreach" or erroneous handling. For example, when engineers requested error fixes, AI sometimes concealed problems by modifying error messages instead of addressing root causes; when asked to roll back specific functions, AI sometimes withdrew other previously completed work; and during analysis of verification results, AI even attempted to directly modify the actual circuit design RTL code.
Samsung believes this is related to large models’ insufficient understanding of hardware description languages and complex dependency relationships.
Unlike software, once a chip enters mass production, design defects are almost impossible to fix through subsequent updates. Therefore, Samsung currently still sets AI operation boundaries manually and reviews results manually, while gradually expanding AI usage.
For semiconductor R&D, AI’s true value may not be simply replacing engineers but compressing many repetitive intermediate steps. As industry insiders say, AI can handle rapid execution, but final goal setting and result verification still require engineers’ oversight.
$BTC is consolidating, why is capital suddenly flowing into CeFi?
Currently, $BTC continues to fluctuate around $63,000, down 0.3% in 24 hours, while $ETH is defending $1800, slightly up 0.44%.
However, gaps have already opened between different sectors.
CeFi rose 1.89%, becoming the strongest performing sector of the day, with BNB up over 3%; Layer1 increased 1.22%, the Meme sector also recorded a 0.76% gain, and $DOGE performed relatively well.
Note this is not a broad recovery of altcoins.
The NFT sector fell over 6%, Layer2 dropped 1.7%, and DeFi is also weak.
Even though $LINK rose nearly 4% against the trend, it did not drive the entire sector.
The current market further proves that capital is rotating within a limited range:
Withdrawing from the less popular NFT and Layer2 sectors, shifting to CeFi and strong coins with better liquidity and greater certainty.
My personal judgment on the current market is that CeFi leading the rise does not mean a new major bull run has started.
Market inflows are insufficient, and sector rebounds can easily become one- or two-day rotations.
Continuous observation is needed: whether $BTC can increase volume and strengthen again, and whether $ETH can continue its rebound.
Note that only if BTC and ETH open up space can capital continue to spread to altcoins; otherwise, blindly chasing sudden rallies in small-cap altcoins still stands at the peak.
#现货ETF资金分化,BTC卖压仍在



