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Cato_KT
Cato_KT
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当然除了宏观+政策利好情绪之外,#Bitcoin 上涨还需要有一定的数据支撑,而最为关键的就是ETF的净流入与加密主流资金的情况 8月19日昨天的美国交易日,BTC ETF 单日净流入月5.172亿美元,这是本周连续第三次净流入,同时也是近3个月来最大的单日净流入, 最重要的是,本次ETF净流入并非单纯集中在IBIT一家,其中净流入的45%由其他ETF商家贡献,显然宏观与政策的利好短期刺激了全面买入情绪的增加 加密市场数据方面,对比了一下8月18与目前的数据情况 1,市值短期增幅中,除 #BTC 之外增幅最大的就是 #ETH 多头乐观情绪逐渐蔓延 2,交易量整体增幅一倍,BTC增幅2.5倍,ETH 增幅5倍,ETH短期交易量激增 3,资金方面市场资金总量净流入增加11亿,但是主力资金主要是来自USDC提供的4.36亿净流入,USDT并未出现明显净流入 加密市场数据整体来看还算乐观,乐观情绪逐渐扩大,交易量增加,美区资金回流,与ETF数据相互照应,数据是进一步验证支撑价格上涨的主要因素之一 #BTC突破72000美元,本轮上涨能否延续?
Cato_KT
Cato_KT
#Bitcoin has made a regular rebound from the bottom, greatly increasing the probability of successfully establishing a bottom range. As for the bull run? Not that fast!
#Bitcoin A routine rebound from the bottom greatly increases the probability of successful bottoming within the range. As for the bull rebound? Not so fast! The long-dormant crypto market has seen an accelerated rise in the Asia-Europe session, seen by many as a bull rebound. Originally, I didn't want to pour cold water on everyone, but looking at the daily Fibonacci chart, you'll find that it has only just broken out of the bottom range and hasn't even completed an initial rebound yet. In fact, after the February 6 low, BTC price completed a routine rebound within 41 hours, and after a subsequent breakout rebound, a new low of 58,000 was still reached. Of course, this is not to be bullish or to intimidate everyone. From my perspective, a conventional rebound or a strong breakout above 74,200 is good for bottoming out the range. Once the rebound is completed and the rebound doesn't break new lows, the 58,000 range is basically complete. However, to insist that a new trend has started now is still a bit far-fetched. Right now, it's obvious that the sentiment in the Asia-Europe market toward macro policy + the White House crypto meeting is driving the market. The rise is accompanied by shrinking volume. Next, we need to watch for selling pressure concentrated at 74,200, which could easily lead to short-term downside risks. #BTC突破69000美元 even end the rebound trend directly, how far can this rally go? After all, the current macro positive news is time-sensitive. The White House crypto meeting only changed policy expectations without much actual policy support, which is also time-sensitive. So as time approaches next week, this positive trend is likely to become a thing of the past. Next, we can watch #BTC price performance

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