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币多多超市
币多多超市
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BTC现在就一潭死水,63000附近磨了快两周,成交量缩到妈都不认识,恐惧贪婪指数34没人愿意下注 上周ETF好不容易爽了一把BTC+ETH合计净流入11亿美元,4月以来最猛的一周,贝莱德IBIT一家就干了6.9亿。结果这周直接翻脸,五天里四天在流血,周二勉强进了不到500万,单周净流出约3.9亿。Strategy更是连续四周在卖曾经的最强买方变成了提款机 但有意思的是瑞银二季度把IBIT看涨期权从8万干到195万,暴增24倍,直接持仓只增加了12%。市面上"翻三倍到9000万"的标题,是把现货和看涨期权混一块算出来的数。一边是老钱在跑,一边是传统金融在偷偷押注 更分裂的是稳定币:总市值从5月的3210亿缩到3050亿,降幅5%,历史第三大回撤。购买力在退潮,池子水少了,鱼怎么跳? 所以ETF买盘能不能回暖?短期盯两个信号:一是8月19号FOMC会议纪要,美联储放不放鸽直接决定风险资产能不能喘口气;二是ETF能不能重新连续净流入,上周BTC+ETH合计进了11亿结果BTC没怎么涨,说明抛压还在,但连续几周都在进的话,底部就夯实了 缩量磨底阶段进去就是折磨 纯交流,不构成建议
币多多超市
币多多超市
Harvard is truly all in on space this time. The latest 13F reveals that by the end of Q2, Harvard Management Company held 12.93 million shares of SPCX, valued at $2.21 billion, accounting for 52% of its entire publicly disclosed US stock portfolio. With a $4.3 billion portfolio, half is concentrated in a single stock, making it their largest holding. But at the big players' table, Harvard really doesn't rank high: Elon Musk himself holds 48.4%, valued at over $900 billion; Alphabet holds 551 million shares, worth $94.2 billion—invested $900 million in 2015, achieving a 100x return over ten years; NVIDIA holds 123 million shares, worth $21 billion—but these were obtained via stock swap during SpaceX's acquisition of xAI this year, not bought on the secondary market; Gigafund holds 172 million shares, worth $29 billion, Jane Street holds 57 million shares, worth $9.7 billion. Cathie Wood's ARK actually bought on the secondary market, 4.48 million shares worth $765 million, the largest purchase in Q2. SPCX rebounded over 20% five days after lockup expiration, returning above the $135 issue price, now around $140. Wall Street sell-side average target price is $232, implying 66% upside. But to pour cold water: 13F data is lagging as of end of June; a month and a half has passed and they have already rebalanced. The second batch of lockup expires on August 20, with another big round in December. Musk's 48.4% is locked until mid-next year, so selling pressure is clear. Q2 loss was $540 million but revenue of $7.8 billion beat expectations; however, Q1 loss was $4.28 billion, still burning cash. Just take a look, don't copy blindly.
SPCXUSDTperpetual75xBuyOpen position
Floating PnL-543.64%·Average sub-order price153.96·Mark price142.80

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