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Cato_KT
Cato_KT
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#Bitcoin 目前局面不是太好,日线收针后持续走弱,如果周四周五后续K线无法收在79,000上方,整体日线走势就有点堪忧 截止目前,宏观利好过于依赖原油价格,政策利好从上周发酵至今也已经逐渐疲惫,能够推动上涨的唯二因素,一个是原油价格快速跌至85甚至80下方减缓通胀压力,带来宏观利好, 第二个也就是依赖ETF的净流入支持,如果ETF净流入开始低于3亿,意味着买入力量走弱,支撑价格上涨的因素将会又少一个 日线整体走势,我现在非常希望再涨一下,距离日线前高“临门一脚”,此时直接跌落与新高之后在回调对市场信心完全是两码事。 日线新高之后,回调会更稳,底部大概率不破新低,市场信心会大大增加。不破日线新高回落,市场信心备受打击,58,000新低恐怕也未必能成为有效低点。起码我目前看到是这个样子!#BTC突破80000美元,能否站稳新关口
Cato_KT
Cato_KT
#Bitcoin faced resistance near 81,200 today and experienced a short-term pullback, but the overall trend remains strong, with no clear signs of a short-term rebound peak. No top-level close was seen on the hourly chart, and the pullback did not show significant volume increase. After the pullback, the hourly chart stabilized, indicating the overall trend is still good. This means the pullback near 81,200 is just a short-term confidence shakeout and does not prove the rebound is over. However, it also signals that market confidence in this rebound is still insufficient, as some are willing to sell chips even as new highs continue. Therefore, for the rally to continue, macro factors need to cooperate to provide the market with more confidence. Currently, the most direct positive factor would be a further drop in energy prices, with international energy falling below 85 or even 80. The next key breakout point is 82,600; breaking above the previous daily high will boost market confidence. The next key resistance is near 84,200, which is the critical point of this rebound. Whether the price can continue to rise depends on breaking and holding above 84,200. In the short term, the pullback is still supported by the relatively strong hourly trend, with support around 78,400 and 78,000. Of course, whether the price can be pushed higher still depends on data, which remains one of the core factors. We will look at ETF and crypto market data shortly! #BTC突破80000美元,能否站稳新关口

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