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Cato_KT
Cato_KT
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政策利好靴子落地,白宫加密会议并无政策实质进展,驱动 #Bitcoin 上涨两大因素缺一,何去何从? 如前文所说,驱动 #BTC 上涨的两大因素,宏观侧+政策侧,现在已经靴子落地了一个,并且结果并不及预期,关于加密的政策进展并不多,加密市场缺乏了独属于自己的利好 宏观侧,贝森特带来的债市回购利好,目前也很难确定是否是长期政策性利好还是短期政治压制利率,随着时间推移,这个利好效果如果无法巩固,效果会逐步递减 接下来,能够支撑BTC 继续上涨或者高位企稳,只能依靠 ETF与加密主流资金的净流入,后续需要继续关注净流入情况是否可以保持持续性 技术面,短期以阻力参考69,000,支撑67,400,一旦有效跌破67,400就要继续看回调了!#BTC突破69000美元,这轮上涨能走多远?
Cato_KT
Cato_KT
The two main factors driving #Bitcoin's accelerated rebound are: on the macro side, the Treasury's increased buybacks releasing positive liquidity signals + on the industry side, tonight's White House crypto meeting
There are two main factors driving the acceleration of the #Bitcoin rebound: On the macro side, the Treasury increased repurchases sending positive liquidity signals + industry side at tonight's White House crypto meeting. One is improved liquidity expectations, another is unique industry positives, so #BTC continued yesterday's rally and rebounded strongly. However, my view remains unchanged—it's still too early to talk about a bullish rebound. On the macro side, is Becent politically increasing buybacks, or is this seen as a future established policy? This will truly affect the financial market liquidity environment. Policy side, At tonight's White House crypto meeting, whether Trump can truly drive the CFTC and SEC to issue new crypto administrative regulations to accelerate reform remains to be seen. On the technical side, BTC breaking through the bottom range during the day depends first on whether it can hold above 67,400, and secondly, BTC is facing clear resistance near the daily resistance (69,000). Both require further policy + macro support before an effective breakout can be achieved. Even if it breaks through later, the BTC target near 74,200 will only form an initial rebound. If the daily trend is extended, it wouldn't even be considered a strong rebound. So whether the trend can start with the momentum is too early to conclude at this point. #BTC突破69000美元 how far can this round of rally go? On the data side, although ETFs and crypto funds have seen net inflows, how long these net inflows can last depends on the next day's further verification. Once net inflows stop, theoretically, BTC's upward momentum will weaken. In summary, the current optimism is still in a cautiously optimistic stage, compared to yesterday

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