伊朗宣布新航道,但是伊朗议会并未停止对海峡法案的推进,两者并不冲突属于制度与政策并行的机制
未来伊朗与阿曼的海峡协议规定船从哪里走,伊朗的海峡法案则规定谁能走,就是用实际行动来宣誓海峡主权
面对这种局势,特朗普今晚的“与伊朗的谈判在未来某个时候”,感觉是在为TACO做铺垫啊,
如果特朗普不敢all in 伊朗,好像也没有很好的解决办法了,现在的处境,好像熬也熬不过,打又不敢打,进退两难了!#成品油价差破百,能源通胀会否回升
Cato_KT
Iran is one hand of diplomacy + tough military threats, while the other actively pushes forward the Iran-Oman Strait agreement—is this a mediation strategy?
From my current perspective, the core purpose of Iran's active promotion of the new Straits Agreement is still to establish rules and demonstrate sovereignty over the strait
After all, the strait isn't something Trump can just draw on a map to count as America's; it depends on who manages it, protects security, and maintains it
Previously, Oman was considered a U.S. proxy in the Iran-Oman agreement, but Trump's recent statement of an intent to criticize Oman has dampened that expectation
Imagine if the new strait rules were established in the hands of the Gulf countries themselves, combined with Iran's legislation on strait management, the U.S. would effectively lose control over the Strait of Hormuz in terms of navigation
If Oman does not represent the United States, then once the Strait rules are proposed and recognized by Gulf countries, the United States will lose not only the strait but the entire Middle East! #成品油价差破百, will energy inflation rebound?
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