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$CORE 一、项目基本面客观概况 Core，主打比特币+EVM双引擎，定位比特币生态的EVM兼容侧链，目标是把DeFi、各类应用带到比特币体系，BTCFI 叙事竞品之一。 - ✔️ 客观优势事实：同时兼容比特币原生资产 + EVM，开发者迁移门槛低；创世叙事热度高，早期积攒了非常庞大的社群基础；代币释放模型设计为长达81年缓慢释放，最初设计初衷，就是避免一次性巨额砸盘。 - ❗ 客观短板事实：项目上线至今，生态实际活跃度、链上TVL、真实DApp落地数量，长期没有达到市场最初预期；BTCFi赛道后续竞争者不断增多（龙头竞品代币STX以及一众比特币二层、各类比特币相关协议），赛道内卷加剧，并非独家赛道。 二、代币供给：中性看待，不是单纯利空 代币释放机制，市场分歧最大，这里中立表述： 1. 释放周期81年，长期来看，远期的通胀压力被摊薄；但短期、中期，每年、阶段性依然存在批次解锁（例如你重点关注的大额解锁事件），解锁本身不等于一定砸盘，存在两种可能性： - 情景A：解锁拿到筹码的持有者，选择质押锁仓、长期持有，实际流入二级市场流通量有限，对盘面冲击很小 - 情景B$ZEC perpetual 50x long position, opened at 1204.41, now at 1216.77, floating profit +51.31%.
The logic is simple: bottom tested and stabilized near 1204, short-term bottom structure is clear, volume and price cooperate to strengthen. Followed the long after seeing the stop-fall signal. 50x leverage, initial stop loss set at 1190. The trend oscillates upward, with some pullbacks but overall bullish, floating profit exceeds 50%.
$ETH $BTC
Trailing stop moved up to 1208 to lock in profit. If volume breaks through the 1225-1230 area above, a light position setup is possible; otherwise, the risk of rapid retracement of high floating profits is high, consider taking profits in batches. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
The September minutes are out, and the market only took away the word "majority."
▪️ September rate hike to 3.75%–4.00%, unanimously supported by 19 participants
▪️ "Another rate hike this year may be appropriate" — the term used is "majority"
▪️ "Current rates are not tight enough" — the term used is "several"
▪️ Before the October 27–28 meeting, only the October 14 CPI remains
The disagreement is not about whether to hike in October; each sentence in this document carries different weight.
The Fed does not specify numbers, only a series of quantifiers: all, most, many, several, a couple. The market interprets "majority" as 16–17 people, "several" as about 5–8 people.
This hawkish reading is based entirely on the weakest terms: those saying "rates are not tight enough" are "several," those saying "this is insurance" are "many." The only term used as "unanimous" refers to the step already taken.
The direction is slightly bearish for risk assets — the pressure is not on whether to hike or not, but the word "majority" consistently points to the next step. If CPI does not cool down, the hike will be postponed; if it clearly cools, the hike is off.$SKHYNIX perpetual 50x short position, opened at 1310.5, now at 1250.7, floating profit +228.15%.
Didn't overthink it: the previous consolidation lasted long enough, the 1310.5 level was repeatedly confirmed as valid, the top pattern is very clear. Entered as soon as a high-volume bearish candle appeared, following the trend, not emotions. 50x leverage, stop loss at 1350. The drop was fast and steady, giving no chance for a second entry.
Locked in a safety buffer at 1280 first. My personal judgment is that there will be support around 1150; at that time, I'll decide whether to exit or hold based on volume, without guessing the bottom in advance. $BTC $ZEC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 First buy bonds, then sign policies, Trump wins big again
Just today, according to the latest financial disclosures
Trump made 517 securities transactions alone in August
Total transaction amount between $74.3 million and $273 million
Key operations
- Bought up to $25 million in Meta
- Bought $1 million to $5 million in unsecured notes of SpaceX
- Sold $1 million to $5 million in AMD
- Sold $500,000 to $1 million in Nvidia
The most intriguing is the SpaceX transaction
Placed an order to buy bonds on August 18
Two days later, on August 20, Trump himself signed a national policy to expand U.S. commercial space transportation
Currently, neither the White House nor SpaceX has responded with comments
Retail investors watch the market for alpha, staying up late reading research reports. Meanwhile, he signs executive orders while placing orders—Is this called insider trading by the U.S. President?$APR is bearish, current price 0.1073, expected to continue weakening before the cliff unlocking on October 23. Nearly all liquidations in the past 24 hours were long positions, 60 trades totaling $60,000, with only 4 short trades. The amount is not large, but it shows that those entering to catch the rebound during this 7.58% drop are being washed out, while the shorts remain mostly unscathed. Price dropped from 0.1186 to 0.0974, with moving averages in a bearish alignment and RSI at 29 as a result of this process. There are 15 days left until unlocking, and the pressure window has not yet opened. We have backtested large unlocking events and found underperformance against the market concentrated in the last 7 days before unlocking, averaging about 6%, with about three-quarters of events negative; there is no stable direction after the unlocking day. Therefore, in the final week, watch $APR's relative strength against the market and whether 0.0974 holds. Bullish reversal condition: daily close above and holding 0.1186 before the final week. If not achieved, maintain bearish bias; breaking below 0.0974 will continue the weakness. $SOXL ⚠️Risk Warning: The following is only an objective analysis based on chart technicals and does not constitute any investment advice. Please proceed with caution.
1. Current price: 150.20, daily decline -6.23%, showing a large bearish candlestick.
Moving averages: MA5: 161.40; MA10: 158.80; MA20: 150.90
The price has broken below the 5-day and 10-day moving averages and just touched the 20-day moving average level, indicating a short-term trend shift from bullish to weak.
Bollinger Bands BOLL20: Upper band 174.86, middle band 150.90, lower band 126.93
The current price is pulling back to the Bollinger middle band, which is an important support level. Around 150 is the Bollinger middle band support; if broken, it will test the lower band near 126.
SAR indicator: 169.45, SAR points are above the price, signaling a bearish trend. SAR dots have moved above the candlesticks, indicating the end of the short-term bullish trend.
2. Volume expanded during the previous upward phase; after peaking at a high level, the bearish candlesticks also show increased volume, indicating heavy selling pressure and massive capital outflow.
3. SAR has turned bearish, representing the end of the major short-term bullish phase. Avoid blindly buying heavily at the bottom.
150 is the critical line between life and death; whether the close holds above or breaks below will determine the subsequent major direction.
4. Key price levels summary
Strong resistance: 160-162
Key support: 150 (Bollinger middle band MA20)
Secondary support: 141.57
Extreme downside test: 126-127 Bollinger lower band$ZEC ZEC dropped sharply today, falling more than seven points in 4 hours, with a low of 1193.
The key was the few high-volume bearish candles in the early morning. At 4 AM on the 4-hour chart, it dropped 4.5%, with trading volume surging to 63M, the largest single volume of the day; the hourly chart also shows a corresponding high-volume long bearish candle. A drop accompanied by volume indicates real selling pressure, with active selling rather than a low-volume decline.
Looking back, this drop is not sudden. Since late September, it has steadily declined from above 1600, with two volume breakouts on 9/29 and 10/1. The rebound volumes were insufficient, and the trend has been weakening gradually. Today is just another step down.
Now it has dropped to 1193 and pulled back somewhat, but the rebound volume clearly cannot keep up. Hourly trading volume has shrunk back to around 10M, much smaller than during the sell-off. A low-volume rebound can only be considered a pause, not a stabilization.
Resistance above is at 1288-1300, then 1340; support below is at 1193, with breaks targeting 1150 and 1100.
After a high-volume drop followed by a low-volume rebound, downward momentum remains. Don’t rush to bottom-fish; wait for "high-volume stop drop" signals (low-volume sideways or high-volume reversal) before considering entry. Wait for signals on the right side.$OGN suddenly surged today, rising over 70% at one point within 24 hours.
Interestingly, I haven't found any new major announcement that could fully explain this big bullish candle.
But after checking Origin's recent data, I did find something easily overlooked: Origin has cumulatively repurchased 114 million OGN tokens by the end of September, accounting for about 16.5% of the circulating supply.
Moreover, the official mechanism is:
Protocol generates net revenue → repurchase OGN → distribute to xOGN stakers.
At the same time, OGN's trading volume suddenly expanded to the $50 million level today, while its market cap was previously only a bit over $20 million.
An established DeFi token with a market cap of only around $20 million, continuously repurchasing, suddenly attracted large capital.Originally, I was looking at the ETF capital outflow data, feeling a bit blocked inside.
9.24 million net outflow, several days in a row, it really doesn't feel comfortable to watch. To be honest, I was a bit panicked during those few seconds staring at the screen, a bunch of chaotic thoughts popped into my head—whether institutions are quitting, whether the narrative is cooling off.
Then I swiped down and saw the data from Santiment.
Solana network growth has jumped 124% since early September. About 1.71 million new wallets are created every day. Daily active addresses increased by 58%, reaching 4.27 million.
I put down my phone, leaned against the sofa, and stared at the ceiling for a while.
1.71 million new wallets every day. Not 1.71 million transactions, but 1.71 million new addresses, new users, new people. Funds are flowing out on the ETF side, but on-chain activity is desperately flowing in.
This reminded me of another set of data I saw earlier: on October 3rd, Solana processed $3.06 billion in daily spot DEX trading volume; the internal trading activity of the ecosystem has never stopped.
I admit sometimes I care too much about those ETF inflow and outflow numbers, watching net inflows and outflows every day, my mood fluctuates accordingly. But what really matters might not be here. ETF is a form of capital allocation, on-chain activity is another matter. The former is cooling down, the latter is still rising.
Looking at these two signals together, I think the latter is more trustworthy.
It's not that I'm not worried, but after the worry, I still feel the direction is right. $SOL $SNDK perpetual 75x short position, opened at 1708.6, now at 1647.5, floating profit +268.20%.
The logic is very simple: repeated failed attempts to rally near 1708.6, each rebound was quickly crushed, the upper shadows are getting longer, and buying pressure is clearly exhausted. Once volume broke below 1680, confirmed on the right side, entered short. 75x leverage, stop loss at 1750. This drop was extremely smooth, giving no chance for a rebound.
Now moving the stop loss to 1680 to lock in profits. If volume breaks below 1550, can hold for more. $ZEC $SOL #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ FIL today's analysis and interpretation of the market.
Conclusion: FIL shows signs of forming a small M-shaped double top pattern on the 4H timeframe under the current extremely poor market conditions.
Long positions should be especially cautious.
Of course, if the overall market sentiment is bullish, the interpretation of this M pattern would be completely opposite. It mainly depends on the understanding of the overall market.
Therefore, selling FIL at the current price and waiting to observe is the best strategy.
Reason: Look at the top red line in the chart, 1.23 is firmly suppressing. The market sentiment is poor, so taking profits now is the best choice. $ETH perpetual 100x short position, opened at 2583.04, now at 2513.02, floating profit +271.07%.
Didn't overthink it: the consolidation period was long enough, the 2583.04 level was repeatedly confirmed as valid on the platform, the top pattern is very clear. Entered as soon as a high-volume bearish candle appeared, following the trend not the emotion. 100x leverage, stop loss at 2600. The drop was fast and steady, giving no chance for a second entry.
Locked in a safety cushion at 2550 first. My personal judgment is that there will be support around 2400, then I'll decide whether to exit or hold based on volume, no bottom guessing in advance. $BTC $ZEC #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ Maji is on the verge of liquidation again — I feel like I've seen this episode... more than once 🥹
1 minute ago he cut losses by selling 4,700 $ETH, realizing a substantial loss of $570,000. Currently, the remaining 24,500 ETH long position's unrealized loss has expanded to $3,060,000, with the latest liquidation price at $2,473.56, meaning there is still a $38.22 liquidation buffer.
This drop caused him to give back nearly $4 million in unrealized gains and even lose $3 million, really treating it like play money.
Portal 👉 0x020ca66c30bec2c4fe3861a94e4db4a498a35872$ICP
Internet Computer is pursuing an ambitious idea: running applications and services directly on a decentralized blockchain rather than relying entirely on conventional cloud infrastructure. Its architecture also targets multi-chain functionality and on-chain applications. The opportunity is substantial, but the standard is equally high. Developers must find the platform sufficiently useful to justify moving meaningful workloads away from established cloud environments.Long-term interest rates capped, $BTC is still waiting for "easing"
The long end of the U.S. Treasury market has again grabbed the market's focus. The 30-year yield touched 5.70%, a new high since 2002; the 10-year yield also rose above 5.3%. Long-term bonds are being continuously sold off, driven by inflation expectations pushed up by oil prices and a repricing of U.S. fiscal and debt risks. For risk assets like BTC and U.S. stocks, rising risk-free yields mean valuations continue to be pressured.
BTC just went through a round of liquidation, and sentiment has not yet recovered, while macro pressures are increasing. Right now, more worth watching than whether the Federal Reserve will hike rates is when the long-term rates will peak. As long as yields keep rising, the financial environment tightens, and the room for a rebound is easily capped.
However, some warmth is emerging within crypto: whale selling pressure is weakening, and ETF funds have seen net inflows for three consecutive weeks. This indicates that selling is being absorbed, but external liquidity still controls pricing power. For $BTC to usher in a new strong rebound, it must first wait for this heavy pressure from U.S. Treasuries to ease and yields to turn downward. Without a turn in the long end, risk assets will find it hard to truly relax. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ After taking a shower and lying in bed, it was almost 10 o'clock when I came across a piece of news. Musk was appointed as co-director of a Pentagon project called the "Meridian Program" and is back in the government.
Why does this matter to Dogecoin? At the end of 2024, when Trump first brought him into the government, $DOGE jumped 10%; at the beginning of 2025, on the day the government's efficiency department website displayed the Dogecoin logo, it rose another 11%. So when this news came out, many in the community shouted, "Here we go again."
But I watched the market for a while, and the price barely moved. Honestly, I felt a bit disappointed. Then I realized this time the project has no direct relation to Dogecoin.
I turned over facing the wall. Whether Musk comes back or not isn't really important; what matters is that he still holds that position and everyone is still watching him. DOGE never needs anyone to hype it daily; it just needs the atmosphere of "people still believe."$ATOM
Cosmos has always taken a different route to interoperability: instead of forcing every application onto one chain, its ecosystem allows independent networks to operate while communicating with one another. That architecture remains relevant in an increasingly fragmented blockchain market. The challenge for ATOM is translating interoperability into stronger economic demand. More connected ecosystems are useful, but token value still requires sustainable utility.87,000 → 82,000! Bitcoin evaporates hundreds of billions in two days, who should take the blame?
In just two days, Bitcoin fell from $87,000 to $82,000, causing a significant shrinkage in the crypto market capitalization. This was not triggered by a single negative factor but by multiple factors resonating together.
The macro environment is the primary driver: tensions in the Middle East pushed Brent crude oil above $100, inflation expectations rose, and the market lowered expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut. U.S. Treasury yields surged, the dollar strengthened, raising the opportunity cost of holding the interest-free asset BTC, leading to a collective withdrawal of risk capital. The simultaneous weakening of U.S. stocks further suppressed market sentiment.
After the price broke below the key $84,000 level, contract longs were heavily liquidated, with nearly $700 million in leveraged positions cleared. The forced liquidation selling continued to hammer the market, creating a negative feedback loop and amplifying the decline. Meanwhile, the U.S. spot BTC ETF saw large net outflows, institutional buying suddenly disappeared, and the market lost support. Additionally, large BTC transfers from U.S. government-related addresses to custody platforms intensified market panic.
Technically, multiple failed attempts to break above $87,000, crowded short-term long positions, and a fragile market faced with macro headwinds quickly triggered a pullback. Short-term support is expected around $81,000–$83,000; if broken, the next target is $80,000. For the market to strengthen, it needs to reclaim and hold $85,000–$86,000. Key upcoming factors to watch include CPI data, Federal Reserve statements, Middle East oil prices, and ETF fund flows.
#BTC #LeverageLiquidation #MacroMarket$BLUR
Blur’s position in the NFT market is built around professional trading rather than casual collecting. Its marketplace and aggregation tools are designed for users who care about speed, listings, and portfolio management. That specialization can be valuable during active NFT markets, but it also creates cyclicality. The key question is whether Blur can retain meaningful trading activity when speculative NFT volumes cool.The ETH short position taken at noon today has already gained 200 by 9:30 🔪
Currently, half of the position has been closed, keeping the other half to wait and see until early morning tonight
Current ETH trend
Affected by the Fed's hawkish minutes and BTC drag, ETH is weak and volatile in the short term, moving in tandem with the broader market. Its volatility is greater than BTC's; when it falls, the drop is often larger, and the rebound strength is generally weaker, without showing an independent trend.
• Short-term resistance: 2640-2660; strong resistance at 2720
• Short-term support: 2530-2550; strong support at 2420-2450, breaking below this will further expand the correction space.
Outlook
1. Short term: Completely depends on BTC's performance. If BTC cannot stabilize, ETH will continue to be under pressure; if the market rebounds, ETH's rebound will be stronger than BTC's. There is heavy resistance above, so rebounds should be viewed primarily as corrections.
2. Medium term: Macroeconomically, the Fed maintaining high interest rates continues to suppress risk assets; a return of spot ETF funds and market stabilization are needed for a chance to strengthen. If the market breaks down, ETH's correction space will be amplified.
Overall: Weak and volatile in the short term, no independent bullish logic, direction depends on BTC and USD liquidity changes. CryptocurrencyThe 10-year US Treasury yield rises, the biggest invisible pressure source for Bitcoin
Recently, Bitcoin has been in a downward channel. Jiang Chen brings an analysis for friends here:
1. The 10-year US Treasury is the risk-free yield benchmark for global US dollar assets. When the yield continues to rise, it means buying US Treasuries can get higher and safer fixed returns, and institutional capital allocation strategies will change accordingly.
2. Bitcoin itself generates no interest and is a high-volatility risk asset. When the risk-free yield of US Treasuries increases, capital tends to withdraw from risky assets like Bitcoin, reducing incremental market buying, naturally putting downward pressure on the price.
3. Rising US Treasury yields often simultaneously push up the US dollar index. Bitcoin is priced in US dollars; a stronger dollar directly suppresses crypto asset valuations. At the same time, market risk aversion intensifies, growth stocks like Nasdaq weaken simultaneously, causing cross-market linked declines.
4. It is important to distinguish on the chart that rising US Treasury yields do not mean Bitcoin will immediately crash; it is a leading indicator of expectations. As long as yields remain high, Bitcoin will struggle to sustain a bullish trend. Intraday rebounds are mostly technical corrections during a downtrend and should not be mistaken for a trend reversal.
5. Going forward, closely watch the 10-year US Treasury yield trend. Only when yields peak and turn downward, and high interest rate expectations cool, will capital flow back into risk assets, giving Bitcoin a real chance to breathe. $BTC $ETH $SAND perpetual 50x short position, opened at 0.07655, currently at 0.07141, floating profit +335.72%.
Just betting on a top reversal: 0.07655 tested three times without breaking, volume decreasing stepwise, very typical top characteristics. Enter the position the moment the bearish candle crashes down, never guess the top prematurely. 50x leverage, stop loss at 0.078. This wave moved very cleanly, with almost no rebound.
For now, hold steady and let the bullet fly a bit. Keep 0.073 as the defense line to protect the principal, wait for a clear signal around 0.065 before deciding to add or not, no rush. $HYPE $XRP #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 The real buying point is when you hesitate to go all in. The real selling point is when greed makes you unwilling to sell.
Trading always tests your own mindset.Bitcoin dropped nearly 5% this week, surged up to 85,000 and then fell back down, currently breaking below 83,000.
Is this a correction or a trend reversal? Just look at these three points.
1. See if there are many buyers.
This week, very few people bought.
Adding up the money from exchanges and funds, it's only about 6.8 billion USD per day, data that can be checked, the quietest level in over a year.
On the day it surged to 85,000 (October 4th, Sunday), the trading volume was only half of a usual Sunday. No one was supporting the rally, so it couldn't hold.
2. See if sellers are making profits or losses.
In the past few days, out of every ten coins entering exchanges, eight and a half were sold at a profit. People who have held coins for only a few months are busy cashing out, the highest in a year, usually less than 40%. This is not fear-driven selling, but taking profits and exiting.
3. See where the threshold is.
Currently, 90% of short-term players are still making profits, not much trapped. But those who entered in the last one or two months are different: they bought around 81,900 on average, just a bit above the current price. Plus, new money coming in is not much (4.9 billion in 30 days), while the market cap is inflating rapidly (12.8 billion), which is unsustainable.
So now focus on two numbers: 85,000 and 81,900.
If it climbs back above 85,000, we need to see if real money is coming in to support it—that would be a true breakout. If it falls below 81,900, recent entrants will start losing and likely exit together.
Next, watch two things: whether more buyers come in, and whether 81,900 is broken. The rest doesn't matter.#全球长期国债收益率升至多年高位 "Cost-push + demand-pull" squeeze from both ends: Companies regain pricing power, but profit statements get sandwiched first
When supply-side costs rise (freight, energy, chips, metals, labor, tariffs) and demand remains firm (AI capital expenditure, restocking, service consumption holding up) simultaneously, companies face not the question of "whether to raise prices," but rather that raising prices too slowly means costs eat them alive, while raising prices too fast pushes customers to competitors.
This combination is most toxic in three ways:
The cost side is sticky: wages are contracted, long-term agreements for coal/copper/lithium can’t be locked in, and premiums on the Red Sea–Panama route won’t drop next quarter;
The demand side is selective: it’s not a broad boom, but "AI/grid/military/cloud providers" are strong, while "real estate/mass consumption" is weak, so only the former dare to raise prices;
Pricing power is redistributed: manufacturers with brands, switching costs, and technical barriers (equipment, materials, software, specialty chemicals) pass on inflation; contract manufacturers, white-label, and price-war industries absorb the margin hit themselves.
From a macro perspective, this is called "profit inflation": CPI may not spike, but corporate gross margins split first—upstream profits, leaders pass on costs, midstream contract manufacturers suffer. $PUMP perpetual 50x short position, opened at 0.006223, currently 0.005715, floating profit +408.16%.
Just betting on a top reversal: 0.006223 tested three times without breaking, volume decreasing stepwise, very typical top characteristics. Enter the position the moment the bearish candle crashes down, never guess the top prematurely. 50x leverage, stop loss at 0.0065. This wave moved very cleanly, almost no rebound.
For now, hold steady and let the bullet fly a while. Set 0.0058 as the defense line to protect the principal first, wait for a clear signal around 0.005 before deciding to add or not, no rush. $DOGE $SNDK #跟着OKX打卡2049 After spending a long time watching the contract market, I’ve learned one uncomfortable lesson: leverage can magnify profits, but it can destroy capital even faster. This time, three positions made that lesson very clear: $LINK — 40x Isolated Long Entry: 13.52 Mark: 13.11 The position fell to roughly -84%, showing how quickly a relatively small move against you can damage a highly leveraged trade. SOXL — 8x Full-Margin Long Entry: 171.30 Mark: 149.20 The decline pushed the position beyond -100%,No more pretending, no more pretending, everyone is starting to stop pretending
Brent crude oil surged 5% tonight in one move, reaching 105.33. A few days ago, the Houthis bombed Riyadh airport and Aramco's refinery, but oil prices stayed flat, playing dead. I thought it would keep playing dead until next week. Tonight, it can't pretend anymore.
There's a change more worth watching than the price increase itself. Before, when Trump shouted, oil prices would jump. Tonight, he said nothing, and oil prices rose on their own.
Traders have become desensitized to his words; now they only watch one thing: where the oil actually flows. The era of shouting is over; the era of watching actions has arrived. The G7's release of 100 million barrels didn't even make a splash.
Look at this transmission chain, link by link.
Oil at 105, inflation expectations rise, 10-year US Treasury yield hits 5.31%, US stocks open lower, Bitcoin falls below 82,000, now at 81,973, Ethereum follows down to 2,514. Oil has never been just about other markets; oil is the tax on all markets.
A few days ago at 89, no one believed it; now at 105, everyone believes it. Prices are always more honest than words, just a bit expensive.
My own discipline: having just paid tuition in the meat grinder, I neither chase longs nor catch falling knives in this market. The faster it rises, the more you have to ask yourself: is the supply gap closed? If not closed, it's not just emotion, it's a trend.
What do you all think, is 105 the top or just a pause?
#霍尔木兹风险升级，短期能源供应仍有缓冲 $CL $BTC $ETH 俄罗斯的加密市场，正在迈出关键一步。 10月8日，据塔斯社报道，莫斯科交易所计划从12月1日起提供加密货币交易服务，目前已经开始对相关业务进行测试。 莫斯科交易所高级董事总经理Boris Blokhin表示，交易所目前正在与专业市场参与者进行测试，相关基础设施也在为正式上线做准备。 这意味着： BTC、ETH等加密资产，正在从俄罗斯的“另类资产”，进一步进入传统交易所体系。 01｜俄罗斯不再只是做“加密衍生品” 其实，莫斯科交易所此前已经涉足加密市场。 目前，交易所面向合格投资者提供基于BTC、ETH、SOL、XRP、TRX等加密资产指数的期货及永续合约产品。 但这一次不同。 此前主要是围绕加密资产价格进行衍生品交易，而此次计划进一步提供加密货币本身的交易服务。 按照俄罗斯9月1日起生效的新数字货币监管框架，加密货币可以通过交易所、经纪商、信托管理机构等受监管基础设施进行交易。 换句话说： 俄罗斯正在尝试把加密货币纳入传统金融市场的轨道。 02｜但普通俄罗斯人，并不是想买多少就买多少 新规同样设置了明显的投资者分层。 对于非合格投资者，原则上需要通过测试，并受到投资额度限制。 目前规定【On-Chain Trading Update｜HYPE】
Monitored address 0x24fb opened a long position:
▪ Execution price: $85.1
▪ Transaction amount this time: $259,969.15
▪ Leverage: 10x
Note: This address has earned over $55,000 in profit in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +2.54%
Do you think opening a long position at this level is early or not?$ETH rebound is weak, continuously declining, will it break below 2500 tonight?
Don't rush to bottom-fish now, the downtrend hasn't ended yet, the rebound is weak, bull markets often have sharp drops, but there are also many opportunities in one-sided trends. Follow the trend, don't go against it.
The support and willingness to support funds below are not strong enough, don't mistake the rebound for a reversal, shorting on the rally is the correct approach!
Short at 2530-2550, aggressive can enter directly. Target first looks at 2500, if broken then 2460! $BTC
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ Waiting for data, no guessing
After the meeting minutes were released, the market narrative changed: no longer guessing around the Federal Reserve, but waiting for data to provide answers. The key is not an immediate rate hike, but that rate cut expectations are pushed back, long-term interest rates remain high, and the dollar is unlikely to weaken. As a result, risk assets have less fuel for valuation expansion.
BTC: 82,000–83,000 is the first buffer zone, 80,000 is a deeper support test level. If 82,000 holds, it remains a wide-range high-level tug-of-war; if it breaks and fails to recover quickly, any rebound should be seen as a correction, not a reversal.
ZEC: 1,260–1,280 is the short-term lifeline; holding this level qualifies for a follow-up BTC rebound; the 1,400 area shows obvious resistance, chasing highs has low cost-effectiveness.
Gold: The logic is similar. With interest rates not falling, gold prices find it hard to continue soaring based on valuation expansion; central bank gold purchases seem more like a floor support rather than a starting gun.
In short: The main market is not stable, altcoins face pressure first. Can BTC hold 82,000 this time? Next, let the data speak.$SOL perpetual 100x short position, opened at 116.5, currently at 111.47, floating profit +431.75%.
The idea is very simple: the top consolidates with volume shrinking to the extreme, volatility compressed to the floor, indicating that the chips are ready to loosen. A single high-volume bearish candle smashed the price down from 116.5, a typical breakdown signal, shorting is favored over longing. 100x leverage, stop loss at 118. The trend goes straight down, giving no comfortable exit points.
At this position, I plan to take profit on half the position first, and move the stop loss of the remaining half up to 114 to let profits run. If 105 breaks down with volume, continue holding; if it doesn't break, close all positions. $ZEC $CT #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 ETF inflows and price declines occur simultaneously, with the core reason being: ETF buying is insufficient to offset other stronger selling forces.
ETF inflows are usually seen as a long-term "coin hoarding" force, but they can also change in extreme market conditions. During the recent crash (October 7), the $BTC Bitcoin spot ETF actually recorded a net outflow of about $485 million, turning from a "buying support" into a new source of selling pressure.
Therefore, daily ETF inflows belong to structural allocation, while leveraged liquidations and short-term cashing out dominate short-term price direction. #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ As soon as the US stock market opened, BTC directly dropped below 82000, and the floating profit on long positions decreased again. The numbers jumping around are making my eyes hurt.
Let's first look at the reasons for this drop; it's not just about the US stock market opening. The situation in the Middle East escalated with Iran, pushing oil prices directly up to 102 dollars, inflation expectations rose, US Treasury yields soared to 5.3%, the highest since 2002, and risk assets were collectively hammered. Additionally, the US spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net outflow of 485 million dollars yesterday, leveraged long positions liquidated over 550 million dollars in 24 hours. These forces combined caused BTC to be smashed from 86994 all the way below 82000, with supports at 86000 and 83000 breaking like paper, breaking decisively.
I will mark the key $BTC levels again:
Support: 81500-81800, if broken look at 80000-80500, further down is 78000.
Resistance: 82500-83000, if it can't rebound past this, it's weak, don't rush to call a bull return.
As for my long positions, honestly, this is the toughest time. I originally thought 83000 was support, but it broke easily, and the floating loss is already considerable. I have two choices for myself: if BTC can bounce back near 82500, I will reduce half my position first to lower exposure, and set stop loss below 81000 for the rest; if it breaks below 81500 directly, I won't hold, stop loss all and accept the loss to exit. The worst thing in this market is to "wait a bit longer," because waiting can lead to liquidation.$ZEC perpetual 50x short position, opened at 1331.99, currently at 1207.9, floating profit +465.80%.
The logic is very simple: repeatedly failed to break higher around 1331.99, every rebound was quickly pushed down, the upper shadows got longer and longer, and buying pressure clearly exhausted. Once volume broke below 1300, confirmed on the right side, entered short. 50x leverage, stop loss at 1350. This drop was extremely smooth, giving no chance for a rebound.
Now moving the stop loss to 1250 to lock in profits. If volume breaks below 1150, can hold a bit longer. $BTC $ETH #Winklevoss旗下机构申请ZEC现货ETF Michael Burry is warning again, this time targeting the private equity and private credit markets—he says that while things seem calm on the surface, underneath they are already tearing apart.
The core logic is as follows:
Private funds control a bunch of insurance companies whose asset quality is worrying, and these companies are the main funding sources for AI data center construction. The problem arises—data center projects are starting to be delayed, and companies are turning to build small AI models themselves, still using "the cheapest solutions, even Chinese open-source models."
So Burry's move is straightforward: short $MET (MetLife icon), buying put options expiring in 2029.
If this logic chain holds, the impact won't be limited to insurance stocks; the entire AI infrastructure financing chain, private credit market, and even data center REITs could be affected. Burry's timeline extends to 2029, indicating he believes this bomb won't explode immediately, but it definitely will.OKX completes strategic financing with a valuation of $25 billion
The most important aspect of this round of financing for OKX is who the investors are.
Circle, Ripple, QRT, and SC Ventures under Standard Chartered participated in the investment, representing respectively:
stablecoins, payments, institutional liquidity, and traditional banking.
This indicates a growing and clear trend in the crypto industry:
exchanges are no longer just platforms matching buyers and sellers but are evolving into global digital financial infrastructure.
OKX's official statement also clearly links this round of funding to stablecoins, institutional markets, and real-world asset tokenization.
Therefore, from the industry cycle perspective, what is worth paying attention to is
whether exchanges can convert trading volume into long-term network effects in stablecoins, RWA, payments, custody, and institutional financial services.
If this direction holds, then the real competition among exchanges in the future may no longer be just about fees and user numbers, but about who can become the foundational infrastructure gateway for on-chain finance.
#OKX以250亿美元估值完成战略融资 #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ $BTC $ETH $ZEC PUMP is on hold, the latest price is 0.005726, still below the EMA50 at 0.0059707371, the rebound has not yet broken free from the resistance of the upper moving average.
Both highs and lows are rising synchronously, so it cannot be directly confirmed that the downtrend will continue. The OBV for the last complete 4-hour cycle is declining, and the trading volume direction has not kept up with the price rebound, so an upward breakout still lacks support.
Only if it continuously holds above 0.005974 and the OBV for the subsequent complete 4-hour cycle turns upward to support it, can a bullish outlook be supported.
Only if it continuously breaks below 0.005561 and fails to recover, invalidating the local rebound judgment, can a bearish outlook be supported. Intraday touches do not count as confirmation. $PUMP 🔴 Price Behavior Analysis of SOL: In recent rounds, the coin has shown a series of declining daily lows forming a continuous "descending steps" pattern: First step: $118.9 Second step: $117.0 Third step: $114.2 Last step: $112.7 🟠 Movement Philosophy: The story is not just numbers, but a continuous decline in buyer enthusiasm; each daily drop was determined based on the liquidity's willingness to buy at those levels. However, once the previous bottom was broken, reluctance prevailed, causing the movement to pause temporarily at a point where selling decreases, but no more.Today is the 47th day of shorting ZEC, with 43 days left until the three-month target. Another day of continued sharp decline, the exit from losses is not far away!!!
ZEC current price is 1241, with a single-day drop of 6.45%, quickly breaking down in the short term.
WMA moving averages all turning downward, price firmly below the moving averages, bearish trend is clear. RSI6=40.66, has fallen back to the weak zone; MACD's DIF is below DEA, green bars expanding, indicating release of downward momentum. KDJ formed a death cross, J value trending down.
24-hour range: high 1347, low 1225, currently near the low. Resistance above at 1280, strong resistance at 1320; first support below at 1200, if broken will continue to probe lower.
Market logic: Previous speculation relied on ETF application news without substantial capital support. After the market weakened, the positive expectations were realized, selling pressure concentrated and released, volatility much greater than BTC and ETH.
Summary: Short-term bears dominate, although there is a slight rebound, it is a correction after the decline. Do not bottom fish lightly, focus on whether the 1225 low can hold, wait for a stop-fall signal.
Risk warning: This is only a market review and does not constitute investment advice. #September FOMC minutes released, most officials favor another rate hike #ETF still inflowing, why is BTC falling? #Check in with OKX at 2049 $BTC $ETH 【On-Chain Trading Update｜SOL】
Monitored address 0x24fb opened a long position:
▪ Execution price: $111.49
▪ Transaction amount this time: $557,473.1
▪ Leverage: 9x
Note: This address has earned over $84,000 in profit in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +3.91%
Is anyone else watching this coin? Let's chat?$LINK @根🥚 Perpetual futures are biased bearish, from 13.632 down to 12.85, with 50x leverage floating profit over 286%. The approach is straightforward: if the rebound can't hold, key levels are suppressing, and lows keep moving down, the short structure remains weak, so just follow the weak market; don't reverse just because someone is losing, and don't treat "reverse signals" as a source of truth.
Note a few points: don't chase during sharp drops, wait for a rebound confirmation before acting; take profits early, don't get stuck passively; if it holds key zones and rebounds strongly, don't stubbornly hold; don't mechanically do the opposite of social media talk; $BTC $ETH CASE FILE: $770 MILLION.
Galaxy Research traced 9,261 $BTC transferred to institutional custody on October 6–7 from U.S. government-linked wallets.
The twist? 2,456 BTC came from addresses not previously identified as government holdings.
This ranks among the largest U.S. government Bitcoin outflows on record.
No confirmed sale. Just a much bigger government crypto footprint than previously mapped.
#BTC #CryptoWhales #OnChain #DailyOrbit Long-short ratio at 70%, it doesn't mean there are more bulls
$ETH dropped from 2724 to 2567, with a daily bearish candle breaking through three moving averages.
Yet the bulls' share surged to 70.47%, while the bears only hold 29.53%.
How is this number calculated:
The long-short ratio is the long positions divided by the short positions.
2.39 means for every 1 short position, there are 2.39 long positions on the other side.
At the moment it triggers:
Price falls, but bottom-fishing longs are still entering, indicating this group hasn't left.
Pushing further down, if the price drops more, the first to be cleared will be this group.
$BTC and $ZEC are following the same path.
When the price falls and longs increase, it's not a bottom, it means the drop isn't over yet.
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 #以太坊Glamsterdam升级登陆Sepolia测试网 $ETH $BTC 2010: $6.
2026: approximately $8.5 MILLION.
A stash of 100.02 $BTC mined in July 2010 moved on October 7 after 16 years of inactivity.
The transaction split the funds into two addresses: roughly 10 BTC and 90 BTC.
No confirmed sale. No identified owner.
And no, “Satoshi-era” doesn't mean Satoshi owned it.
Sixteen years of patience—or sixteen years of forgotten keys?
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoWhales #CronosHaltsAfterAttack Identity Units is an NFT series entirely autonomously generated by the IMD (identity.md) AI agent swarm.
A total of 787 unique NFTs (Genesis 87 + subsequent 14 batches × 50 each). No human artists, no human image selection:
One AI agent (IMD seat) generates pixel-style images based on a brief (species, skin, eyes, headwear, clothing, etc.) → another completely different agent reviews and scores → only those passing the review become Identity Units; failed ones are discarded directly, all traceable on-chain. More like a “swarm control room,” where you can watch jobs being created, reviewed, approved/rejected in real time, as well as the status of agents, units, drops, etc.
Deeply integrated with IMD: IMD is a community-owned AI agent network on Ethereum (about 2000 identity.md NFT seats, holders run workers on their own machines, completing tasks with their own Claude/Codex, etc.). The creation of Identity Units itself is completed using IMD’s paid jobs.
Thanks for giving me a white one, which turned out to be a purple rare; current price is 0.02e. Planning to hold it for a while Kazakhstan is taking a step that could change the financial infrastructure of all Central Asia.
Tether has signed a memorandum with the National Bank of Kazakhstan and the administration of the city of Alatau.
The parties will jointly explore the use of stablecoins, tokenization of real assets, and DeFi.
The most interesting part is that this is not just an educational program or a private crypto project.
Kazakhstan is considering the possibility of creating a stablecoin pegged to the national currency — the tenge.
Under the agreement, the parties will study international models of issuance, reserving, and regulation of such assets, after which they may prepare a concept and a pilot project.
The second part of the agreement is even more important. Kazakhstan wants to develop its own model for tokenizing real-world assets — RWA. For this, Hadron, Tether’s platform for issuing and managing tokenized assets, may be used.
The pilot is planned to be launched in Alatau — a city with a special legal regime that Kazakhstan is trying to turn into a technological and financial center of Central Asia.
The tenge stablecoin could potentially be used for digital payments, settlements between companies, trading tokenized assets, and interacting with DeFi protocols.
And tokenization of real estate, securities, debt instruments, and other real assets can create a new layer of the financial market.
At the same time, Kazakhstan clearly does not intend to simply hand over the market to crypto companies. The National Bank emphasizes financial stability, transaction transparency, and investor protection as key priorities.
If Kazakhstan successfully conducts such pilots, it could gain a competitive advantage over other countries in the region.
Kazakhstan gains technological infrastructure and international expertise
And Alatau becomes a platform where traditional finance, stablecoins, RWA, and DeFi can be tested within a regulated environment.
The next crypto revolution may happen not only in the USA, Europe, or Asia, but right in Central Asia.$BZ Honestly speaking: I really hope oil rises to 125, 130, 140. The more oil loses, the happier I get! Because my main positions are short on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and ZEC... As long as oil surges, there's a high chance of an interest rate hike. If rates go up, Bitcoin and Ethereum will plummet sharply. That way, my short positions can break even and get out of the red. I've been stuck since 8/19: 12+30+8=50 days now... #霍尔木兹风险升级，短期能源供应仍有缓冲