Others teach you how to trade crypto with AI, I do the opposite: fully expose and critique everything
1/ The whole internet is teaching you how to use AI for coin trading. I do the opposite: make all the code, transactions, and losses of the Polymarket bot I wrote public. You come and nitpick. 2/ Show your trump card first. Bot strategy in short: Place maker orders on Polymarket and sell overvalued niche contracts (low-probability Yes contracts). The basis is not mysticism but backtesting: out of 225 settled markets, 113 < 20% probability, with an actual win rate of 0%. Niche is systematically overrated, which is Favorite-Longshot Bias, with papers and data. 3/ But I won't tell you "this is a guaranteed win." Because there are two layers I haven't verified yet: Simulation layer: I ran a $500 paper warehouse, +53%. But this is old data from before I modified the realism model, so I'm more optimistic. Now running back to $200, plus Maker closing rate (40% per cycle) and a 2-day settlement delay—closer to reality, but slower. Reality layer: Haven't topped up real money yet. On-chain and exchange balances are now zero. 4/ What to disclose: - Strategy logic and backtest reports (written document) - Transaction/settlement data for each scan - Risk control triggers and loss records - Actual after-hours real capital curve What not to disclose: - My private key (never issued) - "Copy trading link" (none, not done) 5/ Why dare to disclose losses: Because losing is the real thing
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