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美股盯盘日记
美股盯盘日记
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新鲜热乎的财报出了 两个字:偏弱 小米卖得更贵、汽车卖得更多,但核心业务的利润都在变薄。 市场期待的汽车盈利拐点没有出现,反而被手机和汽车毛利率同时下滑抢走了焦点。 详细数据: ·营收1089亿元,同比下降6.1%,低于此前公开预期区间下限。 ·经调整净利润62亿元,同比下降42.6%;账面净利润95亿元,主要受到65亿元投资公允价值收益和补贴收入支撑。 ·手机出货量大跌26.5%,虽然ASP上涨25.9%,但毛利率仍从11.5%降至8.5%,说明涨价尚未覆盖存储成本压力。 ·汽车交付增长28.2%至10.42万辆,但毛利率从26.4%降至19.2%,经营亏损26亿元。亏损较一季度的31亿元有所收窄,却远差于去年同期的3亿元。 ·IoT收入下降19.2%,互联网服务是少数稳定板块。 #财报观察员:小米即将发布财报,你更看好哪条业务线?
美股盯盘日记
美股盯盘日记
Mi'er, can your stock curse be broken? #财报观察员:小米即将发布财报,你更看好哪条业务线? The market expects revenue to be about ¥111 billion to ¥127.1 billion. Whether it can hold above ¥100 billion is not very important; what matters is whether the automotive segment can withstand the pressure. Although monthly deliveries exceeded 30,000 consecutively in Q2, deliveries do not equal improved profitability. The main focus is whether the automotive gross margin can stabilize, whether operating losses can narrow, and whether the annual target of 550,000 vehicles can be achieved. In the smartphone industry, Q1 saw a year-on-year decline of 19.2%, but the average selling price rose to ¥1,310, a record high. In Q2, rather than focusing on shipment volume, it is better to see if premiumization can continue to support ASP and gross margin. AIoT and internet services are Xiaomi’s profit ballast. If IoT gross margin and internet advertising revenue continue to remain resilient, they can buffer the pressure from rising smartphone costs and automotive investments. The most likely combination in the earnings report is: revenue recovery, but profits still under pressure. Xiaomi has never lacked impressive data in the past. The real "stock curse" lies in the market often trading growth in advance, then after the earnings report lands, instead questioning profits and guidance.

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