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Holding this position makes me feel calm, today is the 5th day
Total position 1120u
Cost 300u
Currently profit 820u
6 positions are still open
History of 15 positions, 3 losses
Total realized profit 205u from closed positions,
Unrealized profit 623u.
Currently, the position take-profit is set at the cost line to let the profit run
I am holding SAND, PUMP, and CT altcoins for now, I believe there will be a significant drop.
For ETH and BTC, I expect a rally, with take-profits set at 2799 and 87850 respectively.
Previously, I opened a long position on ZEC at 1346 and took profit at 1387, but did not open a reverse position. Now at 1348, I am testing a long position, will take profit at 1378. I think it will slowly decline afterward. Hopefully, I won't get stuck at a high point. If the stop loss hits 100%, I will also exit. Not having opened a position for three days makes me a bit restless, so I am using 30u to satisfy my urge to open random trades.
Regardless of total position size, each trade costs about 30u.
When leverage is increased, if I have some confidence, I do a T trade to adjust the cost price when the profit is around -300. Only do one T trade, with a maximum stop loss of 150u.
I don't hold losing positions, and I don't get emotional.
First, I will slowly get familiar with the rhythm at a total position of 1000u, then try playing with larger positions.After configuring the elastic asset $PENDLE,
I found a stable asset $SKY.
According to research, $SKY is a "cash cow" type of stable asset. Token Terminal lists it as the largest issuer in the tokenized fund market.
Its revenue scale is at a gap level in DeFi: the cumulative gross revenue in 2026 is about $329 million, with net protocol revenue around $121 million. The protocol collateral reached $11.1 billion (year-over-year +18.2%), and the combined circulation of USDS/DAI is about $9.5 billion. Q2 gross protocol revenue was $107 million (year-over-year +10.5%), net protocol revenue was $40.09 million (year-over-year +25.1%), achieving surplus for five consecutive quarters.
Moreover, the business model of the "DeFi Federal Bank" is clear: Sky issues USDS/DAI as "currency" and lends funds through three major agents—Spark (focused on crypto lending), Grove (focused on RWA), and Obex—to earn interest spreads.
However, it should be noted:
The deflationary effect is "symbolic," not "revolutionary": this is SKY's biggest problem. For example, in the latest net protocol revenue of $15.75 million, only about $630,000 (5%) is truly used for permanent burn, while about $2.83 million (22.5%) is used for staking buybacks, which are "bought back and distributed to stakers." Stakers can claim and sell at any time, so it is not permanent deflation. The monthly deflation rate is only about 0.04%. $BTC
Here's one of the reasons I think we move lower into market open tomorrow.
Weekend price action on the LTF has formed a textbook bear flag, or rising channel.
I'm watching the support trendline.
If we test it and break through, that Friday low at $83.8k should get swept, and price can keep moving lower from there.#HormuzStillClosed Today I am really furious to death. I missed the semiconductor flash, and also missed the other one, both were just a little bit off. It's a bit of a pity.
SNDK｜Tonight I am still bearish, but I won't chase the short.
SanDisk dropped from 1806, touched a low of 1710.3, and now is grinding back near 1729. My current short position cost is 1784.9, with a 9.411 position size.
Tonight I mainly watch three areas:
1744-1747 first rebound resistance. If the volume can't keep up after rising here, I will add shorts at 1744 and hold. 1758 Fib 0.5. If it can stabilize here again on the 30-minute chart, it means this is not an ordinary rebound, I will first close the added position and continue to observe the original 1784 base position.
1715-1710
This is the most critical area below.
1710 was caught once before, so if it comes here again, I won't blindly wait for a break, I will take some profit first.
But if 1710 breaks with volume, then the drop below is not just a matter of a dozen points. The next target I see is around 1684, and if weaker, around 1670.
Rebound fails at 1744-1747 → continue shorting.
1710 holds → take partial profit on shorts.
1710 breaks → hold base position and watch 1684.
1758 stabilizes → no more adding shorts.
1770 recovers → start active defense.
1785 stabilizes → I admit I was wrong on this short logic.
$SOXL $SNDK #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！
Tomorrow's live stream will cut straight to the point, directly analyzing Bitcoin's current key levels.
Focus on the upper resistance zone at 88,500-90,000, which is a dense area of previous highs and a sentiment threshold; whether it breaks through will determine the short-term rhythm. Keep a close eye on the lower support at 84,200-85,000; holding this means the bullish structure remains intact, but if it breaks, watch out for a pullback near 82,000.
During the live stream, we will combine real-time trends to clearly explain the long-short logic, position strategies, and sudden market turning points, avoiding just looking at price without structure.
If you're interested, remember to book in advance. See you in the live room tomorrow to clearly monitor the key levels together.$ETH bounces casually, and people start shouting the bull market is back? 😂
Really interesting, getting excited over a small rise, treating a rebound as the start of a bull market, but as soon as the price hits resistance, it gets slammed down immediately. The trapped positions above are pressing down hard; thinking it can take off so easily is probably just dreaming.
In this kind of volatile market now, I actually feel it’s more like creating opportunities for bulls to take over. As for those stubbornly holding long positions, it’s not about being firm, but just unwilling to admit they’re wrong.
But the biggest fear in trading is exactly getting carried away by emotions. Investment results often fail not because of the product, but because one can’t withstand short-term fluctuations, ending up forced by fear and greed to chase highs and sell lows.
Position sizing is equally important; when heavily invested, even a small pullback can break your mindset. Controlling position size doesn’t guarantee you won’t lose, but at least it leaves room to keep trading. No investment tool is omnipotent; whether it suits you ultimately depends on your capital planning and risk tolerance.
As for $ETH, I’m still holding my short positions and waiting.
If you really think the bull market is here, don’t just shout in the comments, show your real long positions and let’s talk. I don’t buy into bullish talk alone. 😏
#OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Evening US service sector PMI data released: S&P Global Services PMI final at 58.8 slightly better than previous, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI recorded 54.9 slightly below expectations. The two data points diverged, market interpretation is complex, no clear directional signal given. On geopolitical news, Iran's Interior Minister visited Doha for talks, easing expectations in the Middle East provided slight sentiment support to risk assets.
Looking at $BTC, daily moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, MA5, MA10, and MA20 continue upward, on-chain signals show the months-long concentrated whale sell-off rhythm has paused phase-wise, easing selling pressure. However, volume has not shown a breakout surge, it is a slow bull consolidation upward, do not blindly chase highs betting on a one-sided surge.
View: Long
Attack level: 87000, Defense level: 84200
$ETH still mainly follows Bitcoin, no independent trend emerged. Short-term moving averages provide support, but volume is flat, buying momentum insufficient, only if Bitcoin further opens upward space does Ethereum have greater upside potential.
View: Long
Attack level: 2740, Defense level: 2640
$ZEC after earlier surge saw heavy profit-taking, daily MA5 crossed below MA10 forming a short-term death cross, falling for several days, each small rebound lacks incremental funds following, heavy resistance above. Even with a strong market, its recovery strength remains weak.
View: Short
Attack level: 1270, Defense level: 1370 #This week the Fed will release the September meeting minutes It's been a back-and-forth struggle, but one good point is that the funding rate for longs has dropped by half from this morning until now. If there aren't as many longs and shorts start entering, as long as 85200 is not broken, the market is still bullish. I will continue to monitor and track the market, and will post updates if there are any developments. Please like if you receive this $BTC $ETH 🔥 Tonight, BTC actually has two scenarios: either it breaks through 87,000 to open up space, or it fails for the third time and pulls back to 85,000 or even 84,000. The real key is not to predict, but to wait for the market to give the answer.
📊 $BTC launched another attack on the 86,000–87,000 range this afternoon, marking the third attempt in a short period. The first time it surged to 87,000 then fell back, the second attack was noticeably weaker. If it still can't hold steady on the third try, short-term bulls' confidence may be affected, and once profit-taking and chasing buyers retreat simultaneously, a downward stampede is likely.
💥 In the past 24 hours, about $138 million worth of liquidations occurred across the network, with $113 million in short liquidations, including $57.07 million in BTC shorts. This data indicates a clear short squeeze during the previous rise. But the question arises: after a large number of shorts have been cleared, who will continue to buy for the subsequent rise?
🧱 Therefore, 86,000 is the most important dividing line currently. Staying below it increases the probability of a short-term breakout failure; watch 85,000 and 84,000 below.
🚀 On the other hand, if the price breaks through 87,000 with volume and further holds above 88,500, then short liquidations above could form new momentum, making 90,000 the next target area.
⚠️ When repeatedly attacking highs, the biggest risk is mindless chasing. First watch for the breakout, then for confirmation.
💬 Do you think it will hold steady at 87,000 this time, or will it surge high and then fall back again? #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ $BTC $ETH $SOL
Monday. Jobs bid holding. Wall is still there.
$BTC around $86.0K–$86.5K.
Sunday close $86.5K. High $86.7K.
Wall is $87.1K–$87.4K. $90K after that close.
Fail $84K, then $82.8K.
$ETH around $2,715.
Above $2.70K. $2.74K tagged.
Door $2.77K. Floor $2.60K.
$SOL around $121.
$117 held all week. $123 first. $125 is the local high.
Soft jobs cut the hike. Oil above $100 is the cap.
$87.4K / $2.77K / $125 closes. Not the $86K print.Look at the current contract funding rates; the longs are still crazily paying fees to the shorts, thinking they have the upper hand.
Such extreme positions often signal an impending market reversal. The main players love this scenario: first, they push the price up, making the longs believe a breakout is coming, enticing them to add margin; then suddenly, a sharp drop hits, triggering a cascade of liquidations, and finally, the price slowly recovers.
The current market is a typical "meat grinder" mode. If you're trading swings inside it, you're basically paying fees to the exchange and providing liquidity to the main players.
My strategy is simple: place short orders at the 85,000 high, ignore the intermediate fluctuations, and only target the inevitable "deleveraging" crash. If you're also a contract trader, I suggest you quickly reduce leverage or join me in shorting, so at least you won't be paying taxes to the longs every day.
$BTC #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 Today, altcoin sentiment is warming up, with funds flowing back into highly elastic small coins. The name PUMP carries its own narrative; after resisting declines in the order book, it was the first to form an independent structure. The sentiment for $PUMP has shifted from watching to actively accumulating.
Entered a 50x long position at 0.005515, now marked at 0.006422, +822.30%. Technically, the bottom pattern has completed, with a low-volume pullback that did not break support. After a volume surge, it climbed along a micro uptrend channel, confirming a bullish structure. The 50x leverage causes extreme volatility; when floating profits are substantial, strict drawdown control is essential. Move the stop loss closer to cost to lock in big gains, and let the remaining position extend with the structure.
Coffee has bottomed, screen locked in. Current mindset: lock in profits first, then watch the market with the remaining funds. For the next candlestick, guess whether it will continue upward or first sweep my defense to test my composure? 🙏$BTC $ETH
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $ETH 2726 short
I lean more towards a rise followed by a fall. Although there is support around 2700, the resistance between 2730-2750 remains. As long as it doesn't effectively hold above 2730, I still expect a short-term pullback, first targeting 2680-2700. If it breaks, continue holding; if the support is strong, consider reducing positions for a short-term reversal.
If the judgment is wrong, stop loss; don't stubbornly hold on.$BTC📉
BTC gave that final push into our 86K–87K short POI as expected in the last update.
Now it has started dumping from that level.
We shorted from 86K and the trade is now running in profit.
Looking for further downside toward 81K–82K.
Where I’ll watch the reaction to see whether BTC holds that level or breaks lower.🎯#HormuzStillClosed NVIDIA NVDA 4H: Trend Following After All-Time High
NVIDIA NVDA just hit an all-time high of 237.9, rising 174% from 86.6 in a year and a half.
The 4H ascending channel is clean: highs from 213 to 238, lows from 190 to 221, both rising in sync. MA20 is at 227 and trending upward, price deviates by 4.5%, trendline at 222.
Volume and price coordination: volume expands on the rally, contracts on pullbacks.
Support levels after the new high: 230 (previous high turned support) / 227 (MA20) / 221 (trendline). Holding above 237.9 enters price discovery; breaking 221 means the channel deteriorates.Brazil's Election First Round Upset: $EWZ Up 11% in One Day, But the Real Conflict Isn't About Who Becomes President $EWZ +11.65% Today, Current Price 43.42. But this isn't a crypto market rally — it's a first-round upset in Brazil's election. I went through "What happened → How the market reacted → Why it rose → Where the real conflict lies" — the last part differs from what most people think. First Round: Polls Flopped In Brazil's October 4 election first round, Flávio Bolsonaro (right-wing) got 47%, Lula 45% — neither passed the majority, so a second round on October 25. The key is the "flop": mainstream pre-election polls expected Lula to lead. So this isn't "right-wing won," but the market repricing an unexpected event. Flávio received over 55 million votes — this number shows how wildly wrong the polls were. How the Market Reacted | Asset | Reaction | Why It Matters | |---|---|---| | Ibovespa Spot | +7%, 207,000 points | Historic high; but stock rise can be explained by sentiment | | Ibovespa Futures | Up to +9%, 211,000 points | Futures more aggressive | | Brazilian Stocks | Up to +15% | Led by bank stocks (Itaú) | | Real | USD/BRL nearly −5%BTC Dominance (BTC.D) has just formed a Death Cross, a signal that previously led to sharp declines in dominance in 2016 and 2021.
In both instances, capital then tended to rotate strongly into altcoins. Currently, BTC.D is around the 59–60% range, so if it continues to weaken and breaks support, the likelihood of altcoins entering a stronger growth phase will be notable.
However, confirmation from price action is still needed.🔥 The most interesting point for BTC now: the rise looks strong, but 86,000–87,000 has already blocked the bulls twice in a row. If the third attempt to break through fails again, a major short-term reshuffle of positions is very likely.
📌 The key level to watch for $BTC right now isn’t any single candlestick, but the 86,000 bull-bear dividing line. The first attempt to break 87,000 didn’t hold, and the second didn’t even reach 87,000, indicating that selling pressure above still exists. If this time it rises again but falls back, the chasing funds may start to loosen, and previously accumulated long positions could turn into short-term selling pressure.
🔥 More importantly, the recent rise isn’t entirely driven by continuous spot buying. In the past 24 hours, the entire network liquidated $138 million, including $113 million in short liquidations, with BTC short liquidations at $57.07 million. A large number of shorts were forced out, which itself provided extra upward momentum for the price.
⚠️ But after short liquidations, whether the market can continue to rise depends on whether new funds can keep up. The liquidation heatmap shows a clear short liquidation zone near $90,000, and long liquidation zones near 83,000 and 75,000.
📉 If it breaks below 86,000, watch 85,000 → 84,000; 📈 if it breaks out with volume above 87,000–88,500 and holds, then continue to watch 90,000.
💬 At this position now, do you dare to chase longs? #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC
Price will have swept 97K and be trading in the 90Ks within the next couple of months...
As I keep repeating, this bull market will likely be a 30% quicker version of the previous one, since this is the first time the bear market has lasted only 266 days instead of 365 and ended roughly 20% shallower.
This could lead to a new ATH around July 2027 and a macro top around mid-2028.#HormuzStillClosed $BTC $ETH $XRP
Monday hold. Jobs bid still on.
$BTC — around $86.0K–$86.5K.
Sunday close $86.5K. High $86.7K.
$87.1K–$87.4K is the wall. $90K only after that close.
Fail $84K, then $82.8K.
$ETH around $2,715.
Above $2.70K. $2.74K tagged.
The door is still $2.77K. Floor $2.60K.
$XRP — around $1.51.
$1.46 held. $1.55 is next.
$1.66 close is the real break.
Soft jobs cut the hike. Oil above $100 is the cap.
Don’t call $86K a breakout. $87.4K close is.$BTC
We got another Sunday pump that left behind a cluster of long liquidations around 85k.
As we know, Sunday pumps are mostly fake moves that tend to get reversed within the next few days.
That’s why I expect price to take this cluster out, as it would also be a retest of an important support level.
From there, I expect a bounce and continuation higher.#HormuzStillClosed So BTC is flowing back in 📈
ETH continues to flow out 📉
Essentially reflecting that
risk appetite for funds hasn't truly returned yet
So don't rush to call it altcoin season 🔥
Only when ETH also starts continuously attracting funds
does it indicate the market is really
shifting from clustering around BTC to willing to go all-in on the crypto space
$BTC $ETH $ZEC Nonfarm payrolls unexpectedly dropped to only 29,000, and the rate hike probability plummeted from 66% directly down to 22%. BTC took this opportunity to break through 86,000. It's not that buying pressure is fierce, but macro factors are first to back down.
$BTC is currently at $86,005, up about 1.6% in 24h, with a market cap back to 1.72 trillion, still 32% below the all-time high of 126,000. Fear & Greed Index at 65 (Greed zone).
September nonfarm payrolls only +29,000 (expected nearly 90,000), unemployment rate climbed to 4.2%. The market cut the October rate hike probability to 22%, risk assets collectively catching a breather. BTC benefits from macro easing, not from its own strength.
The SEC just approved the first batch of 3x leveraged crypto ETPs, opening a new channel for leverage demand; but the 10Y yield is still at 5.28%, Brent crude is approaching 103, inflation tail is not over. 86,500-87,000 is strong resistance, 83,500 is the iron bottom.
Hold 83,500 and push to 87,000; reduce positions if it breaks 81,000. BTC’s break above 86,000 this time was a door pried open by the unemployment data; once macro turns, the door can close at any time.$HYPE just found a second engine for its buybacks.
Hyperliquid received its first $14.58M USDC payment under AQAv2, with reserve yield feeding the Assistance Fund that buys HYPE. Hours earlier, its perpetual-market data landed on Bloomberg Terminal.
One catalyst absorbs token supply. The other puts Hyperliquid on institutional screens.
HYPE: $93.49 on OKX, +2.25%/24h. Two doors opened on the same day.BTC's ETF funds are recovering, while $ETH's ETF funds continue to flow out, yet the prices of both have surged almost in sync — this combination of "fund divergence and price convergence" is usually difficult to sustain long-term.
The US spot BTC ETF recorded a net inflow of about $103 million on October 1 after a cumulative net inflow of approximately $3.1 billion over the previous 9 trading days, followed by a net inflow of about $31.7 million on October 2, marking two consecutive days of fund inflows.
In contrast, the ETH spot ETF has experienced net outflows for four consecutive trading days.
What is truly worth watching now is:
Can BTC's fund inflows continue to expand, and how long can ETH's price remain strong amid continuous fund outflows? 👀
$BTC $ETH 🔥 Don't get carried away by the continuous rise! What BTC really faces now is not "whether it can rise a bit more," but whether there will be new buying power to continue the rally after a large number of shorts have been liquidated.
⚔️ $BTC has already made three consecutive attempts to challenge the 86,000–87,000 range in the short term. The first attempt reached near 87,000 but couldn't hold; the second attempt was weaker and didn't even touch 87,000. This afternoon, the third attack is launched again. If it still rises and then falls back, the short-term pressure on the bulls is worth watching.
💰 Look at the liquidation data from the past 24 hours: about $138 million liquidated across the network, with shorts accounting for $113 million, and BTC short liquidations about $57.07 million. In other words, a significant part of this rally's momentum comes from shorts being forced to close positions. The more shorts are liquidated, the easier it is for the price to be pushed higher; but when short positions gradually disappear, the market needs genuine new funds to sustain the rise.
📉 This is why the 86,000 level is so critical. If 86,000 cannot hold, the short-term breakout logic will cool down; next support levels to watch are 85,000 and then 84,000.
🚀 Conversely, if it can break through 87,000–88,500 with volume and stabilize, then short liquidations above may accelerate further, bringing 90,000 back into view.
🎯 Now is not the time to guess the direction but to wait for the market to choose it. Do you think the third attempt will succeed? #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 🔥 BTC just pulled back from the high of 86963, currently at 85606
Multiple S signals appeared consecutively on the 15-minute chart, showing obvious short-term pressure.
🎯 Current core structure:
Upper resistance: 86000-86200 (dense moving averages area + SuperTrend 86742)
Lower support: 85000-85100 (near 24h low)
Why the sudden accelerated pullback?
1️⃣ Momentum quickly faded after the surge, 4H level selling pressure realized
2️⃣ High US Treasury yields + cautious risk sentiment after Nasdaq open, funds choosing to take profits
3️⃣ Multiple bearish candles on 15-minute chart broke short-term moving averages, triggering short-term long stop losses
But the mid-term logic remains unchanged:
Daily structure still bullish, ETF funds still supporting, 85000 remains a key defense line.
📌 Outlook:
✅ Hold 85000 → High probability of another consolidation and buildup, rebound first targets 86000
❌ Break below 85000 effectively → Short-term may quickly test 84500-84000
💡 Personal view:
At the current level, neither chase shorts nor bottom-fish; wait for the 85000 defense result before acting.
Volatility will increase tonight, manage your position size well.
How are you handling your positions? $BTC $ETH $BTC tagged $87,000 overnight and sold right back. After two days under $85,500, one 4H candle last night ripped it from $85,400 to $86,800 and it's holding $86,400 now.
I called $85,500 as the line on Saturday. Buyers took it back, and $87,000 is the lid.
As long as $85,500 holds I think $87,000 gets taken out and $88,000 opens up. Lose it and $83,900 is the liquidity below.
Not financial advice#FedSeptemberMinutes RP suddenly "ignited" the South Korean market! 🇰🇷🔥
On the South Korean trading market, XRP trading heat once surpassed BTC and ETH, with Upbit's XRP/KRW trading volume reaching about $224 million, even higher than Coinbase's XRP trading volume during the same period.
What’s even more noteworthy is that this might not be just retail speculation.
During XRP Seoul 2026, representatives from South Korean financial institutions such as Kakao Bank and Woori Bank participated in XRPL-related discussions, with topics directly involving cross-border payments, tokenized deposits, and stablecoin financial applications.
At the same time, AI agents are becoming the new narrative for XRPL. t54 Labs revealed that AI agent payments based on x402 have already reached tens of millions in transactions, indicating that future scenarios where AI "earns, spends, and pays" on its own may really start to take shape.$BTC keeps getting rejected around $87–87.5K. Those upper wicks are hard to ignore
Price is back above the $84.8K pivot, while buyers are still holding the $82.5 83K support zone. That keeps the bounce alive for now
For me, $87.5K is the key level
Close above it and things start looking much stronger. Lose $82.5K and I’d be watching $81K next
Buyers are showing up. Now they need to break the ceiling#HormuzStillClosed "Two tests tomorrow, don't mistake upgrades for a surge"
On October 6, both $ETH and $ZEC have upgrade test nodes worth monitoring, but don't get carried away.
$ETH: Glamsterdam will activate on the Sepolia testnet, involving ePBS, BAL, and Gas mechanism adjustments, with the core goal still being to speed up and scale Ethereum. But note, this is a testnet, not the mainnet. What really matters tomorrow is whether the test is stable and if the clients and validators are compatible, not chasing the price up just because of the news.
$ZEC: NU7 enters a critical test phase, planning to reduce block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds. If successful, there will be expectations for a mainnet upgrade later, naturally creating room for speculation. But the testnet is just the appetizer; the real test is on the mainnet.
So look at them separately: ETH focuses on technical implementation, ZEC on speculative expectations. Don't equate "testnet upgrade" directly with "price must rise." News can spark interest, but fundamentals determine how long the momentum lasts.
⚠️ For reference only, investment carries risks
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变
#OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ RP suddenly "ignited" the South Korean market! 🇰🇷🔥
On the South Korean trading market, XRP trading heat once surpassed BTC and ETH, with Upbit's XRP/KRW trading volume reaching about $224 million, even higher than Coinbase's XRP trading volume during the same period.
What’s even more noteworthy is that this might not be just retail speculation.
During XRP Seoul 2026, representatives from South Korean financial institutions such as Kakao Bank and Woori Bank participated in XRPL-related discussions, with topics directly involving cross-border payments, tokenized deposits, and stablecoin financial applications.
At the same time, AI agents are becoming the new narrative for XRPL. t54 Labs revealed that AI agent payments based on x402 have already reached tens of millions in transactions, indicating that future scenarios where AI "earns, spends, and pays" on its own may really start to take shape.ETH extreme compression, is the catch-up window coming? But the giant whale short positions have already incurred a floating loss of 30 million!
On-chain data shows that among about 200 active giant whale addresses on Hyperliquid, ETH short positions are about $1.05 billion, long positions about $687 million, with short positions 1.5 times the size of long positions. One giant whale holds 78,000 ETH short positions, with an average opening price of 2340, currently a floating loss of about $30.29 million, liquidation price 4291. The short pressure is huge; once ETH breaks upward, a short squeeze could become the fuel.
At the same time, some whales are offloading:
An ancient whale with a cost of only $11.61 recharged 13,330 ETH to Coinbase 2 hours ago (worth about $36.37 million), expected to profit $36.21 million. On the other side, a large ETH holder who opened a position yesterday continues to withdraw 1,236 ETH from OKX, with holdings increased to 2,656 ETH, average price 2703. Some are taking profits, others are continuously accumulating.
ETF funds are weak:
Ethereum spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $138 million last week, reversing from a net inflow of $690 million the previous week. BlackRock's ETHA had a single-day net inflow of $92.58 million, but overall funds are withdrawing, which is a signal to watch.
Key levels:
Resistance above at 2726-2750, support below at 2634-2650. ETH is currently lagging behind BTC; whether the catch-up window opens depends on whether it can break through 2750 with volume.Currently, I personally believe that Bitcoin $BTC and Ethereum $ETH are more suitable to focus on shorting opportunities, with key levels around $87,000 and $2,800 respectively.
Why am I so firm about this now? 👇
First and foremost, the most important factor is that U.S. Treasury yields remain high!
Even if there is positive news, the market will quickly be suppressed.
At the same time, oil prices remain high, which further increases market pressure.
So what really needs attention now is not some negative news about a particular coin, but:
⚠️ Whether U.S. Treasury yields will further break upwards.
If yields continue to rise, risk assets may face greater pressure, and this is the real risk the market should be wary of right now.
$BTC $ETH Brother, $ZEC cannot replicate last month's trend, be cautious of bull trap now! First, let's look at news, negative factors keep coming one after another. ETF funds are accelerating exit. Since launch of Grayscale ZCSH in August, it recorded first weekly net outflow, with $93.6 million withdrawn this week, including $30.25 million in single day. Assets under management have fallen from peak to about $751 million. Two weeks ago, it was star product with net inflow of $98.2 million, but now capit$BTC
1. Short-term market: Bitcoin tested the 87,000 resistance level again after 3 days. It has attempted to break this level 4 times in two weeks. Multiple attempts without a breakthrough will consume buying power, and there is selling pressure above, likely extending the consolidation period.
2. Long-term outlook: Bullish in the long run, expecting BTC to eventually break through 87,000 with targets at 100,000, 120,000, or even 200,000. Referring to historical bull and bear cycles, a bull market typically lasts about 3 years, and this bull market has only been underway for 3 months, so there is ample room for growth.ETH quickly pulled back near 2680 again. During the day, I wrote 2 posts explaining ETH's trend.
In practice, you must wait for the pullback. Treat the current trading according to the lower support and upper resistance zones of the range.
Otherwise, we will remain in unrealized losses.
Currently: bulls still dominate, do not short lightly. The best strategy is to wait for the support level to go long.
Whether it's ETH's strategy or altcoin plans, it's the same; the conditions for a successful breakout are not met now.
As shown in the chart, the 3 red boxes on ETH are all support levels, all suitable for entering long positions. If trapped, the maximum holding time is only 3 to 5 hours.🔥 $HYPE: Bigger Than Just a Narrative
Hyperliquid is gaining more professional visibility, with selected perp markets now appearing on Bloomberg Terminal. 👀
📊 OI remains above $18B, keeping derivatives activity firmly on the radar.
But the key is confirmation:
Volume ↑ + OI ↑ + Fees ↑ = stronger $HYPE setup
Institutional visibility is only the beginning. The real test is whether fresh liquidity follows.
👀 Can $HYPE turn attention into another breakout? #Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元
Hello everyone, I'm Ergou. Recently, the data for $SOL has been like "fire and ice."
The ecosystem fundamentals are very strong: tokenized stock trading volume exceeded $4.4 billion in September, Aave V4 supports US stocks as collateral, on-chain revenue has led for 10 consecutive quarters, and institutional activity is frequent.
But the secondary market is dismal: ETF inflows have plummeted 97%, DEX daily active users dropped from 4.8 million to 800,000, and with the Drift hacker incident, funds are clearly retreating. On the chart, SOL at $120 is firmly suppressed by the 50EMA, and the trend has broken.
My core view: SOL is undergoing the growing pains of "shifting from virtual to real." The Meme retreat has caused a sharp drop in activity, with heavy short-term selling pressure. But the new narrative of "on-chain US stocks" is taking shape. Don't rush to bottom-fish; wait for the hacker compensation to clear, and closely watch whether tokenized stocks can bring real incremental capital. Short-term bearish, long-term bullish on ecosystem transformation! $UNI This isn't a rebound; it's like CPR for my short account, right? The more it bounces, the more shorting opportunities there are, hilarious.
Yesterday afternoon, every surge during the session was short of breath, volume didn't keep up, selling pressure was strong. I signaled to open shorts around 9.126, clear resistance above, short in and wait for the answer.
Now the price moved from 8.925 to 8.925, +110.67% in hand, the earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is really sweet.
Take profits on 80% first, keep 20% at the protection level and cost price; if it continues to drop, let the profits run, don't feel bad if it rebounds.
Have a strategy before the market opens, discipline during the session, and reflection after. The market cures all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they're the smartest.
Now is not the time to rush; if you miss it, don't chase. Wait for a new structure to emerge, I'll signal immediately.
$SOL $SNDK [Old Chive Observation] $FET
It's worth taking another look at FET this wave. On October 4th, it rose 12% in a single day, and today's trading volume has already exceeded $200 million.
More importantly is the price structure: in mid-September, FET was still at $0.15–$0.18, now it has surged to around $0.26. This is not a sudden spike in a single candlestick; funds have been continuously pushing into the AI sector for several days. If it can hold $0.245 after a pullback and the volume expands again, the AI trend may have a second leg.
Conversely, if it breaks below $0.225, this rise should be treated as short-term capital rotation.
Wait for a pullback to $0.245–$0.255.
Entry: $0.245–$0.255
Take profit: $0.275 / $0.300 / $0.330 / $0.370 / $0.420
Stop loss: $0.225
If it can hold $0.245 after a pullback and the volume expands again, the AI trend may have a second leg.
Conversely, if it breaks below $0.225, this rise should be treated as short-term capital rotation.【On-Chain Trading Activity｜WLD】
Detected address 0xc3d1 long position:
▪ Execution price: 0.5628 USD
▪ Transaction amount this time: 62,030.69 USD
▪ Leverage: 10x
Note: This address has earned over 12,000 USD in profit in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +11.22% Solana treasury company DeFi Dev Corp has increased its position again.
The company announced that it recently purchased 26,203 $SOL, raising the total holdings of SOL and equivalent assets to 2,564,000 tokens. Looking back over a longer period, holdings have increased by 11% in the past approximately 7 weeks.
What’s even more noteworthy is the per-share data. During the same period, SOL per share grew to double digits; net asset value per share and cash both increased by over 100%. The US stock market opened and filled the daytime gap, keep watching. As long as 85200 is not broken overall, it's fine. If it breaks, it will turn into a choppy market with slow progress. The continuity of this market is indeed very poor $BTC $ETH $ETH current range boundaries are very clear, with strong resistance at 2806 above and short-term support at 2650 below. The price oscillates around 2700, repeatedly testing the upper resistance.
Short positions continue to be held and observed, without blindly adding or exiting early. Each time the price approaches 2806, it encounters selling pressure, indicating strong resistance at this level.
Once the price stagnates below 2806, a downward retracement will begin, with the initial target being the Bollinger middle band support near 2650, awaiting market confirmation. $ETH 🔥 $HYPE Is Getting Bigger
Hyperliquid is gaining serious market visibility as selected perp markets become available on Bloomberg Terminal. 👀
📊 Open interest has also pushed above $18B, showing strong derivatives activity.
But remember:
More visibility ≠ guaranteed price upside.
Watch for: 💰 Volume growth
📈 OI strength
🔥 Protocol fees
🏦 Real institutional participation
If these metrics keep improving, the $HYPE narrative could become even stronger. Big Brother Maji strikes again! Three position sheets reveal truth: big money is truly betting on mainstream rebound market Another latest position sheet leaked, many still think he's obsessed with flipping various small coins, but this time it's crystal clear: focus is firmly locked on BTC and ETH, with themes just used as small positions to add some extra flavor. Breaking down each detail: - BTC long position｜40X full position: heavy holding of 474 coins, opened at 84883.40, current floatiHeld up under pressure, entered at 86000, rose to 86700, almost couldn't hold the pressure and manually closed the position.Here's some news worth watching for tomorrow, brothers: On October 6th, both $ETH and $ZEC will have upgrade test nodes. First, about $ETH. Glamsterdam will activate on Sepolia testnet, focusing on ePBS, BAL, and series of Gas mechanism adjustments. Simply put, it's about continuing to "speed up" Ethereum. But don't get too excited just because you see word "upgrade." This is testnet, not mainnet launch. So what's really worth watching tomorrow isn't whether $ETH will pump because of news, but wWhy has $BTC been consolidating around 86000 for so long? Because this is a support level where bulls and bears are battling. I lost 200,000 U because I used to recklessly open positions during consolidation, only to get stopped out repeatedly. Now I've learned: during consolidation, wait for a breakout or a pullback to support before entering. Currently at 86084, support at 86000, resistance at 86963. I placed a 5000 U long order at 86000, stop loss at 85700, target 86963. Never hold a position without a stop loss. Remember: don't chase orders during consolidation, follow after a breakout, and a pullback to support is an opportunity. $BTC #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变