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The signal isn’t simply “weaker growth= lower rates.” July retail sales fell 0.6% MoM vs. +0.1% expected, while Michigan sentiment dropped to 51.0 from 55.2. Softer demand and cooler inflation reduce the case for a September hike, but1-year inflation expectations rising to 4.3% complicate the easing outlook. My take: more weakness could support gold and BTC via a softer dollar and lower yields, but sticky inflation expectations may limit upside in risk assets. #WeakConsumptionFedSplit #OKX.ai