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币圈胡婉儿
币圈胡婉儿
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这波后劲,我看差不多到头了。 6.4干到7.8,靠的是财政部回购松绑+ETF三天扫近10亿+空头被绞27亿,三股绳拧出来的逼空。 但空头这把被爆得差不多了,ETF流入19日5.17亿、20日就缩到1.03亿,接棒资金明显变细。 4小时RSI 93、日线83,这种超买不是新牛市的起点,是逼空末端的博傻区。 刚才那几分钟闪崩,$BTC 跌2.85%、$ETH 跌5.72%、$XRP 跌21%,过去24小时全网爆14.9亿美金,多单占大头。 这走法就是典型先绞空、再杀多——空单前两天爆完,现在获利盘兑现+薄流动性插针,把追高的多军也削一层。叫多空双杀,但顺序是空的先死,多的后死,狗庄一针清两遍。 后劲为啥不大了?空头回补是一次性燃料,烧完就得看ETF能不能连周净流、67K回踩现货接不接得住。这俩没确认前,7.8万就是天花板附近,不是地板。 所以还是那句老话:合约别碰,现货拿稳。 现货再怎么跌。价值币不会归零。 $BTC等6.7万回踩看焊不焊得住,$OKB死拿托底。这行情看不懂就不做,现货躺着比合约跪着强一百倍。 (PS:以上均为个人预测,不构成投资建议。盈亏自负)
币圈胡婉儿
币圈胡婉儿
The screen is full of missed opportunities—should you chase or not? Some are even shouting about a new high of 130,000. The sentiment on X has already boiled over. This is a typical aftereffect of a short squeeze: the price has been driven up crazily, and rationality has completely shut down. The new Ministry of Finance policy, Standard Chartered's 100,000 forecast—all have become excuses to chase the highs. There are three main reasons for the surge: the Ministry of Finance suppressing long-term bond yields to save liquidity + ETFs buying nearly 1 billion in three days + 60,000 short positions in the 60,000 range being liquidated. Is the logic solid? Yes. But has the price fully digested this? It already has. Now, those asking whether to bottom-fish or wait are actually asking if they can still get on board. Listen carefully: 78,000 has no support, only risk. RSI on the 4-hour chart is 93; this level is called the fool's zone. You think you're bottom-fishing, but you're actually paying for those who drove the price up earlier. My strategy is simple: $OKB base position stays put, used for support. $BTC waits firmly for a 67K pullback. Locked in. Those shouting 130,000, let them fly first. When they can't keep flying and fall, that's when I get my chance. Don't be led by FOMO; this market never lacks opportunities, it lacks capital that survives until the opportunity arrives. (PS: The above is personal prediction and does not constitute investment advice. Profit and loss are your own responsibility.) #BTC加速拉升,资金还能继续接力吗? #白宫峰会:特朗普称曾讨论购入BTC $ETH
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