Overnight, all three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower, ending a five-day winning streak on the Dow. The overall decline was limited, merely a short-term profit-taking absorption, with no panic selling pressure. The market's structural divergence was particularly pronounced, and it was not an overall weakening.
Tech stocks are deeply fragmented internally, with the memory chip sector performing the most abnormally. After opening low and rising high, it still saw widespread declines. Western Digital led the decline, SanDisk and SK Hynix weakened in tandem, with only Seagate narrowing slightly higher. Other chip sectors are relatively strong, with ARM, Qualcomm, AMD, and TSMC all rising, while Nvidia and Intel made slight adjustments.
AI applications became the biggest overnight weakness, with sector sentiment cooling rapidly. Several core stocks plunged, with Datadog and Applovin dropping over 19%, and signs of short-term capital flight becoming very obvious.
🚀 SpaceX has reversed the trend with extreme bearishness
The day before, the stock plunged over 13%, and with the unlocking of restricted shares worth hundreds of billions, the market was unanimously bearish. On the day of the lock-up, the market surged over 6% against the trend, with its market value returning above 1.5 trillion yuan and trading volume hitting a one-and-a-half-month high.
Reversal Core Logic:
- Early overdraft: The previous day's sharp drop has fully priced in the negative impact of the lock-up unlock, releasing selling pressure early
- Short positions forced to close: High short positions are expected to fail, and passive buying pushes the stock price higher
- Strong institutional support: Multiple investment banks raised target prices and maintained buy ratings
- Retail investors are eager to bottom-fish: opening buying volume far exceeds daily averages
Note: This is only the first round of unlocking; there will be large-scale unlocking pressure at the end of the year and next year, so the market is only a short-term emotional recovery. Additionally, SpaceX and Tesla have established a 16.8 billion USD Texas Gigachip factory, continuing to catalyze the hardware sector.
📰 A quick overview of overnight key news coverage
- The Strait of Hormuz agreement has not been finalized, and the US continues negotiations, providing emotional support for oil prices
- The U.S. plans to postpone polysilicon tariffs and set a transition period, benefiting the domestic photovoltaic import supply chain
- High-end memory shortage, NVIDIA plans to lower the memory specifications of new chips
- OpenAI opens free text chat to users and countersues Apple for infringement
- The U.S. introduced new policies cracking down on birth tourism and tightening citizenship rights for births, engaging in legal battles
- The world's first mRNA influenza vaccine was approved, accelerating commercialization in the sector
- Trump frequently liaises with the new Federal Reserve chair, and subsequent monetary policy is worth watching
In summary, the core of the overnight market is expected spread trading.
Unanimous bearish news has landed, but there is no momentum for sell-offs, and some may even reverse.
Continue to monitor the future trends of technology tracks and unlocked-up stocks.
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