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The strongest part of this analysis is the BTC-vs-ETH divergence. BTC can remain the cleaner signal for broad crypto direction, while ETH can temporarily decouple and invalidate a BTC-based trade thesis. I’d read the setup like this: BTC: weaker price action → broader risk sentiment still cautious. ETH: stronger recovery → short thesis needs more confirmation. $1,910 ETH: useful as a conditional level in your framework, not a guaranteed support/resistance line. CPI: better treated as a volatility catalyst than a prediction tool. Risk management: the “protect the watermelon, give up the sesame” idea is probably the best lesson here. 🍉 The key is avoiding the trap of thinking “BTC is bearish, therefore ETH must also be short.” Correlation is useful for context, but divergence can persist longer than expected.