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tvbee
tvbee
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【突发】财政部冒险出招——加速购买长期美债。【中篇】 不要想多了,和QE没有半毛钱关系! ┈➤此举高明在哪 之前蜂兄就总结过,大约7月24日以后,1年以1年以内短期美债的收益率是下降的,说明短期被抢购。 所以财政部现在的一边加速增发短债,一边加速购买长债。 ◆短债操作:增加供给,使价格涨势减缓、甚至跌价,使收益率跌势减缓、甚至上涨。 ◆长债操作:减少供给,使价格跌势减缓、最好是价格上涨,使收益率涨势减缓、最好是收益率下降。 所以这对市场预期也有影响,于是真的会有人买入长债,所以今天的30年美债收益率应声而落:开盘5.285%,目前跌到了5.2%。 作为无风险收益率的长期美债收益率下降,短期利好风险资产。 对于财政部而言,你想啊,他用大约3.8%左右的年化去借钱,再去还年化5%左右的负债,他短期肯定划算的啊! 何况短债的收益率还是下降趋势,长债是上涨趋势。 #30年期美债收益率创2007年以来新高
tvbee
tvbee
[Breaking] The Treasury takes a risky move—accelerating the purchase of long-term U.S. Treasuries. [Part One] Don't overthink it; it has nothing to do with QE! ┈➤ The U.S. Treasury "quenching thirst nearby" while "thirsty far away" Speaking of Bassett, he's really clever, only telling half the story—the Treasury only mentioned increasing the amount of long-term U.S. Treasuries purchased each time, but where is the money coming from? If this were announced by the Federal Reserve, then the Fed would most likely be implementing QE. But this is the Treasury, whose income and expenditures are mostly fixed, so where does the spare cash come from to continuously accelerate long-term bond purchases? So obviously, the main method is to finance by issuing short-term U.S. Treasuries under one year, then use that money to accelerate the purchase of long-term U.S. Treasuries. #30年期美债收益率创2007年以来新高

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