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8:30 PM tonight — July CPI drops, and the market is almost 50/50 on a September rate hike. If inflation comes in hot, gold, US stocks, and crypto could all face pressure. $BTC is hovering around $63K while $ETH sits near $1,880. Over the past 3 months, the S&P 500 gained about 5%, while BTC fell around 20%, showing how disconnected the two markets have become. Meanwhile, gold has surged toward $4,400. The key numbers tonight: 📊 Headline CPI YoY: 3.4% expected 📊 Core CPI YoY: 2.5% expected 📊 Headline MoM: +0.1% expected 📊 Core MoM: +0.2% expected The monthly core figure may matter most. 🔥 Core MoM at 0.3%+ → September hike odds could jump sharply. BTC may lose $63K, ETH could weaken, and leveraged longs could get squeezed. 🚀 Core MoM around 0.1% → Rate-hike expectations could fall quickly, potentially supporting gold, stocks, $BTC and $ETH. BTC reclaiming $65K wouldn’t be surprising. ⚖️ Around 0.2% → Markets may stay uncertain and continue chopping. The Fed still has a difficult balancing act: employment is weakening, but inflation remains above target. And remember, CPI releases can create violent fakeouts. The first move isn’t always the real move, especially in crypto. Personally, I’d avoid high leverage before the data and wait for the market to show its direction. CPI is only the first major step before September — August jobs data, August CPI and Jackson Hole will also matter. Not financial advice. Manage risk and don’t become exit liquidity. #CPIToResetFedBets #AIInfraEarningsWatch #Gold4400HavenBid